SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 4
Downloaden Sie, um offline zu lesen
Biotechnology - Company Report                                                                  November 14, 2011



                              Keryx Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. (1,2)
Charles C. Duncan, PhD
cduncan@jmpsecurities.com
                              Zerenex Cost Savings Potential Overlooked
(212) 906-3510
                              MARKET OUTPERFORM                                                                                   KERX $2.82
Jason N. Butler, PhD
jbutler@jmpsecurities.com
(212) 906-3505                Price                                  $2.82   FY Dec                             2010A      2011E        2012E
                              Target Price                           $8.00   Revenue (M)               1Q          $0.0     $0.0A            --
Gena H. Wang, PhD             52-Wk Range                    $2.58 - $5.91                             2Q          $0.0     $5.0A            --
gwang@jmpsecurities.com       Shares Out. (M)                           59                             3Q          $0.0     $0.0A            --
                              Market Cap. (M)                         $166                             4Q          $0.0      $0.0            --
(212) 906-3528
                              Average Daily Vol. (000)                 683                             FY         $0.0       $5.0         $8.0
Roy Buchanan, PhD             Float (M)                                $67
rbuchanan@jmpsecurities.com
                                                                                                                2010A      2011E        2012E
                              LT Debt (M)                              $0    EPS                       1Q       ($0.07)   ($0.10)A           --
(212) 906-3514                Cash (M)                              $47.2                              2Q       ($0.09)   ($0.05)A           --
                              Enterprise Value (M)                  $119                               3Q       ($0.10)   ($0.15)A           --
                              Cash/Share                            $0.80                              4Q       ($0.09)     ($0.15)          --
                                                                                                       FY       ($0.34)   ($0.45)       ($0.42)
                                                                                                      P/E           NM         NM           NM
                                                                                              Previous FY            --        NC           NC
                                                                                                       CY       ($0.34)   ($0.45)       ($0.42)
                                                                                                        PE          NM         NM           NM
                              NC indicates no change to previous estimate. NE indicates no previous estimate.
                              Source: Company reports and JMP Securities



                              INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS

                              •    DaVita looks at Zerenex clinical data and provides compelling evidence for cost savings;
                                   reiterate Market Outperform rating and $8 price target on Keryx Biopharmaceuticals. Keryx
                                   released this morning two abstracts from presentations by DaVita Clinical Research at the
                                   American Society of Nephrology meeting over the weekend. The posters describe cost savings
                                   analyses carried out using data from the prior clinical studies of Zerenex. Zerenex is currently in
                                   Phase III testing for use in end-stage renal disease patients on dialysis and we anticipate data
                                   sometime in 2H12 and potential sales of ~$200MM in 2016. Our $8 price target is derived using
                                   a risk-adjusted, sum-of-the-parts analysis including perifosine (~$4) and Zerenex (~$4).
                              •    Cost savings analysis highlights potential for Zerenex to add value. In poster #1566, DaVita
                                   took historical changes of the iron-storage markers serum ferritin and transferring saturation
                                   (TSAT) and correlated changes in those values to project reductions in erythropoietin stimulating
                                   agent (ESA) and IV-iron usage for patients switching to Zerenex. A sensitivity analysis illustrating
                                   the major cost drivers is provided in Figure 1. The company derived an estimated cost savings from
                                   Zerenex usage, of ~$125/patient for moderate ESA use (4,500-9,000 units per session) and
                                   $320/patient for high ESA use (9,000 or more units per session). Our diligence suggests that ~80%
                                   of ESRD patients require ESAs and ~90% require phosphate binders. Using the derived savings of
                                   ~$90/patient/month for all patients, and our estimate of 7% Zerenex penetration in 2016 in the U.S.,
                                   provides a potential cost savings of ~$38MM annually.
                              •    Physician behavior largely dictates cost benefit potential. The second poster presented by
                                   DaVita, #2647, analyzed ~130,000 patient records from DaVita's hemodialysis (HD) patient
                                   database from June 2008 to May 2010. The database was filtered to include patients whose TSAT
                                   increased by 10% or more and whose serum ferritin increased by 15 to 25%, to eventually include
                                   approximately two thousand HD patients. The company examined physician responses to the
                                   increases in TSAT and serum ferritin, finding a mean decrease in ESA dose of ~500 units and for
                                   iron of ~5.8mg per patient. With pressures on cost savings likely to only increase going forward, we
                                   view results such as these as likely to be useful in demonstrating Zerenex's utility in this setting and
                                   to drive robust clinical uptake.
                              •    The posters are available at http://www.davitaclinicalresearch.com/directory.asp

                              FOR DISCLOSURE AND FOOTNOTE INFORMATION, REFER
                              TO THE JMP FACTS AND DISCLOSURES SECTION
FIGURE 1: Sensitivity Analysis for Cost Savings Potential




Source: DaVita Clinical Research




INVESTMENT RISKS

Clinical risk. Keryx's product candidates may fail to demonstrate adequate efficacy, safety, and/or
tolerability in one or more clinical studies.

Regulatory risk. Even if the company's product candidates do successfully complete clinical
development, regulatory approval may not be granted by the FDA or foreign regulatory authorities, and
additional studies may be required.

Industry risk. The biotechnology industry is highly competitive with many firms developing novel
therapies that address Keryx's target diseases. It is possible that breakthrough competitor products or
therapies may render Keryx's pipeline obsolete and affect the future survival of the company.
Additionally, there are a number of established products in several of the markets Keryx is targeting.
Shifting patients to Keryx's products may require significant capital and resources.

Balance sheet risk. The company has a history of losses, and consistent profitability is still several years
away. Since Keryx is burning cash in order to develop products and is expected to do so over the near
future, raising additional capital is crucial to the viability of the company. Keryx ended 4Q10 with
approximately $28.5MM in cash and equivalents with an average operational burn rate of $4.1MM per
quarter for the past four quarters. Keryx anticipates that it has funding sufficient to complete the current
Phase III programs; however, after that, it may require additional funding.


