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© 2015
Authors: P. Cambou JL. Jaffard
Report publication date: January 2015
From
Technologies
to Market
Status of the
CMOS image sensor
industry
2015 report
Courtesy of Omnivision
Courtesy of Valeo
Courtesy of On Semi
Courtesy of Gopro
Courtesy of Sony
2©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
• WHAT WE GOT RIGHT, WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Over the yearsYole Développement has kept consistent forecast
Looking back at
previous forecast
exercises, Yole
Développement has
slightly undervalued
global CIS market.
The same markets
have been researched
over time, some new
applications such as
tablets have impacted
the growth.
We have
achieved our
goal of +/-
10% forecast
Yole Développement © January 2015
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Revenue($M)
Historical revenue forcast (in $M)
2010 Fcst 2012 Fcst 2014 Fcst 2015 Fcst
3©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
4TH CMOS IMAGE SENSOR REPORT
• When Yole Développement presented its first report in 2010, the imaging industry was at a turning point as CMOS
image sensor revenues were breaking the 50% threshold in respect to CCD.
• Since this first report, Yole documented the rise of a new CIS technology called BSI. In 2015, the 50% revenue
threshold is also broken for BSI technology.
• Mobile and tablets are currently the key applications for CIS, they are demanding in term of volume and
performances therefore keeping price at a good level for the top notch technology. The industry has reached $8.9B
in 2014 and with 10.6% CAGR forecasted for the 2014-2020 period, it will reach $16.2B in 2020.
• Currently the most dynamic CIS market is automotive. New features and performance are needed to serve this new
market. Are we shifting from vision for imaging to vision for sensing ? One thing is certain, every one in the industry
is working on it.
Every thing is
changing
4©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
IMAGE SENSORS :TRIPLE DISRUPTION HISTORY
Technologies & markets have changed dramatically over the years
CIS is now
the
undisputed
image sensor
technology
1865 1945 1985 2005 2015 2020
First color
pictures from
emulsion
plates in
1860’s
Tube
technology
Never took
over Film
Technology x Market Penetration
CCD
technology
Took over
Film in the
2000’s
CMOS
technology
Took over
CCD in 2010
Acceleration :The speed in technology changes doubles every technology shift
Era of Digital
PhotographyEra of Film
Photography
Era of Mobile
Photography
5 years10 years20 years40 years80 years
5©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
CMOS IMAGE SENSOR APPLICATIONS
Mobile is currently driving CIS markets
Today
smartphone
main camera
and DSLR
are the 2
main CIS
applications
• Smartphone
secondary camera
adoption made
Mobile sub-
segment very
significant. It
should take an
even greater
importance in the
future as their ASP
increase.
• Tablets appear to
be part of
computing, even
tough the
technology came
from Mobile
$3.0B
$1.0B
$0.2B
Today
Consumer
High End
Mobile
Yole Développement © January 2015
6©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
CMOS IMAGE SENSOR ECOSYSTEM
The industry is currently undergoing massive changes
The
restructuring
activity
happened
mostly in the
fabless
business
model
Foundry Fabless Fab-lite IDM
For
Sale?
JV
For
Sale?
IPO?
IPO?
7©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e 2018e 2019e 2020e
Industrial/Space/Defence 235 301 199 224 462 259 277 307 338 372 424 485
Security 36 49 62 84 109 140 175 211 250 286 321 353
Medical 12 14 21 22 25 29 34 39 46 55 63 71
Automotive - - 28 51 71 119 212 330 465 569 668 800
Computing 284 291 449 773 1,125 1,219 1,292 1,433 1,442 1,415 1,377 1,310
Consumer 711 874 1,250 1,558 1,511 1,645 1,680 1,675 1,673 1,699 1,768 1,899
Mobile 3,008 3,621 3,785 4,196 4,712 5,460 6,264 7,087 8,017 9,099 10,178 11,339
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Revenue(M$)
2009-2020 CIS revenue forecast (in $M)
by market
CIS REVENUE FORECAST 2014-2020
by market (in $M)
Revenue has
reached
$8.9B in
2014
Growth is
expected at
10.6% CAGR
Yole Développement © January 2015
CAGR
2014-2020
TOTAL
yoy Growth
• Revenues are
dominated by
mobile, consumer
and computing
which represent
91%. of all CIS
revenues in 2014.
• Mobile alone
represent 60%.
• From 2014 to
2020, global
revenue growth
will remain at
~10.6% CAGR.
4,286 5,150 5,794 6,910 8,016 8,871 9,934 11,081 12,232 13,495 14,799 16,258
20% 13% 19% 16% 11% 12% 12% 10% 10% 10% 10%
8©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
CIS MARKET ANALYSIS 2014-2020
Market breakdown
Main player
market share
analysis
Market breakdown
analysis in specific
application segments
9©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
MOBILE MARKET TREND
Smartphone thickness vs. camera module specification
Smartphone
tend to be
less thick
Camera
modules size
is the limiting
factor Galaxy S2
8Mp 1.4µm
8.5x8.5x6.0
Lumia 920
8.7Mp 1.4µm
12.5x12.5x6.0
Iphone 4S
8Mp 1.4µm
8.4x8.4x6.0
mm
OIS
Iphone 6
8Mp 1.5µm
10.6x9.3x5.8
Yole Développement ©
January 2015
Cybershot S006
16Mp 1.12µm
9.5x9..5x8.0
Courtesy of System Plus
OIS is the new
key feature
of smartphone
cameras
• Some players have
switched to 1.1µm
pixels to increase
resolution, Apple
increased pixel size
to 1.5µm in order
to improve image
quality.
