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Climate change

4. Dec 2016
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Climate change

  1. Climate change and natural resources Dr. Priyanka Gautam Dept. of Zoology
  2. CLIMATE CHANGE
  3. Introduction Before explaining what climate change is, do you know the difference between weather and climate?
  4. The Weather Weather describes whatever is happening outdoors in a given place at a given time. It is measured through wind, temperature, humidity, atmospheric pressure, cloudiness, and precipitation. Do you know an activity that is not directly or indirectly influenced by weather? Did you know that the coldest temperature ever recorded was -89.2°C (-128.5°F) at Vostok, Antarctica (3420m high) on 1983
  5. The Climate Climate is the average of weather over time. Climate tells us what weather is usually like in a given place. Climate change is a change in the statistical distribution of weather patterns when that change lasts for an extended period of time (i.e., decades to millions of years).
  6. What is climate variability ? “Climate variability” refers to changes in climate from one year to another. It can be caused by changes in ocean conditions far away, which can affect climate all over the world (for ex: el Niño) Climate variability is natural and occurs on a regular basis.
  7. What is climate change ? Climate change is the change in climate over a time period from 10 to 100s of years. Climate change involves both natural changes and changes caused by people.
  8. Why does our climate change? • Over the history of the Planet, the climate has changed naturally. It happened during the ice ages, and maybe also when the dinosaurs disappeared. • In addition, human activities have warmed the climate.
  9. • Climate change is caused by factors such as – biotic processes, – variations in solar radiation received by Earth, – plate tectonics, and – volcanic eruptions. – Certain human activities have also been identified as significant causes of recent climate change, often referred to as global warming.
  10. Main Natural Factors that Affect Climate
  11. The Sun • The amount of energy coming off the Sun is not constant but keeps changing • Slow changes in the Earth's distance from the Sun affect the amount of energy received from the Sun. • Those variations are believed to be one of the causes that start ice ages. Main Natural Factors
  12. • The climate system is made up of many components that all affect climate: this includes Orbital variations, Solar output, Volcanoes, sea ice and land covers (trees, grass…) Main Natural Factors
  13. Orbital variations • Slight variations in Earth's orbit lead to changes in the seasonal distribution of sunlight reaching the Earth's surface and how it is distributed across the globe. There is very little change to the area-averaged annually averaged sunshine; but there can be strong changes in the geographical and seasonal distribution.
  14. Solar output • The Sun is the predominant source of energy input to the Earth. Other sources include geothermal energy from the Earth's core, and heat from the decay of radioactive compounds. Both long- and short-term variations in solar intensity are known to affect global climate.
  15. Volcanoes • when a volcano erupts it throws out large amounts of sulphur dioxide (SO2), water vapour, dust, and ash into the atmosphere. • The eruptions considered to be large enough to affect the Earth's climate on a scale of more than 1 year are the ones that inject over 100,000 tons of SO2 into the stratosphere. • This is due to the optical properties of SO2 and sulfate aerosols, which strongly absorb or scatter solar radiation, creating a global layer of sulfuric acid haze • On average, such eruptions occur several times per century, and cause cooling (by partially blocking the transmission of solar radiation to the Earth's surface) for a period of a few years.
  16. The Greenhouse Effect controls our climate • When energy from the Sun enters the Earth's atmosphere, about a third of it is reflected back to space. • Of the remainder, most is absorbed by the Earth’s surface. Some also stays in the atmosphere, absorbed by water vapor and green house gases. • This natural Greenhouse Effect is vital to life as we know it. • Right now, the average temperature on the Earth is 15°C. If there was no greenhouse effect, the average temperature would be -18°C (33°C colder than it is now – too cold for most living beings). Main Natural Factors 3 is the Greenhouse Effect
  17. The Earth’s energy balance
  18. Main Human Factors that Affect Climate
  19. Human cause for climate change • Green house gases • Deforestation • Coal mining • Burning of Fossil fuel • Industrial processes • Agriculture
  20. Greenhouse Gases • Human activities send gases (for example methane, carbon dioxine CO2) into the athmosphere that enhance the greenhouse effect. • Many of the gases come from fossil fuels such as oil, coal and natural gas to run vehicles, and generate electricity for industries or households. • When the atmosphere contains too much of those gases, the whole atmosphere and the Earth becomes hotter, like it does in a greenhouse. The atmosphere holds on to too much heat, instead of letting it escape into space. Main Human Factors This causes global warming !
