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November 2016
CSIQ NASDAQ Listed
CHALLENGES AT PROJECT LEVEL
SOLAR/DIESEL MINI-GRIDS
TREVOR DE VRIES
2www.canadiansolar.com 2
3www.canadiansolar.com 3
4www.canadiansolar.com 4
 Reduction in variable cost;
 Oil Price at 6 yr low but ……?
 Of Total price <50% is retail;
 Significant diesel savings over LOM;
 8-12 PPA financially viable due to
high cost of Diesel;
 Demand for power is growing as
mines ‘dig deeper’;
 Reduction in CO2 emissions;
 Reduction of O&M costs
• Unstable grid;
• Logistical challenges for Fuel supply;
• Theft & Contamination of fuel;
• Political instability;
• Grid extension prohibitively high;
• >7km access makes Mini-grids feasible;
• Mini-grids will jump the grid like mobile did.!
• Monopolistic conditions causing
price uncertainty;
• Government subsidies aimed at
Gridco;
Why PV/Diesel Mini-grids….?
5www.canadiansolar.com
Why Mini-grid
PV-Diesel-Hybrid* is already a real business case in high irradiation regions with effective
Diesel cost > 1 USD/liter
* Ref: SMA, 2013
* RE penetration <15%
6www.canadiansolar.com
Mini-Grid Challenges
PV Penetration & Control
Technical
Legacy Retrofit
Project Finance
Financial
Solutions
Other
Challenges
Perceptions
Logistical
Environmental
Community Involvement
7www.canadiansolar.com
Technical Challenges
Design
PV Penetration & Control
Why is this important?
• Solar PV is an intermittent resource;
• Failure could result in electrical system collapse and outages;
• Large thermal power plants are generally made of multiple medium speed generators;
• Medium speed generators may not respond quick enough to the match intermittency;
• High speed generators sized to mirror solar PV capacity due to their fast response.
Degree of Penetration
• <20% - PV regarded as negative load no controller neccessary
• Prolonged PV may cause several DG to switch off affecting system inertia & frequency
fluctuations;
• Requires PV Inverter intelligence;
• >20% - DG Production must match consumption;
• Maintain minimum DG load under large influx of PV energy;
• Load loss – must throttle back PV inverters
• Mechanical Injection - operating at 30% of its rated power consumes 20% more fuel per kilowatt hour
produced compared with a diesel generator under full load.
• This leads to greater engine wear and an increased maintenance requirement due to deposits in the waste
gas system and in the pistons;
• N+1 rule for 110% of estimated load;
8www.canadiansolar.com
Technical Challenges
Legacy Retrofit
Diesel Generators
• Low Load or Variable Speed engines;
• Minimum Loading will determine RE penetration;
• Option 1: solar design is modified to suit the generators) or
• Option 2: the generators are modified to suit the solar design.
Example impact of diesel engine size on solar penetration (100kW load)
Ref: Solar/Diesel/Grid Handbook
Minimum Load Factor
Spinning Reserve
• Several HS DG running at load level to ramp up faster;
• Spinning reserve can be reduced if PV oversized compared to Inverter;
• Storage will reduce Diesel sizing, load shifting;
9www.canadiansolar.com
Technical Challenges
• Dropping a large load on a generator in a short timeframe can result in engine stall;
• Management of over-production (curtailment);
• Storage is key;
Illustrative Overview of Hybrid PV/Diesel Load and Generation Profile
Legacy Retrofit
Energy Management Plan
• Inadequate Load curve (15min) and future growth needs + margin;
• Powerhouse…?;
• Existing Diesel assets usually EOL;
• Outdated Diesel control systems;
• Contaminated fuel (Diesel & HFO);
• Adequate reference sites for controller technology;
• Accurate evaluation of DER and controller integration;
Other
10www.canadiansolar.com
Financial Challenges
Project Finance
PV / Diesel Hybrids
• Projects too small for Investors;
• How to secure PPA Risk (LOM, Curtailment, Sovereign, Liquidity, Foreign Exchange);
• Venture Risk with Infrastructure returns…?;
• Parental company guarantee not always available;
• Propriety engineering drives up cost….(MG test centre)
Rural Mini-grids
• No clear standards for technical bankability;
• No confirmed revenue stream; (PAYG, Political Risks and grid expansion;
• No Scalable business model;
• Current projects only exist through large Government subsidies;
• Early development funding:
• Grants;
• Crowdfunding (Sun Exchange. TRINE, Ecoligo);
11www.canadiansolar.com
Financial Challenges
Solutions
• Establishing common features for PPAs;
• Develop industrywide standards.;
• Reduced due diligence costs;
• > $300m threshold;
• Default de-risk;
• MG backed assets to access secondary markets
• Streamline due-diligence process;
• Green Bonds;
• Streamline Operations;
• Need policy change to re-divert subsidies;
• Leverage existing data to match consumption for POC;
• Leverage anchor (commercial) client to subsidise residential tariffs;
Standerdised Contracts
Aggregation
Securitisation
Other
12www.canadiansolar.com
Other Challenges
Logistical
• Remoteness;
• Local logistics partners;
• Country specific Sub-contractor HSE requirements do not match contacting party;
• Special transport requirements (air suspension trucks);
• Very specific packing requirements;
• Permitting for abnormal loads vary considerably (no superlinks !) resulting in additional trips;
• Clearly defined laydown area (goods arrive site not ready!)
• Goods held at port incurring demurrage costs;
• Lack of heavy lifting equipment;
• Identified spares storage for O&M;
• Environmental issues like water onsite for dust & road control;
• Bribery & Theft;
• Inadequate lead time;
• Country specific investment incentives direct subsidise import duties; (up to project developer to provide)
• Custom risks must be well defined;
Environmental
• Risk of diesel spills in-situ and in transit, causing contamination of soil and ground water
• Greenhouse gas emissions from diesel combustion and fuel transportation
Community Involvement
13www.canadiansolar.com
Mini-grid Project Experience
Keewaywin
North Spirit Lake McDowell Lake
Deer Lake
14www.canadiansolar.com
Case Study – Fort Severn
400x people, 100 houses, 1x healthcare facility, some offices, church, community hall.
15www.canadiansolar.com
Case Study – Fort Severn
----What did we do?
 Proposed a phased-in solar
capacity development plan
 Phase I - Installed a grid
connected 24kWdc/20kWac solar
rooftop system.
 Gained confidence of community
and utility that renewables would
not have a negative impact.
 Phase II – To implement a pilot
Mini-grid including 300kW solar,
10kW wind and 200kW battery to
study the impact on the grid with
diesel as primary.
 Phase III – To implement a full
Mini-grid including 600kW solar,
500kW wind and 750kW battery
allowing for diesel-off operation.
----What did we learned?
 Logistics in remote locations
is unpredictable.
 Shipping BOS materials
was another challenge
 Important to triple check and
cross check bills of material.
 Necessity of working with
the situations as they arrive
and adapting to a change
on the fly.
----How did it start?
 Most remote community in
Ontario.
 Highest cost of electricity
generation due to transport
cost of diesel fuel.
 Planned community
growth.
 Prior – failed – experience
with wind energy.
16www.canadiansolar.com
Mini-Grid Test Centre
Mini-grid Control System
PV system
Wind Turbine
Flywheel
Battery Storage System
Load Banks
Diesel Gensets
Grid Simulator
PV Solar Simulator
Wind Simulator
Forecasting
17Canadian Solar Inc.
THANK YOU!
November 2016

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Challenges at project level for microgrid solutions lisbon 2016

  • 1. November 2016 CSIQ NASDAQ Listed CHALLENGES AT PROJECT LEVEL SOLAR/DIESEL MINI-GRIDS TREVOR DE VRIES
  • 4. 4www.canadiansolar.com 4  Reduction in variable cost;  Oil Price at 6 yr low but ……?  Of Total price <50% is retail;  Significant diesel savings over LOM;  8-12 PPA financially viable due to high cost of Diesel;  Demand for power is growing as mines ‘dig deeper’;  Reduction in CO2 emissions;  Reduction of O&M costs • Unstable grid; • Logistical challenges for Fuel supply; • Theft & Contamination of fuel; • Political instability; • Grid extension prohibitively high; • >7km access makes Mini-grids feasible; • Mini-grids will jump the grid like mobile did.! • Monopolistic conditions causing price uncertainty; • Government subsidies aimed at Gridco; Why PV/Diesel Mini-grids….?
