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The	
  Local	
  Economic	
  	
  	
  
Impact	
  of	
  Participating	
  	
  
Short	
  Term	
  Rentals	
  
In	
  Chicago	
  	
  
TXP,	
  Inc.	
  
1310	
  South	
  1st	
  Street	
  	
  
Austin,	
  Texas	
  78704	
  
(512)	
  328-­‐8300	
  phone	
  
www.txp.com	
  
1	
  STRAC	
  Economic	
  Impact	
  –	
  Chicago	
  |	
  Spring	
  2014	
  
Overview	
  
The	
  Short	
  Term	
  Rental	
  Advocacy	
  Center	
  (STRAC)	
  was	
  formed	
  in	
  2013	
  by	
  a	
  coalition	
  of	
  
several	
  short	
  term	
  rental	
  marketplace	
  stakeholders	
  as	
  a	
  means	
  to	
  engage	
  travelers,	
  
property	
  owners,	
  and	
  local	
  residents	
  in	
  a	
  conversation	
  about	
  the	
  regulation	
  of	
  this	
  
growing	
  market	
  segment.	
  	
  STRAC	
  member	
  companies	
  have	
  more	
  than	
  1.1	
  million	
  
listings	
  worldwide.	
  	
  As	
  short	
  term	
  rentals	
  continue	
  to	
  grow	
  in	
  popularity	
  and	
  use,	
  it	
  is	
  
vital	
  that	
  all	
  stakeholders	
  have	
  a	
  clear	
  understanding	
  of	
  the	
  benefits	
  presented	
  by	
  this	
  
expanding	
  market	
  segment.	
  	
  To	
  this	
  end,	
  STRAC	
  contracted	
  TXP,	
  Inc.	
  to	
  assess	
  the	
  
economic	
  impacts	
  of	
  short	
  term	
  rentals	
  attributable	
  to	
  their	
  customers	
  (termed	
  
“participating	
  short	
  term	
  rentals”	
  in	
  this	
  report)	
  in	
  Chicago,	
  IL.	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  
This	
  report	
  details	
  the	
  economic	
  impact	
  of	
  participating	
  short	
  term	
  rentals	
  in	
  Chicago,	
  
IL.	
  The	
  impact	
  is	
  significant,	
  as	
  participating	
  short	
  term	
  rental	
  activity	
  in	
  2013	
  created	
  
total	
  economic	
  output	
  of	
  $108.0	
  million	
  and	
  920	
  jobs	
  in	
  the	
  local	
  Chicago	
  economy.	
  	
  
The	
  report	
  provides	
  an	
  overview	
  of	
  trends	
  in	
  the	
  overall	
  tourism	
  sector	
  in	
  the	
  Chicago	
  
area,	
  followed	
  by	
  the	
  results	
  of	
  the	
  analysis	
  and	
  conclusions.	
  The	
  input	
  data	
  on	
  direct	
  
accommodations	
  spending	
  was	
  provided	
  by	
  STRAC	
  member	
  companies	
  and	
  reflects	
  
estimates	
  for	
  2013.	
  While	
  the	
  vast	
  majority	
  of	
  the	
  properties	
  are	
  located	
  in	
  the	
  city	
  of	
  
Chicago,	
  Cook	
  County	
  was	
  used	
  as	
  the	
  study	
  area	
  for	
  analytical	
  consistency,	
  and	
  all	
  
impacts	
  are	
  estimated	
  at	
  the	
  county	
  level.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Tourism	
  and	
  the	
  Economy	
  of	
  Chicago	
  
Overall	
  Context	
  
Tourism	
  is	
  a	
  key	
  component	
  of	
  Chicago’s	
  economy.	
  	
  Visitor	
  spending	
  is	
  an	
  important	
  
generator	
  of	
  local	
  employment	
  and	
  economic	
  activity	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  state	
  and	
  local	
  tax	
  
revenue.	
  	
  As	
  of	
  2012,	
  Chicago	
  ranked	
  as	
  the	
  ninth	
  most	
  popular	
  destination	
  among	
  all	
  
US-­‐cities	
  for	
  international	
  travellers.	
  	
  With	
  more	
  than	
  46	
  million	
  visitors,	
  Chicago	
  
accounted	
  for	
  nearly	
  half	
  of	
  all	
  the	
  visitors	
  to	
  the	
  State	
  of	
  Illinois.	
  	
  Mayor	
  Rahm	
  Emanuel	
  
has	
  announced	
  the	
  goal	
  of	
  55	
  million	
  annual	
  visitors	
  and	
  a	
  ranking	
  among	
  the	
  top	
  five	
  
US	
  cities	
  for	
  international	
  travellers	
  by	
  2020.	
  	
  Employment	
  directly	
  related	
  to	
  tourism	
  
accounts	
  for	
  one	
  out	
  of	
  every	
  ten	
  jobs	
  in	
  Cook	
  County.	
  The	
  Arts,	
  Entertainment,	
  and	
  
Recreation	
  sector	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  the	
  Accommodation	
  and	
  Food	
  Services	
  sector	
  have	
  seen	
  
strong	
  growth	
  in	
  employment.	
  	