  21. Carbon di oxide 64% Chlorofluoro carbons 11% Nitrous oxide 6% Methane 19% Green house gases
  22. The example of CO2 • Today there is about 25% more Carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere than in 1860. CO2 is the greenhouse gas that people make the most of. The more CO2 we put into the air, the more the temperature could rise. • Two of the biggest sources of CO2 are burning fossil fuels and cutting down and burning trees. • Forests are called « carbon sinks » because they take CO2 from the air and store it. When trees are cut down and burned, the CO2 that is stored in them is released back into the air. Scientists believe that every year, 2 to 5 billion tonnes of CO2 are released into the air from forests being cut down and burned. Main Human Factors
  23. Correlation between CO2 and temperature
  24. Aerosols • Aerosols are tiny solid particles or liquid droplets that remain suspended in the atmosphere for a long time. Main Human Factors •They originate naturally (for example from volcanoes) but also as a result of human activities (industries…). In the later case, aerosols are considered pollutants, which cause direct effects on the Earth’s radiation budget and also indirectly through changing the formation and behavior of clouds.
  25. Land Use Change • There are over 6 billion people on Earth. Humans continue replacing forests and natural vegetation with agricultural lands. More and more people move into cities, therefore more houses are built. All this has an impact on climate. • For example, it affects the evaporation of water and therefore the rain cycle. Main Human Factors
  26. What is global warming? It refers to an average increase in the Earth's temperature, which in turn causes changes in climate. A warmer Earth leads to a wide range of impacts on plants, wildlife, and humans. Observed data indicate that global temperature over land and ocean has increased by approximately 0.6°C (1.08°F) since the late nineteenth century. Do you know exemples of effects global warming has on our Planet?
  27. Our future climate according to scientists According to meteorologists and climatologists (they are the scientists who study weather and climate), the changing climate very likely entail more: •Heat waves •Heavy rain and snow •Droughts •Tropical cyclones
  28. Our future climate according to scientists Rising sea level Scientists also predict that global warming will cause the level of water in the oceans to rise between 15 and 95 cm in the next 100 years, because warmer temperature will cause sea ice and glaciers to melt, adding more water to oceans, and because as water gets warmer, it takes up more space
  29. Other evidence of Climate Change • Glacier retreat 1875 2004
  30. Climate change affects regions differently Recently, the degrees Celsius increased or decreased compared to the average temperature recorded between 1951 and 1980. Regions in red are the most affected by an increase in temperature. The small regions in blue are affected by a cooling effect.
  31. Snow cover and Arctic sea ice are decreasing Spring snow cover shows 5% stepwise drop during 1980s Arctic sea ice area decreased by 2.7% per decade (Summer: -7.4%/decade)
  32. IPCC IPCC stands for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change created by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). It brings together scientists from around the world to report on climate change. IPCC advises that for a better future, we need: • to reduce greenhouse gas emissions • to adapt to climate change (for example with better alert systems, water and food management). It won the nobel prize!
  33. Through WMO, 188 Member countries worldwide produce, share and improve information on weather, water and climate, including forecasts and warnings. WMO organizes training for weather and climate professionals to bring you reliable and clear information. The Meteorological and Hydrological Services work together within WMO to improve the quality and safety of your life.
  34. National Meteorological and Hydrological Services The data that are needed to deal with the impacts of climate change are collected by the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services of all countries, including your’s.
  35. What can we do to improve our climate? Please tell us what you think
  36. • WMO comic book: « We care for our planet » - WMO-No. 975 •The World Meteorological Organization in your daily life • A career in meteorology WMO-No. 1012 • WMO « Skies and Oceans » Youthfull perspectives • WMO web site : www.wmo.int • IPCC web site : www.ipcc.ch For more information
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