This document discusses strategies and mindsets for speculative trading in chaotic markets like cryptocurrencies. It emphasizes the following points:
1. Embracing chaos and understanding markets as complex, nonlinear systems governed more by chance than predictable laws.
2. Developing mastery of oneself, including self-awareness of goals and resources, to focus "firepower" on opportunities with the highest upside potential, like new or small coins.
3. Exercising patience by "sitting" with positions and letting winners run through pyramiding, rather than always needing to trade. Cutting losses quickly while letting profits ride is key.
4. Buying into positions incrementally during uptrends to cost-
Adapting the Proper Mindset & Trading Strategies for Crypto
1. â Adapting the Proper Trading Mindset
& Strategies for Crypto 2.0â
âThere is always a
tremendous
opportunity when
the majority are
confused or havenât
figured it outâ
3. Answer: Speculative
BAGGERS!
$NOW 1.04 to 20.00 Php - 2.0 years
$MRC .21 to .94 Php - 1.0 year
$PRMX 2.70 to 7.41 Php - 1.0 year
$TUGS 1.28 to 6.09 Php - 1.5 years
$VITA 1.72 to 2.79 Php - 1.0 year
6. Basic Questions : How did âaverageâ dudes
score fantastic returns?
Can these âbaggerâ strategies
be applicable to Crytpo as well?
What are these strategies
or mindsets? What is unique
about them?
9. CHAOS & MARKETS
Newtonian Science Stochastic /Chaos Science
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Order and regularity Disorder and irregularity
Predictable results, hence âdeterministicâ Unpredictable results, hence âprobabilisticâ
Ruled by law Ruled by chance
and simple rules
A Clockwork Universe Irregularity dominates
Future is shaped by the past Future cannot be shaped by the past
Simple modular systems, linear & proportional Complex, non-linear systems
Two to three degrees of freedom Multiple degrees of freedom / many units
interact
Very simple to calculate ( âWhole is sum of its partsâ) Not proportional therefore cannot calculate
Discovered 300 years ago, e.g. the Solar System Discovered 30 years ago, e.g. population growth cycles
Orderly motion, e.g. the tides Disorderly motion, e.g. the weather /
markets
Reductionist approach Holistic, Global approach
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
Source: Bernice Cohen, The Edge of Chaos
10. Newtonian Science Stochastic /Chaos Science
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Order and regularity Disorder and irregularity
Predictable results, hence âdeterministicâ Unpredictable results, hence âprobabilisticâ
Ruled by law Ruled by chance
and simple rules
A Clockwork Universe Irregularity dominates
Future is shaped by the past Future cannot be shaped by the past
Simple modular systems, linear & proportional Complex, non-linear systems
Two to three degrees of freedom Multiple degrees of freedom / many units
interact
Very simple to calculate ( âWhole is sum of its partsâ) Not proportional therefore cannot calculate
Discovered 300 years ago, e.g. the Solar System Discovered 30 years ago, e.g. population growth cycles
Orderly motion, e.g. the tides Disorderly motion, e.g. the weather /
markets
Reductionist approach Holistic, Global approach
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
Source: Bernice Cohen, The Edge of Chaos
Speculatives
Small Cap, Growth
ïš Tech Stocks => Cryptos
Dividend stocks <=
Defensive Sector <=
Blue Chips
11. Newtonian Science Stochastic /Chaos Science
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Order and regularity Disorder and irregularity
Predictable results, hence âdeterministicâ Unpredictable results, hence âprobabilisticâ
Ruled by law Ruled by chance
and simple rules
A Clockwork Universe Irregularity dominates
Future is shaped by the past Future cannot be shaped by the past
Simple modular systems, linear & proportional Complex, non-linear systems
Two to three degrees of freedom Multiple degrees of freedom / many units
interact
Very simple to calculate ( âWhole is sum of its partsâ) Not proportional therefore cannot calculate
Discovered 300 years ago, e.g. the Solar System Discovered 30 years ago, e.g. population growth cycles
Orderly motion, e.g. the tides Disorderly motion, e.g. the weather /
markets
Reductionist approach Holistic, Global approach
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
Source: Bernice Cohen, The Edge of Chaos
Perceived
Forward
Store of Value
Performance
Usage
Mass Adoption
12. CHAOS & MARKETS
âą Financial Markets
âą Political rallies
âą Swarms of insects
âą The weather
âą The global economy
âą Business organizations
âą The human species
EXAMPLES OF COMPLEX, CHAOTIC SYSTEMSEXAMPLES OF COMPLEX, CHAOTIC SYSTEMS
13. CHAOS & MARKETS
Malcom Gladwell : BLINK > CONNECTING DOTS
The first task of BLINK is to convince you of a simple fact:
decisions made very quickly can be every bit as good as
decisions made cautiously and deliberately.â
- Art of Thinking w/out Thinking
Blink: The Power of Thinking without Thinking
16. TAP MINDSETS
MINDSET #2 : Mastery of Ourselves. To
BET properly we need to know ourselves
-----------------------------
Mastery of our situation, self-awareness, our goals and resources,
our stage of life - is basic
17. WHY SPECULATE NOT JUST INVEST?
THE CASE OF THE 75-YEAR OLD BILLIONAIRE
$1M @ age 30
$5M @ age 47
$100M @ age 75
21. What did they do beside focus on one stock?
MINDSET #3: The money is in the sitting
22. MINDSET #4: Get volume on our WINNERS
by pyramiding the big swings
Pyramid trading - is a strategy that involves scaling into a
winning position. In other words, strategically buying or
selling in order to add to an existing position after the market
makes an extended move in the intended direction.
23. If you donât BET, you donât WIN
If you lose all your CHIPS, you cannot BET!
Most of all we must learn â HOW to BET â given all the CHAOS
24. In Summary:
- we must embrace the CHAOS
to master it
- we have to examine HOW we BET
- we have to focus the firepower
on the SPECULATIVE
- we have to patiently sit tight
- we must pyramid the volume
25. HOW EXCITING IS CRYPTO ?
HOW to milk our crypto trades to the
max?
29. THE HIGEST UPSIDE COULD BE IN THE
ALTCOINS OR THE NEWCOINS
- NO BLUE CHIPS
30. Where do we go from here?
GSW 5Wave 5
ELLIOT of the PSE
GSW 3
GSW1
GSW4
GSW 2
12K to 14K PSEi!
PSEi = $300 B
Cyrpto = $400 B
US Markets = $ 30 T
Global = $ 70 T
41. HOW do we BET on
FUTURE BAGGERS
in a CHAOTIC MARKET?
42. MILKING THE CRYPTO BULL RUN
HOW TO BUY
âBAGGER STRATEGIES : POSITION TRADING to the
MAXâ
âHe should accumulate his line on the way up. Let him buy 1/5 of
his full line. If that does not show him a profit he must not increase
his holdings because he has obviously begun wrong â < Livermore
P200k/stock
43. MILKING THE CRYPTO BULL RUN
HOW TO BUY
âHe should accumulate his line on the way up. Let him buy
1/5 of his full line.
If that does not show him a profit he must not increase his holdings
because he has obviously begun wrongâ - J.Livermore
4 months out?
P200K/stock
44. MILKING THE CRYTPO BULL RUN
HOW TO BUY
After 12-months from BACLARAN âŠ
âCUT LOSSES,
RIDE or ROLL PROFITS
& ADD TO WINNERSâ
Cut or Switch Loss
45. MILKING THE CRYPTO BULL RUN
MARKET SELECTS YOUR STOCK FOR YOU, so simple
YOU JUST SHORTLIST, MA
P5 /share
P75 /share
46. MILKING THE BULL RUN
Really? It is that
STUPHIID?
âCUT LOSSES,
RIDE or ROLL
PROFITS
& ADD TO
WINNERSâ
47. MILKING THE BULL RUN in
CRYPTO
JESSIE LIVERMORE
1.âMoney is made by sitting, not trading.â
2. âIt takes time to make money.â
3. âIt was never my thinking that made the big money for me, it
always was sitting.â
4. âNobody can catch all the fluctuations.â
5. âThe desire for constant action irrespective of underlying
conditions is responsible for many losses in Wall Street even
among the professionals, who feel that they must take home
some money everyday, as though they were working for regular
wages.â
6. âBuy right, sit tight.â
Jesse Livermore = $14 Billion
Buy right, HODL right!
48. CONCLUDING COMMENTS
âIn a bull market the game is to BUY and
HODL until you believe the bull market is
near its endâ - Jesse Livermore
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