  With	
  more	
  than	
  182,000	
  workers	
  in	
  2012,	
  the	
  
Accommodation	
  and	
  Food	
  Services	
  sector	
  in	
  Cook	
  County	
  has	
  increased	
  employment	
  by	
  
10.8	
  percent	
  over	
  the	
  past	
  five	
  years.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
2	
  STRAC	
  Economic	
  Impact	
  –	
  Chicago	
  |	
  Spring	
  2014	
  
Figure	
  1:	
  Annual	
  Visitors	
  to	
  Chicago	
  and	
  the	
  State	
  of	
  Illinois	
  (millions	
  of	
  visitors)	
  
	
  
Source:	
  Illinois	
  Office	
  of	
  Tourism	
  
	
  
Table	
  1:	
  Employment	
  by	
  Selected	
  Sectors	
  in	
  Cook	
  County,	
  IL	
  
	
  
Accommodation	
  and	
  
Food	
  Services	
  Sector	
  
Arts,	
  Entertainment,	
  
and	
  Recreation	
  Sector	
  
Total	
  Employment	
  
2007	
   164,399	
   50,438	
   2,454,503	
  
2008	
   168,757	
   52,607	
   2,495,497	
  
2009	
   178,399	
   54,261	
   2,491,906	
  
2010	
   179,508	
   53,660	
   2,434,186	
  
2011	
   183,001	
   53,372	
   2,385,332	
  
2012	
   182,080	
   53,362	
   2,393,974	
  
Change	
   10.8%	
   5.8%	
   -­‐2.5%	
  
	
   	
   	
   	
  
Source:	
  American	
  Community	
  Survey	
  5-­‐year	
  estimates,	
  US	
  Census	
  Bureau	
  
	
  
The	
  global	
  recession	
  clearly	
  had	
  an	
  impact	
  on	
  visitation	
  and	
  tourism	
  in	
  Chicago,	
  
although	
  the	
  sector	
  has	
  rebounded	
  in	
  the	
  past	
  two	
  years.	
  	
  Smith	
  Travel	
  Research	
  
reports	
  that	
  in	
  2013	
  both	
  hotel/motel	
  revenue	
  and	
  occupancy	
  rates	
  had	
  reached	
  all	
  
time	
  highs	
  of	
  $2.6	
  billion	
  and	
  71.9	
  percent	
  respectively.	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  
	
   	
  
44.2	
   45.2	
   44.1	
  
38.5	
   38.1	
  
42.4	
  
46.4	
  
0	
  
20	
  
40	
  
60	
  
80	
  
100	
  
120	
  
2006	
   2007	
   2008	
   2009	
   2010	
   2011	
   2012	
  
Millions	
  
Visitors	
  to	
  Illinois	
  
Visitors	
  to	
  Chicago	
  
3	
  STRAC	
  Economic	
  Impact	
  –	
  Chicago	
  |	
  Spring	
  2014	
  
Figure	
  2:	
  Trends	
  in	
  the	
  Chicago	
  Lodging	
  Sector	
  
Source:	
  Smith	
  Travel	
  Research	
  
	
  
Short	
  Term	
  Rentals	
  in	
  Chicago	
  
Chicago’s	
  hundreds	
  of	
  events	
  and	
  unique	
  attractions	
  draw	
  a	
  wide	
  range	
  of	
  visitors	
  with	
  
diverse	
  interests,	
  needs,	
  and	
  budgets.	
  	
  As	
  the	
  community	
  strives	
  to	
  grow	
  its	
  tourism	
  
sector	
  and	
  reputation	
  as	
  a	
  premier	
  leisure	
  destination,	
  a	
  range	
  of	
  lodging	
  options	
  is	
  
necessary	
  to	
  meet	
  the	
  diversity	
  of	
  demand.	
  	
  Short	
  term	
  rentals	
  provide	
  an	
  important	
  
element	
  of	
  variety	
  in	
  the	
  local	
  accommodations	
  market.	
  In	
  2013,	
  the	
  participating	
  short	
  
term	
  rentals	
  had	
  more	
  than	
  171,000	
  nights	
  booked	
  in	
  the	
  3,620	
  properties	
  listed	
  in	
  
Chicago.	
  While	
  they	
  are	
  still	
  a	
  small	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  overall	
  accommodations	
  sector,	
  in	
  
proportion	
  to	
  the	
  more	
  than	
  17	
  million	
  hotel	
  and	
  motel	
  room	
  nights	
  rented	
  in	
  2013,	
  
they	
  are	
  vital	
  to	
  the	
  continued	
  growth	
  of	
  Chicago’s	
  overall	
  tourism	
  sector.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  weighted	
  average	
  daily	
  rate	
  for	
  participating	
  short	
  term	
  rentals	
  in	
  Cook	
  County,	
  IL	
  
was	
  $138	
  in	
  2013.	
  	
  Smith	
  Travel	
  Research	
  found	
  that	
  hotels	
  in	
  the	
  same	
  area	
  had	
  an	
  
average	
  daily	
  rate	
  of	
  $148	
  in	
  2013.	
  	
  As	
  many	
  of	
  the	
  short	
  term	
  rental	
  listings	
  in	
  this	
  area	
  
are	
  entire	
  homes	
  or	
  condos	
  (and	
  thus	
  have	
  more	
  than	
  one	
  bedroom),	
  this	
  makes	
  short	
  
term	
  rentals	
  a	
  budget-­‐friendly	
  option	
  for	
  families	
  and	
  groups.	
  	
  As	
  in	
  most	
  communities,	
  
short	
  term	
  rental	
  users	
  tend	
  to	
  stay	
  longer	
  than	
  other	
  visitors.	
  Strategic	
  Marketing	
  and	
  
Research	
  Inc	
  reports	
  that	
  the	
  average	
  length	
  of	
  stay	
  for	
  visitors	
  to	
  Chicago	
  was	
  2.4	
  
nights,	
  while	
  participating	
  short	
  term	
  rental	
  users	
  stayed	
  for	
  4.5	
  nights.	
  	
