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Snohomish County 2018
State of Health & Well-being
Individual view: Healthcare spikes just before death
Source: Robert Fogel, U. Chicago / AEI Forecasting the Cost of U.S. Healthcare, 2009
Source: Paul Fishbeck, Carnegie Mellon University, 2009
But others don’t experience the U.S. pattern.
AND most “high-cost patients” are not at end of life.
• They come in waves.
• In any given year,
only 11% of highest-
cost patients are in
their final year of life.
• 49% are having a
discrete high-cost
medical episode.
• 62% won’t be in the
top 5% next year.*
Source: AHRQ/HHS, 2011; adjusted to include nursing home population (NCHS, 2013); *NIHCM Foundation 2012.
These cycles of healthcare & cost repeat many times over a lifetime.
Cycle of Healthcare
We must disrupt the cycle itself.
© 2017 Scott Forslund/ Providence Institute for a Healthier Community All Rights Reserved
Framework for Strategic Focus
Outpatient Care
Acute / In-patient Care
Community Care –
Social Determinants
©2017ScottForslund/ProvidenceInstituteforaHealthierCommunityAllRightsReserved
Q1: Optimizing Well-
Being
Community Partnerships
Q2: Managing Risk
Community/ Healthcare
Partnerships
Acute
Care
Q3: Recovery &
Reconnection
Community/ Healthcare
Partnerships
Q4: Optimizing
Well-Being
Community
Partnerships
Central Questions of PIHC’s Health & Well-being Monitor™
How do our county residents define their health & well-
being? What resonates for them?
What factors do residents find important to health &
well-being?
How satisfied are they with their own health &well-
being?
8
Physical Health
Emotional
Health
Learning &
Growth
Financial
Security
Relationships
Community
Access:
Health Information
Access:
Medical Care
Access:
Transportation
Eating Patterns
Physical Activity Neighborhood
Safety
Housing
Quality
Access:
Healthy Food
Neighborhood:
Physical Condition
Meaningful
Work
Sense of Belonging
to a Community
Participation:
Community Events
Workplace
Atmosphere
Control Over
Life Events
Outlook on Life
Sense of Purpose
& Meaning
Treatment by
Others
Racial or Ethnic
Discrimination
Our community defined health/wellbeing 24 ways
Security & Basic Needs: from the TotalHEALTH™ 7
30% of county
respondents
lack at least 1
basic need.
Education
accounted for
about half.
#1 Factor- Personal Impact:
Relationships with
Family and Friends
24 attributes map to Six Dimensions of Health & Well-being…
…creating our roadmap to population health
Tailored Community HWB Monitor™
• A snapshot of your own community health
& well-being
• Benchmarks to compare to the county or
similar communities
• Insights into focus areas for improvement
• Access to hyperlocal tools & resources
• A way to monitor progress over time
Countywide HWB Monitor Goal:
• A standard measure of health & well-
being for our county
• Defined by our residents
• Monitor & report changes annually
• Unprecedented local insights
• Help Snohomish County flourish
A standard for health & well-being available to all
Core4™ Index: Down slightly in 2018
**Significant decline
Core4™ predicts poor physical health days
Core4™ predicts poor mental health days
Core4™ predicts debilitating health days
2018 Core4™ Health & Well-being Index: “C”
Scale: 0...1…2...3…4...5…6…7..8...9...10
2018:
75%
2017:
77% Flourishing
”A”
Moderate-Good
”B-C”
Struggling
”F”
Challenged
”D”
Measuring ‘Can Do’
Bandura
SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c
When it comes to improving my health I could be doing …
I could have a significant influence on decisions being made in my community
26% 25%49%
Measuring ‘Can Do’
Bandura
SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c
19K
24K
13K
100K
81K
168K
71K
71K
173K
19K
37K
52K
216K
209K
406K
315K349K57K 109K
HWB Index: 37% HWB Index: 67% HWB Index: 84% HWB Index: 97%
Measuring ‘Can Do’
Bandura
SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c
Getting By: 100K
Getting Traction
305K
Getting There
316K
Getting Kudos: 108K
