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© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 1
Forecasting International Optical
Transport Developments and
Understanding How
Africa’s Optical System Differs
From the Rest of the World
Herve Fevrier– Chief Strategy Officer – Xtera Communications
4-5 February 2015
WDM Africa 2015 (Cape Town, South Africa)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 2
The Bandwidth Demand is Insatiable
0.001
0.01
0.1
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Year
Datatraffic(petabyte/month)
Minnesota Internet Traffic Studies
(MINTS) for US IP traffic
High
Low
Swanson-Gilder for US IP traffic
Cisco Visual Networking Index
Forecast and Methodology
2007-2012 and 2012–2017
For global IP traffic
 Doubling about every 18 months (≈2 dB per year)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 3
With 100G Being The Dominant Line Rate
Global 10G, 40G, 100G & 100+G DWDM line card revenue
(After Ovum)
0,00
1,75
3,50
5,25
7,00
8,75
Year
2019
10G revenues
40G revenues
100G revenues
100G+ revenues
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
DWDMlinecardrevenues($B)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 4
• 40G is dying much faster than it was anticipated a year ago.
– 100G did win in terms of cost and performance due to some industry
“agreements” which created good price points at the start and then volume
etc… the virtuous circle!!
• 100G+
– People talk about 400G, 1T… when it is really a matter of
• Going from 100G to 150G and 200G per optical carrier
• And introducing super channels … kind of super dense wavelength division
multiplexing
• But spectral efficiency has a limit… and we are getting close to it
(Google at ECOC’2014 - Nice).
• Need for more spectrum
Channel Rates
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 5
The Internet Growth
2B 11/10/2010
1B 10/05/2005
After Internet Society Annual Report
2012 Internet Penetration
Global IP traffic will grow from 43 PB/month
in 2012 to 120PB/month in 2017
(23% CAGR)
After Cisco VNI (2013)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 6
• Undersea is approx. 35% of
total used international
bandwidth.
• It is dominated by Internet
bandwidth.
• The traffic matrix is
becoming more balanced.
Undersea Communications Forecast
0,0%
20,0%
40,0%
60,0%
80,0%
100,0%
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
Totalusedsubmarinecapacity(Gbps)
Used for Internet (%)
Used for private networks (%)
Used for switched voice (%)
Total Used Submarine Capacity (Gbps)
31,3%
32,5%
33,8%
35,0%
36,3%
37,5%
0
250 000
500 000
750 000
1 000 000
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Submarinebandwidth
percentage
Totalusedinternational
bandwidth(Gbps)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Trans-Atlantic
Trans-Pacific
US-Latin America
Intra-Asia
Europe-ME & Egypt
250T
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 7
• The submarine high-capacity belt is now deployed.
• Prime time is for Internet growth from the shores through the continent.
Africa Connectivity: Land of Contrast
After TeleGeography After Ovum
Mobile Broadband Subscription ForecastInternational Used Bandwidth
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 8
Africa Connectivity: Land of Contrast
Least Connected Countries (as of 2013) Mobile Subscriptions
After ITU
IDI: ICT Development index taking into account
ICT access, ICT use and ICT skills
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 9
Five multiplexing dimensions available:
• Time
– Faster opto-electronics (enabling 10G, 40G, 100G…)
– Current practical limit: about 30 Gbaud devices
• Frequency
– Multiplexing more optical carriers at different frequencies
– Conventional EDFA-based WDM technology limited to C
band (≈ 38 nm)
• Polarization
– Propagation of several states of optical polarization, each
supporting a data stream
– Practical today’s implementation: two polarizations
• Quadrature
– Multi-level modulation format
– BPSK, QPSK, 8QAM, 16QAM, 64QAM… leading to reach
reduction
• Space
– More transmission media are made available in parallel
– Different flavors of Spatial Division Multiplexing (SDM):
ribbon fiber, multi-core fiber, multi-mode fiber
How to Keep up With Bandwidth Demand?
