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INDIA’S CT STRAT:
NEED FOR CHANGE & WAY AHEAD
109 DEFNs
PERSECUTIONS
JEWISH HOLOCAUST
9/11
VICTIMS
GLOBAL TERROR
INDLs




        ARMED GPs
                    STATES
TGTS


             PARLIAMENT 2001




TAJ MUMBAI

                 IC -814
VICTIMS OF INJUSTICE
RELIGIOUS FANATICS
LAW ENFORCING AGENCIES
WPNS OF MASS DESTR
INDIA’S TERROR MAP




Je
M
MIL RESPONSE
GREYHOUNDS       FORCE ONE




COBRA FORCE   OCTOPUS FORCE
…
TERROR ATTKS IN HINTERLAND
REACTIVE STRAT
HYPOTHESIS

INDIA NEEDS A SYSTEMIC CHANGE IN ITS APCH
 TOWARDS CT TO EFFECTIVELY COUNTER THE
 PRESENT & FUTURE CHALLENGES OF TERRORISM
SCOPE
 PART I    DEFINING TERRORISM , CHANGING NATURE
            & ITS FALLOUT

 PART II   OVERVIEW OF CT APCH WORLD OVER

 PART III INDIA’S CT SETUP & STRAT

 PART IV SHORTCOMINGS & SUCCESS MODELS

 PART V    RECOM WAY AHEAD
PART I

DEFINING TERRORISM : CHANGING NATURE &
              ITS FALLOUT
TERROR CIMBRICUS
“ANY ACT INTENDED TO CAUSE
DEATH OR SERIOUS BODILY
HARM TO CIVS OR NON-
COMBATANTS WITH PURPOSE OF
INTIMIDATING POPULATION OR
COMPELLING GOVT OR AN INTL
ORG TO DO OR ABSTAIN FROM
DOING ANY ACT”
CHANGING NATURE & ITS
      FALLOUT
FRENCH REVOLUTION




INDIAN MUTINY 1857

                     BHAGAT SINGH
19TH CENTURY
IRISH REVOLUTIONARY MOV




ARAB NATIONALISM
1964 -1980
TERRORISM TODAY
CHANGING METHODOLOGY OF TRT
ASSASSINATION

 ANWAR AL SADAT
 JOHN F KENNEDY
 BENAZIR BHUTTO
 RAJIV GANDHI
 MARTIN LUTHER KING
 ARCH DUKE FERDINAND
INST OF TERROR
HITLER              STALIN

         STATE TERRORISM
BOMBING




HIJACKING




                 CIV TGT
AIR BOMBING




              MULTI CITY ATTK
TERRORISM IN 21ST CENTURY
IMPROVED TECH
INTL RECT & TRG
 ANONYMITY

 SPEED

 MASS COVERAGE

 PANIC
TRADITIONAL TRT   SANDHENESTA


 SECULAR

 POL IDEOLOGY

 SEPARATIST

 ETHNIC




       NSCN
NEW TRT
 RELIGION
 DIVINE
  INSPIRATION
TRADITIONAL
 FLEXIBLE
 POL




NEW
 AMORPHOUS
ABSOLUTIST
LTD DEMAND VS GLOBAL AIMS
SYMBOLIC VIOLENCE




        FUNCTIONAL VIOLENCE
LETHAL & INDISCRIMINATE
RADICAL AIMS
DAWOOD IBRAHIM




                 HAWALA
LOCAL CRIMINALS

NARCO GANGS

ARMS TRAFFICKING
PSY W
IMPLICATIONS FOR INDIA
JAMMU & KASHMIR   NORTH EAST
 MUMBAI
 DELHI
 HYDERABAD
 PUNE
NATIONAL ASSIMILATION




     CULTURE
     RELIGION
     LANGUAGE
 DRUGS
 WPNS     PAKISTAN
                         NEPAL
 INFILT                          BHUTAN


                                  BANGLADESH

                                     MYANMAR




                      SRI LANKA
MINORITY EXPL

     ASSAM




             BOMBAY




                 PUNJAB
POL & CRIMINAL NEXUS




                        SCAMS
                        LAND GRAB
                        HAWALA
                        SWISS ACCTS
                        MURKY DEALS
WEAK GOVERNANCE

