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WE ARE READY!
!
“Shortfall Is Our Pathway” !
14/07/15
Noosa Mining Conference
The foundations are laid!
OUR COMPANY!
	
  
•  Holds	
  56,522,900	
  acres	
  (228,740km²)	
  in	
  explora=on	
  tenements	
  of	
  which	
  47%	
  has	
  
received	
  Na=ve	
  Title	
  clearance	
  
	
  
•  Is	
  an	
  operator	
  for	
  the	
  Southern	
  Georgina	
  joint	
  venture	
  which	
  Total	
  is	
  farming	
  
into	
  
	
  
•  Will	
  be	
  the	
  operator	
  of	
  the	
  Mereenie	
  oil	
  and	
  gas	
  50/50	
  venture	
  with	
  Santos	
  
	
  
•  Will	
  operate	
  its	
  100%	
  owned	
  oil	
  gas	
  fields	
  at	
  Palm	
  Valley	
  &	
  Dingo	
  
	
  
•  Expected	
  to	
  earn	
  $2	
  Million	
  in	
  first	
  full	
  year	
  aYer	
  all	
  commitments	
  &	
  expenses	
  
(head	
  office	
  inclusive)	
  following	
  the	
  acquisi=on	
  of	
  Mereenie,	
  without	
  NEGI	
  
•  Aims	
  to	
  have	
  380	
  PJ	
  in	
  2P	
  gas	
  reserves,	
  a	
  catalyst	
  for	
  NEGI	
  
	
  
OVERVIEW!
	
  
•  The	
  $5bn	
  North	
  Australia	
  funding	
  in	
  the	
  Federal	
  Budget	
  has	
  the	
  NEGI	
  pipeline	
  as	
  
a	
  qualified	
  receipt	
  
	
  
•  NEGI	
  decision	
  projected	
  to	
  be	
  worth	
  $75	
  million	
  p.a.	
  of	
  incremental	
  revenues	
  in	
  
2019.	
  
	
  
•  Over	
  half	
  of	
  the	
  gas	
  transported	
  through	
  the	
  NEGI	
  pipeline	
  will	
  be	
  sourced	
  in	
  
fields	
  Central	
  operate.	
  
	
  
•  NEGI	
  construc=on	
  currently	
  in	
  final	
  bidding	
  stage	
  involving	
  four	
  of	
  the	
  industry’s	
  
biggest	
  players	
  (APA	
  Group,	
  Duet	
  Group,	
  Jemena	
  and	
  Merlin	
  Energy)	
  
•  Current	
  gas	
  demand	
  of	
  approximately	
  700-­‐800	
  PJ/P.A	
  in	
  Gladstone	
  is	
  predicted	
  
to	
  increase	
  to	
  2100	
  PJ/P.A	
  by	
  2017,	
  crea=ng	
  a	
  prosperous	
  domes=c	
  market.	
  
OVERVIEW!
	
  
•  Australian	
  Domes=c	
  market	
  in	
  2019	
  (NEGI	
  first	
  gas	
  delivery)	
  is	
  133	
  PJ/P.A	
  short	
  
without	
  NEGI	
  	
  according	
  to	
  EnergyQuest.	
  With	
  NEGI	
  the	
  domes=c	
  market	
  will	
  be	
  
83	
  PJ/P.A	
  short	
  and	
  growing.	
  
•  Australia’s	
  LNG	
  export	
  industry	
  requires	
  gas	
  far	
  in	
  excess	
  of	
  Australia’s	
  current	
  
produc=on,	
  presen=ng	
  further	
  opportunity	
  for	
  Central	
  Petroleum.	
  
•  Failure	
  to	
  act	
  on	
  projected	
  gas	
  shorhalls	
  will	
  cost	
  Australia	
  up	
  to	
  300,000	
  
domes=c	
  jobs	
  as	
  stated	
  by	
  NSW	
  MP	
  Anthony	
  Roberts.	
  	
  
•  Our	
  compe=tors	
  have	
  presold	
  into	
  LNG	
  at	
  oil	
  linked	
  prices.	
  Central’s	
  prices	
  will	
  
be	
  set	
  at	
  levels	
  domes=c	
  industrial	
  users	
  can	
  bear.	
  
•  We	
  aim	
  to	
  produce	
  gas	
  at	
  $1/GJ	
  (ex.	
  field	
  opera=ng	
  costs),	
  unconven=onal	
  gas	
  is	
  
currently	
  cos=ng	
  $4/GJ	
  
	
  
DISCLAIMER!
1. This presentation is not intended for prospective investors and does not purport to provide all of the information an interested party may require in order to investigate the
affairs of Central Petroleum Ltd (“Company”). This presentation does not attempt to produce profit forecasts for the Company and should not be relied upon as a forecast or as
a basis for investment into the Company. It presents details of scoping studies and does not present and should not be construed to present financial forecasts for potential
shareholders or investors. The authors are competent persons with appropriate qualifications and relevant experience and the assumptions used and the conclusions reached
in this report are considered by them to be based on reasonable grounds and appropriate for the scope of the assignment. The conclusions reached in this report are based on
market conditions at the time or writing and as such may not be relied upon as a guide to future developments.
2. The information herein is provided to recipients on the clear understanding that neither the Company nor any of its representatives, officers, employees, agents or advisers
(“Company Personnel”) takes any responsibility for the information, data or advice contained or for any omission or for any other information, statement or representation
provided to any recipient. Recipients of this presentation must conduct their own investigation and analysis regarding any information, statement or representation contained or
provided to any recipient or its associates by the Company or any of the Company Personnel. Each recipient waives any right of action, which it has now or in the future
against the Company or any of the Company Personnel in respect of any errors or omissions in or from this presentation, however caused. Potential recoverable petroleum
numbers are estimates only until the prospects are evaluated further by drilling and/or seismic and are unrisked deterministically derived.
3. This presentation is the property of the Company and it is not authorised for distribution, copying or publication or dissemination to the public by any means or for any reason
whatsoever by parties other than by the Company. The recipient of this presentation should take appropriate legal advice as to whether such receipt contravenes any relevant
jurisdiction’s financial or corporate regulatory regimes, and, if so, immediately destroy this material or return it to the sender.
4. Potential volumetrics of gas or oil may be categorised as Undiscovered Gas or Oil Initially In Place (UGIIP or UOIIP) or Prospective Recoverable Oil or Gas in accordance
with AAPG/SPE guidelines. Unless otherwise annotated any potential oil or gas or UGIIP or UOIIP figures are at “high” estimate in accordance with the guidelines of the Society
of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) as preferred by the ASX Limited but the ASX Limited takes no responsibility for such quoted figures. As new information comes to hand from data
processing and new drilling and seismic information, preliminary results may be modified. Resources estimates, assessments of exploration results and other opinions
expressed by the Company in this presentation or report may not have been reviewed by relevant Joint Venture partners. Therefore those resource estimates, assessments of
exploration results and opinions represent the views of the Company only. Exploration programs which may be referred to in this presentation or report are subject to several
contingencies inclusive of force majeure, access, funding, appropriate crew and equipment and may not have been approved by and relevant Joint Venture partners and
accordingly constitute a proposal only unless and until approved. Any mention of potential raising of capital anywhere is subject to various contingencies inclusive of the state of
the markets, commodity prices, appropriate support and the ASX Listing Rules.
5. This document may contain forward-looking statements. Forward looking statements are only predictions and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions which are
outside the control of the Company. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions include (but are not limited to) commodity prices, currency fluctuations, economic and financial
market conditions in various countries and regions, environmental risks and legislative, fiscal or regulatory developments, political risks, project delay or advancement,
approvals and cost estimates. Actual values, results or events may be materially different to those expressed or implied in this document. Given these uncertainties, readers are
cautioned not to place reliance on forward looking statements. Any forward looking statement in this document is valid only at the date of issue of this document. Subject to any
continuing obligations under applicable law and the ASX Listing Rules, or any other Listing Rules or Financial Regulators’ rules, the Company and the Company Personnel do
not undertake any obligation to update or revise any information or any of the forward looking statements in this document if events, conditions or circumstances change or that
unexpected occurrences happen to affect such a statement. Sentences and phrases are forward looking statements when they include any tense from present to future or
similar inflection words, such as (but not limited to) "believe," "estimate," target“, “anticipate," "plan," "predict," "may," "hope," "can," "will," "should," "expect," "intend," "is
designed to," "with the intent," "potential," the negative of these words or such other variations thereon or comparable terminology, may indicate forward looking statements.
6. The views and opinions expressed in this presentation, the resources, UGIIP and UOIIP figures, unless otherwise qualified do not necessarily reflect the views of existing joint
venture partners.
5	
  