  Visitors	
  staying	
  
in	
  participating	
  short	
  term	
  rentals	
  traveled	
  in	
  a	
  group	
  of	
  2.5	
  people	
  on	
  average.	
  	
  
0%	
  
20%	
  
40%	
  
60%	
  
80%	
  
100%	
  
$0.0	
  
$0.5	
  
$1.0	
  
$1.5	
  
$2.0	
  
$2.5	
  
$3.0	
  
2007	
   2008	
   2009	
   2010	
   2011	
   2012	
   2013	
  
Billions	
  
Revenue	
   Occupancy	
  Rate	
  
4	
  STRAC	
  Economic	
  Impact	
  –	
  Chicago	
  |	
  Spring	
  2014	
  
Economic	
  Impact	
  Calculations	
  
The	
  process	
  for	
  calculating	
  the	
  economic	
  impacts	
  associated	
  with	
  participating	
  short	
  
term	
  rentals	
  is	
  fairly	
  straightforward.	
  	
  First,	
  direct	
  spending	
  in	
  different	
  applicable	
  
tourism	
  categories	
  associated	
  with	
  the	
  short	
  term	
  rentals	
  is	
  estimated.	
  	
  Next,	
  specific	
  
multipliers	
  provided	
  by	
  the	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Economic	
  Analysis	
  RIMS	
  II	
  system	
  for	
  each	
  
industry	
  for	
  each	
  county	
  are	
  used	
  to	
  estimate	
  the	
  ripple	
  effects	
  that	
  are	
  attributable	
  to	
  
the	
  direct	
  spending;	
  the	
  combination	
  forms	
  the	
  total	
  economic	
  impact.	
  	
  
	
  
Direct	
  Spending	
  Estimates	
  
TXP	
  used	
  the	
  data	
  provided	
  by	
  STRAC	
  (specifically	
  number	
  of	
  nights	
  booked,	
  party	
  size,	
  
length	
  of	
  stay,	
  and	
  daily	
  rate)	
  to	
  create	
  an	
  aggregated	
  estimate	
  of	
  direct	
  lodging	
  
spending	
  by	
  participating	
  short	
  term	
  renters	
  of	
  $23.6	
  million	
  during	
  2013.	
  	
  This	
  data	
  
was	
  then	
  combined	
  with	
  data	
  from	
  the	
  US	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Economic	
  Analysis’	
  Travel	
  and	
  
Tourism	
  Satellite	
  Accounts	
  to	
  estimate	
  the	
  additional	
  direct	
  spending	
  patterns	
  of	
  
visitors	
  to	
  the	
  Chicago	
  area.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
For	
  example,	
  for	
  every	
  $100	
  a	
  traveller	
  spent	
  on	
  lodging,	
  they	
  spent	
  an	
  additional	
  $69	
  
on	
  food,	
  $24	
  on	
  local	
  transportation,	
  $48	
  on	
  arts,	
  entertainment,	
  and	
  recreation	
  
activities,	
  and	
  $59	
  on	
  retail	
  shopping.	
  	
  As	
  a	
  result,	
  the	
  total	
  direct	
  spending	
  by	
  
participating	
  short	
  term	
  renters	
  in	
  Chicago	
  for	
  2013	
  is	
  estimated	
  at	
  $70.6	
  million.	
  	
  The	
  
breakdown	
  of	
  this	
  total	
  direct	
  visitor	
  spending	
  by	
  category	
  is	
  show	
  in	
  Figure	
  3	
  below.	
  	
  
	
  
Figure	
  3:	
  	
  Visitor	
  Spending	
  ($millions)	
  
	
  
Source:	
  Travel	
  and	
  Tourism	
  Satellite	
  Accounts;	
  US	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Economic	
  Analysis	
  
5	
  STRAC	
  Economic	
  Impact	
  –	
  Chicago	
  |	
  Spring	
  2014	
  
Economic	
  Impact	
  Methodology	
  
The	
  economic	
  impacts	
  extend	
  beyond	
  the	
  direct	
  activity	
  outlined	
  above.	
  	
  In	
  an	
  input-­‐
output	
  analysis	
  of	
  new	
  economic	
  activity,	
  it	
  is	
  useful	
  to	
  distinguish	
  three	
  types	
  of	
  
expenditure	
  effects:	
  direct,	
  indirect,	
  and	
  induced.	
  	
  Direct	
  effects	
  are	
  production	
  changes	
  
associated	
  with	
  the	
  immediate	
  effects	
  or	
  final	
  demand	
  changes.	
  	
  The	
  payment	
  made	
  by	
  
an	
  out-­‐of-­‐town	
  visitor	
  to	
  a	
  hotel	
  operator	
  is	
  an	
  example	
  of	
  a	
  direct	
  effect,	
  as	
  would	
  be	
  
the	
  taxi	
  fare	
  that	
  visitor	
  paid	
  to	
  be	
  transported	
  into	
  town	
  from	
  the	
  airport.	
  
	
  
Indirect	
  effects	
  are	
  production	
  changes	
  in	
  backward-­‐linked	
  industries	
  caused	
  by	
  the	
  
changing	
  input	
  needs	
  of	
  directly	
  affected	
  industries	
  –	
  typically,	
  additional	
  purchases	
  to	
  
produce	
  additional	
  output.	
  	
  Satisfying	
  the	
  demand	
  for	
  an	
  overnight	
  stay	
  will	
  require	
  the	
  
hotel	
  operator	
  to	
  purchase	
  additional	
  cleaning	
  supplies	
  and	
  services,	
  for	
  example,	
  and	
  
the	
  taxi	
  driver	
  will	
  have	
  to	
  replace	
  the	
  gasoline	
  consumed	
  during	
  the	
  trip	
  from	
  the	
  
airport.	
  	