                   POL INSTABILITY

                   LACK OF POL WILL

                   CORRUPTION
POLICY MAKERS
PART II - OVERVIEW OF CT APCHS
           WORLD OVER




   COUNTRIES AFFECTED BY TERRORISM
PART 5

     PART 4

     PART 3

 OVERVIEW OF CT
STRAT WORLD OVER

DEFINING TERROR
ASEAN APCH
 EFFORT BEGAN -1997
 ASEAN MINISTERIAL MTG ON
  TRANSNATIONAL CRIME (AMMTC)
DECLARATION ON JT ACTION TO CT
 ASEAN REGIONAL FORUM (ARF)
 ARF INTER SECTIONAL MTG ON CT &
   TRANSNATIONAL CRIME (ISM-CTTC)
PSY OP

     CROSS BDR                 INT
       CONTS                PROCURING



IMMIGRATION
  MATTERS        TRG            BOMB/EXP
                                DETECTION



       TRAVEL
                              POST-
        DOCU
                            BLAST INV
      SECURITY
                 AIRPORT
                 SECURITY
ISRAELI CT APCH
ARAB- ISRAEL WAR
1956 SUEZ CAMPAIGN
1957 TO 1967




    35 ISRAELIS KILLED
GATHERING OF INT
RD BLOCKS
 SURROUNDING CITIES
 IMPOSING CURFEWS
 HOUSE TO HOUSE SEARCHES
 CAPTURING & KILLING TRTS
CERAMIC BODY ARMR
PTBL CONCRETE SHELTERS
SPOTTER AC
SECURITY FENCE
US CT APCH
CONTINUATION OF 1980’s
UNITING (&) STRENGTHENING AMERICA (BY)
PROVIDING APPROPRIATE TOOLS REQD (TO)
INTERCEPT (&) OBSTRUCT TERRORISM ACT
OF 2001
 US CONGRESS
 GEORGE W BUSH
 26 OCT 2001
FORGE PARTNERSHIP
 NON-STATE ACTORS
 MULTILATERAL ORG
 FOREIGN GOVTS
 CT OBJ
 NATIONAL SECURITY
   DEVP COORD STRAT
   SECURING COOP
MIL
 COMB OPS
 STRENGTHEN CT
 BDR CONT
 INTERNAL SECURITY
LAW ENFORCEMENT
 INFO SHARING
 TRG
 INVESTIGATIVE TECH
 PROTECT GOVT LDRS
 BIO & CHEM ATTKS
FINANCING
 IDEN
 FUND RAISING
 PROVIDE INFO
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
 RADIO & TV
 EXCHS
 PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFRS
 FAVORABLE IMAGE

 COUNTER BELIEF
INDIA’S CT SETUP & CT STRAT
PART 5

     PART 4

INDIAN CT SETUP &
      STRAT
 OVERVIEW OF CT
STRAT WORLD OVER

DEFINING TERROR
NATIONAL LEVEL
 NATIONAL INVESTIGATION AGENCY
(NIA)

 NATIONAL INT GRID (NATGRID)

 MULTI AGENCY CENTRE (MAC)

 CT DIV IN MEA

 INT AGENCIES

 NATIONAL SECURITY GD (NSG)

 SPL PROTECTION GP (SPG)

 PARA MIL FORCES (PMF)

 INDIAN ARMED FORCES

 STRAT SECURITY TECH COORD GP
NATIONAL INVESTIGATION AGENCY
NATIONAL INT GRID
MULTI AGENCY CENTRE
CT DIV IN MEA
IB
RAW
DIA
NSG
 NEUTR    OF   TRT
THREATS

 HANDLING
HIJACKING SIT

 BOMB DISPOSAL

 POST BLAST INV
SPG
PMF
INDIAN ARMED FORCES
SSTCG
FUNCTIONING OF AGENCIES
PMF
INDIAN ARMED FORCES
SETUP AT STATE LEVEL

 GREYHOUNDS

 COBRA

 FORCE ONE

 ANTI NAXAL FORCE

 OCTOPUS
INDIAN CT STRAT
INDIA RANKED 142 (158)
   REACTION TO TERRORISM
   NOVEL CHALLENGES
 REACTION TO TERRORISM
 NOVEL CHALLENGES
 WORLD’S LAB
TERROR ATTKS

         KANISHKA                       1988
         BOMBING                       PAN AM
                                      AIRWAYS




         INDIA                        WORLD
 1993                         1993
                     1999
MUMBAI                       WORLD               26/11
BLASTS              IC-814                      ATTKS
                    HIJACK   TRADE
                             CENTER
1985 BLOWING UP OF KANISHKA
1993 MUMBAI BOMB ATTKS
WORLD TRADE CENTER
    BOMBING
, 1993




