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The Unintended Consequences of 
 Paying for Quality in Health Care
        f      l          lh

                   Tim Doran
             University of Manchester
          Harvard School of Public Health


   Nuffield Health Strategy Summit, 3 March 2011

                 Doran
                 NPCRDC   Paying Physicians for Quality
• Adverse effect on professionalism and motivation 
• Neglect of non‐incentivized activities
• Widening of health inequalities
Case Study One: 
Quality and Outcomes Framework 
Q lit     dO t        F      k




           Doran
           NPCRDC   Paying Physicians for Quality
Paying for quality    The Quality and Outcomes Framework
                                               The United Kingdom       Results
                                                 The United States

Influenza immunisation
Influenza immunisation
Incentivized (CHD) and unincentivized (CKD)

                       100

                       95

                       90

                       85
           ment rate




                       80

                       75
    Achievem




                                                                                                             Incentivized

                       70                                                                                    Unincentivized

                       65

                       60

                       55

                       50
                             2000/1   2001/2   2002/3      2003/4      2004/5     2005/6      2006/7


                                                           NPCRDC      Paying Physicians for Quality 
Paying for quality    The Quality and Outcomes Framework
                                 The United Kingdom       Results
                                   The United States

Uplift in achievement
Uplift in achievement
Actual versus expected achievement: Year 1 (2004/5) and Year 3 (2006/7)


                           35                             27                          15
                                                         = 1                          = 7
                           25                             0                           6
              ent above 
              ed rate




                           15
                                                          4                           2
                                                         = 11                         = 7
       predicte
     Achieveme




                            5                             5                           11


                             5
                            ‐5


                           ‐15
                                         Year 1
                                         Year 1                                                Year 3
                                                                                               Year 3


                                             NPCRDC       Paying Physicians for Quality 
Adventures in Health Care Reform 
Adventures in Health Care Reform




            Doran
            NPCRDC   Paying Physicians for Quality
Potomac fever
Potomac fever




                Doran
                NPCRDC   US Health Care Reform
Reform
 eo
Past attempts




                “Democrats want to create a
                 Democrats
                government-run system for not
                providing health care, while
                                  care
                Republicans say coverage is best
                denied by allowing private insurers to
                make it unaffordable for as many
                citizens as possible ”
                            possible.

                              NPCRDC   US Health Care Reform
Tim Doran: Consequences of paying for quality in healthcare

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Tim Doran: Consequences of paying for quality in healthcare