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Annika Falkengren
Annual Accounts 2012
                       President & CEO
Delivery of 2010–2012 plan



1   Business expansion




2   Customer satisfaction




3   Operating leverage




4   Strong balance sheet




                             2
Business expansion
Large Corporate     Number of clients                    Credit portfolio (SEK bn)
Nordics & Germany               +300
                                                2,100


                                                                   +130

                     2009     2010      2011    2012


SME                 Number of clients                    Credit portfolio (SEK bn)
Sweden                        +31,500
                                               130,000


                                                                   +60

                      2009     2010     2011    2012




                                                                                     3
Customer satisfaction
Large Corporate




                   performance
Nordics                                                 Peer 4




                      Overall
                                             Peer 2
                                                             Peer 3
                                         Peer 1


                                                  Willingness to recommend


SME                Swedish Quality Index                         SEB   Avg. Swedish peers

Sweden                                                                       #2
                                    #4                  #3


                                 2010                 2011              2012


Private                Bank of the Year 2012                                   Best Nordic Private Bank
Sweden & Baltics                                     Sweden
                                                     Estonia
                                                     Lithuania
                                                     Latvia



                                                                                                          4
Increased operating leverage
Average quarterly income (SEK bn)                                               Average quarterly expenses (SEK bn)
          9.2                      9.4                      9.8


                                                                                            5.8                5.9       5.7




       Avg 2010                 Avg 2011                 Avg 2012                        Avg 2010           Avg 2011   Avg 2012

                                                               Operating leverage

                                   Average quarterly profit before credit losses (SEK bn)

                                                                                                      4.1
                                                 3.4                          3.5




                                             Avg 2010                      Avg 2011                 Avg 2012

Notes: Excluding one-offs (restructuring in 2010, and bond buy-back and IT impairment in 2012)
       Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010

                                                                                                                                  5
Strong balance sheet
                       Capital, liquidity and asset quality


                                    CET1 Basel III 13.1%


                                         LCR 113%

                                Liquid resources SEK 632bn


                                Loan to deposit ratio 134%


                                 NPL coverage ratio 66%


                                     Loan losses 8bps



                                                              6
Underlying business development
Pre-provision profit and operating profit (SEK bn)

                                                          Operating profit     Pre-provision profit

  5
                                                                                                                       4.3
  4


  3


  2


  1


  0
           Q4-10            Q1-11            Q2-11           Q3-11           Q4-11         Q1-12      Q2-12   Q3-12   Q4-12


Notes: Excluding one-offs (bond buy-back and IT impairment in Q4 2012)
       Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010

                                                                                                                              7
Results presented today exclude one-off effects
announced last week




                                  Results presentation
                                  excludes:
                                   Buy-back of covered bonds
                                    at negative income of SEK 402m
                                   IT impairment at cost of
                                    SEK 753m
Income statement
Profit and loss (SEK bn)
                                                             Q4-12   % Q3-12          % Q4-11   FY 2011   FY 2012    %

         Total Operating income                          10,039             +4            +8    37,686     39,225    +4
         Total Operating expenses                         -5,771            +2            -4    -23,513   -22,899    -3
         Profit before credit losses                      4,268             +6           +29     14,173    16,326   +15
         Net credit losses etc.                             -274                                   780       -936
         Operating profit                                 3,994              +4          +30    14,953     15,390   +3

Operating income by type, 2011 vs. 2012 (SEK bn)
                      17.6

                                         13.6
                                                                                                     9%
                                                                                                  12%
Customer-
               15.2 15.9                                                                                      44%
 driven NII                                                   4.6
                                                                             3.4

                                                                                                   35%
               2011 2012          2011 2012           2011 2012       2011 2012
              Net interest       Net fee and       Net financial Net life insurance
               income           commissions          income            income
Note: Excluding one-offs (bond buy-back and IT impairment)


                                                                                                                          9
Net interest income development
Net interest income Q4 2010 – Q4 2012 (SEK bn)
 5.0
 4.5
 4.0
 3.5
 3.0
 2.5
        Q4-10           Q1      Q2           Q3       Q4-11   Q1         Q2       Q3        Q4-12



Net interest income by income type Q4 2010 – Q4 2012 (SEK bn)
                              3.4




                                                               0.6                                  0.4


Q4-10           Q4-11        Q4-12   Q4-10          Q4-11     Q4-12   Q4-10       Q4-11         Q4-12

            Lending                               Deposits                    Funding & other