Negative: Struggling to Challenged Positive: Good to Flourishing
NO
MORE
CAN
DO
MORE
The Can-Do Progression
GETTING BY 12% / 100,000 people
GETTING TRACTION 37% / 305,000 people
GETTING THERE 38% / 316,000 people
GETTING KUDOS 13% / 109,000 people
GIVING BACK
HWB Index: 59%
HWB Index: 65%
HWB Index: 86%
HWB Index: 91%
HWB Index: 97%
Measuring ‘Can Do’
Bandura
SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c
Getting By: 100K
Getting Traction
305K
Getting There
316K
Getting Kudos: 108K
Struggling to Challenged Good to Flourishing
NO
MORE
CAN
DO
MORE
Snohomish County ‘18 Highlights: Six Dimensions of Health™
Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting BY: BETTY
Bandura
SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c
Getting By: 100K
Struggling to Challenged Good to Flourishing
NO
MORE
CAN
DO
MORE
Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting By / “Betty”
HWB Index: 47% (F) “Struggling”
Age: 57 years old (62% >55)
Race: Caucasian (10% POC vs. 19% pop)
Gender: 57% female
Relationships:
• Single, living alone (87% no kids)
• Relationship difficulties (40%)
• Isolated, not part of community (52%)
• No sense of community efficacy (55%)
Mental/emotional/spiritual:
• Struggling emotionally (52%)
• 3+ poor mental health days/mo (53%)
Neighborhood & Environment
• Very dissatisfied (41%, 2x population)
• 0 exercise days/week (30%, 2x pop)
Work/Learning & Growth:
• Education: High School (77% no college)
• Low income, $ insecure (66% <$25k/pc)
• Part-time job, troubles (46%)
• No sense of opps for growth (40%)
Security/Basic Needs:
• Housing concerns, Food insecurity (42%)
• Social Needs (42% with 1+ SDOH needs)
Physical Health:
• Not happy with physical health (65%)
• Chronic medical condition (55%)
• 3+ poor health days/month
• Sedentary; no exercise
• <7 hours sleep most days (4x pop avg)
“Just Getting By”: 100K people (12% of county), predominantly Everett, Marysville, Arlington/northeast
Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting Traction: TRACY
Bandura
SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c
Getting Traction
305K
Struggling to Challenged Good to Flourishing
NO
MORE
CAN
DO
MORE
Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting Traction/ “Tracy”
HWB Index: 64% “D” Challenged
Age: 29 (#2nd Millennials cohort @ 30%)
Race: Caucasian (13% POC vs. 19% pop)
Gender: 57% female
Relationships:
• Married, 2 kids (35% couples/kids)
• Relationship OK (25% excel vs. 45%)
• Not community connected - yet (56%)
• Lowest community efficacy (63% no)
Mental/emotional/spiritual:
• Emotional challenges (41%)
• Struggle w/ purpose (72% “no/some”)
• 3+ poor mental health days/mo (52%)
Neighborhood & Environment
• OK (41% Unhappy, 2x population)
Work/Learning & Growth:
• Education: HS, college (like pop overall)
• Low income, $ insecure (44% <$25k/pc)
• Risk of job loss (17%; 2x population)
• Sees opps for growth (43% positive)
Security/Basic Needs:
• High Social Needs (40%; @ 2x overall
population)
• ~Education, transportation, job
Physical Health:
• Highest phys hlth dissatisfaction (70%)
• Risk of Chronic medical condition (42%)
• 1+ poor health days/month (63%)
• Workout 1-3 days/wk (53%)
• <7 hours sleep 1-3 days/wk (39%)
“Getting Traction”: 305K people (37% of county), predominantly Everett, Monroe-east, Lake Stevens/Granite, Marysville
Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting There: TED
Bandura
SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c
Getting There
316K
Struggling to Challenged Good to Flourishing
NO
MORE
CAN
DO
MORE
Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting There/ “Ted”
HWB Index: 86% “B” Good
Age: 39 (Highest Millennials cohort @ 32%)
Race: African Amer (32% POC)
Gender: 55% male
Relationships:
• Married, 1 child (73% couples/kids)
• Excellent relationships (68% v. 45% pop)
• Community connected - yet (65%)
• Solid community efficacy (61%)
Mental/emotional/spiritual:
• Mental/emotionally stable (98% pos.)
