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The Economic and Health
  Benefits of Research
                Jon Sussex
   Deputy Director, Office of Health Economics



            BioWales 2013
  Cardiff, Wales • 19-20 March 2013


                                                 1
Agenda

• Medical research
• Health gains
• Economic returns
UK Medical Research Funding Sources
                 2009/10
                                                               £billion
     Health Departments                                          0.7
     MRC & Other Research Councils                               0.8
     Funding Councils etc.                                       1.1
     Total Public Sector                                         2.6
     Charities                                                   0.9
     Private Industry                                            4.5
     TOTAL (est.)                                                8.0
    Source: UKCRC (2012) UK Health Research Analysis 2009/10




3
Exceptional returns to UK
 public medical research

 • 39% rate of return (real,
   annual) to cardio-
   vascular research
 • 9% from health gains
 • 30% from economic
   gains
UK health gains from cardiovascular research




    Source: Medical Research: What’s It Worth?
Total number of QALYs gained in UK due to
 cardiovascular interventions 1985-2005
3000
                                                        Quitting
                                                        smoking
                                                        1ary prevention
2000                                                    of CVD


                                                        Chronic stable
                                                        angina treatment
1000
                                                        2ary prevention
                                                        of CHD post-MI

    0
                        Types of medical intervention
Source: Medical Research: What’s It Worth?
Average time lag between spending on
       research and health impact ≈ 10-25 Years

                                                 200           Age and Number of UK Papers Cited in Seven UK
      Mean age of cited                                             Cardiovascular Guidelines (2003-2007)
     papers is 12.5 years                        160

                                        Number
                                        of cited 120


               +
                                        papers

                                                  80


  Period between spending
                                                  40
       and publication
                                                   0



               +
                                                       1   3    5   7   9    11   13   15    17   19   21   23   25   27
                                                                            Age of cited papers
                                                                                (in years)


      Period between
  recommendation and use                                   Time Lag ≈ 10-25 years
Source: Medical Research: What’s It Worth?
UK uptake of 61 medicines launched in the UK since 2007
       compared to an average for 16 countries*
                                                        150%

                    UK uptake per head standard units
                    /country average uptake per head




                                                        100%




                                                        50%




                                                         0%
                                                               YR1          YR2           YR3           YR4       YR5
                                                                                    Years from launch




 *Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the US; Austria, Belgium,
 Finland, Ireland

                                                                     Source: OHE analysis based on IMS (for volume data) and
                                                                     ONS/OECD (population data)
Economic gains include spillovers




Source: Medical Research: What’s It Worth?
Shorter lags between research and economic benefit
                                  Ward and Dranove (1995)
            ↑ 1% public basic research in a particular therapeutic area (by US NIH)


 ↑ 0.76% in private R&D in same                        ↑ 1.71% in private R&D in other
therapeutic category over 7 years                     therapeutic category over 7 years

     In total, a 1% increase in public basic research across the board will generate up
                to a 2.5% increase in total private pharmaceutical R&D spend

             Toole (2007): Distinction between basic and clinical research

      ↑ $1 public research        Additional private R&D       After how many years?
              Basic                        $8.38                           8
             Clinical                      $2.35                           3


10
Exceptional returns to UK
 public medical research

 • 39% rate of return (real,
   annual) to cardio-
   vascular research
 • 9% from health gains
 • 30% from economic
   gains
Conclusions

• Public, charity and private medical research
  are complementary and total >£8bn p.a.
• Together they yield major health gains, albeit
  after long time lags
• And important economic gains, after shorter
  time lags
• Shorten the time lags to increase the gains
References
HERG, OHE and RAND Europe. (2008) Medical research: what’s it worth? London: Office of Health
Economics.
Toole, A. (2007) Does public scientific research complement private investment in research and
development in the pharmaceutical industry? Journal of Law and Economics. 50(1) 81–104.
UK Clinical Research Collaboration. (2012) UK Health Research Analysis 2009/10. London: UK
Clinical Research Collaboration.
To enquire about additional information and analyses, please contact
Jon Sussex at jsussex@ohe.org

To keep up with the latest news and research, subscribe to our blog, OHE News.
Follow us on Twitter @OHENews, LinkedIn and SlideShare.

