SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 28
“The State of the Business Economy” June 24, 2009 PRESENTED BY Richard Yamarone “The Trader’s Guide to Key Economic Indicators”
Hoping for a “V”-Shaped Recovery
Leading Indicators Signal Some Degree of Recovery
Anecdotal Reports Starting to Improve
Fiscal Policy Arriving at the Spigots
Business Investment has Collapsed
Little Need to Build With Glut of Commercial Property
Signs of Stabilization in Housing
Home Prices Returning to Pre-Bubble Levels
This Isn’t the 1950s  Source: Lewis Wickes Hine, “Power House Mechanic”
Considerable Change in Composition
Considerable Change in Composition   	 1950	           2009	          Change 						 Manufacturing			30.2%		9.5%	      	-20.8% Resources			2.0%		0.6%		-1.4% Information			3.6%		2.1%		-1.5%Wholesale			5.1%		4.3%		-0.8%Utilities				0.1%		0.4%		0.3%Construction			5.1%		5.0%		-0.1%Retail				10.3%		11.1%		0.8%Other Services			1.9%		4.1%		2.2% F,I,RE				3.3%		5.7%		2.4%Government			13.6%		16.7%		3.1%Leisure				6.2%		9.9%		3.7%Professional			6.5%		12.8%		6.3%Education & Health Care		4.8%	 	14.2%	 	9.4%
Trade, the Unsexy Savior
Unemployment Benefit Claims Point to Economic Trough
Ever-Resilient Consumer Tossed in Towel
‘Fab Five’ – Dining Out
‘Fab Five’ – Jewelry & Watches
‘Fab Five’ – Cosmetics & Perfumes
‘Fab Five’ – Women’s Dresses
‘Fab Five’ – Casino Gambling
‘Fab Five’ Recovery…
Auto Industry is the Wildcard
Prices Aren’t ‘Collapsing’
Consumer Inflation Expectations on the Rise
Risks to “V”-Shaped Recovery… ,[object Object]
 Commodity (Food), Energy, Healthcare Inflation
(price pass alongs announced during the quarterly earning season)

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

Macro diagrams and definitions
Macro diagrams and definitionsMacro diagrams and definitions
Macro diagrams and definitions12jostma
 
Graphs 2 Know For The AP Econ Exam
Graphs 2 Know For The AP Econ ExamGraphs 2 Know For The AP Econ Exam
Graphs 2 Know For The AP Econ ExamMrRed
 
Analysis On Financial Sector
Analysis On Financial SectorAnalysis On Financial Sector
Analysis On Financial SectorHitesh Kukreja
 
Convertibility of Black money to white
Convertibility of Black money to whiteConvertibility of Black money to white
Convertibility of Black money to whiteArpit Agarwal
 
Fiscal Expansion of India
Fiscal Expansion of IndiaFiscal Expansion of India
Fiscal Expansion of IndiaArpit Agarwal
 
Graphs 2 Know For The AP Macro Economics Exam
Graphs 2 Know For The AP Macro Economics ExamGraphs 2 Know For The AP Macro Economics Exam
Graphs 2 Know For The AP Macro Economics ExamMrRed
 
Graphs 2 Know for the AP Macroeconomics Exam
Graphs 2 Know for the AP Macroeconomics ExamGraphs 2 Know for the AP Macroeconomics Exam
Graphs 2 Know for the AP Macroeconomics ExamMrRed
 
What Is Recession
What Is RecessionWhat Is Recession
What Is Recessionsaurabh119
 
Ap Macro Economics Review
Ap Macro Economics ReviewAp Macro Economics Review
Ap Macro Economics Reviewpowell1985
 
Aggregate demand and supply
Aggregate demand and supplyAggregate demand and supply
Aggregate demand and supplyUmair Aslam
 
Effective Measures Against the Recession
Effective Measures Against the RecessionEffective Measures Against the Recession
Effective Measures Against the RecessionMadrid Network
 
Common Mistakes On The AP Macro Exam
Common Mistakes On The AP Macro ExamCommon Mistakes On The AP Macro Exam
Common Mistakes On The AP Macro ExamMrRed
 