✔
✔
✔ 1100
Q
1101
I
16-QAM
1110
1111
0101
0111
1000
I
Q
1101
QPSK
0
I
Q
1
BPSK
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 10
Evolution With Optical Spectrum Expansion As Enabled
With Raman Optical Amplification
All-Raman provides x 3 in terms of spectrum
All-Raman provides x 2 in terms of reach
All-Raman provides x 6 in terms of Capacity x Reach
Maximizing spectral efficiency
AND spectrum
without compromising reach -30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
1515 1535 1555 1575 1595 1605
Power(dBm)
1625
Wavelength (nm)
100 nm of continuous
optical bandwidth
in the field since 2004
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 11
• Sir Venkata Raman earned the Nobel prize in Physics in 1930.
– Prize motivation: “for his work on the scattering of light and for the
discovery of the effect named after him”.
• Raman effect
– Inelastic scattering
• Applications
– Raman Spectroscopy
– Raman Amplification
• Laser sources and amplifiers
• Optical Communications
– 1962: SRS observation
– 1973: Raman in optical fibers
• Xtera Communications Inc. (1998)
– Mohammed Islam (founder – worked on soliton transmission with
L. Mollenauer)
– “Ideas in a different light”: Raman for different windows, a broader spectrum
and obviously reach
Raman History
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 12
• Founded in 1998
• Opening new windows:
The S-band (2000-2001)
• Broadening the spectrum:
100nm window (2002-2005)
– 1st commercial deployment
2004: 2.4 Tbit/s
Xtera Communications: The first steps
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 13
Verizon Field Trials
• Deployed more than ten years ago
• Multiple ODFs in the path
• G.652 fiber with multiple splice points as a
result of construction activities in the
metropolitan area
• Length: 79.2 km per span
• 19 fibers/spans equipped (1,504 km total)
• Average span loss: 21.8 dB
• Existing standard connectors (SC/PC)
• Average fiber attenuation: 0.275 dB/km
• Shows three lumped loss of 1.2 ~ 1.9 dB
Bi-directional OTDR example of Verizon span
Challenging environment
G.652 field fiber
79.2 km per span
IL: 20 - 23 dB
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 14
Verizon infrastructure representative of end-of-life numbers
Results for 1,504 km, 61 nm spectrum transmission
with high margins
• First trial: 100G
– 150 x 100G PM-QPSK (50 GHz) on 1,500 km: 15T / 4,500+ km
• Second trial: 400G (4 x 100G)
– MC 4 x 100G PM-QPSK (33 GHz) on 1,500 km: 20T / 3,000+ km
• Third trial: 400G (2 x 200G)
– DC PM-16QAM (2 x 200G)
• 50 GHz spacing:
30T / 2,000+ km
• 37.5 GHz spacing:
40T /1,500+ km
Validation Field Trial – Summary
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 15
XWDM [Capacity – Reach] Metric
240 x 100G
• 100 nm spectrum
• PM-QPSK channels
• 50 GHz channel spacing
• 2 bit/s/Hz spectral efficiency
120 x 400G
• 100 nm spectrum
• PM-16QAM 200G carriers
spaced 50 GHz apart
• 4 bit/s/Hz spectral efficiency
160 x 400G
• 100 nm spectrum
• PM-16QAM 200G carriers
spaced 37.5 GHz apart
• 5.3 bit/s/Hz spectral efficiency
 16QAM on more than 2,000 km of aged fiber (0.28 dB/km)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 16
• Maximizing the reach at 100G
– 1 x 100G on 520 km of ULL fiber, with ROPA
– 4 x 100G on 523 km of Vascade EX2000 fiber, with ROPA
– 1 x 100G on 557 km of Vascade EX2000 fiber, with ROPA
• Maximizing the capacity over long unrepeatered distances
– 150 x 100G on 334 km of ULL fiber, without ROPA
– 150 x 100G on 390 km of ULL fiber, with ROPA
– 150 x 100G on 410 km Vascade EX2000 fiber, with ROPA
Recent Unrepeatered
100G Transmission Results
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 17
Optical Repeater for
Subsea Cable Systems Launched at
Innovation:
Electrical Improved powering enabling Raman amplification.
