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                                                                                                                                  NO. 1 • 2009
M ARKE T IN FO R MATIO N F R O M PA ND O X       ON E OF T H E L E A DI N G H OT E L P ROP E RT Y C OM PA N I E S I N E U ROP E




Will established hotel companies
throw in the towel this year?


Twitter
– the new and smart way of marketing
Market information from Pandox




                                                                                                     NEWS
Will established hotel companies
throw in the towel this year?
Jones Lang LaSalle’s excellent Hotel Investment Highlights show that the global
financial crisis has now also spread to the transactions market for hotels and
hotel properties. Overall business volume has fallen by no less than 80 percent
between 2007 and 2008. It is mainly the major portfolio business that has come
to a halt, but also the number of individual asset purchases has dropped drasti-
                                                                                                     within the world
cally. Of course, this is because of a poorer hotel market, but also because inves-
tors, often non-industrial, have left the sector. In addition, the shortage of avail-
able finance is creating major problems and having an adverse effect on liquidity.
     If we look at individual regions, America fell by 81 percent, followed by Asia
                                                                                                     November                                          Rezidor is opening its second Park Inn in
                                                                                                                                                       Berlin together with its franchise partner
with 77 percent, while EMEA which includes Europe fell by 58 percent. Another                        Bella Center is building the biggest hotel in     Proventhotels. This hotel is located in the
interesting comparison is to monitor the trend for individual hotel transactions,                    the Nordic region in Ørestad, Copenhagen.         Wilmersdorf district and has 94 rooms.
measured in value per room. This has fallen by around 25 percent over the                            The two towers, with 814 rooms, will be 76
period 2006 to 2008. Of course, these figures are not entirely comparable; but                       metres high. This hotel will
                                                                                                                                                       A new Stay At hotel is being built in Malmö, in
they do provide an indication of the fact that the values are about to be adjusted                   be incorporated into Bella
                                                                                                                                                       south of Sweden. This hotel, which will have
from the peak levels people were willing to pay a few years ago. Some more cor-                      Center, and it is thought
                                                                                                                                                       243 rooms 9–20 sq m in area, is located at
rections will probably be needed before liquidity increases again. Important                         that it will open over the
                                                                                                                                                       Fasanen 5, Kaptensgatan 11 in Malmö, with
                                                                                                     first quarter of 2011.
parameters for ensuring correct future values is that these have to be based on                                                                        views over Malmö canal. This hotel is planned
cashflows created in the current hotel market, and not on historical figures.                                                                          to open in 2010.
Another influencing factor is finance terms – one hot tip is that loan to value will                 Corinthia Hotels is planning to open a 283-
fall and costs for capital will rise, then values will also fall. At the peak of this, this is       room, five-star hotel near Trafalgar Square in
                                                                                                                                                       Marriott will be opening a second Courtyard
where the uncertainty will arise; when valuing many of the operator-friendly man-                    London in 2010. This will be the first Corin-
                                                                                                                                                       hotel in St. Petersburg, Russia, with 281
agement agreements. What risk perspective should investors adopt when acquir-                        thia Hotel in the UK, and the property will
                                                                                                                                                       rooms. The plan is for the hotel to open late
ing a hotel with a long, one-sided management agreement, where the hotel com-                        also include a number of luxury apartments.
                                                                                                                                                       in 2009 or in early 2010, not far from the
pany has few incentives and a poor track record as regards profitable operations?                                                                      Marinsky theatres.
     The latter question was discussed in Berlin at Investment Forum, Europe’s                       Scandic is introducing cooperation with the
biggest investment conference for the hotel and hospitality business. It is inter-                   world-leading travel guide company Time
                                                                                                                                                       Hilton is opening a new hotel at historic
esting to note that international hotel companies, such as Hilton and Sheraton,                      Out. This company is going to produce a
                                                                                                                                                       Syon Park in West London. This hotel will
still has what is known as a light investment strategy, which means that they do                     guidebook under the name “1,000 things to
                                                                                                                                                       have 151 rooms and is estimated to open
not want to participate in the investments or issue guarantees in the agree-                         do when staying at Scandic”, which will be
                                                                                                                                                       just before Christmas 2009. Syon Park is
ments they enter into in order to have the right to run hotels. It seems to be the                   released in five languages English, Swedish,
                                                                                                                                                       located on the opposite
case that these companies and investors live in different worlds. It is reasonable                   Danish, Norwegian and Finnish in March
                                                                                                                                                       side of the Thames to
to assume that the owner perspective will grow once again and that risk sharing                      2009.
                                                                                                                                                       Kew Gardens and is a
will become one of the key concepts for successful investments.                                                                                        16th century park over
     2009 has got off to just as bad a start as the most negative forecasters had                    Interstate Hotel & Resorts has entered into       around 200 acres.
predicted. I am one of them, and I have to admit that most of the arrows are                         an agreement to run a 300-room hotel at the
pointing in the wrong direction at the moment. What scares me is the fact that                       new Freestyle Park shopping and leisure
                                                                                                                                                       In 2009, Reval Hotel will be opening a
we do not know what the next nasty surprise is going to be. Rumour is that                           centre in Moscow. This building will be
                                                                                                                                                       four-star hotel in the heart of St. Petersburg.
many hotel companies have a lot of what are known as covenants, guaran-                              280,000 sq m in area and include among
                                                                                                                                                       The design of the hotel is said to have been
tees, towards banks that they have to fulfill, otherwise the banks will increase                     other things a ski slope, a science museum
                                                                                                                                                       inspired by one of the heaviest classics in
the pressure. What if an established hotel company has to throw in the towel                         and cinemas, if the plans are finalised.
                                                                                                                                                       world literature – Crime and Punishment by
because it is unable to meet the banks’ demands for market values and                                                                                  Fjodor Dostoyevski. This hotel will be Baltic
equity ratio. What domino effects would this have on the rest of the industry?                       Quality Hotell 11 in Gothenburg, in south of      chain Reval Hotel’s first hotel in Russia.
                                                                                                     Sweden, is being acquired by Home Proper-
All the best                                                                                         ties. The property consists of 260 rooms
Anders Nissen                                                                                        over 15,800 sq m, 9,800 sq m of offices,          January
                                                                                                     and Eriksbergshallen, 5,300 sq m in area
PS. Thanks for all the cheering messages which were sent by reason of                                – an events hall for up to 2,000 people.          Hilton is opening the Trianon Palace Ver-
Pandox’ is contributing to maintain the Swedish Handball National Coach                                                                                sailles, which will be the first hotel in the
Staffan Olsson as captain in Sweden through the 2011 World Champion-                                                                                   Waldorf Astoria Collection in France. This
                                                                                                     Rezidor is planning to locate a Park Inn in       hotel is located less than 2 km from the Pal-
ships. We are incredibly pleased and proud to be able to help out with this,                         Tula, Russia. This hotel will have 190 rooms      ace of Versailles and 20 km from Paris.
and we know that Staffan will be helping us with marketing activities.                               and is intended to open in the first quarter of
                                                                                                     2011.
                                                                                                                                                       Rezidor has contracted Park Poliarne Zori in
                                                                                                                                                       Murmansk, Russia, with 266 rooms. With
Pandox Upgrade – market informa-                 Graphic design and production:
tion from Pandox – published                     n3 Kommunikation                                    December                                          this agreement, Rezidor has almost 10,000
                                                                                                                                                       rooms in operation and development in
approximately three times annually.                                                                                                                    Russia and the adjacent states.
                                                 Photo:                                              Golden Tulip is opening a new hotel in coop-
Editors:                                         Ulf Blomberg, Shutterstock and others.              eration with IKEA in Delft, the Netherlands.
Anders Nissen, Michaela Borg,                                                                        This will be a 140-room, three-star hotel.
                                                 Printer:                                                                                              In January, InterContinental Hotels Group
Annelie Sundström Aguilar,                                                                           The new restaurant concept George & Co,
                                                 Jernström Offset,                                                                                     (IHG) will be opening its first hotel outside
Anette Paulsson                                                                                      which will be offering an international menu,
                                                 Stockholm, April 2009.                                                                                North America under the Indigo brand. This
Pandox AB                                                                                            will be launched at the same time.
                                                 Reproduction only by permission                                                                       hotel is located in Paddington in London
P O Box 5364                                                                                                                                           and has 64 rooms. The objective is to open
                                                 from Pandox
SE-102 49 Stockholm                                                                                  Choice Hotels Scandinavia is continuing its       another three Indigo hotels in central
Tel: +46(0)8 506 205 50                          Front cover: The Pandox-owned                       expansion in Sweden under the Clarion brand       London by 2012.
Fax: +46(0)8 506 205 70                          Hotel Berlin, Berlin in Germany                     with a major new hotel at Arlanda Airport, out-
E-mail: pandox@pandox.com                                                                            side of Stockholm. This hotel will have around
                                                                                                                                                       Linköping in central Sweden is about to open
                                                                                                     400 rooms and be located directly next to Sky
Visiting address:                                                                                                                                      a Best Western hotel. The hotel Good Eve-
                                                                                                     City and the airport terminals. This is planned
Grev Turegatan 44, Stockholm                                                                                                                           ning Linköping is changing its name to Best
                                                                                                     to open sometime in 2012.
                                                                                                                                                       Western Hotell Linköping in March. A certain
Upgrade can be ordered from Pandox or read online at www.pandox.com