• There is little
reduction in camera
module height as
most manufacturers
want to increase
resolution in the
same time.
OIS
10©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
MOBILE MARKET TREND
Main rear camera & sub front camera roadmap
The trend is
is for more
complexity at
the system
level
Log
Image sensor Resolution
2Mp
4Mp
8Mp
16Mp
20182010 2012 2014 2016
Sub Camera
Resolution VGA-1.2Mp
Pixel size 1.1µm
2020
OIS
Sub Camera
Resolution 5Mp
Pixel size 1.1µm
Sub Camera
Resolution 8Mp
Pixel size 1.2µm
Main Cameras
Resolution 8Mp
Pixel size 1.4µm
OIS
OIS
Main Cameras
Resolution 8Mp-16Mp
Pixel size 1.1µm- 1.5µm
Main Camera
Resolution 16Mp+
Pixel size 1.0-1.6µm
Dual Cameras
Resolution 2x 8Mp
Pixel size 1.1µm+
Size constraints &
Drive for better images &
Features :
→ More pixels
→ Smaller modules
→ Image Stabilization (OIS)
11©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
AUTOMOTIVE MARKET TREND
From feature to key enabling technology
Challenging
use cases are
just ramping
up
• 360° surround view
• Dash camera recorder
• Rear view camera
• Night vision
• Cross traffic detection
• FatigueWarning
• Headlight control
• Traffic sign recognition
• Line departure warning
• Blind spot detection
• Collision avoidance
• Pedestrian detection
• Adaptive speed control
• Highway line keeping
2010 2015 2020
3 to 5 years adoption rate
FeatureAssistSemi-auto
7 to 10 years adoption rate
10+ years adoption rate
2025
ADAS
1 to 4 Cameras
for Display
1 to 4 Cameras
+ Advanced
image analysis
12©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
CMOS IMAGE SENSOR TECHNOLOGY
Back side illumination (BSI) is an incremental technology in respect to FSI
• Back side illuminated (BSI) sensors were initially introduced for smart phones. They asked for higher resolution with
same camera module footprint (leading to pixel shrink race) than the pre-existing mobile “feature phones” that had
conventional Front Side Illuminated (FSI) sensors.
• BSI transition is not a disruption like the CCD to CMOS transition. As an incremental improvement over FSI it is no
surprise that a key industry player like Omnivision and Sony were instrumental in bringing this technology to market.
The iPhone 4 launch in 2010 was the key turning point for massive BSI adoption.
• BSI technology is now following the same path as basic FSI CIS. As performance improvements get valorised in higher
end markets, we can easily forecast a brilliant future of BSI in most market segments.
BSI also
started in
low end
markets and
is moving up
13©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
 Backside
illumination will
enable ~ 100% fill-
factor!
Front-Side
illuminated (FSI)
MAIN TECHNOLOGY TRENDS IN CIS
From FSI to BSI to 3D stacked BSI – pixel level
3D stacked
technology is
the logical
next step in
respect to
BSI
3D Stacked
BSI
Silicon Bulk Silicon Bulk
Backside
illuminated (BSI)
Bonding
Interface
Silicon Bulk
Upper
Wafer
Lower
Wafer
• Conventional BSI is
adding a silicon
wafer essentially as
a mechanical
support.
• 3D stacked
technology is using
a processed wafer
with digital circuits
supplementing the
upper CIS array.
14©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
 Backside
illumination will
enable ~ 100% fill-
factor!
MAIN TECHNOLOGY TRENDS IN CIS
The 3D Stacked BSI could use hybrid bonding in a short future
TSV is the
current
interconnection
technology
3D Stacked
BSI
Silicon Bulk
TSVTSV
 Backside
illumination will
enable ~ 100% fill-
factor!
3D Hybrid
BSI
Silicon Bulk
Interco upper to
lower wafer
Interco upper
to lower wafer
Connection within pixels
become possible
• The key technology
step for 3D stack
BSI is the
interconnection of
the upper and
lower part of the
circuit.
• Currently TSV is
the main
technology to
connect 3D stacked
wafers.
• Cu-Cu hybrid
bonding should be
the next step
• Hybrid bonding
could open the way
to in pixel
connections
15©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
ABOUT THE AUTORS OF THIS REPORT
Biography & contact
Pierre Cambou
In 1999 Pierre Cambou joined the imaging industry. He had earned an Engineering degree from Université de Technologie de
Compiègne in parallel to a Master of Science from Virginia Tech in 1998. More recently he graduated from Grenoble Ecole de
Management’s MBA. Pierre took several positions at Thomson TCS which became Atmel Grenoble in 2001 and e2v
Semiconductors in 2006. In 2012 he founded the start-up Vence Innovation (now called Irlynx) in order to bring to market a
disruptive Man to Machine interaction technology. He joined Yole Développement as Imaging Activity Leader in 2014.
Contact: cambou@yole.fr
Jean-Luc Jaffard
From 1966 Jean-Luc Jaffard paved the way of imaging activity at STMicroelectronics being at the forefront of the emergence and
growth of this business. At STMicroelectronics Imaging Division he was successively appointed Research Development and
Innovation Director managing a large multidisciplinary and multicultural team and later on promoted Deputy General Manager
and Advanced Technology Director in charge of identifying and developing breakthrough Imaging Technologies and to transform
them into innovative and profitable products. In 2010 he was appointed STMicroelectronics Intellectual Property Business Unit
Director. In January 2014 he created the Technology and Innovation branch of Red Belt Conseil.