COMPANY DESCRIPTION

Keryx Biopharmaceuticals focuses on the development of novel treatments for cancer and renal
disease. The company's lead product candidates are perifosine and Zerenex, both of which are
currently being evaluated in Phase III programs. Perifosine is an inhibitor of the PI3-kinase pathway and
is being developed for the treatment of cancer. Keryx has ongoing Phase III programs for perifosine in
metastatic advanced colorectal cancer and multiple myeloma that are being conducted under Special
Protocol Assessments (SPAs) as well as early stage programs in other indications. The company's
second product candidate, Zerenex, is a phosphate binder being developed for the treatment of
hyperphosphatemia in patients with end-stage renal disease. Keryx recently released positive top line
results from the first of two Phase III trials for Zerenex, which met its primary and secondary endpoints.




                                     2
JMP FACTS AND DISCLOSURES

Analyst Certification:
The research analyst(s) who prepared this report does/do hereby certify that the views presented in this report are in accordance with my/our personal views on the securities
and issuers discussed in this report. As mandated by SEC Regulation AC no part of my/our compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific views
or recommendations expressed herein. This certification is made under the obligations set forth in SEC Regulation AC. Any other person or entity may not use it for any other
purpose. This certification is made based on my/our analysis on the date of this report’s publication. I/We assume no obligation to update this certification to reflect any facts,
circumstances or events that may subsequently come to my/our attention. Signed Charles C. Duncan, PhD, Jason N. Butler, PhD, Gena H. Wang, PhD, Roy Buchanan, PhD

Publicly Traded Companies Covered by JMP and Mentioned in This Report (as of November 14, 2011):
   Company                                                             Disclosures
   Keryx Biopharmaceuticals, Inc.                                      (1,2)

JMP Securities Disclosure Definitions:
(1) JMP Securities currently makes a market in this security. (2) JMP Securities has received compensation for banking or other services rendered to this company in the past
12 months. (3) JMP Securities was manager or co-manager of a public offering for this company in the past 12 months. (4) JMP Securities participated as an underwriting or
selling group member of a public offering by this company in the past 12 months. (5) JMP Securities and/or its affiliates have obtained a position of at least 1% in the equity
securities of this company during the ordinary course of its/their business/investments. (6) An officer of JMP Securities is a director or officer of this company. (7) The analyst
covering this company (as defined in NASD Rule 2711) or a member of the analyst's household has a financial interest in this company. (8) The analyst covering this company
or a member of the analyst’s household serves as an officer, director, or advisory board member of this company. (9) The analyst covering this company has had discussions
of employment with the company.

JMP Securities Investment Opinion Definitions:
Market Outperform (MO): JMP Securities expects the stock price to outperform relevant market indices over the next 12 months.
Market Perform (MP): JMP Securities expects the stock price to perform in line with relevant market indices over the next 12 months.
Market Underperform (MU): JMP Securities expects the stock price to underperform relevant market indices over the next 12 months.

JMP Securities Research Ratings and Investment Banking Services: (as of October 3, 2011)
                                                                                                              # Co's
                                            # Co's        %                       # Co's         %          Receiving         % of Co's
                            Regulatory      Under         of       Regulatory     Under          of       IB Services in      With This
 JMP Rating                 Equivalent     Coverage      Total     Rating        Coverage       Total    Past 12 Months        Rating

 Market Outperform          Buy               207         66%      Buy               207        66%             58              28%
 Market Perform             Hold              105         33%      Hold              105        33%              7               7%
 Market Underperform        Sell               3           1%      Sell               3          1%              0               0%

 TOTAL:                                       315        100%                        315       100%             65              21%

Stock Price Chart of Rating and Target Price Changes:
Note: First annotation denotes initiation of coverage or 3 years, whichever is shorter. If no target price is listed, then the target price is N/A. In accordance with NASD Rule
2711, the chart(s) below reflect(s) price range and any changes to the rating or price target as of the end of the most recent calendar quarter. The action reflected in this note
is not annotated in the stock price chart. Source: Jovus and JMP Securities.




JMP Disclaimer:
JMP Securities LLC (the “Firm”) compensates research analysts, like other Firm employees, based on the Firm’s profitability, which includes revenues from the Firm’s
institutional sales, trading, and investment banking departments as well as on the quality of the services and activities performed that are intended to benefit the Firm’s
institutional clients. These data have been prepared by JMP Securities LLC for informational purposes only and are based on information available to the public from sources
that we believe to be reliable, but we do not guarantee their accuracy or completeness. Any opinions and projections expressed herein reflect our judgment at this date and
are subject to change without notice. These data are neither intended nor should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation or a basis for any contract for the purchase
of any security or other financial product. JMP Securities LLC, its affiliates, JMP Group LLC, Harvest Capital Strategies LLC, and their respective partners, directors, officers,
and associates may have a long or short position in, may act as a market maker for, or may purchase or sell a position in the securities mentioned herein. JMP Securities
LLC or its affiliates may be performing, have performed, or seek to perform investment banking, advisory, or other services and may have acted as manager or co-manager
for a public offering of securities for any company mentioned herein. The reader should assume that JMP Securities LLC will solicit business from the company covered in
this report. Members of our Sales and Trading Department provide oral and/or written market opinions and trading strategies to our clients that reflect their personal opinions
about stocks that are the subject of the firm's research reports. Our research analysts discuss trading strategies with clients and complete surveys from clients that sometimes
reflect short-term expectations for the price of the securities that are the subject of research reports. Those trading strategies and survey responses are distinct from the
analysts' fundamental rating for the stock, which is based upon the analysts' view compared to other stocks under coverage for the relevant time period. © Copyright 2011.
All rights reserved by JMP Securities LLC. JMP Securities LLC is a member of FINRA, NYSE Arca, NASDAQ, and SIPC.




