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1
National Institute of Management,
Quetta
32nd Mid-Career Management Course
“National Electric Power Policy 2021:
An Analysis”
• Presented By: “Name & Service Group of Participant”
• Sponsor DS: “Name of Respective Faculty”
2
3
Abbreviations
Sequence of Presentation
 Introduction
 Objectives
 Scope
 Currency of The Topic
 Issues & Challenges
 Analysis
 Conclusions
 Recommendations
4
Objectives
 To explore salient features of National Electric power
policy 2021.
 To analyze positive aspects of new power policy.
 To explore weak areas of the policy.
 To propose workable recommendations.
5
Scope
 The presentation covers following three major
aspects of Energy Policy, 2021;
a) Salient features of Energy policy, 2021
b) What’s new in current policy?
c) Will it be effective or not?
d) Conclusions/Recommendations
3/23/2023 6
Currency of the Topic
7
National Electric Power
policy 2021 stresses on
passing full cost of power
generation through tariff
revisions to consumers.
“The Express Tribune”
16-10-2021
Introduction
 National Electric Power policy 2021 features three
major highlights:
a) Access to affordable electricity supplies
b) Energy security
c) Energy sustainability
 The policy specifies following guiding principles:
Efficiency, transparency, competition, financial
viability, indigenization, and environmental
responsibility.
8
https://dailytimes.com.pk/558147/national-electricity-policy-2020-high-in-intent-but-low-in-
content/. Accessed on 15-10-2021
 National Finance Commission (NFC) Award to be used
for recovery of outstanding amount owed by the provinces
or their departments to the power sector.
 Full cost of electricity generation is to be passed on to the
consumers.
 Consumer end tariff will include additional surcharges to
cater for additional costs/losses at distribution end.
 NEPRA to be mandated to impose additional charges to
ensure liquidity of the electricity sector and facilitate
future projects.
 National Electricity Policy 2021 prevails over the Power
Generation Policy 2015.
9
Introduction
https://tribune.com.pk/epaper/2021-10-16/1. Accessed on 15-10-2021
 The policy stresses on energy mix revisions and
dependence on renewable energy technologies.
 However, renewable energy technology is considered
costly and generation through such sources cannot
bring “Cost of tariff low”.
 Renewable energy is inherently intermittent in nature,
which presents technical challenges to weaker grids like
Pakistan.
 The policy Plans to build more coal-fired power plants
as part of the second phase of the CPEC. The policy
option could raise environmental concerns.
 The Policy does not clearly define the mechanism
through which tariff rate would be set for various
modes of generation.
3/23/2023 10
Issues & Challenges
11
 It is not clear that what exactly the measures will
be taken to set prices of electricity coming through
various sources.
 Will the price be the same for all categories of
consumers?
 Will it vary in accordance with type of consumer?
 Will it be helpful in Minimizing risk to imported
fuel supplies?
Issues & Challenges Cont’d
Analysis on Policy Positives
 The policy projects expanded scope to:
i. Reduce the reliance on imported fuel for power
generation
ii. Optimum utilization of local resources such as coal,
water, renewable sources, local gas and nuclear.
iii. Integrated planning for decisions on energy mix to
achieve more affordable and secure generation mix.
iv. Construction of multipurpose water reservoirs and
tapping of hydro power potential for power
generation.
v. Enhanced focus on alternate and re-newable energy
resources for power generation.
3/23/2023 12
 The policy mandates autonomy of the regulator
(NEPRA) ,its careful review and scrutiny of all costs
to be imposed on final consumers is of utmost
importance to the health, viability, and sustainability
of the power sector, and, therefore, must be
maintained. (Expected outcome will be reduced
burden of circular debt and huge pending payments
on power sector)
13
Analysis on Policy Positives
Analysis on Policy’s Weak Areas
 The Policy specifies the role of a “Nominated
Entity” in the monitoring, evaluation, and mid-
course correction of the Policy during its
implementation. The aspect is ambiguous and its
unclear on whether this “Nominated Entity” is
adequately equipped for effectively discharging its
contemplated role in the Policy or would require
improvement.
 The targets set for renewables (20% by 2025 and 30%
by 2030) have no mention in the Policy.
14
 The policy does not guide the power sector entities
and their managements downstream as to what they
are being asked to focus on, accomplish, and by
when?
 The Policy also does not specify the metrics that will
be used to assess their success or failure on each
count.