© 2015
Yole Développement
FromTechnologies to Market
17©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
MEMS &
Sensors
LED / OLED
Compound
Semi.
Imaging Photonics
MedTech
Manufacturing
Advanced
Packaging
PV
Power
Electronics
FIELDS OF EXPERTISE
Yole Développement’s 30 analysts operate in the following areas
18©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
4 BUSINESS MODELS
o Consulting and Analysis
• Market data & research, marketing analysis
• Technology analysis
• Strategy consulting
• Reverse engineering & costing
• Patent analysis
www.yole.fr
o Reports
• Market &Technology reports
• Patent Investigation and patent infringement risk
analysis
• Teardowns & Reverse Costing Analysis
• Cost SimulationTool
www.i-Micronews.com/reports
o Financial services
• M&A (buying and selling)
• Due diligence
• Fundraising
• Maturation of companies
• IP portfolio management & optimization
www.yolefinance.com
Blu Morpho
o Media
• i-Micronews.com website
• @Micronews e-newsletter
• Technology magazines
• Communication & webcast services
• Events
www.i-Micronews.com
19©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
A GROUP OF COMPANIES
Market,
technology and
strategy
consulting
www.yole.fr
M&A operations
Due diligences
www.yolefinance.com
Fundraising
Maturation of companies
IP portfolio management & optimization
TBA
Manufacturing costs analysis
Teardown and reverse engineering
Cost simulation tools
www.systemplus.fr
IP analysis
Patent assessment
www.knowmade.fr
Blu Morpho
20©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
OUR GLOBAL ACTIVITY
Yole Japan
Yole Inc.
Yole
Korea
40% of our business is in
EU countries
30% of our business is in
North America
30% of our business is in
Asia
Blu Morpho
21©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
RESEARCH PRODUCTS - CONTENT COMPARISON
Custom analysis scope is defined with
you to meet your information and
budget needs
Breadth of the analysis
Depthoftheanalysis
Custom
Analysis
Workshops
Standard Reports
22©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
SERVING THE ENTIRE SUPPLY CHAIN
Our analysts
provide
market
analysis,
technology
evaluation,
and business
plan along
the entire
supply chain
Integrators and
end-users
Device
makers
Suppliers: material,
equipment, OSAT,
foundries…
Financial investors,
R&D centers
23©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
SERVING MULTIPLE INDUSTRIAL FIELDS
We are
working
accross
multiples
industries to
understand
the impact of
More-than-
Moore
technologies
from device
to system
From A to Z…
Transportation
makers
Mobile phone
and consumer
electronics
Automotive
Medical
systems
Industrial and
defense
Energy
24©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
REPORTS COLLECTION
o Yole Développement publishes a comprehensive collection of market & technology reports and patent analysis in:
• MEMS & Sensors
• Imaging
• Medical technologies (MedTech)
• Advanced packaging
• Power electronics
• Compound semiconductors
• OLED, LED & Laser diode
• Semiconductor Manufacturing
• Photovoltaics
• Batteries
o Our reports are unmatched in quality and technology depth and typically include:
• Technology trends and evolution: costs, barriers, roadmaps, etc.
• Supply & value chain analysis: business models, relationships, value flows, etc.
• In-depth analysis of applications and market drivers: challenges, inflection points, etc.
• Market data ($, units, wafer starts, etc.)
o Every year, Yole Développement, System Plus Consulting and Knowmade publish +60 reports.
o Take the full benefit from our Bundle and Annual Subscription offers.
www.i-Micronews.com
25©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
OUR 2015 REPORTS PLANNING
MARKET &TECHNOLOGY REPORTS byYole Développement
o MEMS & SENSORS
− Sensors and Data Management for Autonomous Vehicles
− AlN Thin Film Markets And Applications
− Sensors for Wearable Electronics And Mobile Healthcare
− Status of the MEMS Industry
− Uncooled IR Imagers
− IR Detectors
− High End Gyro, Accelerometers and IMU
− Non-Volatile Memory
o IMAGING & OPTOELECTRONICS
− Camera Module Packaging (Vol 1 : Market & Technology Trends / Vol 2 Teardowns &
Reverse Engineering)
− Uncooled IR Imagers
− Wafer Level Optics
− Status of the CMOS Image Sensors
− Machine Vision
o MEDTECH
− Microfluidic for Sample Preparation
− Microfluidic Applications
− Sensors for Wearable Electronics And Mobile Healthcare
o COMPOUND SEMICONDUCTORS
− High Purity Alumina (HPA)
− Sapphire
− Wide Bandgap Materials For Power Electronics: SiC, GaN (and also Ga2O3, AlN,
Diamond, Graphene… as a trend)
* Reports to be decided within 2015
o LED
− LED Module
− OLED for Lighting
− UV LED
− LED Phosphors Market
o POWER ELECTRONICS
− Power Packaging
− Thermal Management for LED and Power
− Power Electronics for Renewable Energy
− Energy Management For Smart Grid And Smart Cities
− Status of Chinese Power Electronics Industry
− New Technologies For Data Center
− Inverter Market Trends For 2013 – 2020 And Major Technology Changes*
− IGBT Markets And Application Trends
− Power Electronics for HEV/EV*
− Status of Power Electronics Industry
o ADVANCED PACKAGING
− Advanced Packaging in Emerging Markets in China
− Status of the Advanced Packaging Industry
− Supply Chain Readiness for Panel Manufacturing in Packaging
− WLCSP*
− Flip Chip Business Update
− 2.5D & 3DIC Business Update
− Fan-Out and Embedded Business Update
o MANUFACTURING
− Lithography for MEMS, Advanced Packaging and LED
− Thinning & Dicing Equipment for Advanced Packaging, MEMS, Photovoltaics, LED, CMOS
Image Sensors
− Non-Volatile Memory
26©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
OUR 2015 REPORTS PLANNING
PATENT ANALYSIS by Knowmade
o Patent Infringement (crossed analysis based on Knowmade and System Plus Analysis expertise)
− MEMS Microphone Applications
− Infrared Imaging
o Patent Investigation (crossed analysis based on Knowmade &Yole Développement expertise)
− Power GaN
− MEMS Gyroscope
− 6-axis & 9-axis Inertial MEMS IMUs
− Microbatteries
− Embedded Active & Passive Packages
− Interposer
− Phosphors for LED
TEARDOWN & REVERSE COSTING by System Plus Consulting
More than 30 teardowns and reverse costing analysis and cost simulation tools to be published in 2015.
