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QE Intra-Day Movement

Market Indicators

9,850

9,800
9,750
9,700
9:30

31 Oct 13

30 Oct 13

%Chg.

Value Traded (QR mn)
Exch. Market Cap. (QR mn)
Volume (mn)
Number of Transactions
Companies Traded
Market Breadth

381.3
533,105.7
8.0
5,388
38
26:11

298.8
528,428.8
8.7
3,066
36
20:11

27.6
0.9
(7.2)
75.7
5.6
–

Market Indices

10:00

10:30

11:00

11:30

12:00

12:30

13:00

Qatar Commentary
The QE index rose 0.8% to close at 9,837.5. Gains were led by the Insurance
and Industrials indices, gaining 1.6% and 1.2% respectively. Top gainers were
Qatar Insurance Co. and QNB Group, rising 2.6% and 2.1% respectively.
Among the top losers, Widam Food Co. fell 1.6%, while Mazaya Qatar Real
Estate Dev. declined 1.5%.

Close

Total Return
All Share Index
Banks
Industrials
Transportation
Real Estate
Insurance
Telecoms
Consumer
Al Rayan Islamic Index

1D%

WTD%

YTD%

TTM P/E

14,055.51
2,466.67
2,337.58
3,220.11
1,830.07
1,823.05
2,331.58
1,438.50
5,891.43
2,813.42

0.8
0.8
0.9
1.2
0.5
0.7
1.6
(0.2)
0.2
0.5

1.9
1.8
1.8
3.1
1.4
1.0
0.3
0.7
0.4
1.1

24.2
22.4
19.9
22.6
36.5
13.1
18.7
35.1
26.1
13.1

N/A
12.5
12.6
11.7
12.4
12.5
9.6
19.9
22.3
14.7

Close#

1D%

Vol. ‘000

0.37

4.3

0.5

2.9

GCC Commentary

GCC Top Gainers##

Exchange

Saudi Arabia: The TASI index rose 0.5% to close at 8,044.5. Gains were led
by the Agri. & Food Ind. and Transport indices, rising 1.4% and 1.2%
respectively. City Cement Co. gained 3.8%, while MEDGULF was up 3.6%.

IFA Hotels & Resorts

Kuwait

City Cement Co.

Saudi Arabia

24.90

3.7

2,189.7

44.3

Dubai: The DFM index gained 0.2% to close at 2,922.2. The Insurance index
rose 1.2%, while the Investment & Financial Services index was up 0.5%.
Oman Insurance Co. gained 14.9%, while Agility was up 14.7%.

MEDGULF

Saudi Arabia

29.10

3.6

1,763.8

29.0

Saudi Public Transport

Saudi Arabia

21.90

3.5

5,005.9

32.7

Abu Dhabi: The ADX benchmark index rose 0.1% to close at 3,845.7. The
Insurance index gained 1.9%, while the Industrial index was up 1.6%. Al Ain Al
Ahlia Insurance Co. surged 15.0%, while Eshraq properties Co. gained 9.2%.

United Real Estate Co.

Kuwait

0.12

3.4

211.8

0.0

GCC Top Losers

Exchange

Kuwait: The KSE index gained 0.3% to close at 7,946.4. The Technology
index rose 2.4%, while the Consumer Services index was up 1.1%. Kuwait
Hotels Co. gained 8.2%, while KIPCO Asset Management Co. was up 8.1%.

NBQ

Abu Dhabi

3.00

(4.8)

0.1

62.2

Ahli United Bank

Kuwait

0.73

(2.7)

150.0

(2.1)

Oman: The MSM index rose 0.2% to close at 6,674.1. The Industrial index
gained 0.7%, while all other indices ended in green. National Gas Co. rose
9.7%, while A'Sharqiya Investment Holding Co. was up 5.5%.

Al Hassan G I Shaker

Saudi Arabia

74.25

(2.3)

213.6

15.1

Mabanee Co.

Kuwait

1.22

(1.6)

461.6

13.7

National Ind. Co.

Saudi Arabia

27.40

(1.4)

2,941.3

(1.1)

Bahrain: The BHB index gained 0.3% to close at 1,201.8. The Comm.
Banking index rose 0.6%, while the Hotel & Tourism index was up 0.1%.
Bahrain Family Leisure gained 4.8%, while Nat. Bank of Bahrain was up 3.2%.

##

#

Close

1D% Vol. ‘000

YTD%

YTD%

Source: Bloomberg (# in Local Currency) (## GCC Top gainers/losers derived from the Bloomberg GCC
200 Index comprising of the top 200 regional equities based on market capitalization and liquidity)

Qatar Insurance Co.

Close*

1D%

Vol. ‘000

YTD%

Close*

1D%

Vol. ‘000

YTD%

63.50

Qatar Exchange Top Gainers

2.6

309.2

17.7

Widam Food Co.

48.25

(1.6)

77.7

(17.9)

11.38

(1.5)

455.3

3.5

Qatar Exchange Top Losers

QNB Group

166.00

2.1

142.8

26.8

Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev.

Industries Qatar

159.50

1.9

544.9

13.1

Commercial Bank of Qatar

66.30

(1.3)

854.6

(6.5)

Gulf International Services

58.60

1.7

238.8

95.3

Doha Insurance Co.

25.00

(1.0)

229.7

1.8

Qatar & Oman Investment Co.

12.35

1.6

260.8

(0.3)

Aamal Co.

14.25

(0.8)

45.9

4.7
YTD%

Close*

1D%

Vol. ‘000

YTD%

Qatar Exchange Top Val. Trades

Close*

1D%

Val. ‘000

United Development Co.

22.00

1.0

1,665.6

23.6

Industries Qatar

159.50

1.9

86,373.5

13.1

Commercial Bank of Qatar

66.30

(1.3)

854.6

(6.5)

Commercial Bank of Qatar

66.30

(1.3)

56,411.1

(6.5)

Qatar Exchange Top Vol. Trades

26.80

Industries Qatar
Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev.

0.8

599.8

(2.4)

United Development Co.

159.50

Barwa Real Estate Co.

1.9

544.9

13.1

QNB Group

11.38

(1.5)

455.3

3.5

Qatar*
Dubai
Abu Dhabi
Saudi Arabia
Kuwait
Oman
Bahrain

1.0

36,516.5

23.6

2.1

23,520.1

26.8

63.50

2.6

19,312.1

17.7

Source: Bloomberg (* in QR)

Source: Bloomberg (* in QR)

Regional Indices

Qatar Insurance Co.

22.00
166.00

Close

1D%

WTD%

MTD%

YTD%

9,837.49
2,922.18
3,845.72
8,044.47
7,946.39
6,674.07
1,201.79

0.8
0.2
0.1
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.3

1.9
0.4
(0.9)
(1.5)
(0.1)
0.1
(0.1)

2.4
5.8
0.1
1.0
2.3
0.4
0.7

17.7
80.1
46.2
18.3
33.9
15.9
12.8

Exch. Val. Traded
($ mn)
104.77
126.95
159.09
1,212.38
130.64
31.30
0.63

Exchange Mkt.
Cap. ($ mn)
146,444.1
70,176.2
111,348.1
433,772.6
110,906.7
23,774.7
16,923.3

P/E**

P/B**

12.6
15.9
10.8
16.4
19.1
10.8
8.2

1.7
1.2
1.3
2.1
1.3
1.6
0.8

Dividend
Yield
4.7
3.1
4.7
3.6
3.5
3.9
4.0

Source: Bloomberg, Qatar Exchange, Tadawul, Muscat Securities Exchange, Dubai Financial Market and Zawya (** TTM; * Value traded ($ mn) do not include special trades, if any)

Page 1 of 7
Qatar Market Commentary
 The QE index rose 0.8% to close at 9,837.5. The Insurance and
Industrials indices led the gains. The index rose on the back of
buying support from non-Qatari shareholders despite selling
pressure from Qatari shareholders.

Overall Activity

Sell %*

Net (QR)

Qatari

63.07%

73.59%

(40,147,499.44)

Non-Qatari

 Qatar Insurance Co. and QNB Group were the top gainers, rising
2.6% and 2.1% respectively. Among the top losers, Widam Food
Co. fell 1.6%, while Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. declined
1.5%.