                                                                                           3
JMP SECURITIES LLC

600 Montgomery Street, Suite 1100, San Francisco, CA 94111-2713, www.jmpsecurities.com

Peter V. Coleman
Director of Equity Research
(415) 869-4455


Financial Services                                              Real Estate
Capital Markets                                                 Hotels & Resorts
David Trone                           (212) 906-3525            William C. Marks                  (415) 835-8944
     Steven Fu, CFA                   (212) 906-3548
     Chris Ross, CFA                  (212) 906-3532            Housing & Housing Supply Chain
                                                                Michael G. Smith                  (415) 835-8965
Consumer & Specialty Finance, Commercial Banks
John Hecht                          (415) 835-3912              Land Development
    Kyle M. Joseph                  (415) 835-3940              Michael G. Smith                  (415) 835-8965

Financial Processing & Outsourcing                              Real Estate & Property Services
David M. Scharf                       (415) 835-8942            William C. Marks                  (415) 835-8944

Kevane A. Wong                        (415) 835-8976            Real Estate Technology
                                                                Michael G. Smith                  (415) 835-8965
Insurance
Matthew J. Carletti                   (312) 768-1784            REITs: Healthcare
     Christine Worley                 (312) 768-1786            Peter L. Martin, CFA              (415) 835-8904
                                                                     Aaron Hecht                  (415) 835-3963
Market Structure
David M. Scharf                       (415) 835-8942            REITs: Office & Industrial
                                                                Mitch Germain                     (212) 906-3546
Kevane A. Wong                        (415) 835-8976

Residential & Commercial Real Estate Finance                    Technology
Steven C. DeLaney                      (404) 848-7773           Clean Technology
    Trevor Cranston, CFA               (415) 869-4431           Alex Gauna                        (415) 835-8998

Trevor Cranston, CFA                  (415) 869-4431            Communications Equipment
                                                                Erik Suppiger                     (415) 835-3918

Healthcare                                                      Semiconductors
Biotechnology                                                   Alex Gauna                        (415) 835-8998
Charles C. Duncan, PhD                (212) 906-3510                 Matt Danziger                (415) 869-4454
     Roy Buchanan, PhD                (212) 906-3514
     Jason N. Butler, PhD             (212) 906-3505            Software
     Gena H. Wang, PhD                (212) 906-3528            Patrick Walravens                 (415) 835-8943
                                                                     Greg McDowell                (415) 835-3934
Liisa A. Bayko                        (312) 768-1785                 Peter Lowry                  (415) 869-4418
      Heather Behanna, PhD            (312) 768-1795
                                                                Greg McDowell                     (415) 835-3934
Jason N. Butler, PhD                  (212) 906-3505

Healthcare Facilities & Services
Peter L. Martin, CFA                  (415) 835-8904
     Aaron Hecht                      (415) 835-3963

Healthcare Services
Constantine Davides, CFA              (617) 235-8502
     Tim McDonough                    (617) 235-8504

Medical Devices
J. T. Haresco, III, PhD               (415) 869-4477




For Additional Information
Mark Lehmann                                                    Erin Seidemann
President, JMP Securities                                       Vice President, Publishing
(415) 835-3908                                                  (415) 835-3970

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Andere mochten auch

Pyramids (GROUP 4)
Pyramids (GROUP 4)Pyramids (GROUP 4)
Pyramids (GROUP 4)asita warda
 
Octavian Sarbatoare creatia literar artistica - anii 1998 - 2010 carti fara rama
Octavian Sarbatoare creatia literar artistica - anii 1998 - 2010 carti fara ramaOctavian Sarbatoare creatia literar artistica - anii 1998 - 2010 carti fara rama
Octavian Sarbatoare creatia literar artistica - anii 1998 - 2010 carti fara ramaIleana Speranta
 
AVReporter Application of energy management solutions in logistics centers
AVReporter Application of energy management solutions in logistics centersAVReporter Application of energy management solutions in logistics centers
AVReporter Application of energy management solutions in logistics centersAvreporter KONsys
 
Pictures about real text
Pictures about real textPictures about real text
Pictures about real textJessica Jasso
 
Brochure kamerlingh onnesstraat 13 groningen
Brochure   kamerlingh onnesstraat 13 groningenBrochure   kamerlingh onnesstraat 13 groningen
Brochure kamerlingh onnesstraat 13 groningenLonneke Kroon
 
Innovatie in de Sierteelt & het Businessmodel, door Andre Smaal, 16 nov 2011
Innovatie in de Sierteelt & het Businessmodel, door Andre Smaal, 16 nov 2011Innovatie in de Sierteelt & het Businessmodel, door Andre Smaal, 16 nov 2011
Innovatie in de Sierteelt & het Businessmodel, door Andre Smaal, 16 nov 2011KennisKring Amsterdam
 
Topic 2-Oral presentation
Topic 2-Oral presentationTopic 2-Oral presentation
Topic 2-Oral presentationth1153268mhs
 

Andere mochten auch (16)

Av reporter2013 sh
Av reporter2013 shAv reporter2013 sh
Av reporter2013 sh
 
Armageddon
ArmageddonArmageddon
Armageddon
 
Tonix12 ceocfo-article-clean newphoto
Tonix12 ceocfo-article-clean newphotoTonix12 ceocfo-article-clean newphoto
Tonix12 ceocfo-article-clean newphoto
 
Pyramids (GROUP 4)
Pyramids (GROUP 4)Pyramids (GROUP 4)
Pyramids (GROUP 4)
 
Octavian Sarbatoare creatia literar artistica - anii 1998 - 2010 carti fara rama
Octavian Sarbatoare creatia literar artistica - anii 1998 - 2010 carti fara ramaOctavian Sarbatoare creatia literar artistica - anii 1998 - 2010 carti fara rama
Octavian Sarbatoare creatia literar artistica - anii 1998 - 2010 carti fara rama
 
Mystery of the maya collapse
Mystery of the maya collapseMystery of the maya collapse
Mystery of the maya collapse
 
AVReporter Application of energy management solutions in logistics centers
AVReporter Application of energy management solutions in logistics centersAVReporter Application of energy management solutions in logistics centers
AVReporter Application of energy management solutions in logistics centers
 
School
SchoolSchool
School
 
Pictures about real text
Pictures about real textPictures about real text
Pictures about real text
 
Whatisreading
WhatisreadingWhatisreading
Whatisreading
 
Brochure kamerlingh onnesstraat 13 groningen
Brochure   kamerlingh onnesstraat 13 groningenBrochure   kamerlingh onnesstraat 13 groningen
Brochure kamerlingh onnesstraat 13 groningen
 
Sunsi Executive Summary 12.12.2011
Sunsi Executive Summary 12.12.2011Sunsi Executive Summary 12.12.2011
Sunsi Executive Summary 12.12.2011
 
Innovatie in de Sierteelt & het Businessmodel, door Andre Smaal, 16 nov 2011
Innovatie in de Sierteelt & het Businessmodel, door Andre Smaal, 16 nov 2011Innovatie in de Sierteelt & het Businessmodel, door Andre Smaal, 16 nov 2011
Innovatie in de Sierteelt & het Businessmodel, door Andre Smaal, 16 nov 2011
 
