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Deep	Learning	&	Fraud	Detection	in	Fintech	Lending	
DEEP	LEARNING	IN	FINANCE	SUMMIT,	SINGAPORE- APRIL’17
RATNAKAR	PANDEY,	HEAD	OF	INDIA	ANALYTICS	&	DATA	SCIENCE,	KABBAGE
HTTPS://WWW.LINKEDIN.COM/IN/RATNAKARPANDEY/
1 Disclaimer:	The	views	expressed	here	are	solely	those	of	the	presenter	in	his	private	capacity.
Outline
Demo	of	Multi	Level	Perceptron	(MLP)
Classification	Case Approach	and	Performance
Suggested Deep	Learning	Application	Areas
Anomaly	Detection Social	Network	Analysis		(SNA)
Need	for	Deep	Learning	
Existing	Methods Why	Deep	Learning?
Frauds	in	Fintech	Lending
Drivers Modus	Operandi
Introduction
About	Fintech About	Kabbage
About	Fintech Fintech	is	an	integral	part	of	our	life	now
$24.7	B
Invested	in	2016	in	
global	fintech	companies
1076
Deals	in	2016	in	
global	fintech	companies
Sources:	KPMG,	The	Pulse	of	Fintech	Q4	2016	|	Capgemini	World	Fintech	Report	2017	|	PwC	Global	Fintech	Report	2017	|	www.forbes.com		
50.2%
Of	global	customers	have	
done	business	with	fintech
20%
Expected	ROI	on	
fintech	projects
20+
Global	fintech
Unicorns	
10K+
Global	fintech
companies
Types	of	
Fintech
Alternative	Lending- Kabbage,	Lendingclub,	Prosper,	Zopa	
Payment	/	Billing	Tech	- Stripe,	Paytm,	Adyen,	Ant	Financial,	
Square	
Personal	Finance	/	Asset	Management	Creditkarma,	Bankrate,
NerdWallet
Robo	Advisory- Wealthfront,	Betterment,	NerdWallet
Blockchain- Abra,	21,	coinbase,	Ethereum
About	Kabbage Kabbage	is	blazing	a	trail	in	big	data	&	fintech
Kabbage	is	more	than	a	lender	for	small	businesses;	our	data	and	technology	
platform	is	now	being	used	as	a	fully	branded	product	by	other	lenders,	and	our	
products	are	expanding. We’ve	received	numerous	awards	&	recognition,	
including-
• Featured	in	Glassdoor’s	2017	Best	Places	to	Work
• 36th	fastest	growing	company	in	the	US	on	the	INC	500	List
• Fast	Company’s	"Top	10	most	innovative	companies	in	finance”
• Forbes'	"America’s	Top	100	Most	Promising	Companies"
Fraud	Drivers Superfast	decision	making	and	faceless	channels
Decisioning	within	few	minutes
Application	on	web	and	Mobile
May	have	higher	exposure	to	thin	
file	and	new	to	credit	
More	prone	to	invisible	window	
applications
Unconventional	and	evolving	data	
sources	
Note:	Even	with	these	challenges	the	fraud	rate	in	the	industry	is	typically	less	than	20	bps	for	more	data	savvy	lenders
M.	O. Varied	and	evolving	modus	operandi
• Stolen	identity
• Synthetic	identity
• May	replicate	best	
customer		(prime	
and	super	prime)
• Falsified	info
• No	willingness	to	
pay
• Acquire	multiple	loans	
in	a	short	window	(	
invisible	window)
• May	provide	all	info	
correctly
• More	likely	to	be	on	
higher	side	in	the	risk	
spectrum	
• No	or	low	willingness	to	
pay	
• Mimic	good	payment	
behavior	for	significant	
time
• Bust	out	when	gains	are	
highest
Current	Situation Heuristics	and	regression	driven	approaches
Intuitive
Heuristics
Statistical
• Manual	Reviews
• Experts	Driven
• Gut	feeling	
• Thumb	rules
• Driven	by	past	experience
• Quick	decision	making		
• Control/	confidence	limits
• Outlier	detection/	deviation	from	norm	
• Decision	tree,	regression,	time	series
Why	go	Deep? Explosion	of	features	and	data	sources
10,000	+	
Features
Unstructured
Transactional
Social
Device
&
IP
Third	Parties
Bureau
• Uncover	hard	to	detect	patterns	(using	
traditional	techniques)	when	the	
incidence	rate	is	low
• Find	latent	features	(super	variables)	
without	significant	manual	feature	
engineering
• Real	time	fraud	detection	and	self	
learning	models	using	streaming	data	
(KAFKA,	MapR)
• Ensure	consistent	customer	
experience	and	regulatory	compliance	
• Higher	operational	efficiency
Find	Anomalies	 Replicator	neural	network	/	Autoencoder
• Traditional	techniques	based	on	density	or	distance	works	better	with	linearly	separable	
data
• Stacked	Autoencoders	(SAE)	and	Deep	Belief	Networks	(	DBN)	make	no	assumptions	
about	the	distribution	of		data	and	work	better	on	non	linearly	separable	data	
• Unsupervised	learning	algorithms		for	feature	learning,	feature	reduction	and	outlier	
detection
• Input	vectors	are	used	as	output	vectors	and	reconstruction	error	computed
• The	data	points	with	higher	reconstruction	error	(	MSE)	are	more	likely	to	be	outliers
• Helps	in	detecting	different	modus	operandi	of	fraudsters
• Output	from	the	network	is	generally	used	as	an	input	for	the	Multi	Layer	Perceptron	(	
MLP)	to	improve	classification	accuracy		.	