         SOFT ON TERROR
 SECULAR
 APPEASEMENT OF
  MINORITIES
 HARDLINE STATES
, 1993
WAVERING RESPONSE
 CHANGES WITH GOVT
 TRTS DEMANDS
CURRENT CT STRAT
INITIAL RESPONSE
   POL ACCN
   COORD CT OPS
   ECON DEVP
   PSY INTIATIVES
INT SETUP




  INT                  PHYSICAL
SHARING   CT STRAT     SECURITY




            PSY OPS
DETECTION
 EYES & EARS OF GOVT
 PREEMPT THE TRTS
INT ANALYSIS
 OBJ & BAL ANALYSIS
 PROMPT ACTION
PHYSICAL SECURITY
 ACT AS A BACKUP
 CRISIS MGT
INV AGENCIES
 SPECIALLY TRAINED
 PREVENT RECURRENCE
PSY OPS
 ECON DEVP
 PROJ POSITIVE
  ASPECTS
PSY OPS
 BUILD-UP OF IMAGE
 PERIODIC TRG
NEWS/
                    TERRORISM
INCIDENTS




            MEDIA
SHORTCOMINGS IN CT SET UP
PART 5

  SHORTCOMINGS &
  SUCCESS MODELS
 INDIAN CT SETUP &
       STRAT
OVERVIEW OF CT STRAT
    WORLD OVER

  DEFINING TERROR
“A PERCEPTION HAS DEVELOPED AMONG THE
 TERRORIST GPS THAT INDIAN STATE IS INHERENTLY
 INCAPABLE OF MEETING THEIR CHALLENGE – THAT IT
 HAS BECOME SOFT AND INDOLENT. AS A MATTER OF
 FACT, QUITE A FEW PARTIES AND GPS APPEAR TO
 HAVE DEVELOPED A VESTED INTEREST IN A SOFT
 STATE, A WEAK GOVT AND AN INEFFECTIVE
 IMPLEMENTATION OF THE LAWS”.

                               - KPS GILL
NATIONAL LEVEL
CORRUPTION
INT COORD
MARITIME TERROR
PARLIAMENT ATTKS   KANDHAR HIJACK




                   CYBER WARFARE
ARE WE THINKING STRATEGICALLY?
WHICH AGENCY IS RESP?
PROMPT ACTION ?
LIVE COVERAGE –DID IT HELP THE TRTS? RESTNS!!!!
AFZAL GURU ISSUE     WEAKNESS




VOTE BANK POLITICS   INFIGHTING
DIVISIONS WITHIN
CENTRE VS STATE
UNITY OF THOUGHT ?
STRONG LAWS ?
SLOW PROCESS
EFFECTS OF REACTIVE POLICY
POROUS BDRS WITH NEPAL, MYANMAR & BANGLADESH
STATE LEVEL
GRIEVANCES DETECTION MECH ?
ARE WE DOING ENOUGH ?
PHYSICAL SECURITY MEASURES
ROLE OF SECURITY AGENCIES
CRISIS MGT APPARATUS
SUCCESS MODELS
UNEMPLOYMENT




FUTURE OF CHANDIGARH   RIVER WATER ALLOCATIONS
PROTECTION & PROMOTION OF SIKHISM




TERRITORIAL ADJUSTMENTS




REDUCED LANDHOLDINGS
EFF INT NW
           CLEAR POL RESOLVE
           STRONG POLICE LEADERSHIP
           REJECTION BY PUBLIC
           SIGNING OF RAJIV-LONGOWAL
           PEACE ACCORD


POL-MIL-SOCIAL PROCESS
WAY AHEAD

 SHORTCOMINGS &
 SUCCESS MODELS
 INDIAN CT SETUP &
       STRAT
OVERVIEW OF CT STRAT
    WORLD OVER

  DEFINING TERROR
PILLARS OF THE STRAT
SUGGESTED ORG
                                            Home Land
                                            Security HQ




          Tac Units              NCTC                                  Intl Coop
                                                  Think Tanks
                                                                         Dept



          Internal      Int Agencies
                                        Media Dept        Psy W Dept
        Affairs Dept         HQ



IB, RAW, SIB                      Cyber W       Satl Imagery
                 ELINT Dept
    & DIA                          Dept             Dept
INTL COOP
NCTC
NCTC
INT AGENCIES
                                                                               CYBER
                                                                               DEPT
RAW

