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2014 tmc spring future truck
- 1. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Future Truck/Far Horizon
TMC Spring 2014
http://www.airflowtruck.com/2015_Concept_Vehicle.html
- 2. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Change is Inevitable
If you always do
what you have
always done,
you will always
get what you
have always got!
Change It Up!!!
- 3. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Carl Kirk Comments
Global Truck Platforms
. . . Non-regulatory issue, yet a concern of fleets
• Production of global truck platforms forecast to reach
612,000 units by 2018 . . . double that of 2011
• By 2018 30% of all heavy truck production among top
12 global OEMs will be based on global platforms
• Automotive market: Top 10 global platforms are
projected to deliver 94% of the increase in global sales
volume
• Fleet concern . . . Absence of user involvement
• Call to action . . . Need for reciprocity among U.S. and
European-based fleets at a minimum
In
thinking
of
“macro”
issues
that
the
Far
Horizons
might
consider,
I
would
offer
the
issue
of
“global
pla>orms”
now
being
offered
by
truck
OEMs
and
the
relaCve
absence
of
user
involvement
in
the
design
process.
This
would
allow
us
to
remain
faithful
to
the
original
purpose
of
TMC’s
Future
Truck
Program
–
albeit
at
a
macro
level.
It
seems
that
TMC
has
to
adapt,
as
the
manufacturing
climate
has
changed
since
the
Future
Truck
program’s
original
incepCon.
While
the
development
of
global
pla>orms
among
truck
OEMs
is
an
inexorable
trend
that
we
are
not
going
to
stop,
we
at
least
should
be
able
to
have
some
input
in
the
design
process.
And
this
could
apply
in
numerous
ways:
electronics,
diagnosCcs,
ergonomics,
etc.
(Duke
–
I
believe
you
menConed
to
me
some
years
ago
that
when
you
were
speaking
to
a
Swedish
engineer
about
some
Volvo
trucks,
he
had
no
idea
of
RP1210
and
its
uClity
to
the
industry.)
“Global
pla>orms”
is
commonly
defined
as
sharing
common
design,
engineering
and
manufacturing
elements
across
brands
of
trucks
–
both
internal
and
external
to
a
corporaCon.
- 4. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Truck of the Future
http://www.automotiveworld.com/analysis/innovation-safety-fuel-efficiency-key-achieving-truck-future/
The truck of the future will be smarter safer and cleaner,
was the consensus, following the theme of the event; this will
be achieved thanks to constantly improving industry efforts
and legislative advances in Europe. However, more is still
needed to ensure the meeting of many future goals,
including the EC-proposed 2020 target to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions by 20%.
- 5. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
TMA Meeting in Chicago
A global approach to further improve energy efficiency and reduce
greenhouse gas emissions from commercial vehicles has been approved
in a meeting in Chicago by the world’s leading manufacturers of heavy-
duty commercial trucks and engines in Europe, Japan and the US.
At the meeting, the chief executives of the assembled companies agreed
to continue their joint efforts to work with government bodies to promote
harmonised global standards.
…
The meeting was chaired by Tom Linebarger, Chairman and Chief
Executive Officer of Cummins, and was the eleventh meeting of the chief
executives to discuss global issues and address challenges facing
commercial vehicle and engine manufacturers.
…
In addition to the participation of the chief executives, the meeting brought
together representatives of the European Automobile Manufacturers
Association (ACEA), the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association and
the Truck and Engine Manufacturers Association.
http://www.automotiveworld.com/analysis/cv-oems-seek-global-approach-improving-efficiency/
- 6. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Vic Suski Comments
• Look far out to the distant horizon
• Not a grab bag of things that Study groups can handle
•Macro issues and emerging trends
• Increased leasing and impact on maintenance, such as MRO’s in aerospace
• Machines that heal themselves—put maintenance out of business
• Throw away trucks more like India
• More LTL, small packaging, drone deliveries
• Platooning (finally)
•Actions
•Engage the World future Society, and its National Capitol chapter
•Work with Bob Costello who in effect is doing for economics what the Far Horizons is trying to do for
technolgy.
•Work to eliminate any roadblock to one OEM building both the tractor and trailer
•Institute a Reliability function in Future Truck to assess the effect of coming innovations on systems
reliability
• Reliability is the "elephant in the room" that no one wants to talk about. Yet the more complex we make things the more
accidents and deaths will occur (e.g. unintended auto acceleration, Boeing 787 batteries, automated cockpit failures/
pilot confusion)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aKp-G14TA78
- 7. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Megatrends Europe 2013
Many academics, environmentalists, industrialists – including those
in the wider automotive industry – and politicians, a group
frequently maligned for its short-sightedness, are convinced that by
the middle of this century the world population will have grown
from seven billion today to nine billion, and that as many as 80% of
those people will live in cities compared with around 60% at the
moment.
