Dr Wendy Umberger speaking at the Mannum Community Science Forum

1. South Australian Murray Darling Basin NRM Board Ranges to River NRM - Community Science Forum Farming Sustainability & Technologies

2. Global Food Sustainability - Australia and the Road Ahead Wendy Umberger, Ph.D. Food Economics and Policy School of Agriculture, Food and Wine Mannum Community Science Forum 21 March, 2011

3. Sustainability Defined “Sustainable agriculture is ...an integrated system of plant and animal production practices ...that will, over the long term: satisfy human food and fiber needs enhance environmental quality and the natural resource base upon which the agricultural economy depends make the most efficient use of non-renewable resources and on-farm resources and integrate, where appropriate, natural biological cycles and controls sustain the economic viability of farm operations enhance the quality of life for farmers and society as a whole.” Food, Agriculture, Conservation, and Trade Act of 1990 (FACTA), Public Law 101-624, Title XVI, Subtitle A, Section 1603 Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1990. NAL Call # KF1692.A31 1990

4. The Issue: Global Food Security NOT “food self-sufficiency” “when all people at all times have access to sufficient, safe, and nutritious food to maintain a healthy and active life”. (World Health Organization, 1996-present) 3 Pillars Food availability Food access Food utilization

5. Recent Increases in World Food Prices Source: http://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/wfs-home/foodpricesindex/en/

6. Trends in World Hunger Source: FAO

7. 1 billion undernourished 1.3 billion overweight or obese

8. Australia and Food Security Australia produces about 1% of the world’s food supply Contributes 3% of all food that is traded globally (2.2 % of the value in 2009) 5-9% of cereals (wheat, barley), meat, sugar Export about 67% of all food we produce (by value) #14 in terms of exports If it wasn’t grown here it would need to be grown elsewhere WHAT IS OUR COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE?? Source: http://www.daff.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0003/1866171/afs-overview-aust-food-industry.pdf

9. Economic and Political Pressures Facing Food Systems 2050 Global population increases Changes in quantity and quality of food demanded Competition for key resources Climate change and climate change policy Slowing of agricultural productivity growth since 1990’s Future governance of global food systems

11. 6.8 billion now, 8 billion in 2030 and 9 billion by 2050

12. Increases occurring in low to middle income countries (e.g. Africa)

13. Related transformational changes- move from rural to urban & need for food, water and energy

16. Loss of productive land and demand for energy & water

17. Demand for protein (higher quality food) increases

18. Global energy demand projected to increase 45% from 2006 to 2030 and could double between now and 2050.

19. Biofuel debate? Food vs. Fuel...

20. Synthetic fertiliser use...

21. Global water demand increasing

23. Sustainable Consumerism?

25. GMOS, input use etc.

26. Environmental footprint

27. “Food Systems” approach

29. Economic

30. Social

31. EnvironmentalSustainable Agriculture Platform: www.saiplatform.org www.saiplatformaust.org

33. Excellent Resources Australia and Food Security in a Changing World PMSEIC (2010). Australia and Food Security in a Changing World. The Prime Minister’s Science, Engineering and Innovation Council, Canberra, Australia. http://www.chiefscientist.gov.au/wp-content/uploads/FoodSecurity_web.pdf The UK Foresight project “The future of food and farming: challenges and choices for global sustainability” Foresight. The Future of Food and Farming (2011) Executive Summary. The Government Office for Science, London. http://www.bis.gov.uk/assets/bispartners/foresight/docs/food-and-farming/11-547-future-of-food-and-farming-summary.pdf World Economic Forum “Realizing a New Vision for Agriculture: A roadmap for stakeholders” http://www.weforum.org/reports/realizing-new-vision-agriculture-roadmap-stakeholders?fo=1 Alston, J.M., BA. Babcock and P.G. Pardey. The Shifting Patterns of Agricultural Production and Productivity Worldwide, Ames IA: Iowa State University, CARD-MATRIC e-book, 2010. http://www.card.iastate.edu/books/shifting_patterns/