• Hi purpose/meaning (55% “fits exact”)
• 0-1 poor mental health day/mo (56%=0)
Neighborhood & Environment
• Good (11% Unhappy, half county rate)
Work/Learning & Growth:
• Education: college grad (highest
college/grad school rate @ 43%)
• Good income, $ secure (48%
>$100K/HH; 3% job worries)
• Strong job satis (85% positive)
• Strong learning/growth (56% “excell”)
Security/Basic Needs:
• Rare social needs (97% 0-1)
Physical Health:
• Satisfied (55% moderate; 45% highly)
• No medical condition (80%)
• Rare poor health days/mo (60%=0)
• Workout 4-6+ days/wk (68%=4+)
• <7 hours sleep most days/wk (70%)
“Getting There”: 316K people (37% of county), predominantly Bothell, Edmonds, Snohomish
Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting Kudos: KURT
Bandura
SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c
Struggling to Challenged Good to Flourishing
NO
MORE
CAN
DO
MORE
Getting Kudos: 109K
Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting Kudos/ “Kurt”
HWB Index: 91% “A-” Flourishing
Age: 54 (66% 35-64)
Race: Caucasian (7% POC vs. 19% pop)
Gender: 59% male
Relationships:
• Couple no kids home (49% - highest)
• Relations thriving (76% excel vs. 45%)
• Deep community (57% “exactly”)
• Highest community efficacy (75% yes)
Mental/emotional/spiritual:
• Emotionally thriving (72%; 2x pop)
• Hi life purpose/meaning (88% “exact”)
• 0 poor mental health days/mo (71%)
Neighborhood & Environment
• Loves it (71%, 1.7x avg population)
Work/Learning & Growth:
• Education: Some college (44%, highest)
• Income, $ insecure (49% >100k/PC)
• No job fears (99%)
• Hi growth potential (91% positive)
Security/Basic Needs:
• No basic/social Needs (98%)
• Excellent healthcare access (87%)
Physical Health:
• Highly satisfied (64% ‘excel’)
• No chronic medical condition (78%)
• Fewest poor health days/mo (75%=0)
• Workout near daily (45% daily; highest)
• Most sleep (49%=7+ hrs daily;
75%=most days)
“Getting Kudos”: 109K people (13% of county), predominantly Arlington, Lynnwood, Snohomish
What would make life better?
*
*
Discrimination: major rise in ‘18
Physical health
• Chronic inflammation
• High blood pressure*
• Diabetes*
• Declines in kidney function*
• Increased breast cancer*
• Heart disease*
• Stroke*
Mental/emotional well-being
• Chronic stress
• Mental health issues such as anxiety
and depression in children
• Loneliness**
• Bereavement**
• PTSD**
• Dementia**
Discrimination Rising: strongest biological
impact on youth, life-time results
*Franceschi & Campisi, 2014
**Slavich & Cole, 2013
Discrimination is poisoning
our children.
Discrimination, Well-being, and Health
“A threatening childhood and adolescent milieu indicates
a need to be vigilant and on guard…
…fosters calibration of the immune system
to a hypersensitive mode.
This early programming is predicted to:
• foster vigilance and elevated inflammation through-out the life course.
• amplify the effects of adult exposure to potentially racist events.”
Source: Simons, Barr, Gibbons, October 2018
Discrimination, Well-being, and Health
“A medical/public health model that
restricts its focus to increasing socio-economic
status and reducing health risk behaviors
is likely to have little impact
on the ill health
of Black Americans.”
