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An Overview of the China
Healthcare Market

Presented by Kent D. Kedl
Vice President & General Manager
China Healthcare – a sector in
transition
      China has a challenge on their hands … how to care for the
      health of over 1.3 billion people.

        Healthcare used to be guaranteed under the old State-owned
         enterprise system but that social safety net has gone away as the
         economy has privatized
        Four factors will drive the growth of China healthcare:
          –  GDP Growth: As GDP increases, health spending as a percent of GDP
             will also increase, at a higher rate than GDP, driven by middle class
             consumers willing to spend more on healthcare.

          –  Urbanization: The urban population in China will increase by about
             150 million over the next ten years, and these people will have greater
             access to quality care, driving up underlying demand.

          –  Lifestyle Shift: Middle class and urban consumers tend to consume
             more calories of meat and fat, driving up incidence of “modern”
             chronic diseases such as hypertension, diabetes, and heart disease.

          –  Demographic Shift: The population over 50 will increase by about
             100 million over the next ten years, and these people will have greater
             need for healthcare.
                                                                                       2
Age-shift in China
                                            There will be 181 million people aged 65+ in China by
                                            2020, more than the entire population of Russia, 25% of
                                            the world's total elderly

 The high savings                                                         140
 rate in China –
 average 35% of                                                           120
 total income – is
 attributed, in part,                                                     100                                                                       1978
                                                 Population in millions




 to people’s concern
 over being able to                                                        80
                                                                                                                                                    2008
 afford healthcare for
 their parents and                                                         60
 themselves
                                                                           40


                                                                           20


                                                                            0
                                                                                0-4   10-14   20-24   30-34   40-44   50-54   60-64   70-74   80+

                                                                                                                Age                                        3
Source: China Statistics Yearbook; Euromonitor, Technomic Asia analysis
China Healthcare vs the U.S.
                                            China has seen explosive growth in their healthcare sectors.
                                            However, there is still additional room for growth compared
                                            levels in the US.

                                                                           $ (billions)             Historical Healthcare Expenditures: China & the U.S.
    Healthcare Overview – China & the US

                                     China                 US

       Healthcare
                                     +20%               6.9%
       annual growth

       Beds per
       1,000                         ~2.30              ~3.60
       population
       Basic health
       insurance                     ~30%             ~84.7%
       penetration




                                                                                                                                                           4
Source: WHO World Health Statistics 2009, China and India Ministries of Health; Technomic Asia analysis
China Healthcare Share of Wallet
                                        It is estimated that over half of healthcare costs in China are
                                        paid by consumers, out-of-pocket and healthcare
                                        expenditure in China is estimated to double in the next two
                                        decades in terms of its percentage of a consumer’s total
                                        spending.
                                                                        Evolution of the Chinese Consumption Portfolio


                                                                                                                     Transportation and
                                                                                                                     communication


                                                                                                                     Recreation and
                                                                                                                     education

                                                                                                                     Personal items
                            Discretionary
                                                                                                                     Household Items
                            Semi-Necessity
                                                                                                                     Housing and utilities
                            Necessity

                                                                                                                     Healthcare


                                                                                                                     Apparel

                                                                                                                     Food items


                                                                                                                                              5
Source: China Statistical Yearbook; McKinsey; Technomic Asia analysis
China Healthcare: Rural/Urban
                                       China healthcare is characterized by inefficient allocation and
                                       use of healthcare resources between rural and urban areas –
                                       80% of government health expenditures go to urban areas,
                                       even though only 45% of the population lives in urban areas.


        Allocation of Urban/Rural Healthcare Resources (2006)

                                                                                 –  Large urban hospitals are overused,
                                                                                    resulting in unnecessarily high number of
                                                                                    patients per doctor and costs per patient.

                                                                                 –  Instead of quality patient care, excessive
                                                                                    market-orientation creates incentives for
                                                                                    over-prescription and overutilization of
                                                                                    services.

                                                                                 –  <10% of hospital income comes from the
                                                                                    government, with the rest coming from
        Gov’t. Spending               Physicians               Hospital Beds
          Per Person              Per 10,000 People          Per 10,000 People      fees; >44% from drug sales alone.



                                                                                                                                 6
Source: Ministry of Health, McKinsey and Company, Technomic Analysis
Chinese Medical Institutions
                                          There nearly 289,000 medical institutions in China in 2008, of which
                                          19,700 were hospitals. Clinics perform only basic outpatient services,
                                          while community health centers do limited diagnosis & testing.