THE ASSET !
Mereenie	
  Oil	
  &	
  Gas	
  Field	
  	
  
q  Discovered	
  in	
  1963	
  |	
  Produc=on	
  in	
  1984	
  	
  
q  Gas	
  accumula=on	
  with	
  an	
  oil	
  rim	
  	
  
q  Recent	
  Focus	
  as	
  Oil	
  producer	
  due	
  to	
  lack	
  of	
  gas	
  
markets	
  	
  
q  Major	
  long-­‐term	
  gas	
  contract	
  ended	
  in	
  2008	
  
q  5	
  discovered	
  zones	
  namely	
  Stairway	
  Sandstone	
  
forma=on	
  and	
  Pacoota	
  Sandstone	
  P1-­‐4	
  
q  Since	
  2008	
  gas	
  has	
  primarily	
  been	
  re-­‐injected	
  
6	
  
q  123	
  PJ	
  internal	
  es=mate	
  of	
  2P	
  Reserves	
  with	
  120	
  PJ	
  of	
  
internal	
  es=mate	
  of	
  2C*	
  
q  Present	
  produc=on	
  capacity	
  of	
  45	
  TJ/d	
  (15PJ	
  p.a.)	
  
q  Good	
  gas	
  flows	
  whilst	
  drilling	
  the	
  Stairway	
  and	
  Pacoota	
  
Sandstone	
  2	
  &	
  4	
  but	
  not	
  completed	
  	
  
q  Significant	
  exis=ng	
  infrastructure,	
  including	
  270km	
  pipeline	
  
to	
  Alice	
  Springs	
  	
  
q  Present	
  contracted	
  gas	
  sales	
  of	
  5TJ/d	
  (1.68	
  PJ	
  p.a.)	
  
q  Gas	
  reserves	
  have	
  not	
  been	
  developed	
  due	
  to	
  lack	
  of	
  market	
  
*	
  Reserve	
  Es=mate	
  is	
  based	
  on,	
  and	
  fairly	
  represents,	
  informa=on	
  and	
  suppor=ng	
  documenta=on	
  prepared	
  by	
  Larry	
  Franks	
  B.Eng	
  (Mech),	
  
Principal	
  of	
  Naturally	
  Fractured	
  Development	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
  and	
  member	
  of	
  the	
  Society	
  of	
  Petroleum	
  Engineers.	
  
MEREENIE ACQUISITION STRATEGY!
7	
  
➀	
  	
  Provide	
  immediate	
  financial	
  underpinning	
  to	
  Central	
  
AND	
  
➁	
  	
  Maximise	
  uncontracted	
  gas	
  reserves	
  as	
  a	
  catalyst	
  for	
  NEGI	
  	
  	
  
The	
  immediate	
  objec=ve	
  of	
  this	
  acquisi=on	
  is	
  to:	
  
Thereby	
  re-­‐ra=ng	
  our	
  produc=on	
  assets	
  and	
  surrounding	
  
explora=on	
  acreage.	
  	
  	
  
 	
  
PART I: CONSOLIDATION!
!
- THE IMMEDIATE BENEFITS - !
8	
  
•  CTP	
  will	
  acquire	
  a	
  50%	
  interest	
  in	
  the	
  Mereenie	
  Oil	
  &	
  Gas	
  Field	
  from	
  Santos	
  and	
  assume	
  
Operatorship	
  
•  CTP	
  will	
  become	
  Operator	
  across	
  all	
  3	
  producing	
  gas	
  fields	
  in	
  Central	
  Australia	
  
•  Total	
  acquisiKon	
  cost	
  of	
  A$55m	
  funded	
  by	
  debt	
  and	
  available	
  cash	
  
•  Compelling	
  value	
  driver	
  (CTP	
  Base	
  IRR	
  >	
  20%)	
  with	
  immediate	
  benefits	
  to	
  net	
  cash	
  flow	
  
and	
  debt	
  financing	
  costs	
  	
  
•  SubstanKal	
  upside	
  potenKal:	
  
•  Significant	
  undeveloped	
  oil	
  reserves	
  not	
  valued	
  (oil	
  price	
  rebound	
  potenKal)	
  	
  
•  Significant	
  uncontracted	
  gas	
  reserves	
  and	
  installed	
  producKon	
  ~	
  45TJ/d.	
  	
  New	
  sales	
  
opportuniKes	
  into	
  NT	
  domesKc,	
  East	
  Coast	
  (NEGI),	
  or	
  Darwin	
  LNG	
  with	
  low	
  marginal	
  
producKon	
  costs	
  across	
  CTP’s	
  por^olio	
  (<$1.50/GJ)	
  
•  Mereenie	
  is	
  the	
  catalyst	
  to	
  connecKng	
  Central	
  Australia	
  with	
  high	
  value	
  markets	
  which	
  will	
  
re-­‐rate	
  our	
  surrounding	
  exploraKon	
  acreage	
  and	
  sKmulate	
  new	
  exploraKon	
  investment	
  
9	
  
ACQUISITION OVERVIEW!
 
