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White Paper




 Smart Grid
 The Role of Electricity Infrastructure in
 Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions




 Authors
 Christian Feisst
 Dirk Schlesinger
 Wes Frye

 Cisco Internet Business Solutions Group




 October 2008




Cisco Internet Business Solutions Group (IBSG)



   Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
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Smart Grid
The Role of Electricity Infrastructure
in Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions

        Introduction
        Most of the world’s electricity system was built when primary energy was relatively
        inexpensive. Grid reliability was mainly ensured by having excess capacity in the system,
        with unidirectional electricity flow to consumers from centrally dispatched power plants.
        Investments in the electric system were made to meet increasing demand—not to
        change fundamentally the way the system works. While innovation and technology have
        dramatically transformed other industrial sectors, the electric system, for the most part,
        has continued to operate the same way for decades. This lack of investment, combined
        with an asset life of 40 or more years, has resulted in an inefficient and increasingly
        unstable system.
        Climate change, rising fuel costs, outdated grid infrastructure, and new power-
        generation technologies have changed the mindset of all stakeholders:
        •	 Electric	power	causes	approximately	25	percent	of	global	greenhouse	gas	emissions,	
           and utilities are rethinking what the electricity system of the future should look like.
        •	 Renewable	and	distributed	power	generation	will	play	a	more	prominent	role	in	
           reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
        •	 Demand-side	management	promises	to	improve	energy	efficiency	and	reduce	
           overall electricity consumption.
        •	 Real-time	monitoring	of	grid	performance	will	improve	grid	reliability	and	utilization,	
           reduce blackouts, and increase financial returns on investments in the grid.
        These changes on both the demand and supply side require a new, more intelligent
        system that can manage the increasingly complex electric grid.
        Recognizing	these	challenges,	the	energy	community	is	starting	to	marry	information	
        and communications technology (ICT) with electricity infrastructure. Technology
        enables the electric system to become ”smart.” Near-real-time information allows utilities
        to manage the entire electricity system as an integrated framework, actively sensing
        and responding to changes in power demand, supply, costs, quality, and emissions
        across various locations and devices. Similarly, better information enables consumers
        to manage energy use to meet their needs. According to former U.S. Vice President
        Al Gore, “Just as a robust information economy was triggered by the introduction of
        the Internet, a dynamic, new, renewable energy economy can be stimulated by the
        development of an electranet or Smart Grid.”1




                            Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.                 1
The potential environmental and economic benefits of a Smart Grid are significant. A
    recent Pacific Northwest National Laboratory study provided homeowners with Smart
    Grid technologies to monitor and adjust the energy consumption in their homes. The
    average household reduced its annual electric bill by 10 percent. If widely deployed,
    this	approach	could	reduce	peak	loads	on	utility	grids	up	to	15	percent	annually,	which	
    equals more than 100 gigawatts, or the need to build 100 large coal-fired power plants
    over the next 20 years in the United States alone. This could save up to $200 billion in
    capital expenditures on new plant and grid investments, and take the equivalent of 30
    million autos off the road.2

    Opportunities for Improvement
    A technology-enabled electric system will be more efficient, enable applications that
    can reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and improve power reliability. Specifically,
    a Smart Grid can:
    •	 Reduce	peaks	in	power	usage	by	automatically	turning	down	selected	appliances	in	
       homes, offices, and factories
    •	 Reduce	waste	by	providing	instant	feedback	on	how	much	energy	we	are	consuming
    •	 Encourage	manufacturers	to	produce	“smart”	appliances	to	reduce	energy	use
    •	 Sense	and	prevent	power	blackouts	by	isolating	disturbances	in	the	grid

    Figure 1. Main Applications of a Smart Grid


                         Renewables’             Integrated
                                                                         Vehicle-to-Grid
                          Integration           Maintenance
      Smart Grid
     Applications           Grid
                                                    Smart                 Demand-side
                         Monitoring/
                                                   Metering               Management
                         Management



                             Distributed, Intelligent Grid Management
      Smart Grid        (Energy Intelligence, Security, Unified Control Plane)
       Platform

                                            Connected IP Grid


    Source: Cisco IBSG, 2008




2                              Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
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The main applications of a Smart Grid include:
•	 Smart Grid Platform: Automating the core electricity grid
Connecting all relevant nodes in the grid is important to collecting information on grid
conditions. Whereas in the past, information was gathered only in the high-voltage
grid and parts of the medium-voltage grid, a comprehensive view of grid status now is
becoming increasingly important. Grid losses in all areas can be identified and renew-
able generation sources that often feed electricity into previously unmonitored areas
can be better managed. The increasing complexity of managing the system efficiently
also	requires	integration	of	decentralized	decision-making	mechanisms—in	other	
words, integrating intelligence into the grid. As a result, grid management can be opti-
mized	and	outages	can	be	significantly	reduced.
•	 Grid Monitoring and Management: Using collected information
Expensive power outages can be avoided if proper action is taken immediately to
isolate the cause. Utilities are installing sensors to monitor and control the grid in near-
real time (seconds to milliseconds) to detect faults early. These monitoring and control
systems are being extended from the point of transmission down to the distribution
grid. Grid performance information is integrated into utility companies’ supervisory
control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems to provide automatic, near-real-time
electronic control of the grid.
•	 Integrated Maintenance: Optimizing	the	lifetime	of	assets
Middle	to	long	term,	collected	information	can	optimize	the	maintenance	strategy	of	
grid	assets.	Depending	on	utilization,	age,	and	many	other	factors,	the	condition	of	
assets can differ significantly. The traditional maintenance strategy, based on defined
cycles, is no longer appropriate. Assets can be monitored continuously, and critical
issues can be identified in advance. Combined with new communication technologies,
information on critical asset conditions can be provided to field technicians to make
sure problems are fixed in time. This new way of doing maintenance can significantly
increase the lifetime of assets and avoid expensive outages.
•	 Smart Metering: Real-time consumption monitoring
Today’s electricity prices on the wholesale market are extremely volatile, driven by
demand-and-supply situations based on capacity, fuel prices, weather conditions, and
demand	fluctuations	over	time.	On	average,	off-peak	prices	at	night	are	50	percent	
lower than daytime prices. Consumers, however, typically see a flat price for energy
regardless of time period. Driven by the regulator, some utilities are now starting to
replace traditional mechanical electric meters with “smart meters,” allowing customers
to choose variable-rate pricing based on time of day. By seeing the real cost of energy
they are consuming at that moment, consumers can respond accordingly, shifting
their energy consumption from high-price to low-price time periods by turning off
appliances. This load shifting and load shedding has the joint benefit of reducing
consumer costs and demand peaks for utilities.




