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Presenters:
Seymour A. Webster, Ph.D.
Adrian Spence ,Ph.D.
INTRODUCTION
Regional and sub-regional climatology
Jamaica’s vulnerability and sensitivity to hydro-
meteorological conditions is a function of its location,
topography, size and geographical outlay.
Generally speaking, the climate in Jamaica is somewhat
similar to that of the Caribbean– wet summers and dry
winters
Socio-economic activities and every-day activities are to
a large extent determined by exogenous climatic
variability and to a lesser extent by endogenous factors,
which are themselves influenced by exogenous forces.
The strong influence of exogenous
climatic events are responsible
for the variability in climatology
Jamaica
 These events—ENSO—general
result in volatile and erratic
weather systems, which may have
devastating effects on climate-
sensitive sectors; such as:
 Agriculture and fisheries
 Tourism
 Water & natural environment
 Health and wellness sector
Historically, the rainy season in
Jamaica is characterized by a
bimodal distribution due to an
intervening drought in July (mid-
summer drought).
NAH moves
closer to
equator
Stronger trades
Low SST
Mid-lat fronts
NAH starts
Northward
migration
Weaker trades
SST begins to
increase
NAH
temporarily
retreats
Southward
‘Mid-
Summer
Drought’
NAH return
Northward
High SST
Easterly
waves
ITCZ North
Jamaica
Climatology (Bar graph – precip, line graph –temp)
Air Temp
follows the sun
Chen and Taylor,2008
SOCIO-ECONOMIC IMPACT OF DROUGHT
EVENTS ON JAMAICA
During the decade of the90s and from 2010 to 2015
Jamaica has experienced some of the worst droughts
in terms of intensity and socio-economic impact on
the agriculture sector.
In 1996 into 1998 losses due to drought was estimated
at US$ 8 M(Agriculture impacted the worst)
Between October 1999 to March 2000, crop losses due
to drought was estimated at US$ 6 Million.

In 2012/2013 the Jamaican economy was denied an
estimated 1.0 percent of GDP.
In 2014, an estimated 21900 hectares of crops—food,
ornamental, and pastures—at a value of 953.5 million,
were affected by the drought (Jamaica Information
Service, August 29, 2014).
Need for developing drought-Need for developing drought-
tolerant soilstolerant soils
Rainwater harvesting &
inventory
Irrigated VS rain-fed
dependent agriculture
75 to 80 per cent of harvested
or abstracted used in
agriculture
High consumptive use
FC is transient and has to be
replenished
FC variable with soil structure
and texture
Rainwater harvesting &
storage systems for
agriculture, developing at a
slow pace
Only 10 per cent of irrigable
cultivated lands is irrigated
Possibility of salt intrusion
Topography limiting factor
Production and productivity
largely dependent on
prevailing weather condition
Sector is vulnerable to the
impact of agricultural droughts
Food and nutrition insecurity
SPATIAL MAPPING OF MAJOR SOIL
ORDERS AND CROP SUITABILITY OF
JAMAICA
M is c e lla n e o u s
S o il O r d e r
H is t o s o l
I n c e p t is o l
V e r t is o l
M o llis o l
O x is o l
E n t is o l
U lt is o l
N
1 8 °
1 8 ° 3 0 '
7 8 ° 7 7 °
0 5 0
K i l o m e t r e s
PRACTICAL STRATEGIES FOR CSA
Monitoring systems and Early warning signs
Crop diversification
Protected agriculture
Increase use of irrigation
Drought-tolerant soil
 SOI and SOM
 Synthetic Soil Polymers
CHARACTERISTICS OF SOM
Globally, SOM contains ~4 x more carbon than is present in
all the world’s vegetation and 3 x more than the atmosphere.
SOM plays a critical role in global carbon balance – major
factor affecting global warming(greenhouse effect) Influences
the physical, chemical and biological properties of the soil
SOM is a complex and varied mixture of organic substances
Responsible for much of the CEC and WHC of surface soils
 Stabilization of soil aggregates
Contains large quantities of plant nutrients – esp. N.
Supplies energy and body building substances to many soil
microorganisms
Lehmann & Kleber, 2016
STABILIZATION OF SOI
SOM: LIFE-BLOOD OF MINERAL SOILS
Encourages aggregation and pore space
differentiation
Increases WHC & PAWC of soils
For every one per cent increase in SOM, PAW
increases by 0.44, 0.36, and 0.26 inch per foot soil
depth for : loam, silty clay-loam, and sandy soil,
respectively.
 Reduce frequency of irrigation– cost implication
Reduce soil erosion
Encourages proliferation of beneficial soil
microbes(soil health)
Relationship between water potential and water
availability to plants
WAY FORWARD
Education and training on sustaining and restoring
drought-tolerant soils
Increasing drought monitoring systems and early
warning signs
Encourage greater use of organic matter inputs
Improving carbon sequestration through smart land-
use practices
 Improve water harvesting systems
Soil conservation and watershed management
Thank You!

