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Professor David Gordon




                Reform of the NHS:
Choice, Markets, Competition in the NHS – What Does it
              Mean for Health Inequality
                    28th January 2006
2
        Health reform in England: update and next steps



    The imperative for reform is urgent and growing. People
    want more from their public services, to match the choice,
    customer service and personalisation they can get from
    their bank, supermarket or on-line shopping.

    Patricia Hewitt Secretary of State for Health December 2005
3
                   Choice in Health Care

    A 2002 Harris Interactive telephone survey of 1,013
    U.S. adults, which asked whether they had seen or
    responded to ratings of hospitals or physicians, found
    that only 1 percent of respondents had made a
    decision to change health plans, doctors, or hospitals
    on the basis of performance evidence
    "Ultimately, choice comes at a price. As consumers,
    we are expected to pay for the privilege of choice, and
    if we cannot pay, we do not get to choose and, more
    than likely, do not get at all," ….. "I left the U.S.
    convinced that having less choice in health care is a
    price well worth paying for universal coverage.“
4
            NHS Reforms: Choice Agenda 2006-2009

    The reforms are inter-related and mutually reinforcing. There are four
    connected streams of work:

    •more choice and a much stronger voice for patients (demand-side
    reforms);

    •more diverse providers, with more freedom to innovate and improve
    services (supply-side reforms);

    •money following the patients, rewarding the best and most efficient,
    giving others the incentive to improve (transactional reforms);

    •system management and decision making to support quality, safety,
    fairness, equity and value for money (system management reforms).
5
    New Public Management (NPM) and the Choice Agenda


    NPM theory originated in the private sector
    OECD & UK government are promoting NPM in the public
    sector
    NPM is rooted in neo-classical economic assumptions that
    every person is actuated only by self-interest. From this,
    everything else follows. If people are self-interested, they
    have to be motivated by incentives. Different self-interests
    lead to endemic conflicts.
    To resolve conflicting interests efficiently, markets are best.
    Self-interest and markets favour competition rather than
    co-operation, and mandate hierarchy to keep people in
    line. They also empty management of all moral or ethical
    concern.
6
       New Public Management (NPM) and the NHS


    The NHS could never successfully function if self-
    interest became the main motivating factor for its
    staff.

    The Health Service works on the basis of collegiality,
    co-operation and trust - what Richard Titmus termed
    the ‘Gift Relationship’ (Titmus, 1970).

    New public management undermines co-operation
    and trust and promotes competition and vested self-
    interest in their place.
7




    “Inequality in health is the worst
       inequality
     of all. There is no more serious
       inequality
     than knowing that you’ll die sooner
     because you’re badly off” 1997
                    Frank Dobson,
                  (Secretary of state for health
                  1997-1999
8                          Age at death by age group, 1990-1995




    Source: The State of the World Population 1998
9


    “The world's biggest killer and the greatest cause of ill
    health and suffering across the globe is listed almost at the
    end of the International Classification of Diseases. It is
    given code Z59.5 -- extreme poverty.
    World Health Organisation (1995)

     Seven out of 10 childhood deaths in developing countries
    can be attributed to just five main causes - or a combination
    of them: pneumonia, diarrhoea, measles, malaria and
    malnutrition. Around the world, three out of four children
    seen by health services are suffering from at least one of
    these conditions.
    World Health Organisation (1996; 1998).
10




         30
              40
                   50
                            60
                                      70
                                           80
1840s                                           90
1850s
1860s*
1870s
1880s
1890s
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s*
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
                                                     Expectation of years of life, at birth




                                Men
                        Women
11    Mortality of Infants and Young People, 1739-79

                              % Deaths among recorded
                                     baptisms
                           Under 5 years   Under 21 years

     British Dukes
     (Hollingsworth,            20              27
     1965
     Bedfordshire
     peasants
     (fairly prosperous)        24              31
     (Tranter, 1966)
     Lincolnshire
     peasants                   39              60
     (Chambers, 1972)
12
     Longevity of families, by class and area of residence, 1834-41

         District      Gentry and     Farmers and    Labourers
                       professional    tradesman    and artisans

         Rural
         Rutland           52             41            38


         Urban
         Bath              55             37            25
         Leeds             44             27            19
         Bethnal           45             26            16
         Green
         Manchester        38             20            17
         Liverpool         35             22            15
13
     Respiratory      Digestive




      Genitourinary   Cancers




      Circulatory     Accidents
14   SMRs - From the 1920s to the 1990s, men 20-64

     Year                   SMR by Social Class

                 I     II     III       IV        V     Ratio V:I



     1921-23     82    94     95       101        125      1.5

     1930-32     90    94     97       102        111      1.2

     1942        88    93     99       103        115      1.3

     1949-1953   86    92     101      104        118      1.4

     1959-1963   76    81     100      103        143      1.9

     1970-1972   77    81     103      114        137      1.8

     1981-1983   66    76     100      116        165      2.5

     1991-1993   66    72    113*      116        189      2.9
15




     Source: DoH 2003
16
17   The highest and lowest premature
     mortality constituencies of Britain
                 (1991-95)
18   Figure #. Standardised mortality ratios for deaths under 65 in Britain
     by tenths of population by area, 1950-53 to 1999-2000

      160

      150

      140                                                           First
                                                                    Second
      130
                                                                    Third
      120                                                           Fourth
                                                                    Fifth
      110
                                                                    Sixth
      100                                                           Seventh
                                                                    Eighth
      90
                                                                    Ninth
      80                                                            Tenth

      70

      60
            1950- 1959- 1969- 1981- 1986- 1990- 1993- 1996- 1999-
             53    63    73    85    89    92    95    98   2000
19   Low Income in Britain 1961-2003
20
21
22




     Shettleston, Glasgow
23
24           Tackling Health Inequalities: lessons from the UK

     •You need a plan and clear, measurable objectives.

     •You need belief … Action needs to start with the belief that you can do
     something about it.

     •You need a cross-governmental plan to address health inequalities –
     including the finance ministry.

     •Although this work is not about health services alone, the health sector has
     an important leadership role to play.

     •‘Joined up government’ is very important, particularly at the local level,
     where planning and funding mechanisms need to be brought into the picture.

     www.who.int/social_determinants/advocacy/wha_csdh/en/
25

     Aims and targets
     “The government’s strategy on health
     inequalities aims to narrow the gap in health
     outcomes across geographical areas, socio-
     economic groups, age groups and different
     black and minority ethnic groups, as well as
     between men and women and between the
     majority of the population and vulnerable
     groups with special needs”
     (HM Treasury and Department of Health,
     2002)
26
        Approaches to Health Inequality Target Setting

     In the European Union;

     “most countries with quantitative targets have set them in terms
     of reducing gaps between the poorest and the more affluent, but
     Scotland and W ales appear to be unique in terms of emphasising
     the importance of improving the position of the poorest groups
     per se.”

     In Wales & Scotland the targets do not focus explicitly on
     ‘closing the gap’ but emphasise relatively faster
     improvements for the most deprived groups.
                                                Source: Judge et al (2005)
27   Likely health impact of socio-economic interventions




                                       Source: Mitchell et al 2000
Very little of the mortality gap by social class can be
28
     explained by known ‘risk’ factors
29
            Tackling Health Inequalities

     1. The solutions?
           - What can the health service do


     Ending the Inverse Care law - equitable, accessible
     and inclusive health care and health resource
     allocation
30
                    The Inverse Care Law


     The term 'inverse care law' was coined by Tudor Hart
     (1971) to describe the general observation that "the
     availability of good medical care tends to vary inversely
     with the need of the population served."