 The policy does not focus on institutional capacity in
electric power sector.
15
Analysis on Policy’s Weak Areas
3/23/2023 16
Analysis on Current & Past Policies
Feature Electricity Policy, 2021 Past Policies
Energy Mix
stresses major reliance on local
energy sources
Heavily relied on imported
fuels
Future Energy
Requirements and
Energy Mix
3-Year review on Additional
energy requirements and
energy mix
No focus on Energy Mix
and additional
requirements
Tariff Calculation
Currency devaluation factor to
be taken into account
Unlimited dollar
indexation
Transfer of
Technologies
Incentives for technology
transfer for local Industry
No incentives for
encouraging ToT
Tariff Revisions
NEPRA mandated additional
powers to pass on full cost to
consumers.
Tariff Revisions were
based on net cost of
generation only.
Conclusions
 The policy projects encouraging goals of
“affordability”, “security” and “sustainability” of
electricity.
 The policy is tall in intent but vague in application.
 The policy lacks the specificity, concreteness, and
associated timeframes. Non-specific, and abstract in
content.
 It lacks the substance that was essential to pull the
ailing power sector out of the present challenges and
set it on a course to financial health and vitality in the
future.
17
 It will be difficult to translate into practical, concrete,
and doable strategies and work-packages as the
Policy does not provide any guidance as to how these
are to be operationalized and put in to practice.
 The policy sets no time-based landmarks with clear
mechanism on how to achieve those milestones.
18
Conclusions
Recommendations
 Government needs to focus on requisite leadership,
managerial capacity, technical expertise, and
supportive tools on ground to make this policy a
success.
 End user tariff revisions based on losses at generation
and distribution might result into a stall into
infrastructure development for national grid.
 Recovery of outstanding amount from provinces in
respect of power tariffs through NFC award might
bring political divisions.
19
https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/611708-national-electricity-policy-2020-govt-to-recover-
power-dues-owed-by-provinces-from-nfc-award. Accessed on 15-10-2021
 In the future, every new scheme for serving the
consumer demand of electricity in the country should
be evaluated in terms of the actual cost (whether it is
to be incurred or avoided; monetary as well as social
and environmental) it will impose on the country.
This will ensure a level-playing field for all supply
options, conventional as well as new renewables.
20
Recommendations

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Current Issue Presentation 19-10-21.pptx

  • 1. 1
  • 2. National Institute of Management, Quetta 32nd Mid-Career Management Course “National Electric Power Policy 2021: An Analysis” • Presented By: “Name & Service Group of Participant” • Sponsor DS: “Name of Respective Faculty” 2
  • 4. Sequence of Presentation  Introduction  Objectives  Scope  Currency of The Topic  Issues & Challenges  Analysis  Conclusions  Recommendations 4
  • 5. Objectives  To explore salient features of National Electric power policy 2021.  To analyze positive aspects of new power policy.  To explore weak areas of the policy.  To propose workable recommendations. 5
  • 6. Scope  The presentation covers following three major aspects of Energy Policy, 2021; a) Salient features of Energy policy, 2021 b) What’s new in current policy? c) Will it be effective or not? d) Conclusions/Recommendations 3/23/2023 6
  • 7. Currency of the Topic 7 National Electric Power policy 2021 stresses on passing full cost of power generation through tariff revisions to consumers. “The Express Tribune” 16-10-2021
  • 8. Introduction  National Electric Power policy 2021 features three major highlights: a) Access to affordable electricity supplies b) Energy security c) Energy sustainability  The policy specifies following guiding principles: Efficiency, transparency, competition, financial viability, indigenization, and environmental responsibility. 8 https://dailytimes.com.pk/558147/national-electricity-policy-2020-high-in-intent-but-low-in- content/. Accessed on 15-10-2021
  • 9.  National Finance Commission (NFC) Award to be used for recovery of outstanding amount owed by the provinces or their departments to the power sector.  Full cost of electricity generation is to be passed on to the consumers.  Consumer end tariff will include additional surcharges to cater for additional costs/losses at distribution end.  NEPRA to be mandated to impose additional charges to ensure liquidity of the electricity sector and facilitate future projects.  National Electricity Policy 2021 prevails over the Power Generation Policy 2015. 9 Introduction https://tribune.com.pk/epaper/2021-10-16/1. Accessed on 15-10-2021
