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Pakistan Since Bin Laden:
A Mission Report on America’s
Most Important Unreliable Ally

Ron Nehring
Today’s Presentation
• Background and findings from a U.S. State Departmentsponsored mission to Pakistan, May 16 – 21, 2011.
Why Pakistan Matters
• Nuclear power.
Its arsenal
cannot be
allowed to fall
into the hands of
extremists.
• Borders
Afghanistan,
therefore
essential to our
success there.
Political Situation in Pakistan
• Governed by center-left PPP. Party
founded by Zulfikar Ali Bhutto in
‘67.
• Parliamentary democracy. President
Asif Zardari (PPP) elected by
members of Parliament plus
provincial legislatures.
• Prime Minister Syed Gilani (PPP).
• Main opposition party: center-right
Muslim League.
• “Religious” parties fare extremely
poorly in Pak elections.
Pakistan is poor. GDP per capita is $995 (compared to $4,540
in Iran, $3,744 in China, $1,192 in India, and $45,989 in US)
Meeting with Pakistani Members of Parliament. This meeting degenerated into an
America-bashing session, with PPP Secretary General Taj Haider attacking US policies
while praising China.
Pakistanis Talking Points
• America is unreliable.
• Pak helped US during Soviet era in
Afghanistan, then abandoned.
• American foreign policy hurts
Pakistan.
• Bin Laden raid violated Pakistani
sovereignty.
• US financial assistance has too many
conditions attached.
• China is great.
Meetings with the Pakistanis
• Degenerated into America-bashing sessions until we
provided pushback with questions related to:
– Haqqani network
– Lashkar-e-Taiba
– Hafiz Muhammad Saeed

• After pushback, constructive conversations concerning
economy, trade, democracy.
American Aid to Pakistan since 2002
Program or Account
Training and equipment
Counternarcotics (Pentagon)
Coalition Support Funds (Pentagon)
Pak frontier corp train + equip
Foreign Military Financing
International Mil Ed + Training
Intl Narc Control + Law Enf
NADR (anti-terrorism)
Pak Counterinsurgency Fund
Total Security-Related

Amount (M)
$
212
$
288
$
8,881
$
100
$
2,160
$
18
$
528
$
90
$
1,900
$
14,177

Child Survival and Health
Development Assistance
Economic Support Funds
Food Aid
Human Rights + Democracy Funds
International Disaster Asst
Migration + Refugee
Total Economic-Related

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

221
286
4,797
413
17
650
152
6,536

Total Security + Economic Aid

$

20,713

Pakistan spends
~$6 billion annually
on defense.
Common American
Problems in Diplomacy
• Treating diplomacy as something other than
advocacy for America.
• Underestimating the impact undercurrents on
the “citizens” we meet.
• “Clientitis”
• “Mirror Imaging”
Meeting with Punjab Assembly Deputy Speaker Rana Mashhood Ahmad Khan. The
PML(N) is in control of this province, and advocated for trade, lower taxes and
regulations, and no US aid.
Visit to the Punjab Provincial Assembly.
Recommended Reading on Foreign
Affairs and Diplomacy
Pakistan Since Bin Laden:
A Mission Report on America’s Most
Important Least Trusted Ally

Ron Nehring

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Ron Nehring's Post-Pakistan Mission Report

  • 1. Pakistan Since Bin Laden: A Mission Report on America’s Most Important Unreliable Ally Ron Nehring
  • 2. Today’s Presentation • Background and findings from a U.S. State Departmentsponsored mission to Pakistan, May 16 – 21, 2011.
  • 3. Why Pakistan Matters • Nuclear power. Its arsenal cannot be allowed to fall into the hands of extremists. • Borders Afghanistan, therefore essential to our success there.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Political Situation in Pakistan • Governed by center-left PPP. Party founded by Zulfikar Ali Bhutto in ‘67. • Parliamentary democracy. President Asif Zardari (PPP) elected by members of Parliament plus provincial legislatures. • Prime Minister Syed Gilani (PPP). • Main opposition party: center-right Muslim League. • “Religious” parties fare extremely poorly in Pak elections.
  • 10. Pakistan is poor. GDP per capita is $995 (compared to $4,540 in Iran, $3,744 in China, $1,192 in India, and $45,989 in US)
  • 11. Meeting with Pakistani Members of Parliament. This meeting degenerated into an America-bashing session, with PPP Secretary General Taj Haider attacking US policies while praising China.
  • 12. Pakistanis Talking Points • America is unreliable. • Pak helped US during Soviet era in Afghanistan, then abandoned. • American foreign policy hurts Pakistan. • Bin Laden raid violated Pakistani sovereignty. • US financial assistance has too many conditions attached. • China is great.
  • 13. Meetings with the Pakistanis • Degenerated into America-bashing sessions until we provided pushback with questions related to: – Haqqani network – Lashkar-e-Taiba – Hafiz Muhammad Saeed • After pushback, constructive conversations concerning economy, trade, democracy.
  • 14. American Aid to Pakistan since 2002 Program or Account Training and equipment Counternarcotics (Pentagon) Coalition Support Funds (Pentagon) Pak frontier corp train + equip Foreign Military Financing International Mil Ed + Training Intl Narc Control + Law Enf NADR (anti-terrorism) Pak Counterinsurgency Fund Total Security-Related Amount (M) $ 212 $ 288 $ 8,881 $ 100 $ 2,160 $ 18 $ 528 $ 90 $ 1,900 $ 14,177 Child Survival and Health Development Assistance Economic Support Funds Food Aid Human Rights + Democracy Funds International Disaster Asst Migration + Refugee Total Economic-Related $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 221 286 4,797 413 17 650 152 6,536 Total Security + Economic Aid $ 20,713 Pakistan spends ~$6 billion annually on defense.
  • 15. Common American Problems in Diplomacy • Treating diplomacy as something other than advocacy for America. • Underestimating the impact undercurrents on the “citizens” we meet. • “Clientitis” • “Mirror Imaging”
  • 16. Meeting with Punjab Assembly Deputy Speaker Rana Mashhood Ahmad Khan. The PML(N) is in control of this province, and advocated for trade, lower taxes and regulations, and no US aid.
  • 17. Visit to the Punjab Provincial Assembly.
  • 18. Recommended Reading on Foreign Affairs and Diplomacy
  • 19. Pakistan Since Bin Laden: A Mission Report on America’s Most Important Least Trusted Ally Ron Nehring