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Presented By
Sohail Ranjha 70
Ali Bader
Abdulhaq
College of Law
Raymond Aron, wrote:
“An action of violence is
labeled ‘terrorist’ when its
psychological effects are
out of proportion to its
purely physical results.”
Fundamental
Theses
Six Levels of Terrorism
More
Fundamental
Theses
Terrorists see themselves as
fighting a war to defend or promote
an essential and just cause.
Terrorists are “surprisingly
normal,” not clinically psychotic.
Terrorists are rational actors.
And, being rational actors at war,
they pursue strategies.
WAR AIMS, GOALS –
The purpose of the war
STRATEGIES –
How to conduct a war
TACTICS –
How to fight a battle
STRATAGEMS –
Tactics of deceiving or
outwitting the enemy
Four Strategies of Terrorism
STRONG WEAK
INTIMIDATION
Primary for Strong-Capacity Terrorists
EMPHASIS ON FEAR
Want acquiescence, obedience,
submission, end to resistance
No use for inciting reprisals by OUTRAGE
Useful for Weak-Capacity Terrorists
Fear among target community
Revolutionary discipline within the group
Compel radical rivals to give way or join
Four Strategies of Terrorism
INITIATION
For Radical Terrorists who want to act
as a precipitant or a catalyst.
Want to exploit the OUTRAGE of the
enemy oppressors so as to reveal the
WICKEDNESS AND WEAKNESS
of the oppressors.
Appeals to very weak groups with great
expectations but few resources,
explaining why most terrorists of the
first and second waves failed.
ATTRITION
For somewhat stronger radical terrorists,
who cannot overpower the enemy, but
have sufficient numbers and resources to
inflict losses on their enemy.
Want to get the enemy to invest
unsustainable psychological and physical
resources until worn down.
Second Wave PIRA began with a strategy
of Initiation, 1970-1972, but by 1976-77
adopted Attrition in the “Long War.”
EVOLUTION
A strategy of moving to higher levels of
strength, resources, and numbers.
Important question: need it be theory,
intention, or simply opportunism?
Theory of escalating stages goes back to
Mao.
Particularly prominent in Third Wave.
EXAMPLES OF EVOLUTION
FLN of Algeria(?)
PLO
FARC of Columbia
Tamil Tigers of Sri Lanka
Hezbollah of Lebanon
Hamas of Gaza
FROM ZARQAWI’s JTJ AND AQI TO
TO AL-BAGHDADI’S ISI AND ISIS,
THEN FINALLY TO HIS
ISLAMIC STATE
Four Strategies of Terrorism
MAO ZEDONG’S PROGRESSION
OF REVOLUTIONARY WARFARE
Guerrilla Warfare
Guerrilla Bands
Terrorism
Terrorist Cells
Guerrilla Warfare
Guerrilla Bands
Terrorism
Terrorist Cells
Abu Bakr Naji
c. 1961-2008
Abd al-Aziz
al-Muqrin
(1971-2004)
Abu Ubayd al-Qurashi
d. ca. 2006???
Mao
Zedong
Abu Bakr
al-Baghdadi
b. 1971
Carl von
Clausewitz
The Mastery
of Savagery
Terrorists Study Military Theory
and Practice
GLOBAL STRATEGIES
Global Participation Global Conflict
Abdullah Yusuf Azzam Osama bin Laden
Is this a terrorist “group”?
The Islamic State, Jan. 2015
WHAT IS A STATE?
TERRITORY
RESOURCES
FORCES
MONOPOLOLY OF VIOLENCE
“CIVILIZED” BEHAVIOR
Four Strategies of Terrorism
Four Strategies of Terrorism
Abu Mohammad al-Adnani
Evolution and De-evolution
Abu Mohammad al-Adnani’s final address in
May 2016 warned: “Or do you, O America,
consider defeat to be the loss of a city or the
loss of land? Certainly not! We would be
defeated and you victorious only if you were
able to remove the Qur’an from the Muslims’
hearts.” …..“We fight in obedience to Allah
and to become closer to Him. And victory is
that we live in the might of our religion or die
upon it. It is the same, whether Allah
blesses us with consolidation or we move
into the bare, open desert, displaced and
pursued.”
October 2018
FOR THERE WILL BE A NEXT.
TERRORISM IS TOO EASY,
AND IT IS ABSOLUTELY PART
OF THE MODERN
REPERTOIRE OF VIOLENT
POLITICAL RESISTANCE.
COMBATTING TERRORISM
BY CIVIC EDUCATION
1. The use of violence or the threat
of violence
2. directed against the persons or
property
3. of those unable or unprepared to
defend themselves,
4. primarily to create fear and/or
outrage
5. through the propagation of
public knowledge,
6. with the intention of affecting
public policy or community action.
Six Traits of Acts of Terror(ism)
Daniel Fromkin: Political Jujitsu
(Provocation and Outrage)
“[Terrorism’s] ingenuity l[ies] in
using an opponent’s own strength
against him. It [is] a sort of
jujitsu.”
Knowledge and understanding,
can keep you from allowing
outrage to make you the
terrorists’ unwitting ally.