                     Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.                 3
•	 Demand-side Management: Reducing electricity consumption in homes, offices,
       and factories
    Demand-side management works to reduce electricity consumption in homes, offices,
    and factories by continually monitoring electricity consumption and actively managing
    how appliances consume energy. It consists of demand-response programs, smart
    meters and variable electricity pricing, smart buildings with smart appliances, and energy
    dashboards. Combined, these innovations allow utility companies and consumers to
    manage and respond to the variances in electricity demand more effectively.
        – Demand Response: During periods of peak energy usage, utility companies send
          electronic messages to alert consumers to reduce their energy consumption by
          turning off (or down) non-essential appliances. In the future, alert signals will be sent
          automatically to appliances, eliminating the need for manual intervention. If enough
          consumers comply with this approach, utility companies will not need to dispatch
          an additional power plant, the most expensive asset they operate.3 To increase the
          number of consumers who comply, utility companies may offer cash payments or
          reduce consumers’ electric bills.
        – Smart Buildings with Smart Appliances: Buildings are becoming smarter in their
          ability to reduce energy usage. Traditional, stand-alone, complex systems that
          manage various appliances (heating, ventilation, air-conditioning, lighting) are
          now converging onto a common IT infrastructure that allows these devices to
          “talk” to each other, coordinating their actions and reducing waste. For example,
          a	manager	of	500	commercial	buildings	reduced	energy	consumption	nearly	
          20 percent simply by ensuring heaters and air conditioners were not running
          simultaneously.4
        – Energy Dashboards: Consumers will reduce their energy usage and
          greenhouse gas emissions if they see how much they are producing personally.
          Online energy dashboards provide real-time visibility into individuals’ energy
          consumption while offering suggestions on how to reduce consumption. Recent
          university studies have found that simple dashboards can encourage occupants
          to reduce energy usage in buildings by up to 30 percent.5
    •	 Renewables’ Integration: Encouraging home and business owners to install their own
       renewable sources of energy
        – Microgeneration: Some homes and offices are finding it more cost-effective
          to produce electricity locally, using small-scale energy-generation equipment.
          These devices include renewable devices such as as photovoltaics, and solar
          thermal as well as non-renewable devices, such as oil- or natural-gas-fired
          generators with heat reclamation.
          Microgeneration technologies are becoming more affordable for residential,
          commercial, and industrial customers. Depending on the technology type and
          the	operating	environment	(location,	utilization,	government	or	state	subsidies),	
          they can be competitive against conventional generation, and at the same
          time reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Yet, widespread adoption of these

4                       Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
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      technologies still requires public support and further technology development.
      Microgeneration technologies, combined with a Smart Grid, will help consumers
      become an “active part of the grid,” rather than being separate from it—and will
      integrate with, not replace, central generation. In addition, a Smart Grid would
      allow utilities to integrate distributed generation assets into their portfolios as
      “virtual power plants.”
•	 Vehicle-to-Grid: Until recently, pumped water storage was the only economically viable
   option for storing electricity on a large scale. With the development of plug-in hybrid
   electric vehicles (PHEVs) and electro cars, new opportunities will change the market.
   For example, car batteries can be used to store energy when it is inexpensive and sell
   it back to the grid when prices are higher. For drivers, their vehicles would become a
   viable means to arbitrage the cost of power, while utility companies could use fleets
   of PHEVs to supply power to the grid to respond to peaks in electricity demand.

Potential Impact
Worldwide demand for electric energy is expected to rise 82 percent by 2030.6 This
demand will primarily be met by building many new coal and natural gas electricity-
generation plants. Not surprisingly, global greenhouse gas emissions are estimated to
rise	59	percent	by	20307 as a result.
Building a technology-enabled smart electricity grid can help offset the increase in
greenhouse gas emissions in three different ways:
(1) Reduce Growth in Demand for Electricity
Electricity Consumers:
    – Enable consumers to monitor their own energy consumption, with a goal of
      becoming more energy-efficient
    – Provide more accurate and timely information to consumers on electricity
      variable-pricing signals, allowing them to invest in load-shedding and load-
      shifting solutions—and to shift dynamically among several competing energy
      providers based on greenhouse gas emissions or social goals
Power Utility Companies and Regulators:
    – Broadcast demand-response alerts to reduce peak energy demand and the
      need to start reserve generators
    – Provide remote energy-management services and energy-control operations
      that advise customers, giving them the choice to control their homes remotely
      to reduce energy use
    – Enable utility companies to increase their focus on creating “Sav-a-Watt”
      or “Nega-Watt” programs instead of producing power. These programs are
      effective because offsetting a watt of demand through energy efficiency
      can be more cost-effective and CO2-efficient than generating an extra watt
      of electricity.8



                 Cisco IBSG Copyright © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.            5
Equipment Manufacturers:
        –	Encourage	building-control	systems	companies	to	standardize	data	
          communications protocols across systems, eliminating proprietary and non-
          standard protocols that inhibit integration and management
        –	Incent	manufacturers	to	produce	goods	(air	conditioners,	freezers,	washers/
          dryers, water heaters) that more effectively monitor and manage power usage.
          For example, a refrigerator and air-conditioner compressor could ”communicate”
          to ensure they don’t start at the same time, thus reducing peak electricity demand.
        – Enable and encourage electrical equipment manufacturers to build energy-
          efficiency, management, and data-integration capabilities into their equipment
    Building Architects & Owners:
        – Take an integrated approach to new building construction, incorporating smart,
          “connected	building”	communication	technologies	to	manage	and	synchronize	
          operation of appliances, to turn off lighting in rooms not in use, to turn on reserve
          generation when price-effective, and to manage overall energy use
    (2) Accelerate Adoption of Renewable Electricity-generation Sources
        – Encourage home and building owners to invest in highly efficient, low-emissions
          microgeneration technologies to supply some of their own energy and offset
          peak demand on the electric grid—thereby reducing the need for new, large-
          scale power plants
        – Create virtual power plants that include both distributed power production and
          energy-efficiency measures
        – Accelerate the introduction of PHEVs to provide temporary electricity storage as
          well as incremental energy generation to offset peak demand on the grid
    (3) Delay Construction of New Electricity-generation and Transmission Infrastructure
        – It is estimated that by 2030, the cost to renew and expand the world’s aging
          transmission/distribution	grid	and	its	power-generation	assets	will	exceed	$6	
          trillion	and	$7.5	trillion,	respectively.9 Utility companies that implement electronic
          monitoring and management technologies can prolong the life of some electric
          grid components, reducing new construction costs for power-generation assets
          and the greenhouse gas emissions that accompany them.