	
  
	
  
10	
  
Immediate	
  Benefits: 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  CTP	
  Share 	
  	
  
•  >600,000	
  boe	
  sales	
  (Year	
  1	
  forecast) 	
   	
  	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  300,000	
  boe	
  (yr	
  1)	
  
•  Reduced	
  OpEx	
  through	
  field	
  ra=onalisa=on	
   	
  	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  $3.5M/yr	
  
•  Reduced	
  reserve	
  risk	
  lowers	
  interest	
  rate	
  by	
  1.70%	
   	
   	
   	
  $850k/yr	
  
•  Produc=on	
  coverage	
  avoids	
  planned	
  drilling	
  (Dingo-­‐1) 	
   	
   	
  $10M	
  
•  U=lise	
  a	
  por=on	
  of	
  CTP’s	
  $120M	
  in	
  tax	
  loss	
  carry	
  	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  $6.5M	
  (NPV10)	
  
•  Reduc=on	
  in	
  net	
  CTP	
  overheads	
  across	
  porholio	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  $500k/yr	
  
•  Significant	
  installed	
  assets	
  acquired:	
  
–  45TJ/d	
  exis=ng	
  produc=on	
  capacity	
  already	
  installed	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  $Ms	
  replacement	
  value	
  	
  
–  Exis=ng	
  oil	
  pipeline	
  and	
  easement	
  to	
  Alice	
  Springs	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  270km 	
  	
  
–  Marginal	
  produc=on	
  cost	
  (within	
  CTP’s	
  installed	
  capacity) 	
   	
   	
   	
  <$1.00/GJ	
  
–  *123PJ	
  internal	
  es=mate	
  of	
  exis=ng	
  2P	
  gas	
  reserves	
  /	
  280PJ	
  target 	
   	
   	
  61-­‐140/PJ 	
  
	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  
	
  	
  
*	
  Reserve	
  Es=mate	
  is	
  based	
  on,	
  and	
  fairly	
  represents,	
  informa=on	
  and	
  suppor=ng	
  documenta=on	
  prepared	
  by	
  Larry	
  Franks	
  B.Eng	
  (Mech),	
  
Principal	
  of	
  Naturally	
  Fractured	
  Development	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
  and	
  member	
  of	
  the	
  Society	
  of	
  Petroleum	
  Engineers.	
  	
  
COMPELLING ACQUISITION VALUE DRIVERS!
BENEFITS OF FIELD CONSOLIDATION !
Opportunity	
  to	
  ra=onalise	
  opera=ng	
  ac=vity	
  and	
  gas	
  
porholio:	
  
ü  Op=misa=on	
  of	
  all	
  3	
  gas	
  fields	
  in	
  Central	
  Australia	
  
(Mereenie	
  /	
  Palm	
  Valley	
  /	
  Dingo)	
  
ü  Poten=al	
  to	
  consolidate	
  produc=on	
  across	
  3	
  fields	
  
ü  Unit	
  costs	
  of	
  produc=on	
  very	
  volume	
  sensi=ve	
  	
  
ü  Marginal	
  produc=on	
  costs	
  are	
  much	
  lower	
  than	
  CTP’s	
  
current	
  produc=on	
  cost	
  of	
  $2/GJ	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
11	
  
Genera=ng	
  $2M	
  annually	
  aYer	
  all	
  
CTP	
  corporate	
  costs	
  and	
  expenses.	
  
EMPLOYMENT PHILOSOPHY !
1.  Family	
  Values	
  for	
  Working	
  Families	
  	
  
§  Maximising	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  employees	
  who	
  can	
  commute	
  daily	
  from	
  their	
  
homes	
  in	
  Alice	
  Springs	
  
2.  Northern	
  Territory	
  for	
  Northern	
  Territorians	
  	
  
§  Maximising	
  employees	
  based	
  at	
  Alice	
  Springs	
  who	
  can	
  be	
  “bused”	
  in	
  rather	
  
than	
  the	
  use	
  of	
  FIFO	
  workers.	
  	
  
3.  TradiAonal	
  Values	
  for	
  TradiAonal	
  Owners	
  
§  Central	
  is	
  commited	
  to	
  training	
  and	
  employing	
  people	
  on	
  whose	
  land	
  we	
  
operate	
  and	
  indigenous	
  employees	
  generally.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
→  FIFO	
  tax	
  concessions	
  have	
  changed,	
  this	
  facilitates	
  the	
  movements	
  towards	
  the	
  
Alice	
  Springs	
  base.	
  	
  
12	
  
PRE-NEGI FREE CARRY!
13	
  
$10M	
  Scope	
  of	
  Works	
  to	
  influence	
  NEGI	
  outcome:	
  	
  	
  
•  Review	
  all	
  data	
  acquired	
  since	
  2009	
  (when	
  field	
  
converted	
  to	
  oil	
  focus)	
  	
  
•  Conduct	
  review	
  on	
  the	
  basis	
  of	
  access	
  to	
  high	
  value	
  
East	
  Coast	
  market	
  
•  Workover	
  wells	
  where	
  gas	
  producing	
  zones	
  are	
  
behind	
  pipe	
  and	
  perforate	
  those	
  zones	
  for	
  tes=ng	
  
PART II: CATALYST	
  !
!
- THE FUTURE UPSIDE IS ENORMOUS -!
14	
  
•  123PJs	
  internal	
  es=mate	
  of	
  exis=ng	
  2P	
  gas	
  reserves	
  at	
  Mereenie*,	
  target	
  of	
  380PJs	
  by	
  end	
  of	
  2015	
  
⁻  Sufficient	
  to	
  underpin	
  future	
  supply	
  requirements	
  	
  of	
  proposed	
  NEGI	
  pipeline	
  for	
  domes=c	
  market	
  
•  The	
  NEGI	
  pipeline	
  will	
  add	
  substan=al	
  value	
  to	
  CTP	
  
⁻  NEGI	
  con=ngent	
  cost	
  of	
  $15M	
  cash	
  and	
  $55M	
  -­‐	
  $75M	
  work	
  program	
  is	
  con=ngent	
  on	
  CTP	
  benefiwng	
  from	
  the	
  NEGI	
  
pipeline	
  (must	
  be	
  value	
  accre=ve)	
  
⁻  Total	
  NEGI	
  con=ngent	
  cost	
  is	
  not	
  just	
  reserve	
  acquisi=on,	
  but	
  funds	
  field	
  produc=on	
  facili=es.	
  	
  	
  
⁻  Could	
  generate	
  ex-­‐field	
  gas	
  sales	
  revenue	
  across	
  CTP’s	
  porholio	
  in	
  excess	
  of	
  $40M/yr	
  (CTP	
  share)	
  
⁻  Value	
  not	
  only	
  through	
  sales,	
  but	
  in	
  crea=ng	
  a	
  market	
  to	
  s=mulate	
  new	
  conven=onal	
  gas	
  explora=on	
  within	
  CTP’s	
  extensive	
  
explora=on	
  acreage.	
  
•  Significant	
  gas	
  reserves	
  can	
  be	
  commercialised	
  without	
  NEGI,	
  including:	
  
⁻  New	
  sales	
  through	
  LNG	
  produc=on	
  at	
  Darwin	
  
⁻  Incremental	
  gas	
  sales	
  into	
  the	
  domes=c	
  NT	
  market	
  
⁻  New	
  gas	
  commercialisa=on	
  projects	
  throughout	
  the	
  NT	
  
•  12	
  mmboe	
  of	
  undeveloped	
  liquids	
  reserves*	
  at	
  Mereenie	
  not	
  currently	
  valued	
  (possible	
  oil	
  price	
  
recovery	
  play)	
  
•  Mereenie	
  Oil	
  produc=on	
  could	
  add	
  scale	
  to	
  future	
  discoveries	
  in	
  oil-­‐prone	
  EP115	
  
15	
  
*	
  Reserve	
  Es=mate	
  is	
  based	
  on,	
  and	
  fairly	
  represents,	
  informa=on	
  and	
  suppor=ng	
  documenta=on	
  prepared	
  by	
  Larry	
  Franks	
  B.Eng	
  (Mech),	
  
Principal	
  of	
  Naturally	
  Fractured	
  Development	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
  and	
  member	
  of	
  the	
  Society	
  of	
  Petroleum	
  Engineers.	
  
MAJOR UPSIDE OPPORTUNITIES!
WHY DOMESTIC GAS?!
•  The	
  Gas	
  Industry	
  is	
  in	
  a	
  state	
  of	
  flux	
  
and	
  change.	
  	
