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Judging Science & Prior Knowledge
Beyond the Line
Roohi B. Obaid
22 September 2022
Disclaimer
We discuss science, nothing more, nothing less
It is experience based learning expression received during
last 25 years while dealing hundreds of foreign & domestic
inspections, regulatory compliance & enforcements, dozen
of meetings with international experts (FDA, EU, Japan,
Canada, MHRA) etc. etc.
Thoughts represent the current thinking of
Centre for Quality Sciences
Obaid Ali & Roohi B. Obaid
April 2021 April 2022
April 2021 April 2022
16 Sept 2022
April 2021 April 2022
16 Sept 2022
Is something bigger than these challenges …
Corporate companies, FDA, Critical time, highest technology
Disease
Drugs Vaccine
Drug disease relation
New Drug
• Non Clinical Studies
• Clinical Studies
• Product Development
• Technology Transfer
• Process Validation
• Commercial Manufacturing
• Change Management
• Periodical Reviews
• Knowledge Management
• Life cycle
Generic Drug
Product Development &
Bio-studies only
Relation between New & Generic Drug
New Generic
Bio-studies of generic are surrogate for all
clinical studies done by innovator
• Non Clinical Studies
• Clinical Studies ….. BioStudies
• Product Development
• Technology Transfer
• Process Validation
• Commercial Manufacturing
• Change Management
• Periodical Reviews
• Knowledge Management
• Life cycle
G
M
P
Zone
1 2 3
Technology Transfer Process Validation Controlled Manufacturing
GMP Zone
A B C
Specifications Critical Processing Parameters Critical Quality Attributes
How …….
All products that were
recalled or withdrawn
anywhere, were released
after testing
Remember, quality cannot
be tested but it should be
built in the product
Drug which is
tested is not used
&
The drug which
is used is not
tested
Dose 500 mg / day for adult
Dose 500 mg / day for adult
Assay limit
95 – 105%
Dose 500 mg / day for adult
Assay limit
95 – 105%
Dose 500 mg / day for adult
Assay limit
95 – 105%
Means
475 – 525 mg
Dose 500 mg / day for adult
01 02 03 04
Dose 500 mg / day for adult
01 02 03 04
Dose 500 mg / day for adult
Male
50 kg
Male
100 kg
Female
45 kg
Female
90 kg
01 02 03 04
Dose 500 mg / day for adult
Male
50 kg
Male
100 kg
Female
45 kg
Female
90 kg
01 02 03 04
Dose 500 mg / day for adult
Male
50 kg
Male
100 kg
Female
45 kg
Female
90 kg
01 02 03 04
Dose 500 mg / day for adult
Male
50 kg
Male
100 kg
Female
45 kg
Female
90 kg
10 mg 5 mg
01 02 03 04
Dose 500 mg / day for adult
Male
50 kg
Male
100 kg
Female
45 kg
Female
90 kg
10 mg 5 mg 8 mg 4 mg
5%
150%
Learning
Space
5%
150%
Taste is different
If …
What, How &
How Much
Taste is different
If …
What, How &
How Much
Taste is different
If …
What, How &
How Much
Learning
Space
Consistent
Pure
< ZERO
Mix up
DRUG
1 2 3
Consistent
Pure
< ZERO
Mix up
DRUG
1 2 3
Batch after Batch
Within Batch
Time after Time
Contamination
Carcinogenic
Hypersensitivity reactions
Teratogenic effect
Hormonal complications
Infections
Injury
……..
Mix up Life crisis
Effect
Cause
Cause
Effect
Cause and effect are
self-evident, don’t
need specialized
education, training
and experience to
know what causes
what.
Cause
Effect
Cause and effect are
self-evident, don’t
need specialized
education, training
and experience to
know what causes
what.
Simple System
Cause
Effect
Multivariate
Multiple causes & effects
Interactions and
multiple
interrelationships
This needs good
practices, process
validation, scientific
education, training and
experience.
Cause
Effect
Multivariate
Multiple causes & effects
Interactions and
multiple
interrelationships
This needs good
practices, process
validation, scientific
education, training and
experience.
Complicated System
Cause
Effect
Cause and effect are only
known after research
beside training &
experience.
A complex system has
property called
emergence which comes
up that is never
expected.
Cause
Effect
Cause and effect are only
known after research
beside training &
experience.
A complex system has
property called
emergence which comes
up that is never
expected.
Complex System
Cause
Effect
Unpredictable beyond
average. Exhibit extreme
sensitivity to initial or
starting conditions.
Starting conditions are
raw materials,
excipients, equipment,
people (education,
training and experience)
Cause
Effect
Chaotic System
Unpredictable beyond
average. Exhibit extreme
sensitivity to initial or
starting conditions.
Starting conditions are
raw materials,
excipients, equipment,
people (education,
training and experience)
System
Complicated
Complex
Chaotic
Simple
System
Complicated
Complex
Chaotic
Simple
Identify blind spots
& target them
Make evidence
reproducible
A Case Study
Cardiovascular Affairs
A B C D M*
ACE
Inhibitors
Beta
Blockers
Calcium
Blockers
Diuretics
CNS
Drugs
ACE inhibitors
I Captopril, Enalpril, Lisinopril etc.
