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Transformation
The Future of Alternative Investments

F I N A N C I A L S E RV I C E S
Acknowledgements
This report, produced by KPMG International in cooperation with International
Fund Investment, examines in detail the transformational change of the alternative
investment industry as it enters a period of significant growth, set against scrutiny
from regulators and institutional investors. It investigates how, in light of significant
market volatility and regulatory uncertainty, alternative investment managers,
institutional investors and administrators are adapting their business models to
maximize chances of success.
Our foremost thanks go to 200 organizations from 26 countries who participated in
this research.
We would also like to offer our special thanks to those 85 CEOs, CIOs and Board level
Directors who participated in our structured interviews. Their insights and foresights
have helped produce a comprehensive vision of the future of alternative investments.
We would also like to thank the members of the project team, editorial board, and
other colleagues around the world who have helped us in carrying out this research, in
particular: Marie Parker from KPMG in the Cayman Islands, Mireille Voysest and Una
Clarke from KPMG in the UK, Cara Scarpino from KPMG in the US, and Simon Osborn
and Rebecca Gooch from International Fund Investment.


Anthony Cowell                         		           Andrew Stepaniuk
Partner             				                            Partner
KPMG’s Investment 		                                KPMG’s Investment
Management Practice		                               Management Practice




Project Team						
Chaired by Anthony Cowell, KPMG in the Cayman Islands
Giles Drury, KPMG in the UK
Mikael Johnson, KPMG in the US
Jon Mills, KPMG in the UK
Andrew Stepaniuk, KPMG in the Cayman Islands
Simon Whicker, KPMG in the Cayman Islands


KPMG Editorial Board*
Chaired by Wanda Mellaneo
Kris Beighton                                       Grant Green
Keith Blake                                         Mark Harris                            			
Tully Cornick                                       Tanis McDonald**
                                                    Gordon Rajamohan
*KPMG in the Cayman Islands
**KPMG in the BVI




Additional Contributions
Leah Dering-Ridley, KPMG in the UK
Tim Fundell, KPMG in the UK
Nicholas Griffin, KPMG in the UK
David Yim, KPMG in the UK

© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
Contents
                                                               About this research	                                                                                           1
                                                               Headline messages	                                                                                              2	
                                                               Executive summary	                                                                                              4	
                                                               Alternative Investment managers 	                                                                              16
                                                               Administrators		                                                                                               26
                                                               Institutional investors	                                                                                       36




© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
About this
research
Transformation: The Future of Alternative Investments
explores the ways in which the alternative investment
industry is adapting and evolving.

Up until late 2007 the industry had largely enjoyed uninterrupted growth. From
                    ,
2007 to 2009 a series of dramatic market events coupled with poor performance,                                                    Location of participants:
exacerbated in a number of cases by operational shortcomings, resulted in an overall                                              Australia
loss of confidence in the sector. Since early 2009, the industry’s fortunes have                                                  Austria
improved considerably. The credit crisis is receding into the background. Managers are                                            Bahamas
refining business models and focus; institutional investors are reviewing allocations                                             Belgium
                                                                                                                                  Bermuda
and operational requirements; administrators are eyeing technology and the labor
                                                                                                                                  Brazil
pool; and the industry as a whole is preparing for the anticipated impact of increased
                                                                                                                                  British Virgin Islands
regulation. What is clear is that the structure of the industry ahead will be vastly
                                                                                                                                  Canada
different than it is today.                                                                                                       Cayman Islands
Written in cooperation with International Fund Investment, this report is based on                                                China
surveys and structured interviews conducted globally between February and June                                                    Curacao
                                                                                                                                  Denmark
2010. The study has benefited from the participation of 200 respondents across
                                                                                                                                  France
26 countries, and includes: alternative investment managers with US$515 billion
                                                                                                                                  Guernsey
under management; administrators with US$4.2 trillion under administration; and,
                                                                                                                                  Ireland
institutional investors with US$884 billion under management. In addition to the                                                  Jersey
above groups, interviews were also conducted with lawyers and independent                                                         Korea
directors.                                                                                                                        Luxembourg
                                                                                                                                  Malta
References within the report to alternative investment managers are based on a
                                                                                                                                  Netherlands
sample of respondents that invest in either (or a combination of) hedge funds, private
                                                                                                                                  South Africa
equity, real estate, infrastructure and structured products, although the main focus
                                                                                                                                  Sweden
has been on the hedge fund sector.                                                                                                Switzerland
                                                                                                                                  United Kingdom
                                                                                                                                  United Arab Emirates
                                                                                                                                  United States




The information reflected in the graphs and charts was obtained by KPMG International Cooperative and
International Fund Investment during both the structured interview stage and questionnaire stage. The
anonymous interview quotes throughout this document were obtained during the interview stage of the
research project. Please note that with the graphs illustrated, not all answers add up to 100 percent because
of rounding or because respondents were able to provide multiple answers to some questions.


                                                                                                                                       The Future of Alternative Investments 
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
Headline
messages
The following headlines represent the views expressed
from each of the three main groups of participants
involved in our research: alternative investment managers,
administrators and institutional investors. Their insights are
developed as 10 key themes in the rest of this executive
summary, and further in sections 2, 3 and 4. Together, they
provide a detailed analysis of the future of the alternative
investment industry as it faces unprecedented change.

•      The majority of institutional investors intend to increase their allocations to
       alternative investments in the next 3 years. As a result, they will have a far
       greater influence over the shape of the industry in the future.

•      Anticipated regulation, driven by external forces that continue to blame alternative
       investments for the meltdown of the global financial system, is not wanted by the
       majority of investors, managers or service providers. The widely held view is that
       the industry did not cause or contribute to the credit crisis. Furthermore, investors
       believe more regulation will not produce any tangible benefits.

•      Managers and administrators believe that regulation and governance are the
       most important challenges facing the alternative investment industry over the
       next 3 years.

•      There will be four different manager business models that will come to
       dominate the industry in future. In addition to ‘niche’ boutique managers and
       the ‘super-boutiques’ (independent managers moving on to become multi-billion
       dollar players) there will be further and significant development of managed
       account platforms as well as the emergence of what might be termed the
       ‘entrepreneurial-institutional’ manager.

•      Investors forecast that managed account structures will experience substantial
       growth. Whilst their benefits include improved transparency, liquidity, control
       and customized fee arrangements, managers believe that cost and operational
       complexity are some of their key shortcomings.

•      Investors want a better alignment of interests with managers. The main
       changes will likely feature longer term performance fee arrangements,
       increased capital investment from managers, and a move towards enhanced
       liquidity and transparency.




 The Future of Alternative Investments
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
•      The overwhelming majority of existing alternative investors are happy to
                                                                      continue to allocate to funds that are located in offshore jurisdictions.

                                                               •      There will be a further move towards independent administration, particularly in
                                                                      the US where many alternative investment managers administered their funds
                                                                      in-house. This will exacerbate the capacity mismatch that is developing in the
                                                                      industry. Administrators report that they are operating at near to full capacity whilst
                                                                      less than half of managers interviewed stated that they are in a similar position.

                                                               •      The ‘bifurcation’ of the alternative investment industry is continuing. Newer
                                                                      institutional investors into alternatives are more likely to be attracted to
                                                                      managers promoting funds with greater liquidity and transparency than
                                                                      experienced, longer term institutional allocators.

                                                               •      Levels of investor satisfaction with alternative allocations are correlated to the
                                                                      length of time that they have been active in allocating to alternatives because of
                                                                      their detailed understanding of the industry. Investors with the most experience
                                                                      of this activity tend to be the most satisfied with their allocations.

                                                               •      There is little to no consensus amongst investors on the route to take to allocate
                                                                      to hedge funds. The popularity of fund of funds is in decline but there is no
                                                                      obvious replacement for most investors. As a result the well known billion dollar
                                                                      fund of funds will prosper but there is also likely to be significant consolidation
                                                                      amongst the smaller players.

                                                               •      Manager fee structures are expected to be less uniform in the future, as
                                                                      institutional investors negotiate more local agreements.

                                                               •      Barriers to entry from regulation and institutionalization will impact the rate of
                                                                      new start-ups. Moreover, managers with assets of less than US$100m will find
                                                                      it increasingly challenging to run a long term business as a result of increased
                                                                      costs from regulation.

                                                               •      Fund servicing related issues are growing in importance. Investors now take
                                                                      fund servicing very seriously and a number of managers report that events over
                                                                      the last 18 months have had a dramatic effect upon the type of firms that they
                                                                      would want to hire as service providers.

                                                               •      The fallout from the credit crisis and events such as Madoff have led to
                                                                      substantially increased levels of due diligence across investment management,
                                                                      particularly from institutional investors.




                                                                                                                                       The Future of Alternative Investments 
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
Executive
Summary
“Twas the best of times, ‘twas the worst of times.
‘Twas the age of wisdom, ‘twas the age of foolishness”
Charles Dickens




                                                               The era of transformation
                                                               One of the constants in the alternative investment industry is the presence of
 “For a brief moment, the industry
                                                               change. From its origins to expansion in the 1990s and through the explosive growth
 had a heart attack. It’s now being
                                                               of the 2000s, the one thing that the industry could count on was continued change.
 resuscitated”
                                                               However, in reality, the basic structures of the alternative investment business were
                                                               not very different in 2007 than they were in 1997 The industry was a great deal
                                                                                                                   .
                                                               larger but practices and structures remained largely unaltered. Investors considering
                                                               alternatives, including the world’s largest institutions, had to do so on the manager’s
                                                               terms, not their own.