  
•  Oil	
  and	
  Domes=c	
  Gas	
  prices	
  are	
  not	
  
linked.	
  	
  
•  The	
  Mereenie	
  acquisi=on	
  will	
  facilitate	
  
the	
  connec=on	
  of	
  our	
  gas	
  fields	
  to	
  the	
  
eastern	
  seaboard	
  markets.	
  	
  
16	
  
ü  “Out	
  of	
  all	
  the	
  fossil	
  fuels,	
  natural	
  gas	
  has	
  the	
  
highest	
  absolute	
  growth.	
  The	
  global	
  demand	
  
for	
  natural	
  gas	
  increases	
  by	
  half	
  over	
  the	
  
period	
  to	
  2035”	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
Keisuke	
  Sadamori	
  IEA	
  –	
  29/13/2013	
  
ü  300,000	
  gas	
  reliant	
  jobs	
  stand	
  to	
  be	
  affected	
  by	
  
immanent	
  gas	
  shortages.	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
NSW	
  Resources	
  Minister	
  Anthony	
  Roberts	
  
ü  “Without	
  affordable	
  and	
  reliable	
  gas	
  supplies	
  
our	
  manufacturers	
  will	
  struggle	
  to	
  compete	
  
and	
  households	
  will	
  pay	
  higher	
  prices.	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
NSW	
  Premier	
  Mike	
  Baird	
  –	
  07/11/2014	
  
NEGI	
  would	
  unlock	
  value	
  in	
  CTP’s	
  produc=on	
  assets	
  
and	
  surrounding	
  explora=on	
  porholio:	
  	
  
ü  East	
  Coast	
  market	
  demand	
  unsa=sfied	
  à	
  significant	
  
shorhall	
  becoming	
  apparent	
  
ü  NEGI	
  connects	
  CTP’s	
  gas	
  reserves	
  to	
  the	
  high-­‐value	
  
East	
  Coast	
  markets	
  (e.g.	
  recent	
  IPL	
  15PJ/yr	
  HOA)	
  	
  
ü  Total	
  target	
  gas	
  sales	
  across	
  CTP’s	
  porholio	
  following	
  
NEGI	
  is	
  15	
  –	
  25	
  PJ	
  per	
  annum	
  (CTP	
  Share)	
  with	
  an	
  
NPV	
  in	
  the	
  order	
  of	
  $200M.	
  	
  	
  	
  
ü  Access	
  to	
  this	
  market	
  will	
  significantly	
  increase	
  	
  the	
  
value	
  of	
  CTP’s	
  explora=on	
  acreage.	
  	
  
ü  Explora=on	
  capital	
  to	
  become	
  more	
  readily	
  available	
  
following	
  market	
  access	
  
ü  Acquired	
  the	
  Mereenie	
  Alice	
  Springs	
  Oil	
  Pipeline	
  and	
  
easement	
  –	
  possible	
  alterna=ve	
  route	
  to	
  Alice	
  
Springs	
  for	
  NEGI’s	
  Moomba	
  op=on	
  
17	
  
ü  10	
  October	
  2014:	
  COAG	
  appoints	
  NT	
  Government	
  to	
  
lead	
  the	
  process	
  
ü  7	
  November	
  2014:	
  NSW	
  &	
  NT	
  sign	
  gas	
  pipeline	
  MOU	
  
ü  16	
  December	
  2014:	
  The	
  Giles	
  Government	
  receives	
  	
  
14	
  Expressions	
  of	
  Interest	
  	
  
ü  19	
  December	
  2014:	
  11	
  companies	
  shortlisted	
  to	
  
proceed	
  to	
  the	
  next	
  stage	
  of	
  the	
  bid	
  process	
  	
  
ü  1	
  April	
  2015:	
  4	
  companies	
  are	
  invited	
  to	
  par=cipate	
  in	
  
the	
  Request	
  for	
  Final	
  Proposals	
  stage	
  “the	
  pipeline	
  is	
  
now	
  almost	
  certain”	
  –	
  Adam	
  Giles	
  	
  
ü  12	
  May	
  2015:	
  Federal	
  Budget	
  announces	
  $5bn	
  in	
  
concessional	
  loans	
  for	
  infrastructure	
  projects	
  in	
  WA,	
  
NT	
  &	
  QLD	
  including	
  pipelines	
  	
  
q  Q4	
  2015:	
  Selec=on	
  of	
  a	
  preferred	
  NEGI	
  proponent	
  
q  2016:	
  NEGI	
  Financial	
  Investment	
  Decision	
  (FID)	
  
q  2018:	
  NEGI	
  pipeline	
  commencement	
  	
  
WHAT NEGI MEANS FOR CENTRAL !
PART III: OUTLOOK!
!
- THE FOUNDATIONS ARE LAID -!
18	
  
THE FOUNDATIONS OF SUCCESS!
•  In	
  the	
  last	
  three	
  years	
  Central	
  has	
  laid	
  the	
  founda=ons	
  necessary	
  for	
  market	
  success	
  
by	
  establishing	
  supply	
  contracts,	
  field	
  development,	
  cer=fied	
  reserves	
  and	
  financing	
  
ahead	
  of	
  the	
  NEGI	
  domes=c	
  supply	
  pipeline.	
  
•  Similarly,	
  QGC	
  took	
  two	
  years	
  to	
  lay	
  its	
  founda=ons	
  which	
  established	
  local	
  CSG	
  
supply.	
  This	
  made	
  the	
  proposed	
  PNG	
  pipeline	
  unnecessary	
  and	
  changed	
  
fundamentally	
  the	
  market	
  opportuni=es.	
  	
  
Source:	
  	
  QGC	
  Annual	
  Report	
  30-­‐June-­‐2006	
  (page	
  38)	
  
•  AYer	
  two	
  years	
  marking	
  =me,	
  QGC’s	
  
share	
  price	
  began	
  its	
  steady	
  rise.	
  
•  Central’s	
  50%	
  acquisi=on	
  of	
  Mereenie	
  
places	
  it	
  in	
  an	
  advantageous	
  posi=on	
  to	
  
capitalise	
  on	
  future	
  gas	
  demand	
  created	
  
by	
  the	
  NEGI	
  project	
  and	
  increasing	
  LNG	
  
exports.	
  
•  Central	
  petroleum	
  now	
  has	
  a	
  foothold	
  
on	
  Australia’s	
  largest	
  commercial	
  gas	
  
acreage	
  
15	
  
Supply Contracts:!
THE FOUNDATIONS OF SUCCESS!
•  CTP	
  has	
  13	
  TJ/day	
  of	
  exis=ng	
  gas	
  contracts	
  under	
  its	
  operatorship	
  	
  
(cf	
  11	
  TJ/day	
  at	
  QGC	
  in	
  May	
  2006)(1)	
  and	
  on	
  an	
  equity	
  accounted	
  
basis	
  10.5	
  TJ/day	
  (cf	
  QGC	
  10	
  TJ/day	
  in	
  May	
  2006)	
  (2)	
  
•  CTP	
  has	
  NEGI	
  catalyst	
  to	
  come	
  	
  
	
  (QGC	
  had	
  PNG	
  Pipeline	
  demise	
  to	
  come)	
  
Field Development:!
•  CTP	
  has	
  fields	
  developed	
  capable	
  of	
  producing	
  60	
  TJ/day	
  	
  
	
  (cf	
  QGC	
  in	
  August	
  2006	
  80	
  TJ/day)	
  (3)	
  
16	
  
(1)  Source:	
  QGC	
  Prospectus	
  4	
  August	
  2006	
  (Page	
  14)	
  
(2)  Source:	
  QGC	
  Prospectus	
  4	
  August	
  2006	
  (Page	
  14)	
  
(3)  Source:	
  QGC	
  Prospectus	
  4	
  August	
  2006	
  (Page	
  5)	
  
THE FOUNDATIONS OF SUCCESS!
Reserves Certification:!
CTP	
  is	
  presently	
  undertaking	
  baseline	
  for	
  cer=fied	
  reserves	
  star=ng	
  with	
  Palm	
  
Valley	
  then	
  Dingo	
  then	
  Mereenie	
  (target	
  by	
  August	
  170	
  PJ	
  and	
  by	
  end	
  of	
  the	
  
year	
  400	
  PJ).	
  
Source:	
  	
  QGC	
  Prospectus	
  04-­‐Aug-­‐2006	
  
17	
  
THE FOUNDATIONS OF SUCCESS!
Financing:!
•  CTP	
  has	
  368	
  million	
  shares	
  on	
  issue	
  	
  
	
  (cf	
  QGC	
  353	
  million	
  as	
  at	
  30	
  June	
  2005)(1)	
  
•  CTP	
  has	
  $47	
  million	
  in	
  debt	
  	
  
(cf	
  QGC	
  $43	
  million	
  as	
  at	
  30	
  June	
  2006)	
  (2)	
  
•  In	
  fiscal	
  year	
  2015-­‐2016	
  will	
  begin	
  ea=ng	
  into	
  tax	
  losses	
  
(cf	
  QGC	
  in	
  2006/2007)	
  	
  
18	
  
(1)  Source:	
  QGC	
  Annual	
  Report	
  30	
  June	
  2005	
  (page	
  46)	
  
(2)  Source:	
  QGC	
  Annual	
  Report	
  30	
  June	
  2006	
  (page	
  54)	
  
	
  
19	
  
EXTRACT FROM QGC PROSPECTUS!
	
  	
  
	
  
In	
  the	
  last	
  5	
  years,	
  the	
  price	
  of	
  Australian	
  thermal	
  coal	
  for	
  export	
  has	
  approximately	
  doubled,	
  	
  
and	
  oil	
  prices	
  have	
  trebled.	
  However,	
  gas	
  prices	
  in	
  Australia	
  have	
  remained	
  rela=vely	
  sta=c,	
  so	
  	
  
much	
  so	
  that	
  the	
  price	
  is	
  now	
  only	
  about	
  one-­‐quarter	
  of	
  US	
  or	
  European	
  gas	
  prices.	
  
	
  
Based	
  upon	
  the	
  pricing	
  rela=vi=es	
  of	
  alternate	
  fuels,	
  QGC's	
  Board	
  has	
  taken	
  the	
  strategic	
  	
  
view	
  that	
  gas	
  prices	
  in	
  Australia	
  will	
  increase	
  more	
  than	
  CPI	
  in	
  the	
  longer	
  term	
  (5-­‐15	
  years).	
  	
  
The	
  compara=vely	
  higher	
  priced	
  US	
  and	
  European	
  markets	
  will	
  also	
  have	
  a	
  benchmarking	
  	
  
effect	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  Australian	
  gas	
  pricing.	
  
	
  
For	
  these	
  reasons,	
  QGC	
  will	
  endeavour	
  to	
  focus	
  upon	
  shorter	
  to	
  intermediate	
  term	
  contracts	
  	
  
(up	
  to	
  5-­‐10	
  years)	
  and	
  maintain	
  flexibility	
  to	
  take	
  advantage	
  of	
  expected	
  higher	
  prices	
  in	
  the	
  	
  
longer	
  term.	
  The	
  excep=ons	
  to	
  this	
  strategy	
  will	
  be	
  in	
  cases	
  where:	
  
	
  
•  the	
  contract	
  price	
  tracks	
  the	
  price	
  of	
  an	
  external	
  commodity	
  in	
  which	
  gas	
  is	
  a	
  major	
  	
  
	
  input	
  such	
  as	
  electricity;	
  or	
  
•  it	
  is	
  for	
  a	
  long	
  term	
  strategic	
  purpose,	
  such	
  as	
  augmen=ng	
  pipeline	
  infrastructure	
  	
  
	
  enabling	
  QGC	
  to	
  open	
  up	
  more	
  market	
  opportuni=es;	
  or	
  
•  a	
  longer	
  term	
  is	
  required	
  for	
  financing	
  purposes.	
  
	
  
	
  
QUEENSLAND GAS COMPANY LIMITED 21	
  4	
  August	
  2006	
  
Energy	
  Outlook	
  
Ph:	
  +61	
  (0)	
  7	
  3181	
  3800	
  	
  |	
  	
  Fx:	
  +61	
  (0)	
  7	
  3181	
  3855	
  
Level	
  32,	
  400	
  George	
  Street,	
  Brisbane,	
  Queensland	
  4000,	
  Australia	
  	
  
PO	
  Box	
  12214,	
  George	
  Street,	
  Queensland	
  4003,	
  Australia	
  	
  
info@centralpetroleum.com.au	
  	
  |	
  	
  centralpetroleum.com.au	
  
©	
  2015.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  Central	
  Petroleum	
  Limited	
  	
  |	
  	
  ABN	
  72	
  083	
  254	
  308	
  	
  |	
  	
  centralpetroleum.com.au	
  
Richard	
  Coee	
  
Managing	
  Director	
  	
  
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Central petroleum investor presentation July 2015

  • 1.     WE ARE READY! ! “Shortfall Is Our Pathway” ! 14/07/15 Noosa Mining Conference The foundations are laid!
  • 2. OUR COMPANY!   •  Holds  56,522,900  acres  (228,740km²)  in  explora=on  tenements  of  which  47%  has   received  Na=ve  Title  clearance     •  Is  an  operator  for  the  Southern  Georgina  joint  venture  which  Total  is  farming   into     •  Will  be  the  operator  of  the  Mereenie  oil  and  gas  50/50  venture  with  Santos     •  Will  operate  its  100%  owned  oil  gas  fields  at  Palm  Valley  &  Dingo     •  Expected  to  earn  $2  Million  in  first  full  year  aYer  all  commitments  &  expenses   (head  office  inclusive)  following  the  acquisi=on  of  Mereenie,  without  NEGI   •  Aims  to  have  380  PJ  in  2P  gas  reserves,  a  catalyst  for  NEGI    
  • 3. OVERVIEW!   •  The  $5bn  North  Australia  funding  in  the  Federal  Budget  has  the  NEGI  pipeline  as   a  qualified  receipt     •  NEGI  decision  projected  to  be  worth  $75  million  p.a.  of  incremental  revenues  in   2019.     •  Over  half  of  the  gas  transported  through  the  NEGI  pipeline  will  be  sourced  in   fields  Central  operate.     •  NEGI  construc=on  currently  in  final  bidding  stage  involving  four  of  the  industry’s   biggest  players  (APA  Group,  Duet  Group,  Jemena  and  Merlin  Energy)   •  Current  gas  demand  of  approximately  700-­‐800  PJ/P.A  in  Gladstone  is  predicted   to  increase  to  2100  PJ/P.A  by  2017,  crea=ng  a  prosperous  domes=c  market.  
  • 4. OVERVIEW!   •  Australian  Domes=c  market  in  2019  (NEGI  first  gas  delivery)  is  133  PJ/P.A  short   without  NEGI    according  to  EnergyQuest.  With  NEGI  the  domes=c  market  will  be   83  PJ/P.A  short  and  growing.   •  Australia’s  LNG  export  industry  requires  gas  far  in  excess  of  Australia’s  current   produc=on,  presen=ng  further  opportunity  for  Central  Petroleum.   •  Failure  to  act  on  projected  gas  shorhalls  will  cost  Australia  up  to  300,000   domes=c  jobs  as  stated  by  NSW  MP  Anthony  Roberts.     •  Our  compe=tors  have  presold  into  LNG  at  oil  linked  prices.  Central’s  prices  will   be  set  at  levels  domes=c  industrial  users  can  bear.   •  We  aim  to  produce  gas  at  $1/GJ  (ex.  field  opera=ng  costs),  unconven=onal  gas  is   currently  cos=ng  $4/GJ    
  • 5. DISCLAIMER! 1. This presentation is not intended for prospective investors and does not purport to provide all of the information an interested party may require in order to investigate the affairs of Central Petroleum Ltd (“Company”). This presentation does not attempt to produce profit forecasts for the Company and should not be relied upon as a forecast or as a basis for investment into the Company. It presents details of scoping studies and does not present and should not be construed to present financial forecasts for potential shareholders or investors. The authors are competent persons with appropriate qualifications and relevant experience and the assumptions used and the conclusions reached in this report are considered by them to be based on reasonable grounds and appropriate for the scope of the assignment. The conclusions reached in this report are based on market conditions at the time or writing and as such may not be relied upon as a guide to future developments. 2. The information herein is provided to recipients on the clear understanding that neither the Company nor any of its representatives, officers, employees, agents or advisers (“Company Personnel”) takes any responsibility for the information, data or advice contained or for any omission or for any other information, statement or representation provided to any recipient. Recipients of this presentation must conduct their own investigation and analysis regarding any information, statement or representation contained or provided to any recipient or its associates by the Company or any of the Company Personnel. Each recipient waives any right of action, which it has now or in the future against the Company or any of the Company Personnel in respect of any errors or omissions in or from this presentation, however caused. Potential recoverable petroleum numbers are estimates only until the prospects are evaluated further by drilling and/or seismic and are unrisked deterministically derived. 3. This presentation is the property of the Company and it is not authorised for distribution, copying or publication or dissemination to the public by any means or for any reason whatsoever by parties other than by the Company. The recipient of this presentation should take appropriate legal advice as to whether such receipt contravenes any relevant jurisdiction’s financial or corporate regulatory regimes, and, if so, immediately destroy this material or return it to the sender. 4. Potential volumetrics of gas or oil may be categorised as Undiscovered Gas or Oil Initially In Place (UGIIP or UOIIP) or Prospective Recoverable Oil or Gas in accordance with AAPG/SPE guidelines. Unless otherwise annotated any potential oil or gas or UGIIP or UOIIP figures are at “high” estimate in accordance with the guidelines of the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) as preferred by the ASX Limited but the ASX Limited takes no responsibility for such quoted figures. As new information comes to hand from data processing and new drilling and seismic information, preliminary results may be modified. Resources estimates, assessments of exploration results and other opinions expressed by the Company in this presentation or report may not have been reviewed by relevant Joint Venture partners. Therefore those resource estimates, assessments of exploration results and opinions represent the views of the Company only. Exploration programs which may be referred to in this presentation or report are subject to several contingencies inclusive of force majeure, access, funding, appropriate crew and equipment and may not have been approved by and relevant Joint Venture partners and accordingly constitute a proposal only unless and until approved. Any mention of potential raising of capital anywhere is subject to various contingencies inclusive of the state of the markets, commodity prices, appropriate support and the ASX Listing Rules. 5. This document may contain forward-looking statements. Forward looking statements are only predictions and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions which are outside the control of the Company. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions include (but are not limited to) commodity prices, currency fluctuations, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, environmental risks and legislative, fiscal or regulatory developments, political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates. Actual values, results or events may be materially different to those expressed or implied in this document. Given these uncertainties, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on forward looking statements. Any forward looking statement in this document is valid only at the date of issue of this document. Subject to any continuing obligations under applicable law and the ASX Listing Rules, or any other Listing Rules or Financial Regulators’ rules, the Company and the Company Personnel do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any information or any of the forward looking statements in this document if events, conditions or circumstances change or that unexpected occurrences happen to affect such a statement. Sentences and phrases are forward looking statements when they include any tense from present to future or similar inflection words, such as (but not limited to) "believe," "estimate," target“, “anticipate," "plan," "predict," "may," "hope," "can," "will," "should," "expect," "intend," "is designed to," "with the intent," "potential," the negative of these words or such other variations thereon or comparable terminology, may indicate forward looking statements. 6. The views and opinions expressed in this presentation, the resources, UGIIP and UOIIP figures, unless otherwise qualified do not necessarily reflect the views of existing joint venture partners. 5  
