Hawkamah Annual Conference
•Als PPTX, PDF herunterladen•
0 gefällt mir•32 views
Hawkamah Annual Conference Dubai, United Arab Emirates April 2018
Empfohlen
Weitere ähnliche Inhalte
Was ist angesagt?
Was ist angesagt? (20)
Ähnlich wie Hawkamah Annual Conference
Ähnlich wie Hawkamah Annual Conference (20)
Mehr von SDGsPlus
Mehr von SDGsPlus (20)
Kürzlich hochgeladen
Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)
Hawkamah Annual Conference
- 1. @wbg2030 worldbank.org/sdgs Hawkamah Annual Conference May 1st 2018 Mahmoud Mohieldin Senior Vice President World Bank Group
- 2. The SDGs present a major opportunity for transformation Global development agendas serve as a guide for countries to determine their national development path MDGs (2000-2015) SDGs (2016-2030) Goals/ Targets/Indicators 8/21/60 17/169/~230 Priority Areas Human Development Holistic: Economic, Social, Environmental Scope Developing Countries Universal 2
- 3. Global Megatrends and Challenges Fragility and violence Shifts in the global economy Climate and resources Commodity cycles Urbanization Source:WorldBank ForwardLook, September2017 Demographic transitions Renewed political debate about globalization Technological disruptions 3
- 4. Disruption and exponential technology present a unique opportunity for development Situation Tech is converging in new ways to change how we live, work and organize This makes them incredibly disruptive, while their ability to scale makes them exponential Opportunity As a global community we have unique opportunity to harness the disruptive power for development To make this transition countries will need to make informed choices on their technology-enabled development path, mitigate risksof disruption, and lessen adverse impacts of the poor 4
- 5. Source: Adapted from World Economic Forum, 2017 Technology Reaches People Faster 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Telephone (1878) Mobile (1979) Internet (1990) Facebook (2004) Whatsapp (2009) Instagram (2010) 1878 1979 1990 2004 2009 2010 Number of years to reach 100 million users 5
- 6. The development paths of emerging economies are being disrupted by a complex set of global forces and technology- drive meta trends that create both new solutions and challenges/risks 6
- 7. Technology-driven meta trends describe global shifts that impact development in positive and negative ways 7
- 8. Platforms: New Means of Production, sharing, connection, Disruption 8
- 10. Adapt to Thrive: Learning in the Cognitive Age 10
- 11. Human / Machine: The Future of Work 11
- 12. The New Social Contract 12
- 13. Governance in the Digital Age What impact digital technologies and trends are having — or should have — on governance? This includes the concepts of: • digital government; • open government; and • government’s role in addressing how technology is (or isn’t) transforming citizens’ lives. Basically, it’s how governments draw on the insight of citizens, how they think about and procure technology and how the trends and technologies of the digital era change public institutions and policymaking. 13
- 14. EU Privacy Laws Take Effect in May 2018 • Under EU Privacy Law, companies could face massive fines in 25 European Union countries if they mishandle citizens' personal information • New age restrictions will mean no more Facebook or other social media for European pre-teens • Fines can increase from a few tens of thousand euros to up to 4 percent of a company’s worldwide revenue for breaches of privacy rules • The new General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) also enshrines and extends the "right to be forgotten" created by a ruling of the Court of Justice of the EU in 2014 Source: IDG News Service 14
- 16. The Three “B’s” of the World Bank Group approach 16
- 17. 17 Prioritizing Digital Development and Taking Action in Africa
- 18. The 2030 Agenda and the Sustainable Development Goals: An Opportunity for Transformation 18
- 19. 19 There are two main means of implementation for the SDG Mobilizing the necessary financial resources aka Financing for Development - public, private, international and domestic Science, Technology and Innovation (STI)
- 20. 20 Tech is cross-cutting across SDGs
- 21. Direct impact of growing mobile industry to SDGs 21
- 22. 22 Big Data for Development and SDG Humanitarian Action
- 23. The practice of sustainable development INVEST IN PEOPLE INVEST IN INCLUSIVE GROWTH INVEST IN RESILIENCE •Fragility & Conflict •Climate and weather shocks •Pandemics Sources: World Bank Group, 2017 •Early childhood development •Gender equality •Skills for jobs •Equal opportunities •Infrastructure •Roads •Energy •Sustainable •Greening growth •Water management •Private sector •Job creation Achieve the twin goals of ending extreme poverty and boosting shared prosperity 23
- 24. The Changing Wealth of Nations The importance of human capital is a key message from the Bank's recent The Changing Wealth of Nations report, which includes human capital for the first time in national wealth accounting. The report shows that human capital is the largest component of global wealth. It accounts for an estimated 70 percent of wealth in rich countries, but only 41 percent in poorer ones. 24
- 25. 25 The Human Capital Project “The education system is not working. What happens if you're stunted to begin with and your educational system is not providing you what you need to compete in the digital economy of the future” Three main indicators, reflecting building blocks of the human capital: 1. Survival – Will kids born today survive to school age? 2. School – How much school will they complete and how much will they learn? 3. Health – Will kids leave school in good health and be ready for further learning and/or work?
