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Chapter 5

  INVESTMENT POLICY
STATEMENTS AND ASSET
  ALLOCATION ISSUES
Chapter 5 Questions
• What is asset allocation?
• What are four basic risk management
  strategies?
• How and why do investment goals
  change over a person’s lifetime and
  circumstances?
• What are the four steps in the portfolio
  management process?
Chapter 5 Questions
• Why is a policy statement important to the
  planning process?
• What objectives and constraints should be
  detailed in the policy statement?
• Why is investment education necessary?
• What is the role of asset allocation in
  investment planning?
• Why do asset allocation strategies differ
  across national boundaries?
What is asset allocation?
• The process of deciding
  how to distribute wealth
  among asset classes,
  sectors, and countries
  for investment
  purposes.
• Not an isolated choice,
  but rather a component
  of the portfolio
  management process.
Managing Risk
      Since risk drives
        expected return,
        investing involves
        managing risk rather
        than managing
        return.
Risk Management Strategies
• Risk Avoidance
  – Can avoid any real chances of loss
  – Generally a poor strategy except for a part
    of an overall portfolio
• Risk Anticipation
  – Position part of your portfolio to protect
    against anticipated risk factors
  – For example, maintain a cash reserve
Risk Management Strategies
• Risk Transfer
  – Insurance and other investment vehicles can
    allow for the transfer of risk, often at a price, to
    another investor who is willing to bear the risk
• Risk Reduction
  – Effective diversification and asset allocation
    strategies can reduce risk, sometimes without
    sacrificing expected return.
Individual Investor Life Cycle
The individual investors life cycle can
  often be described using four separate
  phases or stages:
• Accumulation Phase
• Consolidation Phase
• Spending Phase
• Gifting Phase
Accumulation Phase
• Early to middle years of careers
• Attempting to satisfy intermediate and long-
  term goals
• Net worth is usually small, debt may be
  heavy
• Long-term investment horizon means usually
  willing to take moderately high risks in order
  to make above-average returns
Consolidation Phase
• Past career midpoint
• Have paid off much of their
  accumulated debt
• Earnings now exceed living expenses,
  so the balance can be invested
• Time horizon is still long-term, so
  moderately high risk investments are
  still attractive
Spending Phase
• Usually begins at retirement
• Saving before, prudent spending now
• Living expenses covered by Social
  Security and retirement plans
• Changing emphasis toward
  preservation of capital, but still want
  investment values to keep pace with
  inflation
Gifting Phase
• Can be concurrent with spending phase
• If resources allow, individuals can now
  use excess assets to provide gifts to
  other individuals or organizations
• Estate planning becomes important,
  especially tax considerations
The Portfolio Management
           Process
A four step process:
1. Construct a policy statement
2. Study current financial conditions and
    forecast future trends
3. Construct a portfolio
4. Monitor needs and conditions
The Portfolio Management
           Process
1. Policy statement
  – Specifies investment goals and acceptable
    risk levels
  – The “road map” that guides all investment
    decisions
The Portfolio Management
           Process
2. Study current financial and economic
  conditions and forecast future trends
  – Determine strategies that should meet
    goals within the expected environment
  – Requires monitoring and updates since
    financial markets are ever-changing
The Portfolio Management
           Process
3. Construct the portfolio
  – Given the policy statement and the
    expected conditions, go about investing
  – Allocate available funds to meet goals
    while managing risk
The Portfolio Management
           Process
4. Monitor and update
  – Revise policy statement as needed
  – Monitor changing financial and economic
    conditions
  – Evaluate portfolio performance
  – Modify portfolio investments accordingly
The Policy Statement
• Understand and articulate realistic goals
  – Know yourself
  – Know the risks and potential rewards from
    investments
• Learn about standards for evaluating portfolio
  performance
  – Know how to judge average performance
  – Adjust for risk
The Policy Statement
• Don’t try to navigate
  without a map!
• Important Inputs:
  – Investment
    Objectives
  – Investment
    Constraints
Investment Objectives
           Need to specify return
            and risk objectives
             – Need to consider the
               risk tolerance of the
               investor
             – Return goals need to
               be consistent with
               risk tolerance
             – These will change
               over time
Investment Objectives
Possible broad goals:
• Capital preservation
  – Maintain purchasing power
  – Minimize the risk of loss
• Capital appreciation
  – Achieve portfolio growth through capital
    gains
  – Accept greater risk
Investment Objectives
• Current income
  –   Look to generate income rather than capital gains
  –   May be preferred in “spending phase”
  –   Relatively low risk
• Total return
  – Combining income returns and reinvestment with
    capital gains
  – Moderate risk
Investment Constraints
These factors may limit or at least impact the
  investment choices:
• Liquidity needs
  – How soon will the money be needed?