Skirting the Abyss: From Economic Downturn to Financial Crisis to Long-term M...
Skirting the Abyss: From Economic Downturn to Financial Crisis to Long-term M...Skirting the Abyss: From Economic Downturn to Financial Crisis to Long-term M...
Skirting the Abyss: From Economic Downturn to Financial Crisis to Long-term M...Llinlithgow Associates
 

Was ist angesagt? (19)

Macro diagrams and definitions
Macro diagrams and definitionsMacro diagrams and definitions
Macro diagrams and definitions
 
Taxing Agriculture
Taxing AgricultureTaxing Agriculture
Taxing Agriculture
 
Recession
RecessionRecession
Recession
 
Graphs 2 Know For The AP Econ Exam
Graphs 2 Know For The AP Econ ExamGraphs 2 Know For The AP Econ Exam
Graphs 2 Know For The AP Econ Exam
 
Analysis On Financial Sector
Analysis On Financial SectorAnalysis On Financial Sector
Analysis On Financial Sector
 
Convertibility of Black money to white
Convertibility of Black money to whiteConvertibility of Black money to white
Convertibility of Black money to white
 
Fiscal Expansion of India
Fiscal Expansion of IndiaFiscal Expansion of India
Fiscal Expansion of India
 
Graphs 2 Know For The AP Macro Economics Exam
Graphs 2 Know For The AP Macro Economics ExamGraphs 2 Know For The AP Macro Economics Exam
Graphs 2 Know For The AP Macro Economics Exam
 
Macro 9
Macro 9Macro 9
Macro 9
 
Macro 10
Macro 10Macro 10
Macro 10
 
Graphs 2 Know for the AP Macroeconomics Exam
Graphs 2 Know for the AP Macroeconomics ExamGraphs 2 Know for the AP Macroeconomics Exam
Graphs 2 Know for the AP Macroeconomics Exam
 
What Is Recession
What Is RecessionWhat Is Recession
What Is Recession
 
Selected charts
Selected chartsSelected charts
Selected charts
 
Ap Macro Economics Review
Ap Macro Economics ReviewAp Macro Economics Review
Ap Macro Economics Review
 
Aggregate demand and supply
Aggregate demand and supplyAggregate demand and supply
Aggregate demand and supply
 
Effective Measures Against the Recession
Effective Measures Against the RecessionEffective Measures Against the Recession
Effective Measures Against the Recession
 
Common Mistakes On The AP Macro Exam
Common Mistakes On The AP Macro ExamCommon Mistakes On The AP Macro Exam
Common Mistakes On The AP Macro Exam
 
Module 17 aggregate demand
Module 17 aggregate demandModule 17 aggregate demand
Module 17 aggregate demand
 
Skirting the Abyss: From Economic Downturn to Financial Crisis to Long-term M...
Skirting the Abyss: From Economic Downturn to Financial Crisis to Long-term M...Skirting the Abyss: From Economic Downturn to Financial Crisis to Long-term M...
Skirting the Abyss: From Economic Downturn to Financial Crisis to Long-term M...
 

Andere mochten auch

Revised National Booklet 4 8 07
Revised National Booklet 4 8 07Revised National Booklet 4 8 07
Revised National Booklet 4 8 07SPyDeR10
 
Noble Technical Consulting
Noble Technical ConsultingNoble Technical Consulting
Noble Technical ConsultingSPyDeR10
 
Blended Learning- A new strategy
Blended Learning- A new strategyBlended Learning- A new strategy
Blended Learning- A new strategySameer Babu M
 
BottomAd Pro - szablony
BottomAd Pro - szablonyBottomAd Pro - szablony
BottomAd Pro - szablonyPiotr
 
Jesús y la misericordia
Jesús y la misericordiaJesús y la misericordia
Jesús y la misericordiaYalix
 
Parroquia que camina hacia jesús por la senda
Parroquia que camina hacia jesús por la sendaParroquia que camina hacia jesús por la senda
Parroquia que camina hacia jesús por la sendaYalix
 
Dossier Paris Match : "La contrefaçon du vin", avec James de Roany
Dossier Paris Match : "La contrefaçon du vin", avec James de RoanyDossier Paris Match : "La contrefaçon du vin", avec James de Roany
Dossier Paris Match : "La contrefaçon du vin", avec James de RoanyGlobalViniServices
 
RomanticProgramandNationalism
RomanticProgramandNationalismRomanticProgramandNationalism
RomanticProgramandNationalismCarolyn Ponce
 