Optical Modular optical design. Spectrum increased by 50%.
Mechanical Marine grade titanium. Compact, light and strong.
Manufacturability Flexible and simplified manufacturing process.
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
1540 1550 1560 1570 1580 1590 1600 1610
Wavelength (nm)
Effectivenoisefigure(dB)
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
1540 1550 1560 1570 1580 1590 1600 1610
Wavelength (nm)
Relativegain(dB)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 18
• 4 projects:
– 1 short
– 2 regional
– 1 long haul
• Deployments:
– 2 in 2015
– 1 in 2016
Status of Xtera Repeatered Projects
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 19
• People have worked hard on spectral efficiency since 1989.
– 4 x 2.5G in the C-band
– 40 x 10G in the C-band
– 80 x 10G in the C-band
– 93 x 100G in the C-band
– …BUT…
– The industry still uses
only the C band
• Raman technology offers the possibility to multiply by a factor of x6.5
the available bandwidth in deployed optical fibers which ultimately could
mean 200 Tbits/s per fiber pair.
Wireline So Far…
Fiber attenuation (dB/km)
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.2
1.2 1.71.61.51.41.3
Optical wavelength (µm)
C band
Old
fibers
Modern
fibers
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 20
Raman amplification brings several benefits to the design of
high-capacity optical networks:
• Increase the reach
• Ability to deal with very long spans
• Increase capacity / spectrum
Conclusion
Sir Chandrasekhara Venkata Raman
(1888 – 1970)
First Asian scientist to receive the
Nobel prize in physics (in 1930)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 21
• Africa has now a submarine high-capacity communications belt.
• The next few years is about the penetration of this bandwidth from the
shores to the heart of the continent.
• It is of paramount importance that the deployed infrastructure is future-
proof both from a longevity point of view (e.g. OPGW cables on high-
voltage lines, …) and from the telecommunications point of view (high
EOL capacity as compared to BOL capacity, support of future transport
rates).
Conclusion: Africa
Maximizing Network Capacity, Reach and Value
Over land, under sea, worldwide
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 22

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2015 02 04 international optical transport developments wdm africa 2015

  • 1. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 1 Forecasting International Optical Transport Developments and Understanding How Africa’s Optical System Differs From the Rest of the World Herve Fevrier– Chief Strategy Officer – Xtera Communications 4-5 February 2015 WDM Africa 2015 (Cape Town, South Africa)
  • 2. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 2 The Bandwidth Demand is Insatiable 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Year Datatraffic(petabyte/month) Minnesota Internet Traffic Studies (MINTS) for US IP traffic High Low Swanson-Gilder for US IP traffic Cisco Visual Networking Index Forecast and Methodology 2007-2012 and 2012–2017 For global IP traffic  Doubling about every 18 months (≈2 dB per year)
  • 3. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 3 With 100G Being The Dominant Line Rate Global 10G, 40G, 100G & 100+G DWDM line card revenue (After Ovum) 0,00 1,75 3,50 5,25 7,00 8,75 Year 2019 10G revenues 40G revenues 100G revenues 100G+ revenues 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 DWDMlinecardrevenues($B)
  • 4. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 4 • 40G is dying much faster than it was anticipated a year ago. – 100G did win in terms of cost and performance due to some industry “agreements” which created good price points at the start and then volume etc… the virtuous circle!! • 100G+ – People talk about 400G, 1T… when it is really a matter of • Going from 100G to 150G and 200G per optical carrier • And introducing super channels … kind of super dense wavelength division multiplexing • But spectral efficiency has a limit… and we are getting close to it (Google at ECOC’2014 - Nice). • Need for more spectrum Channel Rates
