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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT APRIL 23 2021
1. Daily Analysis Report
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23 April, 2021
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Asian Bulle n: Japanese yen rises in early Asia a er strong economic indicators, Asian stock markets in green, gold down
Key Headlines:
• Australia flash manufacturing PMI stands at 59.6 vs 56.8 previous release.
• Australia flash services PMI stands at 58.6 vs 55.5 previous release.
• U.K. GFK Consumer Confidence stands at -15 vs -16 previous release (expected -12).
• Japan na onal core CPI stands at -0.1 pct vs -0.4 pct previous release (expected -0.2).
• Japan flash manufacturing PMI stands at 53.3 vs 52.7 previous release (expected 53.1).
• ECB le Deposit Rate Unchanged at -0.5%.
• ECB le Refinancing Rate Unchanged at 0.0%.
• ECB le PEPP Bond Buying "Envelope" At EUR1.85 Trillion.
• ECB Will Buy Bonds Un l "At Least" March 2022, Or "Crisis Phase" Is Over.
• ECB le APP bond purchases at 20 billion Euros a month.
• Japan PM Yoshihide Suga is set Friday to declare a state of emergency in Tokyo and the western Japan prefectures of Osaka.
• BOJ Governor Kuroda - When infla on approaches our goal, we'll discuss how to unload our ETF holdings and exit easy policy at our
monetary-se ng mee ng.
• BOJ'S Governor Kuroda - The BOJ is to prevent market disrup on when it exits ETF buys.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) U.K. Retail Sales, previous 2.1, expected 1.5.
• (0715 GMT/1245 IST) France flash services PMI, previous 48.2, expected 46.6.
• (0715 GMT/1245 IST) France flash manufacturing PMI, previous 59.3, expected 59.0.
• (0730 GMT/1300 IST) German flash services PMI, previous 51.1, expected 51.1.
• (0730 GMT/1300 IST) German flash manufacturing PMI, previous 66.6, expected 65.8.
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Euro flash services PMI, previous 49.6, expected 49.1.
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Euro flash manufacturing PMI, previous 62.5, expected 62.0.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) U.K. flash services PMI, previous 56.3, expected 58.9.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) U.K. flash manufacturing PMI, previous 58.9, expected 59.0.
• (1345 GMT/1915 IST) U.S. flash services PMI, previous 60.4, expected 61.6.
• (1345 GMT/1915 IST) U.S. flash manufacturing PMI, previous 59.1, expected 60.9.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. New home sales, previous 775K, expected 885K.
Economic Events Ahead:
• No key events scheduled for the day.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.15% to 91.20 points.
3. AUD /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 0.7740 S1 0.7702
Buy Above 0.7740
0.7770
0.7710
0.7700
0.7675
0.7730
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 0.7770 S2 0.7677
R3 0.7790 S3 0.7638
R4 0.7812 S4 0.7590
Conclusion
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Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
APRIL,
Commentary
AUD/USD: The Aussie appreciates in early Asia as Australia released Flash
manufacturing and services PMI data with positive number. The pair made intraday high
at $0.7734 and low at $0.7700 mark. A day chart is showing Up Trend in long run but H1
chart with triple EMA confirms down trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$0.7740 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below
$0.7702 will check further supports.
4. EUR / USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.2050 S1 1.2006
Buy Above 1.2040
1.2065
1.2005
1.2000
1.1980
1.2030
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.2090 S2 1.1980
R3 1.2128 S3 1.1942
R4 1.2152 S4 1.1922
Conclusion
Commentary
EUR/USD: The euro fell sharply in previous session after ECB’s Interest Rate Decision.
Today pair recovers slightly from previous losses and remains well supported above
$1.2000 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.2027 and low at $1.2012. Today
triple EMA on a day chart is bullish but H1 chart suggests bearish trend for the time
being. A consistent close above $1.2050 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.2006 on H1 will check further supports.
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APRIL,
5. GBP /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.3876 S1 1.3822
Buy Above 1.3876
1.3900
1.3850
1.3822
1.3787
1.3830
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.3900 S2 1.3787
R3 1.3955 S3 1.3762
R4 1.3970 S4 1.3740
Conclusion
Commentary
GBP/USD: The sterling trades marginally higher on Friday and hovers around $1.3850
mark. The pair made intraday high at $1.3866 and low at $1.3831 mark. Today a day is
bullish but H1 chart with triple EMA suggests bearish trend for the time being. A
sustained close above $1.3876 requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent
close below $1.3837 will check further key supports.
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APRIL,
6. USD /CAD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.2520 S1 1.2460
Buy Above 1.2510
1.2535
1.2485
1.2470
1.2450
1.2500
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.2562 S2 1.2418
R3 1.2590 S3 1.2400
R4 1.2612 S4 1.2382
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar remains volatile in early Asia and touches 1.2470 mark
in Asian session. Today pair made intraday high at 1.2506 and low at 1.2470 mark. A
day chart and H1 chart with Triple EMA confirm bearish trend for the time being. A
sustained close above 1.2510 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a
consistent close below 1.2470 on H1 chart will check key supports too.
Trends Down Trend
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APRIL,
7. USD /JPY
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 108.15 S1 107.80
Buy Above 108.00
108.26
107.75
107.70
107.48
108.00
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 108.40 S2 107.60
R3 108.90 S3 107.28
R4 109.27 S4 107.00
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen rises slightly against U.S. dollar after robust economic
indicators and stabilizes below 108.00 mark. The pair made intraday high at 107.99 and
low at 107.80 mark. The triple EMA on a day chart is bullish while H1 chart confirms
bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 108.00 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 107.87 on H1 will check key
supports.
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APRIL,
8. XAU /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1799 S1 1780
Buy Above 1790
1796
1782
1780
1774
1788
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1805 S2 1776
R3 1812 S3 1772
R4 1820 S4 1767
Conclusion
Commentary
XAU/USD (GOLD): The gold moves in stiff boundaries on Friday and remains well
supported below $1,800 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,789 and low $1,782
mark. A day chart and H1 chart confirm up trend for the time being. H1 Chart with Triple
EMA is about to give successful crossover, which may confirms bearish trend for the
time being. Have to wait for few hours to confirm the trend. A sustained close above
$1,788 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below
$1,780 will check further supports.
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APRIL,
9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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