* Reports to be decided within 2015
27©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
OUR 2014 PUBLISHED REPORTS LIST
MARKET &TECHNOLOGY REPORTS
byYole Développement
o MEMS & SENSORS
− Technologies & Sensors for the Internet of Things: Businesses & Market Trends 2014-2024
− MEMS Microphone: Market, Applications and Business Trends 2014
− Status of the MEMS industry
− MEMS & Sensors for Mobile Phones and Tablets
− High End Gyroscopes and Accelerometer Applications
− Inertial MEMS Manufacturing Technical Trends
− New Detection Principles & Technical Evolution for MEMS & NEMS
− 6/9 DOF Applications in Consumer Electronics
− MEMS for RF filters and Antena Switches - BAW / SAW
o IMAGING & OPTOELECTRONICS
− Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry
− Uncooled Infrared Imaging Technology & Market Trends
− Silicon Photonics
o MEDTECH
− Point of Care Testing: Applications for Microfluidic Technologies
− Solid State Medical Imaging: X-ray and Endoscopy
o COMPOUND SEMICONDUCTORS
− RF GaN Technology & Market Analysis: Applications, Players, Devices & Substrates 2010-
2020
− SiC Modules, Devices and Substrates for Power Electronics Market
− GaN-on-Si Substrate Technology and Market for LED and Power Electronics
− Power GaN Market
− Graphene Materials for Opto & Electronic Applications
− Sapphire Applications and Market: from LED to Consumer Electronics
o LED
− LED Packaging
− LED Front-End Manufacturing Trends
− LED Front-End Equipment Market
o POWER ELECTRONICS
− Power Electronics for HEV/EV
− Inverters
− Gate Driver Unit Market for Power Transistors
o PHOTOVOLTAICS
− Emerging and Innovative Technology Approaches in the Solar Industry
o ADVANCED PACKAGING
− 3DIC Equipment and Materials
− 3DIC & 2.5D TSV Interconnect for Advanced Packaging - 2014 Business Update
o MANUFACTURING
− Market & Technology Trends in Materials & Equipment for Printed & Flexible Electronics
− Permanent Wafer Bonding for Semiconductor: Application Trends & Technology
PATENT ANALYSIS
by Knowmade
− LED Based on Nano-wires Patent Investigation
− GaN on Si Patent Investigation (LED, Power devices and RF Devices)
− New MEMS Devices Patent Investigation
− Non Volatile Memory Patent Investigation
TEARDOWN & REVERSE COSTING
by System Plus Consulting
More than 30 teardowns and reverse costing analysis and cost simulation tools to be published in 2014.
28©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
MICRONEWS MEDIA
o About Micronews Media
Micronews Media, powered by Yole
Développement, ensures you the best visibility
in the disruptive semiconductor community.
With our services, we help you to reach your
customers worldwide with the media products
they prefer, including our website, e-newsletter,
webcasts, and magazines. Invest in a high added-
value editorial program and get access to Yole
Développement’s network (48 000+ contacts).
o Five supports and channels for your visibility
• A technology magazine to highlight
your visibility with advertisements,
company profiles, product descriptions and
white papers
• A webcast to highlight your expertise and
develop your business identifying
commercial leads
• Articles, advertisements & logo and
banners dedicated to your company, its
products and expertise in @Micronews e-
newsletter and on i-Micronews.com
Focused
community
Identified
contacts
Large
community
Mass contacts
29©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
COMMUNICATION SERVICES
All services listed below are available on–demand.
o i-Micronews.com, the website
Slider – Banners (on English or Japanese websites) – Articles –
Logo and profile as sponsor
o @Micronews, the e-newsletter
Headline article - Tiles
o Custom webcast
Develop your dedicated event with a high added-value program. A
turnkey event withYole support (logistics, promotion, data…)
o Technology Magazines: Custom – Co-produced
Increase your visibility through a dedicated technology magazine
with ads, company profile, product descriptions and white papers.
It can be a custom magazine: your company is the only one to
benefit from it – or a co-produced one: up to 2 companies.
Contacts:
Camille Veyrier (veyrier@yole.fr) and Clotilde Fabre (fabre@yole.fr),
Media & Communication Coordinators.
30©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry
CONTACT INFORMATION
o Consulting and Specific Analysis
• North America: Steve LaFerriere, Director of Northern America Business Development,Yole Inc.
Email: laferriere@yole.fr
• Japan:Yutaka Katano, General Manager,Yole Japan & President,Yole K.K.
Email: katano@yole.fr
• RoW: Jean-Christophe Eloy, President & CEO,Yole Développement
Email: eloy@yole.fr
o Report business
• North America: Steve LaFerriere, Director of Northern America Business Development,Yole Inc.
