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Making REDD work for the poor
Presentation by Leo Peskett (ODI) for the Poverty and Environment Partnership
                 (PEP) meeting, Manila, 10 June 2008, 11.00-12.45
Overview


1. Background to PEP paper, what REDD is
   and the case for pro-poor REDD
2. Poverty implications of alternative
   international REDD proposals
3. Cross-cutting poverty implications
4. Making REDD work for the poor
PEP paper: Background

• Title: “Making REDD work for
  the poor”
• Aim: To assess potential poverty
  implications of REDD in order to
  inform development of policies
  and practical ‘toolkits’ to help
  ensure REDD works for the poor
• Process: Builds on earlier draft
  by David Huberman (12/07)
What is REDD?


• Many different proposals and options = confusion + focus on technical and
  policy issues generally at high (e.g. UNFCCC) levels
• Paper takes a broad perspective on REDD as “an international financial
  mechanism between developed and developing countries, for reducing
  greenhouse gas emissions associated with deforestation and degradation”
• Covers both emissions-based and stock-based approaches
Why ensure REDD works for the
                            poor?

Beyond the moral argument, there are a number of reasons to ensure
that REDD works for the poor. They include…

1.Improved sustainability of REDD in the long term

2.Risk reduction in projects and for investors and buyers

3.Potential for increased market returns and creation of ‘niche’ markets

4.Political motivation

5.Contractual/legal obligations of some donor organisations

Little rigorous analysis of poverty implications so far
The approach of the paper


•   Presents a simple poverty framework
•   Applies this to two sets of ‘design’ issues
    1. Main design components of existing
       international proposals (e.g. baselines; fund
       vs. market based approaches etc.) made by
       countries, NGOs and the private sector
    2. Cross-cutting issues that will apply to any
       REDD option
What do we mean by ‘the poor’?

 •In REDD context, taking a broad view of what we mean by poverty and ‘the poor’
             Individual                      Community                        National                          International

Income and   •    Labour income              •   Infrastructure               •    Infrastructure               •    Simultaneous
growth       •    Non-labour income              improvements                      improvements                      attainment of
             •    Enhanced rights to land    •   Local spending               •    Skills and knowledge              development, CC and
             •    Rights to carbon           •   Improved public              •    SME development                   biodiversity
             •    Access to subsistence          services                     •    Attaining the MDGs                conservation targets
                  products                   •   Improved
             •    Small Enterprise               environmental quality
                  development

Equity       •    Level of income from       •   Level and distribution of    •    Regional distribution of     •    International distribution
                  REDD compared to               income in community               REDD investment                   of REDD investment
                  others in household
             •    Continued or increased
                  ability to access forest
                  resources under REDD

Voice and    •    Effective participation    •   Effective participation in   •    Effective participation in   •    Effective participation in
Choice            community discussions          decision making                   national REDD                     REDD negotiations
                  in REDD project design         surrounding REDD                  processes
                  and implementation             (with companies; govt
                                                 etc.)
                                             •   More viable and
                                                 representative local
                                                 government
Implications of different international
                                        REDD proposals for the poor

                    Poverty implications: opportunities / risks at different levels
Design issue        Individual/Community                        National                                       International
Baseline/           •Historic baselines result in more finance to actors that have high historic deforestation rates (i.e. have performed poorly in
reference level     terms of forest protection)
Deforestation or    •Problem of how cyclical cultivation      •Forest definitions could limit types of activities that benefit (e.g. agroforestry)
deforestation and   systems and temporary degradation         •Equity implications related to capacity to implement degradation monitoring
degradation?        are treated
                                                              •More finance to countries with high degradation rates
Framework           •Overall volume of finance available from REDD
                    •Complexity and stringency of rules
Market or fund      •Cost effectiveness concerns driving      •Fund could divert ODA if not managed
                    the design of projects                    properly
                    •Volume of finance has income and growth implications ($2-30 billion annually)
                    •Reducing delivery risks has equity implications in terms of availability of upfront finance and possible perverse incentives
                    •‘Pro-poor’ mandate of donor funds
Voluntary or        •Standards may be lower in voluntary
regulated market    markets
                    •Voluntary market likely to have lower overall volume of finance
                    •Greater flexibility and interest in sustainable development issues in voluntary markets may improve equity of investments
Liability           •Reducing delivery risks has equity implications in terms of availability of upfront finance, possible perverse incentives and
arrangements        investment going towards countries with low risks (e.g. governance risks)
                    •Some liability instruments (e.g. temporary credits) may reduce overall investment in market systems as less attractive to
                    buyers
                    •Risk that the poor could find it hard to meet fines and penalties or other enforcement measures
Spatial scale       •Project approaches may make it               •Alignment with national systems may
                    easier to monitor social risks and            improve sustainability in REDD and beyond
                    benefits
                    •Risk/benefits in national systems
                    depend on effectiveness of
                    decentralisation processes
What can we conclude about the poverty
                   implications of different international
                             REDD proposals?