Buy %*

36.94%

26.41%

40,147,499.44

Source: Qatar Exchange (* as a % of traded value)

 Volume of shares traded on Thursday declined by 7.2% to 8.0mn
from 8.7mn on Wednesday. However, as compared to the 30day moving average of 6.5mn, volume for the day was 23.2%
higher. United Development Co. and Commercial Bank of Qatar
were the most active stocks, contributing 20.7% and 10.6% to
the total volume respectively.

Earnings and Global Economic Data
Earnings Releases
Company

Market

Currency

Revenue
(mn) 3Q2013

% Change
YoY

Operating Profit
(mn) 3Q2013

% Change
YoY

Net Profit (mn)
3Q2013

% Change
YoY

Saudi Cable Co. (SCC)
Weqaya Takaful Insurance &
Reinsurance Co.
Saudi Indian Company for
Cooperative Insurance
Emirates Integrated
Telecomm. Co. (EITC)

Saudi Arabia

SR

–

–

-14.4

27.9%

-8.0

-41.3%

Saudi Arabia

SR

66.9

-14.8%

–

–

–

–

Saudi Arabia

SR

22.5

-11.6%

–

–

–

–

Dubai

AED

2,643.0

8.0%

1,064.0

11.2%

474.0

45.0%

Dubai Investments (DI)
Ras Al Khaimah Ceramic
Co. (RAK Ceramics)

Dubai

AED

630.8

11.1%

–

–

161.1

97.8%

Abu Dhabi

AED

922.3

7.1%

90.5

22.1%

72.0

152%

Abu Dhabi Aviation (ADA)
Ras Al Khaimah Poultry &
Feeding Co. (Rapco)
Gulf Pharmaceutical
Industries (Julphar)

Abu Dhabi

AED

392.4

-4.5%

94.7

8.1%

61.5

73.9%

Abu Dhabi

AED

11.8

89.8%

–

–

–

-97.0%

Abu Dhabi

AED

307.0

13.0%

–

–

50.2

17.9%

RAK Properties*
Oman Investment & Finance
Co. (OIFC)**
Gulf International Chemicals
(GIC)*
Port Services Corporation
(PSC)*

Abu Dhabi

AED

170.4

-67.8%

–

–

70.7

-17.9%

Oman

OMR

–

–

–

–

3.2

227.3%

Oman

ONR

2.7

10.7%

–

–

0.3

9.1%

Oman

OMR

19.1

6.9%

–

–

4.9

4.4%

Bahrain Cinema Co. (BCC)

Bahrain

BHD

–

–

–

–

1.5

20.3%

Source: Company data, DFM, ADX, MSM (* results for nine months ended Sept 2013, ** results for

Global Economic Data
Date

Market

Source

Indicator

Period

Actual

Consensus

Previous

10/31

US

US Treasury

Monthly Budget Statement

September

$75.1B

$69.0B

$75.2B

10/31

US

Department of Labor

Initial Jobless Claims

26-October

340K

338K

350K

10/31

US

Department of Labor

Continuing Claims

19-October

2881K

2870K

2850K

10/31

US

Bloomberg

Bloomberg Consumer Comfort

27-October

11/02

US

Bloomberg

Total Vehicle Sales

October

11/02

US

Bloomberg

Domestic Vehicle Sales

October

11.73M

11.90M

11.66M

10/31

EU

Eurostat

Unemployment Rate

September

12.20%

12.00%

12.20%

10/31

EU

Eurostat

CPI Estimate YoY

October

0.70%

1.10%

1.10%

10/31

EU

Eurostat

CPI Core YoY

October

0.80%

1.00%

1.00%

10/31

France

INSEE

PPI MoM

September

0.30%

–

0.10%

10/31

France

INSEE

PPI YoY

September

-0.80%

0.00%

-0.90%

10/31

France

INSEE

Consumer Spending MoM

September

-0.10%

0.30%

-0.30%

10/31

France

INSEE

Consumer Spending YoY

September

-0.10%

0.20%

0.10%

10/31

Germany

Destasis

Retail Sales MoM

September

-0.40%

0.40%

-0.20%

10/31

Germany

Destasis

Retail Sales YoY

September

0.20%

1.10%

0.40%

10/31

Germany

Destasis

Import Price Index MoM

September

0.00%

0.10%

0.10%

-37.6

–

-36.1

15.15M

15.43M

15.21M

Page 2 of 7
10/31

Germany

Destasis

Import Price Index YoY

September

-2.80%

-2.80%

10/31

Germany

GfK

GfK Consumer Confidence

November

7.0

7.2

-3.40%
7.1

10/31

UK

GfK NOP (UK)

GfK Consumer Confidence

October

-11

-8

-10

10/31

UK

Nationwide Building Soc.

Nationwide House PX MoM

October

1.00%

0.70%

0.90%

10/31

UK

Nationwide Building Soc.

Nationwide House Px NSA YoY

October

5.80%

5.10%

5.00%

10/31

Spain

Ministerio de Fomento

Housing Permits MoM

August

-53.70%

–

26.10%

10/31

Spain

Ministerio de Fomento

Housing Permits YoY

August

-27.10%

–

-1.20%

10/31

Spain

Bank of Spain

Current Account Balance

August

2.5B

–

1.6B

10/31

Italy

ISTAT

Unemployment Rate

September

12.50%

12.30%

12.40%

11/01

China

CFLP

Manufacturing PMI

October

51.4

51.2

51.1

11/01

China

HSBC/Markit Manufacturing PMI

October

50.9

50.7

50.2

10/31

Japan

Markit/JMMA Manufacturing PMI

October

54.2

–

52.5

10/31

Japan

Labor Cash Earnings YoY

September

0.10%

-0.40%

-0.90%

10/31

Japan

Housing Starts YoY

September

19.40%

12.10%

8.80%

10/31

Japan

HSBC BANK PLC
Markit/Nomura
Securities Co.,L
Ministry of Health,
Labour & Welfare
Ministry of Land, Infra. &
Tourism
Ministry of Land, Infra. &
Tourism

Construction Orders YoY

September

89.80%

–

21.40%

Source: Bloomberg (s.a. = seasonally adjusted; n.s.a. = non-seasonally adjusted; w.d.a. = working day adjusted)

News
Qatar
 S&P Dow Jones indices to upgrade Qatar, UAE to emerging
market status – S&P Dow Jones Indices has decided to
promote both Qatar and the UAE to emerging market status
from frontier market category with effect from September 2014.
The company cited Qatar's efforts to raise foreign ownership
limits for stocks, though the limits were still below the levels of
most emerging markets, as well as reforms to settlement
systems and trading facilities. S&P Dow Jones Indices further
stated the UAE‟s current foreign ownership limit of 49% is
satisfactory and it expects that this limit will be relaxed over the
coming years. (GulfBase.com, Reuters)
 EIU: Qatar to keep riyal pegged to dollar – According to the
Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), the Qatari riyal will remain
pegged to the US dollar and a revaluation is not expected in the
next financial year as well. EIU said the currency is well
supported by Qatar‟s hydrocarbons revenue and foreign assets.
Plans to create a single currency for the Gulf region are unlikely
to be realized over the next five years. Qatar‟s real economic
growth would remain robust, averaging 4.5% during 2012-30 on
a slowing trend. Qatar‟s population will steadily grow to reach
3.4mn by 2030, largely due to immigration. As a result, growth in
real GDP per head will be much slower than headline growth.
Qatar has also moved to 20th position from 21st in the EIU
global ranking on business environment, driven by the rapid
development of its infrastructure, increased availability of
financing, as well as strong policies on tax and trade. Qatar tops
the group of 17 countries in business environment rankings for
EIU‟s forecast period of 2013-17. EIU said Qatar has the lowest
non-performing loan ratio in the region, at around 2%.
Substantial surpluses will enable Qatar to meet its debtobligations easily, despite having borrowed heavily to finance
the development of new gas and petrochemical facilities. (GulfTimes.com)
 QE-listed companies report 6.67% rise in net profit for
9M2013 – The 41 companies listed on the Qatar Exchange (QE)
surpassed their net profitability in the first nine months of this
year. The 41 listed companies have reported a 6.67% growth in
net profits against 1.88% in the comparable period of 2012.
Their cumulative net profits stood at QR30.14bn during JanuarySeptember as compared to QR28.26bn in 9M2012. (GulfTimes.com, QE)