Email: laferriere@yole.fr
• Europe: Fayçal El Khamassi, Headquarter Sales Coordination & Customer Service
Email: khamassi@yole.fr
• Japan & Asia:Takashi Onozawa, Sales Asia & General Manager,Yole K.K.
Email: onozawa@yole.fr
• Korea: HaileyYang, Business Development Manager, Korean Office
Email: yang@yole.fr
o Financial services
• Jean-Christophe Eloy, CEO & President
Email: eloy@yole.fr
o General
• Email: info@yole.fr
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Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2015 Report by Yole Developpement

  • 1. © 2015 Authors: P. Cambou JL. Jaffard Report publication date: January 2015 From Technologies to Market Status of the CMOS image sensor industry 2015 report Courtesy of Omnivision Courtesy of Valeo Courtesy of On Semi Courtesy of Gopro Courtesy of Sony
  • 2. 2©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry • WHAT WE GOT RIGHT, WHAT WE GOT WRONG Over the yearsYole Développement has kept consistent forecast Looking back at previous forecast exercises, Yole Développement has slightly undervalued global CIS market. The same markets have been researched over time, some new applications such as tablets have impacted the growth. We have achieved our goal of +/- 10% forecast Yole Développement © January 2015 - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Revenue($M) Historical revenue forcast (in $M) 2010 Fcst 2012 Fcst 2014 Fcst 2015 Fcst
  • 3. 3©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry 4TH CMOS IMAGE SENSOR REPORT • When Yole Développement presented its first report in 2010, the imaging industry was at a turning point as CMOS image sensor revenues were breaking the 50% threshold in respect to CCD. • Since this first report, Yole documented the rise of a new CIS technology called BSI. In 2015, the 50% revenue threshold is also broken for BSI technology. • Mobile and tablets are currently the key applications for CIS, they are demanding in term of volume and performances therefore keeping price at a good level for the top notch technology. The industry has reached $8.9B in 2014 and with 10.6% CAGR forecasted for the 2014-2020 period, it will reach $16.2B in 2020. • Currently the most dynamic CIS market is automotive. New features and performance are needed to serve this new market. Are we shifting from vision for imaging to vision for sensing ? One thing is certain, every one in the industry is working on it. Every thing is changing
  • 4. 4©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry IMAGE SENSORS :TRIPLE DISRUPTION HISTORY Technologies & markets have changed dramatically over the years CIS is now the undisputed image sensor technology 1865 1945 1985 2005 2015 2020 First color pictures from emulsion plates in 1860’s Tube technology Never took over Film Technology x Market Penetration CCD technology Took over Film in the 2000’s CMOS technology Took over CCD in 2010 Acceleration :The speed in technology changes doubles every technology shift Era of Digital PhotographyEra of Film Photography Era of Mobile Photography 5 years10 years20 years40 years80 years
  • 5. 5©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry CMOS IMAGE SENSOR APPLICATIONS Mobile is currently driving CIS markets Today smartphone main camera and DSLR are the 2 main CIS applications • Smartphone secondary camera adoption made Mobile sub- segment very significant. It should take an even greater importance in the future as their ASP increase. • Tablets appear to be part of computing, even tough the technology came from Mobile $3.0B $1.0B $0.2B Today Consumer High End Mobile Yole Développement © January 2015
  • 6. 6©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry CMOS IMAGE SENSOR ECOSYSTEM The industry is currently undergoing massive changes The restructuring activity happened mostly in the fabless business model Foundry Fabless Fab-lite IDM For Sale? JV For Sale? IPO? IPO?
  • 7. 7©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e 2018e 2019e 2020e Industrial/Space/Defence 235 301 199 224 462 259 277 307 338 372 424 485 Security 36 49 62 84 109 140 175 211 250 286 321 353 Medical 12 14 21 22 25 29 34 39 46 55 63 71 Automotive - - 28 51 71 119 212 330 465 569 668 800 Computing 284 291 449 773 1,125 1,219 1,292 1,433 1,442 1,415 1,377 1,310 Consumer 711 874 1,250 1,558 1,511 1,645 1,680 1,675 1,673 1,699 1,768 1,899 Mobile 3,008 3,621 3,785 4,196 4,712 5,460 6,264 7,087 8,017 9,099 10,178 11,339 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Revenue(M$) 2009-2020 CIS revenue forecast (in $M) by market CIS REVENUE FORECAST 2014-2020 by market (in $M) Revenue has reached $8.9B in 2014 Growth is expected at 10.6% CAGR Yole Développement © January 2015 CAGR 2014-2020 TOTAL yoy Growth • Revenues are dominated by mobile, consumer and computing which represent 91%. of all CIS revenues in 2014. • Mobile alone represent 60%. • From 2014 to 2020, global revenue growth will remain at ~10.6% CAGR. 4,286 5,150 5,794 6,910 8,016 8,871 9,934 11,081 12,232 13,495 14,799 16,258 20% 13% 19% 16% 11% 12% 12% 10% 10% 10% 10%
  • 8. 8©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry CIS MARKET ANALYSIS 2014-2020 Market breakdown Main player market share analysis Market breakdown analysis in specific application segments