  • 5. 5www.canadiansolar.com Why Mini-grid PV-Diesel-Hybrid* is already a real business case in high irradiation regions with effective Diesel cost > 1 USD/liter * Ref: SMA, 2013 * RE penetration <15%
  • 6. 6www.canadiansolar.com Mini-Grid Challenges PV Penetration & Control Technical Legacy Retrofit Project Finance Financial Solutions Other Challenges Perceptions Logistical Environmental Community Involvement
  • 7. 7www.canadiansolar.com Technical Challenges Design PV Penetration & Control Why is this important? • Solar PV is an intermittent resource; • Failure could result in electrical system collapse and outages; • Large thermal power plants are generally made of multiple medium speed generators; • Medium speed generators may not respond quick enough to the match intermittency; • High speed generators sized to mirror solar PV capacity due to their fast response. Degree of Penetration • <20% - PV regarded as negative load no controller neccessary • Prolonged PV may cause several DG to switch off affecting system inertia & frequency fluctuations; • Requires PV Inverter intelligence; • >20% - DG Production must match consumption; • Maintain minimum DG load under large influx of PV energy; • Load loss – must throttle back PV inverters • Mechanical Injection - operating at 30% of its rated power consumes 20% more fuel per kilowatt hour produced compared with a diesel generator under full load. • This leads to greater engine wear and an increased maintenance requirement due to deposits in the waste gas system and in the pistons; • N+1 rule for 110% of estimated load;
  • 8. 8www.canadiansolar.com Technical Challenges Legacy Retrofit Diesel Generators • Low Load or Variable Speed engines; • Minimum Loading will determine RE penetration; • Option 1: solar design is modified to suit the generators) or • Option 2: the generators are modified to suit the solar design. Example impact of diesel engine size on solar penetration (100kW load) Ref: Solar/Diesel/Grid Handbook Minimum Load Factor Spinning Reserve • Several HS DG running at load level to ramp up faster; • Spinning reserve can be reduced if PV oversized compared to Inverter; • Storage will reduce Diesel sizing, load shifting;
  • 9. 9www.canadiansolar.com Technical Challenges • Dropping a large load on a generator in a short timeframe can result in engine stall; • Management of over-production (curtailment); • Storage is key; Illustrative Overview of Hybrid PV/Diesel Load and Generation Profile Legacy Retrofit Energy Management Plan • Inadequate Load curve (15min) and future growth needs + margin; • Powerhouse…?; • Existing Diesel assets usually EOL; • Outdated Diesel control systems; • Contaminated fuel (Diesel & HFO); • Adequate reference sites for controller technology; • Accurate evaluation of DER and controller integration; Other
  • 10. 10www.canadiansolar.com Financial Challenges Project Finance PV / Diesel Hybrids • Projects too small for Investors; • How to secure PPA Risk (LOM, Curtailment, Sovereign, Liquidity, Foreign Exchange); • Venture Risk with Infrastructure returns…?; • Parental company guarantee not always available; • Propriety engineering drives up cost….(MG test centre) Rural Mini-grids • No clear standards for technical bankability; • No confirmed revenue stream; (PAYG, Political Risks and grid expansion; • No Scalable business model; • Current projects only exist through large Government subsidies; • Early development funding: • Grants; • Crowdfunding (Sun Exchange. TRINE, Ecoligo);
  • 11. 11www.canadiansolar.com Financial Challenges Solutions • Establishing common features for PPAs; • Develop industrywide standards.; • Reduced due diligence costs; • > $300m threshold; • Default de-risk; • MG backed assets to access secondary markets • Streamline due-diligence process; • Green Bonds; • Streamline Operations; • Need policy change to re-divert subsidies; • Leverage existing data to match consumption for POC; • Leverage anchor (commercial) client to subsidise residential tariffs; Standerdised Contracts Aggregation Securitisation Other
  • 12. 12www.canadiansolar.com Other Challenges Logistical • Remoteness; • Local logistics partners; • Country specific Sub-contractor HSE requirements do not match contacting party; • Special transport requirements (air suspension trucks); • Very specific packing requirements; • Permitting for abnormal loads vary considerably (no superlinks !) resulting in additional trips; • Clearly defined laydown area (goods arrive site not ready!) • Goods held at port incurring demurrage costs; • Lack of heavy lifting equipment; • Identified spares storage for O&M; • Environmental issues like water onsite for dust & road control; • Bribery & Theft; • Inadequate lead time; • Country specific investment incentives direct subsidise import duties; (up to project developer to provide) • Custom risks must be well defined; Environmental • Risk of diesel spills in-situ and in transit, causing contamination of soil and ground water • Greenhouse gas emissions from diesel combustion and fuel transportation Community Involvement
  • 14. 14www.canadiansolar.com Case Study – Fort Severn 400x people, 100 houses, 1x healthcare facility, some offices, church, community hall.
  • 15. 15www.canadiansolar.com Case Study – Fort Severn ----What did we do?  Proposed a phased-in solar capacity development plan  Phase I - Installed a grid connected 24kWdc/20kWac solar rooftop system.  Gained confidence of community and utility that renewables would not have a negative impact.  Phase II – To implement a pilot Mini-grid including 300kW solar, 10kW wind and 200kW battery to study the impact on the grid with diesel as primary.  Phase III – To implement a full Mini-grid including 600kW solar, 500kW wind and 750kW battery allowing for diesel-off operation. ----What did we learned?  Logistics in remote locations is unpredictable.  Shipping BOS materials was another challenge  Important to triple check and cross check bills of material.  Necessity of working with the situations as they arrive and adapting to a change on the fly. ----How did it start?  Most remote community in Ontario.  Highest cost of electricity generation due to transport cost of diesel fuel.  Planned community growth.  Prior – failed – experience with wind energy.
  • 16. 16www.canadiansolar.com Mini-Grid Test Centre Mini-grid Control System PV system Wind Turbine Flywheel Battery Storage System Load Banks Diesel Gensets Grid Simulator PV Solar Simulator Wind Simulator Forecasting
  • 17. 17Canadian Solar Inc. THANK YOU! November 2016