                                                               Those days are now over. The industry is going through a period of transformational
                                                               adjustment to a very different and more regulated operating environment. The
                                                               majority of institutional investors included in the survey intend to increase their
                                                               allocations to alternative investments in the next 3 years, with some intending to
                                                               allocate over 10% of their total assets. As a result, these investors will have a far
                                                               greater influence over the shape and culture of the industry in the future - they will
                                                               demand institutional grade controls, increased transparency and flexible product
                                                               strategies in order to invest their capital. In addition to the credit crisis, events such
 “Headline risk scares us out of                               as Madoff, whilst not a hedge fund, highlighted the need for a robust due diligence
 our minds”                                                    process. The influx of more institutional capital into alternatives will result in further
                                                               substantial growth of the well known, billion-dollar managers.

                                                               The desire for more transparency and liquidity is the main driver behind the recent
                                                               growth in new product structures in hedge funds, including managed accounts and
                                                               managed account platforms as well as onshore regulated products. Managers are
                                                               being forced to make adjustments to the new environment, whether they like it or
 “Transparency, liquidity and
                                                               not (and some emphatically do not). For many of them, the frustration of having to
 understanding risk are paramount;
 everything else is a bonus”                                   review internal procedures and systems, consider different domiciliation options,
                                                               gear up for more regulation and so forth has a pay off. They believe that this painful
                                                               and expensive process will enable them to attract many more and different types of
                                                               investors to their funds.




 The Future of Alternative Investments
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
What do you believe are the major challenges facing the alternative investment
   industry over the next 3 years?


                                                                                              75%                                “We always want to see alignment
  Regulation and governance                                                             67%                                      of interests. If the manager isn’t
                                                                                                                   97%           prepared to lose his shirt then we’re
                                                                                    63%                                          not in the business of investing”
     Investment performance                                            44%
                                                                             56%

                                                                             55%
                   Transparency                                                                  78%
                                                                             56%

                                                                             55%
                   Liquidity risk                               33%
                                             13%

                                                                       43%
     Downward fee pressure                                      33%
                                                                 34%

                                                                 35%
             Operational risks                                         44%
                                                          28%

                                                      25%
                       Taxation
                                                            31%

                                                    20%                                          Managers
                   Systemic risk                                                                 Insitutional Investors
                                        6%
                                                                                                 Administrators
                                             13%
            Shortage of talent
                                             13%                                                                                 “Growth will be phenomenal, unless
                                                                                                                                 regulation stifles it”
                                    0          20                 40           60               80                 100
% of respondents




The paradox of regulation
The results of this survey show that the anticipated increase in regulation is not
wanted by the majority of investors, managers or service providers. Despite
regulation being widely promoted as a way to protect the investor, it is these investors
who are most strongly against it. Few investors believe it will produce any tangible
benefits. Some see it as being protectionist to certain jurisdictions and therefore
detrimental to the development of the global alternative investment industry whilst
others fear that it will inhibit the competitive positioning of investment managers
                                                                                                                                 “The halcyon days are back – we want
by adding to costs. As a result, many investors in Europe believe it will reduce the
                                                                                                                                 star performance and star treatment!”
number of new start-ups, thereby stalling the industry’s engine of creativity – the
production line of boutiques that provide vitality and talent in the future.




                                                                                                                                       The Future of Alternative Investments 
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
What do you think will be the impact of forthcoming regulations in the below
                                                                   regions on worldwide growth of alternative investments?


 “Fear and greed motivate managers -
 both in equal proportions”
                                                                                      Managers          13%                       51%                                       36%


                                                               Asia               Administrators        10%                           61%                                        29%


                                                                                     I. Investors       11%                                 78%                                             11%


                                                                                      Managers                      44%                                   38%                          18%

                                                               North                                          32%                           35%                                 33%
                                                                                  Administrators
                                                               America

                                                                                     I. Investors                               67%                                       22%               11%


                                                                                      Managers                              64%                                     18%                18%


                                                               Europe             Administrators                                 72%                                  6%              22%


                                                                                     I. Investors                         56%                                       33%                     11%


                                                                                                    0           20                     40               60                 80                     100



                                                                                                                                                  Positive Impact    Neutral      Negative Impact
                                                               % of respondents




                                                               Nevertheless, the universal view is that further regulation is on the way. Investors,
 “Independent directors are the
                                                               managers and service providers take a fatalistic approach to this subject. It is viewed
 panacea for the industry. Too much
                                                               as an inevitable consequence of the recent well publicized scandals affecting the
 self interest is a bad thing”
                                                               industry, combined with the dramatic market volatility in recent months. Furthermore,
                                                               numerous respondents made the point that alternative investments were in no
                                                               way responsible for the market crisis. Indeed they were often victims themselves.
                                                               Nonetheless, managers recognise that they cannot escape from the increase in
 “All the talk of extra regulation is                          financial regulatory supervision occurring around the world.
 creating insecurity amongst investors”                        Regulation is coming to the alternative asset management industry on both sides of
                                                               the Atlantic. The impact of various US regulatory and legislature initiatives, including
                                                               the so called ‘Volcker’ rule, which proposes a ban on proprietary trading by banks,
                                                               will likely be considerable for the alternative investment industry, as talent migrates
                                                               towards boutiques. In Europe, the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive
  “Making money is obvious; telling
                                                               (the “AIFM Directive”) is closer to finalization. The European Parliament’s Committee
  everyone how you’re going to do it is
  the challenge”                                               for Monetary and Economic Affairs recently voted for the draft directive and the EU
                                                               council’s group of finance ministers followed suit on its version of the text.




 The Future of Alternative Investments
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reser ved.
A new breed of manager and what it means for the industry
                                                               As the alternative investment industry expands and matures so it continues to add
 “This is going to be a really critical
                                                               variety to its manager models. The business started as a fragmented collection
 year for a lot of managers... 2010 is
                                                               of niche boutiques. As the industry developed, a number of these managers then
 the right time for them to prove
                                                               became ‘super-boutiques’ - investing institutions in their own right. For many years,
 their worth”
                                                               the industry was characterized as being divided between these multi-billion dollar
                                                               ‘super-boutiques’ and numerous smaller ‘niche’ boutiques.


   Forces pushing and pulling the Alternative Investment industry between boutique and institutional

   Timeline

       1990                                                                                       2010
                                                   Super                                          Entrepreneurial-                                       Pure
   Boutique                                        Boutique                                       institutional                                          institutional

   • Owner/Manager led                                                                                                                                   •   Partners/shareholders
   • Performance and innovation                                                                                                                          •   Asset gathering
   • Creativity                                                                                                                                          •   Standardization
   • Flexibility                                                                                  The                                                    •   Processes and rules
   • Lifestyle                                                                                Alternative                                                •   Diversification
   • Infrastructural                                                                                                                                     •   Strong governance/
     constraints                                                                              Investment                                                     control
   • Low staff numbers and/or                                                                   Industry                                                 •   Regulation e.g.
     staff retention                                                                                                                                         EU AIFM Directive
   • Regulation                                                                                                                                          •   Transparency
     e.g. ‘Volcker’ rule                                                                                                                                 •   Liquidity
   • Small service providers                                                                                                                             •   Brand name
                                                                                                                                                             service providers




                                                               Two other types of structures have come into the business to challenge the boutique
                                                               model. In addition to the next generation of niche boutique managers and the ‘super-
                                                               boutiques’, there will be further and significant development of managed account
                                                               platforms as well as the emergence of what might be termed the ‘entrepreneurial-
                                                               institutional’ manager.

                                                               ‘Entrepreneurial-institutional’ managers started out as smaller alternative
 “Administrators had to step up their                          investment managers but have since diversified their businesses into mainstream
 game, and they have done”
                                                               fund management, as well as other complementary investment activities such as
                                                               financing, private placements, proprietary trading, restructuring, and structured
                                                               products. This development will have consequences for the entire financial world, not
                                                               just alternative asset management. ‘Entrepreneurial-institutional’ managers will be
                                                               able to outflank competitors by offering allocators a range of investment opportunities
                                                               covering other alternative, and perhaps even mainstream, asset classes. Their controls
  “Blow ups happen because no-one                              and processes are likely to be institutional grade, yet they retain their creativity and
  understands the strategy”                                    focus on alpha, rather than asset gathering.




                                                                                                                                       The Future of Alternative Investments 
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
The rise of the ‘entrepreneurial institutional’ manager does not, however, signal an
                                                                            end to the boutique – far from it. As the industry institutionalizes, through increased
                                                                            bureaucracy, formalization and rigidity, the allure of reward, creativity and freedom
      “Three years ago, investors were                                      will continue to attract talent to the niche end of the industry. Hence, the number
      looking for a hot manager; now                                        of boutiques will thrive. Furthermore, their numbers may be impacted considerably
      the focus is on more established                                      by the proposed ‘Volcker’ rule in the US, as proprietary traders are forced out of
      managers with proven track records”                                   the mainstream to set up their own firms. Nonetheless, if they are successful in
                                                                            their diversification strategy, whilst maintaining healthy performance in their core
                                                                            funds, the coming breed of ‘entrepreneurial-institutional’ managers will likely attract
                                                                            a large proportion of institutional capital – the boutiques may be able to compete on
                                                                            numbers, but not on asset size.