• Time horizon
  – How able is the investor to ride out several bad
    years?
• Legal and Regulatory Factors
  – Legal restrictions often constrain decisions
  – Retirement regulations
Investment Constraints
• Tax Concerns
  –   Realized capital gains vs. Ordinary income?
  –   Taxable vs. Tax-exempt bonds?
  –   Regular IRA vs. Roth IRA?
  –   401(k) and 403(b) plans
• Unique needs and preferences
  – Perhaps the investor wishes to avoid types of
    investments for ethical reasons
Investment Education
• The type of information necessary to
  construct a good policy statement is neither
  “common sense” or “common knowledge.”
• Many investors fail to diversify.
• Many fail to plan completely.
• Data indicates that many Americans have
  greatly under-invested for the future.
• The bottom line: If you do not plan for the
  future, you will likely not be prepared for it.
Asset Allocation Decisions
Four decisions in an investment strategy:
• What asset classes should be considered?
• What should be the normal weight for each
  asset class?
• What are the allowable ranges for the
  weights?
• What specific securities should be
  purchased?
The Importance of Asset
           Allocation
• The asset allocation decision (which classes
  and at what weights) is very important. Using
  fund data:
   – About 90% of return variability over time can be
     explained by asset allocation.
   – About 40% of the differences between returns can
     be explained by differences in asset allocation.
• Asset allocation is thus the major factor that
  drives portfolio risk and return.
Risk/Return History and
        Asset Allocation
Looking at return data on various asset classes
  indicate some important factors for investors:
  – Over long time horizons, stocks have always
    outperformed low-risk investments.
  – So the additional risk of stock investing (higher
    return standard deviations) over shorter time
    horizons seems to all but disappear over time.
  – Need to consider real investment returns over
    taxes and costs
Asset Allocation and Cultural
         Differences
• Differences in social, political, and tax
  environments influence asset allocation.
• For instance, 58% of pension fund assets are
  invested in equities in the U.S.
  – 78% in equities in United Kingdom, where high
    average inflation impacts this choice
  – 8% in equities in Germany, where generous
    government pensions and greater risk aversion
    seem to play a strong role

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Chapter 05

  • 1. Chapter 5 INVESTMENT POLICY STATEMENTS AND ASSET ALLOCATION ISSUES
  • 2. Chapter 5 Questions • What is asset allocation? • What are four basic risk management strategies? • How and why do investment goals change over a person’s lifetime and circumstances? • What are the four steps in the portfolio management process?
  • 3. Chapter 5 Questions • Why is a policy statement important to the planning process? • What objectives and constraints should be detailed in the policy statement? • Why is investment education necessary? • What is the role of asset allocation in investment planning? • Why do asset allocation strategies differ across national boundaries?
  • 4. What is asset allocation? • The process of deciding how to distribute wealth among asset classes, sectors, and countries for investment purposes. • Not an isolated choice, but rather a component of the portfolio management process.
  • 5. Managing Risk Since risk drives expected return, investing involves managing risk rather than managing return.
  • 6. Risk Management Strategies • Risk Avoidance – Can avoid any real chances of loss – Generally a poor strategy except for a part of an overall portfolio • Risk Anticipation – Position part of your portfolio to protect against anticipated risk factors – For example, maintain a cash reserve
  • 7. Risk Management Strategies • Risk Transfer – Insurance and other investment vehicles can allow for the transfer of risk, often at a price, to another investor who is willing to bear the risk • Risk Reduction – Effective diversification and asset allocation strategies can reduce risk, sometimes without sacrificing expected return.
