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Trends in Information
    Technology
      Dr. Lloyd Brooks
  The University of Memphis
Procedures for Assuring Industry
     Certification Standards
 Statewide testing certification program for
  all current business technology teachers
 Incorporation into teacher education
  program by colleges and universities
  offering teacher licensure programs
   Over 250 million Microsoft Office users worldwide

   Over 95% of all businesses standardize on Microsoft Office

 The average user only understands 20% of the functionality
available in the Office suite

   Four out of five jobs (80%) in today’s workplace require
    computer literacy skills.

 Provides a national standard of competency in technical
skills
Microsoft® Office Specialist 60-second Video
Potential Test Sites in
     Tennessee
Future Movie Watching

           Connects (wireless) to any
           video source – PC, DVD, TV
           and so forth




             Uses two AA batteries
             and sells for $499 –
             Available Now
Shower Radio With Caller ID
                Shower


                Listen to the Radio

                Get Traffic Reports


                Check the Time


                Check Phone Caller ID


                Sells for $49.95
WOMEN ON THE WEB

Women Surpass Men

                     Men
                    49.6%
 Women
 50.4%


         Source: USA Today
Search Engine Trend
 Google Number 1 – Started in 1998
 Yahoo/AOL Searches Routed to Google
 88% of All Searches Use Google
 200 Million Searches Per Day
 6 Billion Pages on the Web
 Orders Pages by Popularity in Links
 Microsoft Announced a Challenge to
 Google in 2006
Bill Gates Introduces the Tablet PC

                       May
                       change
                       the way
                       that
                       notes
                       are taken
Speed and Power Growth
 Processing Speed
     2 times every 18 months
 Storage Space
     2 times ever 9 months
 Fiber Optics
     2 times every 6 months
 Internet Traffic
     2 times every 12 months
               Source: U. S. News and World Report
Hands-Free Remote Control

                          “Increase Volume”



                          “Change to Channel 3”



                         “Record”



                         Remembers Favorite Channels
Remembers 54 Different
Voice Commands           Recognizes 4 Voices
Keyboard of the Future
   Half the size of your average deck of cards
   Sits wirelessly on any flat surface
   Projects a red standard QUERTY-layout keyboard on
    any flat opaque surface. Watches” your fingers hit the
    key locations it has projected, and then sends the
    keystrokes through to your PDA or PC

                                             Available Now
Global Positioning Systems
 Direct Auto Driving
 Integrated into Cell Phone
     Keep Up With Children
     Keep Up With Spouse
 Disney Phone
 is Available Now
Computer Speed Trends
   According to Moore's Law, computer power doubles every 18 months,
    meaning that computers will be a million times more powerful by 2034.
   At that rate, we’ll see half a trillion operations per
    second – 500 times faster than today’s fastest PCs –
    in just 15 years. That’s just half way through a 30-
    year mortgage. Likewise, everyday devices with
    embedded processors could be 10-50 times faster
    than today’s fastest PCs. They will surely be
    networked, and at current growth rates, speeds will
    exceed 1 gigabit per second in that timeframe.

Spyware Remains a Problem
 We'll also spend a big percentage of the
 computer power on defense mechanisms
 such as self-healing software (to root out
 bugs and adapt to changing
 environments) and aggressively defensive
 virus antibodies. We'll need such software
 to protect against "social engineering"
 attacks, such as e-mail that purports to
 come from your boss and asks you to
 open an attachment.
Privacy – A Thing of the Past
 Such machines would likely surpass the
 capabilities of NEC's Earth Simulator.
 Sensor networks, robots and biological
 chips would enable us to leave network
 management, health care and many
 household tasks to machines. Every
 moment of your life would be preserved on
 video.
Internet Statistics
 $2.6 Billion to Clean Up Code Red Virus
 7.9 Million Personal Web Visits From
  Work Per Month
 Online Gaming Growth to $14 Billion by
  2008
 60.7 % of Workers Use Web for Personal
  Use Purposes
 32 % Bought Holiday Gift Online
Technology Trends
   The power of an Xbox console is now the
    equivalent of a supercomputer in 1973
   The emergence of digital ink, radio frequency ID
    (RFID) tags to monitor the locations of goods will
    be two of many ways that networked smart
    objects will manifest themselves
   Smart pills will appear in the next decade. These
    will be engineered to release their drugs at pre-
    defined times, saving the patient from having to
    remember to take doses over a period of time
Internet Statistics
 “Sex” is the Number 1 Search Term
 Workers Spend 21 Hours at Home and 9.5
  Hours at Work on Internet Each Week
 32.6 % of Workers Have No Objective
  While Surfing the Internet
 31 % of Employers Restrict Internet Use
 82 % of Businesses Believe Internet Use
  Should Be Monitored
IT Trends
   By 2008, at least $90 billion worth of business-
    to-consumer (B2C) purchase decisions
   By 2008, $350 billion worth of business-to-
    business (B2B) purchase decisions — will be
    based on tags containing information and
    opinions about purchasable items.
   By 2008, more than 60 percent of the U.S.
    population aged 15 to 50 will carry or wear a
    wireless computing and communications device
    at least six hours a day
    (Source: Gartner Group).
Source: [http://www.ict.tuwien.ac.at/skripten/Penzhorn] article by Dr. W. Z. Penzhorn
Worldwide Biometrics Revenue