• Still difficult to say which international proposals are more ‘pro-poor’
  at this stage
• But some general conclusions:
    – The way that reference scenarios are established will have
      significant equity implications at all scales
    – Volumes of finance are likely to vary significantly between different
      options
    – Risk management mechanisms could have large poverty
      implications
    – Decisions on rules governing REDD (e.g. forest or degradation
      definitions) could have significant equity implications
    – National versus project-based approaches may have different
      impacts on the poor
Cross-cutting issues relating to
                               REDD

                                 Benefits/risks (e.g.s)
Effects on food and              Positive/negative effects for producers/consumers
commodity prices                 (e.g. fuelwood prices) (+/-)
Knowledge and interpretation     Low visibility on, and lack of data on, small-scale
on opportunity costs             activities (-)
Benefit sharing mechanisms       More stable benefits than other commodities? (+)
                                 Elite capture and conflicts possible (-)
Information availability and     Information asymmetry between ‘buyers’ and ‘sellers’
understanding                    = low market access or unfair benefits (-)
Role of carbon rights            Restrictions on land use options (-)
                                 loss of ability to sell carbon? (-)
Verification and compliance      Increase income potential (+)
systems                          High compliance cost = barrier for small producers (-)
Corruption, accountability and   Deter investment (-)
transparency                     Poor disproportionately affected (-)
Cross-cutting issues (2)

 Examples of Proposed                                   Potential Benefits                                        Potential Risks
 Emission Reductions Policies
 and Measures (PAMs)
 1.
          Removal subsidies for          •     Creates a level playing field for                •     May reduce work opportunities for the
          deforestation and                    large and small operators                              landless
          forest degradation
 2.       Tax land clearance                                                                    •     Needs to be applied equitably
                                         •     Helps internalise environmental
                                               costs
 3.       Strategic road plans           •     Reduces pressure on forest lands                 •      Needs to be seen as part of a broader
                                               and resources                                          development strategy, if poor isolated
                                                                                                      groups are not to be marginalised from
                                                                                                      development processes
 4.                                      •     Can enhance forest governance
          Improve forest law                                                                    •     Can lead to ‘victim blaming’ and rent
          enforcement                    •     Increase revenues to government                        seeking by officials
                                         •     Less damage to resources on
                                               which locals depend for livelihoods
 5.
          Improve tenure                 •     Important if poor people are to see              •     Can be applied in ‘anti-poor’ ways –
          security                             the benefits of their own                              diminishing what limited tenure security
                                               investments in the land                                the poor have, and encouraging land
                                               (infrastructure, fertility, irrigation,                grabbing by the capital-rich.
                                               tree-planting)
1-5 of 21 proposed policies and measures to reduce DD through REDD, Source: Brown and Peskett 2008, forthcoming
Making REDD work for the poor


•   Information provision and transparency especially relating to contracts between
    producers and buyers/funders
•   Provision of upfront financing and other mechanisms to reduce costs: E.g.
    forward selling; alternative financing; bundling to reduce transaction costs etc.
•   Liability arrangements: ‘Soft enforcement’; Buyers taking on more risks; carbon
    pooling instruments
•   Poverty reduction needs to be an explicit goal of REDD not just an add-on, with
    benefit sharing based on equity not just emissions
•   Technical assistance esp. on understanding DD drivers and opp. costs of the poor
•   Strengthen legal systems and access to legality
•   Flexibility in the design of systems to respond to changing opportunity costs and
    REDD markets/funds
•   Land and carbon rights clearly defined: Use of tools to establish rights; careful
    definition in national legislation and need to be held by landowners
Making REDD work for the poor
                                 (2)

•   Development of REDD standards and application of existing extra-sectoral
    standards
•   Overall attention to balance rigour with simplicity in the design of REDD systems
•   Ensure broad participation in REDD design and implementation
•   Equitable redistribution mechanisms in cases where REDD finances are
    concentrated in areas with high rates and poor past performance in DD (e.g. through
    taxes)
•   Avoid perverse incentives due to limited direct benefits
•   Accountability and transparency e.g. through 3rd party verification
•   Alignment of REDD strategies with national and international financial and
    development strategies
•   Ensure longevity in REDD mechanisms: Especially ensuring benefits last for the
    lifetime of projects
•   Use of broad definitions e.g. for ‘forest’ categories or land-use options included
Is there potential for pro-poor
                              REDD?

