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Further Cost Reductions Scenarios
Further Cost Reductions Scenarios

         Board of Directors 
            Workshop

         September 1, 2010
         September 1 2010




                                    1
Workshop Purpose
           Workshop Purpose
• Provide Updated Financial Information
• Receive Board Direction on Short Term 
  (Immediate) Strategies
  (Immediate) Strategies
• Receive Board Direction on Longer Term 
  Strategies




                                            2
Current Conditions
              Current Conditions
• Financial Realities: 
   – $56 Million Deficit for FY 2009/10 and 2010/11
      • $9 Million – Administrative Reductions 
      • $15 Million – Anticipated Savings from ATU Agreement
      • $22 Million – Anticipated Savings from 2 Service Cuts




                                                                3
Current Conditions
               Current Conditions
• Financial Realities: 
   – FY 2010/11 Budget Deficit Prior to                   
     August 8, 2010:  Balanced Budget
   – $17.6 Million Deficit through June 2011
      • $15.7 Million – Delayed Savings from Labor Agreement
      • $1.9 Million – Delayed Savings from August 2010 
        Service Reductions Implementation
   – FY 2011/12 F
     FY 2011/12 Forecast Budget Deficit:  $11 Million
                       t B d t D fi it $11 Milli
   – Continued Revenue Pressures and Uncertainties 


                                                               4
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios
• Short Term:  Need to Act Immediately
  – Service Reductions 
     • Represents the maximum that can be done at this point
     • Based on previously‐conducted public hearing
• Longer Term:  6 Months to 2 Years
     g
  – Range of Alternatives – Will require additional 
    study/review




                                                               5
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios 
            – Short Term
               h
• Service Reductions
  – Weekend Trunk and Major Corridor Only Network
     • Basic Level of Service to the District
        – Li
          Lines 1, 18, 20, 22, 40, 51A, 51B, 57, 60, 72, 72M, 73, 88, 97, 
                1 18 20 22 40 51A 51B 57 60 72 72M 73 88 97
          99, 210 and 217 to operate
     • Ridership Impacts – ~1/3 of Weekend Ridership
     • Preliminary Title VI Review Shows Potential Impact 
       Areas:
        – North Richmond:  Solution, retain Line 76
        – West Oakland:  Solution, retain Line 26
        – East Oakland:  Solution, retain Line 45



                                                                             6
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios 
            – Short Term
               h
• Service Reductions
  – All Nighter Core Service Only
     • Operate 800 and 801 only – RM 2 Funded
     • Di
       Discontinue 802, 805, 840, and 851 – Di i F d d
              i    802 805 840 d 851 District Funded
     • Minimal actual ridership impact, but major to users
• Closure of Division 8 (Paratransit)
  Closure of Division 8 (Paratransit)
     • AC Transit/BART Operate Consortium (69%/31%)
     • Redistribute hours to existing providers
                                    gp
     • No Patron Service Provision Impacts
• What do these reductions translate to…

                                                             7
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios 
             – Short Term
                h
                                                                            Total Platform Hours Historical Trend
                                                                Includes  Short Term Service Reductions for December 2010
                                                                Includes "Short Term" Service Reductions for December 2010
2400000   2320000

2300000         2252000
                                                                                                                                         2230777
                                                                                                                             2198702
2200000                 2110000
                                         2073000         2088000                                                             2124514                   2080004                               2073567
2100000
                                                                                                                                                                        1981456
2000000                                                                          1965016                                                                                                         1927219
                                                       2011000
                                                                                                                                                     1956120         1974266
1900000                             1947000
                                                             1979000
                                                                                     1920855             1808329
                                                                                                                     1968614
                                                                                                                                                                                             2043995
                                                                                                                                                                                                          1790410
1800000
                                                                                 1755306
                                                                                                     1782902
1700000                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1629410

1600000
1500000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Winter
            86‐87
                    87‐88
                            88‐89
                                     89‐90
                                             90‐91
                                                     91‐92
                                                             92‐93
                                                                     93‐94
                                                                             94‐95
                                                                                     95‐96
                                                                                             96‐97
                                                                                                     97‐98
                                                                                                             98‐99
                                                                                                                     99‐00
                                                                                                                             00‐01
                                                                                                                                     01‐02
                                                                                                                                             02‐03
                                                                                                                                                     03‐04
                                                                                                                                                             04‐05


                                                                                                                                                                             06‐07
                                                                                                                                                                                     07‐08
                                                                                                                                                                                             08‐09


                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1* Fall
                                                                                                                                                                                                     09‐10*
                                                                                                                                                                     05‐06




                                                                                                                                                                                                                            10‐11* W
                                                                                                                                                                                                              10‐11
                                                                                                                                                                                                     0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            8
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios 
            – Short Term
               h
• Implementation Schedule
  – 9/22:  Board Consideration of Final Plan
     • To Include Preliminary Title VI Review
  – 10/27 or 11/10:  Final Title VI Compliance Review
      /        /
  – 12/19:  Implementation

• Board Questions or Comments?




