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SHARED SOLAR: THE
PROMISE, PROBLEMS,
AND PATHS FORWARD
AUTHORS:
AARON CLAY – SUNSWARM
THOMAS MILLHOFF – HELIO MICRO UTILITY
EXPEDITING SHARED SOLAR PROJECT
DEVELOPMENT
PRESENTED JULY 13, 2016
FOR THE AMERICAN SOLAR ENERGY SOCIETY’S SOLAR 2016
CONFERENCE
THE PROMISE:
ECONOMIC, EGALITARIAN CLEAN ENERGY
Benefits
• Project
Scale
• Best Siting
• Huge new
Markets
• Retail
Rates
Ownership
• Utility
• Offtaker
Equity
• SPE / TPO
Markets
Active:
● CO, MN,
WA
Emerging:
● CA, NY
Pilots:
● DC, MA,
MD
THE PROBLEMS:
INCREMENTAL DEVELOPMENT & OPERATING COSTS;
NASCENT POLICIES
Site
Control
Revenue
Contract
IX NTP
Construc
-tion
COD
Opera-
tional
Finance
& EPC
+ VNEM Policy
+ Shared Solar Policy (including TPO)
+ Portfolio Economic Modelling
+ Offtaker Education & Marketing
+ Offtaker Aggregation / Cost of Sales + Billing/Admin
+ New Project Doc’s + Mulitple Credit Assessments + Bill Reconciliation
+ Offtaker Churn
Additional Shared
Solar Challenges
 Insolation  Offtaker Negotiations
 ACOE  Quality Project Documents
 NEM Policy  IX Fees, upgrades, delays
 PPA/TPO Policy  Investor outreach, education
 Incentive Policy  Final permitting hurdles
 Zoning, Environmental  Inspection, PIS delay
 Financial Modelling  Asset Mgmt
Conventional C&I
Solar Challenges
PATHS FORWARD: PARTNERS
Financing
• Feasibility / Modelling
• Engineering / IX
• Incentives
Project Administration
• Pre Offtaker Aggregation
• Bill Reconciliation/ Allocations
• Offtaker Churn/ Optimal Capacity
PATHS FORWARD: MARKETS
Rates and policy can offset weak insolation…
Markets
• Insolation + ACOE
+ Incentives
• NEM Policy
• PPA/TPO Policy
• VNEM Policy
• Shared Solar
Policy
PATHS FORWARD: MARKETS
Shared Solar requires Stable NEM policy
Markets
• Insolation + ACOE
+ Incentives
• NEM Policy
• PPA/TPO Policy
• VNEM Policy
• Shared Solar
Policy
PATHS FORWARD: MARKETS
Shared solar will prosper best in PPA/TPO-friendly markets
Markets
• Insolation + ACOE
+ Incentives
• NEM Policy
• PPA/TPO Policy
• VNEM Policy
• Shared Solar
Policy
PATHS FORWARD: MARKETS
Virtual NEM fosters true Shared Solar economies
Markets
• Insolation + ACOE
+ Incentives
• NEM Policy
• PPA/TPO Policy
• VNEM Policy
• Shared Solar
Policy
PATHS FORWARD: MARKETS
Focus development where Shared Solar complements existing
economics & policies
Markets
• Insolation + ACOE
+ Incentives
• NEM Policy
• PPA/TPO Policy
• VNEM Policy
• Shared Solar
Policy
CASE STUDY – CALIFORNIA
(2013) Green Tariff Shared Renewables Goal: 600MW
(2015) Decision 15-01-051 Rulemaking
• Green Tariff: Utility Procurement of Green Energy sold at
premium
• Enhanced Community Renewables: 3rd Party Developer
• Requirements:
• Pre-approval
• Marketing & Outreach
• Financing & Procurement
STATUS: Part IV proposal released;
No current ECR projects, RAM 8/31/2016
Recommendations: Best financing for ECR/ EJ projects
CASE STUDY – MINNESOTA
(2007) Next Generation Energy Act: 25% renewable RPS by 2025
(2013) Utilities may use Value of Solar (VOS) tariff instead of NEM
• “Value-of-solar” rate = Value (Utility + Customer + society + env.)