                                                                                                 2
Market information from Pandox



                                                                                                        The market on the market




amount of renovation work will be taking
place at the hotel, which has 74 rooms,
                                                  March
until it reopens.                                 Story Hotel will be opening on Riddargatan
                                                  in Stockholm, the capital of Sweden. This
                                                  will offer 82 rooms, of sizes varying from
Kungsbacka, outside Gothenburg, will be
                                                  12 to 53 sq m. This hotel environment
getting a new hotel in the spring of 2010. A
                                                  takes its inspiration from ramshackle New
new property is being built at the location of
                                                  York bars and bohemian Parisian hotels.               Jonathan Worsley, Chairman, Bench Events and Chairman of the Board, STR Global, is seen
the old Tullhuset, hence the historical link in                                                         here with Anders Nissen of Pandox at Hotel Berlin, in Berlin at the Pandox Opening Party.
the name “Clarion Collection Hotel Tullen”.
This hotel will have 88 rooms.                    The Baltic group is entering the hotel
                                                  industry, buying Stora Hotellet and Hotell
                                                  Wasa in Umeå, north of Sweden, from its
                                                                                                                      Hotel Investment Forum
February                                          current owners, Gunnar Leissner and                                           Berlin, 9–11 March, 2009
                                                  Kalle Ekkari. This deal will be finalised on          The main topic of discussion at this year’s         The second day then looked exclusively
Radisson SAS is becoming Radisson Blu.            1st May 2009. The hotels have 90 and 96               conference was the enormous uncertainty         at the industry and the difficult situation it
First to change its name will be the new          rooms respectively.
                                                                                                        prevailing around the world, which is           faces. James Chappel, Managing Director
Radisson hotel at Zurich airport, which will
                                                                                                        affecting the industry. The 2008 financial      of STR Global, presented the current situa-
be named Radisson Blu Zurich Airport.
The changes of name will take place grad-                                                               year was discussed in fairly brief terms.       tion in figures. All the statistics are pointing
ually, and it is thought that these will be                                                             What emerged above all was the fact that        down, in a big way. Between November
complete in 2010.                                                                                       the past year has to be viewed as two sep-      2008 and January 2009, all regions have
                                                                                                        arate periods; January to August was a          fallen in terms of both coverage and price,
                                                  Hilton is launching a new brand, “Denizen             very good period, which was then followed       and the biggest downturns in Europe have
Starwood Hotels is planning to open its first     Hotels”, and will become a global lifestyle           by four months when the bottom dropped          been seen in Spain, Italy and Eastern
W hotel in France, in the heart of Paris. The     brand to supplement its existing luxury               out of the market.                              Europe. Discussions dealt with what the
idea is for the hotel to open in 2011 and         brands. This new brand will be aimed at                                                               curve for the downturn will actually look
offer visitors an extravagant refuge, stylishly   modern global travellers. The hotel environ-          This year’s seminar was the twelfth of its      like. Have we embarked upon a V-shaped,
designed. This hotel is going to be built in      ment is a luxurious mix of business and                                                               U-shaped or L-shaped business cycle?
                                                                                                        kind. There were fewer delegates present
the historical Haussmann building, dating         pleasure, with the very latest in technology.                                                             During the panel discussion with heads
                                                                                                        this year: around 1,300 as opposed to the
back to the 1870s.                                These hotels are also designed to reflect             previous record of 1,800. The conference        of industry, some general advice was given
                                                  local culture and style in the cities where           began with a macroeconomic analysis for         on how we should all work and manage
Marriott is converting the old Midland            they are located.                                     the whole world. Roger Bootle, Managing         hotel operations during these hard times.
Grand Hotel at St Pancras railway station in                                                            Director at Capital Economics, London,          We should maintain clear, transparent lead-
London into a 244-room Marriott Renais-           InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) is open-          and Dr. Holger Schmieding, Chief Econo-         ership in order to keep employees informed
sance hotel. This hotel is intended for           ing a new Holiday Inn in Moscow. This hotel           mist for Europe at Bank of America in           and motivated. We also need to clearly offer
opening in late 2010 and will also include        will have 1,000 rooms and be the biggest IHG          London, illustrated the current situation.      customers value, and customers also have
67 apartments and a penthouse.                    hotel in the world. This hotel will be opening             To summarise: in Dr. Schmieding’s view,    to see that they are getting this value. If we
                                                  in 2014 and will be the eighth IHG hotel in           the American market does not have so far to     are considering adjusting our prices, such
                                                  Moscow.                                               go before it reaches the bottom, and the        measures should be preceded by thorough
London will be having a new, five-star
                                                                                                        economy will stability in the autumn of         customer segmentation.
luxury hotel at the old Café Royal premises
on Regent Street. This hotel will have 160                                                              2009, or possibly spring 2010. This will            The second day came to an end with a
                                                  Rezidor is opening a new hotel in Edinburgh,
rooms and views over Piccadilly Circus, Big                                                             gradually improve the situation for Europe      launch party, organised by Hilton for its
                                                  Scotland. This fashionable hotel, which will
Ben and St. James Park. A lot of the                                                                    as well. As things stand at present, however,   new lifestyle brand “Denizen Hotels” –
                                                  be located on the corner of George IV Bridge
existing environment will be incorporated                                                               it looks as though 2010 will also be a tough    a global brand with a local touch. This
                                                  and the Royal Mile, will have 136 rooms and
in the property, such as the marble                                                                     year for Europe, with negative growth.          product is designed for business and
                                                  welcome its first guests in late May. The staff
Entrance Hall and the Domino Room. This                                                                      What will affect the recovery, according   leisure travellers who are happy to use
                                                  will be wearing clothes designed by Missoni.
project is planned to start in the summer of                                                            to Roger Bootle, is that consumers will         new technology and much comfort.
2009, with completion before 2012.                                                                      regain their confidence in the market and           On the last day, Russel Kett Managing
                                                  The Bentley Hotel in London is to become              start buying, loan options will improve and     Director of HVS spoke about HVS’ view of
                                                  a Waldorf Astoria hotel. This will be the first       countries will avoid being protectionistic.     the transactions market and the world of
In 2009, Metromark Hotels will be opening         hotel of its kind in the UK and the third in                                                          property. He explained that the party is over
                                                                                                        Dr Holger Schmieding was of the view that
in Malmö, south of Sweden, the world’s first      Europe after Rome Cavalieri in Rome and               the major downturn we are seeing now on         for now. The investment market in Europe in
hotel using only environmentally friendly LED     The Trianon Palace in Versailles, outside             the market may be an advantage. “We will        2008 fell by almost two-thirds compared
technology for lighting. They are working on      Paris. This hotel has 64 rooms and suites             reach the bottom more quickly and can           with 2007, which means we are now at the
creating a new                                    and is located in the heart of the Royal              start to work our way up from there.” His       same levels as after the 9/11-attacks in
hotel chain going                                 Borough of Kensington & Chelsea.                      view was that “bottom fishing” may com-         2001. Furthermore, the number of transac-
by the name of
                                                                                                        mence as of the late autumn of 2009.            tions has fallen by a third compared with
Moment Hotels,
                                                                                                             The first day of the conference was        2007, and there has been a shift away from
with a concept
                                                                                                        rounded off with a reopening party for Hotel    major portfolio investments and more
involving interac-
                                                                                                        Berlin in Berlin. Pandox organised the eve-     towards the purchase of individual proper-
tion between
functionality,                                                                                          ning in honour of traditional Swedish Mid-      ties, particularly in the autumn of 2008.
economy and                                                                                             summer celebrations, with a real midsom-            The conference ended with a panel
design.                                                                                                 marstång (Swedish-style “Maypole”), a pic-      debate where the big question remained
                                                                                                        nic where Swedish Midsummer delicacies          unanswered: what indicators will show
                                                                                                        were served, and a show inspired by ABBA.       that we have reached the turning point?


                                                                                                    3
Market information from Pandox




Focus on the sector




                                           2008
– a year of contrasts
                                         2008 really was a year of contrasts.
           The industry showed good growth in both occupancy and average price up until the summer,
                          but then the international downturn began, starting in the USA.