                                           $1.5 Billion




                                                                     Average
                                                                      Annual
                 $380 Million                                         Growth
                                                                     Rate for
                                                                     the Next
                  2001                     2003                       3 Years



Source: BTT, article by Dr. Yau Wei Yun, Laboratories for Information Technology
                                      [http://www.biometrics-today.com/who.htm]
Smart Homes
 Lighting for mood and comfort
 Wireless detector when guests arrive
 Remotely unlock door and direct guests
 Mood lighting for home theater
     Source: Frost & Sullivan – A Marketing
      Research Firm
Energy Management
 HVAC System programmed for efficiency
 Check HVAC system remotely
 Wireless plumbing leak remote detection
 PDA to remotely check home temperature
     Source: International Data Corporation
Home Security
   Blinds, garage doors, front door, smoke
    detector, gas detector, and security system
    remotely checked
   Surveillance cameras with Internet access
   Monitor what kids are watching on TV in another
    room
   View search paths on the Internet to see where
    others (kids and employees) have been on the
    Web
       Source: Microsoft Network
Smart Appliances
 Microwave with 400 recipes
 Refrigerator that recognizes sour milk
 Alarm clock communicates with coffee
  maker
 Sharp Co. offers microwaves with Internet
  connection capability
     Source: Microsoft Network
IT Internet Trends
 Microsoft to win the browser war
 Microsoft to be a player on the Internet as
  the operating system war escalates.
 More services to come over the Internet
  with a fee. Updates, repairs, and products
 Security and privacy to be big concerns
Privacy Trends - Concerns
   Acme Car Rental in Connecticut electronically
    monitors car speeds of customers and issues
    speeding tickets.
   Microsoft Office XP can monitor who installs the
    software and how many times it is installed.
   Cookies can track where you surf on the
    Internet.
   Global Positioning System (GPS) to become an
    integrated device for cell phones and autos
IT Trends
 Cisco pioneers first Net home in Vienna.
 A server monitors operations and controls
 operations. For example, recipes can be
 sent to the oven. A visitor at the front door
 can be watched.
InfoPath
 Software to coincide with introduction of
  MS Office 2007 – Now in Beta Version
 Uses XML to permit a doctor to check the
  knowledge base to determine drug
  insurance coverage and potential patient
  interaction with the prescribed drug
 Physician will then issue prescription to
  the pharmacy for the drug
Phones 2010
   Phones will be low-powered, lightweight, ear-
    mounted, and equipped with one follow-you
    phone number. It will connect to the Net via
    the PDA
Writing Pens 2010
   As you write with your pen, it captures your
    scrawled messages and beams them to
    your PDA or your tube rollup monitor
PDA 2010
   The PDA of the future will connect to the
    Net and replace money, keys, credit cards,
    and remotes
PDA Agent ID 2010
   By using new scanning technology that verifies the
    user's thumb-print, the PDA will open doors to cars,
    homes, and offices. It will secure access to your
    personal databases, such as online medical records,
    and guarantee their privacy
Laptop 2010
   The laptop with voice recognition will make
    keyboards obsolete and a rollout LCD screen
    permits the monitor to scroll
Sight and Sound 2010
   A display on the eyewear will show
    sensitive information for-your-eyes-only.
   Noise is controlled through optional
    earpieces that electronically mute sound
    waves
Computers 2010
   Computer displays and TV monitors are
    replaced by one lightweight, flat LCD panel that
    can be placed on a desk or hung on a wall. Your
    PDA pulls up your personal desktop
    configuration for work or for play
Medical Diagnosis 2010
   A camera and LCD screen analyze skin
    color and provide a real-time link to doctors.
    "Point-at-what-hurts" interaction aids
    diagnosis. The device lets you monitor your
    parents' health, too
Wrist Watch 2010
   A sports watch times your exercise, monitors
    vital statistics, and analyzes performance.
    Performance data is uploaded to your agent
    PDA for analysis
E-Map 2010
   Electronic ink and GPS combine to provide a
    lightweight moving map that displays your exact
    location in all terrains
Seating 2010
 Chairs will be made of a gel that conforms
  to your body shape and will be matched to
  human tissue to provide a subtle
  massaging
 People will be able to heat and cool their
  chair and change its configurations for
  perching, lounging, and sitting
Connectivity 2012
 Most electrical appliances connected to
  Web - machine to machine communication
 Washing machine using too much water—
  message sent electronically to Maytag
 People will be mostly unaware of near
  universal connectivity because of
  machine-to-machine communication
Location 2012
 Friends and co-workers will instantly be
  able to see where you are because of tiny
  wireless phones and GPS locators
 People can specify how they want to be
  reached—text, phone, video
 Much controversy about whether schools,
  employers, advertisers, etc., should have
  access to your presence
Cable 2012
 Television will contain a hard disk to
  record shows—1 terabyte of space to
  store hundreds of hours of high-definition
  programming
 Shows can be seen when you want to see
  them—not just when they are transmitted
 Entertainment sold as a pay-per-view fee
  or as a monthly subscription
Identification 2012
 Radio-frequency identification tags (RFID)
  to keep track of inventory and payment.
  RFID chips are the size of a grain of rice
  and will sell for one cent.
 People will bag the products and a RFID
  will total the products and deduct from
  your RFID credit card in your wallet
 RFID will mark the beginning of the end
  for cash
Communications 2012
 Reliable speech recognition will allow
  computers, phones, and household
  appliances to understand spoken
  commands
 Commands such as “Car, how far to the
  next gas station?” will be common
Education Implications
 Wireless Networking Devices
 Database Storage Concepts and
  Applications
 Voice Communication Commands
 Efficient Internet Search and Navigation
 Keyboarding Skills Remain Important
 Constant Professional Growth of Faculty
Questions?