  These	
  downstream	
  purchases	
  affect	
  the	
  economic	
  status	
  of	
  other	
  local	
  
merchants	
  and	
  workers.	
  
	
  
Induced	
  effects	
  are	
  the	
  changes	
  in	
  regional	
  household	
  spending	
  patterns	
  caused	
  by	
  
changes	
  in	
  household	
  income	
  generated	
  from	
  the	
  direct	
  and	
  indirect	
  effects.	
  	
  Both	
  the	
  
hotel	
  operator	
  and	
  taxi	
  driver	
  experience	
  increased	
  income	
  from	
  the	
  visitor’s	
  stay,	
  for	
  
example,	
  as	
  do	
  the	
  cleaning	
  supplies	
  outlet	
  and	
  the	
  gas	
  station	
  proprietor.	
  	
  Induced	
  
effects	
  capture	
  the	
  way	
  in	
  which	
  this	
  increased	
  income	
  is	
  in	
  turn	
  spent	
  in	
  the	
  local	
  
economy.	
  
Figure	
  4:	
  	
  The	
  Flow	
  of	
  Economic	
  Impacts	
  
Once	
  the	
  ripple	
  effects	
  have	
  been	
  calculated,	
  the	
  results	
  can	
  be	
  expressed	
  in	
  a	
  number	
  
of	
  ways.	
  	
  Four	
  of	
  the	
  most	
  common	
  are	
  “Output,”	
  equivalent	
  to	
  sales;	
  “Value-­‐Added,”	
  
which	
  is	
  sales	
  minus	
  the	
  cost	
  of	
  goods	
  sold;	
  “Earnings,”	
  which	
  represents	
  the	
  
compensation	
  to	
  employees	
  and	
  proprietors;	
  and	
  “Employment,”	
  which	
  refers	
  to	
  
permanent,	
  full-­‐time	
  jobs	
  that	
  have	
  been	
  created	
  in	
  the	
  local	
  economy.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  interdependence	
  between	
  different	
  sectors	
  of	
  the	
  economy	
  is	
  reflected	
  in	
  the	
  
concept	
  of	
  a	
  “multiplier.”	
  	
  An	
  output	
  multiplier,	
  for	
  example,	
  divides	
  the	
  total	
  (direct,	
  
indirect	
  and	
  induced)	
  effects	
  of	
  an	
  initial	
  spending	
  injection	
  by	
  the	
  value	
  of	
  that	
  
Indirect Induced Total ImpactDirect + + =
6	
  STRAC	
  Economic	
  Impact	
  –	
  Chicago	
  |	
  Spring	
  2014	
  
injection	
  –	
  i.e.,	
  the	
  direct	
  effect.	
  	
  Larger	
  multipliers	
  mean	
  greater	
  interdependence	
  
among	
  different	
  sectors	
  of	
  the	
  economy.	
  	
  An	
  output	
  multiplier	
  of	
  1.4,	
  for	
  example,	
  
means	
  that	
  for	
  every	
  $1,000	
  injected	
  into	
  the	
  economy,	
  another	
  $400	
  in	
  output	
  is	
  
produced	
  in	
  all	
  sectors.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Economic	
  Impact	
  Results	
  
Participating	
  short	
  term	
  rental	
  activity	
  in	
  2013	
  created	
  total	
  economic	
  output	
  of	
  $108.0	
  
million,	
  value-­‐added	
  of	
  $62.0	
  million,	
  earnings	
  of	
  $25.8	
  million,	
  and	
  920	
  jobs	
  in	
  the	
  local	
  
Chicago	
  economy.	
  	
  The	
  majority	
  of	
  this	
  activity	
  is	
  concentrated	
  in	
  the	
  sectors	
  with	
  the	
  
highest	
  direct	
  tourism	
  spending,	
  such	
  as	
  food	
  services;	
  arts,	
  entertainment,	
  and	
  
recreation;	
  and	
  retail	
  trade.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Table	
  2:	
  Detailed	
  Economic	
  Impact	
  of	
  Participating	
  Short	
  Term	
  Rentals	
  in	
  Cook,	
  IL	
  
Industry	
   Output	
  	
   Value-­‐Added	
   Earnings	
  	
   Jobs	
  
Ag.,	
  forestry,	
  fishing,	
  &	
  hunting	
   $4,674	
   	
  -­‐	
  	
   	
  -­‐	
  	
   	
  -­‐	
  	
  
Mining	
   $8,571	
   $6,371	
   	
  -­‐	
  	
   	
  -­‐	
  	
  
Utilities	
   $690,502	
   $412,269	
   $87,931	
   1	
  
Construction	
   $433,674	
   $217,591	
   $114,412	
   2	
  
Manufacturing	
   $8,250,451	
   $2,694,318	
   $1,107,730	
   21	
  
Wholesale	
  trade	
   $3,460,795	
   $2,337,517	
   $762,288	
   11	
  
Retail	
  trade	
   $10,886,624	
   $7,131,573	
   $2,844,644	
   112	
  
Transportation	
  &	
  warehousing	
   $8,865,296	
   $3,449,495	
   $2,474,011	
   76	
  
Information	
   $4,508,699	
   $2,480,360	
   $764,246	
   12	
  
Finance	
  &	
  insurance	
   $9,093,375	
   $5,276,124	
   $1,940,381	
   34	
  
Real	
  estate	
  and	
  rental	
  &	
  leasing	
   $11,802,456	
   $8,755,550	
   $772,866	
   45	
  
Prof.,	
  scientific,	
  &	
  tech.	
  services	
   $4,440,277	
   $2,968,518	
   $1,596,494	
   23	
  