Office of Health Economics (OHE)
Southside, 7th Floor
105 Victoria Street
London SW1E 6QT
United Kingdom
+44 20 7747 8850
www.ohe.org

OHE’s publications may be downloaded free of charge for registered users of its website.

©2013 OHE

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Economic and Health Benefits of Research

  • 1. The Economic and Health Benefits of Research Jon Sussex Deputy Director, Office of Health Economics BioWales 2013 Cardiff, Wales • 19-20 March 2013 1
  • 2. Agenda • Medical research • Health gains • Economic returns
  • 3. UK Medical Research Funding Sources 2009/10 £billion Health Departments 0.7 MRC & Other Research Councils 0.8 Funding Councils etc. 1.1 Total Public Sector 2.6 Charities 0.9 Private Industry 4.5 TOTAL (est.) 8.0 Source: UKCRC (2012) UK Health Research Analysis 2009/10 3
  • 4. Exceptional returns to UK public medical research • 39% rate of return (real, annual) to cardio- vascular research • 9% from health gains • 30% from economic gains
  • 5. UK health gains from cardiovascular research Source: Medical Research: What’s It Worth?
  • 6. Total number of QALYs gained in UK due to cardiovascular interventions 1985-2005 3000 Quitting smoking 1ary prevention 2000 of CVD Chronic stable angina treatment 1000 2ary prevention of CHD post-MI 0 Types of medical intervention Source: Medical Research: What’s It Worth?
  • 7. Average time lag between spending on research and health impact ≈ 10-25 Years 200 Age and Number of UK Papers Cited in Seven UK Mean age of cited Cardiovascular Guidelines (2003-2007) papers is 12.5 years 160 Number of cited 120 + papers 80 Period between spending 40 and publication 0 + 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 Age of cited papers (in years) Period between recommendation and use Time Lag ≈ 10-25 years Source: Medical Research: What’s It Worth?
  • 8. UK uptake of 61 medicines launched in the UK since 2007 compared to an average for 16 countries* 150% UK uptake per head standard units /country average uptake per head 100% 50% 0% YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 Years from launch *Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the US; Austria, Belgium, Finland, Ireland Source: OHE analysis based on IMS (for volume data) and ONS/OECD (population data)
  • 9. Economic gains include spillovers Source: Medical Research: What’s It Worth?
  • 10. Shorter lags between research and economic benefit Ward and Dranove (1995) ↑ 1% public basic research in a particular therapeutic area (by US NIH) ↑ 0.76% in private R&D in same ↑ 1.71% in private R&D in other therapeutic category over 7 years therapeutic category over 7 years In total, a 1% increase in public basic research across the board will generate up to a 2.5% increase in total private pharmaceutical R&D spend Toole (2007): Distinction between basic and clinical research ↑ $1 public research Additional private R&D After how many years? Basic $8.38 8 Clinical $2.35 3 10
  • 11. Exceptional returns to UK public medical research • 39% rate of return (real, annual) to cardio- vascular research • 9% from health gains • 30% from economic gains
  • 12. Conclusions • Public, charity and private medical research are complementary and total >£8bn p.a. • Together they yield major health gains, albeit after long time lags • And important economic gains, after shorter time lags • Shorten the time lags to increase the gains
  • 13. References HERG, OHE and RAND Europe. (2008) Medical research: what’s it worth? London: Office of Health Economics. Toole, A. (2007) Does public scientific research complement private investment in research and development in the pharmaceutical industry? Journal of Law and Economics. 50(1) 81–104. UK Clinical Research Collaboration. (2012) UK Health Research Analysis 2009/10. London: UK Clinical Research Collaboration.
  • 14. To enquire about additional information and analyses, please contact Jon Sussex at jsussex@ohe.org To keep up with the latest news and research, subscribe to our blog, OHE News. Follow us on Twitter @OHENews, LinkedIn and SlideShare. Office of Health Economics (OHE) Southside, 7th Floor 105 Victoria Street London SW1E 6QT United Kingdom +44 20 7747 8850 www.ohe.org OHE’s publications may be downloaded free of charge for registered users of its website. ©2013 OHE

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Comparator countries: Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the US; Austria, Belgium, Finland, Ireland