 Qatargas: China, India demand raises LNG prospects –
Qatargas CEO Sheikh Khalid bin Khalifa al-Thani said demand
for cleaner and flexible energy from emerging economies such
as China and India provides brighter prospects for liquefied
natural gas. In 2012, Asia imported an additional 15.6mn tons of
LNG over 2011, which represents a YoY increase of 10%. Due
to its nuclear reactor shutdown, Japan alone represented over
50% of the Asian LNG consumption growth with imports
reaching 87.5mn tons in 2012. Over the next three years, new
LNG receiving terminals with a total capacity of 23mn tons per
year will be added in China. Similarly, India is expanding its LNG
receiving capacity and its gas pipeline network to pave the way
for increased imports over the coming years. About LNG pricing,
the Qatargas CEO said gas prices will remain regionalized for
the foreseeable future and the North American exports will not
attain the scale and pace that would force a significant change
in the current pricing structure in Europe and Asia. (GulfTimes.com)
 Qatar Holding builds small stakes in BofA, Samsung –
According to sources, Qatar Holding has built small stakes in the
Bank of America (BofA) and Samsung Electronics, as the
sovereign wealth fund continues on its strategy of gaining
minority stakes in large global companies. The fund, one of the
world‟s most prolific investors, has a stake worth about $1bn in
Bank of America, while its stake in Samsung is worth around
$200-300mn, sources said. In recent months, Qatar has picked
up minority stakes in companies such as oil giant Royal Dutch
Shell, jewelry maker Tiffany & Co, and German manufacturer
Siemens. (Gulf-Times)
 Credit Suisse exchanges $4.5bn Qatar notes – Credit Suisse
Group, leading Swiss bank, said it has exchanged $4.5bn worth
of notes held by the Qatar Investment Authority for debt that
qualifies as capital under stricter rules. The Zurich-based bank
and Qatari sovereign wealth fund have swapped Tier 1 capital
notes for contingent-convertible bonds on October 23 in a
transaction approved by the Swiss financial regulator. The swap
helps the Swiss bank to meet demands from the regulator to
boost capital reserves that can better absorb losses amid turmoil
such as the meltdown of the US housing market. (GulfTimes.com)
 QNB offers new package for retired Qataris – QNB has
introduced a new package of banking benefits aimed at retired
Page 3 of 7
Qataris for providing the best priced financial services. The
program provides a number of benefits that include a 25%
discounted interest rate on QNB credit cards, a 50% discount
on all bank fees, bonus rate on fixed deposits, a discount on
personal & vehicle loan interest rates, and reduced cost car
insurance on QNB vehicle loans. (Gulf-Times.com)
 Doha Bank targets tripling overseas profit share on growth
in Asia – Doha Bank, Qatar‟s fifth-largest lender by assets, aims
to triple its profit from overseas activities to as much as 30% of
net income by 2015 as trade between Gulf countries and Asia
increase. The bank‟s CEO Raghavan Seetharaman said the
bank‟s expansion (excluding acquisitions) is expected to raise
overseas profit from about 10% now to 30%. He said the lender
is seeking branch licenses in India and China, which top its list
of foreign markets to establish a foothold in. Meanwhile, Doha
Bank plans to issue a QR2bn Tier 1 perpetual bond by the end
of March 2014 to bolster lending and fund expansion abroad.
Earlier, it had attracted QR2.8bn in a rights offer in March this
year and in May reiterated plans to sell shares in London. (GulfTimes.com)
 Nakilat appoints new members to the top management team
– Nakilat board of directors has appointed Eng. Abdullah
Fadhalah Al-Sulaiti as Nakilat‟s Managing Director. The board
also has appointed Mr. Muhammad Ghannam as an „Expert‟ in
the Managing Director Office. (QE)
 FIC invites Qataris to invest in German equity market –
Germany is seeking Qatari investors, banks and businesses to
invest in its equity market. In this regard, the German Equity
Forum is being organized November 11 to 13 in Frankfurt. The
event organizer Frankfurt International Consulting (FIC) said by
investing in or partnering with German companies, Qatari
businesses can profit in multiple ways including gaining product
know-how, technology transfer, and employees exchange
programs. Further, FIC said the transfer of technology from
Germany plays a crucial role in achieving Qatar‟s ambitious
National Vision 2030. (Gulf-Times.com)
International
 UK growth forecasts raised by CBI – The Confederation of
British Industry (CBI) raised its forecasts for the economic
growth in the UK, and said it expects business investment and
trade to aid the recovery starting next year. In its quarterly
report, the business lobby expected the UK economy to expand
1.4% this year and 2.4% in 2014, which is up from 1.2% and
2.3% projected earlier in August. The group also said that
unemployment – which the Bank of England has set as the key
indicator for its guidance on policy – will decline to 7.2% by the
end of 2015 from its current 7.7%. (Bloomberg)
 Fitch revises Spain’s outlook to Stable – Fitch Ratings raised
its outlook on Spain‟s rating to Stable from Negative, saying the
nation‟s overhaul of banks has advanced well and its financing
conditions have improved. The rating agency affirmed its BBB
rating, leaving the country at the second-lowest investment
grade. Spain has improved its policy track record, with
improvements to its labor market, pension system and budget, it
said. Fitch said the recovery from the prolonged recession came
sooner than it had forecast, and the adjustment from a current
account deficit to surplus has been faster than expected.
However, the Spanish economy will remain weak, growing 0.5%
in 2014, less than the government‟s 0.7% estimate. (Bloomberg)
 US Fed to test banks for interest rate rise, housing collapse
– The Federal Reserve said it will examine how the biggest US
banks will react to a jump in long-term interest rates and another
housing crash during the next round of stress-test scenarios

designed to monitor the US financial system‟s ability to
withstand economic shocks. The central bank will gauge bank
resilience against declines in the prices of high-risk, high-yield
loans and debt, and some high-priced real estate markets
around the country. The Fed is using these tests to encourage
the 30 biggest US banks to build capital cushions against
economic turmoil. The Fed also inserted a test for large trading
and clearing banks on counterparty default. Meanwhile, the 18
bank holding companies tested previously have increased their
aggregate Tier 1 common capital to $836bn in 2Q2013 from
$392bn in 1Q2009, the Fed said. Their Tier 1 common ratio has
more than doubled to a weighted average of 11.1% from 5.3%.
(Bloomberg)
 Inflation risk seen when Fed unwinds balance sheet – The
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Charles
Plosser said inflation will be a concern as the US Fed unwinds
its balance sheet following unprecedented asset purchases.
Plosser said over $2 trillion of excess reserves have been
created, which are sitting on the balance sheets of the banks.
These reserves will become inflationary when they start to flow
out of the banking system, which can worries about inflation.
The Fed‟s preferred gauge of inflation, the personal
consumption expenditures index, rose 1.2% in August, but it has
not breached the 2% target since March 2012. (Bloomberg)
 Ukraine rating Cut to Greek level by S&P as devaluation
seen – Ukraine‟s debt rating was cut to the same junk level as
Greece by Standard & Poor‟s, which said the government is
struggling to weather a shortage of foreign currency, increasing
the likelihood of a hryvnia devaluation. The rating company
lowered Ukraine‟s long-term sovereign credit rating one step to
B-, six levels below investment grade, with a negative outlook.
That leaves the eastern European nation on par with Greece
and Belize, both of which have restructured debt in the past
several years. S&P said “devaluation of the Ukrainian hryvnia
has become more likely. The potential magnitude of this has
also increased in light of the government‟s defense of the
exchange rate through the depletion of foreign-currency
reserves.” (Bloomberg)
 RBS avoids break-up by creating a £38bn internal bad bank
– The Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) is to create an internal
“bad bank” to fence off its riskiest assets, as part of a raft of
measures designed to heal its relationship with the British
government and speed up its eventual privatization. The
government is keen to offload its stakes in RBS and Lloyds
Banking Group as soon as possible, after pumping a combined
£66bn ($106bn) into these banks to keep them afloat during the
2008 financial crisis. Britain began selling shares in Lloyds at a
profit earlier this year, but a sale of its 81% stake in RBS is
much further off, with taxpayers still sitting on a paper loss of
nearly £14bn at current prices. The government stopped short of
ordering a formal break-up of the bank, which had been
advocated by the former Bank of England Governor Mervyn
King, and by Nigel Lawson, a former UK finance minister. They
had argued that the break-up would leave the bank better
placed to lend and support the UK economy, but opponents said
it would be too expensive and complicated. (Gulf-Times.com)
Regional
 Acwa Power plans to go public, to invest $3bn in solar
plants – Saudi-based Acwa Power is planning for a stock
market listing and expects to invest over $3bn in solar plants
over the next five years. (GulfBase.com)
 Kingdom plans to expand its port capacity to meet rising
demand – The Saudi Ports Authority‟s (SPA) General Manager
Musaed Al Darees said that the Kingdom is planning to expand
Page 4 of 7
its ports handling capacity by around 29mn tons in order to meet
the steady rise in trade demand. The expansion, which will be
launched shortly, will raise the combined capacity of the
Western Red Sea port of Jeddah and other sea ports to nearly
500mn tons per year from its current 471mn tons.
(GulfBase.com)

mechanism could help fund managers to raise assets under
management by tapping into a wider client pool and provide a
geographically diverse range of products to their investors. This
plan is part of a bilateral agreement that was signed between
the two central banks, aimed at building closer economic ties
with a focus on Islamic finance. (GulfBase.com)

