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Understanding, Forecasting And Communicating
  The Linkages Between Hypoxia And Ocean
   Acidification In Oregon's Coastal Ocean
                Francis Chan1,Kristen Milligan1, Jack Barth2
             1Department   of Zoology, Oregon State University
2College of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University
The Problem from 35,000 feet: Hypoxia and Ocean
Acidification are Leading Pathways of Ecosystem Changes


                                               Changes in aragonite solubility




                             % oxygen change




Oschlies et al. GBC 2008                       Feely et al. Oceanography 2009
Locally, Oregon’s coastal ocean is facing these
              changes today…and they are closely connected

                                             ocean acidification
pCO2 (μatm)




                                                                   DO (ml l-1)
                                                     hypoxia


                SH-70 mooring
1. Where and when are hypoxia and OA
most strongly coupled?

[Are there hot spots (and refuges) where
this multi-stressor problem is most
strongly (weakly) felt?]
Why do we ask this?
1-biologically, OA and hypoxia stress can be interactive
                             2- we already see a mosaic-like
                             pattern of hypoxia stress
                                                       GLODAP
                                                       NE Pacific




                                Aragonite Solubility
                 Pierce
                 and
                 Barth
                 (in
                 prep)




                                                                    DO (umol kg-1)

                          3- hypoxia and OA stress are not
                          perfectly coupled (*especially in the
2. What forcings drive the variation in
hypoxia-OA coupling?

[What will we face in the future, and how
fast will these changes came?]
Why do we ask this?
 1- Bigger and faster changes in the coastal ocean (?)
                                                            observed




                      Dore et al. 2008




                       ca. 20 umol
                       kg-1 DIC
                       increase

                                          Modeled (w/wind and sourcewater)
                       2- Nearshore hypoxia sensitive to changes in
                       open ocean oxygen content and upwelling wind
 Pierce et al. 2012    forcing (both climate sensitive features)
A Central OR OA-Hypoxia Observing Array
Coast-Wide Synergies   NOAA National OA Plan
Some Outreach Challenges:
•Ocean acidification is causing dead zones

•OA is a remote tropical island problem

•OA and hypoxia will wipe out any benefits of
reserves

•www.Ilovecarbondioxide.com
Where do we want to get to collectively

•Enhance Oregon as a model system for OA-
hypoxia research (OA-hypoxia Townhalls)

•Inform the public with the best available science
(and messaging in the most effective way)

•Inform policy with the best available science

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Hypoxia and Ocean Acidification project

  • 1. Understanding, Forecasting And Communicating The Linkages Between Hypoxia And Ocean Acidification In Oregon's Coastal Ocean Francis Chan1,Kristen Milligan1, Jack Barth2 1Department of Zoology, Oregon State University 2College of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University
  • 2. The Problem from 35,000 feet: Hypoxia and Ocean Acidification are Leading Pathways of Ecosystem Changes Changes in aragonite solubility % oxygen change Oschlies et al. GBC 2008 Feely et al. Oceanography 2009
  • 3. Locally, Oregon’s coastal ocean is facing these changes today…and they are closely connected ocean acidification pCO2 (μatm) DO (ml l-1) hypoxia SH-70 mooring
  • 4. 1. Where and when are hypoxia and OA most strongly coupled? [Are there hot spots (and refuges) where this multi-stressor problem is most strongly (weakly) felt?]
  • 5. Why do we ask this? 1-biologically, OA and hypoxia stress can be interactive 2- we already see a mosaic-like pattern of hypoxia stress GLODAP NE Pacific Aragonite Solubility Pierce and Barth (in prep) DO (umol kg-1) 3- hypoxia and OA stress are not perfectly coupled (*especially in the
  • 6. 2. What forcings drive the variation in hypoxia-OA coupling? [What will we face in the future, and how fast will these changes came?]
  • 7. Why do we ask this? 1- Bigger and faster changes in the coastal ocean (?) observed Dore et al. 2008 ca. 20 umol kg-1 DIC increase Modeled (w/wind and sourcewater) 2- Nearshore hypoxia sensitive to changes in open ocean oxygen content and upwelling wind Pierce et al. 2012 forcing (both climate sensitive features)
  • 8. A Central OR OA-Hypoxia Observing Array
  • 9. Coast-Wide Synergies NOAA National OA Plan
  • 10. Some Outreach Challenges: •Ocean acidification is causing dead zones •OA is a remote tropical island problem •OA and hypoxia will wipe out any benefits of reserves •www.Ilovecarbondioxide.com
  • 11. Where do we want to get to collectively •Enhance Oregon as a model system for OA- hypoxia research (OA-hypoxia Townhalls) •Inform the public with the best available science (and messaging in the most effective way) •Inform policy with the best available science