 The Matrix: Growth and Transformation

                               US$5 billion +                                     US$5-20 billion +                                 US$20 billion +
                               • Global investment management capability                                                            • Strong risk-governance arrangements
                                 (US, Asia, EU)                                                                                       (comprising 3 lines of defence, multiple
                                                                                                                                      governance committees with integrated risk/
                                                                                                                                      control framework and non-exec directors)
               Global




                                                                                                                                    • Formalized risk/control arrangements (high
                                                                                                                                      degree of discipline and formalized control
                                                                                                                                      evidence); and strong compliance culture
                                                                                                                                    • High focus on assurance agenda – SAS70/AAF/
                                                                                                                                      GIPS/HFSB
                                                                                                                                    • High degree of transparency
                                                                                                                                    • Regulator “relationship-managed”
                                          Super Boutique
                               US$1 billion +                                     US$3 billion +                                    US$10 billion +
                               • International sales reps (US, Asia, EU…)         • More formalized risk-governance arrangements
                                                                                    (Board/Executive Committees)
                                                                                  • Moderate adoption of investor assurance
Global Reach
               International




                                                                                    agenda e.g. SAS70 or GIPS
                                                                                  • Greater degree of process/control discipline
                                                                                  • Moderate interaction with regulatory bodies



                                                                                                                    Entrepreneurial
                                                                                                                     Institutional
                                                                                                                       Manager
                               US$100 million +                                   US$1 billion +                                    US$5 billion +
                               • Entrepreneurial, craft orientated                • Multiple funds / managed accounts               • Multiple product ranges (Hedge funds, absolute
                               • One main fund                                    • Multiple strategies                               return strategies, long only)
                               • Low degree of transparency                                                                         • Multiple distribution channels – fund of funds,
               Single Office




                               • Informal risk-governance/control arrangements                                                        managed accounts, retail, direct
                               • High degree of reliance on legal vs compliance                                                     • Performance focused, no mediocrity
                                 culture
                               • Low relationship with regulator
                                 (deemed “low risk”)

                                          Boutique


                                            Single Product                           Multiple structure / product                               Multi Channel

                                                                                          Product Breadth

  The Future of Alternative Investments
 © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
 KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
Managed accounts: great in theory, more difficult in practice
                                                               Separately managed accounts have always been a mainstay of the investment
  “There is no shortage of talent.                             management industry. Managed account platforms, however, are a relatively new
  Money supply is the biggest
                                                               phenomenon.
  challenge”
                                                               Using managed account structures as a method of investing in alternative
                                                               investments, has become considerably more attractive than fund of funds with
                                                               institutional allocators. Investors surveyed forecast that managed account structures
                                                               will experience substantial growth. (After direct investment into single manager
                                                               funds, managed accounts are predicted to see the largest increase in asset
                                                               allocations over the next 3 years.)

                                                               The control that managed accounts offer investors was mentioned by all those that
                                                               use, or intend to use, these structures. After control, liquidity (in particular avoiding
                                                               gates, lock-ups etc) and transparency were the next most popular reasons for
                                                               turning to managed accounts. As a result, managed accounts are being used almost
 “Stars are the life source of the                             systematically by large institutions when they wish to make a large allocation to a
 industry; they know what they want                            manager.
 and they know how to get it”
                                                               However, managed accounts have drawbacks. Their biggest drawback is that
                                                               they do not provide access to all managers or strategies. They are also difficult to
                                                               implement for illiquid strategies, like distressed funds, due to increased reporting
                                                               and administration demands. In addition, investors are conscious of the added costs,
                                                               resources and responsibilities that are imposed upon them. Only large institutions
                                                               have the means to employ the staff to implement and monitor a successful managed
                                                               accounts program. Other concerns included performance diminution and the fact that
                                                               they place more operational risk on the investor (and less on the manager). In addition
                                                               to complexities with implementation, capacity constraints are already emerging in
                                                               the managed account sector and investors are likely to have some difficulty finding
                                                               the managers they want via these structures. Managers interviewed complain that
 “We want respected names, known                               managed accounts are taking up too much of their time and resources. They are
 to investors, on the prospectus”                              concerned that their own fund investors must come first. Some managers have
                                                               declined to take on managed accounts and others are imposing limits.

                                                               Imposing limits on managed accounts could become a badge of honour with
                                                               successful, well known managers in the future. Pre market crisis, finding capacity
                                                               with such well regarded managers, those that were often technically closed, was
                                                               a concern for large investors. Post crisis, a variation of this problem could reappear
                                                               within the managed account universe. Hence, direct investment into alternative
                                                               investments is forecast by investors to increase more quickly than investment via
                                                               managed accounts over the next three years.



                                                                                                                                       The Future of Alternative Investments 
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
Twin track alternative fund domiciliation
The alternative investment industry has always been drawn to offshore jurisdictions.
They have grown up together. These domiciles are ideal locations both for their
original core investors – the high net worth crowd – and managers. Locations
offering regulation where it is quick, flexible and inexpensive to launch funds are
what alternative managers want. However, a combination of increased investor
nervousness, and the evolving regulatory environment have led managers to
question whether they should continue to domicile their funds offshore or re-
domicile onshore. Some managers have taken the step of re-domiciling onshore.                                                    “The credit crunch was a symptom,
Others have launched funds in onshore locations, such as Dublin, whilst keeping                                                  not a disease”
their offshore funds in operation.

Results indicate that the overwhelming majority of investors are happy to continue
to allocate to alternative funds that are located in offshore jurisdictions. There is no
evidence that the domiciliation structure of the alternative investment industry is
of concern to those that currently allocate to these products. These respondents
represent the bedrock of the industry’s investor base. Investors in this category often
view with disdain more regulated alternative fund domiciliation, which has become
something of a craze in Europe.

In addition, investors with longer tenures of investing in alternative investments tend                                          “Politics and regulation are killing
to be the least concerned with operational issues and fund domiciliation, whilst being                                           our business. We can work on our
the most sceptical that more regulation is in any way beneficial. Managers would                                                 performance, but its difficult to work
therefore be wise to maintain their offshore fund range for their bedrock investors. For                                         on politics!”
the next wave of investors, a different strategy looks likely to be beneficial to secure
such investors’ capital (at least for European allocators). They are more likely to want
onshore funds in addition to their offshore structures.

Alternative investment domiciliation is diverging. The traditional homes of the hedge
fund and private equity industries are not under significant threat. They will continue
to be the logical place to go for funds aimed at the traditional alternative investor.
However, EU domiciles are developing complementary structures to compete for
this business and appeal to the new generation of investors. How these funds fare
remains to be seen.




The growing role of the administrator
Third party, independent fund administrators find themselves in a pivotal position
as the alternative investment industry is transformed in this new era of increased
regulation, investor scrutiny and institutionalization.




10 The Future of Alternative Investments
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
What do you think are the key challenges facing the administration industry over
    the next 3 years?



                                                                                                             66%
    Continuous IT development
               and investment                                                      43%


                                                                                                             66%
         Regulatory compliance
                                                                                                           63%


                                                                                                     59%
                                                                                                                                 “Institutional investors are like royalty
          Independent valuation
           of complex securities                                                                            65%                  - they attract a lot of interest in your
                                                                                                                                 fund but they come at a price”
                                                                                              50%
      Maintaining margins as
assets under management fall                                    28%


                                                     19%
                  Developing a
         sustainable client base                                      33%
                                                                                                     Administrators
                                                                                                     Managers
                                                 16%
        Shortage of skilled staff
                                                                                 40%


                                    0   10          20         30           40           50         60           70
% of respondents




Administrators are at the center of structural changes occurring throughout the
industry. Increased standardization of administration will be the main change,
particularly with regards to reporting transparency and liquidity requirements for
investors. The anticipated increase in regulation is also forecast to have consequences                                          “Investors did not like being told they
for all industry practices, including administration. One respondent referred to the                                             couldn’t have their money back”
speed at which internal control reports (e.g. SAS70) have become standard in the
industry as an example of how quickly practices can change.

Administrators included in our survey also believe there will be significant
developments in the use of technology, in order to keep pace with increased
demands placed upon their businesses by the alternative investment industry. There
will be a requirement to accommodate an exponential increase in data demanded
from fund managers, investors and regulators. As a result, administrators will need                                              “Managers need administrators more
robust and flexible technology platforms that are capable of high volume transaction                                             than ever”
processing and customized ‘real-time’ reporting. Furthermore, for several years,
administrators have been diversifying into services that are complementary to
their core activities, such as performance attribution analysis and risk reporting
services. The new environment is likely to see an acceleration of complementary
services offered, including functions that support managers’ front and middle
office activities. In Europe, administrators have been particularly successful in
diversifying their product range to capture reporting requirements for UCITS funds.                                              “Administrators have distanced
Globally, it is significant that when asked the question, ‘Which services do you                                                 themselves from their responsibilities;
provide currently and which do you expect to grow significantly in the next 3 years?’                                            the crisis has driven them to seek
Administrators said that they expect there will be a big jump in front and middle                                                legal protection”
office services and risk management.




                                                                                                                                      The Future of Alternative Investments 11
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
However, with demand comes challenge. Despite a significant investment in
                                                               technology, the administration industry remains very labor intensive and lacks
                                                               operational leverage. There is an increasing capacity mismatch, with nearly 3 in 4
 “No matter what any manager will tell                         administrators operating at between 71-100% capacity. MA activity is therefore
 you, if the world falls apart again and                       inevitable. A number of administrators have already expanded into other areas and
 everyone runs for the doors, you’re
                                                               we are beginning to see convergence (hedge fund administrators buying into private
 not going to get your money back!”
                                                               equity for example). New firms and new product offerings are also likely to emerge to
                                                               service the operational demands of clients. If alternative inflows develop as forecast,
                                                               or anywhere near to it, administrators will face serious infrastructural challenges. This
                                                               is an issue that few have yet to address.




                                                               The bifurcation business
                                                               Bifurcation of the alternative investment industry is occurring in a number of ways. It
 “Leverage is an unpopular word                                can be seen in the growing gulf between the boutiques, those managers that have
 these days; its making it hard to raise                       stayed focused upon implementing their particular specialist investment strategy, and
 capital”                                                      a number of the multi-billion dollar managers that diversified into other areas of the
                                                               market and/or whose business models have moved beyond fund management.




