presentación oral invitada en el workshop REMEDIA 2012 en la temática de mitigación de GEi transversal

1. Exploring the role of
stakeholders in
mitigation and
adaptation decisions
Ana Iglesias, UPM
Remedia Workshop, 8 March 2012, Bilbao
1

2. Acknowledgements
87 scientists Ábalos D, Agulló E, Albiac J, Aranda X, Artetxe
A, Benito-Garzón M, Biel C, Bravo C, Bustamante MA, Castrillón
L, Chadwick DR, Chirinda N, Cunningham R, De Herralde F, Del Hierro
O, Del Prado A, Doltra J, Domingo F, Durán JM, Fernández J, Fernández
Nava Y, Fons, Funes I, Gallejones P, García MA, Garcia-Martinez
S, Gómez-Aparicio L, Guimaraes AC, Hernández S, Herrera I, Iglesias
A, Kahil MT, Khatun K, Kowalski AS, Lægdsmand M, Lago C, Lechón
Y, Marañón E, Martín J, Medina F, Merino P., Milego R, Misselbrook
T, Moral R, Moran D, Navas LM, Newbold C J, Ojea E, Olesen
JE, Omaña JM, Ormaechea P, Orús F, Oyonarte C, Pardo G, Pardo
N, Paredes C, Paredes V, Pascual D, Pérez IA, Perez-Espinosa A, Perez-
Murcia MD, Pérez-Priego O, Pinto M, Pinto M, Pla E, Quiroga
G, Quiroga S, Romero L, Ruiz JJ, Ruiz-Benito P, Sáez R, Sanchez
B, Sánchez J, Sánchez LF, Sánchez ML, Sánchez-Cañete E, Sanz
MJ, Sanz-Cobeña A, Savé R, Scholefield D, Serrano-Ortiz P, Tapia J, Topp
C, Vallejo A, Were A, Wu L, Zavala MA
2

3. food
forests, dry energy
lands
technology, e
EXPERIMENTS
c. efficiency
MODELS
SURVEYS
information,
governance
knowledge
adaptation
motivation barriers
3
A view of the problem from the academic side

4.  Water
 Drylands, C storage 20-30% of the terrestrial global total
 Forests and trees contain 70% C of total vegetation global
 Inventario Forestal Nacional Español (IFN) y del CORINE
Land Cover
 Basque Country grasslands (about 30 % of the total area)
 Mitigation policies in the Huesca province of Aragon.
 Environmental policies: emission taxes, input-based taxes
(irrigation water and nitrogen), reduction of irrigation water
by 25 percent, improved feed of swine herd, and reduction
of swine herd by 15 percent
 There is not a unique preferred measure.
 Local characteristics and social acceptability
 Many economic assessment: models, assumptions
4

5. The south of the north

6. Iglesias et al. (2005-2012)
 Projects: PICCMAT, Smart Soils, Animal
Change, Climate Cost
 Understand social, institutional and
behavioural motivation and barriers
 Participatory evaluation
 Economic valuation (efficiency, equity)
 Understand cost of action and cost of inaction
6

7. Influences on mitigation decisions
(Iglesias, Medina, PICCMAT, 2009;
Iglesias et al., ANIMAL CHANGE, ongoing)
Motivation
Knowledge, Mitigation
information action
Barriers
Tools: Behavioural economics

8. Very high
implementation
low no
Barriers to
no high
None
Very small Very large
Potential benefit
of the measures

9. Guidelines for improving SOC
(Iglesias, Sanchez, Quiroga, SMART SOILS, ongoing)
9

10. Full costs of climate change =
cost of inaction
economic costs (impacts, baseline)
- cost of action
+ costs of mitigation + costs of adaptation
- benefits from mitigation - benefits from
adaptation
Iglesias et al., 2011, Looking into the future of
agriculture, European Review of Agricultural
Economics, 2011, Ciscar et al., 2011, PNAS --- Project: ClimateCost
10

11. 11

12. Scenario A1B_av Adaptation 1&3
Irrigation water demand change (% of baseline)
0 2 10 20 30 80
12

13. Scenario A1B_av Adaptation 2
Nitrogen fertiliser change (% of baseline)
0 25 50 100 200 300
13

14. Reasons to be optimistic? (my own view)
Optimistic Pesimistic
Technology x
Competitiveness, efficiency x x
Trade and prices x x
Equity x
Information, knowledge x
Mitigation policy x x
Adaptation policy x x
Lack of Governance x
14

15. A view of the role of REMEDIA and how may
influence mitigation decisions
Legisla- Research
tion funding Interested
parties
Research
Human
progra-
resources
Societal mmes Perceived Public
values Scientific solutions discourse
Economic
know-
goals
ledge
Presence
Political Technical of leader
attention expertise

16. thank you
ana.iglesias@upm.es
Presentation made at the:
REMEDIA Workshop, Bilbao, 8 March 2012
16