3.2 kwh valued fuel cost of solar (avoided cost of natural gas)
• Xcel objects to VOS methodology
(2015) 17 active, 46 approved (≈43 MW)
(2016) Issues: Contract length, Messaging, Utility approval delays
Status: Utility retail rate purchase; No cap; 800+ MW in queue
Recommendations: Ensure strong capital financing partners,
Flexible feasibility modeling
CASE STUDY - New York
(2012) Hurricane Sandy Devastation- 2nd most costly in US history
(2015) Reforming Energy Vision Initiative (REV)
Requirements:
Phase 1: October 19, 2015 - April 30, 2016
• 20% LMI inclusion in Applications: No projects
Phase 2: May 1, 2016 → present
• NYSERDA Pilot
• Community outreach strategy/ Marketing
Status: Rule adjustments, LMI preferences, 5 Billion Green Bank Fund
Recommendations: Utilize financing partners for state incentives
and organizational partners for community outreach
PATHS FORWARD: MARKETS Conclusions
• Develop markets with long-term
energy goals and regulatory rules
to limit policy risks
• Have strong structured financing
partners
• Utilize local/community partners
for added regulatory approval
preferences
• Partner to aggregate subscriber
base early for easier financing and
optimized capacity levels
• Plan for back end administration
support

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Shared Solar - the Promise, Problems and Paths Forward

  • 1. SHARED SOLAR: THE PROMISE, PROBLEMS, AND PATHS FORWARD AUTHORS: AARON CLAY – SUNSWARM THOMAS MILLHOFF – HELIO MICRO UTILITY EXPEDITING SHARED SOLAR PROJECT DEVELOPMENT PRESENTED JULY 13, 2016 FOR THE AMERICAN SOLAR ENERGY SOCIETY’S SOLAR 2016 CONFERENCE
  • 2. THE PROMISE: ECONOMIC, EGALITARIAN CLEAN ENERGY Benefits • Project Scale • Best Siting • Huge new Markets • Retail Rates Ownership • Utility • Offtaker Equity • SPE / TPO Markets Active: ● CO, MN, WA Emerging: ● CA, NY Pilots: ● DC, MA, MD
  • 3. THE PROBLEMS: INCREMENTAL DEVELOPMENT & OPERATING COSTS; NASCENT POLICIES Site Control Revenue Contract IX NTP Construc -tion COD Opera- tional Finance & EPC + VNEM Policy + Shared Solar Policy (including TPO) + Portfolio Economic Modelling + Offtaker Education & Marketing + Offtaker Aggregation / Cost of Sales + Billing/Admin + New Project Doc’s + Mulitple Credit Assessments + Bill Reconciliation + Offtaker Churn Additional Shared Solar Challenges  Insolation  Offtaker Negotiations  ACOE  Quality Project Documents  NEM Policy  IX Fees, upgrades, delays  PPA/TPO Policy  Investor outreach, education  Incentive Policy  Final permitting hurdles  Zoning, Environmental  Inspection, PIS delay  Financial Modelling  Asset Mgmt Conventional C&I Solar Challenges
  • 4. PATHS FORWARD: PARTNERS Financing • Feasibility / Modelling • Engineering / IX • Incentives Project Administration • Pre Offtaker Aggregation • Bill Reconciliation/ Allocations • Offtaker Churn/ Optimal Capacity
  • 5. PATHS FORWARD: MARKETS Rates and policy can offset weak insolation… Markets • Insolation + ACOE + Incentives • NEM Policy • PPA/TPO Policy • VNEM Policy • Shared Solar Policy
  • 6. PATHS FORWARD: MARKETS Shared Solar requires Stable NEM policy Markets • Insolation + ACOE + Incentives • NEM Policy • PPA/TPO Policy • VNEM Policy • Shared Solar Policy
  • 7. PATHS FORWARD: MARKETS Shared solar will prosper best in PPA/TPO-friendly markets Markets • Insolation + ACOE + Incentives • NEM Policy • PPA/TPO Policy • VNEM Policy • Shared Solar Policy
  • 8. PATHS FORWARD: MARKETS Virtual NEM fosters true Shared Solar economies Markets • Insolation + ACOE + Incentives • NEM Policy • PPA/TPO Policy • VNEM Policy • Shared Solar Policy
  • 9. PATHS FORWARD: MARKETS Focus development where Shared Solar complements existing economics & policies Markets • Insolation + ACOE + Incentives • NEM Policy • PPA/TPO Policy • VNEM Policy • Shared Solar Policy
  • 10. CASE STUDY – CALIFORNIA (2013) Green Tariff Shared Renewables Goal: 600MW (2015) Decision 15-01-051 Rulemaking • Green Tariff: Utility Procurement of Green Energy sold at premium • Enhanced Community Renewables: 3rd Party Developer • Requirements: • Pre-approval • Marketing & Outreach • Financing & Procurement STATUS: Part IV proposal released; No current ECR projects, RAM 8/31/2016 Recommendations: Best financing for ECR/ EJ projects
  • 11. CASE STUDY – MINNESOTA (2007) Next Generation Energy Act: 25% renewable RPS by 2025 (2013) Utilities may use Value of Solar (VOS) tariff instead of NEM • “Value-of-solar” rate = Value (Utility + Customer + society + env.) 3.2 kwh valued fuel cost of solar (avoided cost of natural gas) • Xcel objects to VOS methodology (2015) 17 active, 46 approved (≈43 MW) (2016) Issues: Contract length, Messaging, Utility approval delays Status: Utility retail rate purchase; No cap; 800+ MW in queue Recommendations: Ensure strong capital financing partners, Flexible feasibility modeling
  • 12. CASE STUDY - New York (2012) Hurricane Sandy Devastation- 2nd most costly in US history (2015) Reforming Energy Vision Initiative (REV) Requirements: Phase 1: October 19, 2015 - April 30, 2016 • 20% LMI inclusion in Applications: No projects Phase 2: May 1, 2016 → present • NYSERDA Pilot • Community outreach strategy/ Marketing Status: Rule adjustments, LMI preferences, 5 Billion Green Bank Fund Recommendations: Utilize financing partners for state incentives and organizational partners for community outreach
  • 13. PATHS FORWARD: MARKETS Conclusions • Develop markets with long-term energy goals and regulatory rules to limit policy risks • Have strong structured financing partners • Utilize local/community partners for added regulatory approval preferences • Partner to aggregate subscriber base early for easier financing and optimized capacity levels • Plan for back end administration support