Topic 2-Oral presentation
Topic 2-Oral presentationTopic 2-Oral presentation
Topic 2-Oral presentation
 
Pegasi Energy Research Note July 18, 2012
Pegasi Energy Research Note July 18, 2012Pegasi Energy Research Note July 18, 2012
Pegasi Energy Research Note July 18, 2012
 
Pelaksanaan PBS
Pelaksanaan PBSPelaksanaan PBS
Pelaksanaan PBS
 

Mehr von ProActive Capital Resources Group

Intracoronary Bone Marrow Mononuclear Cells After Myocardial Infarction
Intracoronary Bone Marrow Mononuclear Cells After Myocardial InfarctionIntracoronary Bone Marrow Mononuclear Cells After Myocardial Infarction
Intracoronary Bone Marrow Mononuclear Cells After Myocardial InfarctionProActive Capital Resources Group
 

Mehr von ProActive Capital Resources Group (20)

Islet defense in bio century week of 5 28-12
Islet defense in bio century week of 5 28-12Islet defense in bio century week of 5 28-12
Islet defense in bio century week of 5 28-12
 
Insider transaction detail for Isa Odidi (IPCI)
Insider transaction detail for Isa Odidi (IPCI)Insider transaction detail for Isa Odidi (IPCI)
Insider transaction detail for Isa Odidi (IPCI)
 
Caprock risk management, llc
Caprock risk management, llcCaprock risk management, llc
Caprock risk management, llc
 
VTUS SEC Filing Form 8-K
VTUS SEC Filing Form 8-KVTUS SEC Filing Form 8-K
VTUS SEC Filing Form 8-K
 
TNXP Fact Sheet May 2012
TNXP Fact Sheet May 2012TNXP Fact Sheet May 2012
TNXP Fact Sheet May 2012
 
Arcis Exec Summary
Arcis Exec Summary Arcis Exec Summary
Arcis Exec Summary
 
SSIE 4.20.12
SSIE 4.20.12 SSIE 4.20.12
SSIE 4.20.12
 
Kerx zerenex phase3
Kerx zerenex phase3Kerx zerenex phase3
Kerx zerenex phase3
 
ARM Stroke
ARM StrokeARM Stroke
ARM Stroke
 
ARM Parkinsons
ARM ParkinsonsARM Parkinsons
ARM Parkinsons
 
ARM Heart Disease
ARM Heart DiseaseARM Heart Disease
ARM Heart Disease
 
ARM Diabetes
ARM DiabetesARM Diabetes
ARM Diabetes
 
Arm ALS
Arm ALSArm ALS
Arm ALS
 
Applied DNA Sciences (OTCBB: APDN)
Applied DNA Sciences (OTCBB: APDN)Applied DNA Sciences (OTCBB: APDN)
Applied DNA Sciences (OTCBB: APDN)
 
Daily Dose Equities - Intracoronary Bone Marrow
Daily Dose Equities - Intracoronary Bone MarrowDaily Dose Equities - Intracoronary Bone Marrow
Daily Dose Equities - Intracoronary Bone Marrow
 
Daily Dose Equities - Effect of Transendocardial Delivery
Daily Dose Equities - Effect of Transendocardial Delivery Daily Dose Equities - Effect of Transendocardial Delivery
Daily Dose Equities - Effect of Transendocardial Delivery
 
Daily Dose Equities - Exosomes from human cd34
Daily Dose Equities - Exosomes from human cd34Daily Dose Equities - Exosomes from human cd34
Daily Dose Equities - Exosomes from human cd34
 
2012 MHCC Web resentation proposal-3-19-2012-published
2012 MHCC Web resentation proposal-3-19-2012-published2012 MHCC Web resentation proposal-3-19-2012-published
2012 MHCC Web resentation proposal-3-19-2012-published
 
PolyMedix ($PYMX) Cowan Research
PolyMedix ($PYMX) Cowan Research PolyMedix ($PYMX) Cowan Research
PolyMedix ($PYMX) Cowan Research
 
Intracoronary Bone Marrow Mononuclear Cells After Myocardial Infarction
Intracoronary Bone Marrow Mononuclear Cells After Myocardial InfarctionIntracoronary Bone Marrow Mononuclear Cells After Myocardial Infarction
Intracoronary Bone Marrow Mononuclear Cells After Myocardial Infarction
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen

Ahmedabad Call Girls Book Now 8980367676 Top Class Ahmedabad Escort Service A...
Ahmedabad Call Girls Book Now 8980367676 Top Class Ahmedabad Escort Service A...Ahmedabad Call Girls Book Now 8980367676 Top Class Ahmedabad Escort Service A...
Ahmedabad Call Girls Book Now 8980367676 Top Class Ahmedabad Escort Service A...Genuine Call Girls
 
Call Girls Shahdol Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Shahdol Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Shahdol Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Shahdol Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
Gorgeous Call Girls Dehradun {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girls in Dehradun...
Gorgeous Call Girls Dehradun {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girls in Dehradun...Gorgeous Call Girls Dehradun {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girls in Dehradun...
Gorgeous Call Girls Dehradun {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girls in Dehradun...Sheetaleventcompany
 
Chennai ❣️ Call Girl 6378878445 Call Girls in Chennai Escort service book now
Chennai ❣️ Call Girl 6378878445 Call Girls in Chennai Escort service book nowChennai ❣️ Call Girl 6378878445 Call Girls in Chennai Escort service book now
Chennai ❣️ Call Girl 6378878445 Call Girls in Chennai Escort service book nowtanudubay92
 
💚Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Anvi 📲🔝8725944379🔝Amritsar Call Girl No💰Advance Cash...
💚Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Anvi 📲🔝8725944379🔝Amritsar Call Girl No💰Advance Cash...💚Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Anvi 📲🔝8725944379🔝Amritsar Call Girl No💰Advance Cash...
💚Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Anvi 📲🔝8725944379🔝Amritsar Call Girl No💰Advance Cash...Sheetaleventcompany
 
Call Girls Bangalore - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 💯Call Us 🔝 6378878445 🔝 💃 ...
Call Girls Bangalore - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 💯Call Us 🔝 6378878445 🔝 💃 ...Call Girls Bangalore - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 💯Call Us 🔝 6378878445 🔝 💃 ...
Call Girls Bangalore - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 💯Call Us 🔝 6378878445 🔝 💃 ...gragneelam30
 
