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FDI IN INDIA – AN ANALYSIS
            BY
   K.Periasamy, Chennai
40
                          MAJOR ECONOMIES SHARE OF WORLD GDP


                                                    Western Europe
                  India
     35
     30




                                                                       United States
15 20 25
 Percentage




                                                                         China
     10




                                                                            Japan
     5




                                                                           India
     0




              0   1000 1500 1600 1 700 1820 1870   1913 1950   1973 1998 2005

                                         Year
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES HAVE RECEIVED MAXIMUM FDI




 NOTE : 1) Only in the last 10 years, Developing countries have received higher FDI.
        2) China has been consistently receiving higher FDI for the past 20 years.
Economic
                    Growth


 Linkages and
  spillover to                       Trade
domestic firms



    Technology
   diffusion and               Employment
    knowledge                 and skill levels
      transfer
• Log of GDP = 4.12 + 0.466 Log of FDI
             6.2
             6.1
               6
Log of GDP




             5.9
             5.8
             5.7
             5.6
             5.5
             5.4
             5.3
             5.2
                   2   2.5       3           3.5   4
                             Log of FDI
INDIA – YEARLY NET FDI INFLOWS

               6000


               5000


               4000
US $ million




               3000


               2000


               1000


                 0
INDIA – MAJOR INVESTING COUNTRIES




NOTE :   1) Mauritius is only the Route
INDIA – FDI INVESTMENT BY USA




NOTE : 1) USA INVESTMENT IS NOT GREAT. BUT WE ALWAYS TALK ABOUT USA MNCs !
INDIA – SECTORWISE FDI
                                                          Services Sector
                                   3%
                   6%    4% 4%                            Computer Software &
            6%                                            hardware
                                                          Telecommunications

      10%                                                 Housing & real Estate

                                           31%            Construction Activities

      11%                                                 Power

                                                          Automobile Industry

             12%                                          Metallurgical Industries
                            13%
                                                          Petroleum & Natural Gas

NOTE : 1) REASONABLY GOOD DISTRIBUTION.
       2) MORE FDI SAHLL BE ATTRACTED IN MANUFACTURING SECTOR
INDIA – CUMULATIVE INFLOW OF FDI UPTO 08-09




NOTE : 1) THE TOTAL AS ON 2009 WAS JUST 24.6 Bn USD
INDIA – CUMULATIVE INFLOW OF FDI
          07-08 to 10-11
CHINA – CUMULATIVE INFLOW OF FDI




NOTE : 1) THE TOTAL AS ON 2009 WAS CLOSE TO 100 Bn USD COMPARED TO JUST 24.6 Bn USD IN INDIA
CHINA – REGIONWISE FLOW OF FDI
INDIA – REGIONWISE FLOW OF FDI




NOTE : 1) PROGRESSIVE STATES RECEIVE MORE FDI AND GROW MORE !
       2) THIS IS THE REALITY.
INDIA – GDP GROWTH




NOTE : 1) DRAMATIC INCREASE AFTER 1992. IT COINCIDES WITH LIBERALISATION AND FLOW OF FDI.
INDIA – CHINA COMPARISON
INDIA – CHINA COMPARISON
FDI TREND – OUTLOWS WORLDWIDE
FDI TREND – INFLOWS WORLDWIDE




NOTE : 1) STILL THE DEVELPED COUNTRIES RECEIVE THE MAXIMUM FDI
       2) THERE IS NET OUTFLOW FROM G20
       3) WE NEED TO REALISE THE IMPORTANCE OF FDI
THIS IS THE REALITY !




NOTE : 1) EVERY COUNTRY HAS GROWN AFTER OPENING UP OF THE ECONOMY
       2) FDI FLOWS AFTER OPENING UP ONLY
       3) IF WE HAD OPENED UP OUR ECONOMY IN THE SAME MANNER AS CHINA DID IN THE
         90s, BY NOW, WE WOULD HAVE BEEN BETTER OFF THAN CHINA
THANK YOU

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FDI in India - An Analysis

  • 1. FDI IN INDIA – AN ANALYSIS BY K.Periasamy, Chennai
  • 2. 40 MAJOR ECONOMIES SHARE OF WORLD GDP Western Europe India 35 30 United States 15 20 25 Percentage China 10 Japan 5 India 0 0 1000 1500 1600 1 700 1820 1870 1913 1950 1973 1998 2005 Year
  • 3. DEVELOPED COUNTRIES HAVE RECEIVED MAXIMUM FDI NOTE : 1) Only in the last 10 years, Developing countries have received higher FDI. 2) China has been consistently receiving higher FDI for the past 20 years.
  • 4. Economic Growth Linkages and spillover to Trade domestic firms Technology diffusion and Employment knowledge and skill levels transfer
  • 5. • Log of GDP = 4.12 + 0.466 Log of FDI 6.2 6.1 6 Log of GDP 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Log of FDI
  • 6. INDIA – YEARLY NET FDI INFLOWS 6000 5000 4000 US $ million 3000 2000 1000 0
  • 7. INDIA – MAJOR INVESTING COUNTRIES NOTE : 1) Mauritius is only the Route
  • 8. INDIA – FDI INVESTMENT BY USA NOTE : 1) USA INVESTMENT IS NOT GREAT. BUT WE ALWAYS TALK ABOUT USA MNCs !
  • 9. INDIA – SECTORWISE FDI Services Sector 3% 6% 4% 4% Computer Software & 6% hardware Telecommunications 10% Housing & real Estate 31% Construction Activities 11% Power Automobile Industry 12% Metallurgical Industries 13% Petroleum & Natural Gas NOTE : 1) REASONABLY GOOD DISTRIBUTION. 2) MORE FDI SAHLL BE ATTRACTED IN MANUFACTURING SECTOR
  • 10. INDIA – CUMULATIVE INFLOW OF FDI UPTO 08-09 NOTE : 1) THE TOTAL AS ON 2009 WAS JUST 24.6 Bn USD
  • 11. INDIA – CUMULATIVE INFLOW OF FDI 07-08 to 10-11
  • 12. CHINA – CUMULATIVE INFLOW OF FDI NOTE : 1) THE TOTAL AS ON 2009 WAS CLOSE TO 100 Bn USD COMPARED TO JUST 24.6 Bn USD IN INDIA
  • 13. CHINA – REGIONWISE FLOW OF FDI
  • 14. INDIA – REGIONWISE FLOW OF FDI NOTE : 1) PROGRESSIVE STATES RECEIVE MORE FDI AND GROW MORE ! 2) THIS IS THE REALITY.
  • 15. INDIA – GDP GROWTH NOTE : 1) DRAMATIC INCREASE AFTER 1992. IT COINCIDES WITH LIBERALISATION AND FLOW OF FDI.
  • 16. INDIA – CHINA COMPARISON
  • 17. INDIA – CHINA COMPARISON
  • 18. FDI TREND – OUTLOWS WORLDWIDE
  • 19. FDI TREND – INFLOWS WORLDWIDE NOTE : 1) STILL THE DEVELPED COUNTRIES RECEIVE THE MAXIMUM FDI 2) THERE IS NET OUTFLOW FROM G20 3) WE NEED TO REALISE THE IMPORTANCE OF FDI
  • 20. THIS IS THE REALITY ! NOTE : 1) EVERY COUNTRY HAS GROWN AFTER OPENING UP OF THE ECONOMY 2) FDI FLOWS AFTER OPENING UP ONLY 3) IF WE HAD OPENED UP OUR ECONOMY IN THE SAME MANNER AS CHINA DID IN THE 90s, BY NOW, WE WOULD HAVE BEEN BETTER OFF THAN CHINA