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How to use big data to drive UX
strategy?
1
Saeideh Bakhshi
Quantitative UX Researcher, Facebook
bakhshi@fb.com
UXPA 2018
At Georgia Tech College of Computing
Started PhD in CS
2009 2013
Focused on behaviors that drove users'
engagement with photos
Started working at Y! Labs
As a Quantitative UX Researcher
Started working at Facebook
2016
2012
Got interested in HCI and started
working on user engagement
Changed thesis topic
2014
And started to work full time at Yahoo
Labs
Graduated with PhD
Agenda
3
1
How does big data fit into UX?
2
Which big data methods are
useful for UX?
3
What are some examples of
using big data methods?
4
How is this different from
what data scientists/analysts
do?
How does big data fit into UX?
1
4
5
In 1995,Victor Minichiello
described how qualitative and
quantitative research differ in
concept and methodology.
Concept
Qualitative
Concerned with
understanding human
behavior from end user's
perspective
Assumes dynamic and
negotiable reality
Used to gain an
understanding of
reasons, opinions, and
motivations
Less generalizable
Quantitative
Concerned with
understanding behavior
from researcher's
perspective
Assumes a fixed and
measurable reality
Uses measurable data to
formulate facts and
uncover patterns
More generalizable
Minichiello, 1995
Method
Qualitative
Data is collected
through participant
observation or
interviews
Data is presented
through the language
of the end user
More in-depth
information on a few
cases
primary inductive
process used to
formulate theory or
hypotheses
Quantitative
Data is collected
through measuring
things
Data is presented
through the language
of statistical analysis
Less in-depth but more
breadth of information
across a large number
of cases
Primary deductive
process used to test
pre-specified concepts,
constructs, and
hypotheses that make
There's been a lot of progress
made in quantitative research
methods since 1995
Advantages of using big data
7
1Actions may tell a different
story than words. 2We can find new patterns that
were previously hidden.
3
Technology use cases are
getting more complex and
harder to find patterns. 4A lot of this data is already
available.
Big data methods can be useful at various stages of user
research
StrategicFoundational
Predictive and Hypothesis
driven
Strategic research can specially
benefit from big data methods
where we need to test
hypotheses about behaviors or
predict trends.
Exploratory & Generative
Variety of big data methods (e.g.
unsupervised methods) can help
us explore behaviors and
attitudes associated with product.
Characterize use and
measure success
After a product is launched, big
data methods can help us
characterize behaviors, measure
success and connect the two.
Evaluative
8
9
Theorize/Predict what's
next: We can use past
behavior to predict future
behavior and strategize
products around that.
Characterize
behaviors and
estimate success
Use unsupervised
methods to find
patterns and trends Conceptual model
around behavior: Based
on findings, we can come up
with theories on how/why it
is happening
Test
hypotheses
Analysis: We can analyze
large scale behavioral data to
find patterns around the product
or topic we are interested in
How can behavioral data help us with strategy?
What are some useful machine learning
methods we can use with large data?
2
10
11
Problem type Big data methods Types of data
Exploratory
exploratory data analysis, unsupervised
methods (clustering, assoication rules),
text analysis
behavioral or user generated data or self
reported data
Deep dive in an existing behavior
supervised methods (regression,
classification)
behavioral + attitudinal
Hypothesis validation
Hypothesis testing, supervised methods
(regression, classification)
behavioral + attidunal
Trends forecasting
Timeserie analysis, Forecasting,
prediction
behavioral
Data Preparation,
exploration and
reduction: Collection,
Cleaning and preparing
data, bivariate analysis,
visualization,
dimensionality reduction
Prediction: Linear
regression, K-nearest
neighbors, Regression trees,
Neural networks, Ensembles
Time-series analysis:
Regression based,
Smoothing methods
Theorize/Predict
what's next: Sometimes,
we can use past behavior
to predict future behavior
and strategize around that
Classification: K-nearest
neighbor, Naive-bayes,
Classification trees, Logistic
regression, Neural networks,
Discriminant analysis, Ensembles
What goes together:
Association rules,
collaborative filtering
Segmentation:
Clustering
Model evaluation
and selection:
accuracy and
performance evaluations
Descriptive analysis:
bivariate and
multivariate analysis,
Data visualization
Insights: Gather insights
How to use machine learning in UX to drive strategy?
Two Examples of using big data methods
3
13
Are the social signals of a review indicative of the
polarity of the text?
How do users use various voting options on
Yelp reviews?
Are the social signals of a review indicative of how much
the rating differs from the mean rating for that business?
14
15
We obtained data that was shared by Yelp.
11,537 businesses
43,873 reviewers
229,907 reviews
It contained, data about businesses in Phoenix,AZ area.