  • 8. Individual Investor Life Cycle The individual investors life cycle can often be described using four separate phases or stages: • Accumulation Phase • Consolidation Phase • Spending Phase • Gifting Phase
  • 9. Accumulation Phase • Early to middle years of careers • Attempting to satisfy intermediate and long- term goals • Net worth is usually small, debt may be heavy • Long-term investment horizon means usually willing to take moderately high risks in order to make above-average returns
  • 10. Consolidation Phase • Past career midpoint • Have paid off much of their accumulated debt • Earnings now exceed living expenses, so the balance can be invested • Time horizon is still long-term, so moderately high risk investments are still attractive
  • 11. Spending Phase • Usually begins at retirement • Saving before, prudent spending now • Living expenses covered by Social Security and retirement plans • Changing emphasis toward preservation of capital, but still want investment values to keep pace with inflation
  • 12. Gifting Phase • Can be concurrent with spending phase • If resources allow, individuals can now use excess assets to provide gifts to other individuals or organizations • Estate planning becomes important, especially tax considerations
  • 13. The Portfolio Management Process A four step process: 1. Construct a policy statement 2. Study current financial conditions and forecast future trends 3. Construct a portfolio 4. Monitor needs and conditions
  • 14. The Portfolio Management Process 1. Policy statement – Specifies investment goals and acceptable risk levels – The “road map” that guides all investment decisions
  • 15. The Portfolio Management Process 2. Study current financial and economic conditions and forecast future trends – Determine strategies that should meet goals within the expected environment – Requires monitoring and updates since financial markets are ever-changing
  • 16. The Portfolio Management Process 3. Construct the portfolio – Given the policy statement and the expected conditions, go about investing – Allocate available funds to meet goals while managing risk
  • 17. The Portfolio Management Process 4. Monitor and update – Revise policy statement as needed – Monitor changing financial and economic conditions – Evaluate portfolio performance – Modify portfolio investments accordingly
  • 18. The Policy Statement • Understand and articulate realistic goals – Know yourself – Know the risks and potential rewards from investments • Learn about standards for evaluating portfolio performance – Know how to judge average performance – Adjust for risk
  • 19. The Policy Statement • Don’t try to navigate without a map! • Important Inputs: – Investment Objectives – Investment Constraints
  • 20. Investment Objectives Need to specify return and risk objectives – Need to consider the risk tolerance of the investor – Return goals need to be consistent with risk tolerance – These will change over time
  • 21. Investment Objectives Possible broad goals: • Capital preservation – Maintain purchasing power – Minimize the risk of loss • Capital appreciation – Achieve portfolio growth through capital gains – Accept greater risk
  • 22. Investment Objectives • Current income – Look to generate income rather than capital gains – May be preferred in “spending phase” – Relatively low risk • Total return – Combining income returns and reinvestment with capital gains – Moderate risk
  • 23. Investment Constraints These factors may limit or at least impact the investment choices: • Liquidity needs – How soon will the money be needed? • Time horizon – How able is the investor to ride out several bad years? • Legal and Regulatory Factors – Legal restrictions often constrain decisions – Retirement regulations
  • 24. Investment Constraints • Tax Concerns – Realized capital gains vs. Ordinary income? – Taxable vs. Tax-exempt bonds? – Regular IRA vs. Roth IRA? – 401(k) and 403(b) plans • Unique needs and preferences – Perhaps the investor wishes to avoid types of investments for ethical reasons
  • 25. Investment Education • The type of information necessary to construct a good policy statement is neither “common sense” or “common knowledge.” • Many investors fail to diversify. • Many fail to plan completely. • Data indicates that many Americans have greatly under-invested for the future. • The bottom line: If you do not plan for the future, you will likely not be prepared for it.
  • 26. Asset Allocation Decisions Four decisions in an investment strategy: • What asset classes should be considered? • What should be the normal weight for each asset class? • What are the allowable ranges for the weights? • What specific securities should be purchased?
  • 27. The Importance of Asset Allocation • The asset allocation decision (which classes and at what weights) is very important. Using fund data: – About 90% of return variability over time can be explained by asset allocation. – About 40% of the differences between returns can be explained by differences in asset allocation. • Asset allocation is thus the major factor that drives portfolio risk and return.
  • 28. Risk/Return History and Asset Allocation Looking at return data on various asset classes indicate some important factors for investors: – Over long time horizons, stocks have always outperformed low-risk investments. – So the additional risk of stock investing (higher return standard deviations) over shorter time horizons seems to all but disappear over time. – Need to consider real investment returns over taxes and costs
  • 29. Asset Allocation and Cultural Differences • Differences in social, political, and tax environments influence asset allocation. • For instance, 58% of pension fund assets are invested in equities in the U.S. – 78% in equities in United Kingdom, where high average inflation impacts this choice – 8% in equities in Germany, where generous government pensions and greater risk aversion seem to play a strong role