  • 9. 9©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry MOBILE MARKET TREND Smartphone thickness vs. camera module specification Smartphone tend to be less thick Camera modules size is the limiting factor Galaxy S2 8Mp 1.4µm 8.5x8.5x6.0 Lumia 920 8.7Mp 1.4µm 12.5x12.5x6.0 Iphone 4S 8Mp 1.4µm 8.4x8.4x6.0 mm OIS Iphone 6 8Mp 1.5µm 10.6x9.3x5.8 Yole Développement © January 2015 Cybershot S006 16Mp 1.12µm 9.5x9..5x8.0 Courtesy of System Plus OIS is the new key feature of smartphone cameras • Some players have switched to 1.1µm pixels to increase resolution, Apple increased pixel size to 1.5µm in order to improve image quality. • There is little reduction in camera module height as most manufacturers want to increase resolution in the same time. OIS
  • 10. 10©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry MOBILE MARKET TREND Main rear camera & sub front camera roadmap The trend is is for more complexity at the system level Log Image sensor Resolution 2Mp 4Mp 8Mp 16Mp 20182010 2012 2014 2016 Sub Camera Resolution VGA-1.2Mp Pixel size 1.1µm 2020 OIS Sub Camera Resolution 5Mp Pixel size 1.1µm Sub Camera Resolution 8Mp Pixel size 1.2µm Main Cameras Resolution 8Mp Pixel size 1.4µm OIS OIS Main Cameras Resolution 8Mp-16Mp Pixel size 1.1µm- 1.5µm Main Camera Resolution 16Mp+ Pixel size 1.0-1.6µm Dual Cameras Resolution 2x 8Mp Pixel size 1.1µm+ Size constraints & Drive for better images & Features : → More pixels → Smaller modules → Image Stabilization (OIS)
  • 11. 11©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry AUTOMOTIVE MARKET TREND From feature to key enabling technology Challenging use cases are just ramping up • 360° surround view • Dash camera recorder • Rear view camera • Night vision • Cross traffic detection • FatigueWarning • Headlight control • Traffic sign recognition • Line departure warning • Blind spot detection • Collision avoidance • Pedestrian detection • Adaptive speed control • Highway line keeping 2010 2015 2020 3 to 5 years adoption rate FeatureAssistSemi-auto 7 to 10 years adoption rate 10+ years adoption rate 2025 ADAS 1 to 4 Cameras for Display 1 to 4 Cameras + Advanced image analysis
  • 12. 12©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry CMOS IMAGE SENSOR TECHNOLOGY Back side illumination (BSI) is an incremental technology in respect to FSI • Back side illuminated (BSI) sensors were initially introduced for smart phones. They asked for higher resolution with same camera module footprint (leading to pixel shrink race) than the pre-existing mobile “feature phones” that had conventional Front Side Illuminated (FSI) sensors. • BSI transition is not a disruption like the CCD to CMOS transition. As an incremental improvement over FSI it is no surprise that a key industry player like Omnivision and Sony were instrumental in bringing this technology to market. The iPhone 4 launch in 2010 was the key turning point for massive BSI adoption. • BSI technology is now following the same path as basic FSI CIS. As performance improvements get valorised in higher end markets, we can easily forecast a brilliant future of BSI in most market segments. BSI also started in low end markets and is moving up
  • 13. 13©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry  Backside illumination will enable ~ 100% fill- factor! Front-Side illuminated (FSI) MAIN TECHNOLOGY TRENDS IN CIS From FSI to BSI to 3D stacked BSI – pixel level 3D stacked technology is the logical next step in respect to BSI 3D Stacked BSI Silicon Bulk Silicon Bulk Backside illuminated (BSI) Bonding Interface Silicon Bulk Upper Wafer Lower Wafer • Conventional BSI is adding a silicon wafer essentially as a mechanical support. • 3D stacked technology is using a processed wafer with digital circuits supplementing the upper CIS array.
  • 14. 14©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry  Backside illumination will enable ~ 100% fill- factor! MAIN TECHNOLOGY TRENDS IN CIS The 3D Stacked BSI could use hybrid bonding in a short future TSV is the current interconnection technology 3D Stacked BSI Silicon Bulk TSVTSV  Backside illumination will enable ~ 100% fill- factor! 3D Hybrid BSI Silicon Bulk Interco upper to lower wafer Interco upper to lower wafer Connection within pixels become possible • The key technology step for 3D stack BSI is the interconnection of the upper and lower part of the circuit. • Currently TSV is the main technology to connect 3D stacked wafers. • Cu-Cu hybrid bonding should be the next step • Hybrid bonding could open the way to in pixel connections
  • 15. 15©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry ABOUT THE AUTORS OF THIS REPORT Biography & contact Pierre Cambou In 1999 Pierre Cambou joined the imaging industry. He had earned an Engineering degree from Université de Technologie de Compiègne in parallel to a Master of Science from Virginia Tech in 1998. More recently he graduated from Grenoble Ecole de Management’s MBA. Pierre took several positions at Thomson TCS which became Atmel Grenoble in 2001 and e2v Semiconductors in 2006. In 2012 he founded the start-up Vence Innovation (now called Irlynx) in order to bring to market a disruptive Man to Machine interaction technology. He joined Yole Développement as Imaging Activity Leader in 2014. Contact: cambou@yole.fr Jean-Luc Jaffard From 1966 Jean-Luc Jaffard paved the way of imaging activity at STMicroelectronics being at the forefront of the emergence and growth of this business. At STMicroelectronics Imaging Division he was successively appointed Research Development and Innovation Director managing a large multidisciplinary and multicultural team and later on promoted Deputy General Manager and Advanced Technology Director in charge of identifying and developing breakthrough Imaging Technologies and to transform them into innovative and profitable products. In 2010 he was appointed STMicroelectronics Intellectual Property Business Unit Director. In January 2014 he created the Technology and Innovation branch of Red Belt Conseil.