Yelp data
We created the response variable to indicate the difference between
review's rating and the average rating
Business's avg rating Review's rating
Funny, cool and useful
votes
Different set of variables we considered
16
17
Take-aways
18
1
Funny votes imply lower
ratings and higher negativity
in the tone. 2
Useful votes imply lower
ratings and lower positivity in
the tone.
3
Cool votes imply higher
ratings and higher positivity
in the tones. 4
Community signals carry
implied meaning beyond
their specific labels.
We used a big data model to better understand how our users use the features that are available to them on the site.
Connection: What is the structure of social connection
on Pinterest? For example, are women or men more
connected?
Comparison: How does behavior on Pinterest compare
to behavior on other social network sites? Letting Twitter
be our point of reference, do Pinterest and Twitter users
systematically differ in what they talk about?
What is Pinterest and what do people do
there?
Activity: What drives user activity on Pinterest: what
about a pin—and its pinner—“grabs the attention” of other
users? For example, what role does gender play? Do pins
from women receive more, less, or equal attention than
those from men?
19
Data collection process
20
steps taken in this work to collect and prepare data for modeling
Pins
21
Pin is a unit of analysis for content on Pinterest
• We collected data around pins:
• repins: how many times this pin was repinned
• likes: how many other users liked this pin
• comments: textual comments included by the pin’s
pinner
• text: the pin’s description and comments by others
Users on Pinterest are called pinners.They can create
boards and pin images to their boards.
Pinners
22
Aenean eu leo quam Vehicula Etiam sed diam eget risus varius
blandit sit amet non magna.
• We collected data around pinners:
• followers: how many pinners follow this pinner
• follows: how many users this pinner follows
• boards: how many boards this pinner has created
• pins: how many pins this pinner has created
we also collected additional data features that could
help us understand Pinterest activities better.
Additional data
23
• location: a free-text description of a pinner’s location,
via either Pinterest or Facebook; if they specified it in
both places, we used the Pinterest location
• gender: a pinner’s self-reported gender via their
Facebook profile page
• tweet text: via their linked Twitter handle, the text of
all tweets written by this pinner in the last year
Take-aways
24
1Being American or British
earns repins. 2Being female means fewer
followers.
3Pinterest’s verbs: use, look,
want, need. 4Twitter: lol, watching now.
Geographic distribution of users we used in the analysis
25
We run a negative binomial regression with number
of followers as a dependent variable.
Understanding follows
26
Main findings:
Gender: being female is associated with lower number
of followers
Country: Being American or British earns repins.While
we were unable to analyze every country in our dataset
because of sparsity, we do find that pinners from the
United States and the United Kingdom attract more
repins than the rest of the world.
We plot the distributions of followers for each
gender:
Gender follow up analysis
27
while the median male follower
count is lower than the female median follower
count (67 vs. 86), the mean male follower count is
substantially higher than the mean female follower
count (1,063 vs.270).
What differentiates posts on Pinterest from the posts on Twitter?
28
Pinterest’s verbs: use, look, want, need.
What differentiates posts on Pinterest from the posts on Twitter?
29
What differentiates posts on Pinterest from the posts on Twitter?
30
Twitter: lol, watching now.
How is this different from Data Science/
Analytics?
4
31
Basic unit is interactionBasic unit is task Basic unit is action
32
Qualitative methods DS big data methodsUX big data methods
Large dataBasic unit is task Large data
Data from replication of real
world usage
Data from real world usage Data from real world usage
Human centric Human centric Business centric
Answers why
Answers what, sometimes
why
Answers what
Footercontent20pts.Loremipsumdolorsitamet,erosverteremsalutatusnamte.Viscutamquamconclusionemque.
With Large scale behavioral
analysis we can be both
human centric and business
centric.
We can connect people's
needs and behaviors to
business metrics and propose
new metrics using behavior.
Small scale
Large scale
Business centric Human centric
Qualitative
UX methods
Data Science
Methods Large-Scale
Behavioral
Methods
Survey
Methods
Large scale machine learning methods can help us report business
metrics based on actual behavior
Accuracy
Explainability
UX models are often
intended to be
descriptive
Business models often
aim to be predictive
Explainability vs accuracy trade-off
1 2
Make sure to learn and understand how data
is collected and what are the limitations of it.
3 4 Having access to big data and being able to
analyze that data will not do you a bit of good
if you are unable to translate those efforts into
successful actions.
Keep it simple: that any modeling exercise
has inherent risk.Although advanced
statistical methods indisputably make for
better models, complex models are often not
practical.
Big data can't answer all types of research questions
Start with a hypothesis
Complexity is not
always better
Understand your data
Turn insights into
actions
It's easy to get lost with big data. Often
projects are exploratory so there is always a
need to approach these projects with
established hypotheses.
Things to remember
35
Be ready to triangulate with
qualitative methods
36
Algorithms are not as good as Humans in telling
the full story
How to use big data to drive UX
strategy?
