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Between a rock and a hard place: 10
years on from Northern Rock
Lord Alistair Darling, former Chancellor of the Exchequer
Nicky Morgan MP, Chair of theTreasury Select Committee
Torsten Bell, Director of the Resolution Foundation
@resfoundation #NorthernRock
Wifi: 2QAG_guest p: W3lc0m3!!
1
10 years on
Northern Rock
A Timeline
Torsten Bell, Resolution Foundation
10 years on
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
Worries build about American subprime mortgages, but no one panics…
“the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing
market will likely be limited, and we do not expect
significant spillovers from the subprime market to the rest
of the economy or to the financial system”
Ben Bernanke
Federal Reserve Chairman
10 years on
First signs of stress at financial institutions emerge:
Bear Stearns, BNP Paribas and some German banks exposure to sub-prime losses
becomes public
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years on
The crisis reaches Britain:
Robert Peston, the BBC’s economic editor, breaks the
story of Northern Rock’s request for emergency support
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years on
The first UK bank run in a hundred years
occurs
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years on
The government steps in to
guarantee deposits…
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years on
…and then nationalises
Northern Rock
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years on
The action heads to the States
Fed underpins JP Morgan rescue of Bear Stearns
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years onThe financial crisis becomes a British economic crisis
House prices fall and 100% mortgages disappear
Unemployment starts an increase which will total over
800,000
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years onAlistair Darling gets optimistic…
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years on
Lehman Brothers files for bankruptcy – sparking chaos
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years on
Lloyds agrees to buy HBOS
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years on
Global banking is under stress
Ireland and later Iceland seeing their banking systems collapse
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years on
The UK pulls out all the stops:
Recapitalisation, not just extra liquidity, takes centre stage
The US follows suit
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years on
Darling becomes the first Scottish big spender:
Autumn Statement announces a £20bn fiscal stimulus to support
economy
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years on
A UK recession during the second half of 2008 is confirmed
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
10 years on
The Bank heads to zero and beyond
UK interest rates cut to record low of 0.5%
The programme of quantitative easing is
launched
Early 2007 Summer
2007
13
September
2007
14
September
2007
17
September
2007
17
February
2008
March
2008 April 2008 August
2008
15
September
2008
17
September
2008
Autumn
2008
8 October
2008
24
November
2008
January
2009
March
2009
Between a rock and a hard place: 10
years on from Northern Rock
Lord Alistair Darling, former Chancellor of the Exchequer
Nicky Morgan MP, Chair of theTreasury Select Committee
Torsten Bell, Director of the Resolution Foundation
@resfoundation #NorthernRock
Wifi: 2QAG_guest p: W3lc0m3!!
19

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Between a rock and a hard place: 10 years on from Northern Rock

  • 1. Between a rock and a hard place: 10 years on from Northern Rock Lord Alistair Darling, former Chancellor of the Exchequer Nicky Morgan MP, Chair of theTreasury Select Committee Torsten Bell, Director of the Resolution Foundation @resfoundation #NorthernRock Wifi: 2QAG_guest p: W3lc0m3!! 1
  • 2. 10 years on Northern Rock A Timeline Torsten Bell, Resolution Foundation
  • 3. 10 years on Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009 Worries build about American subprime mortgages, but no one panics… “the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing market will likely be limited, and we do not expect significant spillovers from the subprime market to the rest of the economy or to the financial system” Ben Bernanke Federal Reserve Chairman
  • 4. 10 years on First signs of stress at financial institutions emerge: Bear Stearns, BNP Paribas and some German banks exposure to sub-prime losses becomes public Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 5. 10 years on The crisis reaches Britain: Robert Peston, the BBC’s economic editor, breaks the story of Northern Rock’s request for emergency support Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 6. 10 years on The first UK bank run in a hundred years occurs Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 7. 10 years on The government steps in to guarantee deposits… Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 8. 10 years on …and then nationalises Northern Rock Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 9. 10 years on The action heads to the States Fed underpins JP Morgan rescue of Bear Stearns Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 10. 10 years onThe financial crisis becomes a British economic crisis House prices fall and 100% mortgages disappear Unemployment starts an increase which will total over 800,000 Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 11. 10 years onAlistair Darling gets optimistic… Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 12. 10 years on Lehman Brothers files for bankruptcy – sparking chaos Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 13. 10 years on Lloyds agrees to buy HBOS Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 14. 10 years on Global banking is under stress Ireland and later Iceland seeing their banking systems collapse Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 15. 10 years on The UK pulls out all the stops: Recapitalisation, not just extra liquidity, takes centre stage The US follows suit Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 16. 10 years on Darling becomes the first Scottish big spender: Autumn Statement announces a £20bn fiscal stimulus to support economy Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 17. 10 years on A UK recession during the second half of 2008 is confirmed Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 18. 10 years on The Bank heads to zero and beyond UK interest rates cut to record low of 0.5% The programme of quantitative easing is launched Early 2007 Summer 2007 13 September 2007 14 September 2007 17 September 2007 17 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 August 2008 15 September 2008 17 September 2008 Autumn 2008 8 October 2008 24 November 2008 January 2009 March 2009
  • 19. Between a rock and a hard place: 10 years on from Northern Rock Lord Alistair Darling, former Chancellor of the Exchequer Nicky Morgan MP, Chair of theTreasury Select Committee Torsten Bell, Director of the Resolution Foundation @resfoundation #NorthernRock Wifi: 2QAG_guest p: W3lc0m3!! 19