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Weather Briefing
       Mixed Winter Storm Event
        February 26 - 27 , 2013



Prepared 300 PM EST – Monday, February 25th, 2013
                    Joe Miketta
          NOAA’s National Weather Service
      Philadelphia/Mt. Holly NJ Forecast Office
           http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/
                                         National Weather Service
                                         Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
Purpose of Briefing

        • Briefing #1 for event.
        • Promote situational
          awareness for emergency
          management community &
          partners
        • Provide guidance for
          planning efforts
        • Briefing applies to Mount
          Holly service area – shaded
          in green on map


                          National Weather Service
                          Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
Executive Summary
• Precipitation is expected to move in from the southwest Tuesday afternoon just before or
during the afternoon commute. Mostly rain is expected everywhere into the early evening
hours, with a changeover to frozen precipitation north and west of the Philadelphia metro
area. Specifically :
      •All rain is expected south and east of I-95
      •A mixture of rain…freezing rain…and sleet is possible in southeast PA and central NJ
      (away from the coast), with no significant accumulation
      •A prolonged period of freezing rain…sleet and snow is possible north of the I-78 corridor
      Tuesday night. Between ¼ and ½ inch of ice accumulation is possible in the highest
      elevations in this area, with up to 4 inches of snow. Winter Storm Watches have been
      issued . See maps on following 4 pages. Most of the afternoon commute should be ok.
• 1 to 1.5 inches of rain is expected in some areas, so urban and small stream flooding is a
possibility, generally south of the I-78 corridor.
• Southeast winds will increase steadily on Tuesday afternoon to the 15 to 25 mph range, with
gusts up to 45 MPH. These winds will be distributed across the Mount Holly CWA, and will
continue through most of the Tuesday overnight hours.
• With a strong onshore flow and full moon, tidal flooding is a concern on the ocean front,
Delaware Bay, tidal Delaware River, and Raritan Bay. There is a lower probability of flooding
along the eastern shore of the Chesapeake Bay.
• Another briefing package will be issued around noon on Tuesday.
      •For the latest forecast & warning information, monitor our website at:
•                 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/
                                                                           National Weather Service
                                                                           Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
Winter Storm Watch (Blue Counties) for Tuesday Afternoon through Wednesday Morning




                                                                 National Weather Service
                                                                 Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
0.4 to 0.6 inches
      (green area).


 Ice Accumulation
 Forecast through
Wednesday morning




               National Weather Service
               Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
Snow forecast –
through Wednesday
     morning.




          National Weather Service
          Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
Liquid – Equivalent Precipitation Expected through 1 PM Thursday




                                                            National Weather Service
                                                            Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
Questions?
• For the latest information, visit our website at
  http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/
• Our latest briefing package is available from our website at:
• http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf

• If you wish to be notified when a briefing package is issued, you can
  follow us on social media where we post the notice.
• You can 'friend' us on Facebook at: US National Weather Service
  Philadelphia/Mount Holly
• You can follow us on Twitter at: @NWS_MountHolly

• If you have any questions, please contact us.
• Gary.Szatkowski@noaa.gov
    – Office 609-261-6602 x222
• Joseph.Miketta@noaa.gov
    – Office 609-261-6602 x223

                                                         National Weather Service
                                                         Philadelphia/Mt. Holly

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Cape May County weather briefing 2-25-13

  • 1. Weather Briefing Mixed Winter Storm Event February 26 - 27 , 2013 Prepared 300 PM EST – Monday, February 25th, 2013 Joe Miketta NOAA’s National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly NJ Forecast Office http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/ National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
  • 2. Purpose of Briefing • Briefing #1 for event. • Promote situational awareness for emergency management community & partners • Provide guidance for planning efforts • Briefing applies to Mount Holly service area – shaded in green on map National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
  • 3. Executive Summary • Precipitation is expected to move in from the southwest Tuesday afternoon just before or during the afternoon commute. Mostly rain is expected everywhere into the early evening hours, with a changeover to frozen precipitation north and west of the Philadelphia metro area. Specifically : •All rain is expected south and east of I-95 •A mixture of rain…freezing rain…and sleet is possible in southeast PA and central NJ (away from the coast), with no significant accumulation •A prolonged period of freezing rain…sleet and snow is possible north of the I-78 corridor Tuesday night. Between ¼ and ½ inch of ice accumulation is possible in the highest elevations in this area, with up to 4 inches of snow. Winter Storm Watches have been issued . See maps on following 4 pages. Most of the afternoon commute should be ok. • 1 to 1.5 inches of rain is expected in some areas, so urban and small stream flooding is a possibility, generally south of the I-78 corridor. • Southeast winds will increase steadily on Tuesday afternoon to the 15 to 25 mph range, with gusts up to 45 MPH. These winds will be distributed across the Mount Holly CWA, and will continue through most of the Tuesday overnight hours. • With a strong onshore flow and full moon, tidal flooding is a concern on the ocean front, Delaware Bay, tidal Delaware River, and Raritan Bay. There is a lower probability of flooding along the eastern shore of the Chesapeake Bay. • Another briefing package will be issued around noon on Tuesday. •For the latest forecast & warning information, monitor our website at: • http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/ National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
  • 4. Winter Storm Watch (Blue Counties) for Tuesday Afternoon through Wednesday Morning National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
  • 5. 0.4 to 0.6 inches (green area). Ice Accumulation Forecast through Wednesday morning National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
  • 6. Snow forecast – through Wednesday morning. National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
  • 7. Liquid – Equivalent Precipitation Expected through 1 PM Thursday National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly
  • 8. Questions? • For the latest information, visit our website at http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/ • Our latest briefing package is available from our website at: • http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf • If you wish to be notified when a briefing package is issued, you can follow us on social media where we post the notice. • You can 'friend' us on Facebook at: US National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mount Holly • You can follow us on Twitter at: @NWS_MountHolly • If you have any questions, please contact us. • Gary.Szatkowski@noaa.gov – Office 609-261-6602 x222 • Joseph.Miketta@noaa.gov – Office 609-261-6602 x223 National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly