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CHAPTER 13:  INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND  EXCHANGE RATE
CHAPTER OUTLINE 13.1 Absolute Advantage & Comparative Advantage 13.2 The Trade Barriers 13.3 Balance of Payment (BOP) 13.4 Exchange Rate
13.1 Absolute Advantage & Comparative Advantage ,[object Object],[object Object],More output with same resources
13.1 Absolute Advantage & Comparative Advantage ,[object Object],[object Object],Mean lower opportunity cost
13.1 Absolute Advantage & Comparative Advantage ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Absolute Advantage ,[object Object],[object Object],Car (units) Rice (units) Country A 600 300 Country B Total production 300 900 600 900
Comparative Advantage Opportunity Cost??? Car (units) Rice (units) Country A 600 300 Country B Total production 300 900 600 900
Comparative Advantage ,[object Object],[object Object],Car (units) Opportunity cost Rice (units) Opportunity cost Country A 600 300 Country B 300 600 Total production 900 900
Production after Specialization Car (units) Rice (units) Country A Country B Total production
Terms of Trade ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
13.2 TRADE BARRIERS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tariffs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tariffs Tariff revenue 2.00 2.50 Domestic supply Domestic demand  Price (RM) Quantity World price = 2 World price with tariff = 2.50 t = .50 Initial imports 3.00 100 125 175 200
Quota ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Quotas Price (RM) Quantity 2.50 Domestic supply Domestic demand  World price=RM2= World supply  2.00 Quota 3.00 100 125 175 200 World supply with quota
Export Subsidies   ,[object Object],[object Object]
Dumping (Anti) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Embargoes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
13.3 THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Current Account ,[object Object],[object Object]
Current Account ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Current Account ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Current Account ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Current Account ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Current Account ,[object Object],[object Object]
Capital Account ,[object Object],[object Object]
Capital Account ,[object Object],[object Object]
Financial account   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Malaysia Case
Error and Omissions ,[object Object],[object Object]
Balance of Payment (BOP) ,[object Object],[object Object]
THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS –  1.5 (11) Net capital account transactions 0 (12) Balance of payments (5 + 10 + 11) 51.9 (11) Statistical discrepancy 615.5 (10) Balance on capital account (6 + 7 + 8 + 9) 355.3 (9) Change in foreign government assets in the United States 4.1 (8) Change in U.S. government assets abroad (increase is –) 1077.9 (7) Change in foreign private assets in the United States –  821.8 (6) Change in private U.S. assets abroad (increase is –) CAPITAL ACCOUNT ?????? (5) Balance on current account (1 + 2 + 3 + 4) –  72.9 (4) Net transfer payments ????? (3) Net investment income –  344.9 Income payments on investments 369.0 Income received on investments ????? (2) Net export of services –  291.2 Import of services 339.6 Export of services ?????? (1) Net export of goods –  1,473.1 Goods imports 807.6 Goods exports CURRENT ACCOUNT TABLE 21.1 United States Balance of Payments, 2004
Multiplier Effect & Aggregate Expenditure (extension from Chapter 11): Planned aggregate expenditure ( AE ) in an open economy: In equilibrium: m  =  marginal propensity to import (or MPM) multiplier
Exports ,[object Object]
Imports ,[object Object],[object Object]
13.4 Exchange Rate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Exchange Rate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fixed Exchange Rate   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fixed Exchange Rate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Flexible Exchange Rate   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Flexible Exchange Rate   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Managed Floating System ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Managed Floating System ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fixed ER System vs.  Flexible ER System  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Open Economy With Flexible Exchange Rates ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Equilibrium Exchange Rate 3.49 0 D S Foreign exchange (millions of dollars) 800 820 Exchange rate (RM per dollar) ,[object Object],[object Object],3.50 3.48
Figure: Effect on the Foreign Exchange Market of  an Increased Demand for Dollars 3.49 0 D S Foreign exchange (millions of dollars) 800 3.50 820 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Exchange rate (RM per dollar) D'
The Open Economy With Flexible Exchange Rates ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Changes in a Country’s Income Income increases in the Malaysia Imports increase Demand for foreign currency to buy imports increase which means the supply of the RM increases The increase in supply of the RM causes the price of the RM to decrease