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Ittrends (1)

  • 1. Trends in Information Technology Dr. Lloyd Brooks The University of Memphis
  • 2. Procedures for Assuring Industry Certification Standards  Statewide testing certification program for all current business technology teachers  Incorporation into teacher education program by colleges and universities offering teacher licensure programs
  • 3. Over 250 million Microsoft Office users worldwide  Over 95% of all businesses standardize on Microsoft Office  The average user only understands 20% of the functionality available in the Office suite  Four out of five jobs (80%) in today’s workplace require computer literacy skills.  Provides a national standard of competency in technical skills
  • 5. Potential Test Sites in Tennessee
  • 6. Future Movie Watching Connects (wireless) to any video source – PC, DVD, TV and so forth Uses two AA batteries and sells for $499 – Available Now
  • 7. Shower Radio With Caller ID Shower Listen to the Radio Get Traffic Reports Check the Time Check Phone Caller ID Sells for $49.95
  • 8. WOMEN ON THE WEB Women Surpass Men Men 49.6% Women 50.4% Source: USA Today
  • 9. Search Engine Trend  Google Number 1 – Started in 1998  Yahoo/AOL Searches Routed to Google  88% of All Searches Use Google  200 Million Searches Per Day  6 Billion Pages on the Web  Orders Pages by Popularity in Links  Microsoft Announced a Challenge to Google in 2006
  • 10. Bill Gates Introduces the Tablet PC May change the way that notes are taken
  • 11. Speed and Power Growth  Processing Speed  2 times every 18 months  Storage Space  2 times ever 9 months  Fiber Optics  2 times every 6 months  Internet Traffic  2 times every 12 months Source: U. S. News and World Report
  • 12. Hands-Free Remote Control “Increase Volume” “Change to Channel 3” “Record” Remembers Favorite Channels Remembers 54 Different Voice Commands Recognizes 4 Voices
  • 13. Keyboard of the Future  Half the size of your average deck of cards  Sits wirelessly on any flat surface  Projects a red standard QUERTY-layout keyboard on any flat opaque surface. Watches” your fingers hit the key locations it has projected, and then sends the keystrokes through to your PDA or PC Available Now
  • 14. Global Positioning Systems  Direct Auto Driving  Integrated into Cell Phone  Keep Up With Children  Keep Up With Spouse  Disney Phone is Available Now
  • 15. Computer Speed Trends  According to Moore's Law, computer power doubles every 18 months, meaning that computers will be a million times more powerful by 2034.  At that rate, we’ll see half a trillion operations per second – 500 times faster than today’s fastest PCs – in just 15 years. That’s just half way through a 30- year mortgage. Likewise, everyday devices with embedded processors could be 10-50 times faster than today’s fastest PCs. They will surely be networked, and at current growth rates, speeds will exceed 1 gigabit per second in that timeframe. 
  • 16. Spyware Remains a Problem  We'll also spend a big percentage of the computer power on defense mechanisms such as self-healing software (to root out bugs and adapt to changing environments) and aggressively defensive virus antibodies. We'll need such software to protect against "social engineering" attacks, such as e-mail that purports to come from your boss and asks you to open an attachment.
  • 17. Privacy – A Thing of the Past  Such machines would likely surpass the capabilities of NEC's Earth Simulator. Sensor networks, robots and biological chips would enable us to leave network management, health care and many household tasks to machines. Every moment of your life would be preserved on video.