USA                                        RevPAR; due largely to lower volumes              mark on Europe and occupancy in            whole, an increase of 4 percent. The
The American market, which is first in     than in the same period last year.                the major European cities plum-            last quarter of 2008 for Berlin was still
the business cycle, shows a downturn            New York fared slightly better for the       meted. The declining trend has since       showing marginal RevPAR growth of
in occupancy for the full year of just     full year in 2008, despite a weaker               persisted into the new year. Occu-         1 percent, but the decline has started.
under 3 percent compared with 2007,        autumn than the rest of the USA. Occu-            pancy in London at the end of 2008         January/February 2009 is showing a
stopping at 60 percent. Average            pancy in the city fell by just under 2 per-       amounted to just over 80 percent,          decline of 9 percent in RevPAR com-
prices closed at USD 107, corre-           cent, while prices increased by 2 per-            which is equivalent to a reduction of      pared with the same period in 2008.
sponding to an increase of around 2        cent; hence RevPAR closed on plus 1               just under 2 percent compared with             Throughout the rest of Europe,
percent compared with 2007; so Rev-        percent. Occupancy closed at 82 per-              the previous year. Average prices over     many hotel chains found that both
PAR for the USA as a whole closed at       cent, and average price at USD 276.               the year have continued to rise, albeit    demand and profits started to fall over
minus 2 percent compared with the               A study of the last quarter also con-        at a slower pace, and they were up 4       the late summer. Occupancy fell in
previous year.                             firms this view for all of the USA. Rev-          percent for the whole year. RevPAR         many of the major tourist cities, due
    A more detailed analysis of the last   PAR is down 15 percent, and this is               closed at GBP 108, which is an             mainly to tourists failing to come over
quarter of 2008 shows that develop-        because both occupancy and the aver-              increase of just over 2 percent com-       from North America and Japan. The
ment is considerably gloomier than         age price are falling to around the same          pared with 2007. The last quarter in       following autumn was no better.
the annual figures show. RevPAR for        extent. For the period January/Febru-             London, however, is clearly weaken-            Paris closed on occupancy of 78
the USA as a whole has fallen by           ary 2009, the decline continued with a            ing; RevPAR for the period fell by 6       percent, which was down 1 percent on
almost 10 percent over the period. If      RevPAR for the period of minus 29 per-            percent compared with the same             the previous year. Price growth was
we look at various segments, the           cent compared with the same period in             period in 2007 – due mainly to declin-     considerably more modest for 2008
luxury segment is the one showing the      2008. Occupancy fell by 16 percent                ing occupancy. The rate of decline         than for 2007, closing at just under 2
most decline, 17 percent, closely          and average prices were down 16 per-              then increased in January/February,        percent over the price level for 2007
followed by the resort segment, down       cent. Despite the gloomy figures, there           when RevPAR fell by 9 percent. The         and at an average price of EUR 242.
14 percent. Above all, occupancy is        are a number of new hotel projects in             loss of coverage and price affected        RevPAR closed at EUR 188, represent-
falling and the trend is the same in all   the pipeline in New York, which means             the results to an equal extent.            ing an increase of just under 1 percent
segments, irrespective of region.          that the city will have around 11,000                 Germany is one of the countries that   compared with 2007. However, the last
    The figures for the period January/    new hotel rooms by the end of 2010.               has fared better during the global         quarter of 2008 showed a major
February 2009 are showing that the                                                           downturn in 2008. This is largely          decline for the city, with a reduction in
pace of decline is increasing. The         Europe                                            because Germany has a higher               RevPAR of 20 percent for the quarter,
decline for the period amounts to 16       Over the first six months of 2008,                national demand for hotel rooms com-       13 percent of which was attributable to
percent in RevPAR compared with            development on the European market                pared with many other countries. Berlin    lower average prices and 8 percent to
the same period in 2008; 10 percent        was still good, with a development in             closed on 70 percent in terms of occu-     lower occupancy volume. The down-
is due to a reduction in volume and 6      RevPAR of between 5 and 15 percent                pancy, which is 2 percent lower than in    ward trend has continued in the new
percent to falling prices. The luxury      compared with 2007. Then came the                 2007. Average prices amounted to           year. RevPAR in January and February
and resort segments are seeing the         turning point with the financial crisis           EUR 91, which was 6 percent higher         closed at minus 23 percent, which is
greatest decline over this period, with    in the USA, which has spread across               than in 2007. RevPAR in Berlin closed      due to lower prices and reduced
26 and 21 percent respectively in          the globe. In September, it left its              at just under EUR 64 for 2008 as a         occupancy in equal measure.



                                                                                         4
Market information from Pandox




2008 was a turbulent year – the question is, where in the roller coaster are we now?




    Brussels ended the year with a               Stockholm and Oslo started their Rev-            minus 13 percent, and January is            PAR growth for the year of 5 percent,
RevPAR increase for the whole year of            PAR decline at around the same time              showing a RevPAR of minus 17                due entirely to price growth, and the
6 percent, which was due mainly to               as London in September/October, and              percent.                                    last quarter of the year also showed
price increases. However, the growth             RevPAR for these cities fell by around                                                       growth. For January 2009, Malmö
trend was broken back in October,                6 percent for the fourth quarter.                Regional cities, Sweden                     fared slightly better than other regional
and RevPAR for the last quarter                  Helsinki fared slightly better over the          Gothenburg, which managed fairly            cities with a RevPAR reduction of 8
showed a reduction of 9 percent                  quarter, with a RevPAR which fell by             well in previous periods, is now follow-    percent for the month, which was due
compared with the fourth quarter of              just under 5 percent. January has not            ing the global trend, and in the autumn     mainly to a reduction in occupancy
2007. This downward trend con-                   shown any stabilisation; rather, the             of 2008 it saw the same decline in          compared with January 2008.
tinued in January and February 2009.             rate of decline is increasing slightly for       RevPAR as Stockholm – that is, minus            The figures are gloomy more or less
RevPAR has come out at minus 16                  the Scandinavian capitals as well.               6 percent for the fourth quarter. For       across the board. Viewed from a
percent for the period, due mainly to                Copenhagen, on the other hand, is            the full year, RevPAR has closed at 3       historical perspective, credit crunches
a reduction in occupancy.                        losing out in a big way, primarily in            percent, due mostly to price increases.     normally last for 24–30 months. So we
                                                 terms of occupancy. This began back              In January 2009, Gothenburg lost 19         will have to wait and see whether
Scandinavia                                      in October and has continued until               percent in occupancy and just under 2       history is repeating itself – or whether
As a rule, the Scandinavian countries            January 31, 2009. Occupancy has                  percent in average price, resulting in a    the pattern will be different this time?
follow London when it comes to the               fallen on average by more than 10 per-           RevPAR reduction of 21 percent on
economic situation of hotels. The                cent compared with the same period of            January 2008.                               Explanation:
autumn of 2008 seems to be the rule              the previous year. This has resulted in              Malmö has still done fairly well. At    RevPAR: Revenue per available room.
that confirms the exception.                     RevPAR for the last quarter standing at          the end of 2008, the city had a Rev-        YTD: Year-to-date.




RevPAR CHANGES IN LOCAL CURRENCY

World                 Whole year 2008, %       4th quarter – 2008, %     YTD Feb 2009, %          Scandinavia        Whole year 2008, %      4th quarter – 2008, %   YTD Jan 2009, %
New York                                  1                       –15                  –27        Copenhagen                           0                      –13                   –17
London                                    2                        –6                   –9        Malmö                                5                        2                    –8
Dubai                                     1                        –5                  –32        Gothenburg                           3                       –6                   –21
New Delhi                                 6                        –7                  –39        Oslo                                 2                       –6                   –17
Sydney                                   –1                        –5                  –11        Stockholm                            3                       –6                   –15
Beijing                                  –1                       –34                  –43        Helsinki                            –1                       –5                   –16
Tokyo                                    –1                          3                 –10
São Paulo                                14                        15                   –8
Buenos Aires                             13                          1                  –8




                                                                                              5
Market information from Pandox




            Pandox market barometer
                                                                          January 2009
The market barometer indicates the selected cities’ position in the business                   conditions, how the hotel market is evolving, and the extent to which the hotel
cycle. The assessment is based on an analysis of each city. Consideration is                   property market is developing and has liquidity. It is important to note that the
given to macro-developments, the trends of the hotel industry and business                     hotel business cycle is the same in its pattern but different in time.



BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE VARIOUS PHASES OF THE HOTEL BUSINESS CYCLE:

GROWTH b Occupancy is rising relatively rapidly and rates have begun to increase. High         WEAKENING DECLINE c The decline tapers off and RevPAR gradually levels out. This
potential and low risk.                                                                        phase is characterised by some potential and high risk.

PEAK h Occupancy continues to rise and rates increase above inflation. Strong potential        LEVEL OUT v Occupancy rises and rates remain unchanged. High potential with a
and low risk that gradually increases to high risk.                                            diminishing risk.

DECLINE x Occupancy and rates decline due to lower demand or excess capacity. This
phase is characterised by low potential and high risk.




