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Predictive Analytics and 
Machine Learning 101 
Poya Manouchehri 
@PoyaManouchehri 
NEUROMINE
• 
• 
• 
•
• 
• 
• 
•
TEMPERATURE IS LOW 
IT IS OVERCAST 
IT RAINED YESTERDAY 
IT WILL RAIN TODAY
Model 
Independent 
Variable 
Dependent 
Variable
Data 
(Independent and 
Dependant Variables) 
Training Model
• EYES EXIST 
• NUMBER OF LEGS 
• FURRINESS 
OUTPUT: 
• CAT, PERSON, CHAIR, OTHER
• YES, 4, FURRY CAT 
• YES, 2, NOT FURRY PERSON 
• NO, 2, NOT FURRY OTHER 
• …
Number of Legs 
<4 >4 
4 
Other 
Furry Not Furry 
Cat 
Furriness 
Chair 
Yes 
Eyes Exist 
No 
Other 
Person
Neuron 
Neuron 
Neuron
Actual
Input 1 Input 2 Output 
0 0 0 
0 1 1 
1 0 1 
1 1 0
0.00 
0.10 
0.20 
0.30 
0.40 
0.50 
0.60 
0.70 
0.80 
0.90 
1.00 
1.20 
1.00 
0.80 
0.60 
0.40 
0.20 
0.00 
0.00 
0.10 
0.20 
0.30 
0.40 
0.50 
0.60 
0.70 
0.80 
0.90 
1.00 
XOR 
0.00-0.20 0.20-0.40 0.40-0.60 0.60-0.80 0.80-1.00 1.00-1.20
• 
• 
•
Output 
Input
Error
• 
•
• 
• 
• 
•
• 
• 
• 
•
• 
• 
•
• 
• 
• 
• 
• 
•
• GOOGLE PREDICTION API 
• AZURE ML 
• NEUROMINE 
• BIGML 
• WISE.IO 
• ALGORITHMS.IO 
• INFER.COM
• 
• 
•
Predictive Analytics and Machine Learning 101

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Predictive Analytics and Machine Learning 101

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Inputs: overcast, dark clouds, cold, it rained yesterday Prediction: it’s going to rain today
  2. Supervised learning
  3. Unsupervised learning
  4. Human readable Interaction between properties
  5. NN not human readable Topology can differ More neurons = more capacity. More neurons = more computational complexity More neurons <> better results
  6. Topology can differ More neurons = more capacity. More neurons = more computational complexity More neurons <> better results NN not human readable
  7. Topology can differ More neurons = more capacity. More neurons = more computational complexity More neurons <> better results NN not human readable
  8. Topology can differ More neurons = more capacity. More neurons = more computational complexity More neurons <> better results NN not human readable