37
Saeideh Bakhshi
Quantitative UX Researcher, Facebook
bakhshi@fb.com
UXPA 2018

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How to use Big Data to drive product strategy and adoption

  • 1. How to use big data to drive UX strategy? 1 Saeideh Bakhshi Quantitative UX Researcher, Facebook bakhshi@fb.com UXPA 2018
  • 2. At Georgia Tech College of Computing Started PhD in CS 2009 2013 Focused on behaviors that drove users' engagement with photos Started working at Y! Labs As a Quantitative UX Researcher Started working at Facebook 2016 2012 Got interested in HCI and started working on user engagement Changed thesis topic 2014 And started to work full time at Yahoo Labs Graduated with PhD
  • 3. Agenda 3 1 How does big data fit into UX? 2 Which big data methods are useful for UX? 3 What are some examples of using big data methods? 4 How is this different from what data scientists/analysts do?
  • 4. How does big data fit into UX? 1 4
  • 5. 5 In 1995,Victor Minichiello described how qualitative and quantitative research differ in concept and methodology.
  • 6. Concept Qualitative Concerned with understanding human behavior from end user's perspective Assumes dynamic and negotiable reality Used to gain an understanding of reasons, opinions, and motivations Less generalizable Quantitative Concerned with understanding behavior from researcher's perspective Assumes a fixed and measurable reality Uses measurable data to formulate facts and uncover patterns More generalizable Minichiello, 1995 Method Qualitative Data is collected through participant observation or interviews Data is presented through the language of the end user More in-depth information on a few cases primary inductive process used to formulate theory or hypotheses Quantitative Data is collected through measuring things Data is presented through the language of statistical analysis Less in-depth but more breadth of information across a large number of cases Primary deductive process used to test pre-specified concepts, constructs, and hypotheses that make There's been a lot of progress made in quantitative research methods since 1995
  • 7. Advantages of using big data 7 1Actions may tell a different story than words. 2We can find new patterns that were previously hidden. 3 Technology use cases are getting more complex and harder to find patterns. 4A lot of this data is already available.
  • 8. Big data methods can be useful at various stages of user research StrategicFoundational Predictive and Hypothesis driven Strategic research can specially benefit from big data methods where we need to test hypotheses about behaviors or predict trends. Exploratory & Generative Variety of big data methods (e.g. unsupervised methods) can help us explore behaviors and attitudes associated with product. Characterize use and measure success After a product is launched, big data methods can help us characterize behaviors, measure success and connect the two. Evaluative 8
  • 9. 9 Theorize/Predict what's next: We can use past behavior to predict future behavior and strategize products around that. Characterize behaviors and estimate success Use unsupervised methods to find patterns and trends Conceptual model around behavior: Based on findings, we can come up with theories on how/why it is happening Test hypotheses Analysis: We can analyze large scale behavioral data to find patterns around the product or topic we are interested in How can behavioral data help us with strategy?
  • 10. What are some useful machine learning methods we can use with large data? 2 10
  • 11. 11 Problem type Big data methods Types of data Exploratory exploratory data analysis, unsupervised methods (clustering, assoication rules), text analysis behavioral or user generated data or self reported data Deep dive in an existing behavior supervised methods (regression, classification) behavioral + attitudinal Hypothesis validation Hypothesis testing, supervised methods (regression, classification) behavioral + attidunal Trends forecasting Timeserie analysis, Forecasting, prediction behavioral
  • 12. Data Preparation, exploration and reduction: Collection, Cleaning and preparing data, bivariate analysis, visualization, dimensionality reduction Prediction: Linear regression, K-nearest neighbors, Regression trees, Neural networks, Ensembles Time-series analysis: Regression based, Smoothing methods Theorize/Predict what's next: Sometimes, we can use past behavior to predict future behavior and strategize around that Classification: K-nearest neighbor, Naive-bayes, Classification trees, Logistic regression, Neural networks, Discriminant analysis, Ensembles What goes together: Association rules, collaborative filtering Segmentation: Clustering Model evaluation and selection: accuracy and performance evaluations Descriptive analysis: bivariate and multivariate analysis, Data visualization Insights: Gather insights How to use machine learning in UX to drive strategy?
  • 13. Two Examples of using big data methods 3 13
  • 14. Are the social signals of a review indicative of the polarity of the text? How do users use various voting options on Yelp reviews? Are the social signals of a review indicative of how much the rating differs from the mean rating for that business? 14
  • 15. 15 We obtained data that was shared by Yelp. 11,537 businesses 43,873 reviewers 229,907 reviews It contained, data about businesses in Phoenix,AZ area. Yelp data
  • 16. We created the response variable to indicate the difference between review's rating and the average rating Business's avg rating Review's rating Funny, cool and useful votes Different set of variables we considered 16
  • 17. 17
  • 18. Take-aways 18 1 Funny votes imply lower ratings and higher negativity in the tone. 2 Useful votes imply lower ratings and lower positivity in the tone. 3 Cool votes imply higher ratings and higher positivity in the tones. 4 Community signals carry implied meaning beyond their specific labels. We used a big data model to better understand how our users use the features that are available to them on the site.