 IDB plans to invest $27.3mn in Kingdom’s dairy market –
The Irish Dairy Board Cooperative Limited (IDB) is planning to
invest $27.3mn in Saudi Arabia by acquiring 75% stake in Al
Wazeen Trading. IDB is also planning to develop a new cheese
manufacturing plant at this facility, which will produce a range of
fresh white cheeses that appeal to local market tastes. This new
facility will initially supply dairy products to Saudi Arabian
market. This facility will also include an Innovation Hub for
continued R&D on white cheese technologies. (Bloomberg)

 Mashreqbank signs partnership deal with UNB for
AED392mn syndicated contracting facility – Mashreqbank
has entered into a partnership agreement with the Union
National Bank (UNB) to raise a syndicated contracting facility
worth AED392mn for the expansion of Midfield Terminal
Complex at Abu Dhabi International Airport. (Bloomberg)

 STC signs deal with Wataniya to fully acquire BRAVO – The
Saudi Telecom Company (STC) has entered into an agreement
with Wataniya Group to acquire the full ownership of the Public
Telecommunications
Company
(BRAVO).
Under
this
agreement, Wataniya will pay SR244mn to settle STC‟s dues
and transfer all the assets of Bravo to STC. This acquisition will
enable STC to extract synergies by bundling offerings and
significantly improve the quality of service to its customers.
(Tadawul)
 Ashmore in talks to sell 65% stake in GEMS – UK-based
Ashmore Group is in talks to sell its 65% stake in Saudi-based
Global Environmental Management Services (GEMS). This sale
is likely to raise $250-350mn. Ashmore has appointed the Bank
of America Merrill Lynch to assist with this sale process.
(Reuters)
 City Cement’s BoD recommends SR189mn dividends – The
City Cement Company‟s board of directors has recommended
the distribution of dividends worth SR189mn (SR1 per share).
The company‟s shareholders who are registered with the
Securities Depository Center as on November 5, 2013 will be
eligible for this dividend, which will be distributed on November
20, 2013. (Tadawul)
 SAICO obtains SAMA’s approval for insurance product –
The Saudi Arabian Cooperative Insurance Company (SAICO)
has obtained a temporary approval from the Saudi Arabian
Monetary Agency (SAMA) to use its Motor Third Party Liability
insurance product for three months. (Tadawul)
 GGCI receives SAMA’s approval to use insurance products
– The Gulf General Cooperative Insurance Company (GGCI)
has obtained a temporary approval from SAMA to use Motor
Comprehensive – Commercial, Motor – Comprehensive and
Motor TPL insurance products for three months. (Tadawul)
 Aldar eyes rentals, smaller projects post-merger – Aldar
Properties, Abu Dhabi‟s leading real estate developer, will focus
on rental income and smaller projects instead of large
developments in order to avoid the risk of becoming
overstretched again, a senior executive said. The company‟s
Chief Development Officer said after the merger with Sorouh,
Aldar will focus more on earning income from malls, hotels and
other rental properties owned by it, along with building small
developments. Last year, Aldar merged with its smaller rival
Sorouh Real Estate to create a large business with $13bn worth
of assets. (Gulf-Times.com)
 UAE, Malaysia work on fund passporting mechanism to
facilitate fund sales – The Bank Negara Malaysia‟s Governor
Zeti Akhtar Aziz said that the central banks of Malaysia and the
UAE are working on a fund passporting mechanism that will
facilitate sale of funds from one country to the other. This

 UNB reports AED450.3mn net profit in 3Q2013 – The Union
National Bank has reported a net profit of AED450.3mn in
3Q2013, indicating a decline of 14.8% YoY. EPS stood at
AED0.5 for the nine months ended on September 30, 2013 as
compared to AED0.51 for the nine months ended on September
30, 2012. The bank‟s net interest income rose by 5.6% YoY to
AED595.4mn. However, total assets at the end of September
2013 stood at AED85.8bn, reflecting a YTD decrease of 1.5%.
Loan & advances rose by 5.6% YTD to AED60.6bn, while
customer deposits were up 1.3% YTD to AED64.3bn. (ADX)
 Hill International gets 2-year contract extension from
ADNOC – US-based Hill International has received a two-year
contract extension worth $13.3mn to continue providing project
management consultancy services for the new headquarters
complex of the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC).
ADNOC‟s new headquarters is expected to be completed by
January 2015. (Bloomberg)
 NBAD plans to establish 8 new banking hubs – The National
Bank of Abu Dhabi (NBAD) is planning to establish eight
banking hubs in Abu Dhabi, Mumbai, Lagos, Singapore, Hong
Kong, London, Paris and Washington DC in order to achieve its
plans for domestic and international expansion. (Bloomberg)
 NBF plans to open trade finance offices in Africa – The
National Bank of Fujairah (NBF) is planning to open trade
finance offices in Africa as part of its foreign business expansion
plan. NBF is also planning to expand its current network of 14
branches in the UAE with a few new ones in 2014.
(GulfBase.com)
 Etihad temporarily suspends flights to Tripoli – Etihad
Airways has temporarily suspended its three weekly passenger
flights and two weekly cargo flights to Tripoli airport in Libya due
to safety & operational challenges. (Bloomberg)
 Etihad Rail enters into MoU with RSA Logistics – Etihad Rail
has entered into MoU with RSA Logistics. This MoU will pave
way for RSA to use Etihad‟s rail network for its transport needs
in the UAE as well as cross-border services in other GCC
countries. (GulfBase.com)
 RAKBANK appoints new CEO – The National Bank of Ras Al
Khaimah‟s (RAKBANK) CEO Graham Honeybill has resigned
from his position effective October 31, 2013. Peter William
England, the CEO Designate, will take over as the CEO of the
bank from November 1, 2013. (ADX)
 Gulf Bank reports KD24.1mn net profit for 9M2013 – The
Gulf Bank has reported a net profit of KD24.1mn for the nine
months ended on September 30, 2013, reflecting an increase of
7.6% YoY. At the end of September 30, 2013, the bank‟s total
assets stood at KD5.06bn, while deposits were at KD4.2bn.
(GulfBase.com)
 HSBC Bank Oman reports OMR12.7mn net profit in 9M2013
– HSBC Bank Oman has reported a net profit of OMR12.7mn for
Page 5 of 7
the nine months ended on September 30, 2013, indicating
19.8% YoY growth. The bank‟s net interest income rose 34.8%
YoY to OMR36mn. Loan & advances declined 16.4% YoY to
OMR1.02bn, while customer deposits were up 3.2% YoY to
OMR1.93bn for the nine months ended on September 30, 2013.
(MSM)
 BQCA decides to redesign 40 kilometer strategic artery –
The Bahrain-Qatar Causeway Authority‟s (BQCA) board has
decided to redesign the 40-kilometer strategic artery between
the two countries. The redesigned blueprint will be ready when
work on the project begins. (GulfBase.com)
 AUB looks for acquisitions to expand in Middle East –
Bahrain-based Ahli United Bank‟s (AUB) CEO Adel El-Labban
said that the bank is looking for acquisitions in its existing
markets as well as among new ones in order to develop its
network across the Middle East region. (GulfBase.com)

Page 6 of 7
Rebased Performance

Daily Index Performance

1.2%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.3%

Bahrain

Kuwait

Abu Dhabi

Asset/Currency Performance

0.2%
0.1%

Oman

Source: Bloomberg

Qatar

0.0%

Saudi Arabia

0.2%

1D%

WTD%

Dubai

0.3%

0.4%

Source: Bloomberg

Close ($)

1D%

WTD%

YTD%

Global Indices Performance

Gold/Ounce

YTD%

DJ Industrial

Silver/Ounce

Close

S&P 500

Crude Oil (Brent)/Barrel (FM
Future)
Natural Gas (Henry
Hub)/MMBtu
North American Spot LPG
Propane Price
North American Spot LPG
Normal Butane Price

NASDAQ 100
STOXX 600
DAX
FTSE 100

Euro

CAC 40

Yen

Nikkei

GBP

MSCI EM

CHF

SHANGHAI SE Composite

AUD

HANG SENG

USD Index

BSE SENSEX

RUB

Bovespa

BRL

RTS

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

Contacts

Saugata Sarkar

Ahmed M. Shehada

Keith Whitney

Sahbi Kasraoui

Head of Research

Head of Trading

Head of Sales

Manager - HNWI

Tel: (+974) 4476 6534

Tel: (+974) 4476 6535

Tel: (+974) 4476 6533

Tel: (+974) 4476 6544

saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa

ahmed.shehada@qnbfs.com.qa

keith.whitney@qnbfs.com.qa

sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa

QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an
offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential
investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be
reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts,
QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the
right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the
views and opinions included in this report.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS.