• Strong arguments in favour of making REDD work for the
  poor from climate and biodiversity perspectives as well as
  the moral standpoint
• Potential depends on:
   – National context including drivers of deforestation/degradation
   – Commitment of policy makers/investors/funders to design and
     implement REDD in ways that respond to income and growth, equity
     and voice and choice dimensions of poverty
• Not likely to be a panacea for poverty reduction despite
  large financial estimates
Contact:
Leo Peskett
l.peskett@odi.org.uk

Visit:
www.odi.org.uk/        4
climatechange

OR

www.odi.org.uk/fpep
Next steps?


• What role for PEP in the REDD debate?
  – Developing standards and methodologies?
  – Monitoring demonstration activities?
  – REDD and poverty support platform?
  – Further research?
    • Analysis of REDD PAMs
    • Analysis of national REDD systems
    • Contextual analysis

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Making REDD work for the poor

  • 1. Making REDD work for the poor Presentation by Leo Peskett (ODI) for the Poverty and Environment Partnership (PEP) meeting, Manila, 10 June 2008, 11.00-12.45
  • 2. Overview 1. Background to PEP paper, what REDD is and the case for pro-poor REDD 2. Poverty implications of alternative international REDD proposals 3. Cross-cutting poverty implications 4. Making REDD work for the poor
  • 3. PEP paper: Background • Title: “Making REDD work for the poor” • Aim: To assess potential poverty implications of REDD in order to inform development of policies and practical ‘toolkits’ to help ensure REDD works for the poor • Process: Builds on earlier draft by David Huberman (12/07)
  • 4. What is REDD? • Many different proposals and options = confusion + focus on technical and policy issues generally at high (e.g. UNFCCC) levels • Paper takes a broad perspective on REDD as “an international financial mechanism between developed and developing countries, for reducing greenhouse gas emissions associated with deforestation and degradation” • Covers both emissions-based and stock-based approaches
  • 5. Why ensure REDD works for the poor? Beyond the moral argument, there are a number of reasons to ensure that REDD works for the poor. They include… 1.Improved sustainability of REDD in the long term 2.Risk reduction in projects and for investors and buyers 3.Potential for increased market returns and creation of ‘niche’ markets 4.Political motivation 5.Contractual/legal obligations of some donor organisations Little rigorous analysis of poverty implications so far
  • 6. The approach of the paper • Presents a simple poverty framework • Applies this to two sets of ‘design’ issues 1. Main design components of existing international proposals (e.g. baselines; fund vs. market based approaches etc.) made by countries, NGOs and the private sector 2. Cross-cutting issues that will apply to any REDD option
  • 7. What do we mean by ‘the poor’? •In REDD context, taking a broad view of what we mean by poverty and ‘the poor’ Individual Community National International Income and • Labour income • Infrastructure • Infrastructure • Simultaneous growth • Non-labour income improvements improvements attainment of • Enhanced rights to land • Local spending • Skills and knowledge development, CC and • Rights to carbon • Improved public • SME development biodiversity • Access to subsistence services • Attaining the MDGs conservation targets products • Improved • Small Enterprise environmental quality development Equity • Level of income from • Level and distribution of • Regional distribution of • International distribution REDD compared to income in community REDD investment of REDD investment others in household • Continued or increased ability to access forest resources under REDD Voice and • Effective participation • Effective participation in • Effective participation in • Effective participation in Choice community discussions decision making national REDD REDD negotiations in REDD project design surrounding REDD processes and implementation (with companies; govt etc.) • More viable and representative local government
  • 8. Implications of different international REDD proposals for the poor Poverty implications: opportunities / risks at different levels Design issue Individual/Community National International Baseline/ •Historic baselines result in more finance to actors that have high historic deforestation rates (i.e. have performed poorly in reference level terms of forest protection) Deforestation or •Problem of how cyclical cultivation •Forest definitions could limit types of activities that benefit (e.g. agroforestry) deforestation and systems and temporary degradation •Equity implications related to capacity to implement degradation monitoring degradation? are treated •More finance to countries with high degradation rates Framework •Overall volume of finance available from REDD •Complexity and stringency of rules Market or fund •Cost effectiveness concerns driving •Fund could divert ODA if not managed the design of projects properly •Volume of finance has income and growth implications ($2-30 billion annually) •Reducing delivery risks has equity implications in terms of availability of upfront finance and possible perverse incentives •‘Pro-poor’ mandate of donor funds Voluntary or •Standards may be lower in voluntary regulated market markets •Voluntary market likely to have lower overall volume of finance •Greater flexibility and interest in sustainable development issues in voluntary markets may improve equity of investments Liability •Reducing delivery risks has equity implications in terms of availability of upfront finance, possible perverse incentives and arrangements investment going towards countries with low risks (e.g. governance risks) •Some liability instruments (e.g. temporary credits) may reduce overall investment in market systems as less attractive to buyers •Risk that the poor could find it hard to meet fines and penalties or other enforcement measures Spatial scale •Project approaches may make it •Alignment with national systems may easier to monitor social risks and improve sustainability in REDD and beyond benefits •Risk/benefits in national systems depend on effectiveness of decentralisation processes
