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The State of Retail
 Five notions of Retail, October 2011


Julie Krueger, Retail Industry Director




                                          Google Confidential and Proprietary
Retail Sales per Square Foot declining since 2007




                                       Google Confidential and Proprietary
Gross Merchandise Value steadily shifting online
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                                                                                                         Google Confidential and Proprietary
Source: Forrester Research US Sales Forecast, ForecastView
Online influenced sales continue to grow
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  % web-                 40%                       43%             45%              47%                49%              51%                   52%
 influence
  d sales

                                                                                                                         Google Confidential and Proprietary
Source: Forrester Research US Sales Forecast, ForecastView
The mobile web is exploding

  120
                                    US Mobile Queries (Indexed)



                                                                  4x Growth
  100




    80                                                             in past year

    60




    40




    20




     0

                        2007        2008                 2009             2010                       2011

    5                                                                     Google Confidential and Proprietary
Source: Internal Google Data 2010
Mobile allows for constant connectivity
                              Desktop Queries
                              Mobile Queries
                                 PC Queries                                                               11pm
                                     Mobile Queries
       Traffic




                                                                1pm
                 Traffic




                                                                                                  8pm



                                     7am




                                                                          Time                          Sat/Sun
                           Sat/Sun                    Sat/Sun                        Sat/Sun


                                                                                                        Google Confidential and Proprietary   6

Source: Citi Investment Research and Analysis; iCrossing Mobile U.S. Google Internal Data, 2010
By end of 2011
                                                  over half
                                                  of Americans will have a
                                                  smart phone




       7                                                              Google Confidential and Proprietary

Source: Nielsen March 2010, Morgan Stanley 2010
State of Retail explained in 5 notions


  1 Consumers demand for deals on the rise
  2   Moore’s Law in every pocket




  3   Reducing friction increases adoption




  4   Transparency increases opportunity



  5 Consumers expectations are accelerating
                                              Google Confidential and Proprietary
1. Consumers demand for deals on the rise

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                                                                                                                      Google Confidential and Proprietary
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Google insights
It’s hard not to find a deal…




                                Google Confidential and Proprietary
2. Moore’s Law in every pocket

                                                                               59% of
                                                                            smartphone
                 38% of shoppers                                          users used their   of these holiday
                 abandon buying                                              phones for        smartphone
                 something in the                                         holiday shopping      shoppers,
               store based on what                                             last Q4       80% used their
                they looked up on                                                            phones to shop/
                    their phone                                                               research while
                                                                                                 in a store
           67% of
        consumers
    researched online                                                                                  87% of
     prior to purchase                                                                               shoppers felt
     last Q4… usually                                                                              they could find a
      spending over a                                                                                 better deal
    week researching                                                                                  elsewhere
         a purchase
                                                                                                 Google Confidential and Proprietary


Source: Google/OTX Holiday shopping survey, Comscore July 2011, State of economy
3. Reducing friction increases adoption




                                     Google Confidential and Proprietary
4. Transparency & integration increase opportunity
       28% of top 25 retailers feature buy via mobile/pickup in-store




                                                          Google Confidential and Proprietary
5. Consumers expectations are accelerating




                                    Google Confidential and Proprietary
The mobile movement is here. Are you in it?




     http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CjUcq_E4I-s




                                                  Google Confidential and Proprietary

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Bricks and Mobile - State of Retail Mobile