                                                        9
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios 
           – Longer Term
• Some Depend on Arbitration Results
  Some Depend on Arbitration Results
• Scenarios include:
  – S i C t ti O
    Service Contracting Opportunities – 12 M th
                               t iti    12 Months 
  – Further Overhead Reductions – 6 to 12 Months
  – Operations Efficiencies – 12 Months
  – Further Service Cuts – 6 to 9 Months




                                                     10
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios 
           – Longer Term
• Fixed Route Service Contracting Opportunities
  – Transbay and Supplementary
     • Peak Only Services – relative higher cost than basic
     •DDepending on District costs reduced, could result in 
             di       Di i            d d        ld    l i
       anywhere from $5 to $15 Million in savings
     • Retains the service, no ridership impacts




                                                               11
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios 
           – Longer Term
• Further Overhead Reductions
  – Close Division 3
     • Lowest service levels in 25 years
          – 1985 AM P k P ll 701
            1985 AM Peak Pull = 701
          – October 2010 Service AM Peak Pull = 471
     •   Facility closure is separate from service reductions
     •   Estimated annual operating savings ‐ $2.8 Million 
     •   Estimated annual costs due to route re‐alignment ‐ TBD
     •   Estimated one‐time revenues for property sale ‐
         Estimated one time revenues for property sale TBD
     •   Estimated one‐time costs for route re‐alignment ‐ TBD



                                                                  12
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios 
           – Longer Term
• Further Overhead Reductions
  – Contracting‐Out Strategies
     • As Mentioned in the GM Memo
• Operations Department Efficiencies
     • As Mentioned in GM Memo
• F
  Fare Increase
       I
  – Completed in connection with Fare Study
  – Projected Fare Increase in FY 2012/13
       j    d               i         /



                                              13
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios 
           – Longer Term
• Additional Fixed Route Service Reductions
  – Reduced Hours of Operations on Weekends
     • Represents an extension of short term 50% reduction 
       of service
       of service
     • Reduce Trunk and Major Corridor lines based on 
       demonstrated ridership demand




                                                              14
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios 
           – Longer Term
• Additional Fixed Route Service Reductions
  – Complete Elimination of Weekend Service
     •   Remaining lines under Short Term
     •   Major Ridership Impacts
         M j Rid hi I
     •   Not in keeping with an urban area
     •   Offers flexibility in planning for reductions
         Offers flexibility in planning for reductions




                                                         15
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios 
           – Longer Term
• Additional Fixed Route Service Reductions
  – Proportionate Reduction of Lines by Productivity
     • As Mentioned in the GM Memo
  – Elimination of Weekday Service Before 6am and 
                 f                   f
    After 8pm
     • As Mentioned in the GM Memo
       As Mentioned in the GM Memo
  – Elimination of Transbay and Supplementary Svc
     • As Mentioned in the GM Memo
     • Contracting Service is a viable alternative to canceling



                                                                  16
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios
FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios
• Questions or Comments on Longer Term

• Next Steps
  Next Steps
  – Board Direction on Implementation of Short Term 
    Strategy
  – Board Direction on Development of Longer Term 
    Strategies




                                                       17

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AC Transit Cost Reductions Presentation to Board of Directors (September 1, 2010)