  • 17. 17©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry MEMS & Sensors LED / OLED Compound Semi. Imaging Photonics MedTech Manufacturing Advanced Packaging PV Power Electronics FIELDS OF EXPERTISE Yole Développement’s 30 analysts operate in the following areas
  • 18. 18©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry 4 BUSINESS MODELS o Consulting and Analysis • Market data & research, marketing analysis • Technology analysis • Strategy consulting • Reverse engineering & costing • Patent analysis www.yole.fr o Reports • Market &Technology reports • Patent Investigation and patent infringement risk analysis • Teardowns & Reverse Costing Analysis • Cost SimulationTool www.i-Micronews.com/reports o Financial services • M&A (buying and selling) • Due diligence • Fundraising • Maturation of companies • IP portfolio management & optimization www.yolefinance.com Blu Morpho o Media • i-Micronews.com website • @Micronews e-newsletter • Technology magazines • Communication & webcast services • Events www.i-Micronews.com
  • 19. 19©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy consulting www.yole.fr M&A operations Due diligences www.yolefinance.com Fundraising Maturation of companies IP portfolio management & optimization TBA Manufacturing costs analysis Teardown and reverse engineering Cost simulation tools www.systemplus.fr IP analysis Patent assessment www.knowmade.fr Blu Morpho
  • 20. 20©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry OUR GLOBAL ACTIVITY Yole Japan Yole Inc. Yole Korea 40% of our business is in EU countries 30% of our business is in North America 30% of our business is in Asia Blu Morpho
  • 21. 21©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry RESEARCH PRODUCTS - CONTENT COMPARISON Custom analysis scope is defined with you to meet your information and budget needs Breadth of the analysis Depthoftheanalysis Custom Analysis Workshops Standard Reports
  • 22. 22©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry SERVING THE ENTIRE SUPPLY CHAIN Our analysts provide market analysis, technology evaluation, and business plan along the entire supply chain Integrators and end-users Device makers Suppliers: material, equipment, OSAT, foundries… Financial investors, R&D centers
  • 23. 23©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry SERVING MULTIPLE INDUSTRIAL FIELDS We are working accross multiples industries to understand the impact of More-than- Moore technologies from device to system From A to Z… Transportation makers Mobile phone and consumer electronics Automotive Medical systems Industrial and defense Energy
  • 24. 24©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry REPORTS COLLECTION o Yole Développement publishes a comprehensive collection of market & technology reports and patent analysis in: • MEMS & Sensors • Imaging • Medical technologies (MedTech) • Advanced packaging • Power electronics • Compound semiconductors • OLED, LED & Laser diode • Semiconductor Manufacturing • Photovoltaics • Batteries o Our reports are unmatched in quality and technology depth and typically include: • Technology trends and evolution: costs, barriers, roadmaps, etc. • Supply & value chain analysis: business models, relationships, value flows, etc. • In-depth analysis of applications and market drivers: challenges, inflection points, etc. • Market data ($, units, wafer starts, etc.) o Every year, Yole Développement, System Plus Consulting and Knowmade publish +60 reports. o Take the full benefit from our Bundle and Annual Subscription offers. www.i-Micronews.com
  • 25. 25©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry OUR 2015 REPORTS PLANNING MARKET &TECHNOLOGY REPORTS byYole Développement o MEMS & SENSORS − Sensors and Data Management for Autonomous Vehicles − AlN Thin Film Markets And Applications − Sensors for Wearable Electronics And Mobile Healthcare − Status of the MEMS Industry − Uncooled IR Imagers − IR Detectors − High End Gyro, Accelerometers and IMU − Non-Volatile Memory o IMAGING & OPTOELECTRONICS − Camera Module Packaging (Vol 1 : Market & Technology Trends / Vol 2 Teardowns & Reverse Engineering) − Uncooled IR Imagers − Wafer Level Optics − Status of the CMOS Image Sensors − Machine Vision o MEDTECH − Microfluidic for Sample Preparation − Microfluidic Applications − Sensors for Wearable Electronics And Mobile Healthcare o COMPOUND SEMICONDUCTORS − High Purity Alumina (HPA) − Sapphire − Wide Bandgap Materials For Power Electronics: SiC, GaN (and also Ga2O3, AlN, Diamond, Graphene… as a trend) * Reports to be decided within 2015 o LED − LED Module − OLED for Lighting − UV LED − LED Phosphors Market o POWER ELECTRONICS − Power Packaging − Thermal Management for LED and Power − Power Electronics for Renewable Energy − Energy Management For Smart Grid And Smart Cities − Status of Chinese Power Electronics Industry − New Technologies For Data Center − Inverter Market Trends For 2013 – 2020 And Major Technology Changes* − IGBT Markets And Application Trends − Power Electronics for HEV/EV* − Status of Power Electronics Industry o ADVANCED PACKAGING − Advanced Packaging in Emerging Markets in China − Status of the Advanced Packaging Industry − Supply Chain Readiness for Panel Manufacturing in Packaging − WLCSP* − Flip Chip Business Update − 2.5D & 3DIC Business Update − Fan-Out and Embedded Business Update o MANUFACTURING − Lithography for MEMS, Advanced Packaging and LED − Thinning & Dicing Equipment for Advanced Packaging, MEMS, Photovoltaics, LED, CMOS Image Sensors − Non-Volatile Memory