Source: Simons, Barr, Gibbons, October 2018
• National Association for the
Advancement of Colored People (NAACP)
• Greater Trinity Academy & Church
• Forest Park SDA Church
• Latino Educational Training Institute
• Community Health Center of Snohomish
County
• United Way Collaborative: Improving
School Attendance for Families in
Transition
• Everett AMEN Clinic (medical &
community)
• Cascade Valley Health Foundation
(Stilly Valley)
• Interfaith
• Everett Housing Authority
• Providence Northwest Service Area
Community HWBM – underway & exploring in 2018
Edge of Amazing: Health & Well-being Monitor 2018 Results

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Edge of Amazing: Health & Well-being Monitor 2018 Results

  • 1. Snohomish County 2018 State of Health & Well-being
  • 2. Individual view: Healthcare spikes just before death Source: Robert Fogel, U. Chicago / AEI Forecasting the Cost of U.S. Healthcare, 2009
  • 3. Source: Paul Fishbeck, Carnegie Mellon University, 2009 But others don’t experience the U.S. pattern.
  • 4. AND most “high-cost patients” are not at end of life. • They come in waves. • In any given year, only 11% of highest- cost patients are in their final year of life. • 49% are having a discrete high-cost medical episode. • 62% won’t be in the top 5% next year.* Source: AHRQ/HHS, 2011; adjusted to include nursing home population (NCHS, 2013); *NIHCM Foundation 2012.
  • 5. These cycles of healthcare & cost repeat many times over a lifetime.
  • 6. Cycle of Healthcare We must disrupt the cycle itself. © 2017 Scott Forslund/ Providence Institute for a Healthier Community All Rights Reserved
  • 7. Framework for Strategic Focus Outpatient Care Acute / In-patient Care Community Care – Social Determinants ©2017ScottForslund/ProvidenceInstituteforaHealthierCommunityAllRightsReserved Q1: Optimizing Well- Being Community Partnerships Q2: Managing Risk Community/ Healthcare Partnerships Acute Care Q3: Recovery & Reconnection Community/ Healthcare Partnerships Q4: Optimizing Well-Being Community Partnerships
  • 8. Central Questions of PIHC’s Health & Well-being Monitor™ How do our county residents define their health & well- being? What resonates for them? What factors do residents find important to health & well-being? How satisfied are they with their own health &well- being? 8
  • 9. Physical Health Emotional Health Learning & Growth Financial Security Relationships Community Access: Health Information Access: Medical Care Access: Transportation Eating Patterns Physical Activity Neighborhood Safety Housing Quality Access: Healthy Food Neighborhood: Physical Condition Meaningful Work Sense of Belonging to a Community Participation: Community Events Workplace Atmosphere Control Over Life Events Outlook on Life Sense of Purpose & Meaning Treatment by Others Racial or Ethnic Discrimination Our community defined health/wellbeing 24 ways
  • 10. Security & Basic Needs: from the TotalHEALTH™ 7 30% of county respondents lack at least 1 basic need. Education accounted for about half.
  • 11. #1 Factor- Personal Impact: Relationships with Family and Friends
  • 12. 24 attributes map to Six Dimensions of Health & Well-being… …creating our roadmap to population health
  • 13. Tailored Community HWB Monitor™ • A snapshot of your own community health & well-being • Benchmarks to compare to the county or similar communities • Insights into focus areas for improvement • Access to hyperlocal tools & resources • A way to monitor progress over time Countywide HWB Monitor Goal: • A standard measure of health & well- being for our county • Defined by our residents • Monitor & report changes annually • Unprecedented local insights • Help Snohomish County flourish A standard for health & well-being available to all
  • 14. Core4™ Index: Down slightly in 2018 **Significant decline
  • 15. Core4™ predicts poor physical health days
  • 16. Core4™ predicts poor mental health days
  • 18. 2018 Core4™ Health & Well-being Index: “C” Scale: 0...1…2...3…4...5…6…7..8...9...10 2018: 75% 2017: 77% Flourishing ”A” Moderate-Good ”B-C” Struggling ”F” Challenged ”D”