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CSA Symposium 2016 - Dr. Seymour Webster , Dr. Adrian Spence Day 1 Session 3

  • 1. Presenters: Seymour A. Webster, Ph.D. Adrian Spence ,Ph.D.
  • 2. INTRODUCTION Regional and sub-regional climatology Jamaica’s vulnerability and sensitivity to hydro- meteorological conditions is a function of its location, topography, size and geographical outlay. Generally speaking, the climate in Jamaica is somewhat similar to that of the Caribbean– wet summers and dry winters Socio-economic activities and every-day activities are to a large extent determined by exogenous climatic variability and to a lesser extent by endogenous factors, which are themselves influenced by exogenous forces.
  • 3. The strong influence of exogenous climatic events are responsible for the variability in climatology Jamaica  These events—ENSO—general result in volatile and erratic weather systems, which may have devastating effects on climate- sensitive sectors; such as:  Agriculture and fisheries  Tourism  Water & natural environment  Health and wellness sector Historically, the rainy season in Jamaica is characterized by a bimodal distribution due to an intervening drought in July (mid- summer drought). NAH moves closer to equator Stronger trades Low SST Mid-lat fronts NAH starts Northward migration Weaker trades SST begins to increase NAH temporarily retreats Southward ‘Mid- Summer Drought’ NAH return Northward High SST Easterly waves ITCZ North Jamaica Climatology (Bar graph – precip, line graph –temp) Air Temp follows the sun Chen and Taylor,2008
  • 4. SOCIO-ECONOMIC IMPACT OF DROUGHT EVENTS ON JAMAICA During the decade of the90s and from 2010 to 2015 Jamaica has experienced some of the worst droughts in terms of intensity and socio-economic impact on the agriculture sector. In 1996 into 1998 losses due to drought was estimated at US$ 8 M(Agriculture impacted the worst) Between October 1999 to March 2000, crop losses due to drought was estimated at US$ 6 Million. 
  • 5. In 2012/2013 the Jamaican economy was denied an estimated 1.0 percent of GDP. In 2014, an estimated 21900 hectares of crops—food, ornamental, and pastures—at a value of 953.5 million, were affected by the drought (Jamaica Information Service, August 29, 2014).
  • 6. Need for developing drought-Need for developing drought- tolerant soilstolerant soils Rainwater harvesting & inventory Irrigated VS rain-fed dependent agriculture 75 to 80 per cent of harvested or abstracted used in agriculture High consumptive use FC is transient and has to be replenished FC variable with soil structure and texture Rainwater harvesting & storage systems for agriculture, developing at a slow pace Only 10 per cent of irrigable cultivated lands is irrigated Possibility of salt intrusion Topography limiting factor Production and productivity largely dependent on prevailing weather condition Sector is vulnerable to the impact of agricultural droughts Food and nutrition insecurity
  • 7. SPATIAL MAPPING OF MAJOR SOIL ORDERS AND CROP SUITABILITY OF JAMAICA M is c e lla n e o u s S o il O r d e r H is t o s o l I n c e p t is o l V e r t is o l M o llis o l O x is o l E n t is o l U lt is o l N 1 8 ° 1 8 ° 3 0 ' 7 8 ° 7 7 ° 0 5 0 K i l o m e t r e s
  • 8. PRACTICAL STRATEGIES FOR CSA Monitoring systems and Early warning signs Crop diversification Protected agriculture Increase use of irrigation Drought-tolerant soil  SOI and SOM  Synthetic Soil Polymers
  • 9. CHARACTERISTICS OF SOM Globally, SOM contains ~4 x more carbon than is present in all the world’s vegetation and 3 x more than the atmosphere. SOM plays a critical role in global carbon balance – major factor affecting global warming(greenhouse effect) Influences the physical, chemical and biological properties of the soil SOM is a complex and varied mixture of organic substances Responsible for much of the CEC and WHC of surface soils  Stabilization of soil aggregates Contains large quantities of plant nutrients – esp. N. Supplies energy and body building substances to many soil microorganisms
  • 12. SOM: LIFE-BLOOD OF MINERAL SOILS Encourages aggregation and pore space differentiation Increases WHC & PAWC of soils For every one per cent increase in SOM, PAW increases by 0.44, 0.36, and 0.26 inch per foot soil depth for : loam, silty clay-loam, and sandy soil, respectively.  Reduce frequency of irrigation– cost implication Reduce soil erosion Encourages proliferation of beneficial soil microbes(soil health)
  • 13. Relationship between water potential and water availability to plants
  • 14. WAY FORWARD Education and training on sustaining and restoring drought-tolerant soils Increasing drought monitoring systems and early warning signs Encourage greater use of organic matter inputs Improving carbon sequestration through smart land- use practices  Improve water harvesting systems Soil conservation and watershed management