                                                                                                          10
Net fee and commission income development
Net fee and commissions Q4 2010 – Q4 2012 (SEK bn)
 5.0

 4.5

 4.0

 3.5

 3.0

 2.5
         Q4-10           Q1             Q2         Q3             Q4-11           Q1              Q2             Q3           Q4-12


Gross fee and commissions by income type Q4 2010 – Q4 2012 (SEK bn)
                                                                                                                                   2.4
                                                                                   1.8


                                      0.7



   Q4-10            Q4-12            Q4-12     Q4-10            Q4-11             Q4-12       Q4-10             Q4-11             Q4-12
 Advisory, secondary markets and derivatives           Custody and mutual funds           Payments, cards, lending, deposits and guarantees




                                                                                                                                              11
Net financial income development
Net financial income Q4 2010 – Q4 2012 (SEK bn)
2.5

2.0
1.5
                                     Excl. GIIPS de-risking
1.0
0.5

0.0
          Q4-10        Q1     Q2           Q3                 Q4-11   Q1    Q2    Q3    Q4-12



Net financial income development (SEK bn)


      NFI Divisions
      GIIPS            1.2    1.2          1.2                 1.1    1.2   1.3          1.1
                                                                                  1.0
      NFI Treasury
      & Other                             -0.2
                              -0.2                            -0.2

                      Q1-11   Q2           Q3                 Q4-11   Q1    Q2    Q3    Q4-12




                                                                                                12
Delivery on cost-cap for underlying business
Operating expenses excluding one-offs, SEK bn


                     23.0               23.1
Excl. IAS 19



                                               22.7   <23.0bn




                     2010               2011   2012




                     23.3               23.5                 New cost cap
                                                               <22.5bn
Incl. IAS 19




                                               22.9




                     2010               2011   2012   2013                  2014

Notes: Excluding IT impairment
       Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010

                                                                                   13
Divisional performance
Operating profit 2011 vs. 2012 (SEK m)

        7.5                                                                             Jan-Dec 2011
                   7.1                                                                  Jan-Dec 2012




                                         4.4


                                 3.1
                                                                                        2.9

                                                                     2.0          2.0
                                                    1.4    1.3
                                                                                               1.1




   Merchant Banking             Retail Banking   Wealth Management         Life           Baltic

Note: Excluding IT impairment


                                                                                                       14
Summary of 2012 financials


                                                     Operating profit: SEK 14.2bn


                                                     EPS: SEK 5:31


                                                     Proposed dividend: SEK 2:75


                                                     CET1 ratio: 13.1%

Note: Total operations (including one-off effects)


                                                                                15
Ambition going forward




The leading Nordic bank for
corporates & institutions


Top universal bank in
Sweden and the Baltics




                              16
The relationship bank in our part of the world




                                                 17
Uncertain macroeconomic environment persists

                                 Macro improving but
                                 from low level

                                 European crisis making
                                 slow progress

                                 Customer activity
                                 remains subdued

                                 Central banks
                                 keeping rates low




                                                          18
Financial ambitions

Dividend payout 40%
or above



Common Equity Tier 1     Long-term ROE
ratio of 13%             aspiration 15%


Generate ROE that is
competitive with peers


                                          19
What is a competitive ROE in the near-term?
ROE 2014 – Consensus analyst estimate (Post Q3 2012, %)



                                                                                       With 13% CET1
                                                                                       ratio
                                                                                       Improved
                                                                        15             operating leverage

               13                       13                              13
                                                                   12
                                                                        11     11
                                                                                           10




            Peer 1                    Peer 2                   Peer 3   SEB   Peer 4      Peer 5


Source: Consensus analyst estimates from equity research reports




                                                                                                            20
Back-of-the-envelope calculation for ROE 13%
 Operating profit                                                                                ILLUSTRATIVE
 (SEK bn)
                                                                           Asset     Baltic     Approx. 20
                                                       Private &         Gathering
                                                      Corporates
                            Large Corps &
                             Institutions

            15.4


                                                   Target ROE>peers = approx. 13%

                                      Capital generation assuming dividend payout >40%



            2012                                                                                  ”2015”

          ROE 11%                                                                             ROE approx. 13%




Note: Excluding one-offs (bond buy-back, IT impairment and tax effect)


                                                                                                                21
Merchant Banking

Large Corporates                                 Institutions


         Second phase in the Nordic region
  Pic                                                 Pic   Acquisition of new clients
         and in Germany


         Enhance capital markets                            Increase cross-selling on existing
  Pic
         capabilities                                       customer base



         Increase customer flows in                         Greater co-ordination of the
  Pic                                                 Pic
         emerging markets                                   offering and packaging


                                             Impact


                            Income growth ~15% by 2015

                                                                                                 22
Retail Banking

Corporates                                     Private


        Holistic relationship banking in                 Advisory driven service based on
        focus: “Hela företagaren”                        customer needs


        Strengthen customer growth and                   Improve customers ability to
        local competence                                 travel seamlessly between channels



        Invest in self-service and e-banking             Invest in e-banking for cost efficient
        for service improvements                         service and offerings


                                           Impact


                            Income growth ~20% by 2015

                                                                                                  23
Asset Gathering and Baltic

Asset Gathering                                Baltic


          Reduce complexity in fund offering
                                                        Focus on Home Banking customers
          and improve performance


          Enhance private banking client                Standardize product offering and
          segmentation and client                       processes to simplify customer
          experience                                    experience


          Improve Life insurance online                 Improve advisory service to SME
          solutions and risk products                   and Corporate Customers


                  Impact                                        Impact


    Income growth ~5% by 2015                      Income growth ~15% by 2015

                                                                                           24
Conclusion

             Deep and broad long-term customer
             relationships remain at heart of SEB’s strategy


             Profit growth from disciplined execution
             of investments and cost control


             Strong balance sheet and
             low risk profile maintained


             New financial targets reflect SEB’s strong
             commitment to bring value to shareholders



                                                          25
The relationship bank in our part of the world




                                                 26

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SEB fourth-quarter 2012 earnings presentation