  • 6. THE ASSET ! Mereenie  Oil  &  Gas  Field     q  Discovered  in  1963  |  Produc=on  in  1984     q  Gas  accumula=on  with  an  oil  rim     q  Recent  Focus  as  Oil  producer  due  to  lack  of  gas   markets     q  Major  long-­‐term  gas  contract  ended  in  2008   q  5  discovered  zones  namely  Stairway  Sandstone   forma=on  and  Pacoota  Sandstone  P1-­‐4   q  Since  2008  gas  has  primarily  been  re-­‐injected   6   q  123  PJ  internal  es=mate  of  2P  Reserves  with  120  PJ  of   internal  es=mate  of  2C*   q  Present  produc=on  capacity  of  45  TJ/d  (15PJ  p.a.)   q  Good  gas  flows  whilst  drilling  the  Stairway  and  Pacoota   Sandstone  2  &  4  but  not  completed     q  Significant  exis=ng  infrastructure,  including  270km  pipeline   to  Alice  Springs     q  Present  contracted  gas  sales  of  5TJ/d  (1.68  PJ  p.a.)   q  Gas  reserves  have  not  been  developed  due  to  lack  of  market   *  Reserve  Es=mate  is  based  on,  and  fairly  represents,  informa=on  and  suppor=ng  documenta=on  prepared  by  Larry  Franks  B.Eng  (Mech),   Principal  of  Naturally  Fractured  Development  Pty  Ltd  and  member  of  the  Society  of  Petroleum  Engineers.  
  • 7. MEREENIE ACQUISITION STRATEGY! 7   ➀    Provide  immediate  financial  underpinning  to  Central   AND   ➁    Maximise  uncontracted  gas  reserves  as  a  catalyst  for  NEGI       The  immediate  objec=ve  of  this  acquisi=on  is  to:   Thereby  re-­‐ra=ng  our  produc=on  assets  and  surrounding   explora=on  acreage.      
  • 8.     PART I: CONSOLIDATION! ! - THE IMMEDIATE BENEFITS - ! 8  
  • 9. •  CTP  will  acquire  a  50%  interest  in  the  Mereenie  Oil  &  Gas  Field  from  Santos  and  assume   Operatorship   •  CTP  will  become  Operator  across  all  3  producing  gas  fields  in  Central  Australia   •  Total  acquisiKon  cost  of  A$55m  funded  by  debt  and  available  cash   •  Compelling  value  driver  (CTP  Base  IRR  >  20%)  with  immediate  benefits  to  net  cash  flow   and  debt  financing  costs     •  SubstanKal  upside  potenKal:   •  Significant  undeveloped  oil  reserves  not  valued  (oil  price  rebound  potenKal)     •  Significant  uncontracted  gas  reserves  and  installed  producKon  ~  45TJ/d.    New  sales   opportuniKes  into  NT  domesKc,  East  Coast  (NEGI),  or  Darwin  LNG  with  low  marginal   producKon  costs  across  CTP’s  por^olio  (<$1.50/GJ)   •  Mereenie  is  the  catalyst  to  connecKng  Central  Australia  with  high  value  markets  which  will   re-­‐rate  our  surrounding  exploraKon  acreage  and  sKmulate  new  exploraKon  investment   9   ACQUISITION OVERVIEW!
  • 10.       10   Immediate  Benefits:                    CTP  Share     •  >600,000  boe  sales  (Year  1  forecast)              300,000  boe  (yr  1)   •  Reduced  OpEx  through  field  ra=onalisa=on              $3.5M/yr   •  Reduced  reserve  risk  lowers  interest  rate  by  1.70%        $850k/yr   •  Produc=on  coverage  avoids  planned  drilling  (Dingo-­‐1)      $10M   •  U=lise  a  por=on  of  CTP’s  $120M  in  tax  loss  carry            $6.5M  (NPV10)   •  Reduc=on  in  net  CTP  overheads  across  porholio          $500k/yr   •  Significant  installed  assets  acquired:   –  45TJ/d  exis=ng  produc=on  capacity  already  installed          $Ms  replacement  value     –  Exis=ng  oil  pipeline  and  easement  to  Alice  Springs            270km     –  Marginal  produc=on  cost  (within  CTP’s  installed  capacity)        <$1.00/GJ   –  *123PJ  internal  es=mate  of  exis=ng  2P  gas  reserves  /  280PJ  target      61-­‐140/PJ                   *  Reserve  Es=mate  is  based  on,  and  fairly  represents,  informa=on  and  suppor=ng  documenta=on  prepared  by  Larry  Franks  B.Eng  (Mech),   Principal  of  Naturally  Fractured  Development  Pty  Ltd  and  member  of  the  Society  of  Petroleum  Engineers.     COMPELLING ACQUISITION VALUE DRIVERS!
  • 11. BENEFITS OF FIELD CONSOLIDATION ! Opportunity  to  ra=onalise  opera=ng  ac=vity  and  gas   porholio:   ü  Op=misa=on  of  all  3  gas  fields  in  Central  Australia   (Mereenie  /  Palm  Valley  /  Dingo)   ü  Poten=al  to  consolidate  produc=on  across  3  fields   ü  Unit  costs  of  produc=on  very  volume  sensi=ve     ü  Marginal  produc=on  costs  are  much  lower  than  CTP’s   current  produc=on  cost  of  $2/GJ             11   Genera=ng  $2M  annually  aYer  all   CTP  corporate  costs  and  expenses.  
  • 12. EMPLOYMENT PHILOSOPHY ! 1.  Family  Values  for  Working  Families     §  Maximising  the  number  of  employees  who  can  commute  daily  from  their   homes  in  Alice  Springs   2.  Northern  Territory  for  Northern  Territorians     §  Maximising  employees  based  at  Alice  Springs  who  can  be  “bused”  in  rather   than  the  use  of  FIFO  workers.     3.  TradiAonal  Values  for  TradiAonal  Owners   §  Central  is  commited  to  training  and  employing  people  on  whose  land  we   operate  and  indigenous  employees  generally.         →  FIFO  tax  concessions  have  changed,  this  facilitates  the  movements  towards  the   Alice  Springs  base.     12  
  • 13. PRE-NEGI FREE CARRY! 13   $10M  Scope  of  Works  to  influence  NEGI  outcome:       •  Review  all  data  acquired  since  2009  (when  field   converted  to  oil  focus)     •  Conduct  review  on  the  basis  of  access  to  high  value   East  Coast  market   •  Workover  wells  where  gas  producing  zones  are   behind  pipe  and  perforate  those  zones  for  tes=ng  
  • 14. PART II: CATALYST  ! ! - THE FUTURE UPSIDE IS ENORMOUS -! 14  
  • 15. •  123PJs  internal  es=mate  of  exis=ng  2P  gas  reserves  at  Mereenie*,  target  of  380PJs  by  end  of  2015   ⁻  Sufficient  to  underpin  future  supply  requirements    of  proposed  NEGI  pipeline  for  domes=c  market   •  The  NEGI  pipeline  will  add  substan=al  value  to  CTP   ⁻  NEGI  con=ngent  cost  of  $15M  cash  and  $55M  -­‐  $75M  work  program  is  con=ngent  on  CTP  benefiwng  from  the  NEGI   pipeline  (must  be  value  accre=ve)   ⁻  Total  NEGI  con=ngent  cost  is  not  just  reserve  acquisi=on,  but  funds  field  produc=on  facili=es.       ⁻  Could  generate  ex-­‐field  gas  sales  revenue  across  CTP’s  porholio  in  excess  of  $40M/yr  (CTP  share)   ⁻  Value  not  only  through  sales,  but  in  crea=ng  a  market  to  s=mulate  new  conven=onal  gas  explora=on  within  CTP’s  extensive   explora=on  acreage.   •  Significant  gas  reserves  can  be  commercialised  without  NEGI,  including:   ⁻  New  sales  through  LNG  produc=on  at  Darwin   ⁻  Incremental  gas  sales  into  the  domes=c  NT  market   ⁻  New  gas  commercialisa=on  projects  throughout  the  NT   •  12  mmboe  of  undeveloped  liquids  reserves*  at  Mereenie  not  currently  valued  (possible  oil  price   recovery  play)   •  Mereenie  Oil  produc=on  could  add  scale  to  future  discoveries  in  oil-­‐prone  EP115   15   *  Reserve  Es=mate  is  based  on,  and  fairly  represents,  informa=on  and  suppor=ng  documenta=on  prepared  by  Larry  Franks  B.Eng  (Mech),   Principal  of  Naturally  Fractured  Development  Pty  Ltd  and  member  of  the  Society  of  Petroleum  Engineers.   MAJOR UPSIDE OPPORTUNITIES!