Management	
  of	
  companies	
  	
   $2,523,338	
   $1,565,547	
   $552,796	
   5	
  
Admin.	
  &	
  waste	
  services	
   $2,779,915	
   $1,829,240	
   $976,184	
   42	
  
Educational	
  services	
   $794,594	
   $451,151	
   $272,226	
   8	
  
Health	
  care	
  &	
  social	
  assistance	
   $5,323,590	
   $3,233,278	
   $2,008,819	
   47	
  
Arts,	
  entertainment,	
  &	
  recreation	
   $11,986,138	
   $7,554,353	
   $3,222,426	
   170	
  
Accommodation	
   $704,401	
   $450,790	
   $179,691	
   5	
  
Food	
  services	
  &	
  drinking	
  places	
   $18,516,723	
   $9,634,973	
   $5,282,062	
   286	
  
Other	
  services*	
   $2,937,995	
   $1,495,773	
   $760,302	
   20	
  
Total	
  	
   $108,012,089	
   $61,944,792	
   $25,719,510	
   920	
  
Source:	
  TXP	
  
Note:	
  	
  since	
  lodging	
  activity	
  takes	
  place	
  in	
  private	
  homes,	
  the	
  spending	
  for	
  this	
  segment	
  of	
  the	
  impact	
  analysis	
  is	
  run	
  
through	
  the	
  Household	
  sector	
  of	
  the	
  economy,	
  rather	
  than	
  Accommodations.	
  
	
  
7	
  STRAC	
  Economic	
  Impact	
  –	
  Chicago	
  |	
  Spring	
  2014	
  
Tax	
  revenue	
  further	
  amplifies	
  the	
  impact	
  of	
  tourism	
  and	
  tourist	
  spending	
  in	
  Chicago’s	
  
economy.	
  	
  Both	
  local	
  jurisdictions	
  and	
  the	
  State	
  of	
  Illinois	
  benefit	
  from	
  direct	
  spending	
  
by	
  visitors,	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  realizing	
  revenue	
  associated	
  with	
  the	
  ripple	
  effects	
  of	
  that	
  
spending.	
  	
  In	
  general,	
  tourism	
  is	
  an	
  attractive	
  revenue	
  source	
  for	
  local	
  governments,	
  
especially	
  since	
  these	
  taxes	
  are	
  not	
  imposed	
  on	
  local	
  residents.	
  	
  
	
  
Conclusions	
  
Short	
  term	
  rentals	
  and	
  STRAC-­‐related	
  spending	
  are	
  an	
  important	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  tourism	
  
sector	
  in	
  Chicago,	
  ultimately	
  creating	
  hundreds	
  of	
  jobs	
  and	
  millions	
  of	
  dollars	
  of	
  
earnings	
  and	
  tax	
  revenue	
  for	
  the	
  community	
  each	
  year.	
  This	
  appears	
  to	
  be	
  largely	
  net	
  
new	
  activity;	
  different	
  types	
  of	
  lodging	
  serve	
  discrete	
  segments	
  of	
  the	
  market,	
  and	
  the	
  
overall	
  economy	
  appears	
  to	
  be	
  the	
  largest	
  determining	
  factor	
  in	
  tourism	
  performance	
  
(see	
  Figure	
  2).	
  As	
  with	
  most	
  sectors	
  of	
  the	
  economy,	
  the	
  battle	
  for	
  tourism	
  dollars	
  is	
  
intense,	
  meaning	
  that	
  diversity	
  within	
  the	
  accommodations	
  market	
  is	
  essential	
  to	
  
meeting	
  customer	
  demand	
  and	
  remaining	
  competitive	
  with	
  other	
  cities	
  and	
  regions	
  
throughout	
  the	
  nation	
  and	
  world.	
  Seen	
  in	
  this	
  light,	
  STRAC	
  activity	
  is	
  a	
  highly	
  valuable	
  
asset	
  in	
  Chicago’s	
  tourism	
  portfolio	
  whose	
  impact	
  is	
  likely	
  to	
  grow	
  over	
  time.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Legal	
  Disclaimer	
  
TXP	
  reserves	
  the	
  right	
  to	
  make	
  changes,	
  corrections	
  and/or	
  improvements	
  at	
  any	
  time	
  
and	
  without	
  notice.	
  	
  In	
  addition,	
  TXP	
  disclaims	
  any	
  and	
  all	
  liability	
  for	
  damages	
  incurred	
  
directly	
  or	
  indirectly	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  errors,	
  omissions,	
  or	
  discrepancies.	
  TXP	
  disclaims	
  any	
  
liability	
  due	
  to	
  errors,	
  omissions	
  or	
  discrepancies	
  made	
  by	
  third	
  parties	
  whose	
  material	
  
TXP	
  relied	
  on	
  in	
  good	
  faith	
  to	
  produce	
  the	
  report.	
  
	
  
Any	
  statements	
  involving	
  matters	
  of	
  opinion	
  or	
  estimates,	
  whether	
  or	
  not	
  so	
  expressly	
  
stated,	
  are	
  set	
  forth	
  as	
  such	
  and	
  not	
  as	
  representations	
  of	
  fact,	
  and	
  no	
  representation	
  is	
  
made	
  that	
  such	
  opinions	
  or	
  estimates	
  will	
  be	
  realized.	
  The	
  information	
  and	
  expressions	
  
of	
  opinion	
  contained	
  herein	
  are	
  subject	
  to	
  change	
  without	
  notice,	
  and	
  shall	
  not,	
  under	
  
any	
  circumstances,	
  create	
  any	
  implications	
  that	
  there	
  has	
  been	
  no	
  change	
  or	
  updates.	
  