  • 18. Internet Statistics  $2.6 Billion to Clean Up Code Red Virus  7.9 Million Personal Web Visits From Work Per Month  Online Gaming Growth to $14 Billion by 2008  60.7 % of Workers Use Web for Personal Use Purposes  32 % Bought Holiday Gift Online
  • 19. Technology Trends  The power of an Xbox console is now the equivalent of a supercomputer in 1973  The emergence of digital ink, radio frequency ID (RFID) tags to monitor the locations of goods will be two of many ways that networked smart objects will manifest themselves  Smart pills will appear in the next decade. These will be engineered to release their drugs at pre- defined times, saving the patient from having to remember to take doses over a period of time
  • 20. Internet Statistics  “Sex” is the Number 1 Search Term  Workers Spend 21 Hours at Home and 9.5 Hours at Work on Internet Each Week  32.6 % of Workers Have No Objective While Surfing the Internet  31 % of Employers Restrict Internet Use  82 % of Businesses Believe Internet Use Should Be Monitored
  • 21. IT Trends  By 2008, at least $90 billion worth of business- to-consumer (B2C) purchase decisions  By 2008, $350 billion worth of business-to- business (B2B) purchase decisions — will be based on tags containing information and opinions about purchasable items.  By 2008, more than 60 percent of the U.S. population aged 15 to 50 will carry or wear a wireless computing and communications device at least six hours a day  (Source: Gartner Group).
  • 23. Worldwide Biometrics Revenue $1.5 Billion Average Annual $380 Million Growth Rate for the Next 2001 2003 3 Years Source: BTT, article by Dr. Yau Wei Yun, Laboratories for Information Technology [http://www.biometrics-today.com/who.htm]
  • 24. Smart Homes  Lighting for mood and comfort  Wireless detector when guests arrive  Remotely unlock door and direct guests  Mood lighting for home theater  Source: Frost & Sullivan – A Marketing Research Firm
  • 25. Energy Management  HVAC System programmed for efficiency  Check HVAC system remotely  Wireless plumbing leak remote detection  PDA to remotely check home temperature  Source: International Data Corporation
  • 26. Home Security  Blinds, garage doors, front door, smoke detector, gas detector, and security system remotely checked  Surveillance cameras with Internet access  Monitor what kids are watching on TV in another room  View search paths on the Internet to see where others (kids and employees) have been on the Web  Source: Microsoft Network
  • 27. Smart Appliances  Microwave with 400 recipes  Refrigerator that recognizes sour milk  Alarm clock communicates with coffee maker  Sharp Co. offers microwaves with Internet connection capability  Source: Microsoft Network
  • 28. IT Internet Trends  Microsoft to win the browser war  Microsoft to be a player on the Internet as the operating system war escalates.  More services to come over the Internet with a fee. Updates, repairs, and products  Security and privacy to be big concerns
  • 29. Privacy Trends - Concerns  Acme Car Rental in Connecticut electronically monitors car speeds of customers and issues speeding tickets.  Microsoft Office XP can monitor who installs the software and how many times it is installed.  Cookies can track where you surf on the Internet.  Global Positioning System (GPS) to become an integrated device for cell phones and autos
  • 30. IT Trends  Cisco pioneers first Net home in Vienna. A server monitors operations and controls operations. For example, recipes can be sent to the oven. A visitor at the front door can be watched.
  • 31. InfoPath  Software to coincide with introduction of MS Office 2007 – Now in Beta Version  Uses XML to permit a doctor to check the knowledge base to determine drug insurance coverage and potential patient interaction with the prescribed drug  Physician will then issue prescription to the pharmacy for the drug