Call 8250092165 Patna Call Girls ₹4.5k Cash Payment With Room Delivery
Call 8250092165 Patna Call Girls ₹4.5k Cash Payment With Room DeliveryCall 8250092165 Patna Call Girls ₹4.5k Cash Payment With Room Delivery
Call 8250092165 Patna Call Girls ₹4.5k Cash Payment With Room DeliveryJyoti singh
 
Call Girls Kathua Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Kathua Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Kathua Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Kathua Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
❤️Amritsar Escorts Service☎️9815674956☎️ Call Girl service in Amritsar☎️ Amri...
❤️Amritsar Escorts Service☎️9815674956☎️ Call Girl service in Amritsar☎️ Amri...❤️Amritsar Escorts Service☎️9815674956☎️ Call Girl service in Amritsar☎️ Amri...
❤️Amritsar Escorts Service☎️9815674956☎️ Call Girl service in Amritsar☎️ Amri...Sheetaleventcompany
 
Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉 8875999948 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...
Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉 8875999948 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉 8875999948 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...
Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉 8875999948 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...Janvi Singh
 
Call Girls Rishikesh Just Call 9667172968 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Rishikesh Just Call 9667172968 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Rishikesh Just Call 9667172968 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Rishikesh Just Call 9667172968 Top Class Call Girl Service Availableperfect solution
 
Kolkata Call Girls Service ❤️🍑 9xx000xx09 👄🫦 Independent Escort Service Kolka...
Kolkata Call Girls Service ❤️🍑 9xx000xx09 👄🫦 Independent Escort Service Kolka...Kolkata Call Girls Service ❤️🍑 9xx000xx09 👄🫦 Independent Escort Service Kolka...
Kolkata Call Girls Service ❤️🍑 9xx000xx09 👄🫦 Independent Escort Service Kolka...Sheetaleventcompany
 
Gastric Cancer: Сlinical Implementation of Artificial Intelligence, Synergeti...
Gastric Cancer: Сlinical Implementation of Artificial Intelligence, Synergeti...Gastric Cancer: Сlinical Implementation of Artificial Intelligence, Synergeti...
Gastric Cancer: Сlinical Implementation of Artificial Intelligence, Synergeti...Oleg Kshivets
 
Difference Between Skeletal Smooth and Cardiac Muscles
Difference Between Skeletal Smooth and Cardiac MusclesDifference Between Skeletal Smooth and Cardiac Muscles
Difference Between Skeletal Smooth and Cardiac MusclesMedicoseAcademics
 
Cheap Rate Call Girls Bangalore {9179660964} ❤️VVIP BEBO Call Girls in Bangal...
Cheap Rate Call Girls Bangalore {9179660964} ❤️VVIP BEBO Call Girls in Bangal...Cheap Rate Call Girls Bangalore {9179660964} ❤️VVIP BEBO Call Girls in Bangal...
Cheap Rate Call Girls Bangalore {9179660964} ❤️VVIP BEBO Call Girls in Bangal...Sheetaleventcompany
 
❤️Chandigarh Escorts Service☎️9814379184☎️ Call Girl service in Chandigarh☎️ ...
❤️Chandigarh Escorts Service☎️9814379184☎️ Call Girl service in Chandigarh☎️ ...❤️Chandigarh Escorts Service☎️9814379184☎️ Call Girl service in Chandigarh☎️ ...
❤️Chandigarh Escorts Service☎️9814379184☎️ Call Girl service in Chandigarh☎️ ...Sheetaleventcompany
 
Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉8630512678 Top Class Call Girl Service Avai...
Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉8630512678 Top Class Call Girl Service Avai...Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉8630512678 Top Class Call Girl Service Avai...
Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉8630512678 Top Class Call Girl Service Avai...soniyagrag336
 
Call Girl In Chandigarh 📞9809698092📞 Just📲 Call Inaaya Chandigarh Call Girls ...
Call Girl In Chandigarh 📞9809698092📞 Just📲 Call Inaaya Chandigarh Call Girls ...Call Girl In Chandigarh 📞9809698092📞 Just📲 Call Inaaya Chandigarh Call Girls ...
Call Girl In Chandigarh 📞9809698092📞 Just📲 Call Inaaya Chandigarh Call Girls ...Sheetaleventcompany
 
Dehradun Call Girls Service {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girl in Dehradun U...
Dehradun Call Girls Service {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girl in Dehradun U...Dehradun Call Girls Service {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girl in Dehradun U...
Dehradun Call Girls Service {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girl in Dehradun U...Sheetaleventcompany
 
Kolkata Call Girls Naktala 💯Call Us 🔝 8005736733 🔝 💃 Top Class Call Girl Se...
Kolkata Call Girls Naktala  💯Call Us 🔝 8005736733 🔝 💃  Top Class Call Girl Se...Kolkata Call Girls Naktala  💯Call Us 🔝 8005736733 🔝 💃  Top Class Call Girl Se...
Kolkata Call Girls Naktala 💯Call Us 🔝 8005736733 🔝 💃 Top Class Call Girl Se...Namrata Singh
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)

Ahmedabad Call Girls Book Now 8980367676 Top Class Ahmedabad Escort Service A...
Ahmedabad Call Girls Book Now 8980367676 Top Class Ahmedabad Escort Service A...Ahmedabad Call Girls Book Now 8980367676 Top Class Ahmedabad Escort Service A...
Ahmedabad Call Girls Book Now 8980367676 Top Class Ahmedabad Escort Service A...
 
Call Girls Shahdol Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Shahdol Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Shahdol Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Shahdol Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Gorgeous Call Girls Dehradun {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girls in Dehradun...
Gorgeous Call Girls Dehradun {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girls in Dehradun...Gorgeous Call Girls Dehradun {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girls in Dehradun...
Gorgeous Call Girls Dehradun {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girls in Dehradun...
 
Chennai ❣️ Call Girl 6378878445 Call Girls in Chennai Escort service book now
Chennai ❣️ Call Girl 6378878445 Call Girls in Chennai Escort service book nowChennai ❣️ Call Girl 6378878445 Call Girls in Chennai Escort service book now
Chennai ❣️ Call Girl 6378878445 Call Girls in Chennai Escort service book now
 
💚Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Anvi 📲🔝8725944379🔝Amritsar Call Girl No💰Advance Cash...
💚Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Anvi 📲🔝8725944379🔝Amritsar Call Girl No💰Advance Cash...💚Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Anvi 📲🔝8725944379🔝Amritsar Call Girl No💰Advance Cash...
💚Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Anvi 📲🔝8725944379🔝Amritsar Call Girl No💰Advance Cash...
 