	
  

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The Local Economic Impact of Participating Short-Term Rentals in Chicago

  • 1.               The  Local  Economic       Impact  of  Participating     Short  Term  Rentals   In  Chicago     TXP,  Inc.   1310  South  1st  Street     Austin,  Texas  78704   (512)  328-­‐8300  phone   www.txp.com  
  • 2. 1  STRAC  Economic  Impact  –  Chicago  |  Spring  2014   Overview   The  Short  Term  Rental  Advocacy  Center  (STRAC)  was  formed  in  2013  by  a  coalition  of   several  short  term  rental  marketplace  stakeholders  as  a  means  to  engage  travelers,   property  owners,  and  local  residents  in  a  conversation  about  the  regulation  of  this   growing  market  segment.    STRAC  member  companies  have  more  than  1.1  million   listings  worldwide.    As  short  term  rentals  continue  to  grow  in  popularity  and  use,  it  is   vital  that  all  stakeholders  have  a  clear  understanding  of  the  benefits  presented  by  this   expanding  market  segment.    To  this  end,  STRAC  contracted  TXP,  Inc.  to  assess  the   economic  impacts  of  short  term  rentals  attributable  to  their  customers  (termed   “participating  short  term  rentals”  in  this  report)  in  Chicago,  IL.           This  report  details  the  economic  impact  of  participating  short  term  rentals  in  Chicago,   IL.  The  impact  is  significant,  as  participating  short  term  rental  activity  in  2013  created   total  economic  output  of  $108.0  million  and  920  jobs  in  the  local  Chicago  economy.     The  report  provides  an  overview  of  trends  in  the  overall  tourism  sector  in  the  Chicago   area,  followed  by  the  results  of  the  analysis  and  conclusions.  The  input  data  on  direct   accommodations  spending  was  provided  by  STRAC  member  companies  and  reflects   estimates  for  2013.  While  the  vast  majority  of  the  properties  are  located  in  the  city  of   Chicago,  Cook  County  was  used  as  the  study  area  for  analytical  consistency,  and  all   impacts  are  estimated  at  the  county  level.         Tourism  and  the  Economy  of  Chicago   Overall  Context   Tourism  is  a  key  component  of  Chicago’s  economy.    Visitor  spending  is  an  important   generator  of  local  employment  and  economic  activity  as  well  as  state  and  local  tax   revenue.    As  of  2012,  Chicago  ranked  as  the  ninth  most  popular  destination  among  all   US-­‐cities  for  international  travellers.    With  more  than  46  million  visitors,  Chicago   accounted  for  nearly  half  of  all  the  visitors  to  the  State  of  Illinois.    Mayor  Rahm  Emanuel   has  announced  the  goal  of  55  million  annual  visitors  and  a  ranking  among  the  top  five   US  cities  for  international  travellers  by  2020.    Employment  directly  related  to  tourism   accounts  for  one  out  of  every  ten  jobs  in  Cook  County.  The  Arts,  Entertainment,  and   Recreation  sector  as  well  as  the  Accommodation  and  Food  Services  sector  have  seen   strong  growth  in  employment.    With  more  than  182,000  workers  in  2012,  the   Accommodation  and  Food  Services  sector  in  Cook  County  has  increased  employment  by   10.8  percent  over  the  past  five  years.          
  • 3. 2  STRAC  Economic  Impact  –  Chicago  |  Spring  2014   Figure  1:  Annual  Visitors  to  Chicago  and  the  State  of  Illinois  (millions  of  visitors)     Source:  Illinois  Office  of  Tourism     Table  1:  Employment  by  Selected  Sectors  in  Cook  County,  IL     Accommodation  and   Food  Services  Sector   Arts,  Entertainment,   and  Recreation  Sector   Total  Employment   2007   164,399   50,438   2,454,503   2008   168,757   52,607   2,495,497   2009   178,399   54,261   2,491,906   2010   179,508   53,660   2,434,186   2011   183,001   53,372   2,385,332   2012   182,080   53,362   2,393,974   Change   10.8%   5.8%   -­‐2.5%           Source:  American  Community  Survey  5-­‐year  estimates,  US  Census  Bureau     The  global  recession  clearly  had  an  impact  on  visitation  and  tourism  in  Chicago,   although  the  sector  has  rebounded  in  the  past  two  years.    Smith  Travel  Research   reports  that  in  2013  both  hotel/motel  revenue  and  occupancy  rates  had  reached  all   time  highs  of  $2.6  billion  and  71.9  percent  respectively.               44.2   45.2   44.1   38.5   38.1   42.4   46.4   0   20   40   60   80   100   120   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   Millions   Visitors  to  Illinois   Visitors  to  Chicago  
  • 4. 3  STRAC  Economic  Impact  –  Chicago  |  Spring  2014   Figure  2:  Trends  in  the  Chicago  Lodging  Sector   Source:  Smith  Travel  Research     Short  Term  Rentals  in  Chicago   Chicago’s  hundreds  of  events  and  unique  attractions  draw  a  wide  range  of  visitors  with   diverse  interests,  needs,  and  budgets.    As  the  community  strives  to  grow  its  tourism   sector  and  reputation  as  a  premier  leisure  destination,  a  range  of  lodging  options  is   necessary  to  meet  the  diversity  of  demand.    Short  term  rentals  provide  an  important   element  of  variety  in  the  local  accommodations  market.  In  2013,  the  participating  short   term  rentals  had  more  than  171,000  nights  booked  in  the  3,620  properties  listed  in   Chicago.  