SWEdEN
PEAK h                                                                                                                                                                      x   dEcliNE
Malmö, Karlstad, Uppsala                                                                                                     Sundsvall, Luleå, Umeå, Stockholm, Stockholm 5*,
                                                                                                                                   Jönköping, Gothenburg, Helsingborg, Lund

groWTh b                                                                                                                                                      c   WEAKENiNg dEcliNE



                                                                                                                                                                          v lEvEl ouT



Comments – Sweden
As the economic situation took an              peaking over the three months. This is          January 31, 2009. The municipalities        and Karlstad have also entered the
unusually rapid dive in the autumn,            because average prices are still                of Stockholm and Gothenburg are             decline phase now. The only excep-
we have this time chosen to focus on           increasing slightly, while occupancy is         demonstrating a fairly constant down-       tion is Uppsala, which is balancing
the shorter-term trend over three              more or less in line with the same              ward trend with a RevPAR develop-           out. Occupancy is increasing here by
months; November 2008 to January               period last year; hence RevPAR is still         ment over the three months of minus         nearly 2 percent, average prices are
2009, instead of the longer, twelve-           increasing slightly.                            12 and 11 percent respectively. Other       falling by about the same amount.
month approach used for earlier                   Other selected cities have entered           cities have also passed the peak now,       This means that RevPAR is in line
barometers. This is because we want            the decline phase of the business               and in most cases both occupancy            with January 2008.
to make the illustration of the situation      cycle. Stockholm 5* has seen the                and prices are on the decline.
as current and as relevant as possible.        most severe downward trend, with a                  A review of January on its own
   Malmö, Karlstad and Uppsala are             RevPAR development of minus 18                  shows that the rate of decline is
the three major cities which are still         percent over the three months up to             increasing in all cities, and Malmö         (Sources: Nutek and Statistics Sweden)




iNTErNATioNAl
PEAK h                                                                                                                                                                      x   dEcliNE
                                                                                                                                        Berlin, Oslo, Helsinki, London, Brussels,
                                                                                                                                Paris, Copenhagen, Vienna, Amsterdam, Prague

groWTh b                                                                                                                                                      c   WEAKENiNg dEcliNE



                                                                                                                                                                          v lEvEl ouT



Comments – International
All the major cities in Europe are in          minus 24 percent. It is mainly the              fared best, with a decline of 6             here, too, with negative RevPAR for the
decline. If we look at average develop-        occupancy that has fallen in both               percent.                                    month of minus 25 and minus 22
ment over the three-month period,              cases, but prices have also started to             Development for January is showing       percent respectively compared to the
Amsterdam and Prague are seeing                drop. Paris is hot on their heels, with a       only that the rate of decline is increas-   same month in 2008.
the biggest decline in RevPAR for the          decline of 20 percent for the period.           ing across the board. Amsterdam and         (Sources: Deloitte, Statistics Norway
period November to January, with               To date, Berlin is the city that has            Prague are seeing the greatest declines     and Statistics Finland)




                                                                                           6
Market information from Pandox




   Trends in time

   Focus on the right things during the credit crunch
   The economic crisis is spreading           one is a function and the other is a         million users all over the world.         “Hotel Murano won the HotelWorld
   throughout the market. Strength is         purpose.                                     Besides sharing your own updates,         award for best lobby/public space
   needed if we are to continue, and              Be keen to make sure your                you can monitor other people or com-      design in a full-service hotel.”
   we need to do this in the correct          customer is happy. This is one of            panies in order to view their informa-
   way. Every step becomes even more          the advices which Bryan K. Williams          tion. Stowe Boyd, the internationally     “Stop by our Lobby Bar tonight to
   important when times are hard.             gives to organisations wishing to            renowned authority in business strat-     visit Debra. First person to mention
                                              become more service-oriented. The            egy and information technology, reck-     this tweet will get their first drink
   When times are good, it is easy to         staff have to be on their toes and           ons that people should monitor at         on us!”
   overlook a mistake or two. But during      always prepared to help customers.           least 100 people on Twitter.
   a downturn, one incorrect move can         Be welcoming and create an atmo-                 A number of hotels and hotel          All methods are good, except for the
   spell disaster. It can reduce profit-      sphere of “inclusion” are another            companies have already started            bad ones. Bearing in mind that “out
   ability, destroy customer relations        two advices from Mr. Williams.               working on Twitter. Both Luxor in Las     of sight, out of mind”, Twitter is a
   and, in a worst-case scenario, wreck           An atmosphere of “inclusion”             Vegas and Marriott International have     new must. And in a credit crunch,
   the brand name.                            means involving all parties con-             more than 3,000 followers. But the        committing to producing 140 char-
       Cutting costs is a common way          cerned. Try to create a relationship         Brussels Welcome Hotel, with just 18      acters a day should be a simple
   trying to regain control in bad times.     which reflects dynamic, two-way              rooms, is also active on Twitter and      decision to make.l
   However, focusing on income is             communication rather than static             has more than 550 followers.
   every bit as important. Offering           delivery of a situation or a service.
   outstanding service and making             There is a difference between a waiter       Check the information flow and
   yourself visible are two simple ways       asking what a customer would prefer          free marketing
   of winning out in hard times.              and then suggesting something from           The advantages of Twitter are that it
                                              the menu, and a waiter who just goes         is free to use and it takes hardly any
   Improving service                          up to the table and takes an order.          time to manage. The service content
   Outstanding service reinforces                                                          is picked up by Google and so is
   customer relations. The likelihood of      Start microblogging                          passed on even further. The hotel
   them choosing your hotel next time is      Apart from enhancing the quality of          industry is using this service to com-
   much greater than if you just do what      the service, you can now also                municate with customers and for
   they expect of you. Service mogul          enhance your marketing – without             marketing purposes. A view pub-
   Bryan K. Williams explains it by           paying a penny. After blogging and           lished by an unhappy customer on
   asking: What is the difference             Facebook, comes Twitter. Twitter is          the Internet can be rapidly inter-
   between a doorman holding a door           a microblog in which every entry,            cepted and rectified, and hence
   open for you – and a doorman               known as a tweet, is allowed a               damp down any rumours.
   welcoming you with a nice gesture?         maximum of 140 characters. This                  More typical marketing Twitter
   Or, what is the difference between         is a new way of creating contacts            entries may include offers, current
   the house keeper changing the              and keeping up to date.                      events at the hotel, or weather
   sheets and the house keeper making             Interest in Twitter has grown at a       reports. Hotel Murano in Washing-
   sure that the guest has a clean,           record-breaking pace, and now the            ton is being followed by 260 people       Luxor Hotel in Las Vegas microbloggs at
   comfortable bed to sleep in? Well,         service has between three and six            and has written the following:            Twitter, being followed by 3,000 people.




did you KNoW...
… you can now stay in hotel rooms 155 metres
below ground at Sala Silvergruva (Sala Silver Mine),
                                                           …you can now enjoy an atomic bomb-proof Christ-
                                                           mas meal at “Lejonkulan Fest & Konferens” – in a
                                                                                                                                             Sundry facts from various
                                                                                                                                             corners of the hotel world

                                                                                                                       visitors into a huge rock chamber with crystal chande-
                                                                                                                       liers hanging from the ceiling. There is a dining room,
in central Sweden. With this, the mine has earned          converted old defence centre blasted into the rock at       conference room and assembly room, and in the
its stripes as an “Unusual Hotel Of The World” – in        Laggarebacken near Alingsås in southern Sweden.             longer term hotel rooms will be on offer as well. Mobile
good company with the Jumbo Jets youth hostel at           From the outside, this place really looks like nothing      phones do not work inside Lejonkulan because above
Arlanda airport, north of Stockholm.                       special, but a corridor 50 metres long then takes           the vaulted ceiling is 24 metres of solid rock.

… there is now a hotel for the true individualist; the                                                                   … new ways of building hotels are being tried.
Hotell Winvian in Connecticut, USA. Here, 15                                                                             Uxbridge, West London, is home to the first
renowned architects have created the ultimate                                                                            European hotel made out of containers. This 120-
hotel rooms. Among other things, there is a room                                                                         room hotel is made up of 86 steel containers. The
built like a model of a Sikorsky HH37 Sea King                                                                           double rooms consist of containers 5 x 3 metres in
Pelican helicopter – but with a built-in bar. Other                                                                      area, while larger family rooms are 3.5 x 6 metres
themed rooms are a stable, a greenhouse, industry                                                                        in size. These containers come from China, with
and a log cabin. www.winvian.com                                                                                         bathrooms and windows already fitted.



                                                                                       7
Market information from Pandox




       News from the Pandox sphere

       Pandox at IHIF in Berlin
       At the annual International
       Hotel Investment Forum
       (IHIF) conference, Pandox
       worked together with Pandox-
       owned Hotel Berlin in Berlin
       to arrange the IHIF Opening
       Reception. The topic was
       Swedish Midsummer celebra-
       tions, with food in picnic
       baskets arranged by two of
       Sweden’s most famous chefs:
       Melker Andersson and Danyel
       Couet. The evening was a big
       hit, with a sing-song, creative   The Hotel Berlin and Pandox                                         Famous chefs: Danyel Couet and Melker Andersson from
       hotel design and a show           Midsummer-inspired celebration   Christian Ringnes, Chairman of     GRUPP F12 in Stockholm.
       inspired by ABBA.                 at IHIF.                         the Board at Pandox, and
                                                                          Anders Nissen, CEO at Pandox.