- 26. “ The Best Way to Predict the Future is to Create it” Alan Kay, Computer Scientist Today is the slowest day of innovation we will experience for the rest of our lifetimes.” Rob Nail, Singularity 26
- 27. Mahmoud Mohieldin Senior VP Thank You worldbankgroup.org/sdgs Follow us on twitter @WBG2030 Mahmoud-Mohieldin on 27
Hinweis der Redaktion
- Trend Today Ubiquitous connectivity has spurred the rise of scaled platforms that connect individuals, institutions and enterprises both big and small, in completely new ways amplifying their reach and impact Platforms do not own the means of production, but rather the means of connection creating economic and social value by enabling users to share or offer knowledge, labor, or digital and physical assets over an online network These platforms facilitate interoperability, creating markets and connection points where they did not exist before due to economic and social failures Increasingly, they are shaping communities along the lines of common belief systems or shared economic needs rather than traditional nation-states As platforms scale, they are gaining tremendous influence both through the collection of data and their tendency towards winner-take-all economics, raising questions about platform and data ownership, and global regulation Trend in 2030 Developments in sophisticated analytics and a growing digital footprint will allow platforms to create a detailed understanding of the individual; this will enable platforms to serve as trusted advisors and curators that tailor content and services to users to help them navigate the exponentially larger number of offerings or exert greater authoritarian control and exacerbate inequality Curated content will map to our beliefs and preferences creating micro-cultures and potentially reducing the relevance of the state as individuals align around these new belief- and culture-driven tribes which are self-reinforced by the echo chamber of ideas, shifting urbanization patterns and widening social polarization. Or these echo chambers could be entirely orchestrated by the state to ensure control, while provoking violence and fragility Fragmentation could also extend to the technology underpinning platforms themselves as blockchain protocols connect parties directly without an intermediary, thus further democratizing access to markets and networks of people
- Trend Today Technology is enabling a massive shift in the accessibility of healthcare, agriculture, and energy No-frills care models (e.g., clinicians in a box) are providing affordable access to care for the most basic healthcare services which were cost prohibitive, while providing some relief to overburdened health systems The cost of renewable energy generation is now cheaper than many conventional sources; increased investment in distributed generation using off-grid technology and mini-grids are extending electrification New technology is also leading to improvements in desalination and wastewater recycling, improving access to clean drinking water for millions Advances in genetic engineering is creating new super foods (e.g., crops resistant to disease or drought) Trend in 2030 Technology further enables exponential change: Pricing models shift as digitization gives way to new funding mechanisms and cost structures (e.g., usage pricing, subscriptions etc.) further enabling access, while also driving down the cost of assets over time Delivery models change; healthcare will shift from the treatment of disease to wellness and prevention enabled by big data and advances in technology to augment mass-care ensuring foundational access (e.g., AR/VR, medical bio-engineering) Access to clean water will continue to be augmented by technological innovation and access to cheaper energy to support advanced water recycling and filtration New sources of food could emerge as the impact of climate change and other resource scarcities introduces the need for technological innovation (e.g., plant based meats) blending both the physical and digital world
- Trend Today The very nature of how we learn and adapt to change as individuals and organizations is being fundamentally altered by the accessibility and connectivity of platforms and mobile, automation and the rise of “gigs” instead of careers, and the digitization of education The path of obtaining a formal classroom-style education in order to achieve long-term, industry-specific employment has given way to modular learning and Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) like Khan Academy that enable anyone from anywhere to nimbly upskill right from their mobile phones At an organizational level, established players are facing increasingly steep competition from new market entrants who can more adeptly adjust to and see opportunity in technologies such as gamification and AR/VR Organizations formed in recent decades struggle to overcome their own bureaucratic inertia as they work to remake themselves as flexible and agile Trend in 2030 The very nature of