12 The Future of Alternative Investments
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
There is now evidence that bifurcation is also occurring between institutional
                                                                                                                                 “You don’t send a football team onto
investors. The offshore fund industry will continue to serve the majority of those
                                                                                                                                 the field without some reserves.
currently investing in alternatives, largely sophisticated and experienced investors
                                                                                                                                 Why would we do the same here.
who remain satisfied with its structure. However, new investors into alternatives
                                                                                                                                 We’re always looking for star
are more likely than seasoned allocators to be attracted to managers promoting                                                   managers and have reserves to
funds with greater liquidity and transparency than is typical in traditional alternative                                         allocate when we find them”
structures. This has been an important part of the reason for the growth in UCITS,
or ‘Newcits’, funds in Europe. Meanwhile, much of the wealth management sector,
as well as the longest serving and most sophisticated institutional investors, remain
prepared to allocate to funds in offshore jurisdictions that are less transparent and
considerably more illiquid than alternative UCITS products. These investors are also
more understanding of industry practices such as gates, lock-ups and side-pockets,
that evolved and were subject to so much criticism during the credit crisis.

The continued establishment of onshore regulated products will fundamentally                                                     “We won’t accept lock ins anymore;
change the dynamics of the alternative investment industry. It is likely to lead to a                                            we’ll barely tolerate gates”
considerable increase in fund launches as parallel, or ‘mirror’ funds, are launched
in onshore locations that mimic established offshore funds. Established offshore
jurisdictions will continue to thrive and prosper in the new environment. There
will also be a lot of activity in locations such as Ireland, Luxembourg and Malta as
alternative UCITS become established in Europe.

The changing structures available to allocators
The way in which institutional investors currently access alternative investments                                                 Do you believe the alternative
will change in the next 3 years. At present, investors generally allocate capital to                                              investment industry will become...
alternative investments through fund of funds, managed accounts, indexed products
or direct investment. Institutional investors with the requisite resources are now

                                                                                                                                                        5%6% 6%
moving to a hybrid allocation model. A clear trend in favor of single manager funds
and managed accounts is emerging as allocations to fund of funds diminish.
                                                                                                                                              13%
Fund of funds did not have a good market crisis, say their investors. Their raison d’être
to reduce market risk through enhanced diversification failed to materialize when                                                                                      14%
it mattered most. Whilst large institutional investors favor a hybrid model of single
manager funds and managed accounts, smaller institutional investors have more
                                                                                                                                                                       49%
limited allocation options and fund of funds will remain their gateway to the industry.
                                                                                                                                          33%
A number of these investors note that larger fund of funds are proving to be adaptable                                                     74%
and innovative; some have enhanced their communication with investors and provide
a far more customer centric experience.

Fund of fund managers with assets in excess of US$5 billion have the resources to                                                                                     More
                                                                                                                                              Bifurcated between
expand into managed accounts and to diversify their offerings in other ways. In 2010                                                          large asset providers   institutional
                                                                                                                                              and small boutiques
and beyond, the best of these large, multi purpose operations are likely to continue
to expand into new areas (offering investors different structures and strategies).                                                            More boutique           Remain
                                                                                                                                              focused                 the same
Convergence and divergence across strategies and structures will drive consolidation.
Recent mergers in the hedge fund industry, including that of two well known firms
                                                                                                                               % of respondents
in the business, both with assets in excess of US$5 billion, are an example of this.
This is widely expected to lead to a further wave of MA activity. There is always
a possibility that something similar to the ‘merger mania’ that gripped the custody
industry in the 1990s could be replicated amongst today’s independent alternative
asset managers.




                                                                                                                                       The Future of Alternative Investments 13
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
The future is much bleaker for smaller fund of fund managers. For far too many, the
                                                               market crisis exposed shortcomings in their core business proposition. Unlike their
                                                               larger competitors they do not have the resources to fight back. The largest fund of
                                                               funds are diversifying and/or using their brand name to attract institutional and high
                                                               net worth investors in order to grow in different directions. But the smaller players
                                                               are unable to compete in these areas. They are struggling.

                                                               Challenge to the 2 and 20
                                                               The majority of investors interviewed do not believe that the industry’s 2 and 20 fee
 “We’ll pay performance fees for
                                                               structure is sustainable. Whilst not top of their list of priorities for industry reform,
 performance but we don’t like
                                                               fee reduction is still something that they want and anticipate will happen. Equally,
 a manager making money from
                                                               manager fee structures are expected to be less uniform in future.
 management fees”
                                                               Manager fee structures are under pressure because investors have much greater
                                                               negotiating power as a result of the market crisis. Added to which the industry
                                                               is being driven forward by super-sized allocators. They have always been able to
                                                               negotiate lower fees, including with many of the most sought after managers. This
                                                               was common practice even at the height of the boom. It is these institutions, with
                                                               their significant fee negotiating power, that are chiefly responsible for the recent
                                                               strength of inflows into alternative investments.

                                                               In addition, a number of the largest institutions want to see more alignment of their
                                                               interests with managers. They believe managers should make a greater effort to build
                                                               a long-term business compensation culture. For certain strategies, this may simply
                                                               require a performance hurdle feature. One institution made the point that they are
                                                               long term investors and they want to work with managers who think, and act, like
                                                               them. There is evidence that a number of the more recent start-ups have recognized
                                                               this issue by redesigning their business models to incorporate longer term fee
                                                               structures and hurdle features.

                                                               It is believed that differences in fees will only grow in the future. The uniformity is
                                                               gone. In its place will be many more ‘local’ agreements. Some managers will be able
                                                               to charge more than 2 and 20, as has always been the case. But results from this
                                                               research suggest that with the largest institutional investors in the driving seat, most
                                                               fee negotiations will be going in the opposite direction.

                                                               Professional fund servicing is now key to investor contentment
                                                               Fund servicing related issues are becoming ever more important for investors.
 “Fund servicing issues are the most                           The growing institutionalization of the industry have made topics surrounding fund
 important business decisions that you                         servicing central to the well being of the industry. Fund servicing issues such as
 can make. 60% of the success of the                           investor demands for due diligence procedures had been growing in importance well
 fund depends upon it”                                         before Madoff, a fraud that has added impetus to this trend. That such a relatively
                                                               simple fraud could have taken place on such a large scale in a highly regulated
                                                               environment, indirectly affecting numerous investors, has profoundly shocked many
                                                               constituents across financial services.

                                                               All investors now take fund servicing very seriously. A number of managers noted
                                                               that events over the last 18 months have had an effect upon the type of firms that
 “We’re asking so many questions,                              they would want to hire as service providers. Recognized names that prospective
 we don’t have space to write the                              investors are familiar with have become more important than was the case pre crisis.
 answers”                                                      It has become essential to have organizations listed on the fund’s prospectus that
                                                               reassure investors. Service provider name recognition is becoming paramount.




14 The Future of Alternative Investments
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
What impact, if any, has the market crisis and/ or the news of recent financial
    scandals had on your operational due diligence process?




                                                                43%

        Managers                                                       49%

                           8%


                                                                                                    High Impact
                                                               41%                                                               “Hedge funds were not out of control;
                                                                                                    Low Impact                   they did not cause the crisis”
  Administrators                                                           53%
                                                                                                    No Impact
                          6%



                                                                                          67%

       I. Investors                        22%

                                11%


                      0    10         20         30       40          50         60       70         80
                                                                                                                                 “Our checklists have doubled”
% of respondents




As the industry grows its institutional investor base, managers expect that scrutiny
of their operational procedures by investors will only increase further in future.
This includes their third party service providers. Due diligence on administrators, in
particular, has become a lot more intrusive and regular. In 2009 alone, administrators
say that there was a substantial increase in investor requests for due diligence                                                 “Robust due diligence is critical –
meetings as well as detailed and regular due diligence reports. One administrator has                                            we won’t even open the door to a
noted that this type of activity has increased by 30% alone in 2009.                                                             manager without this”

The point is that the institutional investor now has far more power to shape
operational aspects of the industry, as a result of the sheer weight of its capital.
Managers surveyed say that both their existing and prospective investors and
regulators want clear and transparent operational oversight. This is now occurring.




                                                                                                                                 “High Net Worth investors have been
                                                                                                                                 hibernating for over a year now; surely
                                                                                                                                 its time they woke up”




                                                                                                                                     The Future of Alternative Investments 15
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
“Only when the tide goes out do you
      discover who’s been swimming naked”
      Warren Buffet




     Managers
                                                               This section presents the results from the survey and
                                                               structured interviews involving alternative investment
                                                               managers. Case studies with industry participants are
                                                               presented at the end of the section.

                                                               Core capacity
 “In a downturn, transparency is
 trendy, but when the industry moves                            The supply side of the alternative                                Approximately, how much of your
                                                               investment industry has changed                                    company’s core capacity is currently
 on, trends change. The return to the
                                                                                                                                  being used?
 status quo is inevitable”                                     considerably in recent years. Prior to
                                                               the credit crisis, questions were raised
                                                               regarding the availability of talented
                                                                                                                                                             6%
                                                                                                                                                            1%
                                                               managers who could generate alpha at                                                                 6%
                                                               a rate demanded by investors. Currently,                                                              21%
                                                               there is significant amount of capacity
                                                               available to manage funds, with only                                    44%                            14%
                                                               two in five managers operating at or
                                                               near full capacity.                                                                                         13%
  “Sometimes the red flags are so
                                                               Our interviews revealed evidence of
                                                               a next generation of talent migrating
                                                                                                                                              74%
  huge, you have to close your eyes
                                                               from brand name investment houses                                                            21%
  to miss them. Even then, your other
                                                               to set up new businesses. Whilst the
  senses tell you its not quite right”
                                                               industry continues to institutionalize, the
                                                               allure of reward, creativity and freedom
                                                                                                                                            10%        10-30%        31-50%
                                                               on offer from the boutique sector will
                                                               always attract alpha generators. Hence,
                                                               the number of boutiques will continue
                                                               to thrive, although in capital terms, they                                          51-70%        71-100%
                                                               will represent a far smaller proportion of                      % of respondents

                                                               the industry. The pace of change may
                                                               be impacted further by the proposed
                                                               ‘Volcker’ rule in the US, as proprietary
                                                               traders are forced out of the mainstream.