Page 7 of 7

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31 October Daily Market Report

  • 1. QE Intra-Day Movement Market Indicators 9,850 9,800 9,750 9,700 9:30 31 Oct 13 30 Oct 13 %Chg. Value Traded (QR mn) Exch. Market Cap. (QR mn) Volume (mn) Number of Transactions Companies Traded Market Breadth 381.3 533,105.7 8.0 5,388 38 26:11 298.8 528,428.8 8.7 3,066 36 20:11 27.6 0.9 (7.2) 75.7 5.6 – Market Indices 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00 Qatar Commentary The QE index rose 0.8% to close at 9,837.5. Gains were led by the Insurance and Industrials indices, gaining 1.6% and 1.2% respectively. Top gainers were Qatar Insurance Co. and QNB Group, rising 2.6% and 2.1% respectively. Among the top losers, Widam Food Co. fell 1.6%, while Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. declined 1.5%. Close Total Return All Share Index Banks Industrials Transportation Real Estate Insurance Telecoms Consumer Al Rayan Islamic Index 1D% WTD% YTD% TTM P/E 14,055.51 2,466.67 2,337.58 3,220.11 1,830.07 1,823.05 2,331.58 1,438.50 5,891.43 2,813.42 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 0.5 0.7 1.6 (0.2) 0.2 0.5 1.9 1.8 1.8 3.1 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 1.1 24.2 22.4 19.9 22.6 36.5 13.1 18.7 35.1 26.1 13.1 N/A 12.5 12.6 11.7 12.4 12.5 9.6 19.9 22.3 14.7 Close# 1D% Vol. ‘000 0.37 4.3 0.5 2.9 GCC Commentary GCC Top Gainers## Exchange Saudi Arabia: The TASI index rose 0.5% to close at 8,044.5. Gains were led by the Agri. & Food Ind. and Transport indices, rising 1.4% and 1.2% respectively. City Cement Co. gained 3.8%, while MEDGULF was up 3.6%. IFA Hotels & Resorts Kuwait City Cement Co. Saudi Arabia 24.90 3.7 2,189.7 44.3 Dubai: The DFM index gained 0.2% to close at 2,922.2. The Insurance index rose 1.2%, while the Investment & Financial Services index was up 0.5%. Oman Insurance Co. gained 14.9%, while Agility was up 14.7%. MEDGULF Saudi Arabia 29.10 3.6 1,763.8 29.0 Saudi Public Transport Saudi Arabia 21.90 3.5 5,005.9 32.7 Abu Dhabi: The ADX benchmark index rose 0.1% to close at 3,845.7. The Insurance index gained 1.9%, while the Industrial index was up 1.6%. Al Ain Al Ahlia Insurance Co. surged 15.0%, while Eshraq properties Co. gained 9.2%. United Real Estate Co. Kuwait 0.12 3.4 211.8 0.0 GCC Top Losers Exchange Kuwait: The KSE index gained 0.3% to close at 7,946.4. The Technology index rose 2.4%, while the Consumer Services index was up 1.1%. Kuwait Hotels Co. gained 8.2%, while KIPCO Asset Management Co. was up 8.1%. NBQ Abu Dhabi 3.00 (4.8) 0.1 62.2 Ahli United Bank Kuwait 0.73 (2.7) 150.0 (2.1) Oman: The MSM index rose 0.2% to close at 6,674.1. The Industrial index gained 0.7%, while all other indices ended in green. National Gas Co. rose 9.7%, while A'Sharqiya Investment Holding Co. was up 5.5%. Al Hassan G I Shaker Saudi Arabia 74.25 (2.3) 213.6 15.1 Mabanee Co. Kuwait 1.22 (1.6) 461.6 13.7 National Ind. Co. Saudi Arabia 27.40 (1.4) 2,941.3 (1.1) Bahrain: The BHB index gained 0.3% to close at 1,201.8. The Comm. Banking index rose 0.6%, while the Hotel & Tourism index was up 0.1%. Bahrain Family Leisure gained 4.8%, while Nat. Bank of Bahrain was up 3.2%. ## # Close 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% YTD% Source: Bloomberg (# in Local Currency) (## GCC Top gainers/losers derived from the Bloomberg GCC 200 Index comprising of the top 200 regional equities based on market capitalization and liquidity) Qatar Insurance Co. Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% 63.50 Qatar Exchange Top Gainers 2.6 309.2 17.7 Widam Food Co. 48.25 (1.6) 77.7 (17.9) 11.38 (1.5) 455.3 3.5 Qatar Exchange Top Losers QNB Group 166.00 2.1 142.8 26.8 Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. Industries Qatar 159.50 1.9 544.9 13.1 Commercial Bank of Qatar 66.30 (1.3) 854.6 (6.5) Gulf International Services 58.60 1.7 238.8 95.3 Doha Insurance Co. 25.00 (1.0) 229.7 1.8 Qatar & Oman Investment Co. 12.35 1.6 260.8 (0.3) Aamal Co. 14.25 (0.8) 45.9 4.7 YTD% Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Qatar Exchange Top Val. Trades Close* 1D% Val. ‘000 United Development Co. 22.00 1.0 1,665.6 23.6 Industries Qatar 159.50 1.9 86,373.5 13.1 Commercial Bank of Qatar 66.30 (1.3) 854.6 (6.5) Commercial Bank of Qatar 66.30 (1.3) 56,411.1 (6.5) Qatar Exchange Top Vol. Trades 26.80 Industries Qatar Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 0.8 599.8 (2.4) United Development Co. 159.50 Barwa Real Estate Co. 1.9 544.9 13.1 QNB Group 11.38 (1.5) 455.3 3.5 Qatar* Dubai Abu Dhabi Saudi Arabia Kuwait Oman Bahrain 1.0 36,516.5 23.6 2.1 23,520.1 26.8 63.50 2.6 19,312.1 17.7 Source: Bloomberg (* in QR) Source: Bloomberg (* in QR) Regional Indices Qatar Insurance Co. 22.00 166.00 Close 1D% WTD% MTD% YTD% 9,837.49 2,922.18 3,845.72 8,044.47 7,946.39 6,674.07 1,201.79 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 1.9 0.4 (0.9) (1.5) (0.1) 0.1 (0.1) 2.4 5.8 0.1 1.0 2.3 0.4 0.7 17.7 80.1 46.2 18.3 33.9 15.9 12.8 Exch. Val. Traded ($ mn) 104.77 126.95 159.09 1,212.38 130.64 31.30 0.63 Exchange Mkt. Cap. ($ mn) 146,444.1 70,176.2 111,348.1 433,772.6 110,906.7 23,774.7 16,923.3 P/E** P/B** 12.6 15.9 10.8 16.4 19.1 10.8 8.2 1.7 1.2 1.3 2.1 1.3 1.6 0.8 Dividend Yield 4.7 3.1 4.7 3.6 3.5 3.9 4.0 Source: Bloomberg, Qatar Exchange, Tadawul, Muscat Securities Exchange, Dubai Financial Market and Zawya (** TTM; * Value traded ($ mn) do not include special trades, if any) Page 1 of 7
  • 2. Qatar Market Commentary  The QE index rose 0.8% to close at 9,837.5. The Insurance and Industrials indices led the gains. The index rose on the back of buying support from non-Qatari shareholders despite selling pressure from Qatari shareholders. Overall Activity Sell %* Net (QR) Qatari 63.07% 73.59% (40,147,499.44) Non-Qatari  Qatar Insurance Co. and QNB Group were the top gainers, rising 2.6% and 2.1% respectively. Among the top losers, Widam Food Co. fell 1.6%, while Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. declined 1.5%. Buy %* 36.94% 26.41% 40,147,499.44 Source: Qatar Exchange (* as a % of traded value)  Volume of shares traded on Thursday declined by 7.2% to 8.0mn from 8.7mn on Wednesday. However, as compared to the 30day moving average of 6.5mn, volume for the day was 23.2% higher. United Development Co. and Commercial Bank of Qatar were the most active stocks, contributing 20.7% and 10.6% to the total volume respectively. Earnings and Global Economic Data Earnings Releases Company Market Currency Revenue (mn) 3Q2013 % Change YoY Operating Profit (mn) 3Q2013 % Change YoY Net Profit (mn) 3Q2013 % Change YoY Saudi Cable Co. (SCC) Weqaya Takaful Insurance & Reinsurance Co. Saudi Indian Company for Cooperative Insurance Emirates Integrated Telecomm. Co. (EITC) Saudi Arabia SR – – -14.4 27.9% -8.0 -41.3% Saudi Arabia SR 66.9 -14.8% – – – – Saudi Arabia SR 22.5 -11.6% – – – – Dubai AED 2,643.0 8.0% 1,064.0 11.2% 474.0 45.0% Dubai Investments (DI) Ras Al Khaimah Ceramic Co. (RAK Ceramics) Dubai AED 630.8 11.1% – – 161.1 97.8% Abu Dhabi AED 922.3 7.1% 90.5 22.1% 72.0 152% Abu Dhabi Aviation (ADA) Ras Al Khaimah Poultry & Feeding Co. (Rapco) Gulf Pharmaceutical Industries (Julphar) Abu Dhabi AED 392.4 -4.5% 94.7 8.1% 61.5 73.9% Abu Dhabi AED 11.8 89.8% – – – -97.0% Abu Dhabi AED 307.0 13.0% – – 50.2 17.9% RAK Properties* Oman Investment & Finance Co. (OIFC)** Gulf International Chemicals (GIC)* Port Services Corporation (PSC)* Abu Dhabi AED 170.4 -67.8% – – 70.7 -17.9% Oman OMR – – – – 3.2 227.3% Oman ONR 2.7 10.7% – – 0.3 9.1% Oman OMR 19.1 6.9% – – 4.9 4.4% Bahrain Cinema Co. (BCC) Bahrain BHD – – – – 1.5 20.3% Source: Company data, DFM, ADX, MSM (* results for nine months ended Sept 2013, ** results for Global Economic Data Date Market Source Indicator Period Actual Consensus Previous 10/31 US US Treasury Monthly Budget Statement September $75.1B $69.0B $75.2B 10/31 US Department of Labor Initial Jobless Claims 26-October 340K 338K 350K 10/31 US Department of Labor Continuing Claims 19-October 2881K 2870K 2850K 10/31 US Bloomberg Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 27-October 11/02 US Bloomberg Total Vehicle Sales October 11/02 US Bloomberg Domestic Vehicle Sales October 11.73M 11.90M 11.66M 10/31 EU Eurostat Unemployment Rate September 12.20% 12.00% 12.20% 10/31 EU Eurostat CPI Estimate YoY October 0.70% 1.10% 1.10% 10/31 EU Eurostat CPI Core YoY October 0.80% 1.00% 1.00% 10/31 France INSEE PPI MoM September 0.30% – 0.10% 10/31 France INSEE PPI YoY September -0.80% 0.00% -0.90% 10/31 France INSEE Consumer Spending MoM September -0.10% 0.30% -0.30% 10/31 France INSEE Consumer Spending YoY September -0.10% 0.20% 0.10% 10/31 Germany Destasis Retail Sales MoM September -0.40% 0.40% -0.20% 10/31 Germany Destasis Retail Sales YoY September 0.20% 1.10% 0.40% 10/31 Germany Destasis Import Price Index MoM September 0.00% 0.10% 0.10% -37.6 – -36.1 15.15M 15.43M 15.21M Page 2 of 7