Some people might think that because populations will be living
closer to their places of work, world energy demand will fall, but
no: the number of vehicles will almost triple from 800 million
today to two billion by 2050, and two-thirds of them will still have
an internal combustion engine, even if it is allied to some form of
electrification.
http://www.automotiveworld.com/analysis/world-2050-9-billion-people-2-billion-cars-congested-megacities/
- 8. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Timeline — To Influence Future Trucks
2011 2013 20172015 20212019 20252023 2027 2027
Phase 1 Regulations
DOE SuperTruck
Phase 2 Regulations
NAS Interim Report
NAS Final Report
Survey Fleets
ComVec Presentations
TMC White Papers
@ Phase 2 Regulations Effective
@ New Vehicles
@ New Vehicles
@ New Vehicles
- 9. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
S.1 Electrical & Instruments
1. Increased operating truck system voltage from today’s 12 volt system to 24 volt
or higher. This provides:
• Weight savings for conductors, alternator, starter motor, electric motors
• Reduces conductor bundle size
• Improves packaging with reduced size and weight
2. Easily identifiable (visually) difference between AGM and Flooded batteries
3. Component based diagnostics
• Self-check feature on battery, LVD, alternator and starter
4. Remote temperature compensation for alternators
• Extend battery life by varying voltage based on battery compartment temperature
5. Total vehicle multiplexed with communication through chassis and cab ECM’s
6. One standardized wiring diagram format from all vehicle manufacturers
• Diagram should show wire type (GXL, SXL, etc. for repair purposes)
7. Cycle life standards printed on battery label
8. Improvements in lighting and lighting interfaces
9. Test equipment calibration standards
10. Shorter cabling
S.1 Electrical & Instruments
1. Mobile Technology developing much faster than Vehicle
Technology
2. Integration of Mobile Technology to Vehicle Technology need
for human factors studies i.e. Vehicle Simulators driven by
software modules
3. Standard wireless communication for Commercial TPMS for
tires: for example, TPMS products for the passenger cars
are OEM specific with many protocols
4. Performance Standard for forward lighting products needed
5. Performance Standard for up coming video cameras &
connectors
6. Commercial Drivers want to be be Connected to Internet
during operation and the Industry must find a way with Safety
and Productivity as key factors
Al Lesesky, S.1 Future Truck Input
- 10. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
S2 top 10 critical items for the future
1. Tire inflation
• Maintenance, ATIS, TPMS, equalizers, gauges, gaseous fill
2. Low Rolling Resistance tires
• Reduced RR, non-trade off of traditional performance measures,
perception of traction
3. Weight Reduction
• Of the tire and wheel assembly, maintain durability
4. Widebase tires
• 445/50R22.5, 455/55R22.5, any size 365 cross section or larger and
19.5 wheel diameter and larger; RR, mileage, traction, durability,
retreadability
5. Aero
• Tires, wheel covers, more aggressive skirts on trailers and tractors;
affects of wheel end temperatures
S2 top 10 critical items for the future
6. Retread & Repair
• Longer use of casings, more puncture & section repairs per tire
7. Automatic tread depthing of tires
• Maintenance aid, more accurate, more often, allows additional
32nds used
8. Non-pneumatic tire designs/materials
9. Splash & Spray
• Improved vision for passenger cars during passing, improved
sighting for drivers
10. Thermal Management
• Less heat equals less RR, less component damage; addressing
under inflation, misadjusted bearings, dragging brakes, insufficient
lube
- 12. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
S.4 Cab & Controls
1. Vision- to include field of view (Direct), windshield, side
glass & mirror (dimensional and environmental) as well
as Glare management (day & night)
2. Information Overload/Distracted Driving
3. Cab aerodynamics effects on fuel economy
4. Connected vehicle interface with driver
5. Cab construction durability for safety and crash
worthiness
6. Interior noise reduction
7. Cab insulation to reduce HVAC inefficiencies
8. Back up cameras
9. Driver coaching
- 15. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
S.7 Trailers, Bodies & Material Handling
1. Active trailer gap control
2. Higher cube trailer configurations
3. Lift axles
4. Backup warning and or camera’s
5. Hybrid refrigeration
6. Alternate fuel refrigeration
7. 2 way Telematics to monitor systems, load and security
8. Alternate loading and unloading to accommodate newer
trailer configurations
9. Total vehicle aero dynamics
10. Hydraulic, electric regenerative power systems to power
accessories or for propulsion assist.