6                      Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
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Figure 2. Options for Closing Future Capacity Gap (Scenario Based on German Electricity Market)
Cisco IBSG analysis for the German market showed that Smart Grid is the cheapest way to free up
capacity. In addition, it is the most environmentally friendly option.


                                                                                                                                          Offshore Wind
                                            German                                                                                       Power Including
                                          Capacity Gap                                                                                   CCGT Reserver
                               7000
                                           Until 2020
                               6000
Generation Full Cost (¤/kW1)




                                                                                                                              Bio-mass
                               5000                                                                             Hard Coal New
                                                                                                                 Lifetime Build
                               4000                                          Industrial                         Extension CCGT
                                    Grid                                                       New Build
                                                                                 CHP
                               3000 Automation                                                 Hard Coal
                                                                        DSM/DR
                               2000             Nuclear
                                          Lifetime Extension
                               1000

                                  0
                                      0        10               20                30              40                 50       60            70         80
                                                                                               Gigawatts
                                              : Smart Grid Options
                                             1: Full cost NPV over period 2008–2020. CO2 cost assumed at 25¤/t,
                                                no subsidies considered, operating hour based on expected merit order curve.
                                           DSM: Demand-side Management
                                            DR: Demand Response

Source: Cisco IBSG, 2008




Current Initiatives
Practically speaking, most of the technologies required to create a Smart Grid are
available today.
Forward-looking utility companies are already offering demand-response technologies
that, for example, detect the need for load shedding, communicate the demand to
participating users, automate load shedding, and verify compliance with demand-
response programs.
Many utility companies are also implementing large numbers of smart electric meters
to offer variable pricing to consumers and to reduce manual meter-reading costs.
Major building automation companies, such as Johnson Controls, Siemens, and
Honeywell, all have smart building solutions that integrate their various HVAC systems.
Several competing communication protocols (BACnet, LONnet, oBIX), however, are still
vying to become the standard through which all building devices can intercommunicate.
This inability to agree upon a common industry standard has delayed the vision of
connecting every electric device and spawned several middleware and gateway




                                              Cisco IBSG Copyright © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.                                         7
companies, such as Cimetrics, Gridlogix, Richards Zeta, and Tridium. As expected,
    many white goods manufacturers, including GE, Whirlpool, and Siemens, are making
    appliances that can connect to a building’s network.
    In	addition,	several	public	and	private	organizations	have	implemented	energy-	
    consumption dashboards. Typically, these are custom-designed internally or provided
    by small software integrators. Oberlin College has a good example of an online energy
    dashboard showing energy consumption at its college dormitories.10
    A variety of companies, ranging from Honda Motor Company and GE Energy to
    Microgeneration Ltd. and BluePoint Energy, are developing microgeneration devices.
    A host of technology companies provide technology required to make the Smart Grid
    “smart,” including Current Technologies and BPL Global for broadband-over-powerline,
    Silver Spring Networks and Cellnet for RF wireless communications, and many other
    small	and	specialized	companies.	
    So far, however, nobody has been able to define an industry architecture that spans the
    entire Smart Grid—from high-voltage transformers at the power plant down to the wall
    sockets in homes and offices.

    Role of Utility Companies
    Here are three ways utility companies can help make the Smart Grid a reality:
    1) Drive Smart Grid standards and architectures by forming alliances and
       partnerships.
    Many utility companies are now reaching out to other utility companies to learn from
    their findings and share ideas. In addition, strategic partnerships, both within and out-
    side the utility industry, are being formed. Utility companies should also partner more
    closely with energy regulators to determine their current position on recapturing costs
    through tariff increases, while at the same time evaluating how to influence policies to
    accelerate their own Smart Grid investment plans.
    2) Evaluate Smart Grid solutions and vendors.
    While there is still significant “churn” in various Smart Grid technologies, waiting a
    couple years for the Smart Grid industry to converge around a single set of standards
    and solutions may leave some utility companies behind.
    3) Plan for the financial impact of the Smart Grid on their organizations.
    Utility companies should start by understanding the costs related to developing the
    Smart Grid, including carbon pricing, grid upgrades, raw energy, and the indirect cost
    of competition from other utility companies offering energy-efficient services. Once
    these costs are understood, utility companies should estimate the economic impact
    Smart Grid solutions could have on their profits. This exercise will help utility companies
    quantify the effect of the Smart Grid on their bottom line.




8                       Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
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Figure 3. Smart Grid’s Potential Financial Impact on Utilities (Cisco IBSG Simulation for an Integrated Utility)
IBSG analysis of the financial impact on utilities shows that a proactive strategy can significantly
increase profitability. Whereas wholesale price reductions lower power-generation profits, significant
opportunities exist on the sales side. Some of these opportunities are tied to required changes in the
legal framework and utilities’ business model. In a Smart Grid world, utilities will benefit from energy
efficiency, not from energy consumption.

      Operating Profit (USD B)                               Value Drivers
                                 4.7
        4.0                                      • Process Efficiency
        0.5      +260%           1.8             • Volume Increases by
                                                   Access to New Markets,
        1.3                                        (for example, Vehicle-to-Grid)
                   0%
                                 1.3             • CO2 Avoidance Credits
                                                 • Additional Value-added
        2.2      –27%                              Services
                                 1.6
                                                 • Image Improvement
  Current Total            Future Total
    Sales      Grid         Generation

Source: Cisco IBSG, 2008




Role of Government
While the technologies for Smart Grid solutions are mainly available today, the real
challenge to accelerating adoption stems from the various industries that need
to work together to create a viable, integrated system. For example, Smart Grid
requires utility companies to work with IT companies, and building owners to work
with energy technology companies. Bringing together their various perspectives to
design and build complex systems often proves difficult. Given this complexity, the
role	of	government	is	to	create	working	organizations	and	policies	to	incentivize	open	
partnerships. Government can play four key roles to accelerate Smart Grid adoption:
1. Develop cost-recovery mechanisms that allow utilities to include investments in their
   regulated	asset	base.	Some	European	countries	already	incentivize	new	investments	
   by increasing the return on regulated asset base by 1 to 2 percent above the standard
   return in the grid tariff.
2.		 rovide	a	clear	framework	that	incentivizes	investments	in	energy	efficiency	that	
   P
   are not part of the regulated grid or metering business. Solutions for demand-side
   management decrease energy consumption and, therefore, CO2 emissions. Just as
   utilities must pay for CO2 emissions in some countries, there should be a system in
   place for receiving CO2 credits based on investments in energy efficiency. Similar
   frameworks are already in place in Italy and France (“White Certificates”).