While  they  are  still  a  small  part  of  the  overall  accommodations  sector,  in   proportion  to  the  more  than  17  million  hotel  and  motel  room  nights  rented  in  2013,   they  are  vital  to  the  continued  growth  of  Chicago’s  overall  tourism  sector.         The  weighted  average  daily  rate  for  participating  short  term  rentals  in  Cook  County,  IL   was  $138  in  2013.    Smith  Travel  Research  found  that  hotels  in  the  same  area  had  an   average  daily  rate  of  $148  in  2013.    As  many  of  the  short  term  rental  listings  in  this  area   are  entire  homes  or  condos  (and  thus  have  more  than  one  bedroom),  this  makes  short   term  rentals  a  budget-­‐friendly  option  for  families  and  groups.    As  in  most  communities,   short  term  rental  users  tend  to  stay  longer  than  other  visitors.  Strategic  Marketing  and   Research  Inc  reports  that  the  average  length  of  stay  for  visitors  to  Chicago  was  2.4   nights,  while  participating  short  term  rental  users  stayed  for  4.5  nights.    Visitors  staying   in  participating  short  term  rentals  traveled  in  a  group  of  2.5  people  on  average.     0%   20%   40%   60%   80%   100%   $0.0   $0.5   $1.0   $1.5   $2.0   $2.5   $3.0   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   Billions   Revenue   Occupancy  Rate  
  • 5. 4  STRAC  Economic  Impact  –  Chicago  |  Spring  2014   Economic  Impact  Calculations   The  process  for  calculating  the  economic  impacts  associated  with  participating  short   term  rentals  is  fairly  straightforward.    First,  direct  spending  in  different  applicable   tourism  categories  associated  with  the  short  term  rentals  is  estimated.    Next,  specific   multipliers  provided  by  the  Bureau  of  Economic  Analysis  RIMS  II  system  for  each   industry  for  each  county  are  used  to  estimate  the  ripple  effects  that  are  attributable  to   the  direct  spending;  the  combination  forms  the  total  economic  impact.       Direct  Spending  Estimates   TXP  used  the  data  provided  by  STRAC  (specifically  number  of  nights  booked,  party  size,   length  of  stay,  and  daily  rate)  to  create  an  aggregated  estimate  of  direct  lodging   spending  by  participating  short  term  renters  of  $23.6  million  during  2013.    This  data   was  then  combined  with  data  from  the  US  Bureau  of  Economic  Analysis’  Travel  and   Tourism  Satellite  Accounts  to  estimate  the  additional  direct  spending  patterns  of   visitors  to  the  Chicago  area.         For  example,  for  every  $100  a  traveller  spent  on  lodging,  they  spent  an  additional  $69   on  food,  $24  on  local  transportation,  $48  on  arts,  entertainment,  and  recreation   activities,  and  $59  on  retail  shopping.    As  a  result,  the  total  direct  spending  by   participating  short  term  renters  in  Chicago  for  2013  is  estimated  at  $70.6  million.    The   breakdown  of  this  total  direct  visitor  spending  by  category  is  show  in  Figure  3  below.       Figure  3:    Visitor  Spending  ($millions)     Source:  Travel  and  Tourism  Satellite  Accounts;  US  Bureau  of  Economic  Analysis  
  • 6. 5  STRAC  Economic  Impact  –  Chicago  |  Spring  2014   Economic  Impact  Methodology   The  economic  impacts  extend  beyond  the  direct  activity  outlined  above.    In  an  input-­‐ output  analysis  of  new  economic  activity,  it  is  useful  to  distinguish  three  types  of   expenditure  effects:  direct,  indirect,  and  induced.    Direct  effects  are  production  changes   associated  with  the  immediate  effects  or  final  demand  changes.    The  payment  made  by   an  out-­‐of-­‐town  visitor  to  a  hotel  operator  is  an  example  of  a  direct  effect,  as  would  be   the  taxi  fare  that  visitor  paid  to  be  transported  into  town  from  the  airport.     Indirect  effects  are  production  changes  in  backward-­‐linked  industries  caused  by  the   changing  input  needs  of  directly  affected  industries  –  typically,  additional  purchases  to   produce  additional  output.    Satisfying  the  demand  for  an  overnight  stay  will  require  the   hotel  operator  to  purchase  additional  cleaning  supplies  and  services,  for  example,  and   the  taxi  driver  will  have  to  replace  the  gasoline  consumed  during  the  trip  from  the   airport.    These  downstream  purchases  affect  the  economic  status  of  other  local   merchants  and  workers.     Induced  effects  are  the  changes  in  regional  household  spending  patterns  caused  by   changes  in  household  income  generated  from  the  direct  and  indirect  effects.    Both  the   hotel  operator  and  taxi  driver  experience  increased  income  from  the  visitor’s  stay,  for   example,  as  do  the  cleaning  supplies  outlet  and  the  gas  station  proprietor.    Induced   effects  capture  the  way  in  which  this  increased  income  is  in  turn  spent  in  the  local   economy.   Figure  4:    The  Flow  of  Economic  Impacts   Once  the  ripple  effects  have  been  calculated,  the  results  can  be  expressed  in  a  number   of  ways.    Four  of  the  most  common  are  “Output,”  equivalent  to  sales;  “Value-­‐Added,”   which  is  sales  minus  the  cost  of  goods  sold;  “Earnings,”  which  represents  the   compensation  to  employees  and  proprietors;  and  “Employment,”  which  refers  to   permanent,  full-­‐time  jobs  that  have  been  created  in  the  local  economy.         The  interdependence  between  different  sectors  of  the  economy  is  reflected  in  the   concept  of  a  “multiplier.”    An  output  multiplier,  for  example,  divides  the  total  (direct,   indirect  and  induced)  effects  of  an  initial  spending  injection  by  the  value  of  that   Indirect Induced Total ImpactDirect + + =