                                                               The future choice for investors looks
                                                               bright - the difficulty will be finding the
                                                               star in all the mediocrity.


16 The Future of Alternative Investments
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
Products and performance


                                                                   Which alternative investment products do you expect your clients will be attracted
                                                                   to in the next 3 years?




                                                                Single strategy hedge funds                                                                                                           59%


                                                                                  Private Equity                                                                        39%


                                                                 Multi strategy hedge funds                                                                 33%


                                                                        Fund of hedge Funds                                                          28%


                                                                         Structured products                                                       26%


                                                                                    Real Estate                                                    26%


                                                                                  Infrastructure                                             22%


                                                                       Reinsurance products                  4%


                                                                                           Other                             13%

                                                                                                   0                  10             20             30                 40           50               60
                                                               % of respondents




 “Our investors want us to do well, but
 there are plenty waiting to write about                           What returns do they expect?
 us if we fail”



                                                                      Private Equity               19%                                     50%                                19%              12%



                                                                     Multi strategy
                                                                                                                 42%                                                   58%
                                                                      hedge funds



 “I feel sorry for administrators -                                   Infrastructure                             43%                                                   57%
 they get a tough deal, but at last
 they’re being recognized as being an
 important part of the process”                                Structured products                                     50%                                       30%                     20%



                                                                    Single strategy
                                                                       hedge funds                     23%                                                 73%                                   4%



                                                                        Real Estate                                          62%                                                38%



                                                                           Fund of
                                                                                                                                    78%                                                  22%
                                                                       hedge Funds


                                                                                       0                         20                   40                   60                  80                    100


 “Investors got hurt, but time is a great
                                                                                       1-10 %          11-20 %        21-30 %      31-40 %
 healer”
                                                               % of respondents




                                                                                                                                                     The Future of Alternative Investments 17
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
As investor appetite for absolute returns                       higher risk bonds and other investments
                                                               continues to grow, over 3 in 5 managers                         such as art funds.
                                                               expect that single strategy hedge funds
                                                                                                                               Hedge fund and private equity products
                                                               will be the main route to market, with
 “When the markets are rising, who                                                                                             are preferred by managers – an indication,
                                                               the majority of them expecting returns of
 cares about hedge funds when you                                                                                              perhaps, that investors have short
 can have long only”                                           between 11-20%. This data is confirmed
                                                                                                                               memories and are willing to try again,
                                                               by investors who are increasingly
                                                                                                                               albeit under new and improved terms.
                                                               searching for direct investment
                                                               into funds.                                                     From our interviews, it is clear that the
                                                                                                                               fund of fund industry is at a crossroads.
                                                               Expectations for returns favor private
                                                                                                                               Transparency, liquidity, alignment of
                                                               equity, single strategy hedge funds
                                                                                                                               interests and customer centricity are all
                                                               and structured products, although it is
                                                                                                                               changes which the industry is making.
                                                               unlikely that we will see a significant
                                                                                                                               Many managers commented that they
 “Regulation is depressing; its costly                         increase in the latter before the next
                                                                                                                               lost sight of investors and with that the
 and will not prevent a                                        year. Whilst investors have short
                                                                                                                               trust between investor and manager
 blow up”                                                      memories, they will likely not forget
                                                                                                                               was broken. The surviving fund of fund
                                                               the term CDO (“Collateralized Debt
                                                                                                                               brand names will continue to thrive
                                                               Obligation”) in a hurry. The events
                                                                                                                               as institutional investors have limited
                                                               in recent years, however, have not
                                                                                                                               opportunities with which to access
                                                               caused the structured product industry
                                                                                                                               talent. For the smaller fund of funds,
                                                               to close, and a number of larger
                                                                                                                               there needs to be a mindset change
                                                               managers have expressed a desire
                                                                                                                               towards the investor, and improvements
                                                               to ramp up their CLO (“Collateralized
 “We didn’t lock down investors.                                                                                               in communication will be essential.
 Now we’re getting the benefit of that                         Loan Obligation”) businesses when
                                                                                                                               Nonetheless, we are likely to see
 confidence with new investments”                              the market fundamentals change. Our
                                                                                                                               stronger asset growth from managed
                                                               interviews suggest that investors are
                                                                                                                               account platforms in the next 3 years
                                                               regaining confidence in the sector and
                                                                                                                               as investors seek more control and
                                                               are beginning to search for innovative
                                                                                                                               transparency in their investments.
                                                               products, with a growing interest in




18 The Future of Alternative Investments
© 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International.
KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
Transformation future alternative_investments
Transformation future alternative_investments
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Transformation future alternative_investments
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Transformation future alternative_investments