                           Cisco IBSG Copyright © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.                    9
3. Quickly develop critical communication standards. The connected building industry,
        in particular, battled with several standards for the past 10 years. In today’s electricity
        grids, approximately 360 different protocols are unable to communicate with each
        other. A well-crafted, government-led standards body could have ended this issue
        years ago.
     4. Increase transparency and flexibility in the electricity market, giving consumers the
        ability to purchase electricity from the most efficient provider.

     Role of the ICT Industry
     There are several imperatives for the ICT industry to help accelerate adoption of the
     Smart Grid:
     •	 Partnering for Systems Integration: From an ICT perspective, building the Smart
        Grid is a fairly straightforward technical challenge—most of the core technologies
        exist and have been proven. The real challenge, however, is integrating the various
        technologies into a single, working solution. It is a significant systems integration
        challenge to tie various devices, constituencies, and telecommunications protocols
        together seamlessly. No single company has the capabilities to implement the Smart
        Grid; each industry brings a piece of the solution. The challenge, especially for ICT
        companies, is to stop operating as “islands.” Rather, they need build the alliances and
        partnerships required to ensure their technology fits into the larger, cross-industry
        ecosystem that constitutes the Smart Grid.
     •	 Increase Risk-taking: In a recent discussion with technology companies, Jim Rogers,
        CEO of Duke Energy, said that because Smart Grid ideas are evolving so quickly,
        technology companies must become more comfortable with taking risks and applying
        their technologies to new applications. Rather than wait for the perfect IT solution or
        comprehensive standard to be developed, companies should expedite taking their
        solutions to market for testing and vetting.11
     •	 Companies Make Markets; Markets Don’t Make Companies: Large, successful,
        established companies often pursue a “fast follower” strategy, waiting for the market
        to be proven and many customers to be identified. This often makes sense before
        investing significant R&D resources. The Smart Grid, however, may evolve in a
        way that makes the fast-follower strategy undesirable. The core technology and
        communications standards that will enable widespread Smart Grid adoption are
        currently being developed. Once protocols are established, they will be built into
        a capital infrastructure (power plants, substations, buildings, powerlines) that has a
        useful life of 30-plus years. This is a much longer than the traditional ICT solution
        lifecycle. Once Smart Grid standards are set, they will be around for a while. Woe
        to the company that finds itself on the wrong end of that solution.




10                        Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
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Conclusion
Rising fuel costs, underinvestment in aging infrastructure, and climate change are all
converging to create a turbulent period for the electricity industry. To make matters
worse, it’s becoming more expensive to expand power-generation capacity, and
public opposition to new fossil stations—particularly coal-fired stations—is increasing.
As a consequence, reserve margins for system stability have reached a critical level in
many countries. As utility companies prepare to meet growing demand, greenhouse
gas emissions from electricity generation may soon surpass those from all other
energy sources.12
Fortunately, the creation of a Smart Grid will help solve these challenges.
A Smart Grid can reduce the amount of electricity consumed by homes and buildings,
significantly reduce peak demand, and accelerate adoption of distributed, renewable
energy sources—all while improving the reliability, security, and useful life of electrical
infrastructure.
Despite its promise and the availability of most of the core technologies needed to
develop the Smart Grid, implementation has been slow. To accelerate development,
state, county, and local governments, electric utility companies, public electricity
regulators, and IT companies must all come together and work toward a common goal.
The suggestions in this paper will help the Smart Grid become a reality that will ensure
we have enough power to meet demand, while at the same time reducing greenhouse
gases that cause global warming.




                 Cisco IBSG Copyright © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.            11
Endnotes

      1. Al Gore speech at NYU Law School, September 2006
         (http://thinkprogress.org/gore-nyu)
      2. Department of Energy putting power in the hands of consumers through
         technology, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, January 2008
         (http://www.pnl.gov/topstory.asp?id=285)
      3. “GridWise Demonstration Project Fast Facts,” Pacific Northwest National
         Laboratory, December 2007
      4. State of Missouri, Mr. Dave Mosby, Director of Facilities, December 2007
     	 5.	 	 005	Dormitory	Energy	Competition	at	Oberlin	College,	Cleveland,	Ohio.	
           2
           “On average, dorms reduced electricity use by 32 percent during the competition.
           The	two	dorms	with	real-time	feedback	won	with	56	percent	reductions	in	
           electricity.” (http://www.oberlin.edu/dormenergy/news.htm)
      6. International Energy Outlook 2007, Energy Information Administration, U.S.
         Department of Energy, Figure 6, “World net electricity generation grows by
         85	percent	in	the	IEO2007	reference	case,	from	16,424	billion	kilowatthours	
         in	2004	to	22,289	billion	kilowatthours	in	2015	and	30,364	billion	kilowatthours	
         in 2030.” (http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/highlights.html)
      7. International Energy Outlook 2007, Energy Information Administration, U.S.
         Department of Energy, Figure 6, “World carbon dioxide emissions continue to
         increase	steadily	in	the	IEO2007	reference	case,	from	26.9	billion	metric	tons	in	
         2004	to	33.9	billion	metric	tons	in	2015	and	42.9	billion	metric	tons	in	2030,	an	
         increase	of	59	percent	over	the	projection	period.”	
         (http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/highlights.html)
      8. Jim Rogers, CEO of Duke Energy, briefing to Gridwise Alliance meeting, Charlotte,
         North Carolina, December 2007
     	 9.	 World	Energy	Outlook,	2006
     	10.	 	 005	Dormitory	Energy	Competition	at	Oberlin	College,	Cleveland,	Ohio.	
           2
           “On average, dorms reduced electricity use by 32 percent during the competition.
           The	two	dorms	with	real-time	feedback	won	with	56	percent	reductions	in	
           electricity.” (http://www.oberlin.edu/dormenergy/)
     11. Jim Rogers, CEO of Duke Energy, briefing to Gridwise Alliance meeting,
         Charlotte, North Carolina, December 2007
     12. Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change, 2006




12                      Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
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Notes




        Cisco IBSG Copyright © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.            13
More Information
             The Cisco Internet Business Solutions Group (IBSG), the global strategic consulting arm of Cisco, helps CXOs and public
             sector	leaders	transform	their	organizations—first	by	designing	innovative	business	processes,	and	then	by	integrating	
             advanced technologies into visionary roadmaps that address key CXO concerns.