  • 19. Connection: What is the structure of social connection on Pinterest? For example, are women or men more connected? Comparison: How does behavior on Pinterest compare to behavior on other social network sites? Letting Twitter be our point of reference, do Pinterest and Twitter users systematically differ in what they talk about? What is Pinterest and what do people do there? Activity: What drives user activity on Pinterest: what about a pin—and its pinner—“grabs the attention” of other users? For example, what role does gender play? Do pins from women receive more, less, or equal attention than those from men? 19
  • 20. Data collection process 20 steps taken in this work to collect and prepare data for modeling
  • 21. Pins 21 Pin is a unit of analysis for content on Pinterest • We collected data around pins: • repins: how many times this pin was repinned • likes: how many other users liked this pin • comments: textual comments included by the pin’s pinner • text: the pin’s description and comments by others
  • 22. Users on Pinterest are called pinners.They can create boards and pin images to their boards. Pinners 22 Aenean eu leo quam Vehicula Etiam sed diam eget risus varius blandit sit amet non magna. • We collected data around pinners: • followers: how many pinners follow this pinner • follows: how many users this pinner follows • boards: how many boards this pinner has created • pins: how many pins this pinner has created
  • 23. we also collected additional data features that could help us understand Pinterest activities better. Additional data 23 • location: a free-text description of a pinner’s location, via either Pinterest or Facebook; if they specified it in both places, we used the Pinterest location • gender: a pinner’s self-reported gender via their Facebook profile page • tweet text: via their linked Twitter handle, the text of all tweets written by this pinner in the last year
  • 24. Take-aways 24 1Being American or British earns repins. 2Being female means fewer followers. 3Pinterest’s verbs: use, look, want, need. 4Twitter: lol, watching now.
  • 25. Geographic distribution of users we used in the analysis 25
  • 26. We run a negative binomial regression with number of followers as a dependent variable. Understanding follows 26 Main findings: Gender: being female is associated with lower number of followers Country: Being American or British earns repins.While we were unable to analyze every country in our dataset because of sparsity, we do find that pinners from the United States and the United Kingdom attract more repins than the rest of the world.
  • 27. We plot the distributions of followers for each gender: Gender follow up analysis 27 while the median male follower count is lower than the female median follower count (67 vs. 86), the mean male follower count is substantially higher than the mean female follower count (1,063 vs.270).
  • 28. What differentiates posts on Pinterest from the posts on Twitter? 28 Pinterest’s verbs: use, look, want, need.
  • 29. What differentiates posts on Pinterest from the posts on Twitter? 29
  • 30. What differentiates posts on Pinterest from the posts on Twitter? 30 Twitter: lol, watching now.
  • 31. How is this different from Data Science/ Analytics? 4 31
  • 32. Basic unit is interactionBasic unit is task Basic unit is action 32 Qualitative methods DS big data methodsUX big data methods Large dataBasic unit is task Large data Data from replication of real world usage Data from real world usage Data from real world usage Human centric Human centric Business centric Answers why Answers what, sometimes why Answers what
  • 33. Footercontent20pts.Loremipsumdolorsitamet,erosverteremsalutatusnamte.Viscutamquamconclusionemque. With Large scale behavioral analysis we can be both human centric and business centric. We can connect people's needs and behaviors to business metrics and propose new metrics using behavior. Small scale Large scale Business centric Human centric Qualitative UX methods Data Science Methods Large-Scale Behavioral Methods Survey Methods Large scale machine learning methods can help us report business metrics based on actual behavior
  • 34. Accuracy Explainability UX models are often intended to be descriptive Business models often aim to be predictive Explainability vs accuracy trade-off
  • 35. 1 2 Make sure to learn and understand how data is collected and what are the limitations of it. 3 4 Having access to big data and being able to analyze that data will not do you a bit of good if you are unable to translate those efforts into successful actions. Keep it simple: that any modeling exercise has inherent risk.Although advanced statistical methods indisputably make for better models, complex models are often not practical. Big data can't answer all types of research questions Start with a hypothesis Complexity is not always better Understand your data Turn insights into actions It's easy to get lost with big data. Often projects are exploratory so there is always a need to approach these projects with established hypotheses. Things to remember 35
  • 36. Be ready to triangulate with qualitative methods 36 Algorithms are not as good as Humans in telling the full story
  • 37. How to use big data to drive UX strategy? 37 Saeideh Bakhshi Quantitative UX Researcher, Facebook bakhshi@fb.com UXPA 2018