- 16. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
S.11 Energy Conversion
1. Improve ton mile per diesel equivalent unit of energy 40% by 2025
• Examples of areas to apply technology
I. Parasitic accessory loads should be electrically driven
II. Increase the recovery of heat sources with which to drive generation of electricity for vehicle use
III. Reduce rolling resistance of each wheel position
IV. Recapture energy during deceleration from all wheel positions
V. Implement active alignment systems that reduce energy consumption during vehicle maneuvering
2. Implementation of Zero emission commercially viable delivery vehicles
3. Implementation of vehicles and shop facilities and equipment that supports regional fleet
utilization of closest forms of energy. (Reduce the amount of energy transportation cost)
4. Build new or improve business facilities with direct objective of energy efficiency
I. Improve building heat exchange utilizing improved insulation, doors and windows
II. Increase use of renewable resources for lighting, heat and cooling
5. Train repeatedly employees to conserve energy by providing proper equipment utilization
and resource recycling instruction
6. Requiring supplies be sold to us in efficient packaging
I. Least mass
II. Least possible use of natural resources
III. Always completely & easily recyclable
7. Drastically change the shape of tractors and trailers to reduce coefficient of friction while
in motion
- 20. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
S.16 Service Provider
1. Technician Recruiting - while I know this doesn't specifically have a
direct correlation to the Future Truck, it does indirectly. How do we go
about reaching out to high school students, in vocational areas, to
understand that being a Truck Technician is a demanding, yet highly
technical field that will be in demand for years to come? I think the
primary way is a PR campaign of sorts targeting Guidance Counselors
and teachers that are in contact with kids at a younger age.
• When it comes to attracting high quality players to work in the service end of our
industry, I think we could look at what it takes to "create a want" to be part of our
industry. We seem to do a good job in spelling out how to attract and retain people,
but how do go about getting people to want to be in our industry versus choosing
another industry as a career?
2. What are the effects of "Right to Repair" going to have on all of us?
• How are we going to be able to diagnose and repair issues on these vehicles?
3. How do we stay on top of training and adjusting to the new
technologies that are being implemented to ensure maximum
efficiency during the useful life of the products?
• EPA Requirements
• Electronics (ABS, GPS, Telematics, etc.)
• Idle Reduction products/strategies
S.16 Service Provider
4. As fleets are now utilizing the VMRS standards in their maintenance
practices in order to get better analytics, Service Providers continue to
resist implementation due to a host of reasons, not the least of which is
cost. I think there needs to be some sort of standard EDI, or
communication protocol (i.e., Bluetooth) for all software providers to
ensure that maintenance and repair data can be communicated
directly from the Service Provider to the Fleet Maintenance
Management software, thus eliminating the need for groups of people
"translating" repair orders into VMRS codes.
5. Training for service provider office personnel........ most dealers that I
have worked with throughout my 30 years in this industry focus on
training their gross profit generating technicians and do little to turn
their front line office people into knowledgeable players.... What metric
is there to train service writers and foreman versus " jump in the
position and learn it”?
6. Dealer to Dealer policy guidelines--- one dealer does an improper
repair, truck leaves and breaks down, and gets fixed correctly at
another dealer--- maybe we look at some guidelines to keep things fair
and balanced/ process orientated versus putting the customer in the
middle of the situation
- 22. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Corrosion Control Action Committee
1. Improve OEM’s utilization of proper SAE test protocols for
corrosion resistance, including newer de-icing and pre-icing
chemical solutions
2. Weather / moisture proof wiring connections, trailer cords and
lighting receptacles
3. Improve corrosion prevention at wheel-to-hub mating surfaces
4. External Controllers sealed or encapsulated from the elements, or
located in a position that protects them from the elements
5. Improve routing and clipping methods to reduce corrosion
6. Eliminate galvanic corrosion from dissimilar metals contact
7. More corrosion resistant substrates for cab construction
8. Improve corrosion resistant coatings on truck and trailer frames
9. Proper repair where coatings have been compromised
10. Reduce corrosive effects of Truck Washes / Acid cleaners in joints
and crevices
- 23. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Future Truck Committee
• Duke Drinkard input
1. There are a few things that have come up from the past and still will be
sometime in the future before they can be developed. First is the need for a
standard on forward lighting. With the advancements being made in forward
lighting there are problems with night vision. Passenger vehicles such as
cars are lower to the ground and the oncoming bright lights are creating
more glare for the driver that is meeting these bright lights. While they offer a
greater field of vision to the driver with the brighter lights the drivers that are
meeting them has their vision greatly reduced. There could be a smart
windshield glass that could filter the light come toward to vehicle while at the
sometime giving a unrestricted view to the lighted field of light being aimed
away from the vehicle.
2. Another item that should be considered for the far horizon vehicle is a
prescription seat for drivers. This would require that a method of determining
the setting for the seat by a medical doctor would have to be developed.