  • 5. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 5 The Internet Growth 2B 11/10/2010 1B 10/05/2005 After Internet Society Annual Report 2012 Internet Penetration Global IP traffic will grow from 43 PB/month in 2012 to 120PB/month in 2017 (23% CAGR) After Cisco VNI (2013)
  • 6. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 6 • Undersea is approx. 35% of total used international bandwidth. • It is dominated by Internet bandwidth. • The traffic matrix is becoming more balanced. Undersea Communications Forecast 0,0% 20,0% 40,0% 60,0% 80,0% 100,0% 0 100 000 200 000 300 000 400 000 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Totalusedsubmarinecapacity(Gbps) Used for Internet (%) Used for private networks (%) Used for switched voice (%) Total Used Submarine Capacity (Gbps) 31,3% 32,5% 33,8% 35,0% 36,3% 37,5% 0 250 000 500 000 750 000 1 000 000 2011201220132014201520162017201820192020 Submarinebandwidth percentage Totalusedinternational bandwidth(Gbps) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Trans-Atlantic Trans-Pacific US-Latin America Intra-Asia Europe-ME & Egypt 250T
  • 7. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 7 • The submarine high-capacity belt is now deployed. • Prime time is for Internet growth from the shores through the continent. Africa Connectivity: Land of Contrast After TeleGeography After Ovum Mobile Broadband Subscription ForecastInternational Used Bandwidth
  • 8. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 8 Africa Connectivity: Land of Contrast Least Connected Countries (as of 2013) Mobile Subscriptions After ITU IDI: ICT Development index taking into account ICT access, ICT use and ICT skills
  • 9. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 9 Five multiplexing dimensions available: • Time – Faster opto-electronics (enabling 10G, 40G, 100G…) – Current practical limit: about 30 Gbaud devices • Frequency – Multiplexing more optical carriers at different frequencies – Conventional EDFA-based WDM technology limited to C band (≈ 38 nm) • Polarization – Propagation of several states of optical polarization, each supporting a data stream – Practical today’s implementation: two polarizations • Quadrature – Multi-level modulation format – BPSK, QPSK, 8QAM, 16QAM, 64QAM… leading to reach reduction • Space – More transmission media are made available in parallel – Different flavors of Spatial Division Multiplexing (SDM): ribbon fiber, multi-core fiber, multi-mode fiber How to Keep up With Bandwidth Demand? ✔ ✔ ✔ 1100 Q 1101 I 16-QAM 1110 1111 0101 0111 1000 I Q 1101 QPSK 0 I Q 1 BPSK
  • 10. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 10 Evolution With Optical Spectrum Expansion As Enabled With Raman Optical Amplification All-Raman provides x 3 in terms of spectrum All-Raman provides x 2 in terms of reach All-Raman provides x 6 in terms of Capacity x Reach Maximizing spectral efficiency AND spectrum without compromising reach -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 1515 1535 1555 1575 1595 1605 Power(dBm) 1625 Wavelength (nm) 100 nm of continuous optical bandwidth in the field since 2004
  • 11. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 11 • Sir Venkata Raman earned the Nobel prize in Physics in 1930. – Prize motivation: “for his work on the scattering of light and for the discovery of the effect named after him”. • Raman effect – Inelastic scattering • Applications – Raman Spectroscopy – Raman Amplification • Laser sources and amplifiers • Optical Communications – 1962: SRS observation – 1973: Raman in optical fibers • Xtera Communications Inc. (1998) – Mohammed Islam (founder – worked on soliton transmission with L. Mollenauer) – “Ideas in a different light”: Raman for different windows, a broader spectrum and obviously reach Raman History
  • 12. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 12 • Founded in 1998 • Opening new windows: The S-band (2000-2001) • Broadening the spectrum: 100nm window (2002-2005) – 1st commercial deployment 2004: 2.4 Tbit/s Xtera Communications: The first steps
  • 13. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 13 Verizon Field Trials • Deployed more than ten years ago • Multiple ODFs in the path • G.652 fiber with multiple splice points as a result of construction activities in the metropolitan area • Length: 79.2 km per span • 19 fibers/spans equipped (1,504 km total) • Average span loss: 21.8 dB • Existing standard connectors (SC/PC) • Average fiber attenuation: 0.275 dB/km • Shows three lumped loss of 1.2 ~ 1.9 dB Bi-directional OTDR example of Verizon span Challenging environment G.652 field fiber 79.2 km per span IL: 20 - 23 dB