  • 1. I N V E ST M E NT M A N AG E M E NT Transformation The Future of Alternative Investments F I N A N C I A L S E RV I C E S
  • 2. Acknowledgements This report, produced by KPMG International in cooperation with International Fund Investment, examines in detail the transformational change of the alternative investment industry as it enters a period of significant growth, set against scrutiny from regulators and institutional investors. It investigates how, in light of significant market volatility and regulatory uncertainty, alternative investment managers, institutional investors and administrators are adapting their business models to maximize chances of success. Our foremost thanks go to 200 organizations from 26 countries who participated in this research. We would also like to offer our special thanks to those 85 CEOs, CIOs and Board level Directors who participated in our structured interviews. Their insights and foresights have helped produce a comprehensive vision of the future of alternative investments. We would also like to thank the members of the project team, editorial board, and other colleagues around the world who have helped us in carrying out this research, in particular: Marie Parker from KPMG in the Cayman Islands, Mireille Voysest and Una Clarke from KPMG in the UK, Cara Scarpino from KPMG in the US, and Simon Osborn and Rebecca Gooch from International Fund Investment. Anthony Cowell Andrew Stepaniuk Partner Partner KPMG’s Investment KPMG’s Investment Management Practice Management Practice Project Team Chaired by Anthony Cowell, KPMG in the Cayman Islands Giles Drury, KPMG in the UK Mikael Johnson, KPMG in the US Jon Mills, KPMG in the UK Andrew Stepaniuk, KPMG in the Cayman Islands Simon Whicker, KPMG in the Cayman Islands KPMG Editorial Board* Chaired by Wanda Mellaneo Kris Beighton Grant Green Keith Blake Mark Harris Tully Cornick Tanis McDonald** Gordon Rajamohan *KPMG in the Cayman Islands **KPMG in the BVI Additional Contributions Leah Dering-Ridley, KPMG in the UK Tim Fundell, KPMG in the UK Nicholas Griffin, KPMG in the UK David Yim, KPMG in the UK © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 3. Contents About this research 1 Headline messages 2 Executive summary 4 Alternative Investment managers 16 Administrators 26 Institutional investors 36 © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 4. © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 5. About this research Transformation: The Future of Alternative Investments explores the ways in which the alternative investment industry is adapting and evolving. Up until late 2007 the industry had largely enjoyed uninterrupted growth. From , 2007 to 2009 a series of dramatic market events coupled with poor performance, Location of participants: exacerbated in a number of cases by operational shortcomings, resulted in an overall Australia loss of confidence in the sector. Since early 2009, the industry’s fortunes have Austria improved considerably. The credit crisis is receding into the background. Managers are Bahamas refining business models and focus; institutional investors are reviewing allocations Belgium Bermuda and operational requirements; administrators are eyeing technology and the labor Brazil pool; and the industry as a whole is preparing for the anticipated impact of increased British Virgin Islands regulation. What is clear is that the structure of the industry ahead will be vastly Canada different than it is today. Cayman Islands Written in cooperation with International Fund Investment, this report is based on China surveys and structured interviews conducted globally between February and June Curacao Denmark 2010. The study has benefited from the participation of 200 respondents across France 26 countries, and includes: alternative investment managers with US$515 billion Guernsey under management; administrators with US$4.2 trillion under administration; and, Ireland institutional investors with US$884 billion under management. In addition to the Jersey above groups, interviews were also conducted with lawyers and independent Korea directors. Luxembourg Malta References within the report to alternative investment managers are based on a Netherlands sample of respondents that invest in either (or a combination of) hedge funds, private South Africa equity, real estate, infrastructure and structured products, although the main focus Sweden has been on the hedge fund sector. Switzerland United Kingdom United Arab Emirates United States The information reflected in the graphs and charts was obtained by KPMG International Cooperative and International Fund Investment during both the structured interview stage and questionnaire stage. The anonymous interview quotes throughout this document were obtained during the interview stage of the research project. Please note that with the graphs illustrated, not all answers add up to 100 percent because of rounding or because respondents were able to provide multiple answers to some questions. The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 6. Headline messages The following headlines represent the views expressed from each of the three main groups of participants involved in our research: alternative investment managers, administrators and institutional investors. Their insights are developed as 10 key themes in the rest of this executive summary, and further in sections 2, 3 and 4. Together, they provide a detailed analysis of the future of the alternative investment industry as it faces unprecedented change. • The majority of institutional investors intend to increase their allocations to alternative investments in the next 3 years. As a result, they will have a far greater influence over the shape of the industry in the future. • Anticipated regulation, driven by external forces that continue to blame alternative investments for the meltdown of the global financial system, is not wanted by the majority of investors, managers or service providers. The widely held view is that the industry did not cause or contribute to the credit crisis. Furthermore, investors believe more regulation will not produce any tangible benefits. • Managers and administrators believe that regulation and governance are the most important challenges facing the alternative investment industry over the next 3 years. • There will be four different manager business models that will come to dominate the industry in future. In addition to ‘niche’ boutique managers and the ‘super-boutiques’ (independent managers moving on to become multi-billion dollar players) there will be further and significant development of managed account platforms as well as the emergence of what might be termed the ‘entrepreneurial-institutional’ manager. • Investors forecast that managed account structures will experience substantial growth. Whilst their benefits include improved transparency, liquidity, control and customized fee arrangements, managers believe that cost and operational complexity are some of their key shortcomings. • Investors want a better alignment of interests with managers. The main changes will likely feature longer term performance fee arrangements, increased capital investment from managers, and a move towards enhanced liquidity and transparency. The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 7. The overwhelming majority of existing alternative investors are happy to continue to allocate to funds that are located in offshore jurisdictions. • There will be a further move towards independent administration, particularly in the US where many alternative investment managers administered their funds in-house. This will exacerbate the capacity mismatch that is developing in the industry. Administrators report that they are operating at near to full capacity whilst less than half of managers interviewed stated that they are in a similar position. • The ‘bifurcation’ of the alternative investment industry is continuing. Newer institutional investors into alternatives are more likely to be attracted to managers promoting funds with greater liquidity and transparency than experienced, longer term institutional allocators. • Levels of investor satisfaction with alternative allocations are correlated to the length of time that they have been active in allocating to alternatives because of their detailed understanding of the industry. Investors with the most experience of this activity tend to be the most satisfied with their allocations. • There is little to no consensus amongst investors on the route to take to allocate to hedge funds. The popularity of fund of funds is in decline but there is no obvious replacement for most investors. As a result the well known billion dollar fund of funds will prosper but there is also likely to be significant consolidation amongst the smaller players. • Manager fee structures are expected to be less uniform in the future, as institutional investors negotiate more local agreements. • Barriers to entry from regulation and institutionalization will impact the rate of new start-ups. Moreover, managers with assets of less than US$100m will find it increasingly challenging to run a long term business as a result of increased costs from regulation. • Fund servicing related issues are growing in importance. Investors now take fund servicing very seriously and a number of managers report that events over the last 18 months have had a dramatic effect upon the type of firms that they would want to hire as service providers. • The fallout from the credit crisis and events such as Madoff have led to substantially increased levels of due diligence across investment management, particularly from institutional investors. The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 8. Executive Summary “Twas the best of times, ‘twas the worst of times. ‘Twas the age of wisdom, ‘twas the age of foolishness” Charles Dickens The era of transformation One of the constants in the alternative investment industry is the presence of “For a brief moment, the industry change. From its origins to expansion in the 1990s and through the explosive growth had a heart attack. It’s now being of the 2000s, the one thing that the industry could count on was continued change. resuscitated” However, in reality, the basic structures of the alternative investment business were not very different in 2007 than they were in 1997 The industry was a great deal . larger but practices and structures remained largely unaltered. Investors considering alternatives, including the world’s largest institutions, had to do so on the manager’s terms, not their own. Those days are now over. The industry is going through a period of transformational adjustment to a very different and more regulated operating environment. The majority of institutional investors included in the survey intend to increase their allocations to alternative investments in the next 3 years, with some intending to allocate over 10% of their total assets. As a result, these investors will have a far greater influence over the shape and culture of the industry in the future - they will demand institutional grade controls, increased transparency and flexible product strategies in order to invest their capital. In addition to the credit crisis, events such “Headline risk scares us out of as Madoff, whilst not a hedge fund, highlighted the need for a robust due diligence our minds” process. The influx of more institutional capital into alternatives will result in further substantial growth of the well known, billion-dollar managers. The desire for more transparency and liquidity is the main driver behind the recent growth in new product structures in hedge funds, including managed accounts and managed account platforms as well as onshore regulated products. Managers are being forced to make adjustments to the new environment, whether they like it or “Transparency, liquidity and not (and some emphatically do not). For many of them, the frustration of having to understanding risk are paramount; everything else is a bonus” review internal procedures and systems, consider different domiciliation options, gear up for more regulation and so forth has a pay off. They believe that this painful and expensive process will enable them to attract many more and different types of investors to their funds. The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 9. What do you believe are the major challenges facing the alternative investment industry over the next 3 years? 75% “We always want to see alignment Regulation and governance 67% of interests. If the manager isn’t 97% prepared to lose his shirt then we’re 63% not in the business of investing” Investment performance 44% 56% 55% Transparency 78% 56% 55% Liquidity risk 33% 13% 43% Downward fee pressure 33% 34% 35% Operational risks 44% 28% 25% Taxation 31% 20% Managers Systemic risk Insitutional Investors 6% Administrators 13% Shortage of talent 13% “Growth will be phenomenal, unless regulation stifles it” 0 20 40 60 80 100 % of respondents The paradox of regulation The results of this survey show that the anticipated increase in regulation is not wanted by the majority of investors, managers or service providers. Despite regulation being widely promoted as a way to protect the investor, it is these investors who are most strongly against it. Few investors believe it will produce any tangible benefits. Some see it as being protectionist to certain jurisdictions and therefore detrimental to the development of the global alternative investment industry whilst others fear that it will inhibit the competitive positioning of investment managers “The halcyon days are back – we want by adding to costs. As a result, many investors in Europe believe it will reduce the star performance and star treatment!” number of new start-ups, thereby stalling the industry’s engine of creativity – the production line of boutiques that provide vitality and talent in the future. The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 10. What do you think will be the impact of forthcoming regulations in the below regions on worldwide growth of alternative investments? “Fear and greed motivate managers - both in equal proportions” Managers 13% 51% 36% Asia Administrators 10% 61% 29% I. Investors 11% 78% 11% Managers 44% 38% 18% North 32% 35% 33% Administrators America I. Investors 67% 22% 11% Managers 64% 18% 18% Europe Administrators 72% 6% 22% I. Investors 56% 33% 11% 0 20 40 60 80 100 Positive Impact Neutral Negative Impact % of respondents Nevertheless, the universal view is that further regulation is on the way. Investors, “Independent directors are the managers and service providers take a fatalistic approach to this subject. It is viewed panacea for the industry. Too much as an inevitable consequence of the recent well publicized scandals affecting the self interest is a bad thing” industry, combined with the dramatic market volatility in recent months. Furthermore, numerous respondents made the point that alternative investments were in no way responsible for the market crisis. Indeed they were often victims themselves. Nonetheless, managers recognise that they cannot escape from the increase in “All the talk of extra regulation is financial regulatory supervision occurring around the world. creating insecurity amongst investors” Regulation is coming to the alternative asset management industry on both sides of the Atlantic. The impact of various US regulatory and legislature initiatives, including the so called ‘Volcker’ rule, which proposes a ban on proprietary trading by banks, will likely be considerable for the alternative investment industry, as talent migrates towards boutiques. In Europe, the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive “Making money is obvious; telling (the “AIFM Directive”) is closer to finalization. The European Parliament’s Committee everyone how you’re going to do it is the challenge” for Monetary and Economic Affairs recently voted for the draft directive and the EU council’s group of finance ministers followed suit on its version of the text. The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reser ved.
