The document is a daily analysis report from TP Global FX that provides technical analysis and commentary on various currency pairs. It includes analysis of AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. For each pair, it provides the current trend, moving averages, RSI levels, key resistance and support levels, and trade ideas based on a break of certain price levels. It also lists upcoming economic data releases and their estimates that could impact currency movements.

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01 October 2021
Daily Analysis Report

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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: Japanese yen strengthens no ceably a er robust economic results, most Asian stock markets in red, gold back above $1,750 mark
Key Headlines:
• Chinese banks will be closed in observance of Na onal Day.
• Australia AIG Manufacturing Index stands at 51.2 vs 51.6 previous release.
• Japan unemployment rate remains unchanged at 2.8 pct.
• Japan Tankan Manufacturing Index stands at 18 vs 14 previous release.
• Japan Tankan Non - Manufacturing Index stands at 2 vs 1 previous release.
• Japan Final Manufacturing PMI stands at 51.5 vs 51.2 previous release.
• Wall Street ended sharply lower on Thursday and the S&P 500 posted its worst month since the onset of the global health crisis, following a tumultuous
month and quarter wracked by concerns over COVID-19, infla on fears and budget wrangling in Washington – Reuters.
• U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen - If congress does not li the debt ceiling, it will be a disaster.
• U.S Treasury Secretary Yellen - I believe it is cri cal that the debt limit be raised on a bipar san basis.
• Fed's Powell - We s ll expect Infla on to abate.
• Fed’s Powell - It is a very difficult situa on that the Fed finds itself in regards to tension between infla on and employment.
• Fed's Powell - Expect some relief on Infla on in first half of Next Year.
• Fed's Powell - It is cri cal that the debt limit be li ed as soon as possible; failure to do so would have serious ramifica ons.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) German Retail Sales, previous -5.1, expected 1.6.
• (0730 GMT/1300 IST) Swiss Manufacturing PMI, previous 67.7, expected 65.6.
• (0755 GMT/1325 IST) German Manufacturing PMI, previous 58.5, expected 58.5.
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Euro Manufacturing PMI, previous 58.7, expected 58.7.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) U.K. Manufacturing PMI, previous 56.3, expected 56.3.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro CPI Flash Es mate, previous 3.0, expected 3.3.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) Canada GDP, previous 0.7, expected -0.2.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Personal Income, previous 1.1, expected 0.2.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Personal Spending, previous 0.3, expected 0.7.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada Manufacturing PMI, previous 57.2.
• (1345 GMT/1915 IST) U.S. Final Manufacturing PMI, previous 60.5, expected 60.5.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI, previous 59.9, expected 59.6.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. Revised UoM Consumer Sen ment, previous 71.0, expected 71.0.
Economic Events Ahead:
• No Key Events Scheduled For the Day.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.08% to 94.31 points.

3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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OCTOBER,
2021
Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7240
R2 S2
0.7255
R3 S3
0.7290
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7318
Buy Above 0.7240
0.7270
0.7210
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7201
0.7175
0.7232
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie remains almost unchanged as AIG Manufacturing Index data released with
flat numbers. It made intraday high at $0.7240 and low at $0.7219 mark. A day chart is down and H1
chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7240 on H1
chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7190 will check further
supports.
0.7190
0.7170
0.7140
0.7121

4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1590
R2 S2
1.1637
R3 S3
1.1665
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1690
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro spiked down sharply in previous session and touched $1.1562 mark on weaker
U.S. dollar. Today pair made intraday high at $1.1582 and low at $1.15620. Today triple EMAon a day
chart and H1 chart suggest bearish trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.1590 on H1
chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1562 on H1 chart will
check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.1562
1.1532
1.1508
1.1480
Buy Above 1.1591
1.1622
1.1557
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1547
1.1515
1.1581
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
OCTOBER,
2021

5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3490
R2 S2
1.3540
R3 S3
1.3555
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3590
Buy Above 1.3491
1.3532
1.3454
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3440
1.3410
1.3472
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling moves in rigid boundaries and consolidates around $1.3450 mark ahead of
U.K.’s Manufacturing PMI Results. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3480 and low at $1.3444
mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggest bearish trend for the time being. A sustained
close above $1.3490 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below
$1.3415 will check further supports.
USD
1.3415
1.3380
1.3365
1.3350
GBP/
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
OCTOBER,
2021

6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2750
R2 S2
1.2770
R3 S3
1.2798
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2815
Buy Above 1.2740
1.2770
1.2705
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2690
1.2661
1.2721
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar starts a new trading day on a slightly lower note and remains well
supported above 1.2700 mark. The pair made intraday high at 1.2719 and low at 1.2673 mark. Today
a day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close
above 1.2750 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2680
on H1 chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2680
1.2665
1.2632
1.2605
OCTOBER,
2021

7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
111.48
R2 S2
111.76
R3 S3
111.99
R4
Commentary
S4
112.32
Buy Above 111.50
111.80
111.15
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 111.05
110.76
111.30
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen reverses previous losses against U.S. dollar and hovers around key
support at 111.20 mark. The pair made intraday high at 111.48 and low at 111.22 mark. The triple EMA
on a day chart is up and H1 chart suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above
111.48 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 111.22 on H1
chart will check further key supports.
USD /JPY
111.22
110.90
110.55
110.40
OCTOBER,
2021

8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1758
R2 S2
1764
R3 S3
1768
R4
Commentary
S4
1772
Buy Above 1758
1764
1752
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1748
1742
1754
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
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Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold appreciated sharply in previous session on dovish comments by Fed
officials and touched $1,764 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,757 and low at $1,750 mark.A
day chart is down and H1 chart with triple EMAsuggests up trend for the time being.Asustained close
above $1,758 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,747
will check further supports. Later today, U.S. will release Personal income and spending results.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1748
1741
1736
1732
OCTOBER,
2021

9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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