  • 3. 10/31 Germany Destasis Import Price Index YoY September -2.80% -2.80% 10/31 Germany GfK GfK Consumer Confidence November 7.0 7.2 -3.40% 7.1 10/31 UK GfK NOP (UK) GfK Consumer Confidence October -11 -8 -10 10/31 UK Nationwide Building Soc. Nationwide House PX MoM October 1.00% 0.70% 0.90% 10/31 UK Nationwide Building Soc. Nationwide House Px NSA YoY October 5.80% 5.10% 5.00% 10/31 Spain Ministerio de Fomento Housing Permits MoM August -53.70% – 26.10% 10/31 Spain Ministerio de Fomento Housing Permits YoY August -27.10% – -1.20% 10/31 Spain Bank of Spain Current Account Balance August 2.5B – 1.6B 10/31 Italy ISTAT Unemployment Rate September 12.50% 12.30% 12.40% 11/01 China CFLP Manufacturing PMI October 51.4 51.2 51.1 11/01 China HSBC/Markit Manufacturing PMI October 50.9 50.7 50.2 10/31 Japan Markit/JMMA Manufacturing PMI October 54.2 – 52.5 10/31 Japan Labor Cash Earnings YoY September 0.10% -0.40% -0.90% 10/31 Japan Housing Starts YoY September 19.40% 12.10% 8.80% 10/31 Japan HSBC BANK PLC Markit/Nomura Securities Co.,L Ministry of Health, Labour & Welfare Ministry of Land, Infra. & Tourism Ministry of Land, Infra. & Tourism Construction Orders YoY September 89.80% – 21.40% Source: Bloomberg (s.a. = seasonally adjusted; n.s.a. = non-seasonally adjusted; w.d.a. = working day adjusted) News Qatar  S&P Dow Jones indices to upgrade Qatar, UAE to emerging market status – S&P Dow Jones Indices has decided to promote both Qatar and the UAE to emerging market status from frontier market category with effect from September 2014. The company cited Qatar's efforts to raise foreign ownership limits for stocks, though the limits were still below the levels of most emerging markets, as well as reforms to settlement systems and trading facilities. S&P Dow Jones Indices further stated the UAE‟s current foreign ownership limit of 49% is satisfactory and it expects that this limit will be relaxed over the coming years. (GulfBase.com, Reuters)  EIU: Qatar to keep riyal pegged to dollar – According to the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), the Qatari riyal will remain pegged to the US dollar and a revaluation is not expected in the next financial year as well. EIU said the currency is well supported by Qatar‟s hydrocarbons revenue and foreign assets. Plans to create a single currency for the Gulf region are unlikely to be realized over the next five years. Qatar‟s real economic growth would remain robust, averaging 4.5% during 2012-30 on a slowing trend. Qatar‟s population will steadily grow to reach 3.4mn by 2030, largely due to immigration. As a result, growth in real GDP per head will be much slower than headline growth. Qatar has also moved to 20th position from 21st in the EIU global ranking on business environment, driven by the rapid development of its infrastructure, increased availability of financing, as well as strong policies on tax and trade. Qatar tops the group of 17 countries in business environment rankings for EIU‟s forecast period of 2013-17. EIU said Qatar has the lowest non-performing loan ratio in the region, at around 2%. Substantial surpluses will enable Qatar to meet its debtobligations easily, despite having borrowed heavily to finance the development of new gas and petrochemical facilities. (GulfTimes.com)  QE-listed companies report 6.67% rise in net profit for 9M2013 – The 41 companies listed on the Qatar Exchange (QE) surpassed their net profitability in the first nine months of this year. The 41 listed companies have reported a 6.67% growth in net profits against 1.88% in the comparable period of 2012. Their cumulative net profits stood at QR30.14bn during JanuarySeptember as compared to QR28.26bn in 9M2012. (GulfTimes.com, QE)  Qatargas: China, India demand raises LNG prospects – Qatargas CEO Sheikh Khalid bin Khalifa al-Thani said demand for cleaner and flexible energy from emerging economies such as China and India provides brighter prospects for liquefied natural gas. In 2012, Asia imported an additional 15.6mn tons of LNG over 2011, which represents a YoY increase of 10%. Due to its nuclear reactor shutdown, Japan alone represented over 50% of the Asian LNG consumption growth with imports reaching 87.5mn tons in 2012. Over the next three years, new LNG receiving terminals with a total capacity of 23mn tons per year will be added in China. Similarly, India is expanding its LNG receiving capacity and its gas pipeline network to pave the way for increased imports over the coming years. About LNG pricing, the Qatargas CEO said gas prices will remain regionalized for the foreseeable future and the North American exports will not attain the scale and pace that would force a significant change in the current pricing structure in Europe and Asia. (GulfTimes.com)  Qatar Holding builds small stakes in BofA, Samsung – According to sources, Qatar Holding has built small stakes in the Bank of America (BofA) and Samsung Electronics, as the sovereign wealth fund continues on its strategy of gaining minority stakes in large global companies. The fund, one of the world‟s most prolific investors, has a stake worth about $1bn in Bank of America, while its stake in Samsung is worth around $200-300mn, sources said. In recent months, Qatar has picked up minority stakes in companies such as oil giant Royal Dutch Shell, jewelry maker Tiffany & Co, and German manufacturer Siemens. (Gulf-Times)  Credit Suisse exchanges $4.5bn Qatar notes – Credit Suisse Group, leading Swiss bank, said it has exchanged $4.5bn worth of notes held by the Qatar Investment Authority for debt that qualifies as capital under stricter rules. The Zurich-based bank and Qatari sovereign wealth fund have swapped Tier 1 capital notes for contingent-convertible bonds on October 23 in a transaction approved by the Swiss financial regulator. The swap helps the Swiss bank to meet demands from the regulator to boost capital reserves that can better absorb losses amid turmoil such as the meltdown of the US housing market. (GulfTimes.com)  QNB offers new package for retired Qataris – QNB has introduced a new package of banking benefits aimed at retired Page 3 of 7