Seat have many setting now but as the drivers move from one truck to
another the setting are not the same therefore the driver with a physical
problem has no way of making the seat the same as the one that was setup
for him/her. If we had a seat that could read an electronic prescription and
adjust itself before the driver gets into the seat then fleets would not have to
be changing out good seats and hopefully drivers would not have to be in as
much pain after driving vehicles that are not setup to their requirements.
Future Truck Committee
• Duke Drinkard
3. Standard for sand pits/dings in windshield per unit area for
determination of visibility and windshield replacement
4. Americans with Disabilities Act
- 24. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Where do we go from here—discussion
• Alternative voltages, 48v/24v/dual voltage, higher
• Bosch
• Start/stop for passenger cars and trucks
• Common data busses
• Change S11 from Energy Conversion to Conservation
• Engage study groups
• Encourage waste heat recovery to produce energy
• Future alternative fueled vehicles
• Seat at the table with NAS
• What is needed for training and recruitment of technicians?
• Advance notice of new techniques and products and procedures
• Standard language for parts and repairs (VMRS for instance)
• Private sector discussions with SAE/ISO, with government through ATA
• Membership committee to get more vehicle OEM involvement
• Government committees and organizations that fund development/research
- 25. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Where do we go from here?
• SAE Truck and Bus Council
• Demand TMC RP’s when ordering trucks
• Venue to influence and interact with heads of vehicle
OEM engineering
• TAG meetings at vehicle OEM’s and Tier 1 suppliers
• Utilize ACT One group
- 27. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
http://spectrum.ieee.org/tech-talk/semiconductors/optoelectronics/wide-fields-in-exquisite-detail
Better, Smaller Wide Angle Lens
- 28. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Solar Power
http://wardsauto.com/asia-pacific/dutch-team-recaptures-crown-solar-challenge-race?
NL=WAW-04&Issue=WAW-04_20131016_WAW-04_321&YM_RID=paulmenig@tech-i-
m.com&YM_MID=1427710&sfvc4enews=42
Dutch Team Recaptures Crown in Solar Challenge Race
Oct. 11, 2013
Alan Harman | WardsAuto
The Nuon team took 33.05 hours to drive their car, Nuna 7, the 1,877 miles (3,021 km) from Darwin to Adelaide on solar power at an average
speed of 56.35 mph (90.71 km/h).
It was Nuon's fifth win in seven starts in the event.
The Nuon team edged out defending champions Tokai Challenger from Japan's Tokai University, which won the last event two years ago with an
average speed of 56.54 mph (90.99 km/h).
- 30. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Solar Power
http://electricvehicle.ieee.org/2013/10/31/mobypost-french-
public-private-project-utilize-solar-produced-hydrogen-postal-
delivery-vehicles/
- 31. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Identification
Prototype to Production
http://www.idownloadblog.com/2013/10/16/meet-authentecs-early-touch-id-predecessor/
- 32. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Emergency AutoSteering or Parking?
http://spectrum.ieee.org/tech-talk/green-tech/advanced-cars/ford-demos-emergency-autosteering/?
utm_source=techalert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=101713
Fall asleep at the wheel of the right prototype car
and it will steer you around obstacles. That's what
Ford's demonstration of an obstacle avoidance
system at its proving ground near Lommel, Belgium,
this week implies. But it won't be ready for a long
time. Ford took advantage of the attention its
prototype drew to announce its full parking-
assistance technology, which is mature enough that
it might be in your next car and wins hands-down
against the autosteering for clever advertising.
- 33. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
ITS JPO 2015-2019 Strategic Plan
Booz Allen Hamilton
http://www.its.dot.gov/strategicplan/pdf/RITA_Stakeholder_Announcement_0722131.pdf
- 34. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
ITS JPO 2015-2019 Strategic Plan
http://www.its.dot.gov/strategicplan/pdf/RITA_Stakeholder_Announcement_0722131.pdf
- 35. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
ITS JPO 2015-2019 Strategic Plan
http://www.its.dot.gov/press/2013/stakeholder_strategicplan.htm
- 36. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
iPhone as Safety System from Israel
http://harmaninnovation.com/blog/harman-acquires-ionroad/http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XRTLk13FXkk&feature=youtu.be
- 37. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
BLE is the Enabler of Many Battery Powered Devices
http://appleinsider.com/articles/14/01/11/teo-bluetooth-padlock-lets-you-secure-school-lockers-chains-gates-with-apples-iphone
- 39. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Magnetic Rheologic Fluids
http://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/sae/13OFHD1107/index.php?startid=4#/24
- 41. Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC
Wireless Power Transfer Could Mean
• Remove wires for portable equipment
• Wireless sensors in cab or on chassis
• Tire pressure without batteries
• Keyless entry without battery