  • 1. The State of Retail Five notions of Retail, October 2011 Julie Krueger, Retail Industry Director Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 2. Retail Sales per Square Foot declining since 2007 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 3. Gross Merchandise Value steadily shifting online !'#$ !"#$ !%#$ *+,-./01$020341+,53-$ &'#$ 6++7-$ 899:102$:,;$:330--+150-$ &"#$ &%#$ &%#$ <++4=0:1$ >+?-$ "'#$ <.1,54.10$ "!#$ @:1A0$:9925:,30-$ "%#$ "%#$ B+/0$5/91+C0/0,4$ '#$ DE30$91+;.34-$ '#$ &#$ %#$ &%%($ &%"%$ &%""$ &%"&$ &%"!$ &%")$ &%"'$ Google Confidential and Proprietary Source: Forrester Research US Sales Forecast, ForecastView
  • 4. Online influenced sales continue to grow ./012%/32435%650142%71257% ./012%859:43;<53=5>%/?435%650142%71257% ./012%859%4@A1=0%/3%650142%71257% !-+,,,% !*+#,,% !*+,,,% !"+)*(% !(+#,,% !"+&"&% !"+#)$% !"+--&% !(+,,,% !"+*(#% !"+("#% !"+,&*% !"+#,,% !"+,,,% !"+-#)% !"+##*% !"+(('% !"+*-&% !"+,*'% !"+"()% !'"&% !#,,% !"#$% !"&$% !"'&% !(")% !(*'% !(#'% !(&'% !,% (,,'%% (,",%% (,""%% (,"(%% (,"*%% (,"-%% (,"#%% % web- 40% 43% 45% 47% 49% 51% 52% influence d sales Google Confidential and Proprietary Source: Forrester Research US Sales Forecast, ForecastView
  • 5. The mobile web is exploding 120 US Mobile Queries (Indexed) 4x Growth 100 80 in past year 60 40 20 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 5 Google Confidential and Proprietary Source: Internal Google Data 2010
  • 6. Mobile allows for constant connectivity Desktop Queries Mobile Queries PC Queries 11pm Mobile Queries Traffic 1pm Traffic 8pm 7am Time Sat/Sun Sat/Sun Sat/Sun Sat/Sun Google Confidential and Proprietary 6 Source: Citi Investment Research and Analysis; iCrossing Mobile U.S. Google Internal Data, 2010
  • 7. By end of 2011 over half of Americans will have a smart phone 7 Google Confidential and Proprietary Source: Nielsen March 2010, Morgan Stanley 2010
  • 8. State of Retail explained in 5 notions 1 Consumers demand for deals on the rise 2 Moore’s Law in every pocket 3 Reducing friction increases adoption 4 Transparency increases opportunity 5 Consumers expectations are accelerating Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 9. 1. Consumers demand for deals on the rise 61%6.27389072.:%;-:2% 12-<=>2?%@9<%A9B39.?%-.C%;2D-:2?% EF.2-<%G61%6.27389072.:%;-:2H% EF.2-<%G12-<=>2?%@9<%A9B39.?%-.C%;2D-:2?H% &'(#% '##$% &#(#% &"#$% +(#% &##$% *(#% "#$% )(#% #$% '(#% #(#% !"#$% )% )% % % "% % % *% % % 4% % % +% % % 5% % % #% % % &% #) #" #" #* #* #4 #4 #+ #+ #5 #5 &# &# && !# !# !# !# !# !# !# !& !& 3! .! 3! .! 3! .! 3! .! 3! .! 3! .! 3! .! . -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 ,- 12 ,- 12 ,- 12 ,- 12 ,- 12 ,- 12 ,- 12 ,- / / / / / / / / Google Confidential and Proprietary Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Google insights
  • 10. It’s hard not to find a deal… Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 11. 2. Moore’s Law in every pocket 59% of smartphone 38% of shoppers users used their of these holiday abandon buying phones for smartphone something in the holiday shopping shoppers, store based on what last Q4 80% used their they looked up on phones to shop/ their phone research while in a store 67% of consumers researched online 87% of prior to purchase shoppers felt last Q4… usually they could find a spending over a better deal week researching elsewhere a purchase Google Confidential and Proprietary Source: Google/OTX Holiday shopping survey, Comscore July 2011, State of economy
  • 12. 3. Reducing friction increases adoption Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 13. 4. Transparency & integration increase opportunity 28% of top 25 retailers feature buy via mobile/pickup in-store Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 14. 5. Consumers expectations are accelerating Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 15. The mobile movement is here. Are you in it? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CjUcq_E4I-s Google Confidential and Proprietary