  • 11. A new breed of manager and what it means for the industry As the alternative investment industry expands and matures so it continues to add “This is going to be a really critical variety to its manager models. The business started as a fragmented collection year for a lot of managers... 2010 is of niche boutiques. As the industry developed, a number of these managers then the right time for them to prove became ‘super-boutiques’ - investing institutions in their own right. For many years, their worth” the industry was characterized as being divided between these multi-billion dollar ‘super-boutiques’ and numerous smaller ‘niche’ boutiques. Forces pushing and pulling the Alternative Investment industry between boutique and institutional Timeline 1990 2010 Super Entrepreneurial- Pure Boutique Boutique institutional institutional • Owner/Manager led • Partners/shareholders • Performance and innovation • Asset gathering • Creativity • Standardization • Flexibility The • Processes and rules • Lifestyle Alternative • Diversification • Infrastructural • Strong governance/ constraints Investment control • Low staff numbers and/or Industry • Regulation e.g. staff retention EU AIFM Directive • Regulation • Transparency e.g. ‘Volcker’ rule • Liquidity • Small service providers • Brand name service providers Two other types of structures have come into the business to challenge the boutique model. In addition to the next generation of niche boutique managers and the ‘super- boutiques’, there will be further and significant development of managed account platforms as well as the emergence of what might be termed the ‘entrepreneurial- institutional’ manager. ‘Entrepreneurial-institutional’ managers started out as smaller alternative “Administrators had to step up their investment managers but have since diversified their businesses into mainstream game, and they have done” fund management, as well as other complementary investment activities such as financing, private placements, proprietary trading, restructuring, and structured products. This development will have consequences for the entire financial world, not just alternative asset management. ‘Entrepreneurial-institutional’ managers will be able to outflank competitors by offering allocators a range of investment opportunities covering other alternative, and perhaps even mainstream, asset classes. Their controls “Blow ups happen because no-one and processes are likely to be institutional grade, yet they retain their creativity and understands the strategy” focus on alpha, rather than asset gathering. The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 12. The rise of the ‘entrepreneurial institutional’ manager does not, however, signal an end to the boutique – far from it. As the industry institutionalizes, through increased bureaucracy, formalization and rigidity, the allure of reward, creativity and freedom “Three years ago, investors were will continue to attract talent to the niche end of the industry. Hence, the number looking for a hot manager; now of boutiques will thrive. Furthermore, their numbers may be impacted considerably the focus is on more established by the proposed ‘Volcker’ rule in the US, as proprietary traders are forced out of managers with proven track records” the mainstream to set up their own firms. Nonetheless, if they are successful in their diversification strategy, whilst maintaining healthy performance in their core funds, the coming breed of ‘entrepreneurial-institutional’ managers will likely attract a large proportion of institutional capital – the boutiques may be able to compete on numbers, but not on asset size. The Matrix: Growth and Transformation US$5 billion + US$5-20 billion + US$20 billion + • Global investment management capability • Strong risk-governance arrangements (US, Asia, EU) (comprising 3 lines of defence, multiple governance committees with integrated risk/ control framework and non-exec directors) Global • Formalized risk/control arrangements (high degree of discipline and formalized control evidence); and strong compliance culture • High focus on assurance agenda – SAS70/AAF/ GIPS/HFSB • High degree of transparency • Regulator “relationship-managed” Super Boutique US$1 billion + US$3 billion + US$10 billion + • International sales reps (US, Asia, EU…) • More formalized risk-governance arrangements (Board/Executive Committees) • Moderate adoption of investor assurance Global Reach International agenda e.g. SAS70 or GIPS • Greater degree of process/control discipline • Moderate interaction with regulatory bodies Entrepreneurial Institutional Manager US$100 million + US$1 billion + US$5 billion + • Entrepreneurial, craft orientated • Multiple funds / managed accounts • Multiple product ranges (Hedge funds, absolute • One main fund • Multiple strategies return strategies, long only) • Low degree of transparency • Multiple distribution channels – fund of funds, Single Office • Informal risk-governance/control arrangements managed accounts, retail, direct • High degree of reliance on legal vs compliance • Performance focused, no mediocrity culture • Low relationship with regulator (deemed “low risk”) Boutique Single Product Multiple structure / product Multi Channel Product Breadth The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 13. Managed accounts: great in theory, more difficult in practice Separately managed accounts have always been a mainstay of the investment “There is no shortage of talent. management industry. Managed account platforms, however, are a relatively new Money supply is the biggest phenomenon. challenge” Using managed account structures as a method of investing in alternative investments, has become considerably more attractive than fund of funds with institutional allocators. Investors surveyed forecast that managed account structures will experience substantial growth. (After direct investment into single manager funds, managed accounts are predicted to see the largest increase in asset allocations over the next 3 years.) The control that managed accounts offer investors was mentioned by all those that use, or intend to use, these structures. After control, liquidity (in particular avoiding gates, lock-ups etc) and transparency were the next most popular reasons for turning to managed accounts. As a result, managed accounts are being used almost “Stars are the life source of the systematically by large institutions when they wish to make a large allocation to a industry; they know what they want manager. and they know how to get it” However, managed accounts have drawbacks. Their biggest drawback is that they do not provide access to all managers or strategies. They are also difficult to implement for illiquid strategies, like distressed funds, due to increased reporting and administration demands. In addition, investors are conscious of the added costs, resources and responsibilities that are imposed upon them. Only large institutions have the means to employ the staff to implement and monitor a successful managed accounts program. Other concerns included performance diminution and the fact that they place more operational risk on the investor (and less on the manager). In addition to complexities with implementation, capacity constraints are already emerging in the managed account sector and investors are likely to have some difficulty finding the managers they want via these structures. Managers interviewed complain that “We want respected names, known managed accounts are taking up too much of their time and resources. They are to investors, on the prospectus” concerned that their own fund investors must come first. Some managers have declined to take on managed accounts and others are imposing limits. Imposing limits on managed accounts could become a badge of honour with successful, well known managers in the future. Pre market crisis, finding capacity with such well regarded managers, those that were often technically closed, was a concern for large investors. Post crisis, a variation of this problem could reappear within the managed account universe. Hence, direct investment into alternative investments is forecast by investors to increase more quickly than investment via managed accounts over the next three years. The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 14. Twin track alternative fund domiciliation The alternative investment industry has always been drawn to offshore jurisdictions. They have grown up together. These domiciles are ideal locations both for their original core investors – the high net worth crowd – and managers. Locations offering regulation where it is quick, flexible and inexpensive to launch funds are what alternative managers want. However, a combination of increased investor nervousness, and the evolving regulatory environment have led managers to question whether they should continue to domicile their funds offshore or re- domicile onshore. Some managers have taken the step of re-domiciling onshore. “The credit crunch was a symptom, Others have launched funds in onshore locations, such as Dublin, whilst keeping not a disease” their offshore funds in operation. Results indicate that the overwhelming majority of investors are happy to continue to allocate to alternative funds that are located in offshore jurisdictions. There is no evidence that the domiciliation structure of the alternative investment industry is of concern to those that currently allocate to these products. These respondents represent the bedrock of the industry’s investor base. Investors in this category often view with disdain more regulated alternative fund domiciliation, which has become something of a craze in Europe. In addition, investors with longer tenures of investing in alternative investments tend “Politics and regulation are killing to be the least concerned with operational issues and fund domiciliation, whilst being our business. We can work on our the most sceptical that more regulation is in any way beneficial. Managers would performance, but its difficult to work therefore be wise to maintain their offshore fund range for their bedrock investors. For on politics!” the next wave of investors, a different strategy looks likely to be beneficial to secure such investors’ capital (at least for European allocators). They are more likely to want onshore funds in addition to their offshore structures. Alternative investment domiciliation is diverging. The traditional homes of the hedge fund and private equity industries are not under significant threat. They will continue to be the logical place to go for funds aimed at the traditional alternative investor. However, EU domiciles are developing complementary structures to compete for this business and appeal to the new generation of investors. How these funds fare remains to be seen. The growing role of the administrator Third party, independent fund administrators find themselves in a pivotal position as the alternative investment industry is transformed in this new era of increased regulation, investor scrutiny and institutionalization. 10 The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 15. What do you think are the key challenges facing the administration industry over the next 3 years? 66% Continuous IT development and investment 43% 66% Regulatory compliance 63% 59% “Institutional investors are like royalty Independent valuation of complex securities 65% - they attract a lot of interest in your fund but they come at a price” 50% Maintaining margins as assets under management fall 28% 19% Developing a sustainable client base 33% Administrators Managers 16% Shortage of skilled staff 40% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 % of respondents Administrators are at the center of structural changes occurring throughout the industry. Increased standardization of administration will be the main change, particularly with regards to reporting transparency and liquidity requirements for investors. The anticipated increase in regulation is also forecast to have consequences “Investors did not like being told they for all industry practices, including administration. One respondent referred to the couldn’t have their money back” speed at which internal control reports (e.g. SAS70) have become standard in the industry as an example of how quickly practices can change. Administrators included in our survey also believe there will be significant developments in the use of technology, in order to keep pace with increased demands placed upon their businesses by the alternative investment industry. There will be a requirement to accommodate an exponential increase in data demanded from fund managers, investors and regulators. As a result, administrators will need “Managers need administrators more robust and flexible technology platforms that are capable of high volume transaction than ever” processing and customized ‘real-time’ reporting. Furthermore, for several years, administrators have been diversifying into services that are complementary to their core activities, such as performance attribution analysis and risk reporting services. The new environment is likely to see an acceleration of complementary services offered, including functions that support managers’ front and middle office activities. In Europe, administrators have been particularly successful in diversifying their product range to capture reporting requirements for UCITS funds. “Administrators have distanced Globally, it is significant that when asked the question, ‘Which services do you themselves from their responsibilities; provide currently and which do you expect to grow significantly in the next 3 years?’ the crisis has driven them to seek Administrators said that they expect there will be a big jump in front and middle legal protection” office services and risk management. The Future of Alternative Investments 11 © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 16. However, with demand comes challenge. Despite a significant investment in technology, the administration industry remains very labor intensive and lacks operational leverage. There is an increasing capacity mismatch, with nearly 3 in 4 “No matter what any manager will tell administrators operating at between 71-100% capacity. MA activity is therefore you, if the world falls apart again and inevitable. A number of administrators have already expanded into other areas and everyone runs for the doors, you’re we are beginning to see convergence (hedge fund administrators buying into private not going to get your money back!” equity for example). New firms and new product offerings are also likely to emerge to service the operational demands of clients. If alternative inflows develop as forecast, or anywhere near to it, administrators will face serious infrastructural challenges. This is an issue that few have yet to address. The bifurcation business Bifurcation of the alternative investment industry is occurring in a number of ways. It “Leverage is an unpopular word can be seen in the growing gulf between the boutiques, those managers that have these days; its making it hard to raise stayed focused upon implementing their particular specialist investment strategy, and capital” a number of the multi-billion dollar managers that diversified into other areas of the market and/or whose business models have moved beyond fund management. 