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“In God we trust – all others bring data” Measuring the Effectiveness of DC 02 July 2010 – The Investment Network Nigel Aston
Measuring the effectiveness of DC The only game in town Play the market Playing safe The winner takes it all A level playing field
The only game in town ,[object Object]
 Evolving market
 Outcomes are what counts
The one with the most money wins
 It’s a team game
 The journey as well as the destination
 All players can win,[object Object]
 Trustee/governance board
 Sponsor
 Consultants
 Providers
 How do they play?
 Skill or luck?,[object Object]
It’s not just the address – it’s the number of houses and hotels too PARTICIPANT A (‘Tim’) These significant differences are not captured in current processes PARTICIPANT B (‘Tom’) Good investment products do not make a good service,  measuring outcomes is critical
Francois Huber
Insight from data If you look into a bee hive, it might look like all the bees are doing the same thing. They aren’t. ,[object Object],Quantity of honey Quality of honey ,[object Object]
Even within the same type, behaviour varies based on other factors, e.g. demographics, environment.8
2 years risk / return by member There is significant dispersion in the outcomes achieved by members, including those relying on the default strategy.  2 Years Annualised Return Median Risk = 22% 2 Years Annualised Risk (Volatility) Median Return = -16% SOURCE: PensionDCisions 9
Personal performance benchmarking
Measuring the effectiveness of DC The only game in town Play the market Playing safe The winner takes it all A level playing field
It’s not about herding – but think about the outliers
Who are your outliers? Median Risk RETURN Median Return RISK FTSE PensionDCisions DC Index - Growth
Cloud watching
Cloud watching

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