                        Chinese Medical Institutions (2008)                        China Hospital Ownership (2008)

                                                                         5%                    <10%
                                                            25%
      ■Grade III                                                         29%
      ■Grade II                                                   2%
      ■Grade I                                                           16%
      ■Ungraded                                                   7%

                                                                         50%
                                                   66%                                         >90%


                                                                       Hospitals
                                                                        19,701




                                                                                                                     7
Source: China Ministry of Health; Technomic Asia analysis
Hospital Utilization
                                        China’s core issue in providing healthcare services is that the top
                                        hospitals – Class III – are the fewest in number but care for a
                                        disproportionate volume of patients.

                                                             Utilization of Graded Hospitals (2008)

                                                 Grade III
   The Chinese government
   will be investing heavily                      Grade II
   in Class II hospitals to
   improve the level of
   service and make them
   more attractive places to
   seek treatment
                                                  Grade I




                                                             9,934           1.471 billion     79 million




                                                                                                              8
Source: Ministry of Health, Technomic Analysis
Challenges for Foreign
Companies in China Healthcare
     While the high growth rate in China healthcare – over 20%
     annually – is attractive, foreign companies need to pay close
     attention to several key features of China’s healthcare markets

         Quality and pricing tiers – while the Class III hospitals will spend on
          imported equipment, the real growth opportunities are in Class II hospitals
          where quality and pricing expectations are a bit lower.
         Complex purchasing procedures – State-owned hospitals typically work
          through a bidding process to purchase medical equipment and
          pharmaceuticals and suppliers need to work with distributors who have
          access to this process.
         Fragmented distribution – no distributor in China healthcare has
          nationwide access and suppliers must work with many distributors to get
          broad yet effective coverage.
         Many competitors – there are many Chinese suppliers (over 3,000
          pharmaceutical companies and over 10,000 medical device manufacturers)
          flooding the market, most of them sub-scale but with strong footholds in
          very local markets.
         Complex and “flexible” regulatory environment – medical equipment
          and pharmaceuticals need to go through a complicated and often-opaque
          regulatory process that takes significant time and guanxi (relationships) to
          navigate
                                                                                         9
Foreign Investment Trends in
China Healthcare
     Foreign companies are doing several things to give them their
     best chance of success in penetrating the China healthcare
     market…
          Know your customer – gather deep market intelligence on
           who your target market is … what they want, how much are
           they willing to pay, how they purchase.
          Use the right channels – and find the distributors most able
           to get you to those segments. Don’t contract with a distributor
           without knowing just where they are strong and where they are
           weak.
          Know your competitors – you will always have Chinese
           competition … they will often have “good enough” products,
           good pricing and will typically have very good relationships
           among the buyers.
          Think “acquisition” – more and more, foreign companies are
           looking to acquire companies already in the market, gaining
           access as well as speed to market. This is particularly
           successful when trying to penetrate the Class II hospital market.
                                                                               10
Technomic Asia
            Room 502, Jin Tai Building
            58 Mao Ming Road (South)
             Shanghai 200020, China
              Tel: +86-21-6473-2588
              Fax: +86-21-6390-6659