  • 19. Measuring ‘Can Do’ Bandura SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c When it comes to improving my health I could be doing … I could have a significant influence on decisions being made in my community 26% 25%49%
  • 21. Measuring ‘Can Do’ Bandura SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c Getting By: 100K Getting Traction 305K Getting There 316K Getting Kudos: 108K Negative: Struggling to Challenged Positive: Good to Flourishing NO MORE CAN DO MORE
  • 22. The Can-Do Progression GETTING BY 12% / 100,000 people GETTING TRACTION 37% / 305,000 people GETTING THERE 38% / 316,000 people GETTING KUDOS 13% / 109,000 people GIVING BACK HWB Index: 59% HWB Index: 65% HWB Index: 86% HWB Index: 91% HWB Index: 97%
  • 23. Measuring ‘Can Do’ Bandura SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c Getting By: 100K Getting Traction 305K Getting There 316K Getting Kudos: 108K Struggling to Challenged Good to Flourishing NO MORE CAN DO MORE
  • 24. Snohomish County ‘18 Highlights: Six Dimensions of Health™
  • 25. Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting BY: BETTY Bandura SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c Getting By: 100K Struggling to Challenged Good to Flourishing NO MORE CAN DO MORE
  • 26. Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting By / “Betty” HWB Index: 47% (F) “Struggling” Age: 57 years old (62% >55) Race: Caucasian (10% POC vs. 19% pop) Gender: 57% female Relationships: • Single, living alone (87% no kids) • Relationship difficulties (40%) • Isolated, not part of community (52%) • No sense of community efficacy (55%) Mental/emotional/spiritual: • Struggling emotionally (52%) • 3+ poor mental health days/mo (53%) Neighborhood & Environment • Very dissatisfied (41%, 2x population) • 0 exercise days/week (30%, 2x pop) Work/Learning & Growth: • Education: High School (77% no college) • Low income, $ insecure (66% <$25k/pc) • Part-time job, troubles (46%) • No sense of opps for growth (40%) Security/Basic Needs: • Housing concerns, Food insecurity (42%) • Social Needs (42% with 1+ SDOH needs) Physical Health: • Not happy with physical health (65%) • Chronic medical condition (55%) • 3+ poor health days/month • Sedentary; no exercise • <7 hours sleep most days (4x pop avg) “Just Getting By”: 100K people (12% of county), predominantly Everett, Marysville, Arlington/northeast
  • 27. Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting Traction: TRACY Bandura SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c Getting Traction 305K Struggling to Challenged Good to Flourishing NO MORE CAN DO MORE
  • 28. Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting Traction/ “Tracy” HWB Index: 64% “D” Challenged Age: 29 (#2nd Millennials cohort @ 30%) Race: Caucasian (13% POC vs. 19% pop) Gender: 57% female Relationships: • Married, 2 kids (35% couples/kids) • Relationship OK (25% excel vs. 45%) • Not community connected - yet (56%) • Lowest community efficacy (63% no) Mental/emotional/spiritual: • Emotional challenges (41%) • Struggle w/ purpose (72% “no/some”) • 3+ poor mental health days/mo (52%) Neighborhood & Environment • OK (41% Unhappy, 2x population) Work/Learning & Growth: • Education: HS, college (like pop overall) • Low income, $ insecure (44% <$25k/pc) • Risk of job loss (17%; 2x population) • Sees opps for growth (43% positive) Security/Basic Needs: • High Social Needs (40%; @ 2x overall population) • ~Education, transportation, job Physical Health: • Highest phys hlth dissatisfaction (70%) • Risk of Chronic medical condition (42%) • 1+ poor health days/month (63%) • Workout 1-3 days/wk (53%) • <7 hours sleep 1-3 days/wk (39%) “Getting Traction”: 305K people (37% of county), predominantly Everett, Monroe-east, Lake Stevens/Granite, Marysville
  • 29. Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting There: TED Bandura SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c Getting There 316K Struggling to Challenged Good to Flourishing NO MORE CAN DO MORE