Call Girls Bangalore - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 💯Call Us 🔝 6378878445 🔝 💃 ...
Call Girls Bangalore - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 💯Call Us 🔝 6378878445 🔝 💃 ...Call Girls Bangalore - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 💯Call Us 🔝 6378878445 🔝 💃 ...
Call Girls Bangalore - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 💯Call Us 🔝 6378878445 🔝 💃 ...
 
Call 8250092165 Patna Call Girls ₹4.5k Cash Payment With Room Delivery
Call 8250092165 Patna Call Girls ₹4.5k Cash Payment With Room DeliveryCall 8250092165 Patna Call Girls ₹4.5k Cash Payment With Room Delivery
Call 8250092165 Patna Call Girls ₹4.5k Cash Payment With Room Delivery
 
Call Girls Kathua Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Kathua Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Kathua Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Kathua Just Call 8250077686 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
❤️Amritsar Escorts Service☎️9815674956☎️ Call Girl service in Amritsar☎️ Amri...
❤️Amritsar Escorts Service☎️9815674956☎️ Call Girl service in Amritsar☎️ Amri...❤️Amritsar Escorts Service☎️9815674956☎️ Call Girl service in Amritsar☎️ Amri...
❤️Amritsar Escorts Service☎️9815674956☎️ Call Girl service in Amritsar☎️ Amri...
 
Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉 8875999948 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...
Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉 8875999948 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉 8875999948 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...
Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉 8875999948 Top Class Call Girl Service Ava...
 
Call Girls Rishikesh Just Call 9667172968 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Rishikesh Just Call 9667172968 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Rishikesh Just Call 9667172968 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Rishikesh Just Call 9667172968 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Kolkata Call Girls Service ❤️🍑 9xx000xx09 👄🫦 Independent Escort Service Kolka...
Kolkata Call Girls Service ❤️🍑 9xx000xx09 👄🫦 Independent Escort Service Kolka...Kolkata Call Girls Service ❤️🍑 9xx000xx09 👄🫦 Independent Escort Service Kolka...
Kolkata Call Girls Service ❤️🍑 9xx000xx09 👄🫦 Independent Escort Service Kolka...
 
Gastric Cancer: Сlinical Implementation of Artificial Intelligence, Synergeti...
Gastric Cancer: Сlinical Implementation of Artificial Intelligence, Synergeti...Gastric Cancer: Сlinical Implementation of Artificial Intelligence, Synergeti...
Gastric Cancer: Сlinical Implementation of Artificial Intelligence, Synergeti...
 
Difference Between Skeletal Smooth and Cardiac Muscles
Difference Between Skeletal Smooth and Cardiac MusclesDifference Between Skeletal Smooth and Cardiac Muscles
Difference Between Skeletal Smooth and Cardiac Muscles
 
Cheap Rate Call Girls Bangalore {9179660964} ❤️VVIP BEBO Call Girls in Bangal...
Cheap Rate Call Girls Bangalore {9179660964} ❤️VVIP BEBO Call Girls in Bangal...Cheap Rate Call Girls Bangalore {9179660964} ❤️VVIP BEBO Call Girls in Bangal...
Cheap Rate Call Girls Bangalore {9179660964} ❤️VVIP BEBO Call Girls in Bangal...
 
❤️Chandigarh Escorts Service☎️9814379184☎️ Call Girl service in Chandigarh☎️ ...
❤️Chandigarh Escorts Service☎️9814379184☎️ Call Girl service in Chandigarh☎️ ...❤️Chandigarh Escorts Service☎️9814379184☎️ Call Girl service in Chandigarh☎️ ...
❤️Chandigarh Escorts Service☎️9814379184☎️ Call Girl service in Chandigarh☎️ ...
 
Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉8630512678 Top Class Call Girl Service Avai...
Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉8630512678 Top Class Call Girl Service Avai...Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉8630512678 Top Class Call Girl Service Avai...
Call Girls in Lucknow Just Call 👉👉8630512678 Top Class Call Girl Service Avai...
 
Call Girl In Chandigarh 📞9809698092📞 Just📲 Call Inaaya Chandigarh Call Girls ...
Call Girl In Chandigarh 📞9809698092📞 Just📲 Call Inaaya Chandigarh Call Girls ...Call Girl In Chandigarh 📞9809698092📞 Just📲 Call Inaaya Chandigarh Call Girls ...
Call Girl In Chandigarh 📞9809698092📞 Just📲 Call Inaaya Chandigarh Call Girls ...
 
Dehradun Call Girls Service {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girl in Dehradun U...
Dehradun Call Girls Service {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girl in Dehradun U...Dehradun Call Girls Service {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girl in Dehradun U...
Dehradun Call Girls Service {8854095900} ❤️VVIP ROCKY Call Girl in Dehradun U...
 
Kolkata Call Girls Naktala 💯Call Us 🔝 8005736733 🔝 💃 Top Class Call Girl Se...
Kolkata Call Girls Naktala  💯Call Us 🔝 8005736733 🔝 💃  Top Class Call Girl Se...Kolkata Call Girls Naktala  💯Call Us 🔝 8005736733 🔝 💃  Top Class Call Girl Se...
Kolkata Call Girls Naktala 💯Call Us 🔝 8005736733 🔝 💃 Top Class Call Girl Se...
 