 NATIONAL
   TECH
 RESEARCH
   ORG
             DIA
 JT CIPHER
  BUREAU     DTE OF AIR INT
                                                                                       COMMON
                              DTE OF REVENUE INT                                         GOAL
              SIG INT DTE
    IB
             DTE OF NAVY
                 INT          DTE OF INCOME TAX (INT   DTE GEN OF INCOME TAX
                                AND CRIMINAL INV)               INV
 ALL INDIA
   RADIO     AVN RESEARCH
MONITORING      CENTRE
  SERVICE
MEDIA DEPT
PSY DEPT
NATIONAL DATA BASE CENTRE
DATABASE

                INCIDENTS

       FOREIGNER
         VISIT


 EXP PROD & UTILIZATION



    ARMS PROD & SALE



CRIMINAL PERSONAL RECORD



   BANKING & FUND TFR
PASSWORD ?
WORK STREAMS



                              INDL
                    DEVP OF   MENTORING
                    TOOLS     ACTION
                              RESEARCH
       DISENGAGEMENT &
       DE-RADICALISATION

WORK ON
IMAM-TRG
CHECK THE WEB
ALLIANCE OF CIVILISATIONS
IN MOST CASES !!
SECURITY OF
              EXP



 CYBER                   VISAS
SECURITY




             TPT
           SECURITY




                                     SECURITY
     SECURITY
                                 RELATED RESEARCH
VISAS
MARITIME SECURITY
‘SYS FOR CONT OVER EXP TO
 PREVENT & FIGHT AGAINST
       TERRORISM’

        (SCEPYLT)
DATA SHARING
PNR
TRT FINANCE TRACKING PGME (TFTP)
NATIONAL COUNTER TERRORISM CENTRE
             (NCTC)
CRIMINAL LAW
WE’LL TAKE ADVANTAGE
WE’LL TAKE ADVANTAGE   OF LOOPHOLES IN
OF LOOPHOLES INDIAN    INDIAN JUDICIARY
SECURITY SYSTEM.       SYSTEM.
DRY DRILLS & EX
VICTIMS OF TERRORISM
PEER EVALUATION
SEMINARS
HAPPY NEIGHBOURS


  SAFER HOME
APEX BODY FORGOT INDIA DURING KANDHAR ?
SANCTIONS
OSINT




CBRN           CYBER




        CNO
END STATE
CONCLUSION
WAY AHEAD

SHORTCOMINGS &
SUCCESS MODELS
INDIAN CT SETUP &
      STRAT
OVERVIEW OF STRAT
  WORLD OVER

   DEFINITION
GOVERNMENT APATHY




                    UNEMPLOYMENT
POL SOLN
INTEGRATED CT STRAT

                PREVENTION




INTL COOP                         PROTECT




      RESPOND                PURSUE
OPINION POLL

 Sit in J & K is more or less
stabilised. NE saw the lowest level
of violence in 2011 since last two
decades. There has been no maj
terrorist incident in hinterland since
the Zaveri Bazar bomb blast in
Mumbai on 13 July 11 which killed
26 people. Do you think the terror
threat to India is slowly receding?
                                         STRONGLY   AGREE 10 %   DISAGREE   STRONGLY
                                           AGREE                    10%     DISAGREE
                                                                               80%
OPINION POLL


 Can we or should we
follow the proactive CT
strategy followed by other
countries like Israel ?


                             STRONGLY    AGREE 40 %   DISAGREE   STRONGLY
                             AGREE 20%                   40%     DISAGREE
                                                                    0%
OPINION POLL


 NCTC is in the pipeline as a
central org to counter
terrorism in the country? Do
you think NCTC is required
when already so many CT org
are existing in our country ?

                                 STRONGLY AGREE 70 DISAGREE STRONGLY
                                   AGREE     %        10%   DISAGREE
                                    20%                        0%
•Click (Intl Coop)
                     OPINION POLL



   Are the differences
  between centre & state
  and the lack of pol will
  , the main reason for slow
  reforms in CT setup ?


                               STRONGLY AGREE 75 %   DISAGREE   STRONGLY
                               AGREE 20%                5%      DISAGREE
                                                                   0%
OPINION POLL


 Do you agree that the
present CT strategy of
India is not effective
enough to deal with the
terror threat to the country
and needs a change?
                               STRONGLY   AGREE 60   DISAGREE   STRONGLY
                                 AGREE       %          20%     DISAGREE
                                  20%                              0%
HYPOTHESIS


    India needs a
    systemic change in
    its apch towards CT
    to effectively counter
    the present & future
    challenges of
    terrorism.
?
india terrorist startegy

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