  • 7. 6  STRAC  Economic  Impact  –  Chicago  |  Spring  2014   injection  –  i.e.,  the  direct  effect.    Larger  multipliers  mean  greater  interdependence   among  different  sectors  of  the  economy.    An  output  multiplier  of  1.4,  for  example,   means  that  for  every  $1,000  injected  into  the  economy,  another  $400  in  output  is   produced  in  all  sectors.         Economic  Impact  Results   Participating  short  term  rental  activity  in  2013  created  total  economic  output  of  $108.0   million,  value-­‐added  of  $62.0  million,  earnings  of  $25.8  million,  and  920  jobs  in  the  local   Chicago  economy.    The  majority  of  this  activity  is  concentrated  in  the  sectors  with  the   highest  direct  tourism  spending,  such  as  food  services;  arts,  entertainment,  and   recreation;  and  retail  trade.         Table  2:  Detailed  Economic  Impact  of  Participating  Short  Term  Rentals  in  Cook,  IL   Industry   Output     Value-­‐Added   Earnings     Jobs   Ag.,  forestry,  fishing,  &  hunting   $4,674    -­‐      -­‐      -­‐     Mining   $8,571   $6,371    -­‐      -­‐     Utilities   $690,502   $412,269   $87,931   1   Construction   $433,674   $217,591   $114,412   2   Manufacturing   $8,250,451   $2,694,318   $1,107,730   21   Wholesale  trade   $3,460,795   $2,337,517   $762,288   11   Retail  trade   $10,886,624   $7,131,573   $2,844,644   112   Transportation  &  warehousing   $8,865,296   $3,449,495   $2,474,011   76   Information   $4,508,699   $2,480,360   $764,246   12   Finance  &  insurance   $9,093,375   $5,276,124   $1,940,381   34   Real  estate  and  rental  &  leasing   $11,802,456   $8,755,550   $772,866   45   Prof.,  scientific,  &  tech.  services   $4,440,277   $2,968,518   $1,596,494   23   Management  of  companies     $2,523,338   $1,565,547   $552,796   5   Admin.  &  waste  services   $2,779,915   $1,829,240   $976,184   42   Educational  services   $794,594   $451,151   $272,226   8   Health  care  &  social  assistance   $5,323,590   $3,233,278   $2,008,819   47   Arts,  entertainment,  &  recreation   $11,986,138   $7,554,353   $3,222,426   170   Accommodation   $704,401   $450,790   $179,691   5   Food  services  &  drinking  places   $18,516,723   $9,634,973   $5,282,062   286   Other  services*   $2,937,995   $1,495,773   $760,302   20   Total     $108,012,089   $61,944,792   $25,719,510   920   Source:  TXP   Note:    since  lodging  activity  takes  place  in  private  homes,  the  spending  for  this  segment  of  the  impact  analysis  is  run   through  the  Household  sector  of  the  economy,  rather  than  Accommodations.    
  • 8. 7  STRAC  Economic  Impact  –  Chicago  |  Spring  2014   Tax  revenue  further  amplifies  the  impact  of  tourism  and  tourist  spending  in  Chicago’s   economy.    Both  local  jurisdictions  and  the  State  of  Illinois  benefit  from  direct  spending   by  visitors,  as  well  as  realizing  revenue  associated  with  the  ripple  effects  of  that   spending.    In  general,  tourism  is  an  attractive  revenue  source  for  local  governments,   especially  since  these  taxes  are  not  imposed  on  local  residents.       Conclusions   Short  term  rentals  and  STRAC-­‐related  spending  are  an  important  part  of  the  tourism   sector  in  Chicago,  ultimately  creating  hundreds  of  jobs  and  millions  of  dollars  of   earnings  and  tax  revenue  for  the  community  each  year.  This  appears  to  be  largely  net   new  activity;  different  types  of  lodging  serve  discrete  segments  of  the  market,  and  the   overall  economy  appears  to  be  the  largest  determining  factor  in  tourism  performance   (see  Figure  2).  As  with  most  sectors  of  the  economy,  the  battle  for  tourism  dollars  is   intense,  meaning  that  diversity  within  the  accommodations  market  is  essential  to   meeting  customer  demand  and  remaining  competitive  with  other  cities  and  regions   throughout  the  nation  and  world.  Seen  in  this  light,  STRAC  activity  is  a  highly  valuable   asset  in  Chicago’s  tourism  portfolio  whose  impact  is  likely  to  grow  over  time.         Legal  Disclaimer   TXP  reserves  the  right  to  make  changes,  corrections  and/or  improvements  at  any  time   and  without  notice.    In  addition,  TXP  disclaims  any  and  all  liability  for  damages  incurred   directly  or  indirectly  as  a  result  of  errors,  omissions,  or  discrepancies.  TXP  disclaims  any   liability  due  to  errors,  omissions  or  discrepancies  made  by  third  parties  whose  material   TXP  relied  on  in  good  faith  to  produce  the  report.     Any  statements  involving  matters  of  opinion  or  estimates,  whether  or  not  so  expressly   stated,  are  set  forth  as  such  and  not  as  representations  of  fact,  and  no  representation  is   made  that  such  opinions  or  estimates  will  be  realized.  The  information  and  expressions   of  opinion  contained  herein  are  subject  to  change  without  notice,  and  shall  not,  under   any  circumstances,  create  any  implications  that  there  has  been  no  change  or  updates.