  • 9. What can we conclude about the poverty implications of different international REDD proposals? • Still difficult to say which international proposals are more ‘pro-poor’ at this stage • But some general conclusions: – The way that reference scenarios are established will have significant equity implications at all scales – Volumes of finance are likely to vary significantly between different options – Risk management mechanisms could have large poverty implications – Decisions on rules governing REDD (e.g. forest or degradation definitions) could have significant equity implications – National versus project-based approaches may have different impacts on the poor
  • 10. Cross-cutting issues relating to REDD Benefits/risks (e.g.s) Effects on food and Positive/negative effects for producers/consumers commodity prices (e.g. fuelwood prices) (+/-) Knowledge and interpretation Low visibility on, and lack of data on, small-scale on opportunity costs activities (-) Benefit sharing mechanisms More stable benefits than other commodities? (+) Elite capture and conflicts possible (-) Information availability and Information asymmetry between ‘buyers’ and ‘sellers’ understanding = low market access or unfair benefits (-) Role of carbon rights Restrictions on land use options (-) loss of ability to sell carbon? (-) Verification and compliance Increase income potential (+) systems High compliance cost = barrier for small producers (-) Corruption, accountability and Deter investment (-) transparency Poor disproportionately affected (-)
  • 11. Cross-cutting issues (2) Examples of Proposed Potential Benefits Potential Risks Emission Reductions Policies and Measures (PAMs) 1. Removal subsidies for • Creates a level playing field for • May reduce work opportunities for the deforestation and large and small operators landless forest degradation 2. Tax land clearance • Needs to be applied equitably • Helps internalise environmental costs 3. Strategic road plans • Reduces pressure on forest lands • Needs to be seen as part of a broader and resources development strategy, if poor isolated groups are not to be marginalised from development processes 4. • Can enhance forest governance Improve forest law • Can lead to ‘victim blaming’ and rent enforcement • Increase revenues to government seeking by officials • Less damage to resources on which locals depend for livelihoods 5. Improve tenure • Important if poor people are to see • Can be applied in ‘anti-poor’ ways – security the benefits of their own diminishing what limited tenure security investments in the land the poor have, and encouraging land (infrastructure, fertility, irrigation, grabbing by the capital-rich. tree-planting) 1-5 of 21 proposed policies and measures to reduce DD through REDD, Source: Brown and Peskett 2008, forthcoming
  • 12. Making REDD work for the poor • Information provision and transparency especially relating to contracts between producers and buyers/funders • Provision of upfront financing and other mechanisms to reduce costs: E.g. forward selling; alternative financing; bundling to reduce transaction costs etc. • Liability arrangements: ‘Soft enforcement’; Buyers taking on more risks; carbon pooling instruments • Poverty reduction needs to be an explicit goal of REDD not just an add-on, with benefit sharing based on equity not just emissions • Technical assistance esp. on understanding DD drivers and opp. costs of the poor • Strengthen legal systems and access to legality • Flexibility in the design of systems to respond to changing opportunity costs and REDD markets/funds • Land and carbon rights clearly defined: Use of tools to establish rights; careful definition in national legislation and need to be held by landowners
  • 13. Making REDD work for the poor (2) • Development of REDD standards and application of existing extra-sectoral standards • Overall attention to balance rigour with simplicity in the design of REDD systems • Ensure broad participation in REDD design and implementation • Equitable redistribution mechanisms in cases where REDD finances are concentrated in areas with high rates and poor past performance in DD (e.g. through taxes) • Avoid perverse incentives due to limited direct benefits • Accountability and transparency e.g. through 3rd party verification • Alignment of REDD strategies with national and international financial and development strategies • Ensure longevity in REDD mechanisms: Especially ensuring benefits last for the lifetime of projects • Use of broad definitions e.g. for ‘forest’ categories or land-use options included
  • 14. Is there potential for pro-poor REDD? • Strong arguments in favour of making REDD work for the poor from climate and biodiversity perspectives as well as the moral standpoint • Potential depends on: – National context including drivers of deforestation/degradation – Commitment of policy makers/investors/funders to design and implement REDD in ways that respond to income and growth, equity and voice and choice dimensions of poverty • Not likely to be a panacea for poverty reduction despite large financial estimates
  • 16. Next steps? • What role for PEP in the REDD debate? – Developing standards and methodologies? – Monitoring demonstration activities? – REDD and poverty support platform? – Further research? • Analysis of REDD PAMs • Analysis of national REDD systems • Contextual analysis