how we learn and adapt to change as individuals and organizations is being fundamentally altered by the accessibility and connectivity of platforms and mobile, automation and the rise of “gigs” instead of careers, and the digitization of education The path of obtaining a formal classroom-style education in order to achieve long-term, industry-specific employment has given way to modular learning and Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) like Khan Academy that enable anyone from anywhere to nimbly upskill right from their mobile phones At an organizational level, established players are facing increasingly steep competition from new market entrants who can more adeptly adjust to and see opportunity in technologies such as gamification and AR/VR Organizations formed in recent decades struggle to overcome their own bureaucratic inertia as they work to remake themselves as flexible and agile
- Trend Today Labor markets are experiencing significant disruption as manual and highly repetitive tasks are increasingly displaced and automated by machines Algorithms powered by artificial intelligence (AI), deep learning, and big data are beginning to replicate the human capacity for voice and image recognition and will soon overtake us in areas such as natural language processing Computers can perform these tasks with a level of speed and accuracy well beyond current human ability (e.g., claims processing, screen scraping, filling out forms, etc.) Further advances in AI, robotics, deep learning, and additive manufacturing (e.g., 3D printing) are poised to disrupt value chains at scale, furthering automation in both the knowledge and manufacturing sectors New and different jobs continue to emerge following this technological evolution like bot supervisors, robot programmers and technicians Trend in 2030 Additive manufacturing, coupled with advances in AI, will cause economic shocks as it re-shapes supply chains, enabling a focus on localization and reshoring as goods are produced closer to the point of consumption Improved computer vision, deep learning, AI, and a growing quantity of big data enable machines to become more deeply integrated into the knowledge economy; jobs that were considered safe from automation (e.g., auditing) will increasingly be performed by computers, despite their complex nature An “augmented labor” force will emerge that blends the capabilities of both human and machine leveraging each other’s strengths to improve productivity Humans will need to re-skill and upskill frequently as we may be forced to evolve 10-15 times in a lifetime due to technological evolution, leading to widespread workforce volatility and changing urbanization patterns Not all jobs will be automated; jobs rooted in human ability, interpersonal skills, and compassion like elder care will still performed by humans
- Trend Today Increased digitization and new platform and digital business models exert considerable pressure on government and its value proposition: Government Services: citizens’ expectations are reflected by their experience as customers, creating additional pressure for governments Markets and Regulation: new monopoly actors are shifting the balance of power away from government and are resistant to regulation (e.g., Uber) Society: citizens are empowered by information, leading to the formation of micro-communities that are creating their own power structures, sidelining many of the levers government would traditionally use (e.g., information) These new technologies and business models combined are exerting considerable pressure on government and creating great uncertainty about its role moving forward Trend in 2030 Increased digitization and new platform and digital business models exert considerable pressure on government and its value proposition: Government Services: citizens’ expectations are reflected by their experience as customers, creating additional pressure for governments Markets and Regulation: new monopoly actors are shifting the balance of power away from government and are resistant to regulation (e.g., Uber) Society: citizens are empowered by information, leading to the formation of micro-communities that are creating their own power structures, sidelining many of the levers government would traditionally use (e.g., information) These new technologies and business models combined are exerting considerable pressure on government and creating great uncertainty about its role moving forward
- Development Keeps Pace Robust Tech-Enabled Technology
- Objective: The Human Capital Project is designed to help countries improve their education, health and social protection systems to raise the next generation of well-equipped and healthy people. Methodology: To meet this objective the WBG has been developing an international metric to capture the indicators of human capital. The metric will eventually be accompanied by a ranking of countries. The ranking is meant to spur more demand for countries to invest in human capital.