  • 1. Further Cost Reductions Scenarios Further Cost Reductions Scenarios Board of Directors  Workshop September 1, 2010 September 1 2010 1
  • 2. Workshop Purpose Workshop Purpose • Provide Updated Financial Information • Receive Board Direction on Short Term  (Immediate) Strategies (Immediate) Strategies • Receive Board Direction on Longer Term  Strategies 2
  • 3. Current Conditions Current Conditions • Financial Realities:  – $56 Million Deficit for FY 2009/10 and 2010/11 • $9 Million – Administrative Reductions  • $15 Million – Anticipated Savings from ATU Agreement • $22 Million – Anticipated Savings from 2 Service Cuts 3
  • 4. Current Conditions Current Conditions • Financial Realities:  – FY 2010/11 Budget Deficit Prior to                    August 8, 2010:  Balanced Budget – $17.6 Million Deficit through June 2011 • $15.7 Million – Delayed Savings from Labor Agreement • $1.9 Million – Delayed Savings from August 2010  Service Reductions Implementation – FY 2011/12 F FY 2011/12 Forecast Budget Deficit:  $11 Million t B d t D fi it $11 Milli – Continued Revenue Pressures and Uncertainties  4
  • 5. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios • Short Term:  Need to Act Immediately – Service Reductions  • Represents the maximum that can be done at this point • Based on previously‐conducted public hearing • Longer Term:  6 Months to 2 Years g – Range of Alternatives – Will require additional  study/review 5
  • 6. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios  – Short Term h • Service Reductions – Weekend Trunk and Major Corridor Only Network • Basic Level of Service to the District – Li Lines 1, 18, 20, 22, 40, 51A, 51B, 57, 60, 72, 72M, 73, 88, 97,  1 18 20 22 40 51A 51B 57 60 72 72M 73 88 97 99, 210 and 217 to operate • Ridership Impacts – ~1/3 of Weekend Ridership • Preliminary Title VI Review Shows Potential Impact  Areas: – North Richmond:  Solution, retain Line 76 – West Oakland:  Solution, retain Line 26 – East Oakland:  Solution, retain Line 45 6
  • 7. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios  – Short Term h • Service Reductions – All Nighter Core Service Only • Operate 800 and 801 only – RM 2 Funded • Di Discontinue 802, 805, 840, and 851 – Di i F d d i 802 805 840 d 851 District Funded • Minimal actual ridership impact, but major to users • Closure of Division 8 (Paratransit) Closure of Division 8 (Paratransit) • AC Transit/BART Operate Consortium (69%/31%) • Redistribute hours to existing providers gp • No Patron Service Provision Impacts • What do these reductions translate to… 7
  • 8. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios  – Short Term h Total Platform Hours Historical Trend Includes  Short Term Service Reductions for December 2010 Includes "Short Term" Service Reductions for December 2010 2400000 2320000 2300000 2252000 2230777 2198702 2200000 2110000 2073000 2088000 2124514 2080004 2073567 2100000 1981456 2000000 1965016 1927219 2011000 1956120 1974266 1900000 1947000 1979000 1920855 1808329 1968614 2043995 1790410 1800000 1755306 1782902 1700000 1629410 1600000 1500000 Winter 86‐87 87‐88 88‐89 89‐90 90‐91 91‐92 92‐93 93‐94 94‐95 95‐96 96‐97 97‐98 98‐99 99‐00 00‐01 01‐02 02‐03 03‐04 04‐05 06‐07 07‐08 08‐09 1* Fall 09‐10* 05‐06 10‐11* W 10‐11 0 8
  • 9. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios  – Short Term h • Implementation Schedule – 9/22:  Board Consideration of Final Plan • To Include Preliminary Title VI Review – 10/27 or 11/10:  Final Title VI Compliance Review / / – 12/19:  Implementation • Board Questions or Comments? 9
  • 10. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios  – Longer Term • Some Depend on Arbitration Results Some Depend on Arbitration Results • Scenarios include: – S i C t ti O Service Contracting Opportunities – 12 M th t iti 12 Months  – Further Overhead Reductions – 6 to 12 Months – Operations Efficiencies – 12 Months – Further Service Cuts – 6 to 9 Months 10
  • 11. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios  – Longer Term • Fixed Route Service Contracting Opportunities – Transbay and Supplementary • Peak Only Services – relative higher cost than basic •DDepending on District costs reduced, could result in  di Di i d d ld l i anywhere from $5 to $15 Million in savings • Retains the service, no ridership impacts 11
  • 12. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios  – Longer Term • Further Overhead Reductions – Close Division 3 • Lowest service levels in 25 years – 1985 AM P k P ll 701 1985 AM Peak Pull = 701 – October 2010 Service AM Peak Pull = 471 • Facility closure is separate from service reductions • Estimated annual operating savings ‐ $2.8 Million  • Estimated annual costs due to route re‐alignment ‐ TBD • Estimated one‐time revenues for property sale ‐ Estimated one time revenues for property sale TBD • Estimated one‐time costs for route re‐alignment ‐ TBD 12
  • 13. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios  – Longer Term • Further Overhead Reductions – Contracting‐Out Strategies • As Mentioned in the GM Memo • Operations Department Efficiencies • As Mentioned in GM Memo • F Fare Increase I – Completed in connection with Fare Study – Projected Fare Increase in FY 2012/13 j d i / 13
  • 14. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios  – Longer Term • Additional Fixed Route Service Reductions – Reduced Hours of Operations on Weekends • Represents an extension of short term 50% reduction  of service of service • Reduce Trunk and Major Corridor lines based on  demonstrated ridership demand 14
  • 15. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios  – Longer Term • Additional Fixed Route Service Reductions – Complete Elimination of Weekend Service • Remaining lines under Short Term • Major Ridership Impacts M j Rid hi I • Not in keeping with an urban area • Offers flexibility in planning for reductions Offers flexibility in planning for reductions 15
  • 16. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios  – Longer Term • Additional Fixed Route Service Reductions – Proportionate Reduction of Lines by Productivity • As Mentioned in the GM Memo – Elimination of Weekday Service Before 6am and  f f After 8pm • As Mentioned in the GM Memo As Mentioned in the GM Memo – Elimination of Transbay and Supplementary Svc • As Mentioned in the GM Memo • Contracting Service is a viable alternative to canceling 16
  • 17. FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios FY 2010/11 Cost Reductions Scenarios • Questions or Comments on Longer Term • Next Steps Next Steps – Board Direction on Implementation of Short Term  Strategy – Board Direction on Development of Longer Term  Strategies 17