  • 14. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 14 Verizon infrastructure representative of end-of-life numbers Results for 1,504 km, 61 nm spectrum transmission with high margins • First trial: 100G – 150 x 100G PM-QPSK (50 GHz) on 1,500 km: 15T / 4,500+ km • Second trial: 400G (4 x 100G) – MC 4 x 100G PM-QPSK (33 GHz) on 1,500 km: 20T / 3,000+ km • Third trial: 400G (2 x 200G) – DC PM-16QAM (2 x 200G) • 50 GHz spacing: 30T / 2,000+ km • 37.5 GHz spacing: 40T /1,500+ km Validation Field Trial – Summary
  • 15. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 15 XWDM [Capacity – Reach] Metric 240 x 100G • 100 nm spectrum • PM-QPSK channels • 50 GHz channel spacing • 2 bit/s/Hz spectral efficiency 120 x 400G • 100 nm spectrum • PM-16QAM 200G carriers spaced 50 GHz apart • 4 bit/s/Hz spectral efficiency 160 x 400G • 100 nm spectrum • PM-16QAM 200G carriers spaced 37.5 GHz apart • 5.3 bit/s/Hz spectral efficiency  16QAM on more than 2,000 km of aged fiber (0.28 dB/km)
  • 16. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 16 • Maximizing the reach at 100G – 1 x 100G on 520 km of ULL fiber, with ROPA – 4 x 100G on 523 km of Vascade EX2000 fiber, with ROPA – 1 x 100G on 557 km of Vascade EX2000 fiber, with ROPA • Maximizing the capacity over long unrepeatered distances – 150 x 100G on 334 km of ULL fiber, without ROPA – 150 x 100G on 390 km of ULL fiber, with ROPA – 150 x 100G on 410 km Vascade EX2000 fiber, with ROPA Recent Unrepeatered 100G Transmission Results
  • 17. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 17 Optical Repeater for Subsea Cable Systems Launched at Innovation: Electrical Improved powering enabling Raman amplification. Optical Modular optical design. Spectrum increased by 50%. Mechanical Marine grade titanium. Compact, light and strong. Manufacturability Flexible and simplified manufacturing process. -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 1540 1550 1560 1570 1580 1590 1600 1610 Wavelength (nm) Effectivenoisefigure(dB) -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 1540 1550 1560 1570 1580 1590 1600 1610 Wavelength (nm) Relativegain(dB)
  • 18. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 18 • 4 projects: – 1 short – 2 regional – 1 long haul • Deployments: – 2 in 2015 – 1 in 2016 Status of Xtera Repeatered Projects
  • 19. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 19 • People have worked hard on spectral efficiency since 1989. – 4 x 2.5G in the C-band – 40 x 10G in the C-band – 80 x 10G in the C-band – 93 x 100G in the C-band – …BUT… – The industry still uses only the C band • Raman technology offers the possibility to multiply by a factor of x6.5 the available bandwidth in deployed optical fibers which ultimately could mean 200 Tbits/s per fiber pair. Wireline So Far… Fiber attenuation (dB/km) 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.2 1.71.61.51.41.3 Optical wavelength (µm) C band Old fibers Modern fibers
  • 20. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 20 Raman amplification brings several benefits to the design of high-capacity optical networks: • Increase the reach • Ability to deal with very long spans • Increase capacity / spectrum Conclusion Sir Chandrasekhara Venkata Raman (1888 – 1970) First Asian scientist to receive the Nobel prize in physics (in 1930)
  • 21. © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 21 • Africa has now a submarine high-capacity communications belt. • The next few years is about the penetration of this bandwidth from the shores to the heart of the continent. • It is of paramount importance that the deployed infrastructure is future- proof both from a longevity point of view (e.g. OPGW cables on high- voltage lines, …) and from the telecommunications point of view (high EOL capacity as compared to BOL capacity, support of future transport rates). Conclusion: Africa
  • 22. Maximizing Network Capacity, Reach and Value Over land, under sea, worldwide © 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 22