      A primary aim of health inequalities audits and impact
     assessments should be to identify the best method or
     methods of allocation in order to distribute resources on
     the basis of health needs and thereby alleviate the
     problems caused by the ‘inverse care law’.
The Inverse Care Law
31

     Average number of GPs per 100,000 by area deprivation, 2002 & 2004




                                                        Source: SRGHI 2005
Ending inequity in health care
32
     ·    Most effective medical interventions do not reduce disease incidence risk but
     may improve prognosis and quality of life through primary, secondary and
     tertiary prevention.

     ·    In order to reduce health inequalities it is essential that all segments of
     society share equally in these advances on the basis of clinical needs and not be
     influenced by spurious socio-demographic factors
     ·
              Health care provision must be commensurate with clinical need and
     unbiased by socio-economic status. A mismatch between need and provision is
     inequitable.

     · Evidence of clinical effectiveness is essential in interpreting patterns of
     service provision by socio-economic status as overprovision may be as harmful
     as under-provision.

     · Inequity can function at various different domains such as age, socioeconomic
     status, geography, ethnicity and gender. These domains may act independently or
     additively.
     ·    Inequity can occur at primary, secondary and tertiary care levels within the
     NHS.
33   Ten Tips For Better Health – Liam Donaldson, 1999
     1. Don't smoke. If you can, stop. If you can't, cut down.

     2. Follow a balanced diet with plenty of fruit and vegetables.

     3. Keep physically active.

     4. Manage stress by, for example, talking things through and making

       time to relax.

     5. If you drink alcohol, do so in moderation.

     6. Cover up in the sun, and protect children from sunburn.

     7. Practice safer sex.

     8. Take up cancer screening opportunities.

     9. Be safe on the roads: follow the Highway Code.

     10. Learn the First Aid ABC : airways, breathing, circulation.
34
     Alternative Ten Tips for Health


     1. Don't be poor. If you can, stop. If you can't, try not to be poor for long.
     2. Don't live in a deprived area, if you do move.
     3. Be able to afford to own a car
     4. Don't work in a stressful, low paid manual job.
     5. Don't live in damp, low quality housing or be homeless
     6. Be able to afford to go on an annual holiday.
     7. Don’t be a lone parent.
     8. Claim all benefits to which you are entitled
     9. Don't live next to a busy major road or near a polluting factory.
     10. Use education to improve your socio-economic position
35   The Origin of the Choice Agenda: NHS Safe in our Hands

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Reform of the nhs the choice agenda