             For further information about IBSG, visit http://www.cisco.com/go/ibsg




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                                                               Cisco Systems, Inc.                                         Cisco Systems (USA) Pte. Ltd.                                Cisco Systems International BV
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        Cisco	has	more	than	200	offices	worldwide.	Addresses,	phone	numbers,	and	fax	numbers	are	listed	on	the	Cisco	website	at	www.cisco.com/go/offices.

©2008	 Cisco	 Systems,	 Inc.	 All	 rights	 reserved.	 Cisco,	 the	 Cisco	 logo,	 and	 Cisco	 Systems	 are	 registered	 trademarks	 of	 Cisco	 Systems,	 Inc.	 and/or	 its	 affiliates	 in	 the	 United	 States	 and	 certain	 other	 countries.
All other trademarks mentioned in this document or website are the property of their respective owners. The use of the word partner does not imply a partnership relationship between Cisco and any other company.
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Smart Grid White Paper Explains Role in Reducing Greenhouse Gas

  • 1. White Paper Smart Grid The Role of Electricity Infrastructure in Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions Authors Christian Feisst Dirk Schlesinger Wes Frye Cisco Internet Business Solutions Group October 2008 Cisco Internet Business Solutions Group (IBSG) Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 2.
  • 3. White Paper Smart Grid The Role of Electricity Infrastructure in Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions Introduction Most of the world’s electricity system was built when primary energy was relatively inexpensive. Grid reliability was mainly ensured by having excess capacity in the system, with unidirectional electricity flow to consumers from centrally dispatched power plants. Investments in the electric system were made to meet increasing demand—not to change fundamentally the way the system works. While innovation and technology have dramatically transformed other industrial sectors, the electric system, for the most part, has continued to operate the same way for decades. This lack of investment, combined with an asset life of 40 or more years, has resulted in an inefficient and increasingly unstable system. Climate change, rising fuel costs, outdated grid infrastructure, and new power- generation technologies have changed the mindset of all stakeholders: • Electric power causes approximately 25 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions, and utilities are rethinking what the electricity system of the future should look like. • Renewable and distributed power generation will play a more prominent role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions. • Demand-side management promises to improve energy efficiency and reduce overall electricity consumption. • Real-time monitoring of grid performance will improve grid reliability and utilization, reduce blackouts, and increase financial returns on investments in the grid. These changes on both the demand and supply side require a new, more intelligent system that can manage the increasingly complex electric grid. Recognizing these challenges, the energy community is starting to marry information and communications technology (ICT) with electricity infrastructure. Technology enables the electric system to become ”smart.” Near-real-time information allows utilities to manage the entire electricity system as an integrated framework, actively sensing and responding to changes in power demand, supply, costs, quality, and emissions across various locations and devices. Similarly, better information enables consumers to manage energy use to meet their needs. According to former U.S. Vice President Al Gore, “Just as a robust information economy was triggered by the introduction of the Internet, a dynamic, new, renewable energy economy can be stimulated by the development of an electranet or Smart Grid.”1 Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. 1
  • 4. The potential environmental and economic benefits of a Smart Grid are significant. A recent Pacific Northwest National Laboratory study provided homeowners with Smart Grid technologies to monitor and adjust the energy consumption in their homes. The average household reduced its annual electric bill by 10 percent. If widely deployed, this approach could reduce peak loads on utility grids up to 15 percent annually, which equals more than 100 gigawatts, or the need to build 100 large coal-fired power plants over the next 20 years in the United States alone. This could save up to $200 billion in capital expenditures on new plant and grid investments, and take the equivalent of 30 million autos off the road.2 Opportunities for Improvement A technology-enabled electric system will be more efficient, enable applications that can reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and improve power reliability. Specifically, a Smart Grid can: • Reduce peaks in power usage by automatically turning down selected appliances in homes, offices, and factories • Reduce waste by providing instant feedback on how much energy we are consuming • Encourage manufacturers to produce “smart” appliances to reduce energy use • Sense and prevent power blackouts by isolating disturbances in the grid Figure 1. Main Applications of a Smart Grid Renewables’ Integrated Vehicle-to-Grid Integration Maintenance Smart Grid Applications Grid Smart Demand-side Monitoring/ Metering Management Management Distributed, Intelligent Grid Management Smart Grid (Energy Intelligence, Security, Unified Control Plane) Platform Connected IP Grid Source: Cisco IBSG, 2008 2 Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 5. White Paper The main applications of a Smart Grid include: • Smart Grid Platform: Automating the core electricity grid Connecting all relevant nodes in the grid is important to collecting information on grid conditions. Whereas in the past, information was gathered only in the high-voltage grid and parts of the medium-voltage grid, a comprehensive view of grid status now is becoming increasingly important. Grid losses in all areas can be identified and renew- able generation sources that often feed electricity into previously unmonitored areas can be better managed. The increasing complexity of managing the system efficiently also requires integration of decentralized decision-making mechanisms—in other words, integrating intelligence into the grid. As a result, grid management can be opti- mized and outages can be significantly reduced. • Grid Monitoring and Management: Using collected information Expensive power outages can be avoided if proper action is taken immediately to isolate the cause. Utilities are installing sensors to monitor and control the grid in near- real time (seconds to milliseconds) to detect faults early. These monitoring and control systems are being extended from the point of transmission down to the distribution grid. Grid performance information is integrated into utility companies’ supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems to provide automatic, near-real-time electronic control of the grid. • Integrated Maintenance: Optimizing the lifetime of assets Middle to long term, collected information can optimize the maintenance strategy of grid assets. Depending on utilization, age, and many other factors, the condition of assets can differ significantly. The traditional maintenance strategy, based on defined cycles, is no longer appropriate. Assets can be monitored continuously, and critical issues can be identified in advance. Combined with new communication technologies, information on critical asset conditions can be provided to field technicians to make sure problems are fixed in time. This new way of doing maintenance can significantly increase the lifetime of assets and avoid expensive outages. • Smart Metering: Real-time consumption monitoring Today’s electricity prices on the wholesale market are extremely volatile, driven by demand-and-supply situations based on capacity, fuel prices, weather conditions, and demand fluctuations over time. On average, off-peak prices at night are 50 percent lower than daytime prices. Consumers, however, typically see a flat price for energy regardless of time period. Driven by the regulator, some utilities are now starting to replace traditional mechanical electric meters with “smart meters,” allowing customers to choose variable-rate pricing based on time of day. By seeing the real cost of energy they are consuming at that moment, consumers can respond accordingly, shifting their energy consumption from high-price to low-price time periods by turning off appliances. This load shifting and load shedding has the joint benefit of reducing consumer costs and demand peaks for utilities. Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. 3