JMP Securities - Keryx Biopharmaceuticals ($KERX)

  • 1. Biotechnology - Company Report November 14, 2011 Keryx Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. (1,2) Charles C. Duncan, PhD cduncan@jmpsecurities.com Zerenex Cost Savings Potential Overlooked (212) 906-3510 MARKET OUTPERFORM KERX $2.82 Jason N. Butler, PhD jbutler@jmpsecurities.com (212) 906-3505 Price $2.82 FY Dec 2010A 2011E 2012E Target Price $8.00 Revenue (M) 1Q $0.0 $0.0A -- Gena H. Wang, PhD 52-Wk Range $2.58 - $5.91 2Q $0.0 $5.0A -- gwang@jmpsecurities.com Shares Out. (M) 59 3Q $0.0 $0.0A -- Market Cap. (M) $166 4Q $0.0 $0.0 -- (212) 906-3528 Average Daily Vol. (000) 683 FY $0.0 $5.0 $8.0 Roy Buchanan, PhD Float (M) $67 rbuchanan@jmpsecurities.com 2010A 2011E 2012E LT Debt (M) $0 EPS 1Q ($0.07) ($0.10)A -- (212) 906-3514 Cash (M) $47.2 2Q ($0.09) ($0.05)A -- Enterprise Value (M) $119 3Q ($0.10) ($0.15)A -- Cash/Share $0.80 4Q ($0.09) ($0.15) -- FY ($0.34) ($0.45) ($0.42) P/E NM NM NM Previous FY -- NC NC CY ($0.34) ($0.45) ($0.42) PE NM NM NM NC indicates no change to previous estimate. NE indicates no previous estimate. Source: Company reports and JMP Securities INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS • DaVita looks at Zerenex clinical data and provides compelling evidence for cost savings; reiterate Market Outperform rating and $8 price target on Keryx Biopharmaceuticals. Keryx released this morning two abstracts from presentations by DaVita Clinical Research at the American Society of Nephrology meeting over the weekend. The posters describe cost savings analyses carried out using data from the prior clinical studies of Zerenex. Zerenex is currently in Phase III testing for use in end-stage renal disease patients on dialysis and we anticipate data sometime in 2H12 and potential sales of ~$200MM in 2016. Our $8 price target is derived using a risk-adjusted, sum-of-the-parts analysis including perifosine (~$4) and Zerenex (~$4). • Cost savings analysis highlights potential for Zerenex to add value. In poster #1566, DaVita took historical changes of the iron-storage markers serum ferritin and transferring saturation (TSAT) and correlated changes in those values to project reductions in erythropoietin stimulating agent (ESA) and IV-iron usage for patients switching to Zerenex. A sensitivity analysis illustrating the major cost drivers is provided in Figure 1. The company derived an estimated cost savings from Zerenex usage, of ~$125/patient for moderate ESA use (4,500-9,000 units per session) and $320/patient for high ESA use (9,000 or more units per session). Our diligence suggests that ~80% of ESRD patients require ESAs and ~90% require phosphate binders. Using the derived savings of ~$90/patient/month for all patients, and our estimate of 7% Zerenex penetration in 2016 in the U.S., provides a potential cost savings of ~$38MM annually. • Physician behavior largely dictates cost benefit potential. The second poster presented by DaVita, #2647, analyzed ~130,000 patient records from DaVita's hemodialysis (HD) patient database from June 2008 to May 2010. The database was filtered to include patients whose TSAT increased by 10% or more and whose serum ferritin increased by 15 to 25%, to eventually include approximately two thousand HD patients. The company examined physician responses to the increases in TSAT and serum ferritin, finding a mean decrease in ESA dose of ~500 units and for iron of ~5.8mg per patient. With pressures on cost savings likely to only increase going forward, we view results such as these as likely to be useful in demonstrating Zerenex's utility in this setting and to drive robust clinical uptake. • The posters are available at http://www.davitaclinicalresearch.com/directory.asp FOR DISCLOSURE AND FOOTNOTE INFORMATION, REFER TO THE JMP FACTS AND DISCLOSURES SECTION
  • 2. FIGURE 1: Sensitivity Analysis for Cost Savings Potential Source: DaVita Clinical Research INVESTMENT RISKS Clinical risk. Keryx's product candidates may fail to demonstrate adequate efficacy, safety, and/or tolerability in one or more clinical studies. Regulatory risk. Even if the company's product candidates do successfully complete clinical development, regulatory approval may not be granted by the FDA or foreign regulatory authorities, and additional studies may be required. Industry risk. The biotechnology industry is highly competitive with many firms developing novel therapies that address Keryx's target diseases. It is possible that breakthrough competitor products or therapies may render Keryx's pipeline obsolete and affect the future survival of the company. Additionally, there are a number of established products in several of the markets Keryx is targeting. Shifting patients to Keryx's products may require significant capital and resources. Balance sheet risk. The company has a history of losses, and consistent profitability is still several years away. Since Keryx is burning cash in order to develop products and is expected to do so over the near future, raising additional capital is crucial to the viability of the company. Keryx ended 4Q10 with approximately $28.5MM in cash and equivalents with an average operational burn rate of $4.1MM per quarter for the past four quarters. Keryx anticipates that it has funding sufficient to complete the current Phase III programs; however, after that, it may require additional funding. COMPANY DESCRIPTION Keryx Biopharmaceuticals focuses on the development of novel treatments for cancer and renal disease. The company's lead product candidates are perifosine and Zerenex, both of which are currently being evaluated in Phase III programs. Perifosine is an inhibitor of the PI3-kinase pathway and is being developed for the treatment of cancer. Keryx has ongoing Phase III programs for perifosine in metastatic advanced colorectal cancer and multiple myeloma that are being conducted under Special Protocol Assessments (SPAs) as well as early stage programs in other indications. The company's second product candidate, Zerenex, is a phosphate binder being developed for the treatment of hyperphosphatemia in patients with end-stage renal disease. Keryx recently released positive top line results from the first of two Phase III trials for Zerenex, which met its primary and secondary endpoints. 2