12 The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 17. There is now evidence that bifurcation is also occurring between institutional “You don’t send a football team onto investors. The offshore fund industry will continue to serve the majority of those the field without some reserves. currently investing in alternatives, largely sophisticated and experienced investors Why would we do the same here. who remain satisfied with its structure. However, new investors into alternatives We’re always looking for star are more likely than seasoned allocators to be attracted to managers promoting managers and have reserves to funds with greater liquidity and transparency than is typical in traditional alternative allocate when we find them” structures. This has been an important part of the reason for the growth in UCITS, or ‘Newcits’, funds in Europe. Meanwhile, much of the wealth management sector, as well as the longest serving and most sophisticated institutional investors, remain prepared to allocate to funds in offshore jurisdictions that are less transparent and considerably more illiquid than alternative UCITS products. These investors are also more understanding of industry practices such as gates, lock-ups and side-pockets, that evolved and were subject to so much criticism during the credit crisis. The continued establishment of onshore regulated products will fundamentally “We won’t accept lock ins anymore; change the dynamics of the alternative investment industry. It is likely to lead to a we’ll barely tolerate gates” considerable increase in fund launches as parallel, or ‘mirror’ funds, are launched in onshore locations that mimic established offshore funds. Established offshore jurisdictions will continue to thrive and prosper in the new environment. There will also be a lot of activity in locations such as Ireland, Luxembourg and Malta as alternative UCITS become established in Europe. The changing structures available to allocators The way in which institutional investors currently access alternative investments Do you believe the alternative will change in the next 3 years. At present, investors generally allocate capital to investment industry will become... alternative investments through fund of funds, managed accounts, indexed products or direct investment. Institutional investors with the requisite resources are now 5%6% 6% moving to a hybrid allocation model. A clear trend in favor of single manager funds and managed accounts is emerging as allocations to fund of funds diminish. 13% Fund of funds did not have a good market crisis, say their investors. Their raison d’être to reduce market risk through enhanced diversification failed to materialize when 14% it mattered most. Whilst large institutional investors favor a hybrid model of single manager funds and managed accounts, smaller institutional investors have more 49% limited allocation options and fund of funds will remain their gateway to the industry. 33% A number of these investors note that larger fund of funds are proving to be adaptable 74% and innovative; some have enhanced their communication with investors and provide a far more customer centric experience. Fund of fund managers with assets in excess of US$5 billion have the resources to More Bifurcated between expand into managed accounts and to diversify their offerings in other ways. In 2010 large asset providers institutional and small boutiques and beyond, the best of these large, multi purpose operations are likely to continue to expand into new areas (offering investors different structures and strategies). More boutique Remain focused the same Convergence and divergence across strategies and structures will drive consolidation. Recent mergers in the hedge fund industry, including that of two well known firms % of respondents in the business, both with assets in excess of US$5 billion, are an example of this. This is widely expected to lead to a further wave of MA activity. There is always a possibility that something similar to the ‘merger mania’ that gripped the custody industry in the 1990s could be replicated amongst today’s independent alternative asset managers. The Future of Alternative Investments 13 © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 18. The future is much bleaker for smaller fund of fund managers. For far too many, the market crisis exposed shortcomings in their core business proposition. Unlike their larger competitors they do not have the resources to fight back. The largest fund of funds are diversifying and/or using their brand name to attract institutional and high net worth investors in order to grow in different directions. But the smaller players are unable to compete in these areas. They are struggling. Challenge to the 2 and 20 The majority of investors interviewed do not believe that the industry’s 2 and 20 fee “We’ll pay performance fees for structure is sustainable. Whilst not top of their list of priorities for industry reform, performance but we don’t like fee reduction is still something that they want and anticipate will happen. Equally, a manager making money from manager fee structures are expected to be less uniform in future. management fees” Manager fee structures are under pressure because investors have much greater negotiating power as a result of the market crisis. Added to which the industry is being driven forward by super-sized allocators. They have always been able to negotiate lower fees, including with many of the most sought after managers. This was common practice even at the height of the boom. It is these institutions, with their significant fee negotiating power, that are chiefly responsible for the recent strength of inflows into alternative investments. In addition, a number of the largest institutions want to see more alignment of their interests with managers. They believe managers should make a greater effort to build a long-term business compensation culture. For certain strategies, this may simply require a performance hurdle feature. One institution made the point that they are long term investors and they want to work with managers who think, and act, like them. There is evidence that a number of the more recent start-ups have recognized this issue by redesigning their business models to incorporate longer term fee structures and hurdle features. It is believed that differences in fees will only grow in the future. The uniformity is gone. In its place will be many more ‘local’ agreements. Some managers will be able to charge more than 2 and 20, as has always been the case. But results from this research suggest that with the largest institutional investors in the driving seat, most fee negotiations will be going in the opposite direction. Professional fund servicing is now key to investor contentment Fund servicing related issues are becoming ever more important for investors. “Fund servicing issues are the most The growing institutionalization of the industry have made topics surrounding fund important business decisions that you servicing central to the well being of the industry. Fund servicing issues such as can make. 60% of the success of the investor demands for due diligence procedures had been growing in importance well fund depends upon it” before Madoff, a fraud that has added impetus to this trend. That such a relatively simple fraud could have taken place on such a large scale in a highly regulated environment, indirectly affecting numerous investors, has profoundly shocked many constituents across financial services. All investors now take fund servicing very seriously. A number of managers noted that events over the last 18 months have had an effect upon the type of firms that “We’re asking so many questions, they would want to hire as service providers. Recognized names that prospective we don’t have space to write the investors are familiar with have become more important than was the case pre crisis. answers” It has become essential to have organizations listed on the fund’s prospectus that reassure investors. Service provider name recognition is becoming paramount. 14 The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 19. What impact, if any, has the market crisis and/ or the news of recent financial scandals had on your operational due diligence process? 43% Managers 49% 8% High Impact 41% “Hedge funds were not out of control; Low Impact they did not cause the crisis” Administrators 53% No Impact 6% 67% I. Investors 22% 11% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 “Our checklists have doubled” % of respondents As the industry grows its institutional investor base, managers expect that scrutiny of their operational procedures by investors will only increase further in future. This includes their third party service providers. Due diligence on administrators, in particular, has become a lot more intrusive and regular. In 2009 alone, administrators say that there was a substantial increase in investor requests for due diligence “Robust due diligence is critical – meetings as well as detailed and regular due diligence reports. One administrator has we won’t even open the door to a noted that this type of activity has increased by 30% alone in 2009. manager without this” The point is that the institutional investor now has far more power to shape operational aspects of the industry, as a result of the sheer weight of its capital. Managers surveyed say that both their existing and prospective investors and regulators want clear and transparent operational oversight. This is now occurring. “High Net Worth investors have been hibernating for over a year now; surely its time they woke up” The Future of Alternative Investments 15 © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 20. “Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked” Warren Buffet Managers This section presents the results from the survey and structured interviews involving alternative investment managers. Case studies with industry participants are presented at the end of the section. Core capacity “In a downturn, transparency is trendy, but when the industry moves The supply side of the alternative Approximately, how much of your investment industry has changed company’s core capacity is currently on, trends change. The return to the being used? status quo is inevitable” considerably in recent years. Prior to the credit crisis, questions were raised regarding the availability of talented 6% 1% managers who could generate alpha at 6% a rate demanded by investors. Currently, 21% there is significant amount of capacity available to manage funds, with only 44% 14% two in five managers operating at or near full capacity. 13% “Sometimes the red flags are so Our interviews revealed evidence of a next generation of talent migrating 74% huge, you have to close your eyes from brand name investment houses 21% to miss them. Even then, your other to set up new businesses. Whilst the senses tell you its not quite right” industry continues to institutionalize, the allure of reward, creativity and freedom 10% 10-30% 31-50% on offer from the boutique sector will always attract alpha generators. Hence, the number of boutiques will continue to thrive, although in capital terms, they 51-70% 71-100% will represent a far smaller proportion of % of respondents the industry. The pace of change may be impacted further by the proposed ‘Volcker’ rule in the US, as proprietary traders are forced out of the mainstream. The future choice for investors looks bright - the difficulty will be finding the star in all the mediocrity. 16 The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 21. Products and performance Which alternative investment products do you expect your clients will be attracted to in the next 3 years? Single strategy hedge funds 59% Private Equity 39% Multi strategy hedge funds 33% Fund of hedge Funds 28% Structured products 26% Real Estate 26% Infrastructure 22% Reinsurance products 4% Other 13% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 % of respondents “Our investors want us to do well, but there are plenty waiting to write about What returns do they expect? us if we fail” Private Equity 19% 50% 19% 12% Multi strategy 42% 58% hedge funds “I feel sorry for administrators - Infrastructure 43% 57% they get a tough deal, but at last they’re being recognized as being an important part of the process” Structured products 50% 30% 20% Single strategy hedge funds 23% 73% 4% Real Estate 62% 38% Fund of 78% 22% hedge Funds 0 20 40 60 80 100 “Investors got hurt, but time is a great 1-10 % 11-20 % 21-30 % 31-40 % healer” % of respondents The Future of Alternative Investments 17 © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.
  • 22. As investor appetite for absolute returns higher risk bonds and other investments continues to grow, over 3 in 5 managers such as art funds. expect that single strategy hedge funds Hedge fund and private equity products will be the main route to market, with “When the markets are rising, who are preferred by managers – an indication, the majority of them expecting returns of cares about hedge funds when you perhaps, that investors have short can have long only” between 11-20%. This data is confirmed memories and are willing to try again, by investors who are increasingly albeit under new and improved terms. searching for direct investment into funds. From our interviews, it is clear that the fund of fund industry is at a crossroads. Expectations for returns favor private Transparency, liquidity, alignment of equity, single strategy hedge funds interests and customer centricity are all and structured products, although it is changes which the industry is making. unlikely that we will see a significant Many managers commented that they “Regulation is depressing; its costly increase in the latter before the next lost sight of investors and with that the and will not prevent a year. Whilst investors have short trust between investor and manager blow up” memories, they will likely not forget was broken. The surviving fund of fund the term CDO (“Collateralized Debt brand names will continue to thrive Obligation”) in a hurry. The events as institutional investors have limited in recent years, however, have not opportunities with which to access caused the structured product industry talent. For the smaller fund of funds, to close, and a number of larger there needs to be a mindset change managers have expressed a desire towards the investor, and improvements to ramp up their CLO (“Collateralized “We didn’t lock down investors. in communication will be essential. Now we’re getting the benefit of that Loan Obligation”) businesses when Nonetheless, we are likely to see confidence with new investments” the market fundamentals change. Our stronger asset growth from managed interviews suggest that investors are account platforms in the next 3 years regaining confidence in the sector and as investors seek more control and are beginning to search for innovative transparency in their investments. products, with a growing interest in 18 The Future of Alternative Investments © 2010 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. All rights reserved.