  • 6. • Demand-side Management: Reducing electricity consumption in homes, offices, and factories Demand-side management works to reduce electricity consumption in homes, offices, and factories by continually monitoring electricity consumption and actively managing how appliances consume energy. It consists of demand-response programs, smart meters and variable electricity pricing, smart buildings with smart appliances, and energy dashboards. Combined, these innovations allow utility companies and consumers to manage and respond to the variances in electricity demand more effectively. – Demand Response: During periods of peak energy usage, utility companies send electronic messages to alert consumers to reduce their energy consumption by turning off (or down) non-essential appliances. In the future, alert signals will be sent automatically to appliances, eliminating the need for manual intervention. If enough consumers comply with this approach, utility companies will not need to dispatch an additional power plant, the most expensive asset they operate.3 To increase the number of consumers who comply, utility companies may offer cash payments or reduce consumers’ electric bills. – Smart Buildings with Smart Appliances: Buildings are becoming smarter in their ability to reduce energy usage. Traditional, stand-alone, complex systems that manage various appliances (heating, ventilation, air-conditioning, lighting) are now converging onto a common IT infrastructure that allows these devices to “talk” to each other, coordinating their actions and reducing waste. For example, a manager of 500 commercial buildings reduced energy consumption nearly 20 percent simply by ensuring heaters and air conditioners were not running simultaneously.4 – Energy Dashboards: Consumers will reduce their energy usage and greenhouse gas emissions if they see how much they are producing personally. Online energy dashboards provide real-time visibility into individuals’ energy consumption while offering suggestions on how to reduce consumption. Recent university studies have found that simple dashboards can encourage occupants to reduce energy usage in buildings by up to 30 percent.5 • Renewables’ Integration: Encouraging home and business owners to install their own renewable sources of energy – Microgeneration: Some homes and offices are finding it more cost-effective to produce electricity locally, using small-scale energy-generation equipment. These devices include renewable devices such as as photovoltaics, and solar thermal as well as non-renewable devices, such as oil- or natural-gas-fired generators with heat reclamation. Microgeneration technologies are becoming more affordable for residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Depending on the technology type and the operating environment (location, utilization, government or state subsidies), they can be competitive against conventional generation, and at the same time reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Yet, widespread adoption of these 4 Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 7. White Paper technologies still requires public support and further technology development. Microgeneration technologies, combined with a Smart Grid, will help consumers become an “active part of the grid,” rather than being separate from it—and will integrate with, not replace, central generation. In addition, a Smart Grid would allow utilities to integrate distributed generation assets into their portfolios as “virtual power plants.” • Vehicle-to-Grid: Until recently, pumped water storage was the only economically viable option for storing electricity on a large scale. With the development of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) and electro cars, new opportunities will change the market. For example, car batteries can be used to store energy when it is inexpensive and sell it back to the grid when prices are higher. For drivers, their vehicles would become a viable means to arbitrage the cost of power, while utility companies could use fleets of PHEVs to supply power to the grid to respond to peaks in electricity demand. Potential Impact Worldwide demand for electric energy is expected to rise 82 percent by 2030.6 This demand will primarily be met by building many new coal and natural gas electricity- generation plants. Not surprisingly, global greenhouse gas emissions are estimated to rise 59 percent by 20307 as a result. Building a technology-enabled smart electricity grid can help offset the increase in greenhouse gas emissions in three different ways: (1) Reduce Growth in Demand for Electricity Electricity Consumers: – Enable consumers to monitor their own energy consumption, with a goal of becoming more energy-efficient – Provide more accurate and timely information to consumers on electricity variable-pricing signals, allowing them to invest in load-shedding and load- shifting solutions—and to shift dynamically among several competing energy providers based on greenhouse gas emissions or social goals Power Utility Companies and Regulators: – Broadcast demand-response alerts to reduce peak energy demand and the need to start reserve generators – Provide remote energy-management services and energy-control operations that advise customers, giving them the choice to control their homes remotely to reduce energy use – Enable utility companies to increase their focus on creating “Sav-a-Watt” or “Nega-Watt” programs instead of producing power. These programs are effective because offsetting a watt of demand through energy efficiency can be more cost-effective and CO2-efficient than generating an extra watt of electricity.8 Cisco IBSG Copyright © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. 5
  • 8. Equipment Manufacturers: – Encourage building-control systems companies to standardize data communications protocols across systems, eliminating proprietary and non- standard protocols that inhibit integration and management – Incent manufacturers to produce goods (air conditioners, freezers, washers/ dryers, water heaters) that more effectively monitor and manage power usage. For example, a refrigerator and air-conditioner compressor could ”communicate” to ensure they don’t start at the same time, thus reducing peak electricity demand. – Enable and encourage electrical equipment manufacturers to build energy- efficiency, management, and data-integration capabilities into their equipment Building Architects & Owners: – Take an integrated approach to new building construction, incorporating smart, “connected building” communication technologies to manage and synchronize operation of appliances, to turn off lighting in rooms not in use, to turn on reserve generation when price-effective, and to manage overall energy use (2) Accelerate Adoption of Renewable Electricity-generation Sources – Encourage home and building owners to invest in highly efficient, low-emissions microgeneration technologies to supply some of their own energy and offset peak demand on the electric grid—thereby reducing the need for new, large- scale