Polkadot JAM Slides - Token2049 - By Dr. Gavin Wood
The future is messy
1. D A N M C C L U R E & S A G A R PA U L
THE FUTURE IS MESSY
2. THE FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
(THE MESSY REVOLUTION)
2
“In its scale, scope and complexity the transformation will
be unlike any humankind has experienced before …
disrupting almost every industry in every country.
The breadth and depth of these changes herald the
transformation of entire systems of production,
management, and governance.”
6. ARAVIND EYE CARE – THE CHALLENGE
6
Worldwide – 45 million blind
India - 12million
4 million more each year
80% of this preventable
Lack of doctors
400 surgeries / year
Intraocular lenses @ $150
Doctor
Patient
7. ARAVIND EYE CARE – THE CHALLENGE
7
5X productivity
97% cost reduction
Lowest infection rate worldwide
Scale to 400,000+ surgeries
Doctor
Patient
New Actors
(Nurses)
New Tech
(Local Lenses)
Clinic
New Systems
(Franchise Model)
Clinic
Clinic
20. 20
New Actors
New Connections
New Tech
New Systems
System Change
New Possibilities
Evolve Over Time
Sustainable System
Resilient / Independent
AT THE HEART OF MESSY
COMPLEXITY
21. COMPLEXITY IS HARD
Diverse Domains
Coupled Choices
Conflicting Needs
Large Scale
Unknown
Uncertain
Changing
21
Product
Quality
Maintenance
Effort
Program
Revenues
User
Satisfaction
Program
Costs
Investment
Funding
Product
Availability
Speed of
Scaling
User Base
New
Features
--
+
+
+
+
++
+
+ -
+
23. RIVIGO
Road Infrastructure Strained
Freight Costs high – 13% GDP (10% US
and 8% Germany)
Productivity low – 15 km/hour
25 Nights Away
1mn Driver Shortfall
23
25
DAYS
24. RIVIGO
Productivity - 50km/hr
50% reduction in TAT
Time at Home
24
Driver Relay model
Tech
Insight
Starts from home
Goes home often
25. THE FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
(THE MESSY REVOLUTION)
25
“In its scale, scope and complexity the transformation will
be unlike any humankind has experienced before …
disrupting almost every industry in every country.
The breadth and depth of these changes herald the
transformation of entire systems of production,
management, and governance.”
34. 34
DISCOVERY MESSY SYSTEMS
Product or
Service
Product or
Service User
Value
Provider
Payment
Research and
Testing
ENGINEERING
System Change
New Possibilities
Sustainable System
Resilient / Independent
37. COMPLEXITY EVOLVES (AND GROWS)
37
Fragile
Ongoing Crisis
System Change
New Possibilities
Evolve Over Time
Sustainable System
Resilient / Independent
44. CONNECTING GOALS WITH ACTION
44
M A N A G E R
E N G I N E E R
Big Picture Vision
Complex Pivots
M A N A G E R
E N G I N E E R
C H O R E O G R A P H E R
Organization
and Priority
Engineering
and Expertise
50. GO-JEK
50
M A N A G E R
E N G I N E E R
MESSY BUSINESS ALIGNS WITH TECH
Technology Platform
Mirrors the Business
Platform
Evolutionary
Architecture Built for
Change
Business Platform is Built
on 300,000 Drivers
Technology Platform
Mirrors Business Platform
51. GO-JEK
51
M A N A G E R
E N G I N E E R
EVOLVING OPPORTUNITIES
Release one product every other
month
Work with one fourth the tech team
Messy is not impossible
These problems are ugly and hard. And that ugliness is far more than skin deep. These wicked problems include diverse subject areas, where the choices are coupled together. Any change affects another part of the design and runs up against conflicting needs and priorities. They problems are too big to analyze and even if they could be studied into submission, they are filed with unknown and uncertain challenges which are constantly in flux.
This ugliness is hard … but it also grants us the chance to tackle some exciting challenges.
These problems are ugly and hard. And that ugliness is far more than skin deep. These wicked problems include diverse subject areas, where the choices are coupled together. Any change affects another part of the design and runs up against conflicting needs and priorities. They problems are too big to analyze and even if they could be studied into submission, they are filed with unknown and uncertain challenges which are constantly in flux.
This ugliness is hard … but it also grants us the chance to tackle some exciting challenges.
These problems are ugly and hard. And that ugliness is far more than skin deep. These wicked problems include diverse subject areas, where the choices are coupled together. Any change affects another part of the design and runs up against conflicting needs and priorities. They problems are too big to analyze and even if they could be studied into submission, they are filed with unknown and uncertain challenges which are constantly in flux.
This ugliness is hard … but it also grants us the chance to tackle some exciting challenges.