  • 3. JMP FACTS AND DISCLOSURES Analyst Certification: The research analyst(s) who prepared this report does/do hereby certify that the views presented in this report are in accordance with my/our personal views on the securities and issuers discussed in this report. As mandated by SEC Regulation AC no part of my/our compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific views or recommendations expressed herein. This certification is made under the obligations set forth in SEC Regulation AC. Any other person or entity may not use it for any other purpose. This certification is made based on my/our analysis on the date of this report’s publication. I/We assume no obligation to update this certification to reflect any facts, circumstances or events that may subsequently come to my/our attention. Signed Charles C. Duncan, PhD, Jason N. Butler, PhD, Gena H. Wang, PhD, Roy Buchanan, PhD Publicly Traded Companies Covered by JMP and Mentioned in This Report (as of November 14, 2011): Company Disclosures Keryx Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. (1,2) JMP Securities Disclosure Definitions: (1) JMP Securities currently makes a market in this security. (2) JMP Securities has received compensation for banking or other services rendered to this company in the past 12 months. (3) JMP Securities was manager or co-manager of a public offering for this company in the past 12 months. (4) JMP Securities participated as an underwriting or selling group member of a public offering by this company in the past 12 months. (5) JMP Securities and/or its affiliates have obtained a position of at least 1% in the equity securities of this company during the ordinary course of its/their business/investments. (6) An officer of JMP Securities is a director or officer of this company. (7) The analyst covering this company (as defined in NASD Rule 2711) or a member of the analyst's household has a financial interest in this company. (8) The analyst covering this company or a member of the analyst’s household serves as an officer, director, or advisory board member of this company. (9) The analyst covering this company has had discussions of employment with the company. JMP Securities Investment Opinion Definitions: Market Outperform (MO): JMP Securities expects the stock price to outperform relevant market indices over the next 12 months. Market Perform (MP): JMP Securities expects the stock price to perform in line with relevant market indices over the next 12 months. Market Underperform (MU): JMP Securities expects the stock price to underperform relevant market indices over the next 12 months. JMP Securities Research Ratings and Investment Banking Services: (as of October 3, 2011) # Co's # Co's % # Co's % Receiving % of Co's Regulatory Under of Regulatory Under of IB Services in With This JMP Rating Equivalent Coverage Total Rating Coverage Total Past 12 Months Rating Market Outperform Buy 207 66% Buy 207 66% 58 28% Market Perform Hold 105 33% Hold 105 33% 7 7% Market Underperform Sell 3 1% Sell 3 1% 0 0% TOTAL: 315 100% 315 100% 65 21% Stock Price Chart of Rating and Target Price Changes: Note: First annotation denotes initiation of coverage or 3 years, whichever is shorter. If no target price is listed, then the target price is N/A. In accordance with NASD Rule 2711, the chart(s) below reflect(s) price range and any changes to the rating or price target as of the end of the most recent calendar quarter. The action reflected in this note is not annotated in the stock price chart. Source: Jovus and JMP Securities. JMP Disclaimer: JMP Securities LLC (the “Firm”) compensates research analysts, like other Firm employees, based on the Firm’s profitability, which includes revenues from the Firm’s institutional sales, trading, and investment banking departments as well as on the quality of the services and activities performed that are intended to benefit the Firm’s institutional clients. These data have been prepared by JMP Securities LLC for informational purposes only and are based on information available to the public from sources that we believe to be reliable, but we do not guarantee their accuracy or completeness. Any opinions and projections expressed herein reflect our judgment at this date and are subject to change without notice. These data are neither intended nor should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation or a basis for any contract for the purchase of any security or other financial product. JMP Securities LLC, its affiliates, JMP Group LLC, Harvest Capital Strategies LLC, and their respective partners, directors, officers, and associates may have a long or short position in, may act as a market maker for, or may purchase or sell a position in the securities mentioned herein. JMP Securities LLC or its affiliates may be performing, have performed, or seek to perform investment banking, advisory, or other services and may have acted as manager or co-manager for a public offering of securities for any company mentioned herein. The reader should assume that JMP Securities LLC will solicit business from the company covered in this report. Members of our Sales and Trading Department provide oral and/or written market opinions and trading strategies to our clients that reflect their personal opinions about stocks that are the subject of the firm's research reports. Our research analysts discuss trading strategies with clients and complete surveys from clients that sometimes reflect short-term expectations for the price of the securities that are the subject of research reports. Those trading strategies and survey responses are distinct from the analysts' fundamental rating for the stock, which is based upon the analysts' view compared to other stocks under coverage for the relevant time period. © Copyright 2011. All rights reserved by JMP Securities LLC. JMP Securities LLC is a member of FINRA, NYSE Arca, NASDAQ, and SIPC. 3
  • 4. JMP SECURITIES LLC 600 Montgomery Street, Suite 1100, San Francisco, CA 94111-2713, www.jmpsecurities.com Peter V. Coleman Director of Equity Research (415) 869-4455 Financial Services Real Estate Capital Markets Hotels & Resorts David Trone (212) 906-3525 William C. Marks (415) 835-8944 Steven Fu, CFA (212) 906-3548 Chris Ross, CFA (212) 906-3532 Housing & Housing Supply Chain Michael G. Smith (415) 835-8965 Consumer & Specialty Finance, Commercial Banks John Hecht (415) 835-3912 Land Development Kyle M. Joseph (415) 835-3940 Michael G. Smith (415) 835-8965 Financial Processing & Outsourcing Real Estate & Property Services David M. Scharf (415) 835-8942 William C. Marks (415) 835-8944 Kevane A. Wong (415) 835-8976 Real Estate Technology Michael G. Smith (415) 835-8965 Insurance Matthew J. Carletti (312) 768-1784 REITs: Healthcare Christine Worley (312) 768-1786 Peter L. Martin, CFA (415) 835-8904 Aaron Hecht (415) 835-3963 Market Structure David M. Scharf (415) 835-8942 REITs: Office & Industrial Mitch Germain (212) 906-3546 Kevane A. Wong (415) 835-8976 Residential & Commercial Real Estate Finance Technology Steven C. DeLaney (404) 848-7773 Clean Technology Trevor Cranston, CFA (415) 869-4431 Alex Gauna (415) 835-8998 Trevor Cranston, CFA (415) 869-4431 Communications Equipment Erik Suppiger (415) 835-3918 Healthcare Semiconductors Biotechnology Alex Gauna (415) 835-8998 Charles C. Duncan, PhD (212) 906-3510 Matt Danziger (415) 869-4454 Roy Buchanan, PhD (212) 906-3514 Jason N. Butler, PhD (212) 906-3505 Software Gena H. Wang, PhD (212) 906-3528 Patrick Walravens (415) 835-8943 Greg McDowell (415) 835-3934 Liisa A. Bayko (312) 768-1785 Peter Lowry (415) 869-4418 Heather Behanna, PhD (312) 768-1795 Greg McDowell (415) 835-3934 Jason N. Butler, PhD (212) 906-3505 Healthcare Facilities & Services Peter L. Martin, CFA (415) 835-8904 Aaron Hecht (415) 835-3963 Healthcare Services Constantine Davides, CFA (617) 235-8502 Tim McDonough (617) 235-8504 Medical Devices J. T. Haresco, III, PhD (415) 869-4477 For Additional Information Mark Lehmann Erin Seidemann President, JMP Securities Vice President, Publishing (415) 835-3908 (415) 835-3970