  • 4. Qataris for providing the best priced financial services. The program provides a number of benefits that include a 25% discounted interest rate on QNB credit cards, a 50% discount on all bank fees, bonus rate on fixed deposits, a discount on personal & vehicle loan interest rates, and reduced cost car insurance on QNB vehicle loans. (Gulf-Times.com)  Doha Bank targets tripling overseas profit share on growth in Asia – Doha Bank, Qatar‟s fifth-largest lender by assets, aims to triple its profit from overseas activities to as much as 30% of net income by 2015 as trade between Gulf countries and Asia increase. The bank‟s CEO Raghavan Seetharaman said the bank‟s expansion (excluding acquisitions) is expected to raise overseas profit from about 10% now to 30%. He said the lender is seeking branch licenses in India and China, which top its list of foreign markets to establish a foothold in. Meanwhile, Doha Bank plans to issue a QR2bn Tier 1 perpetual bond by the end of March 2014 to bolster lending and fund expansion abroad. Earlier, it had attracted QR2.8bn in a rights offer in March this year and in May reiterated plans to sell shares in London. (GulfTimes.com)  Nakilat appoints new members to the top management team – Nakilat board of directors has appointed Eng. Abdullah Fadhalah Al-Sulaiti as Nakilat‟s Managing Director. The board also has appointed Mr. Muhammad Ghannam as an „Expert‟ in the Managing Director Office. (QE)  FIC invites Qataris to invest in German equity market – Germany is seeking Qatari investors, banks and businesses to invest in its equity market. In this regard, the German Equity Forum is being organized November 11 to 13 in Frankfurt. The event organizer Frankfurt International Consulting (FIC) said by investing in or partnering with German companies, Qatari businesses can profit in multiple ways including gaining product know-how, technology transfer, and employees exchange programs. Further, FIC said the transfer of technology from Germany plays a crucial role in achieving Qatar‟s ambitious National Vision 2030. (Gulf-Times.com) International  UK growth forecasts raised by CBI – The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) raised its forecasts for the economic growth in the UK, and said it expects business investment and trade to aid the recovery starting next year. In its quarterly report, the business lobby expected the UK economy to expand 1.4% this year and 2.4% in 2014, which is up from 1.2% and 2.3% projected earlier in August. The group also said that unemployment – which the Bank of England has set as the key indicator for its guidance on policy – will decline to 7.2% by the end of 2015 from its current 7.7%. (Bloomberg)  Fitch revises Spain’s outlook to Stable – Fitch Ratings raised its outlook on Spain‟s rating to Stable from Negative, saying the nation‟s overhaul of banks has advanced well and its financing conditions have improved. The rating agency affirmed its BBB rating, leaving the country at the second-lowest investment grade. Spain has improved its policy track record, with improvements to its labor market, pension system and budget, it said. Fitch said the recovery from the prolonged recession came sooner than it had forecast, and the adjustment from a current account deficit to surplus has been faster than expected. However, the Spanish economy will remain weak, growing 0.5% in 2014, less than the government‟s 0.7% estimate. (Bloomberg)  US Fed to test banks for interest rate rise, housing collapse – The Federal Reserve said it will examine how the biggest US banks will react to a jump in long-term interest rates and another housing crash during the next round of stress-test scenarios designed to monitor the US financial system‟s ability to withstand economic shocks. The central bank will gauge bank resilience against declines in the prices of high-risk, high-yield loans and debt, and some high-priced real estate markets around the country. The Fed is using these tests to encourage the 30 biggest US banks to build capital cushions against economic turmoil. The Fed also inserted a test for large trading and clearing banks on counterparty default. Meanwhile, the 18 bank holding companies tested previously have increased their aggregate Tier 1 common capital to $836bn in 2Q2013 from $392bn in 1Q2009, the Fed said. Their Tier 1 common ratio has more than doubled to a weighted average of 11.1% from 5.3%. (Bloomberg)  Inflation risk seen when Fed unwinds balance sheet – The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Charles Plosser said inflation will be a concern as the US Fed unwinds its balance sheet following unprecedented asset purchases. Plosser said over $2 trillion of excess reserves have been created, which are sitting on the balance sheets of the banks. These reserves will become inflationary when they start to flow out of the banking system, which can worries about inflation. The Fed‟s preferred gauge of inflation, the personal consumption expenditures index, rose 1.2% in August, but it has not breached the 2% target since March 2012. (Bloomberg)  Ukraine rating Cut to Greek level by S&P as devaluation seen – Ukraine‟s debt rating was cut to the same junk level as Greece by Standard & Poor‟s, which said the government is struggling to weather a shortage of foreign currency, increasing the likelihood of a hryvnia devaluation. The rating company lowered Ukraine‟s long-term sovereign credit rating one step to B-, six levels below investment grade, with a negative outlook. That leaves the eastern European nation on par with Greece and Belize, both of which have restructured debt in the past several years. S&P said “devaluation of the Ukrainian hryvnia has become more likely. The potential magnitude of this has also increased in light of the government‟s defense of the exchange rate through the depletion of foreign-currency reserves.” (Bloomberg)  RBS avoids break-up by creating a £38bn internal bad bank – The Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) is to create an internal “bad bank” to fence off its riskiest assets, as part of a raft of measures designed to heal its relationship with the British government and speed up its eventual privatization. The government is keen to offload its stakes in RBS and Lloyds Banking Group as soon as possible, after pumping a combined £66bn ($106bn) into these banks to keep them afloat during the 2008 financial crisis. Britain began selling shares in Lloyds at a profit earlier this year, but a sale of its 81% stake in RBS is much further off, with taxpayers still sitting on a paper loss of nearly £14bn at current prices. The government stopped short of ordering a formal break-up of the bank, which had been advocated by the former Bank of England Governor Mervyn King, and by Nigel Lawson, a former UK finance minister. They had argued that the break-up would leave the bank better placed to lend and support the UK economy, but opponents said it would be too expensive and complicated. (Gulf-Times.com) Regional  Acwa Power plans to go public, to invest $3bn in solar plants – Saudi-based Acwa Power is planning for a stock market listing and expects to invest over $3bn in solar plants over the next five years. (GulfBase.com)  Kingdom plans to expand its port capacity to meet rising demand – The Saudi Ports Authority‟s (SPA) General Manager Musaed Al Darees said that the Kingdom is planning to expand Page 4 of 7