• Generally	training	an	MLP	with	the	features	selected	from	Deep	Autoencoders	will	be	
more	efficient	and	faster	process
Find	Networks	 Social	network	analysis	/	Clique	and	Links
Detect	
Fraudulent	
Cases
Find	
Commonalities
Form	Network
• Use	variety	of	attributes	(on-us/	off-us)		to	build	linkage	between	known	bad	customers	
and	other	customers	with	unknown	status
• Larger	the	size	of	network,	easier	the	detection	and	vice	versa
• Overlap	networks	using	enumerative	approaches	and	find	commonalities		
• Use	graph	transduction	to	detect	potential	fraudulent	cases	by	doing	peer	group	
(archetype)	analysis	to	separate	routine	behavior	from	suspicious	behavior	- “birds	of	
same	feather	flock	together”
MLP	Demo Case	details
• Anonymized	credit	card	transactions	data	from	European	customers
• 30	features	(	28	anonymized,	duration	elapsed,	amount	of	transactions)
• Label- fraud	or	normal	transaction
• 17bps	incidence	rate	for	fraudulent	transactions
• 284,807	total	transaction	in	data	
Sources:	http://mlg.ulb.ac.be |	https://www.kaggle.com/dalpozz/creditcardfraud
MLP	Demo Tools	and	techniques	used
Python	
2.7.13
Keras
2.0.2
Tensorflow
1.0.1
MLP	Demo Traditional	Modeling	Techniques	Process
Manual	Feature	
Engineering	
After	variable	
treatments	
drop	variables	
with	little	or	no	
explaining	
power- WOE,	
IV,	Distribution
Look	at	WOE	to	
create	bins	etc.		
WOEDensity	Dist.
MLP	Demo Network	training	
Little	or	No	Manual	Feature	Engineering	
• No	over	or	under	sampling	
• No	variables	dropped	
• Only	standardization	of	features	done
• 75%	training/	25%	validation	
• No	manual	binning	
Fitted	Network
• Multi	Layer	Perceptron	with	three	hidden	layers.	
o Activation	function	=	Sigmoid
o #	of	neurons	=	512	in	the	input	layer
o Each	consequent	layer	has	half	the	neurons		
o Cost	function	=	logloss
o Optimizer	=	adam	
o Epochs=	5
o Dropout	rate	=	30%
MLP	Demo Performance	summary
Metric Value
Accuracy	Score 99.9%
Logloss 0.003
Precision	Score 77%
Recall	Score 75%
Area	Under	the	
Curve	(AUC)
87.4%
FScore 76.5%
MLP	Demo Fine-tuning	model- Hyperparameters	optimization
• Epochs	=	[5,10,15,20,25…]
• Batch	Size	=	[5,10,20,30,40…]
• Optimizer=	[‘SGD’,	’Adam’,	’RMSprop’…]
• Learning	Rate	=	[0.01,0.05,0.1,0.2…]
• Momentum	=	[0.2,0.4,0.6,…]
• Weights	Initiation=	[‘Uniform’,	‘Normal’,	…]
• Activation	Function=	[‘relu’,’sigmoid’,	‘tanh’,	‘softmax’,…]
• Drop-out	rate=	[0.0,0.2,0.4,0.5,…]
• Neurons=	[5,10,20,30,40…]
Python	scikit-learn	gridsearch	function,	design	of	experiment(	screening	design,	
fractional	designs)	needs	to	be	combined	with	intutition	and	expertise	to	come	
out	with	the	best	network!
Thank	You!	
17

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