II Losartan, Candesartan, Valsartan …
Angiotensin II Receptor Blockers
Angiotensin II Receptor Blockers
Losartan Valsartan Candesartan
Innovator / New Drugs
Angiotensin II Receptor Blockers
Losartan Valsartan Candesartan
Merck
Innovator / New Drugs
Angiotensin II Receptor Blockers
Valsartan Candesartan
Novartis
Innovator / New Drugs
Losartan
Merck
Angiotensin II Receptor Blockers
Valsartan Candesartan
Novartis Astra Zeneca
Innovator / New Drugs
Losartan
Merck
Generic
Several generics entered
in market after expiry
of patent
Meta-
analysis
reported ….
When data speaks
Data
24
Months data
Data
Before entry
of generic in
market
24
Months data
Data
Before entry
of generic in
market
24
Months data
10% visited emergency
or hospitalized/month
Data
Before entry
of generic in
market
24
Months data
10% visited emergency
or hospitalized/month
136177 patients
66 & above age
60% women &
40% men
10 use drug
9 live healthy
1 visits hospital
Data extended
36
Months data
Data extended
After 12
months entry
of generic in
market
36
Months data
Data extended
After 12
months entry
of generic in
market
36
Months data
Visited emergency or
hospitalized/month
Data extended
After 12
months entry
of generic in
market
36
Months data
Visited emergency or
hospitalized/month
18% for
Losratan
22% for
Valsartan
24% for
Candesartan
10 use drug
8 live healthy
2 visit hospital
Data Screamed
10%
18%
22%
24%
?
R
R
+
G
Innovator
10%
Innovator Generic
21%
24 month 36 month
Hospitalization
What went wrong?
What may go wrong?
Lets think
Concentration Levels in blood
Regulatory Standards
80% to 125%
Cmax
AUC
The test drug is compared with innovator &
its profile falls on the innovator scale in
between 80 to 125%
If
The test drug is compared with innovator &
its profile falls on the innovator scale in
between 80 to 125%
It is Generic
If
The test drug is compared with innovator &
its profile falls on the innovator scale in
between 80 to 125%
We expect same therapeutic effect as
established by the innovator in their clinical
studies done earlier
It is Generic
If
Lets have a Critical Review
90 - 100
80 - 90 100 - 110 110 - 125
90 - 100
80 - 90 100 - 110 110 - 125
90 - 100
80 - 90 100 - 110 110 - 125
Reference
90 - 100
80 - 90 100 - 110 110 - 125
Reference
90 - 100
80 - 90 100 - 110 110 - 125
Reference
Generic
90 - 100
80 - 90 100 - 110 110 - 125
Reference
Qualifying Zone
Generic
90 - 100
80 - 90 100 - 110 110 - 125
Reference
Qualifying Zone
Generic Generic
90 - 100
80 - 90 100 - 110 110 - 125
Reference
Qualifying Zone
Generic Generic
Qualifying Zone
90 - 100
80 - 90 100 - 110 110 - 125
Reference
Qualifying Zone
Generic Generic
Qualifying Zone
Information to Knowledge
Take an example of
a Tablet 1 mg
Information to Knowledge
Shelf life limit is
90 – 110%
Take an example of
a Tablet 1 mg
Information to Knowledge
Shelf life limit is
90 – 110%
0.9 mg – 1.1 mg is
acceptable
Take an example of
a Tablet 1 mg
Information to Knowledge
If a generic is
80% BA
&
90% of Potency
Information to Knowledge
It will be expected max. 72%
If a generic is
80% BA
&
90% of Potency
72% instead of 100%
Remember !!!
clinical studies done
on 100%
Information to Knowledge
If a generic is
125% BA
&
110% of Potency
Information to Knowledge
It will be expected max. 137.5%
If a generic is
125% BA
&
110% of Potency
137.5% instead of 100%
Remember !!!
clinical studies done
on 100%
72% to 137.5% instead of 100%
72% to 137.5% instead of 100%
May be Under Dose
72% to 137.5% instead of 100%
May be Over Dose
May be Under Dose
72% to 137.5% instead of 100%
May be Under Dose May be Over Dose
May not be in every case but …
72% to 137.5% instead of 100%
Drug in Blood
Minimum effective concentration
Over maximum concentration
Every breath deserve quality
Innovator
10%
Innovator Generic
21%
24 month 36 month
Hospitalization
We were here
Innovator
10%
Innovator Generic
21%
24 month 36 month
Hospitalization
We were here
Learning
Space
01 Bioequivalence study &
03 validation batches may
not assure drug quality for
lifetime.
Different people with
different level of
knowledge, skill &
experience may not
manufacture equal drug.
Thanks

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Judging Science & Prior Knowledge Beyond the Line