       Two new awards for Hotel BLOOM!                                                  Staffan Olsson to captain
       In December 2008, Hotel BLOOM! received the CAÏUS 2008 Award for                 team at World Championship
       companies contributing towards cultural and architectonic development            in Sweden in 2011
       in Belgium thanks to their creativity, dynamism and persistence. In              With the support of the Swedish
       February, Hotel BLOOM! also received the Best Venue of the Year Award            Olympic Committee, and together
       from Meeting Professionals International, Belgium Chapter, which has             with Pandox, Swedish Handball
       more than 24,000 members in 80 countries. Congratulations!                       Association entered into an
                                                                                        agreement with Staffan Olsson
                                                                                        which makes it possible for him
                                                                                        to stay in Sweden and continue
                                                                                        leading the Swedish national          Staffan Olsson, National coach for the
                                                                                        team together with Ola Lindgren.      Swedish Handball team.
                                                                                        This agreement means that the
                                                                                        important issue of who will be the team captain is resolved with regard
                                                                                        to Sweden’s World Championship on home turf in 2011 and, in the
                                                                                        longer term, to the Olympics in London in 2012. This resolution also
                                                                                        means that Staffan Olsson will be continuing as a trainer for Hammarby
                                                                                        Handball as well as working with marketing issues at Pandox.
                                                                                        Warm welcome to Pandox!

                                                                                                                                                          an
                                                                                                                                                             tw
       New members of the family at Holiday Inn Brussels Airport                        Restaurant Thott’s in Malmö
                                                                                                                                                    Ber         erp
       Early in 2009, Holiday Inn Brussels Airport welcomed some new
       members to the family: Blobby and her two little ones. They have their
                                                                                        awarded Silver in Swedens Best
                                                                                        Table                                                   Bru
                                                                                                                                                                                    s
                                                                                                                                                                                      LIn
                                                                                                                                                                       e n hs e L s
       own little spot in the lobby and move positions every day. This little           Radisson SAS Blu’s restaurant
                                                                                                                                              cop
                                                                                                                                         Lon
       family is much appreciated by both guests and staff.                             Thott’s in Malmö has been awarded
                                                                                        Silver status in Sveriges Bästa Bord,
                                                                                                                                                                            age
                                                                                        “Sweden’s Best Table”. Warmest
                                                                                        congratulations to new kitchen                 mon
                                                                                                                                                                                 n
                                                                                                                                                                                   don
                                                                                        manager Björn Nilsson, restaurant
                                                                                                                                    tr
                                                                                                                                    sto
                                                                                        manager Peter Kindeberg and rest
                                                                                                                                   ckh eaL
                                                                                        of the team!
                                                                                                                                pa n oLm
                                                                                        Radisson SAS Arlandia
                                                                                        This hotel outside Stockholm is
                                                                                                                                r e
                                                                                                                                    p o
                                                                                                                                        r t
                                                                                                                                            i n
                                                                                                                                                g
                                                                                                                                                    o f
                                                                                                                                                          b u
                                                                                                                                                              s i
                                                                                                                                                                  n e
                                                                                                                                                                      s s
                                                                                                                                                                            dox
                                                                                                                                                                            o p
                                                                                                                                                                                e r
                                                                                                                                                                                    a t
                                                                                                                                                                                        i o
                                                                                                                                                                                            n s

                                                                                        continuing its environmental aware-                                                                       f o
                                                                                                                                                                                                      r
                                                                                                                                                                                                          2 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                              0 8



                                                                                        ness initiatives with an extensive
                                                                                        training programme for staff, new                Annual report 2008
                                                                                        company cars running on biogas                   The Pandox annual report is now
                                                                                        and ethanol, and ensuring that all               completed and can, as usual, be
                                                                                        consumables nowadays bear envi-                  viewed on our website or ordered
                                                                                        ronmental labelling. Very inspiring!             from pandox@pandox.com




                                                                                    8

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Pandox Upgrade - No 1 2009 (Eng)

