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Panel 1
@CrisisMappers

#ICCM
What's so Big about
Big Data?
Sanjana Hattotuwa
@sanjanah
Jon Gosier
@jongos
Anahi Iayala Iaccuci
@anahi_ayala
Big Data it’s
not about the
Data
Big Data is
about the
process
Trusted
Sources

Resilience

Channels
Information
Ecosystem

Information
Exchanged

Tools
How Big is Big Data?
The (forgotten) Humanitarian Crisis
in 2013
Yemen = 10.5 m
Chad = 1.8 m
Afghanistan = 5.7 m
DRC = 2.6 m
Somalia = 3.8 m
CAR = 4.6 m
Big Data needs to be
culturally sensitive
What happens
with
Big Data?
Big Data + Context +
Action
= Information
Information saves lives
Anahi Ayala Iacucci
Senior Innovation Advisor
Internews Center for Innovation & Learning
http://innovation.internews.org
@anahi_ayala
@info_innovation
aayala@internews.org
Emmanuel Letouzé
@Data4Dev @manucartoons
5th International Conference of Crisis Mappers
Panel I—What is so Big about Big Data?

4 questions on the Big Data-Rich
Future of Humanitarian Assistance
Emmanuel Letouzé
Fellow, Harvard Humanitarian Initiative
PhD Candidate, UC Berkeley
Non-Resident Adviser, International Peace Institute
eletouze@berkeley.edu

Nairobi, November 21st, 2013
(Reference..)
1. What is ‘Big Data’ about—and not about?
① Big Data as data == “traces of human actions picked up

by digital devices” (Letouzé, Meier and Vinck)
1. “Digital breadcrumbs” (Sandy Pentland)

2. Open web data (social media, online news..)
3. Sensing (satellite, meters..)
② Big Data as data is not ‘about’ size—it’s a primarily
qualitative shift
③ Big Data is “not about the data” (Gary King)
1. What is Big Data about—and not about?
•
•

•

Big Data as data doesn’t have to be big to be different
Big Data as data is about very many very small data
produced by / about connected individuals (big data is
small data—it can also be slow data)
Big Data takes intent and capacities

Movement of an individual in
Rwanda over 4 years (Source J. Blumenstock)
2. How will Big Data grow & age?
2. How will Big Data grow & age?
Stock of world data, circa 1980 (assume)

Stock of world data, circa 2020?
90 days

50 years

1

0

Unknown data

1

1000

0

1000
3. How has / may it be used for
humanitarian assistance purposes?

① Descriptive analysis (e.g. maps)
② Predictive analysis (proxying vs. forecasting)
③ Diagnostics (causal inference)
3. How has / may it be used for
humanitarian assistance purposes?
Pattern recognition + anomaly detection: Violent event in ACLED
data vs. cellphone call volume in Ivory Coast

Source: Letouzé and Prydz, 2013
Example: “Prediction of Socio-Economic Levels Using Cell-Phone Records”
(Telefonica research, 2011)

National
Statistical
Survey from “a
Institutes in Latin
major citycarry
out surveys
America”

Telefonica team
used their data to
‘predict’ SELs from
Cell Phone Usage

Predict the present
(SELs for nonsurveyed regions)
and monitor the
future (track
changes over time)
4. What are the traps and priorities ahead?
i.

Main risks are
① Creation of a ‘new’ digital divide
=>Recentralization of decisionmaking, reversing recent trends/efforts
② Dehumanization / de-democratization of
decision-making (cf drones, killer-robots)
③ Confidentiality / security: e.g. CDRs deanonymization and identification
4. What are the traps and priorities ahead?
ii. Main challenges/questions are
① Political: Engaging with & empowering at-risk / affected
people and communities for community
resilience, feedback loops, agile response..(urgency vs.
sustainability?)
② Legal-institutional: Devising principles and frameworks
for ‘responsible’ data sharing and analysis (D4D team)
③ Theoretical-methodological: further research / progress
to take place on
1. Sample bias correction
2. Privacy: erasable future, noise in data
3. Models of human response to emergencies
4. Causal inference
% PERSONNAL DATA SHARED

%personal data shared

All data collected
all data shared
Extreme societal
considerations / Open Data
society

Right Balance?

Source: Letouzé and Vinck, 2013

%personal DATA COLLECTED
% PERSONNAL data collected
No data collected,
No data shared
Extreme individual
consideration / Full privacy

All data collected,
No data shared
Extreme commercial
considerations / surveillance
Jon Gosier
@jongos

Anahi Iayala Iaccuci
@anahi_ayala

Emmanuel Letouzé
@Data4Dev @manucartoons
Thanks for participating!
@CrisisMappers

#ICCM
CrisisMappers 2013

Many thanks to our sponsors!

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ICCM 2013 Panel 1: What's so Big about Big Data?

  • 2. What's so Big about Big Data?
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  • 26. Big Data it’s not about the Data
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  • 28. Big Data is about the process
  • 30. How Big is Big Data?
  • 31. The (forgotten) Humanitarian Crisis in 2013 Yemen = 10.5 m Chad = 1.8 m Afghanistan = 5.7 m DRC = 2.6 m Somalia = 3.8 m CAR = 4.6 m
  • 32. Big Data needs to be culturally sensitive
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  • 35. Big Data + Context + Action = Information Information saves lives
  • 36. Anahi Ayala Iacucci Senior Innovation Advisor Internews Center for Innovation & Learning http://innovation.internews.org @anahi_ayala @info_innovation aayala@internews.org
  • 38. 5th International Conference of Crisis Mappers Panel I—What is so Big about Big Data? 4 questions on the Big Data-Rich Future of Humanitarian Assistance Emmanuel Letouzé Fellow, Harvard Humanitarian Initiative PhD Candidate, UC Berkeley Non-Resident Adviser, International Peace Institute eletouze@berkeley.edu Nairobi, November 21st, 2013
  • 40. 1. What is ‘Big Data’ about—and not about? ① Big Data as data == “traces of human actions picked up by digital devices” (Letouzé, Meier and Vinck) 1. “Digital breadcrumbs” (Sandy Pentland) 2. Open web data (social media, online news..) 3. Sensing (satellite, meters..) ② Big Data as data is not ‘about’ size—it’s a primarily qualitative shift ③ Big Data is “not about the data” (Gary King)
  • 41. 1. What is Big Data about—and not about? • • • Big Data as data doesn’t have to be big to be different Big Data as data is about very many very small data produced by / about connected individuals (big data is small data—it can also be slow data) Big Data takes intent and capacities Movement of an individual in Rwanda over 4 years (Source J. Blumenstock)
  • 42. 2. How will Big Data grow & age?
  • 43. 2. How will Big Data grow & age? Stock of world data, circa 1980 (assume) Stock of world data, circa 2020? 90 days 50 years 1 0 Unknown data 1 1000 0 1000
  • 44. 3. How has / may it be used for humanitarian assistance purposes? ① Descriptive analysis (e.g. maps) ② Predictive analysis (proxying vs. forecasting) ③ Diagnostics (causal inference)
  • 45. 3. How has / may it be used for humanitarian assistance purposes? Pattern recognition + anomaly detection: Violent event in ACLED data vs. cellphone call volume in Ivory Coast Source: Letouzé and Prydz, 2013
  • 46. Example: “Prediction of Socio-Economic Levels Using Cell-Phone Records” (Telefonica research, 2011) National Statistical Survey from “a Institutes in Latin major citycarry out surveys America” Telefonica team used their data to ‘predict’ SELs from Cell Phone Usage Predict the present (SELs for nonsurveyed regions) and monitor the future (track changes over time)
  • 47. 4. What are the traps and priorities ahead? i. Main risks are ① Creation of a ‘new’ digital divide =>Recentralization of decisionmaking, reversing recent trends/efforts ② Dehumanization / de-democratization of decision-making (cf drones, killer-robots) ③ Confidentiality / security: e.g. CDRs deanonymization and identification
  • 48. 4. What are the traps and priorities ahead? ii. Main challenges/questions are ① Political: Engaging with & empowering at-risk / affected people and communities for community resilience, feedback loops, agile response..(urgency vs. sustainability?) ② Legal-institutional: Devising principles and frameworks for ‘responsible’ data sharing and analysis (D4D team) ③ Theoretical-methodological: further research / progress to take place on 1. Sample bias correction 2. Privacy: erasable future, noise in data 3. Models of human response to emergencies 4. Causal inference
  • 49. % PERSONNAL DATA SHARED %personal data shared All data collected all data shared Extreme societal considerations / Open Data society Right Balance? Source: Letouzé and Vinck, 2013 %personal DATA COLLECTED % PERSONNAL data collected No data collected, No data shared Extreme individual consideration / Full privacy All data collected, No data shared Extreme commercial considerations / surveillance
  • 50. Jon Gosier @jongos Anahi Iayala Iaccuci @anahi_ayala Emmanuel Letouzé @Data4Dev @manucartoons
  • 52. CrisisMappers 2013 Many thanks to our sponsors!