  • 26. 26©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry OUR 2015 REPORTS PLANNING PATENT ANALYSIS by Knowmade o Patent Infringement (crossed analysis based on Knowmade and System Plus Analysis expertise) − MEMS Microphone Applications − Infrared Imaging o Patent Investigation (crossed analysis based on Knowmade &Yole Développement expertise) − Power GaN − MEMS Gyroscope − 6-axis & 9-axis Inertial MEMS IMUs − Microbatteries − Embedded Active & Passive Packages − Interposer − Phosphors for LED TEARDOWN & REVERSE COSTING by System Plus Consulting More than 30 teardowns and reverse costing analysis and cost simulation tools to be published in 2015. * Reports to be decided within 2015
  • 27. 27©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry OUR 2014 PUBLISHED REPORTS LIST MARKET &TECHNOLOGY REPORTS byYole Développement o MEMS & SENSORS − Technologies & Sensors for the Internet of Things: Businesses & Market Trends 2014-2024 − MEMS Microphone: Market, Applications and Business Trends 2014 − Status of the MEMS industry − MEMS & Sensors for Mobile Phones and Tablets − High End Gyroscopes and Accelerometer Applications − Inertial MEMS Manufacturing Technical Trends − New Detection Principles & Technical Evolution for MEMS & NEMS − 6/9 DOF Applications in Consumer Electronics − MEMS for RF filters and Antena Switches - BAW / SAW o IMAGING & OPTOELECTRONICS − Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry − Uncooled Infrared Imaging Technology & Market Trends − Silicon Photonics o MEDTECH − Point of Care Testing: Applications for Microfluidic Technologies − Solid State Medical Imaging: X-ray and Endoscopy o COMPOUND SEMICONDUCTORS − RF GaN Technology & Market Analysis: Applications, Players, Devices & Substrates 2010- 2020 − SiC Modules, Devices and Substrates for Power Electronics Market − GaN-on-Si Substrate Technology and Market for LED and Power Electronics − Power GaN Market − Graphene Materials for Opto & Electronic Applications − Sapphire Applications and Market: from LED to Consumer Electronics o LED − LED Packaging − LED Front-End Manufacturing Trends − LED Front-End Equipment Market o POWER ELECTRONICS − Power Electronics for HEV/EV − Inverters − Gate Driver Unit Market for Power Transistors o PHOTOVOLTAICS − Emerging and Innovative Technology Approaches in the Solar Industry o ADVANCED PACKAGING − 3DIC Equipment and Materials − 3DIC & 2.5D TSV Interconnect for Advanced Packaging - 2014 Business Update o MANUFACTURING − Market & Technology Trends in Materials & Equipment for Printed & Flexible Electronics − Permanent Wafer Bonding for Semiconductor: Application Trends & Technology PATENT ANALYSIS by Knowmade − LED Based on Nano-wires Patent Investigation − GaN on Si Patent Investigation (LED, Power devices and RF Devices) − New MEMS Devices Patent Investigation − Non Volatile Memory Patent Investigation TEARDOWN & REVERSE COSTING by System Plus Consulting More than 30 teardowns and reverse costing analysis and cost simulation tools to be published in 2014.
  • 28. 28©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry MICRONEWS MEDIA o About Micronews Media Micronews Media, powered by Yole Développement, ensures you the best visibility in the disruptive semiconductor community. With our services, we help you to reach your customers worldwide with the media products they prefer, including our website, e-newsletter, webcasts, and magazines. Invest in a high added- value editorial program and get access to Yole Développement’s network (48 000+ contacts). o Five supports and channels for your visibility • A technology magazine to highlight your visibility with advertisements, company profiles, product descriptions and white papers • A webcast to highlight your expertise and develop your business identifying commercial leads • Articles, advertisements & logo and banners dedicated to your company, its products and expertise in @Micronews e- newsletter and on i-Micronews.com Focused community Identified contacts Large community Mass contacts
  • 29. 29©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry COMMUNICATION SERVICES All services listed below are available on–demand. o i-Micronews.com, the website Slider – Banners (on English or Japanese websites) – Articles – Logo and profile as sponsor o @Micronews, the e-newsletter Headline article - Tiles o Custom webcast Develop your dedicated event with a high added-value program. A turnkey event withYole support (logistics, promotion, data…) o Technology Magazines: Custom – Co-produced Increase your visibility through a dedicated technology magazine with ads, company profile, product descriptions and white papers. It can be a custom magazine: your company is the only one to benefit from it – or a co-produced one: up to 2 companies. Contacts: Camille Veyrier (veyrier@yole.fr) and Clotilde Fabre (fabre@yole.fr), Media & Communication Coordinators.
  • 30. 30©2015 | www.yole.fr | Status of the CMOS image sensor industry CONTACT INFORMATION o Consulting and Specific Analysis • North America: Steve LaFerriere, Director of Northern America Business Development,Yole Inc. Email: laferriere@yole.fr • Japan:Yutaka Katano, General Manager,Yole Japan & President,Yole K.K. Email: katano@yole.fr • RoW: Jean-Christophe Eloy, President & CEO,Yole Développement Email: eloy@yole.fr o Report business • North America: Steve LaFerriere, Director of Northern America Business Development,Yole Inc. Email: laferriere@yole.fr • Europe: Fayçal El Khamassi, Headquarter Sales Coordination & Customer Service Email: khamassi@yole.fr • Japan & Asia:Takashi Onozawa, Sales Asia & General Manager,Yole K.K. Email: onozawa@yole.fr • Korea: HaileyYang, Business Development Manager, Korean Office Email: yang@yole.fr o Financial services • Jean-Christophe Eloy, CEO & President Email: eloy@yole.fr o General • Email: info@yole.fr Follow us on