power plants – Create virtual power plants that include both distributed power production and energy-efficiency measures – Accelerate the introduction of PHEVs to provide temporary electricity storage as well as incremental energy generation to offset peak demand on the grid (3) Delay Construction of New Electricity-generation and Transmission Infrastructure – It is estimated that by 2030, the cost to renew and expand the world’s aging transmission/distribution grid and its power-generation assets will exceed $6 trillion and $7.5 trillion, respectively.9 Utility companies that implement electronic monitoring and management technologies can prolong the life of some electric grid components, reducing new construction costs for power-generation assets and the greenhouse gas emissions that accompany them. 6 Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 9. White Paper Figure 2. Options for Closing Future Capacity Gap (Scenario Based on German Electricity Market) Cisco IBSG analysis for the German market showed that Smart Grid is the cheapest way to free up capacity. In addition, it is the most environmentally friendly option. Offshore Wind German Power Including Capacity Gap CCGT Reserver 7000 Until 2020 6000 Generation Full Cost (¤/kW1) Bio-mass 5000 Hard Coal New Lifetime Build 4000 Industrial Extension CCGT Grid New Build CHP 3000 Automation Hard Coal DSM/DR 2000 Nuclear Lifetime Extension 1000 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Gigawatts : Smart Grid Options 1: Full cost NPV over period 2008–2020. CO2 cost assumed at 25¤/t, no subsidies considered, operating hour based on expected merit order curve. DSM: Demand-side Management DR: Demand Response Source: Cisco IBSG, 2008 Current Initiatives Practically speaking, most of the technologies required to create a Smart Grid are available today. Forward-looking utility companies are already offering demand-response technologies that, for example, detect the need for load shedding, communicate the demand to participating users, automate load shedding, and verify compliance with demand- response programs. Many utility companies are also implementing large numbers of smart electric meters to offer variable pricing to consumers and to reduce manual meter-reading costs. Major building automation companies, such as Johnson Controls, Siemens, and Honeywell, all have smart building solutions that integrate their various HVAC systems. Several competing communication protocols (BACnet, LONnet, oBIX), however, are still vying to become the standard through which all building devices can intercommunicate. This inability to agree upon a common industry standard has delayed the vision of connecting every electric device and spawned several middleware and gateway Cisco IBSG Copyright © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. 7
  • 10. companies, such as Cimetrics, Gridlogix, Richards Zeta, and Tridium. As expected, many white goods manufacturers, including GE, Whirlpool, and Siemens, are making appliances that can connect to a building’s network. In addition, several public and private organizations have implemented energy- consumption dashboards. Typically, these are custom-designed internally or provided by small software integrators. Oberlin College has a good example of an online energy dashboard showing energy consumption at its college dormitories.10 A variety of companies, ranging from Honda Motor Company and GE Energy to Microgeneration Ltd. and BluePoint Energy, are developing microgeneration devices. A host of technology companies provide technology required to make the Smart Grid “smart,” including Current Technologies and BPL Global for broadband-over-powerline, Silver Spring Networks and Cellnet for RF wireless communications, and many other small and specialized companies. So far, however, nobody has been able to define an industry architecture that spans the entire Smart Grid—from high-voltage transformers at the power plant down to the wall sockets in homes and offices. Role of Utility Companies Here are three ways utility companies can help make the Smart Grid a reality: 1) Drive Smart Grid standards and architectures by forming alliances and partnerships. Many utility companies are now reaching out to other utility companies to learn from their findings and share ideas. In addition, strategic partnerships, both within and out- side the utility industry, are being formed. Utility companies should also partner more closely with energy regulators to determine their current position on recapturing costs through tariff increases, while at the same time evaluating how to influence policies to accelerate their own Smart Grid investment plans. 2) Evaluate Smart Grid solutions and vendors. While there is still significant “churn” in various Smart Grid technologies, waiting a couple years for the Smart Grid industry to converge around a single set of standards and solutions may leave some utility companies behind. 3) Plan for the financial impact of the Smart Grid on their organizations. Utility companies should start by understanding the costs related to developing the Smart Grid, including carbon pricing, grid upgrades, raw energy, and the indirect cost of competition from other utility companies offering energy-efficient services. Once these costs are understood, utility companies should estimate the economic impact Smart Grid solutions could have on their profits. This exercise will help utility companies quantify the effect of the Smart Grid on their bottom line. 8 Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 11. White Paper Figure 3. Smart Grid’s Potential Financial Impact on Utilities (Cisco IBSG Simulation for an Integrated Utility) IBSG analysis of the financial impact on utilities shows that a proactive strategy can significantly increase profitability. Whereas wholesale price reductions lower power-generation profits, significant opportunities exist on the sales side. Some of these opportunities are tied to required changes in the legal framework and utilities’ business model. In a Smart Grid world, utilities will benefit from energy efficiency, not from energy consumption. Operating Profit (USD B) Value Drivers 4.7 4.0 • Process Efficiency 0.5 +260% 1.8 • Volume Increases by Access to New Markets, 1.3 (for example, Vehicle-to-Grid) 0% 1.3 • CO2 Avoidance Credits • Additional Value-added 2.2 –27% Services 1.6 • Image Improvement Current Total Future Total Sales Grid Generation Source: Cisco IBSG, 2008 Role of Government While the technologies for Smart Grid solutions are mainly available today, the real challenge to accelerating adoption stems from the various industries that need to work together to create a viable, integrated system. For example, Smart Grid requires utility companies to work with IT companies, and building owners to work with energy technology companies. Bringing together their various perspectives to design and build complex systems often proves difficult. Given this complexity, the role of government is to create working organizations and policies to incentivize open partnerships. Government can play four key roles to accelerate Smart Grid adoption: 1. Develop cost-recovery mechanisms that allow utilities to include investments in their regulated asset base. Some European countries already incentivize new investments by increasing the return on regulated asset base by 1 to 2 percent above the standard return in the grid tariff. 2. rovide a clear framework that incentivizes investments in energy efficiency that P are not part of the regulated grid or metering business. Solutions for demand-side management decrease energy consumption and, therefore, CO2 emissions. Just as utilities must pay for CO2 emissions in some countries, there should be a system in place for receiving CO2 credits based on investments in energy efficiency. Similar frameworks are already in place in Italy and France (“White Certificates”). Cisco IBSG Copyright © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. 9