  • 1. Annika Falkengren Annual Accounts 2012 President & CEO
  • 2. Delivery of 2010–2012 plan 1 Business expansion 2 Customer satisfaction 3 Operating leverage 4 Strong balance sheet 2
  • 3. Business expansion Large Corporate Number of clients Credit portfolio (SEK bn) Nordics & Germany +300 2,100 +130 2009 2010 2011 2012 SME Number of clients Credit portfolio (SEK bn) Sweden +31,500 130,000 +60 2009 2010 2011 2012 3
  • 4. Customer satisfaction Large Corporate performance Nordics Peer 4 Overall Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 1 Willingness to recommend SME Swedish Quality Index SEB Avg. Swedish peers Sweden #2 #4 #3 2010 2011 2012 Private Bank of the Year 2012 Best Nordic Private Bank Sweden & Baltics  Sweden  Estonia  Lithuania  Latvia 4
  • 5. Increased operating leverage Average quarterly income (SEK bn) Average quarterly expenses (SEK bn) 9.2 9.4 9.8 5.8 5.9 5.7 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Operating leverage Average quarterly profit before credit losses (SEK bn) 4.1 3.4 3.5 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Notes: Excluding one-offs (restructuring in 2010, and bond buy-back and IT impairment in 2012) Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010 5
  • 6. Strong balance sheet Capital, liquidity and asset quality CET1 Basel III 13.1% LCR 113% Liquid resources SEK 632bn Loan to deposit ratio 134% NPL coverage ratio 66% Loan losses 8bps 6
  • 7. Underlying business development Pre-provision profit and operating profit (SEK bn) Operating profit Pre-provision profit 5 4.3 4 3 2 1 0 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Notes: Excluding one-offs (bond buy-back and IT impairment in Q4 2012) Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010 7
  • 8. Results presented today exclude one-off effects announced last week Results presentation excludes:  Buy-back of covered bonds at negative income of SEK 402m  IT impairment at cost of SEK 753m
  • 9. Income statement Profit and loss (SEK bn) Q4-12 % Q3-12 % Q4-11 FY 2011 FY 2012 % Total Operating income 10,039 +4 +8 37,686 39,225 +4 Total Operating expenses -5,771 +2 -4 -23,513 -22,899 -3 Profit before credit losses 4,268 +6 +29 14,173 16,326 +15 Net credit losses etc. -274 780 -936 Operating profit 3,994 +4 +30 14,953 15,390 +3 Operating income by type, 2011 vs. 2012 (SEK bn) 17.6 13.6 9% 12% Customer- 15.2 15.9 44% driven NII 4.6 3.4 35% 2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012 Net interest Net fee and Net financial Net life insurance income commissions income income Note: Excluding one-offs (bond buy-back and IT impairment) 9
  • 10. Net interest income development Net interest income Q4 2010 – Q4 2012 (SEK bn) 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 Q4-10 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4-11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4-12 Net interest income by income type Q4 2010 – Q4 2012 (SEK bn) 3.4 0.6 0.4 Q4-10 Q4-11 Q4-12 Q4-10 Q4-11 Q4-12 Q4-10 Q4-11 Q4-12 Lending Deposits Funding & other 10
  • 11. Net fee and commission income development Net fee and commissions Q4 2010 – Q4 2012 (SEK bn) 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 Q4-10 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4-11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4-12 Gross fee and commissions by income type Q4 2010 – Q4 2012 (SEK bn) 2.4 1.8 0.7 Q4-10 Q4-12 Q4-12 Q4-10 Q4-11 Q4-12 Q4-10 Q4-11 Q4-12 Advisory, secondary markets and derivatives Custody and mutual funds Payments, cards, lending, deposits and guarantees 11
  • 12. Net financial income development Net financial income Q4 2010 – Q4 2012 (SEK bn) 2.5 2.0 1.5 Excl. GIIPS de-risking 1.0 0.5 0.0 Q4-10 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4-11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4-12 Net financial income development (SEK bn) NFI Divisions GIIPS 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.0 NFI Treasury & Other -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 Q1-11 Q2 Q3 Q4-11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4-12 12
  • 13. Delivery on cost-cap for underlying business Operating expenses excluding one-offs, SEK bn 23.0 23.1 Excl. IAS 19 22.7 <23.0bn 2010 2011 2012 23.3 23.5 New cost cap <22.5bn Incl. IAS 19 22.9 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Notes: Excluding IT impairment Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010 13
  • 14. Divisional performance Operating profit 2011 vs. 2012 (SEK m) 7.5 Jan-Dec 2011 7.1 Jan-Dec 2012 4.4 3.1 2.9 2.0 2.0 1.4 1.3 1.1 Merchant Banking Retail Banking Wealth Management Life Baltic Note: Excluding IT impairment 14
  • 15. Summary of 2012 financials Operating profit: SEK 14.2bn EPS: SEK 5:31 Proposed dividend: SEK 2:75 CET1 ratio: 13.1% Note: Total operations (including one-off effects) 15
  • 16. Ambition going forward The leading Nordic bank for corporates & institutions Top universal bank in Sweden and the Baltics 16
  • 17. The relationship bank in our part of the world 17
  • 18. Uncertain macroeconomic environment persists Macro improving but from low level European crisis making slow progress Customer activity remains subdued Central banks keeping rates low 18
  • 19. Financial ambitions Dividend payout 40% or above Common Equity Tier 1 Long-term ROE ratio of 13% aspiration 15% Generate ROE that is competitive with peers 19
  • 20. What is a competitive ROE in the near-term? ROE 2014 – Consensus analyst estimate (Post Q3 2012, %) With 13% CET1 ratio Improved 15 operating leverage 13 13 13 12 11 11 10 Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 SEB Peer 4 Peer 5 Source: Consensus analyst estimates from equity research reports 20
  • 21. Back-of-the-envelope calculation for ROE 13% Operating profit ILLUSTRATIVE (SEK bn) Asset Baltic Approx. 20 Private & Gathering Corporates Large Corps & Institutions 15.4 Target ROE>peers = approx. 13% Capital generation assuming dividend payout >40% 2012 ”2015” ROE 11% ROE approx. 13% Note: Excluding one-offs (bond buy-back, IT impairment and tax effect) 21
  • 22. Merchant Banking Large Corporates Institutions Second phase in the Nordic region Pic Pic Acquisition of new clients and in Germany Enhance capital markets Increase cross-selling on existing Pic capabilities customer base Increase customer flows in Greater co-ordination of the Pic Pic emerging markets offering and packaging Impact Income growth ~15% by 2015 22
  • 23. Retail Banking Corporates Private Holistic relationship banking in Advisory driven service based on focus: “Hela företagaren” customer needs Strengthen customer growth and Improve customers ability to local competence travel seamlessly between channels Invest in self-service and e-banking Invest in e-banking for cost efficient for service improvements service and offerings Impact Income growth ~20% by 2015 23
  • 24. Asset Gathering and Baltic Asset Gathering Baltic Reduce complexity in fund offering Focus on Home Banking customers and improve performance Enhance private banking client Standardize product offering and segmentation and client processes to simplify customer experience experience Improve Life insurance online Improve advisory service to SME solutions and risk products and Corporate Customers Impact Impact Income growth ~5% by 2015 Income growth ~15% by 2015 24
  • 25. Conclusion Deep and broad long-term customer relationships remain at heart of SEB’s strategy Profit growth from disciplined execution of investments and cost control Strong balance sheet and low risk profile maintained New financial targets reflect SEB’s strong commitment to bring value to shareholders 25
  • 26. The relationship bank in our part of the world 26