Short presentation, with backup ideas, to the Technology and Maintenance Council Spring 2017 meeting. This is the Far Horizon report for the Future Truck Committee.

1. TMC Future Truck
Far Horizons
Spring 2017
GHG 2
IAA Commercial Vehicle in Hannover
ATA MC&E, SAE Comvec, and ELD Mandate
DOT Connected Vehicle Rules
DOT Autonomous Vehicle Guidelines
Technology Trending
Imagination (Backup Only)

2. Trucking’s
Mission
Move Freight
S afely
E fficiently
e X peditiously

3. GHG 2
Engine—Spark Ignited
Friction Reduction
Variable Valve Timing
Coupled Cam Phasing for Overhead Valve and Single Overhead Camshaft
Intake Cam {hasing for Dual Overhead Camshaft
Dual Cam Phasing for Dual Overhead Camshaft Engines
Variable Valve Lift
Discrete Variable Valve Lift
Cylinder Deactivation
Stoichiometric Gasoline Direct Injection
Turbocharging and Downsizing
Engine Down Speeding
Engine—Combustion Ignited
Low Temperature Exhaust Gas Recirculation
Combustion System Optimization
Model Based Control
Turbocharging System
Engine Breathing System
Engine Parasitic and Friction Reduction
Integrated Aftertreatment System
Engine Downsizing and Down Speeding
Waste Heat Recovery

4. GHG 2
Aerodynamics
Active Grille Shutter
Innovative Plastics
Complete Vehicle Redesign (SuperTruck I and II)
Tires
Improved Rolling Resistance
Wide Base Singles
Tire Pressure Systems
Retreaded Tires
Transmissions
Optimizing Number of Gears and Gear Ratios
Gear Efficiencies
Shift Strategiess
Architectures (AMT, DCT)
Hybrid Powertrain Systems
Axles
Axle Efficiency
Gear Ratio
Tandem Drive Axle Improvements (6x2)
Weight Reduction
Material Substitution
Synergistic Effects—Reduced Power Demand
Variable Speed Limiter
Reduced Idling Time
Engine Shutdown with Alternate Power Source
during Hoteling
Idle Control Technologies
Tamper-Proof AESS, Tamper-Proof AESS w/
Diesel APU’ Tamper-Proof AESS w.Battery
APU, Tamper-Proof AESS w/ Automatic Stop-
Start, Tamper-Proof AESS w/ FOH Cold, Main
Engine Warm, Adjustable AESS w/ Disel APU,
Adjustable AESS w/ Battery APU, Adjustable
AESS w/ Atuomatic Stop-Start, Adjustable
AESS w/ FOH Cold, Main Engine Warm,
Adjustable AESS programmed to 5 minutes
Stop Start (different than above?)
Neutral Idle
Air Conditioning
Refrigerant Leakage
System Efficiency
Solar Control

5. GHG 2
Other Accessory Improvements
Predictive Cruise Control
Similar, not exact list for HD Pickups and Vans
Mild and Strong Hybrids
Electrification
Another List for Vocational Vehicles
Trailers
Aerodynamic Drag Reduction
Tire Rolling Resistance
Tire Pressure Systems
Weight Reduction

6. Tractors Will Be More Aerodynamic

7. More Electric, Better Air Conditioning

10. Super Duper Twoper for 21st Century
http://www.navistar.com/navistar/news/
Sept 28, 2016
http://www.volvotrucks.us/about-volvo/news-
and-events/high-tech-supertruck-exceeds-goals/ http://social.cummins.com/cummins-partner-peterbilt-supertruck-ii/
http://media.daimler.com/marsMediaSite/en/instance/ko/
Daimler-Trucks-North-America-presents-the-all-new-
Freightlin.xhtml?oid=13520926
https://energy.gov/eere/vehicles/vehicle-technologies-office-21st-century-truck-partnership

11. GHG 2 Summary
Huge opportunity for competitive advantage for OEMs
Huge opportunity for confusion for fleets
Fleets should create their own basket of technologies

12. IAA 2016 & CES 2017—Electrifying

13. IAA 2016
Eaton
ZF
Meritor
Daimler
Dana
BWP
Iveco
Z Truck Concept
Voith
Volvo
MAN
FUSO

14. In Case You Think It’s All Hot Air

15. ATA MC&E, SAE ComVec, ELD Mandate

16. Increasing Feature War ala Engine ECUs

17. Connected

18. DOT Connected Vehicle Rules
NPRM Issues December 13, 2016
90 Day Comment Period
Light Vehicles 10,000 Pounds or Less
Start 2 Years after Final Rule
50% Year 1, 75% Year 2, 100% Year 3
Basic Safety Message (BSM) over DSRC
Time
Location based on defined Vehicle Reference Point (problem for tractors with varying trailer lengths)
Longitude, Latitude, Elevation
Movement
Speed, Heading, Acceleration, Yaw rate (Stability Control coming for truck tractors), path history, path
prediction, exterior lights, event flags
See SAE J2735
Vehicle Based Motion Indicators
Transmission state, steering wheel angle
Vehicle Size
Optional Data Elements
Excluded Data Elements
https://www.nhtsa.gov/press-releases/us-dot-advances-deployment-connected-vehicle-technology-prevent-hundreds-thousands