  • 12. 3. Quickly develop critical communication standards. The connected building industry, in particular, battled with several standards for the past 10 years. In today’s electricity grids, approximately 360 different protocols are unable to communicate with each other. A well-crafted, government-led standards body could have ended this issue years ago. 4. Increase transparency and flexibility in the electricity market, giving consumers the ability to purchase electricity from the most efficient provider. Role of the ICT Industry There are several imperatives for the ICT industry to help accelerate adoption of the Smart Grid: • Partnering for Systems Integration: From an ICT perspective, building the Smart Grid is a fairly straightforward technical challenge—most of the core technologies exist and have been proven. The real challenge, however, is integrating the various technologies into a single, working solution. It is a significant systems integration challenge to tie various devices, constituencies, and telecommunications protocols together seamlessly. No single company has the capabilities to implement the Smart Grid; each industry brings a piece of the solution. The challenge, especially for ICT companies, is to stop operating as “islands.” Rather, they need build the alliances and partnerships required to ensure their technology fits into the larger, cross-industry ecosystem that constitutes the Smart Grid. • Increase Risk-taking: In a recent discussion with technology companies, Jim Rogers, CEO of Duke Energy, said that because Smart Grid ideas are evolving so quickly, technology companies must become more comfortable with taking risks and applying their technologies to new applications. Rather than wait for the perfect IT solution or comprehensive standard to be developed, companies should expedite taking their solutions to market for testing and vetting.11 • Companies Make Markets; Markets Don’t Make Companies: Large, successful, established companies often pursue a “fast follower” strategy, waiting for the market to be proven and many customers to be identified. This often makes sense before investing significant R&D resources. The Smart Grid, however, may evolve in a way that makes the fast-follower strategy undesirable. The core technology and communications standards that will enable widespread Smart Grid adoption are currently being developed. Once protocols are established, they will be built into a capital infrastructure (power plants, substations, buildings, powerlines) that has a useful life of 30-plus years. This is a much longer than the traditional ICT solution lifecycle. Once Smart Grid standards are set, they will be around for a while. Woe to the company that finds itself on the wrong end of that solution. 10 Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 13. White Paper Conclusion Rising fuel costs, underinvestment in aging infrastructure, and climate change are all converging to create a turbulent period for the electricity industry. To make matters worse, it’s becoming more expensive to expand power-generation capacity, and public opposition to new fossil stations—particularly coal-fired stations—is increasing. As a consequence, reserve margins for system stability have reached a critical level in many countries. As utility companies prepare to meet growing demand, greenhouse gas emissions from electricity generation may soon surpass those from all other energy sources.12 Fortunately, the creation of a Smart Grid will help solve these challenges. A Smart Grid can reduce the amount of electricity consumed by homes and buildings, significantly reduce peak demand, and accelerate adoption of distributed, renewable energy sources—all while improving the reliability, security, and useful life of electrical infrastructure. Despite its promise and the availability of most of the core technologies needed to develop the Smart Grid, implementation has been slow. To accelerate development, state, county, and local governments, electric utility companies, public electricity regulators, and IT companies must all come together and work toward a common goal. The suggestions in this paper will help the Smart Grid become a reality that will ensure we have enough power to meet demand, while at the same time reducing greenhouse gases that cause global warming. Cisco IBSG Copyright © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. 11
  • 14. Endnotes 1. Al Gore speech at NYU Law School, September 2006 (http://thinkprogress.org/gore-nyu) 2. Department of Energy putting power in the hands of consumers through technology, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, January 2008 (http://www.pnl.gov/topstory.asp?id=285) 3. “GridWise Demonstration Project Fast Facts,” Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, December 2007 4. State of Missouri, Mr. Dave Mosby, Director of Facilities, December 2007 5. 005 Dormitory Energy Competition at Oberlin College, Cleveland, Ohio. 2 “On average, dorms reduced electricity use by 32 percent during the competition. The two dorms with real-time feedback won with 56 percent reductions in electricity.” (http://www.oberlin.edu/dormenergy/news.htm) 6. International Energy Outlook 2007, Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, Figure 6, “World net electricity generation grows by 85 percent in the IEO2007 reference case, from 16,424 billion kilowatthours in 2004 to 22,289 billion kilowatthours in 2015 and 30,364 billion kilowatthours in 2030.” (http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/highlights.html) 7. International Energy Outlook 2007, Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, Figure 6, “World carbon dioxide emissions continue to increase steadily in the IEO2007 reference case, from 26.9 billion metric tons in 2004 to 33.9 billion metric tons in 2015 and 42.9 billion metric tons in 2030, an increase of 59 percent over the projection period.” (http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/highlights.html) 8. Jim Rogers, CEO of Duke Energy, briefing to Gridwise Alliance meeting, Charlotte, North Carolina, December 2007 9. World Energy Outlook, 2006 10. 005 Dormitory Energy Competition at Oberlin College, Cleveland, Ohio. 2 “On average, dorms reduced electricity use by 32 percent during the competition. The two dorms with real-time feedback won with 56 percent reductions in electricity.” (http://www.oberlin.edu/dormenergy/) 11. Jim Rogers, CEO of Duke Energy, briefing to Gridwise Alliance meeting, Charlotte, North Carolina, December 2007 12. Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change, 2006 12 Cisco IBSG © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 15. White Paper Notes Cisco IBSG Copyright © 2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. 13
  • 16. More Information The Cisco Internet Business Solutions Group (IBSG), the global strategic consulting arm of Cisco, helps CXOs and public sector leaders transform their organizations—first by designing innovative business processes, and then by integrating advanced technologies into visionary roadmaps that address key CXO concerns. For further information about IBSG, visit http://www.cisco.com/go/ibsg Americas Headquarters Asia Pacific Headquarters Europe Headquarters Cisco Systems, Inc. Cisco Systems (USA) Pte. Ltd. Cisco Systems International BV San Jose, CA Singapore Amsterdam, The Netherlands Cisco has more than 200 offices worldwide. Addresses, phone numbers, and fax numbers are listed on the Cisco website at www.cisco.com/go/offices. ©2008 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco, the Cisco logo, and Cisco Systems are registered trademarks of Cisco Systems, Inc. and/or its affiliates in the United States and certain other countries. All other trademarks mentioned in this document or website are the property of their respective owners. The use of the word partner does not imply a partnership relationship between Cisco and any other company. (0809R) RM/LW15176 1008