Description des huit types d’intelligence selon howard gardner
Description des huit types d’intelligence selon howard gardnerDescription des huit types d’intelligence selon howard gardner
Description des huit types d’intelligence selon howard gardnerSafae Lahlou
 

Andere mochten auch (20)

Revised National Booklet 4 8 07
Revised National Booklet 4 8 07Revised National Booklet 4 8 07
Revised National Booklet 4 8 07
 
Noble Technical Consulting
Noble Technical ConsultingNoble Technical Consulting
Noble Technical Consulting
 
Drugs Hj
Drugs HjDrugs Hj
Drugs Hj
 
Drugs H J
Drugs H JDrugs H J
Drugs H J
 
Drugs Hj
Drugs HjDrugs Hj
Drugs Hj
 
Slideshare online toolbox
Slideshare online toolboxSlideshare online toolbox
Slideshare online toolbox
 
Blended Learning- A new strategy
Blended Learning- A new strategyBlended Learning- A new strategy
Blended Learning- A new strategy
 
BottomAd Pro - szablony
BottomAd Pro - szablonyBottomAd Pro - szablony
BottomAd Pro - szablony
 
Team
TeamTeam
Team
 
Poster Point 5 June 2014
Poster Point 5 June 2014Poster Point 5 June 2014
Poster Point 5 June 2014
 
Jesús y la misericordia
Jesús y la misericordiaJesús y la misericordia
Jesús y la misericordia
 
Parroquia que camina hacia jesús por la senda
Parroquia que camina hacia jesús por la sendaParroquia que camina hacia jesús por la senda
Parroquia que camina hacia jesús por la senda
 
Customer Relations
Customer RelationsCustomer Relations
Customer Relations
 
Diana Edwards
Diana  EdwardsDiana  Edwards
Diana Edwards
 
Dossier Paris Match : "La contrefaçon du vin", avec James de Roany
Dossier Paris Match : "La contrefaçon du vin", avec James de RoanyDossier Paris Match : "La contrefaçon du vin", avec James de Roany
Dossier Paris Match : "La contrefaçon du vin", avec James de Roany
 
My Pyramid Interactive
My Pyramid InteractiveMy Pyramid Interactive
My Pyramid Interactive
 
mhr
mhrmhr
mhr
 
Romanticartsong
RomanticartsongRomanticartsong
Romanticartsong
 
RomanticProgramandNationalism
RomanticProgramandNationalismRomanticProgramandNationalism
RomanticProgramandNationalism
 
Description des huit types d’intelligence selon howard gardner
Description des huit types d’intelligence selon howard gardnerDescription des huit types d’intelligence selon howard gardner
Description des huit types d’intelligence selon howard gardner
 

Ähnlich wie Richard Yamarone\'s Presentation

5. business cycle
5. business cycle5. business cycle
5. business cyclehfonfe
 
WIG - June 2014 Annual Financial Report
WIG - June 2014 Annual Financial ReportWIG - June 2014 Annual Financial Report
WIG - June 2014 Annual Financial ReportBrad Sheahon
 
Yugant's ppt(economics)
Yugant's ppt(economics)Yugant's ppt(economics)
Yugant's ppt(economics)bhupensdps
 
Monetary and Fiscal Policies During the Dot Com Bubble.pdf
Monetary and Fiscal Policies During the Dot Com Bubble.pdfMonetary and Fiscal Policies During the Dot Com Bubble.pdf
Monetary and Fiscal Policies During the Dot Com Bubble.pdfAymanMustakim
 
Economic Crisis in 2008.pdf
Economic Crisis in 2008.pdfEconomic Crisis in 2008.pdf
Economic Crisis in 2008.pdfSurajHiremath3
 
Arrowroot Family Office Global Economic Activity
Arrowroot Family Office Global Economic ActivityArrowroot Family Office Global Economic Activity
Arrowroot Family Office Global Economic ActivityRamtinKhah1
 
PwC Global Economy watch (mars 2014)
PwC Global Economy watch (mars 2014)PwC Global Economy watch (mars 2014)
PwC Global Economy watch (mars 2014)PwC France
 
Economic crisis-2008
Economic crisis-2008Economic crisis-2008
Economic crisis-2008Ahmed Faizan
 