Changes in a Country’s Income
Changes in a Country’s Prices Inflation in the Malaysia increases Imports increase because foreign goods are cheaper Demand for foreign currency to buy imports increases which means the supply of the RM increases The increase in supply of RM causes the price  of RM to decrease
Changes in a Country’s Prices
Changes in Interest Rates Interest rates in the Malaysia increase Demand for Malaysia interest-bearing assets increases Demand for RM to buy Malaysia assets increases The increase in the demand for RM causes the price of RM to increase
Changes in Interest Rates
Changes in Trade Policy Malaysia  trade restrictions on imports increase Demand for imports to the Malaysia decreases The demand for foreign currencies decreases, which means the supply of RM decreases If foreign countries retaliate with restrictions on Malaysia exports, the demand for RM decreases
Changes in Trade Policy
The Effects of Exchange Rate  on the Economy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Exchange Rate Effects on Imports, Exports, and Real GDP ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Monetary Policy with Flexible Exchange Rate Increase in M Interest rate fall Investor earning lower IR Seek better investment abroad Sell local currency  Buy foreign currency Exchange rate fall (depreciate) Local (foreign) product cheaper (more expensive) Net export increase
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Chap13

  • 1. CHAPTER 13: INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND EXCHANGE RATE
  • 2. CHAPTER OUTLINE 13.1 Absolute Advantage & Comparative Advantage 13.2 The Trade Barriers 13.3 Balance of Payment (BOP) 13.4 Exchange Rate
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Comparative Advantage Opportunity Cost??? Car (units) Rice (units) Country A 600 300 Country B Total production 300 900 600 900
  • 8.
  • 9. Production after Specialization Car (units) Rice (units) Country A Country B Total production
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Tariffs Tariff revenue 2.00 2.50 Domestic supply Domestic demand Price (RM) Quantity World price = 2 World price with tariff = 2.50 t = .50 Initial imports 3.00 100 125 175 200
  • 14.
  • 15. Quotas Price (RM) Quantity 2.50 Domestic supply Domestic demand World price=RM2= World supply 2.00 Quota 3.00 100 125 175 200 World supply with quota
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS – 1.5 (11) Net capital account transactions 0 (12) Balance of payments (5 + 10 + 11) 51.9 (11) Statistical discrepancy 615.5 (10) Balance on capital account (6 + 7 + 8 + 9) 355.3 (9) Change in foreign government assets in the United States 4.1 (8) Change in U.S. government assets abroad (increase is –) 1077.9 (7) Change in foreign private assets in the United States – 821.8 (6) Change in private U.S. assets abroad (increase is –) CAPITAL ACCOUNT ?????? (5) Balance on current account (1 + 2 + 3 + 4) – 72.9 (4) Net transfer payments ????? (3) Net investment income – 344.9 Income payments on investments 369.0 Income received on investments ????? (2) Net export of services – 291.2 Import of services 339.6 Export of services ?????? (1) Net export of goods – 1,473.1 Goods imports 807.6 Goods exports CURRENT ACCOUNT TABLE 21.1 United States Balance of Payments, 2004
  • 32. Multiplier Effect & Aggregate Expenditure (extension from Chapter 11): Planned aggregate expenditure ( AE ) in an open economy: In equilibrium: m = marginal propensity to import (or MPM) multiplier
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48. Changes in a Country’s Income Income increases in the Malaysia Imports increase Demand for foreign currency to buy imports increase which means the supply of the RM increases The increase in supply of the RM causes the price of the RM to decrease
  • 49. Changes in a Country’s Income
  • 50. Changes in a Country’s Prices Inflation in the Malaysia increases Imports increase because foreign goods are cheaper Demand for foreign currency to buy imports increases which means the supply of the RM increases The increase in supply of RM causes the price of RM to decrease
  • 51. Changes in a Country’s Prices
  • 52. Changes in Interest Rates Interest rates in the Malaysia increase Demand for Malaysia interest-bearing assets increases Demand for RM to buy Malaysia assets increases The increase in the demand for RM causes the price of RM to increase
  • 54. Changes in Trade Policy Malaysia trade restrictions on imports increase Demand for imports to the Malaysia decreases The demand for foreign currencies decreases, which means the supply of RM decreases If foreign countries retaliate with restrictions on Malaysia exports, the demand for RM decreases
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58. Monetary Policy with Flexible Exchange Rate Increase in M Interest rate fall Investor earning lower IR Seek better investment abroad Sell local currency Buy foreign currency Exchange rate fall (depreciate) Local (foreign) product cheaper (more expensive) Net export increase