  • 16. WHY DOMESTIC GAS?! •  The  Gas  Industry  is  in  a  state  of  flux   and  change.     •  Oil  and  Domes=c  Gas  prices  are  not   linked.     •  The  Mereenie  acquisi=on  will  facilitate   the  connec=on  of  our  gas  fields  to  the   eastern  seaboard  markets.     16   ü  “Out  of  all  the  fossil  fuels,  natural  gas  has  the   highest  absolute  growth.  The  global  demand   for  natural  gas  increases  by  half  over  the   period  to  2035”                                                                                                 Keisuke  Sadamori  IEA  –  29/13/2013   ü  300,000  gas  reliant  jobs  stand  to  be  affected  by   immanent  gas  shortages.                                                                                             NSW  Resources  Minister  Anthony  Roberts   ü  “Without  affordable  and  reliable  gas  supplies   our  manufacturers  will  struggle  to  compete   and  households  will  pay  higher  prices.                                                     NSW  Premier  Mike  Baird  –  07/11/2014  
  • 17. NEGI  would  unlock  value  in  CTP’s  produc=on  assets   and  surrounding  explora=on  porholio:     ü  East  Coast  market  demand  unsa=sfied  à  significant   shorhall  becoming  apparent   ü  NEGI  connects  CTP’s  gas  reserves  to  the  high-­‐value   East  Coast  markets  (e.g.  recent  IPL  15PJ/yr  HOA)     ü  Total  target  gas  sales  across  CTP’s  porholio  following   NEGI  is  15  –  25  PJ  per  annum  (CTP  Share)  with  an   NPV  in  the  order  of  $200M.         ü  Access  to  this  market  will  significantly  increase    the   value  of  CTP’s  explora=on  acreage.     ü  Explora=on  capital  to  become  more  readily  available   following  market  access   ü  Acquired  the  Mereenie  Alice  Springs  Oil  Pipeline  and   easement  –  possible  alterna=ve  route  to  Alice   Springs  for  NEGI’s  Moomba  op=on   17   ü  10  October  2014:  COAG  appoints  NT  Government  to   lead  the  process   ü  7  November  2014:  NSW  &  NT  sign  gas  pipeline  MOU   ü  16  December  2014:  The  Giles  Government  receives     14  Expressions  of  Interest     ü  19  December  2014:  11  companies  shortlisted  to   proceed  to  the  next  stage  of  the  bid  process     ü  1  April  2015:  4  companies  are  invited  to  par=cipate  in   the  Request  for  Final  Proposals  stage  “the  pipeline  is   now  almost  certain”  –  Adam  Giles     ü  12  May  2015:  Federal  Budget  announces  $5bn  in   concessional  loans  for  infrastructure  projects  in  WA,   NT  &  QLD  including  pipelines     q  Q4  2015:  Selec=on  of  a  preferred  NEGI  proponent   q  2016:  NEGI  Financial  Investment  Decision  (FID)   q  2018:  NEGI  pipeline  commencement     WHAT NEGI MEANS FOR CENTRAL !
  • 18. PART III: OUTLOOK! ! - THE FOUNDATIONS ARE LAID -! 18  
  • 19. THE FOUNDATIONS OF SUCCESS! •  In  the  last  three  years  Central  has  laid  the  founda=ons  necessary  for  market  success   by  establishing  supply  contracts,  field  development,  cer=fied  reserves  and  financing   ahead  of  the  NEGI  domes=c  supply  pipeline.   •  Similarly,  QGC  took  two  years  to  lay  its  founda=ons  which  established  local  CSG   supply.  This  made  the  proposed  PNG  pipeline  unnecessary  and  changed   fundamentally  the  market  opportuni=es.     Source:    QGC  Annual  Report  30-­‐June-­‐2006  (page  38)   •  AYer  two  years  marking  =me,  QGC’s   share  price  began  its  steady  rise.   •  Central’s  50%  acquisi=on  of  Mereenie   places  it  in  an  advantageous  posi=on  to   capitalise  on  future  gas  demand  created   by  the  NEGI  project  and  increasing  LNG   exports.   •  Central  petroleum  now  has  a  foothold   on  Australia’s  largest  commercial  gas   acreage   15  
  • 20. Supply Contracts:! THE FOUNDATIONS OF SUCCESS! •  CTP  has  13  TJ/day  of  exis=ng  gas  contracts  under  its  operatorship     (cf  11  TJ/day  at  QGC  in  May  2006)(1)  and  on  an  equity  accounted   basis  10.5  TJ/day  (cf  QGC  10  TJ/day  in  May  2006)  (2)   •  CTP  has  NEGI  catalyst  to  come      (QGC  had  PNG  Pipeline  demise  to  come)   Field Development:! •  CTP  has  fields  developed  capable  of  producing  60  TJ/day      (cf  QGC  in  August  2006  80  TJ/day)  (3)   16   (1)  Source:  QGC  Prospectus  4  August  2006  (Page  14)   (2)  Source:  QGC  Prospectus  4  August  2006  (Page  14)   (3)  Source:  QGC  Prospectus  4  August  2006  (Page  5)  
  • 21. THE FOUNDATIONS OF SUCCESS! Reserves Certification:! CTP  is  presently  undertaking  baseline  for  cer=fied  reserves  star=ng  with  Palm   Valley  then  Dingo  then  Mereenie  (target  by  August  170  PJ  and  by  end  of  the   year  400  PJ).   Source:    QGC  Prospectus  04-­‐Aug-­‐2006   17  
  • 22. THE FOUNDATIONS OF SUCCESS! Financing:! •  CTP  has  368  million  shares  on  issue      (cf  QGC  353  million  as  at  30  June  2005)(1)   •  CTP  has  $47  million  in  debt     (cf  QGC  $43  million  as  at  30  June  2006)  (2)   •  In  fiscal  year  2015-­‐2016  will  begin  ea=ng  into  tax  losses   (cf  QGC  in  2006/2007)     18   (1)  Source:  QGC  Annual  Report  30  June  2005  (page  46)   (2)  Source:  QGC  Annual  Report  30  June  2006  (page  54)    
  • 23. 19   EXTRACT FROM QGC PROSPECTUS!       In  the  last  5  years,  the  price  of  Australian  thermal  coal  for  export  has  approximately  doubled,     and  oil  prices  have  trebled.  However,  gas  prices  in  Australia  have  remained  rela=vely  sta=c,  so     much  so  that  the  price  is  now  only  about  one-­‐quarter  of  US  or  European  gas  prices.     Based  upon  the  pricing  rela=vi=es  of  alternate  fuels,  QGC's  Board  has  taken  the  strategic     view  that  gas  prices  in  Australia  will  increase  more  than  CPI  in  the  longer  term  (5-­‐15  years).     The  compara=vely  higher  priced  US  and  European  markets  will  also  have  a  benchmarking     effect  in  terms  of  Australian  gas  pricing.     For  these  reasons,  QGC  will  endeavour  to  focus  upon  shorter  to  intermediate  term  contracts     (up  to  5-­‐10  years)  and  maintain  flexibility  to  take  advantage  of  expected  higher  prices  in  the     longer  term.  The  excep=ons  to  this  strategy  will  be  in  cases  where:     •  the  contract  price  tracks  the  price  of  an  external  commodity  in  which  gas  is  a  major      input  such  as  electricity;  or   •  it  is  for  a  long  term  strategic  purpose,  such  as  augmen=ng  pipeline  infrastructure      enabling  QGC  to  open  up  more  market  opportuni=es;  or   •  a  longer  term  is  required  for  financing  purposes.       QUEENSLAND GAS COMPANY LIMITED 21  4  August  2006   Energy  Outlook  
  • 24. Ph:  +61  (0)  7  3181  3800    |    Fx:  +61  (0)  7  3181  3855   Level  32,  400  George  Street,  Brisbane,  Queensland  4000,  Australia     PO  Box  12214,  George  Street,  Queensland  4003,  Australia     info@centralpetroleum.com.au    |    centralpetroleum.com.au   ©  2015.  All  rights  reserved.  Central  Petroleum  Limited    |    ABN  72  083  254  308    |    centralpetroleum.com.au   Richard  Coee   Managing  Director     Contact  Us