  • 5. its ports handling capacity by around 29mn tons in order to meet the steady rise in trade demand. The expansion, which will be launched shortly, will raise the combined capacity of the Western Red Sea port of Jeddah and other sea ports to nearly 500mn tons per year from its current 471mn tons. (GulfBase.com) mechanism could help fund managers to raise assets under management by tapping into a wider client pool and provide a geographically diverse range of products to their investors. This plan is part of a bilateral agreement that was signed between the two central banks, aimed at building closer economic ties with a focus on Islamic finance. (GulfBase.com)  IDB plans to invest $27.3mn in Kingdom’s dairy market – The Irish Dairy Board Cooperative Limited (IDB) is planning to invest $27.3mn in Saudi Arabia by acquiring 75% stake in Al Wazeen Trading. IDB is also planning to develop a new cheese manufacturing plant at this facility, which will produce a range of fresh white cheeses that appeal to local market tastes. This new facility will initially supply dairy products to Saudi Arabian market. This facility will also include an Innovation Hub for continued R&D on white cheese technologies. (Bloomberg)  Mashreqbank signs partnership deal with UNB for AED392mn syndicated contracting facility – Mashreqbank has entered into a partnership agreement with the Union National Bank (UNB) to raise a syndicated contracting facility worth AED392mn for the expansion of Midfield Terminal Complex at Abu Dhabi International Airport. (Bloomberg)  STC signs deal with Wataniya to fully acquire BRAVO – The Saudi Telecom Company (STC) has entered into an agreement with Wataniya Group to acquire the full ownership of the Public Telecommunications Company (BRAVO). Under this agreement, Wataniya will pay SR244mn to settle STC‟s dues and transfer all the assets of Bravo to STC. This acquisition will enable STC to extract synergies by bundling offerings and significantly improve the quality of service to its customers. (Tadawul)  Ashmore in talks to sell 65% stake in GEMS – UK-based Ashmore Group is in talks to sell its 65% stake in Saudi-based Global Environmental Management Services (GEMS). This sale is likely to raise $250-350mn. Ashmore has appointed the Bank of America Merrill Lynch to assist with this sale process. (Reuters)  City Cement’s BoD recommends SR189mn dividends – The City Cement Company‟s board of directors has recommended the distribution of dividends worth SR189mn (SR1 per share). The company‟s shareholders who are registered with the Securities Depository Center as on November 5, 2013 will be eligible for this dividend, which will be distributed on November 20, 2013. (Tadawul)  SAICO obtains SAMA’s approval for insurance product – The Saudi Arabian Cooperative Insurance Company (SAICO) has obtained a temporary approval from the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA) to use its Motor Third Party Liability insurance product for three months. (Tadawul)  GGCI receives SAMA’s approval to use insurance products – The Gulf General Cooperative Insurance Company (GGCI) has obtained a temporary approval from SAMA to use Motor Comprehensive – Commercial, Motor – Comprehensive and Motor TPL insurance products for three months. (Tadawul)  Aldar eyes rentals, smaller projects post-merger – Aldar Properties, Abu Dhabi‟s leading real estate developer, will focus on rental income and smaller projects instead of large developments in order to avoid the risk of becoming overstretched again, a senior executive said. The company‟s Chief Development Officer said after the merger with Sorouh, Aldar will focus more on earning income from malls, hotels and other rental properties owned by it, along with building small developments. Last year, Aldar merged with its smaller rival Sorouh Real Estate to create a large business with $13bn worth of assets. (Gulf-Times.com)  UAE, Malaysia work on fund passporting mechanism to facilitate fund sales – The Bank Negara Malaysia‟s Governor Zeti Akhtar Aziz said that the central banks of Malaysia and the UAE are working on a fund passporting mechanism that will facilitate sale of funds from one country to the other. This  UNB reports AED450.3mn net profit in 3Q2013 – The Union National Bank has reported a net profit of AED450.3mn in 3Q2013, indicating a decline of 14.8% YoY. EPS stood at AED0.5 for the nine months ended on September 30, 2013 as compared to AED0.51 for the nine months ended on September 30, 2012. The bank‟s net interest income rose by 5.6% YoY to AED595.4mn. However, total assets at the end of September 2013 stood at AED85.8bn, reflecting a YTD decrease of 1.5%. Loan & advances rose by 5.6% YTD to AED60.6bn, while customer deposits were up 1.3% YTD to AED64.3bn. (ADX)  Hill International gets 2-year contract extension from ADNOC – US-based Hill International has received a two-year contract extension worth $13.3mn to continue providing project management consultancy services for the new headquarters complex of the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC). ADNOC‟s new headquarters is expected to be completed by January 2015. (Bloomberg)  NBAD plans to establish 8 new banking hubs – The National Bank of Abu Dhabi (NBAD) is planning to establish eight banking hubs in Abu Dhabi, Mumbai, Lagos, Singapore, Hong Kong, London, Paris and Washington DC in order to achieve its plans for domestic and international expansion. (Bloomberg)  NBF plans to open trade finance offices in Africa – The National Bank of Fujairah (NBF) is planning to open trade finance offices in Africa as part of its foreign business expansion plan. NBF is also planning to expand its current network of 14 branches in the UAE with a few new ones in 2014. (GulfBase.com)  Etihad temporarily suspends flights to Tripoli – Etihad Airways has temporarily suspended its three weekly passenger flights and two weekly cargo flights to Tripoli airport in Libya due to safety & operational challenges. (Bloomberg)  Etihad Rail enters into MoU with RSA Logistics – Etihad Rail has entered into MoU with RSA Logistics. This MoU will pave way for RSA to use Etihad‟s rail network for its transport needs in the UAE as well as cross-border services in other GCC countries. (GulfBase.com)  RAKBANK appoints new CEO – The National Bank of Ras Al Khaimah‟s (RAKBANK) CEO Graham Honeybill has resigned from his position effective October 31, 2013. Peter William England, the CEO Designate, will take over as the CEO of the bank from November 1, 2013. (ADX)  Gulf Bank reports KD24.1mn net profit for 9M2013 – The Gulf Bank has reported a net profit of KD24.1mn for the nine months ended on September 30, 2013, reflecting an increase of 7.6% YoY. At the end of September 30, 2013, the bank‟s total assets stood at KD5.06bn, while deposits were at KD4.2bn. (GulfBase.com)  HSBC Bank Oman reports OMR12.7mn net profit in 9M2013 – HSBC Bank Oman has reported a net profit of OMR12.7mn for Page 5 of 7
  • 6. the nine months ended on September 30, 2013, indicating 19.8% YoY growth. The bank‟s net interest income rose 34.8% YoY to OMR36mn. Loan & advances declined 16.4% YoY to OMR1.02bn, while customer deposits were up 3.2% YoY to OMR1.93bn for the nine months ended on September 30, 2013. (MSM)  BQCA decides to redesign 40 kilometer strategic artery – The Bahrain-Qatar Causeway Authority‟s (BQCA) board has decided to redesign the 40-kilometer strategic artery between the two countries. The redesigned blueprint will be ready when work on the project begins. (GulfBase.com)  AUB looks for acquisitions to expand in Middle East – Bahrain-based Ahli United Bank‟s (AUB) CEO Adel El-Labban said that the bank is looking for acquisitions in its existing markets as well as among new ones in order to develop its network across the Middle East region. (GulfBase.com) Page 6 of 7
  • 7. Rebased Performance Daily Index Performance 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% Bahrain Kuwait Abu Dhabi Asset/Currency Performance 0.2% 0.1% Oman Source: Bloomberg Qatar 0.0% Saudi Arabia 0.2% 1D% WTD% Dubai 0.3% 0.4% Source: Bloomberg Close ($) 1D% WTD% YTD% Global Indices Performance Gold/Ounce YTD% DJ Industrial Silver/Ounce Close S&P 500 Crude Oil (Brent)/Barrel (FM Future) Natural Gas (Henry Hub)/MMBtu North American Spot LPG Propane Price North American Spot LPG Normal Butane Price NASDAQ 100 STOXX 600 DAX FTSE 100 Euro CAC 40 Yen Nikkei GBP MSCI EM CHF SHANGHAI SE Composite AUD HANG SENG USD Index BSE SENSEX RUB Bovespa BRL RTS Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg Contacts Saugata Sarkar Ahmed M. Shehada Keith Whitney Sahbi Kasraoui Head of Research Head of Trading Head of Sales Manager - HNWI Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6533 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.shehada@qnbfs.com.qa keith.whitney@qnbfs.com.qa sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services SPC Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts, QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS. Page 7 of 7