  • 1. PA N D O X NO. 1 • 2009 M ARKE T IN FO R MATIO N F R O M PA ND O X ON E OF T H E L E A DI N G H OT E L P ROP E RT Y C OM PA N I E S I N E U ROP E Will established hotel companies throw in the towel this year? Twitter – the new and smart way of marketing
  • 2. Market information from Pandox NEWS Will established hotel companies throw in the towel this year? Jones Lang LaSalle’s excellent Hotel Investment Highlights show that the global financial crisis has now also spread to the transactions market for hotels and hotel properties. Overall business volume has fallen by no less than 80 percent between 2007 and 2008. It is mainly the major portfolio business that has come to a halt, but also the number of individual asset purchases has dropped drasti- within the world cally. Of course, this is because of a poorer hotel market, but also because inves- tors, often non-industrial, have left the sector. In addition, the shortage of avail- able finance is creating major problems and having an adverse effect on liquidity. If we look at individual regions, America fell by 81 percent, followed by Asia November Rezidor is opening its second Park Inn in Berlin together with its franchise partner with 77 percent, while EMEA which includes Europe fell by 58 percent. Another Bella Center is building the biggest hotel in Proventhotels. This hotel is located in the interesting comparison is to monitor the trend for individual hotel transactions, the Nordic region in Ørestad, Copenhagen. Wilmersdorf district and has 94 rooms. measured in value per room. This has fallen by around 25 percent over the The two towers, with 814 rooms, will be 76 period 2006 to 2008. Of course, these figures are not entirely comparable; but metres high. This hotel will A new Stay At hotel is being built in Malmö, in they do provide an indication of the fact that the values are about to be adjusted be incorporated into Bella south of Sweden. This hotel, which will have from the peak levels people were willing to pay a few years ago. Some more cor- Center, and it is thought 243 rooms 9–20 sq m in area, is located at rections will probably be needed before liquidity increases again. Important that it will open over the Fasanen 5, Kaptensgatan 11 in Malmö, with first quarter of 2011. parameters for ensuring correct future values is that these have to be based on views over Malmö canal. This hotel is planned cashflows created in the current hotel market, and not on historical figures. to open in 2010. Another influencing factor is finance terms – one hot tip is that loan to value will Corinthia Hotels is planning to open a 283- fall and costs for capital will rise, then values will also fall. At the peak of this, this is room, five-star hotel near Trafalgar Square in Marriott will be opening a second Courtyard where the uncertainty will arise; when valuing many of the operator-friendly man- London in 2010. This will be the first Corin- hotel in St. Petersburg, Russia, with 281 agement agreements. What risk perspective should investors adopt when acquir- thia Hotel in the UK, and the property will rooms. The plan is for the hotel to open late ing a hotel with a long, one-sided management agreement, where the hotel com- also include a number of luxury apartments. in 2009 or in early 2010, not far from the pany has few incentives and a poor track record as regards profitable operations? Marinsky theatres. The latter question was discussed in Berlin at Investment Forum, Europe’s Scandic is introducing cooperation with the biggest investment conference for the hotel and hospitality business. It is inter- world-leading travel guide company Time Hilton is opening a new hotel at historic esting to note that international hotel companies, such as Hilton and Sheraton, Out. This company is going to produce a Syon Park in West London. This hotel will still has what is known as a light investment strategy, which means that they do guidebook under the name “1,000 things to have 151 rooms and is estimated to open not want to participate in the investments or issue guarantees in the agree- do when staying at Scandic”, which will be just before Christmas 2009. Syon Park is ments they enter into in order to have the right to run hotels. It seems to be the released in five languages English, Swedish, located on the opposite case that these companies and investors live in different worlds. It is reasonable Danish, Norwegian and Finnish in March side of the Thames to to assume that the owner perspective will grow once again and that risk sharing 2009. Kew Gardens and is a will become one of the key concepts for successful investments. 16th century park over 2009 has got off to just as bad a start as the most negative forecasters had Interstate Hotel & Resorts has entered into around 200 acres. predicted. I am one of them, and I have to admit that most of the arrows are an agreement to run a 300-room hotel at the pointing in the wrong direction at the moment. What scares me is the fact that new Freestyle Park shopping and leisure In 2009, Reval Hotel will be opening a we do not know what the next nasty surprise is going to be. Rumour is that centre in Moscow. This building will be four-star hotel in the heart of St. Petersburg. many hotel companies have a lot of what are known as covenants, guaran- 280,000 sq m in area and include among The design of the hotel is said to have been tees, towards banks that they have to fulfill, otherwise the banks will increase other things a ski slope, a science museum inspired by one of the heaviest classics in the pressure. What if an established hotel company has to throw in the towel and cinemas, if the plans are finalised. world literature – Crime and Punishment by because it is unable to meet the banks’ demands for market values and Fjodor Dostoyevski. This hotel will be Baltic equity ratio. What domino effects would this have on the rest of the industry? Quality Hotell 11 in Gothenburg, in south of chain Reval Hotel’s first hotel in Russia. Sweden, is being acquired by Home Proper- All the best ties. The property consists of 260 rooms Anders Nissen over 15,800 sq m, 9,800 sq m of offices, January and Eriksbergshallen, 5,300 sq m in area PS. Thanks for all the cheering messages which were sent by reason of – an events hall for up to 2,000 people. Hilton is opening the Trianon Palace Ver- Pandox’ is contributing to maintain the Swedish Handball National Coach sailles, which will be the first hotel in the Staffan Olsson as captain in Sweden through the 2011 World Champion- Waldorf Astoria Collection in France. This Rezidor is planning to locate a Park Inn in hotel is located less than 2 km from the Pal- ships. We are incredibly pleased and proud to be able to help out with this, Tula, Russia. This hotel will have 190 rooms ace of Versailles and 20 km from Paris. and we know that Staffan will be helping us with marketing activities. and is intended to open in the first quarter of 2011. Rezidor has contracted Park Poliarne Zori in Murmansk, Russia, with 266 rooms. With Pandox Upgrade – market informa- Graphic design and production: tion from Pandox – published n3 Kommunikation December this agreement, Rezidor has almost 10,000 rooms in operation and development in approximately three times annually. Russia and the adjacent states. Photo: Golden Tulip is opening a new hotel in coop- Editors: Ulf Blomberg, Shutterstock and others. eration with IKEA in Delft, the Netherlands. Anders Nissen, Michaela Borg, This will be a 140-room, three-star hotel. Printer: In January, InterContinental Hotels Group Annelie Sundström Aguilar, The new restaurant concept George & Co, Jernström Offset, (IHG) will be opening its first hotel outside Anette Paulsson which will be offering an international menu, Stockholm, April 2009. North America under the Indigo brand. This Pandox AB will be launched at the same time. Reproduction only by permission hotel is located in Paddington in London P O Box 5364 and has 64 rooms. The objective is to open from Pandox SE-102 49 Stockholm Choice Hotels Scandinavia is continuing its another three Indigo hotels in central Tel: +46(0)8 506 205 50 Front cover: The Pandox-owned expansion in Sweden under the Clarion brand London by 2012. Fax: +46(0)8 506 205 70 Hotel Berlin, Berlin in Germany with a major new hotel at Arlanda Airport, out- E-mail: pandox@pandox.com side of Stockholm. This hotel will have around Linköping in central Sweden is about to open 400 rooms and be located directly next to Sky Visiting address: a Best Western hotel. The hotel Good Eve- City and the airport terminals. This is planned Grev Turegatan 44, Stockholm ning Linköping is changing its name to Best to open sometime in 2012. Western Hotell Linköping in March. A certain Upgrade can be ordered from Pandox or read online at www.pandox.com 2
  • 3. Market information from Pandox The market on the market amount of renovation work will be taking place at the hotel, which has 74 rooms, March until it reopens. Story Hotel will be opening on Riddargatan in Stockholm, the capital of Sweden. This will offer 82 rooms, of sizes varying from Kungsbacka, outside Gothenburg, will be 12 to 53 sq m. This hotel environment getting a new hotel in the spring of 2010. A takes its inspiration from ramshackle New new property is being built at the location of York bars and bohemian Parisian hotels. Jonathan Worsley, Chairman, Bench Events and Chairman of the Board, STR Global, is seen the old Tullhuset, hence the historical link in here with Anders Nissen of Pandox at Hotel Berlin, in Berlin at the Pandox Opening Party. the name “Clarion Collection Hotel Tullen”. This hotel will have 88 rooms. The Baltic group is entering the hotel industry, buying Stora Hotellet and Hotell Wasa in Umeå, north of Sweden, from its Hotel Investment Forum February current owners, Gunnar Leissner and Berlin, 9–11 March, 2009 Kalle Ekkari. This deal will be finalised on The main topic of discussion at this year’s The second day then looked exclusively Radisson SAS is becoming Radisson Blu. 1st May 2009. The hotels have 90 and 96 conference was the enormous uncertainty at the industry and the difficult situation it First to change its name will be the new rooms respectively. prevailing around the world, which is faces. James Chappel, Managing Director Radisson hotel at Zurich airport, which will affecting the industry. The 2008 financial of STR Global, presented the current situa- be named Radisson Blu Zurich Airport. The changes of name will take place grad- year was discussed in fairly brief terms. tion in figures. All the statistics are pointing ually, and it is thought that these will be What emerged above all was the fact that down, in a big way. Between November complete in 2010. the past year has to be viewed as two sep- 2008 and January 2009, all regions have arate periods; January to August was a fallen in terms of both coverage and price, Hilton is launching a new brand, “Denizen very good period, which was then followed and the biggest downturns in Europe have Starwood Hotels is planning to open its first Hotels”, and will become a global lifestyle by four months when the bottom dropped been seen in Spain, Italy and Eastern W hotel in France, in the heart of Paris. The brand to supplement its existing luxury out of the market. Europe. Discussions dealt with what the idea is for the hotel to open in 2011 and brands. This new brand will be aimed at curve for the downturn will actually look offer visitors an extravagant refuge, stylishly modern global travellers. The hotel environ- This year’s seminar was the twelfth of its like. Have we embarked upon a V-shaped, designed. This hotel is going to be built in ment is a luxurious mix of business and U-shaped or L-shaped business cycle? kind. There were fewer delegates present the historical Haussmann building, dating pleasure, with the very latest in technology. During the panel discussion with heads this year: around 1,300 as opposed to the back to the 1870s. These hotels are also designed to reflect previous record of 1,800. The conference of industry, some general advice was given local culture and style in the cities where began with a macroeconomic analysis for on how we should all work and manage Marriott is converting the old Midland they are located. the whole world. Roger Bootle, Managing hotel operations during these hard times. Grand Hotel at St Pancras railway station in Director at Capital Economics, London, We should maintain clear, transparent lead- London into a 244-room Marriott Renais- InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) is open- and Dr. Holger Schmieding, Chief Econo- ership in order to keep employees informed sance hotel. This hotel is intended for ing a new Holiday Inn in Moscow. This hotel mist for Europe at Bank of America in and motivated. We also need to clearly offer opening in late 2010 and will also include will have 1,000 rooms and be the biggest IHG London, illustrated the current situation. customers value, and customers also have 67 apartments and a penthouse. hotel in the world. This hotel will be opening To summarise: in Dr. Schmieding’s view, to see that they are getting this value. If we in 2014 and will be the eighth IHG hotel in the American market does not have so far to are considering adjusting our prices, such Moscow. go before it reaches the bottom, and the measures should be preceded by thorough London will be having a new, five-star economy will stability in the autumn of customer segmentation. luxury hotel at the old Café Royal premises on Regent Street. This hotel will have 160 2009, or possibly spring 2010. This will The second day came to an end with a Rezidor is opening a new hotel in Edinburgh, rooms and views over Piccadilly Circus, Big gradually improve the situation for Europe launch party, organised by Hilton for its Scotland. This fashionable hotel, which will Ben and St. James Park. A lot of the as well. As things stand at present, however, new lifestyle brand “Denizen Hotels” – be located on the corner of George IV Bridge existing environment will be incorporated it looks as though 2010 will also be a tough a global brand with a local touch. This and the Royal Mile, will have 136 rooms and in the property, such as the marble year for Europe, with negative growth. product is designed for business and welcome its first guests in late May. The staff Entrance Hall and the Domino Room. This What will affect the recovery, according leisure travellers who are happy to use will be wearing clothes designed by Missoni. project is planned to start in the summer of to Roger Bootle, is that consumers will new technology and much comfort. 