Probabilistic natural gas price forecast

1. scenarioknow@gmail.com
2.47
1.92
1.70 1.61
2.76
2.45
2.24 2.16
3.00 2.99
2.84 2.78
3.21
3.43
3.30 3.27
3.60
4.37 4.37 4.40
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
2017 2018 2019 2020
IMPLIED HH NATURAL GAS PRICE SETTLEMENT PROBABILITIES, 08-18-17
5th Percentile 25th Percentile Futures 75th Percentile 95th Percentile

2. IMPLIED HH NATURAL GAS PRICE SETTLEMENT PROBABILITIES, 08-18-17
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
0% 0% 0% 7% 53% 56% 99% 90% 100% 98% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020
0% 0% 14% 18% 63% 65% 91% 91% 98% 98% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
0% 7% 53% 56% 99% 90% 100% 98% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020
14% 18% 63% 65% 91% 91% 98% 98% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
53% 49% 99% 83% 100% 92% 100% 93% 100% 93% 100% 93%
2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020
49% 48% 77% 73% 84% 80% 86% 82% 86% 82% 86% 82%
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
46% 34% 47% 43% 47% 44% 47% 44% 47% 44%
2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020
28% 25% 35% 33% 36% 34% 37% 34% 37% 34%
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
0% 8% 0% 10% 0% 10% 0% 10%
2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020
7% 7% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1%
2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020
1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
2017 2018 2017 2018
0% 0% 0% 0%
2019 2020 2019 2020
0% 0% 0% 0%
2017 2018
0% 0%
2019 2020
0% 0%
$3 $4 $5 $6
B
E
T
W
E
E
N
AND
$4
$5
$6
$7
$7 $8
$0
$1
$2
$3
$1 $2
ScenarioKnow@gmail.com