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2014
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2014Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2014
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2014Mercer Capital
 
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2015
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2015Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2015
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2015Mercer Capital
 
Charting the Financial Crisis: A Narrative eBook
Charting the Financial Crisis: A Narrative eBookCharting the Financial Crisis: A Narrative eBook
Charting the Financial Crisis: A Narrative eBookShavondaBrandon
 
Commerce Real Estate Solutions 3rd Qtr 2010 Industrial Report
Commerce Real Estate Solutions 3rd Qtr 2010 Industrial ReportCommerce Real Estate Solutions 3rd Qtr 2010 Industrial Report
Commerce Real Estate Solutions 3rd Qtr 2010 Industrial ReportJessica Parrish
 
AN UPDATE ON VIETNAM'S RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
AN UPDATE ON VIETNAM'S RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTAN UPDATE ON VIETNAM'S RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
AN UPDATE ON VIETNAM'S RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTTa Quoc Dung
 

Ähnlich wie Richard Yamarone\'s Presentation (20)

5. business cycle
5. business cycle5. business cycle
5. business cycle
 
WIG - June 2014 Annual Financial Report
WIG - June 2014 Annual Financial ReportWIG - June 2014 Annual Financial Report
WIG - June 2014 Annual Financial Report
 
Yugant's ppt(economics)
Yugant's ppt(economics)Yugant's ppt(economics)
Yugant's ppt(economics)
 
Monetary and Fiscal Policies During the Dot Com Bubble.pdf
Monetary and Fiscal Policies During the Dot Com Bubble.pdfMonetary and Fiscal Policies During the Dot Com Bubble.pdf
Monetary and Fiscal Policies During the Dot Com Bubble.pdf
 
George perendia
George perendiaGeorge perendia
George perendia
 
George perendia
George perendiaGeorge perendia
George perendia
 
Economic Crisis in 2008.pdf
Economic Crisis in 2008.pdfEconomic Crisis in 2008.pdf
Economic Crisis in 2008.pdf
 
Arrowroot Family Office Global Economic Activity
Arrowroot Family Office Global Economic ActivityArrowroot Family Office Global Economic Activity
Arrowroot Family Office Global Economic Activity
 
Managing turnarounds in times of crisis
Managing turnarounds in times of crisisManaging turnarounds in times of crisis
Managing turnarounds in times of crisis
 
PwC Global Economy watch (mars 2014)
PwC Global Economy watch (mars 2014)PwC Global Economy watch (mars 2014)
PwC Global Economy watch (mars 2014)
 
Economic crisis-2008
Economic crisis-2008Economic crisis-2008
Economic crisis-2008
 
Impact of Covid-19 on Global Market Resilience
Impact of Covid-19 on Global Market ResilienceImpact of Covid-19 on Global Market Resilience
Impact of Covid-19 on Global Market Resilience
 
Chapter 5 macro
Chapter 5 macroChapter 5 macro
Chapter 5 macro
 
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2014
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2014Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2014
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2014
 
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2015
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2015Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2015
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Auto Dealer Industry | Mid-Year 2015
 
Charting the Financial Crisis: A Narrative eBook
Charting the Financial Crisis: A Narrative eBookCharting the Financial Crisis: A Narrative eBook
Charting the Financial Crisis: A Narrative eBook
 
Explaining the Great Recession and Anemic Job Recovery: The Role of Falterin...
Explaining the Great Recession and Anemic  Job Recovery: The Role of Falterin...Explaining the Great Recession and Anemic  Job Recovery: The Role of Falterin...
Explaining the Great Recession and Anemic Job Recovery: The Role of Falterin...
 
Commerce Real Estate Solutions 3rd Qtr 2010 Industrial Report
Commerce Real Estate Solutions 3rd Qtr 2010 Industrial ReportCommerce Real Estate Solutions 3rd Qtr 2010 Industrial Report
Commerce Real Estate Solutions 3rd Qtr 2010 Industrial Report
 
AN UPDATE ON VIETNAM'S RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
AN UPDATE ON VIETNAM'S RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTAN UPDATE ON VIETNAM'S RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
AN UPDATE ON VIETNAM'S RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
 
Commercial real estate outlook
Commercial real estate outlookCommercial real estate outlook
Commercial real estate outlook
 

Richard Yamarone\'s Presentation