  • 1. Professor David Gordon Reform of the NHS: Choice, Markets, Competition in the NHS – What Does it Mean for Health Inequality 28th January 2006
  • 2. 2 Health reform in England: update and next steps The imperative for reform is urgent and growing. People want more from their public services, to match the choice, customer service and personalisation they can get from their bank, supermarket or on-line shopping. Patricia Hewitt Secretary of State for Health December 2005
  • 3. 3 Choice in Health Care A 2002 Harris Interactive telephone survey of 1,013 U.S. adults, which asked whether they had seen or responded to ratings of hospitals or physicians, found that only 1 percent of respondents had made a decision to change health plans, doctors, or hospitals on the basis of performance evidence "Ultimately, choice comes at a price. As consumers, we are expected to pay for the privilege of choice, and if we cannot pay, we do not get to choose and, more than likely, do not get at all," ….. "I left the U.S. convinced that having less choice in health care is a price well worth paying for universal coverage.“
  • 4. 4 NHS Reforms: Choice Agenda 2006-2009 The reforms are inter-related and mutually reinforcing. There are four connected streams of work: •more choice and a much stronger voice for patients (demand-side reforms); •more diverse providers, with more freedom to innovate and improve services (supply-side reforms); •money following the patients, rewarding the best and most efficient, giving others the incentive to improve (transactional reforms); •system management and decision making to support quality, safety, fairness, equity and value for money (system management reforms).
  • 5. 5 New Public Management (NPM) and the Choice Agenda NPM theory originated in the private sector OECD & UK government are promoting NPM in the public sector NPM is rooted in neo-classical economic assumptions that every person is actuated only by self-interest. From this, everything else follows. If people are self-interested, they have to be motivated by incentives. Different self-interests lead to endemic conflicts. To resolve conflicting interests efficiently, markets are best. Self-interest and markets favour competition rather than co-operation, and mandate hierarchy to keep people in line. They also empty management of all moral or ethical concern.
  • 6. 6 New Public Management (NPM) and the NHS The NHS could never successfully function if self- interest became the main motivating factor for its staff. The Health Service works on the basis of collegiality, co-operation and trust - what Richard Titmus termed the ‘Gift Relationship’ (Titmus, 1970). New public management undermines co-operation and trust and promotes competition and vested self- interest in their place.
  • 7. 7 “Inequality in health is the worst inequality of all. There is no more serious inequality than knowing that you’ll die sooner because you’re badly off” 1997 Frank Dobson, (Secretary of state for health 1997-1999
  • 8. 8 Age at death by age group, 1990-1995 Source: The State of the World Population 1998
  • 9. 9 “The world's biggest killer and the greatest cause of ill health and suffering across the globe is listed almost at the end of the International Classification of Diseases. It is given code Z59.5 -- extreme poverty. World Health Organisation (1995) Seven out of 10 childhood deaths in developing countries can be attributed to just five main causes - or a combination of them: pneumonia, diarrhoea, measles, malaria and malnutrition. Around the world, three out of four children seen by health services are suffering from at least one of these conditions. World Health Organisation (1996; 1998).
  • 10. 10 30 40 50 60 70 80 1840s 90 1850s 1860s* 1870s 1880s 1890s 1900s 1910s 1920s 1930s 1940s* 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s Expectation of years of life, at birth Men Women
  • 11. 11 Mortality of Infants and Young People, 1739-79 % Deaths among recorded baptisms Under 5 years Under 21 years British Dukes (Hollingsworth, 20 27 1965 Bedfordshire peasants (fairly prosperous) 24 31 (Tranter, 1966) Lincolnshire peasants 39 60 (Chambers, 1972)
  • 12. 12 Longevity of families, by class and area of residence, 1834-41 District Gentry and Farmers and Labourers professional tradesman and artisans Rural Rutland 52 41 38 Urban Bath 55 37 25 Leeds 44 27 19 Bethnal 45 26 16 Green Manchester 38 20 17 Liverpool 35 22 15
  • 13. 13 Respiratory Digestive Genitourinary Cancers Circulatory Accidents
  • 14. 14 SMRs - From the 1920s to the 1990s, men 20-64 Year SMR by Social Class I II III IV V Ratio V:I 1921-23 82 94 95 101 125 1.5 1930-32 90 94 97 102 111 1.2 1942 88 93 99 103 115 1.3 1949-1953 86 92 101 104 118 1.4 1959-1963 76 81 100 103 143 1.9 1970-1972 77 81 103 114 137 1.8 1981-1983 66 76 100 116 165 2.5 1991-1993 66 72 113* 116 189 2.9
  • 15. 15 Source: DoH 2003
  • 16. 16
  • 17. 17 The highest and lowest premature mortality constituencies of Britain (1991-95)