19. DOT Autonomous Vehicle Guidelines
https://www.transportation.gov/AV

20. 15-Point Safety Assessment
•Operational Design Domain: How and where the HAV is supposed to function and operate;
• Object and Event Detection and Response: Perception and response functionality of the
HAV system;
• Fall Back (Minimal Risk Condition): Response and robustness of the HAV upon system
failure;
• Validation Methods: Testing, validation, and verification of an HAV system;
• Registration and Certification: Registration and certification to NHTSA of an HAV system;
• Data Recording and Sharing: HAV system data recording for information sharing,
knowledge building and for crash reconstruction purposes;
• Post-Crash Behavior: Process for how an HAV should perform after a crash and how
automation functions can be restored;
• Privacy: Privacy considerations and protections for users;
• System Safety: Engineering safety practices to support reasonable system safety;
• Vehicle Cybersecurity: Approaches to guard against vehicle hacking risks;
• Human Machine Interface: Approaches for communicating information to the driver,
occupant and other road users;
• Crashworthiness: Protection of occupants in crash situations;
• Consumer Education and Training: Education and training requirements for users of HAVs;
• Ethical Considerations: How vehicles are programmed to address conflict dilemmas on the
road; and
• Federal, State and Local Laws: How vehicles are programmed to comply with all
applicable traffic laws.

21. Division of Federal and State Responsibility
Federal responsibilities include:
• Setting safety standards for new motor vehicles and motor vehicle
equipment;
• Enforcing compliance with the safety standards;
• Investigating and managing the recall and remedy of non-compliances
and safety-related motor vehicle defects on a nationwide basis;
• Communicating with and educating the public about motor vehicle
safety issues; and
• When necessary, issuing guidance to achieve national safety goals
State responsibilities include:
• Licensing (human) drivers and registering motor vehicles in their
jurisdictions;
• Enacting and enforcing traffic laws and regulations;
• Conducting safety inspections, when States choose to do so; and
• Regulating motor vehicle insurance and liability.

22. Hype, Adoption, and “The Chasm”

23. Title

25. Truck & Transportation Technology Trends
NewVehicleorMarket
Penetration
0%
15%
100%
Years Since First Reports
0 5 10 20 30
Where would you place these items?
Cameras
Virtual Reality
ESC
Data standardization
Tire Pressure Monitoring
Biometrics
AMT
Radar Collision Warning
Autonomous Vehicles
Electric Vehicles (Nikola)
Wireless
???

26. Truck & Transportation Technology Trends
NewVehicleorMarket
Penetration
0%
15%
100%
Years Since First Reports
0 5 10 20 30
Recommended
Maintenance
Practices
FutureTruck
Position Paper
Recommended
Design
Practices

28. Cycle Disconnect
• Infrastructure takes a long time
• Vehicles take a bit less
• Consumer electronics take very little
• We’ve talked about the disconnect with consumer
electronics expectations and passenger cars for
decades
• We don’t have Apple CarPlay in a truck yet
• Pass cars may have V2V required in 2019
• And we expect automated trucks when?

29. Trucking’s
Mission
Move Freight
S afely
E fficiently
e X peditiously
Thanks!

30. Imagination

31. Photo Parts Search
OEM CAD/CAE has capability to search “similar” parts
Tried searching for universal joint from iPhone photo
Results now are disappointing

32. Amazon Go
http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/news/2016/12/05/amazon-go-supermarket-no-checkout-no-cashiers-artificial-intelligence-sensors/94991612/
Apply to rear of trailer as material goes in
and out

33. The Freight Shuttle System: A 21st Century Solution to Freight
Transportation Challenges
Inland Ports? Platooning/A
Vehicles?

39. Hud, Touch, Augmented, Virtual, Reality
• Continental HUD at IAA
• Boeing Touch
• Augmented
• Virtual
• LangMekra, WABCO, Continental and several more
• Reality
• Scania, Freightliner Cascadia (show pictures)

40. Touch Me

41. Holographic Lighting
http://www.hella.com/hella-com/en/Technology-Products-19-10-2016-12601.html

42. Imagine a driver wearing gloves that change
color when he does something good or bad
with the steering wheel

43. How Fast will an AT (autonomous tractor) go?

44. Which Lane Is Best?
http://www.traffictechnologytoday.com/news.php?NewsID=80087

45. The Sun Is Shining

46. Where Is Natural Gas Going?

47. Imagine

48. Any Shape You Want

49. Dynamic Trailer Advertising

50. License Plates—Change After 125 Years
What else? Labelling on door?
The rPlate houses a GPS, accelerometer, RF sensors, CAN bus access, storage and is built to withstand all weather and extreme conditions. The
rPlate's 6" x 12" display is the same size as a standard state license plate and its anti-reflective screen is legible in all weather conditions.