  • 10.  The policy stresses on energy mix revisions and dependence on renewable energy technologies.  However, renewable energy technology is considered costly and generation through such sources cannot bring “Cost of tariff low”.  Renewable energy is inherently intermittent in nature, which presents technical challenges to weaker grids like Pakistan.  The policy Plans to build more coal-fired power plants as part of the second phase of the CPEC. The policy option could raise environmental concerns.  The Policy does not clearly define the mechanism through which tariff rate would be set for various modes of generation. 3/23/2023 10 Issues & Challenges
  • 11. 11  It is not clear that what exactly the measures will be taken to set prices of electricity coming through various sources.  Will the price be the same for all categories of consumers?  Will it vary in accordance with type of consumer?  Will it be helpful in Minimizing risk to imported fuel supplies? Issues & Challenges Cont’d
  • 12. Analysis on Policy Positives  The policy projects expanded scope to: i. Reduce the reliance on imported fuel for power generation ii. Optimum utilization of local resources such as coal, water, renewable sources, local gas and nuclear. iii. Integrated planning for decisions on energy mix to achieve more affordable and secure generation mix. iv. Construction of multipurpose water reservoirs and tapping of hydro power potential for power generation. v. Enhanced focus on alternate and re-newable energy resources for power generation. 3/23/2023 12
  • 13.  The policy mandates autonomy of the regulator (NEPRA) ,its careful review and scrutiny of all costs to be imposed on final consumers is of utmost importance to the health, viability, and sustainability of the power sector, and, therefore, must be maintained. (Expected outcome will be reduced burden of circular debt and huge pending payments on power sector) 13 Analysis on Policy Positives
  • 14. Analysis on Policy’s Weak Areas  The Policy specifies the role of a “Nominated Entity” in the monitoring, evaluation, and mid- course correction of the Policy during its implementation. The aspect is ambiguous and its unclear on whether this “Nominated Entity” is adequately equipped for effectively discharging its contemplated role in the Policy or would require improvement.  The targets set for renewables (20% by 2025 and 30% by 2030) have no mention in the Policy. 14
  • 15.  The policy does not guide the power sector entities and their managements downstream as to what they are being asked to focus on, accomplish, and by when?  The Policy also does not specify the metrics that will be used to assess their success or failure on each count.  The policy does not focus on institutional capacity in electric power sector. 15 Analysis on Policy’s Weak Areas
  • 16. 3/23/2023 16 Analysis on Current & Past Policies Feature Electricity Policy, 2021 Past Policies Energy Mix stresses major reliance on local energy sources Heavily relied on imported fuels Future Energy Requirements and Energy Mix 3-Year review on Additional energy requirements and energy mix No focus on Energy Mix and additional requirements Tariff Calculation Currency devaluation factor to be taken into account Unlimited dollar indexation Transfer of Technologies Incentives for technology transfer for local Industry No incentives for encouraging ToT Tariff Revisions NEPRA mandated additional powers to pass on full cost to consumers. Tariff Revisions were based on net cost of generation only.
  • 17. Conclusions  The policy projects encouraging goals of “affordability”, “security” and “sustainability” of electricity.  The policy is tall in intent but vague in application.  The policy lacks the specificity, concreteness, and associated timeframes. Non-specific, and abstract in content.  It lacks the substance that was essential to pull the ailing power sector out of the present challenges and set it on a course to financial health and vitality in the future. 17
  • 18.  It will be difficult to translate into practical, concrete, and doable strategies and work-packages as the Policy does not provide any guidance as to how these are to be operationalized and put in to practice.  The policy sets no time-based landmarks with clear mechanism on how to achieve those milestones. 18 Conclusions
  • 19. Recommendations  Government needs to focus on requisite leadership, managerial capacity, technical expertise, and supportive tools on ground to make this policy a success.  End user tariff revisions based on losses at generation and distribution might result into a stall into infrastructure development for national grid.  Recovery of outstanding amount from provinces in respect of power tariffs through NFC award might bring political divisions. 19 https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/611708-national-electricity-policy-2020-govt-to-recover- power-dues-owed-by-provinces-from-nfc-award. Accessed on 15-10-2021
  • 20.  In the future, every new scheme for serving the consumer demand of electricity in the country should be evaluated in terms of the actual cost (whether it is to be incurred or avoided; monetary as well as social and environmental) it will impose on the country. This will ensure a level-playing field for all supply options, conventional as well as new renewables. 20 Recommendations