  • 30. Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting There/ “Ted” HWB Index: 86% “B” Good Age: 39 (Highest Millennials cohort @ 32%) Race: African Amer (32% POC) Gender: 55% male Relationships: • Married, 1 child (73% couples/kids) • Excellent relationships (68% v. 45% pop) • Community connected - yet (65%) • Solid community efficacy (61%) Mental/emotional/spiritual: • Mental/emotionally stable (98% pos.) • Hi purpose/meaning (55% “fits exact”) • 0-1 poor mental health day/mo (56%=0) Neighborhood & Environment • Good (11% Unhappy, half county rate) Work/Learning & Growth: • Education: college grad (highest college/grad school rate @ 43%) • Good income, $ secure (48% >$100K/HH; 3% job worries) • Strong job satis (85% positive) • Strong learning/growth (56% “excell”) Security/Basic Needs: • Rare social needs (97% 0-1) Physical Health: • Satisfied (55% moderate; 45% highly) • No medical condition (80%) • Rare poor health days/mo (60%=0) • Workout 4-6+ days/wk (68%=4+) • <7 hours sleep most days/wk (70%) “Getting There”: 316K people (37% of county), predominantly Bothell, Edmonds, Snohomish
  • 31. Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting Kudos: KURT Bandura SeeToplineQuestionsQ18,Q8c Struggling to Challenged Good to Flourishing NO MORE CAN DO MORE Getting Kudos: 109K
  • 32. Measuring ‘Can Do’: Getting Kudos/ “Kurt” HWB Index: 91% “A-” Flourishing Age: 54 (66% 35-64) Race: Caucasian (7% POC vs. 19% pop) Gender: 59% male Relationships: • Couple no kids home (49% - highest) • Relations thriving (76% excel vs. 45%) • Deep community (57% “exactly”) • Highest community efficacy (75% yes) Mental/emotional/spiritual: • Emotionally thriving (72%; 2x pop) • Hi life purpose/meaning (88% “exact”) • 0 poor mental health days/mo (71%) Neighborhood & Environment • Loves it (71%, 1.7x avg population) Work/Learning & Growth: • Education: Some college (44%, highest) • Income, $ insecure (49% >100k/PC) • No job fears (99%) • Hi growth potential (91% positive) Security/Basic Needs: • No basic/social Needs (98%) • Excellent healthcare access (87%) Physical Health: • Highly satisfied (64% ‘excel’) • No chronic medical condition (78%) • Fewest poor health days/mo (75%=0) • Workout near daily (45% daily; highest) • Most sleep (49%=7+ hrs daily; 75%=most days) “Getting Kudos”: 109K people (13% of county), predominantly Arlington, Lynnwood, Snohomish
  • 33. What would make life better? * *
  • 35. Physical health • Chronic inflammation • High blood pressure* • Diabetes* • Declines in kidney function* • Increased breast cancer* • Heart disease* • Stroke* Mental/emotional well-being • Chronic stress • Mental health issues such as anxiety and depression in children • Loneliness** • Bereavement** • PTSD** • Dementia** Discrimination Rising: strongest biological impact on youth, life-time results *Franceschi & Campisi, 2014 **Slavich & Cole, 2013
  • 37. Discrimination, Well-being, and Health “A threatening childhood and adolescent milieu indicates a need to be vigilant and on guard… …fosters calibration of the immune system to a hypersensitive mode. This early programming is predicted to: • foster vigilance and elevated inflammation through-out the life course. • amplify the effects of adult exposure to potentially racist events.” Source: Simons, Barr, Gibbons, October 2018
  • 38. Discrimination, Well-being, and Health “A medical/public health model that restricts its focus to increasing socio-economic status and reducing health risk behaviors is likely to have little impact on the ill health of Black Americans.” Source: Simons, Barr, Gibbons, October 2018
  • 39. • National Association for the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP) • Greater Trinity Academy & Church • Forest Park SDA Church • Latino Educational Training Institute • Community Health Center of Snohomish County • United Way Collaborative: Improving School Attendance for Families in Transition • Everett AMEN Clinic (medical & community) • Cascade Valley Health Foundation (Stilly Valley) • Interfaith • Everett Housing Authority • Providence Northwest Service Area Community HWBM – underway & exploring in 2018