            www.technomicasia.com


Kent D. Kedl, Vice President & General Manager
kkedl@technomicasia.com




                                                 11

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China healthcare overview

  • 1. An Overview of the China Healthcare Market Presented by Kent D. Kedl Vice President & General Manager
  • 2. China Healthcare – a sector in transition China has a challenge on their hands … how to care for the health of over 1.3 billion people.   Healthcare used to be guaranteed under the old State-owned enterprise system but that social safety net has gone away as the economy has privatized   Four factors will drive the growth of China healthcare: –  GDP Growth: As GDP increases, health spending as a percent of GDP will also increase, at a higher rate than GDP, driven by middle class consumers willing to spend more on healthcare. –  Urbanization: The urban population in China will increase by about 150 million over the next ten years, and these people will have greater access to quality care, driving up underlying demand. –  Lifestyle Shift: Middle class and urban consumers tend to consume more calories of meat and fat, driving up incidence of “modern” chronic diseases such as hypertension, diabetes, and heart disease. –  Demographic Shift: The population over 50 will increase by about 100 million over the next ten years, and these people will have greater need for healthcare. 2
  • 3. Age-shift in China There will be 181 million people aged 65+ in China by 2020, more than the entire population of Russia, 25% of the world's total elderly The high savings 140 rate in China – average 35% of 120 total income – is attributed, in part, 100 1978 Population in millions to people’s concern over being able to 80 2008 afford healthcare for their parents and 60 themselves 40 20 0 0-4 10-14 20-24 30-34 40-44 50-54 60-64 70-74 80+ Age 3 Source: China Statistics Yearbook; Euromonitor, Technomic Asia analysis
  • 4. China Healthcare vs the U.S. China has seen explosive growth in their healthcare sectors. However, there is still additional room for growth compared levels in the US. $ (billions) Historical Healthcare Expenditures: China & the U.S. Healthcare Overview – China & the US China US Healthcare +20% 6.9% annual growth Beds per 1,000 ~2.30 ~3.60 population Basic health insurance ~30% ~84.7% penetration 4 Source: WHO World Health Statistics 2009, China and India Ministries of Health; Technomic Asia analysis
  • 5. China Healthcare Share of Wallet It is estimated that over half of healthcare costs in China are paid by consumers, out-of-pocket and healthcare expenditure in China is estimated to double in the next two decades in terms of its percentage of a consumer’s total spending. Evolution of the Chinese Consumption Portfolio Transportation and communication Recreation and education Personal items Discretionary Household Items Semi-Necessity Housing and utilities Necessity Healthcare Apparel Food items 5 Source: China Statistical Yearbook; McKinsey; Technomic Asia analysis
  • 6. China Healthcare: Rural/Urban China healthcare is characterized by inefficient allocation and use of healthcare resources between rural and urban areas – 80% of government health expenditures go to urban areas, even though only 45% of the population lives in urban areas. Allocation of Urban/Rural Healthcare Resources (2006) –  Large urban hospitals are overused, resulting in unnecessarily high number of patients per doctor and costs per patient. –  Instead of quality patient care, excessive market-orientation creates incentives for over-prescription and overutilization of services. –  <10% of hospital income comes from the government, with the rest coming from Gov’t. Spending Physicians Hospital Beds Per Person Per 10,000 People Per 10,000 People fees; >44% from drug sales alone. 6 Source: Ministry of Health, McKinsey and Company, Technomic Analysis
  • 7. Chinese Medical Institutions There nearly 289,000 medical institutions in China in 2008, of which 19,700 were hospitals. Clinics perform only basic outpatient services, while community health centers do limited diagnosis & testing. Chinese Medical Institutions (2008) China Hospital Ownership (2008) 5% <10% 25% ■Grade III 29% ■Grade II 2% ■Grade I 16% ■Ungraded 7% 50% 66% >90% Hospitals 19,701 7 Source: China Ministry of Health; Technomic Asia analysis
  • 8. Hospital Utilization China’s core issue in providing healthcare services is that the top hospitals – Class III – are the fewest in number but care for a disproportionate volume of patients. Utilization of Graded Hospitals (2008) Grade III The Chinese government will be investing heavily Grade II in Class II hospitals to improve the level of service and make them more attractive places to seek treatment Grade I 9,934 1.471 billion 79 million 8 Source: Ministry of Health, Technomic Analysis
  • 9. Challenges for Foreign Companies in China Healthcare While the high growth rate in China healthcare – over 20% annually – is attractive, foreign companies need to pay close attention to several key features of China’s healthcare markets   Quality and pricing tiers – while the Class III hospitals will spend on imported equipment, the real growth opportunities are in Class II hospitals where quality and pricing expectations are a bit lower.   Complex purchasing procedures – State-owned hospitals typically work through a bidding process to purchase medical equipment and pharmaceuticals and suppliers need to work with distributors who have access to this process.   Fragmented distribution – no distributor in China healthcare has nationwide access and suppliers must work with many distributors to get broad yet effective coverage.   Many competitors – there are many Chinese suppliers (over 3,000 pharmaceutical companies and over 10,000 medical device manufacturers) flooding the market, most of them sub-scale but with strong footholds in very local markets.   Complex and “flexible” regulatory environment – medical equipment and pharmaceuticals need to go through a complicated and often-opaque regulatory process that takes significant time and guanxi (relationships) to navigate 9
  • 10. Foreign Investment Trends in China Healthcare Foreign companies are doing several things to give them their best chance of success in penetrating the China healthcare market…   Know your customer – gather deep market intelligence on who your target market is … what they want, how much are they willing to pay, how they purchase.   Use the right channels – and find the distributors most able to get you to those segments. Don’t contract with a distributor without knowing just where they are strong and where they are weak.   Know your competitors – you will always have Chinese competition … they will often have “good enough” products, good pricing and will typically have very good relationships among the buyers.   Think “acquisition” – more and more, foreign companies are looking to acquire companies already in the market, gaining access as well as speed to market. This is particularly successful when trying to penetrate the Class II hospital market. 10
  • 11. Technomic Asia Room 502, Jin Tai Building 58 Mao Ming Road (South) Shanghai 200020, China Tel: +86-21-6473-2588 Fax: +86-21-6390-6659 www.technomicasia.com Kent D. Kedl, Vice President & General Manager kkedl@technomicasia.com 11