2009, with completion before 2012. regain their confidence in the market and On the last day, Russel Kett Managing The Bentley Hotel in London is to become start buying, loan options will improve and Director of HVS spoke about HVS’ view of a Waldorf Astoria hotel. This will be the first countries will avoid being protectionistic. the transactions market and the world of In 2009, Metromark Hotels will be opening hotel of its kind in the UK and the third in property. He explained that the party is over Dr Holger Schmieding was of the view that in Malmö, south of Sweden, the world’s first Europe after Rome Cavalieri in Rome and the major downturn we are seeing now on for now. The investment market in Europe in hotel using only environmentally friendly LED The Trianon Palace in Versailles, outside the market may be an advantage. “We will 2008 fell by almost two-thirds compared technology for lighting. They are working on Paris. This hotel has 64 rooms and suites reach the bottom more quickly and can with 2007, which means we are now at the creating a new and is located in the heart of the Royal start to work our way up from there.” His same levels as after the 9/11-attacks in hotel chain going Borough of Kensington & Chelsea. view was that “bottom fishing” may com- 2001. Furthermore, the number of transac- by the name of mence as of the late autumn of 2009. tions has fallen by a third compared with Moment Hotels, The first day of the conference was 2007, and there has been a shift away from with a concept rounded off with a reopening party for Hotel major portfolio investments and more involving interac- Berlin in Berlin. Pandox organised the eve- towards the purchase of individual proper- tion between functionality, ning in honour of traditional Swedish Mid- ties, particularly in the autumn of 2008. economy and summer celebrations, with a real midsom- The conference ended with a panel design. marstång (Swedish-style “Maypole”), a pic- debate where the big question remained nic where Swedish Midsummer delicacies unanswered: what indicators will show were served, and a show inspired by ABBA. that we have reached the turning point? 3
  • 4. Market information from Pandox Focus on the sector 2008 – a year of contrasts 2008 really was a year of contrasts. The industry showed good growth in both occupancy and average price up until the summer, but then the international downturn began, starting in the USA. USA RevPAR; due largely to lower volumes mark on Europe and occupancy in whole, an increase of 4 percent. The The American market, which is first in than in the same period last year. the major European cities plum- last quarter of 2008 for Berlin was still the business cycle, shows a downturn New York fared slightly better for the meted. The declining trend has since showing marginal RevPAR growth of in occupancy for the full year of just full year in 2008, despite a weaker persisted into the new year. Occu- 1 percent, but the decline has started. under 3 percent compared with 2007, autumn than the rest of the USA. Occu- pancy in London at the end of 2008 January/February 2009 is showing a stopping at 60 percent. Average pancy in the city fell by just under 2 per- amounted to just over 80 percent, decline of 9 percent in RevPAR com- prices closed at USD 107, corre- cent, while prices increased by 2 per- which is equivalent to a reduction of pared with the same period in 2008. sponding to an increase of around 2 cent; hence RevPAR closed on plus 1 just under 2 percent compared with Throughout the rest of Europe, percent compared with 2007; so Rev- percent. Occupancy closed at 82 per- the previous year. Average prices over many hotel chains found that both PAR for the USA as a whole closed at cent, and average price at USD 276. the year have continued to rise, albeit demand and profits started to fall over minus 2 percent compared with the A study of the last quarter also con- at a slower pace, and they were up 4 the late summer. Occupancy fell in previous year. firms this view for all of the USA. Rev- percent for the whole year. RevPAR many of the major tourist cities, due A more detailed analysis of the last PAR is down 15 percent, and this is closed at GBP 108, which is an mainly to tourists failing to come over quarter of 2008 shows that develop- because both occupancy and the aver- increase of just over 2 percent com- from North America and Japan. The ment is considerably gloomier than age price are falling to around the same pared with 2007. The last quarter in following autumn was no better. the annual figures show. RevPAR for extent. For the period January/Febru- London, however, is clearly weaken- Paris closed on occupancy of 78 the USA as a whole has fallen by ary 2009, the decline continued with a ing; RevPAR for the period fell by 6 percent, which was down 1 percent on almost 10 percent over the period. If RevPAR for the period of minus 29 per- percent compared with the same the previous year. Price growth was we look at various segments, the cent compared with the same period in period in 2007 – due mainly to declin- considerably more modest for 2008 luxury segment is the one showing the 2008. Occupancy fell by 16 percent ing occupancy. The rate of decline than for 2007, closing at just under 2 most decline, 17 percent, closely and average prices were down 16 per- then increased in January/February, percent over the price level for 2007 followed by the resort segment, down cent. Despite the gloomy figures, there when RevPAR fell by 9 percent. The and at an average price of EUR 242. 14 percent. Above all, occupancy is are a number of new hotel projects in loss of coverage and price affected RevPAR closed at EUR 188, represent- falling and the trend is the same in all the pipeline in New York, which means the results to an equal extent. ing an increase of just under 1 percent segments, irrespective of region. that the city will have around 11,000 Germany is one of the countries that compared with 2007. However, the last The figures for the period January/ new hotel rooms by the end of 2010. has fared better during the global quarter of 2008 showed a major February 2009 are showing that the downturn in 2008. This is largely decline for the city, with a reduction in pace of decline is increasing. The Europe because Germany has a higher RevPAR of 20 percent for the quarter, decline for the period amounts to 16 Over the first six months of 2008, national demand for hotel rooms com- 13 percent of which was attributable to percent in RevPAR compared with development on the European market pared with many other countries. Berlin lower average prices and 8 percent to the same period in 2008; 10 percent was still good, with a development in closed on 70 percent in terms of occu- lower occupancy volume. The down- is due to a reduction in volume and 6 RevPAR of between 5 and 15 percent pancy, which is 2 percent lower than in ward trend has continued in the new percent to falling prices. The luxury compared with 2007. Then came the 2007. Average prices amounted to year. RevPAR in January and February and resort segments are seeing the turning point with the financial crisis EUR 91, which was 6 percent higher closed at minus 23 percent, which is greatest decline over this period, with in the USA, which has spread across than in 2007. RevPAR in Berlin closed due to lower prices and reduced 26 and 21 percent respectively in the globe. In September, it left its at just under EUR 64 for 2008 as a occupancy in equal measure. 4
  • 5. Market information from Pandox 2008 was a turbulent year – the question is, where in the roller coaster are we now? Brussels ended the year with a Stockholm and Oslo started their Rev- minus 13 percent, and January is PAR growth for the year of 5 percent, RevPAR increase for the whole year of PAR decline at around the same time showing a RevPAR of minus 17 due entirely to price growth, and the 6 percent, which was due mainly to as London in September/October, and percent. last quarter of the year also showed price increases. However, the growth RevPAR for these cities fell by around growth. For January 2009, Malmö trend was broken back in October, 6 percent for the fourth quarter. Regional cities, Sweden fared slightly better than other regional and RevPAR for the last quarter Helsinki fared slightly better over the Gothenburg, which managed fairly cities with a RevPAR reduction of 8 showed a reduction of 9 percent quarter, with a RevPAR which fell by well in previous periods, is now follow- percent for the month, which was due compared with the fourth quarter of just under 5 percent. January has not ing the global trend, and in the autumn mainly to a reduction in occupancy 2007. This downward trend con- shown any stabilisation; rather, the of 2008 it saw the same decline in compared with January 2008. tinued in January and February 2009. rate of decline is increasing slightly for RevPAR as Stockholm – that is, minus The figures are gloomy more or less RevPAR has come out at minus 16 the Scandinavian capitals as well. 6 percent for the fourth quarter. For across the board. Viewed from a percent for the period, due mainly to Copenhagen, on the other hand, is the full year, RevPAR has closed at 3 historical perspective, credit crunches a reduction in occupancy. losing out in a big way, primarily in percent, due mostly to price increases. normally last for 24–30 months. So we terms of occupancy. This began back In January 2009, Gothenburg lost 19 will have to wait and see whether Scandinavia in October and has continued until percent in occupancy and just under 2 history is repeating itself – or whether As a rule, the Scandinavian countries January 31, 2009. Occupancy has percent in average price, resulting in a the pattern will be different this time? follow London when it comes to the fallen on average by more than 10 per- RevPAR reduction of 21 percent on economic situation of hotels. The cent compared with the same period of January 2008. Explanation: autumn of 2008 seems to be the rule the previous year. This has resulted in Malmö has still done fairly well. At RevPAR: Revenue per available room. that confirms the exception. RevPAR for the last quarter standing at the end of 2008, the city had a Rev- YTD: Year-to-date. RevPAR CHANGES IN LOCAL CURRENCY World Whole year 2008, % 4th quarter – 2008, % YTD Feb 2009, % Scandinavia Whole year 2008, % 4th quarter – 2008, % YTD Jan 2009, % New York 1 –15 –27 Copenhagen 0 –13 –17 London 2 –6 –9 Malmö 5 2 –8 Dubai 1 –5 –32 Gothenburg 3 –6 –21 New Delhi 6 –7 –39 Oslo 2 –6 –17 Sydney –1 –5 –11 Stockholm 3 –6 –15 Beijing –1 –34 –43 Helsinki –1 –5 –16 Tokyo –1 3 –10 São Paulo 14 15 –8 Buenos Aires 13 1 –8 5
  • 6. Market information from Pandox Pandox market barometer January 2009 The market barometer indicates the selected cities’ position in the business conditions, how the hotel market is evolving, and the extent to which the hotel cycle. The assessment is based on an analysis of each city. Consideration is property market is developing and has liquidity. It is important to note that the given to macro-developments, the trends of the hotel industry and business hotel business cycle is the same in its pattern but different in time. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE VARIOUS PHASES OF THE HOTEL BUSINESS CYCLE: GROWTH b Occupancy is rising relatively rapidly and rates have begun to increase. High WEAKENING DECLINE c The decline tapers off and RevPAR gradually levels out. This potential and low risk. phase is characterised by some potential and high risk. PEAK h Occupancy continues to rise and rates increase above inflation. Strong potential LEVEL OUT v Occupancy rises and rates remain unchanged. High potential with a and low risk that gradually increases to high risk. diminishing risk. DECLINE x Occupancy and rates decline due to lower demand or excess capacity. This phase is characterised by low potential and high risk. SWEdEN PEAK h x dEcliNE Malmö, Karlstad, Uppsala Sundsvall, Luleå, Umeå, Stockholm, Stockholm 5*, Jönköping, Gothenburg, Helsingborg, Lund groWTh b c WEAKENiNg dEcliNE v lEvEl ouT Comments – Sweden As the economic situation took an peaking over the three months. This is January 31, 2009. The municipalities and Karlstad have also entered the unusually rapid dive in the autumn, because average prices are still of Stockholm and Gothenburg are decline phase now. The only excep- we have this time chosen to focus on increasing slightly, while occupancy is demonstrating a fairly constant down- tion is Uppsala, which is balancing the shorter-term trend over three more or less in line with the same ward trend with a RevPAR develop- out. Occupancy is increasing here by months; November 2008 to January period last year; hence RevPAR is still ment over the three months of minus nearly 2 percent, average prices are 2009, instead of the longer, twelve- increasing slightly. 12 and 11 percent respectively. Other falling by about the same amount. month approach used for earlier Other selected cities have entered cities have also passed the peak now, This means that RevPAR is in line barometers. This is because we want the decline phase of the business and in most cases both occupancy with January 2008. to make the illustration of the situation cycle. Stockholm 5* has seen the and prices are on the decline. as current and as relevant as possible. most severe downward trend, with a A review of January on its own Malmö, Karlstad and Uppsala are RevPAR development of minus 18 shows that the rate of decline is the three major cities which are still percent over the three months up to increasing in all cities, and Malmö (Sources: Nutek and Statistics Sweden) iNTErNATioNAl PEAK h x dEcliNE Berlin, Oslo, Helsinki, London, Brussels, Paris, Copenhagen, Vienna, Amsterdam, Prague groWTh b c WEAKENiNg dEcliNE v lEvEl ouT Comments – International All the major cities in Europe are in minus 24 percent. It is mainly the fared best, with a decline of 6 here, too, with negative RevPAR for the decline. If we look at average develop- occupancy that has fallen in both percent. month of minus 25 and minus 22 ment over the three-month period, cases, but prices have also started to Development for January is showing percent respectively compared to the Amsterdam and Prague are seeing drop. Paris is hot on their heels, with a only that the rate of decline is increas- same month in 2008. the biggest decline in RevPAR for the decline of 20 percent for the period. ing across the board. Amsterdam and (Sources: Deloitte, Statistics Norway period November to January, with To date, Berlin is the city that has Prague are seeing the greatest declines and Statistics Finland) 6
  • 7. Market information from Pandox Trends in time Focus on the right things during the credit crunch The economic crisis is spreading one is a function and the other is a million users all over the world. “Hotel Murano won the HotelWorld throughout the market. Strength is purpose. Besides sharing your own updates, award for best lobby/public space needed if we are to continue, and Be keen to make sure your you can monitor other people or com- design in a full-service hotel.” we need to do this in the correct customer is happy. This is one of panies in order to view their informa- way. Every step becomes even more the advices which Bryan K. Williams tion. Stowe Boyd, the internationally “Stop by our Lobby Bar tonight to important when times are hard. gives to organisations wishing to renowned authority in business strat- visit Debra. First person to mention become more service-oriented. The egy and information technology, reck- this tweet will get their first drink When times are good, it is easy to staff have to be on their toes and ons that people should monitor at on us!” overlook a mistake or two. But during always prepared to help customers. least 100 people on Twitter. a downturn, one incorrect move can Be welcoming and create an atmo- A number of hotels and hotel All methods are good, except for the spell disaster. It can reduce profit- sphere of “inclusion” are another companies have already started bad ones. Bearing in mind that “out ability, destroy customer relations two advices from Mr. Williams. working on Twitter. Both Luxor in Las of sight, out of mind”, Twitter is a and, in a worst-case scenario, wreck An atmosphere of “inclusion” Vegas and Marriott International have new must. And in a credit crunch, the brand name. means involving all parties con- more than 3,000 followers. But the committing to producing 140 char- Cutting costs is a common way cerned. Try to create a relationship Brussels Welcome Hotel, with just 18 acters a day should be a simple trying to regain control in bad times. which reflects dynamic, two-way rooms, is also active on Twitter and decision to make.l However, focusing on income is communication rather than static has more than 550 followers. every bit as important. Offering delivery of a situation or a service. outstanding service and making There is a difference between a waiter Check the information flow and yourself visible are two simple ways asking what a customer would prefer free marketing of winning out in hard times. and then suggesting something from The advantages of Twitter are that it the menu, and a waiter who just goes is free to use and it takes hardly any Improving service up to the table and takes an order. time to manage. The service content Outstanding service reinforces is picked up by Google and so is customer relations. The likelihood of Start microblogging passed on even further. The hotel them choosing your hotel next time is Apart from enhancing the quality of industry is using this service to com- much greater than if you just do what the service, you can now also municate with customers and for they expect of you. Service mogul enhance your marketing – without marketing purposes. A view pub- Bryan K. Williams explains it by paying a penny. After blogging and lished by an unhappy customer on asking: What is the difference Facebook, comes Twitter. Twitter is the Internet can be rapidly inter- between a doorman holding a door a microblog in which every entry, cepted and rectified, and hence open for you – and a doorman known as a tweet, is allowed a damp down any rumours. welcoming you with a nice gesture? maximum of 140 characters. This More typical marketing Twitter Or, what is the difference between is a new way of creating contacts entries may include offers, current the house keeper changing the and keeping up to date. events at the hotel, or weather sheets and the house keeper making Interest in Twitter has grown at a reports. Hotel Murano in Washing- sure that the guest has a clean, record-breaking pace, and now the ton is being followed by 260 people Luxor Hotel in Las Vegas microbloggs at comfortable bed to sleep in? Well, service has between three and six and has written the following: Twitter, being followed by 3,000 people. did you KNoW... … you can now stay in hotel rooms 155 metres below ground at Sala Silvergruva (Sala Silver Mine), …you can now enjoy an atomic bomb-proof Christ- mas meal at “Lejonkulan Fest & Konferens” – in a Sundry facts from various corners of the hotel world visitors into a huge rock chamber with crystal chande- liers hanging from the ceiling. There is a dining room, in central Sweden. With this, the mine has earned converted old defence centre blasted into the rock at conference room and assembly room, and in the its stripes as an “Unusual Hotel Of The World” – in Laggarebacken near Alingsås in southern Sweden. longer term hotel rooms will be on offer as well. Mobile good company with the Jumbo Jets youth hostel at From the outside, this place really looks like nothing phones do not work inside Lejonkulan because above Arlanda airport, north of Stockholm. special, but a corridor 50 metres long then takes the vaulted ceiling is 24 metres of solid rock. … there is now a hotel for the true individualist; the … new ways of building hotels are being tried. Hotell Winvian in Connecticut, USA. Here, 15 Uxbridge, West London, is home to the first renowned architects have created the ultimate European hotel made out of containers. This 120- hotel rooms. Among other things, there is a room room hotel is made up of 86 steel containers. The built like a model of a Sikorsky HH37 Sea King double rooms consist of containers 5 x 3 metres in Pelican helicopter – but with a built-in bar. Other area, while larger family rooms are 3.5 x 6 metres themed rooms are a stable, a greenhouse, industry in size. These containers come from China, with and a log cabin. www.winvian.com bathrooms and windows already fitted. 7
  • 8. Market information from Pandox News from the Pandox sphere Pandox at IHIF in Berlin At the annual International Hotel Investment Forum (IHIF) conference, Pandox worked together with Pandox- owned Hotel Berlin in Berlin to arrange the IHIF Opening Reception. The topic was Swedish Midsummer celebra- tions, with food in picnic baskets arranged by two of Sweden’s most famous chefs: Melker Andersson and Danyel Couet. The evening was a big hit, with a sing-song, creative The Hotel Berlin and Pandox Famous chefs: Danyel Couet and Melker Andersson from hotel design and a show Midsummer-inspired celebration Christian Ringnes, Chairman of GRUPP F12 in Stockholm. inspired by ABBA. at IHIF. the Board at Pandox, and Anders Nissen, CEO at Pandox. Two new awards for Hotel BLOOM! Staffan Olsson to captain In December 2008, Hotel BLOOM! received the CAÏUS 2008 Award for team at World Championship companies contributing towards cultural and architectonic development in Sweden in 2011 in Belgium thanks to their creativity, dynamism and persistence. In With the support of the Swedish February, Hotel BLOOM! also received the Best Venue of the Year Award Olympic Committee, and together from Meeting Professionals International, Belgium Chapter, which has with Pandox, Swedish Handball more than 24,000 members in 80 countries. Congratulations! Association entered into an agreement with Staffan Olsson which makes it possible for him to stay in Sweden and continue leading the Swedish national Staffan Olsson, National coach for the team together with Ola Lindgren. Swedish Handball team. This agreement means that the important issue of who will be the team captain is resolved with regard to Sweden’s World Championship on home turf in 2011 and, in the longer term, to the Olympics in London in 2012. This resolution also means that Staffan Olsson will be continuing as a trainer for Hammarby Handball as well as working with marketing issues at Pandox. Warm welcome to Pandox! an tw New members of the family at Holiday Inn Brussels Airport Restaurant Thott’s in Malmö Ber erp Early in 2009, Holiday Inn Brussels Airport welcomed some new members to the family: Blobby and her two little ones. They have their awarded Silver in Swedens Best Table Bru s LIn e n hs e L s own little spot in the lobby and move positions every day. This little Radisson SAS Blu’s restaurant cop Lon family is much appreciated by both guests and staff. Thott’s in Malmö has been awarded Silver status in Sveriges Bästa Bord, age “Sweden’s Best Table”. Warmest congratulations to new kitchen mon n don manager Björn Nilsson, restaurant tr sto manager Peter Kindeberg and rest ckh eaL of the team! pa n oLm Radisson SAS Arlandia This hotel outside Stockholm is r e p o r t i n g o f b u s i n e s s dox o p e r a t i o n s continuing its environmental aware- f o r 2 0 0 8 ness initiatives with an extensive training programme for staff, new Annual report 2008 company cars running on biogas The Pandox annual report is now and ethanol, and ensuring that all completed and can, as usual, be consumables nowadays bear envi- viewed on our website or ordered ronmental labelling. Very inspiring! from pandox@pandox.com 8