  • 32. Phones 2010  Phones will be low-powered, lightweight, ear- mounted, and equipped with one follow-you phone number. It will connect to the Net via the PDA
  • 33. Writing Pens 2010  As you write with your pen, it captures your scrawled messages and beams them to your PDA or your tube rollup monitor
  • 34. PDA 2010  The PDA of the future will connect to the Net and replace money, keys, credit cards, and remotes
  • 35. PDA Agent ID 2010  By using new scanning technology that verifies the user's thumb-print, the PDA will open doors to cars, homes, and offices. It will secure access to your personal databases, such as online medical records, and guarantee their privacy
  • 36. Laptop 2010  The laptop with voice recognition will make keyboards obsolete and a rollout LCD screen permits the monitor to scroll
  • 37. Sight and Sound 2010  A display on the eyewear will show sensitive information for-your-eyes-only.  Noise is controlled through optional earpieces that electronically mute sound waves
  • 38. Computers 2010  Computer displays and TV monitors are replaced by one lightweight, flat LCD panel that can be placed on a desk or hung on a wall. Your PDA pulls up your personal desktop configuration for work or for play
  • 39. Medical Diagnosis 2010  A camera and LCD screen analyze skin color and provide a real-time link to doctors. "Point-at-what-hurts" interaction aids diagnosis. The device lets you monitor your parents' health, too
  • 40. Wrist Watch 2010  A sports watch times your exercise, monitors vital statistics, and analyzes performance. Performance data is uploaded to your agent PDA for analysis
  • 41. E-Map 2010  Electronic ink and GPS combine to provide a lightweight moving map that displays your exact location in all terrains
  • 42. Seating 2010  Chairs will be made of a gel that conforms to your body shape and will be matched to human tissue to provide a subtle massaging  People will be able to heat and cool their chair and change its configurations for perching, lounging, and sitting
  • 43. Connectivity 2012  Most electrical appliances connected to Web - machine to machine communication  Washing machine using too much water— message sent electronically to Maytag  People will be mostly unaware of near universal connectivity because of machine-to-machine communication
  • 44. Location 2012  Friends and co-workers will instantly be able to see where you are because of tiny wireless phones and GPS locators  People can specify how they want to be reached—text, phone, video  Much controversy about whether schools, employers, advertisers, etc., should have access to your presence
  • 45. Cable 2012  Television will contain a hard disk to record shows—1 terabyte of space to store hundreds of hours of high-definition programming  Shows can be seen when you want to see them—not just when they are transmitted  Entertainment sold as a pay-per-view fee or as a monthly subscription
  • 46. Identification 2012  Radio-frequency identification tags (RFID) to keep track of inventory and payment. RFID chips are the size of a grain of rice and will sell for one cent.  People will bag the products and a RFID will total the products and deduct from your RFID credit card in your wallet  RFID will mark the beginning of the end for cash
  • 47. Communications 2012  Reliable speech recognition will allow computers, phones, and household appliances to understand spoken commands  Commands such as “Car, how far to the next gas station?” will be common
  • 48. Education Implications  Wireless Networking Devices  Database Storage Concepts and Applications  Voice Communication Commands  Efficient Internet Search and Navigation  Keyboarding Skills Remain Important  Constant Professional Growth of Faculty