Thank YOU
To be Radical Terrorism, it
must be an “ism,” part of a
repertoire of violent political
resistance. (Charles Tilly)
Radical Terrorism is a form of
warfare: entry-level warfare.

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presentation Sociology.

  • 1. Presented By Sohail Ranjha 70 Ali Bader Abdulhaq College of Law
  • 2. Raymond Aron, wrote: “An action of violence is labeled ‘terrorist’ when its psychological effects are out of proportion to its purely physical results.”
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 7. Six Levels of Terrorism
  • 9.
  • 10. Terrorists see themselves as fighting a war to defend or promote an essential and just cause. Terrorists are “surprisingly normal,” not clinically psychotic. Terrorists are rational actors. And, being rational actors at war, they pursue strategies.
  • 11. WAR AIMS, GOALS – The purpose of the war STRATEGIES – How to conduct a war TACTICS – How to fight a battle STRATAGEMS – Tactics of deceiving or outwitting the enemy
  • 12. Four Strategies of Terrorism STRONG WEAK
  • 13. INTIMIDATION Primary for Strong-Capacity Terrorists EMPHASIS ON FEAR Want acquiescence, obedience, submission, end to resistance No use for inciting reprisals by OUTRAGE Useful for Weak-Capacity Terrorists Fear among target community Revolutionary discipline within the group Compel radical rivals to give way or join
  • 14. Four Strategies of Terrorism
  • 15. INITIATION For Radical Terrorists who want to act as a precipitant or a catalyst. Want to exploit the OUTRAGE of the enemy oppressors so as to reveal the WICKEDNESS AND WEAKNESS of the oppressors. Appeals to very weak groups with great expectations but few resources, explaining why most terrorists of the first and second waves failed.
  • 16. ATTRITION For somewhat stronger radical terrorists, who cannot overpower the enemy, but have sufficient numbers and resources to inflict losses on their enemy. Want to get the enemy to invest unsustainable psychological and physical resources until worn down. Second Wave PIRA began with a strategy of Initiation, 1970-1972, but by 1976-77 adopted Attrition in the “Long War.”
  • 17. EVOLUTION A strategy of moving to higher levels of strength, resources, and numbers. Important question: need it be theory, intention, or simply opportunism? Theory of escalating stages goes back to Mao. Particularly prominent in Third Wave.
  • 18. EXAMPLES OF EVOLUTION FLN of Algeria(?) PLO FARC of Columbia Tamil Tigers of Sri Lanka Hezbollah of Lebanon Hamas of Gaza FROM ZARQAWI’s JTJ AND AQI TO TO AL-BAGHDADI’S ISI AND ISIS, THEN FINALLY TO HIS ISLAMIC STATE
  • 19. Four Strategies of Terrorism
  • 20. MAO ZEDONG’S PROGRESSION OF REVOLUTIONARY WARFARE Guerrilla Warfare Guerrilla Bands Terrorism Terrorist Cells
  • 22. Abu Bakr Naji c. 1961-2008 Abd al-Aziz al-Muqrin (1971-2004) Abu Ubayd al-Qurashi d. ca. 2006??? Mao Zedong Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi b. 1971 Carl von Clausewitz The Mastery of Savagery Terrorists Study Military Theory and Practice
  • 23. GLOBAL STRATEGIES Global Participation Global Conflict Abdullah Yusuf Azzam Osama bin Laden
  • 24. Is this a terrorist “group”? The Islamic State, Jan. 2015
  • 25. WHAT IS A STATE? TERRITORY RESOURCES FORCES MONOPOLOLY OF VIOLENCE “CIVILIZED” BEHAVIOR
  • 26. Four Strategies of Terrorism
  • 27. Four Strategies of Terrorism
  • 29. Evolution and De-evolution Abu Mohammad al-Adnani’s final address in May 2016 warned: “Or do you, O America, consider defeat to be the loss of a city or the loss of land? Certainly not! We would be defeated and you victorious only if you were able to remove the Qur’an from the Muslims’ hearts.” …..“We fight in obedience to Allah and to become closer to Him. And victory is that we live in the might of our religion or die upon it. It is the same, whether Allah blesses us with consolidation or we move into the bare, open desert, displaced and pursued.”
  • 31.
  • 32. FOR THERE WILL BE A NEXT. TERRORISM IS TOO EASY, AND IT IS ABSOLUTELY PART OF THE MODERN REPERTOIRE OF VIOLENT POLITICAL RESISTANCE.
  • 34.
  • 35. 1. The use of violence or the threat of violence 2. directed against the persons or property 3. of those unable or unprepared to defend themselves, 4. primarily to create fear and/or outrage 5. through the propagation of public knowledge, 6. with the intention of affecting public policy or community action. Six Traits of Acts of Terror(ism)
  • 36. Daniel Fromkin: Political Jujitsu (Provocation and Outrage) “[Terrorism’s] ingenuity l[ies] in using an opponent’s own strength against him. It [is] a sort of jujitsu.” Knowledge and understanding, can keep you from allowing outrage to make you the terrorists’ unwitting ally.
  • 38. To be Radical Terrorism, it must be an “ism,” part of a repertoire of violent political resistance. (Charles Tilly) Radical Terrorism is a form of warfare: entry-level warfare.