  • 18. 18 Figure #. Standardised mortality ratios for deaths under 65 in Britain by tenths of population by area, 1950-53 to 1999-2000 160 150 140 First Second 130 Third 120 Fourth Fifth 110 Sixth 100 Seventh Eighth 90 Ninth 80 Tenth 70 60 1950- 1959- 1969- 1981- 1986- 1990- 1993- 1996- 1999- 53 63 73 85 89 92 95 98 2000
  • 19. 19 Low Income in Britain 1961-2003
  • 20. 20
  • 21. 21
  • 22. 22 Shettleston, Glasgow
  • 23. 23
  • 24. 24 Tackling Health Inequalities: lessons from the UK •You need a plan and clear, measurable objectives. •You need belief … Action needs to start with the belief that you can do something about it. •You need a cross-governmental plan to address health inequalities – including the finance ministry. •Although this work is not about health services alone, the health sector has an important leadership role to play. •‘Joined up government’ is very important, particularly at the local level, where planning and funding mechanisms need to be brought into the picture. www.who.int/social_determinants/advocacy/wha_csdh/en/
  • 25. 25 Aims and targets “The government’s strategy on health inequalities aims to narrow the gap in health outcomes across geographical areas, socio- economic groups, age groups and different black and minority ethnic groups, as well as between men and women and between the majority of the population and vulnerable groups with special needs” (HM Treasury and Department of Health, 2002)
  • 26. 26 Approaches to Health Inequality Target Setting In the European Union; “most countries with quantitative targets have set them in terms of reducing gaps between the poorest and the more affluent, but Scotland and W ales appear to be unique in terms of emphasising the importance of improving the position of the poorest groups per se.” In Wales & Scotland the targets do not focus explicitly on ‘closing the gap’ but emphasise relatively faster improvements for the most deprived groups. Source: Judge et al (2005)
  • 27. 27 Likely health impact of socio-economic interventions Source: Mitchell et al 2000
  • 28. Very little of the mortality gap by social class can be 28 explained by known ‘risk’ factors
  • 29. 29 Tackling Health Inequalities 1. The solutions? - What can the health service do Ending the Inverse Care law - equitable, accessible and inclusive health care and health resource allocation
  • 30. 30 The Inverse Care Law The term 'inverse care law' was coined by Tudor Hart (1971) to describe the general observation that "the availability of good medical care tends to vary inversely with the need of the population served." A primary aim of health inequalities audits and impact assessments should be to identify the best method or methods of allocation in order to distribute resources on the basis of health needs and thereby alleviate the problems caused by the ‘inverse care law’.
  • 31. The Inverse Care Law 31 Average number of GPs per 100,000 by area deprivation, 2002 & 2004 Source: SRGHI 2005
  • 32. Ending inequity in health care 32 · Most effective medical interventions do not reduce disease incidence risk but may improve prognosis and quality of life through primary, secondary and tertiary prevention. · In order to reduce health inequalities it is essential that all segments of society share equally in these advances on the basis of clinical needs and not be influenced by spurious socio-demographic factors · Health care provision must be commensurate with clinical need and unbiased by socio-economic status. A mismatch between need and provision is inequitable. · Evidence of clinical effectiveness is essential in interpreting patterns of service provision by socio-economic status as overprovision may be as harmful as under-provision. · Inequity can function at various different domains such as age, socioeconomic status, geography, ethnicity and gender. These domains may act independently or additively. · Inequity can occur at primary, secondary and tertiary care levels within the NHS.
  • 33. 33 Ten Tips For Better Health – Liam Donaldson, 1999 1. Don't smoke. If you can, stop. If you can't, cut down. 2. Follow a balanced diet with plenty of fruit and vegetables. 3. Keep physically active. 4. Manage stress by, for example, talking things through and making time to relax. 5. If you drink alcohol, do so in moderation. 6. Cover up in the sun, and protect children from sunburn. 7. Practice safer sex. 8. Take up cancer screening opportunities. 9. Be safe on the roads: follow the Highway Code. 10. Learn the First Aid ABC : airways, breathing, circulation.
  • 34. 34 Alternative Ten Tips for Health 1. Don't be poor. If you can, stop. If you can't, try not to be poor for long. 2. Don't live in a deprived area, if you do move. 3. Be able to afford to own a car 4. Don't work in a stressful, low paid manual job. 5. Don't live in damp, low quality housing or be homeless 6. Be able to afford to go on an annual holiday. 7. Don’t be a lone parent. 8. Claim all benefits to which you are entitled 9. Don't live next to a busy major road or near a polluting factory. 10. Use education to improve your socio-economic position
  • 35. 35 The Origin of the Choice Agenda: NHS Safe in our Hands